Gold on the Move – Major Resistance Levels to Watch AheadThe current price action looks strong, and if the bullish momentum continues, we have three main target levels in mind.
The first target is $3,380. This is an important level we expect gold to reach soon if the trend continues upward.
If the price breaks above $3,380, the next target is $3,433. This level is likely to act as a strong resistance, meaning the price might slow down or pull back here. But if gold can push through it with strength, that’s a strong signal of continued upside.
After that, the third target is $3,495, which would mark a strong extension of the current bullish trend.
As long as gold stays above key support levels, we believe the bullish outlook remains valid, and these targets are possible in the coming days or weeks.
Community ideas
BTC POTENTIAL BULLS TRAP IN DEVELOPMENTI am inspecting the 4 hour candle in comparison to the daily chart on BTC and it seem we have all the characteristics of a bulls trap on the chart. If the next 4 hours candle does not close bullish, it will confirm a bulls trap and price will likely pullback into the triangle. So be cautious trading at this resistance level.
Bull Trap Chart Characteristics
Look for:
A strong bullish candle that breaks above recent highs or resistance.
Volume spike on the breakout — signs that traders are buying.
Followed by a sharp bearish candle (like a shooting star, bearish engulfing, or long wick).
Price falls back below resistance, turning the breakout into a fakeout.
Cheers !!
Gold setup: ascending triangle and Trump’s debt bombGold just formed an ascending triangle, and a breakout could send it $300 higher. In this video, we analyse the new pattern, the key breakout level, and why Trump’s new tax bill and Powell’s potential replacement could spark a major move. Will fundamentals match the technicals? Watch to find out.
Valero Breaks the DowntrendValero Energy spent more than a year in a downtrend, but some traders may think conditions have changed.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs between April 2024 and May 2025. VLO pushed above that falling trendline last month and has remained there since. That may suggest its longer-term direction is turning higher.
Second is the price area between roughly $132 and $136. The oil refiner peaked there in March, April and May. But it made a low in the same zone last week and this week. Is old resistance becoming new support?
Third, prices have remained above the rising 21-day exponential moving average. They’re also above the 200-day simple moving average. Those patterns may be consistent with emerging bullishness in the short and long terms.
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EURJPY is rising to 173 for a bearish and larger pattern.EURJPY is rising to 173 for a bearish and larger pattern.
Since the beginning of March 2025, EURJPY started an uptrend and is still rising in a clear way with no signs of reversal.
As long as the BOJ has no plans to change its monetary policy statement or make any significant interventions in Forex, then EURJPY can continue to rise higher.
There is a high possibility that Eurjpy will complete a major daily harmonic pattern near 173.00.
Given that EURJPY may be close to the all-time high zone, the reversal could also occur within the zone, but I think EURJPY may start a reversal between 173.00 and the higher level. We can look for sell signals there.
At the moment, EURJPY is rising and may rise to 173.00, although not in a clear way.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
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Bitcoin Fractal, increase to $116k Hi Everyone☕👋
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Been such a long time since I posted. Today I'm looking at BTCUSDT, and I'm looking at the previous all time high cycle and what we were seeing (the pattern aka fractal).
Here's why we're likely going a little higher.
First correction of -32%
Followed by first peak, ATH
Correction, then the second peak and the REAL ath. Which is where we likely are:
Interesting to note that the previous time, the second ath was NOT THAT MUCH HIGHER. This should be considered to manage expectations in terms of how high we can go. Anything above +6% is a bonus.
The market bias stays up, MJ stocks may be a buy here. The market continues to be biased up, and the target is likely the weekly B. MJ stocks are showing technical signs that a reversal may come. There may be other sectors similar as I think the summer bottom gamblers will start appearing now that everything else is at the highs. Gold looks like it will eventually go lower. Nat gas lost support and is likely to go lower. USOIL is bear flagging.
NATURAL GAS - Who can Predict this wild beast?Natural gas got demolished today, down over 8%.
The one headline we saw hitting the tape that is having some partial influence:
"Vessel Arrives at LNG Canada to Load First Cargo, Strengthening Global Supply Outlook – LNG Recap"
Today, we did hedge our core long UNG position with a short dated $56 put on EQT.
We are already green on that trade and looking for $56 level to come into play.
Natural gas volatility sure trades in a world of its own which is why it is key to size accordingly.
GBPJPY: Bullish Impulse May Take Price To 205! 700+ Pips MoveGBPJPY is in steady bullish move in other words it is in impulse move; price has not yet exhausted and there is still extended bullish move to completed before bears takes control over. Please use accurate risk management while trading and do your own analysis.
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Stocks Are Crushing It at Record Highs. What’s Behind the Rally?Happy record highs, everyone — confetti, champagne, and yet another all-time high. The Nasdaq NASDAQ:IXIC and the S&P 500 SP:SPX just did it again — notched fresh closing records that have traders flexing their P&Ls like it’s 1999.
If you’ve been on the sidelines, you’re probably staring at the chart asking: How did we add trillions to market cap while my grocery bill still looks like a high-yield bond payment?
Good question. Because these days, stocks are behaving like they live on a separate planet from the actual economy (looking at you, Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA ).
Let’s pop the hood and see what’s revving this record-breaking machine — and what potholes might lurk ahead.
🤫 Nasdaq: The Comeback Kid of 2025
Take the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC — your favorite tech playground — up a mind-boggling 32% since the April lows . One-third of its total value was minted in three months — as much as $7 trillion added in.
What happened? Well, start with the obvious: the Magnificent Seven are doing the heavy lifting again. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Apple NASDAQ:AAPL , Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN , Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL , Meta NASDAQ:META , Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA — they’re the gym rats of this rally.
But here’s the kicker: while the headlines are all “index record highs,” the Mag 7 as a whole are actually down slightly for the year. The hero’s cape belongs mostly to a few standouts: Meta, up 21% this year. Microsoft, up 17%. And Nvidia? Not bad: up a whopping 65% since the April swoon.
When the generals lead, the army follows — at least until they don’t?
🤖 S&P 500: Powered by 7, Dragged by 493
The broad-based S&P 500 also clocked a new record close at 6,173.07 . Everyone loves to toast a new all-time high, but here’s your buzzkill: the “500” in S&P 500 is a bit of a myth these days.
The Magnificent Seven alone account for more than 30% of the index’s total weight. Last year, this elite club rose 57% while the other 493 stocks crawled up just 13%. Strip out the hyper-scalers, and you’ll find most stocks are still limping along, wrestling with tepid growth and stubborn inflation.
So yes — the S&P 500 is soaring. But the S&P 493? Not partying at the same rooftop bar.
💼 Conflicting Data: This Economy Ain’t It (Yet)
Here’s where it gets spicy: GDP actually shrank last quarter — down 0.5% year over year. Inflation is still running hot with May’s PCE figure at 2.7% (the Fed’s target is 2%).
Fed boss Jay Powell and the central bank squad are trying to thread the world’s tiniest policy needle: cut rates enough to juice the economy, but not so much that they stoke a fresh inflation flare-up.
Meanwhile, job numbers are a mixed bag , and corporate revenue hasn’t been setting new records to match those ceiling-high stock valuations.
In short, the disconnect between equity prices and economic reality is growing wider than the spread on your favorite meme coin during an illiquid Sunday afternoon.
👨🏻💻 Tariffs, Tweets, and the Trump Factor
And who could forget the wildcard factor? Trump’s new tariffs. The “reciprocal tariffs,” as he likes to pitch them. One day he’s threatening to slap 50% duties on everything from French wine to German cars. The next, he’s cozying up for “productive” chats with Brussels.
This policy whiplash makes supply chains sweat, but so far, equity traders are shrugging it off — and even cheering. Why? Because in Trump’s world, chaos means central banks might cut rates to cushion the blow. And nothing says “rocket fuel” for risk assets like lower borrowing costs.
Add to that the weird paradox that tariffs — while inflationary in the short run — can also weaken the dollar if the Fed turns dovish. A weaker greenback means US tech giants look cheaper to global investors. So… up we go.
🏛️ The Great Fed Cut Watch
Speaking of cuts: the Fed’s next meeting is in late July, and Wall Street is holding its breath. Rate cuts mean cheaper money — which often means traders load up on risk.
The market is currently pricing in a 90% chance of a cut in September (and an 80% chance of a hold in July). Meanwhile, gold OANDA:XAUUSD — the non-yielding safe haven — is selling off while traders are flocking toward the risk-end of the boat, leaving the safe-haven corner gathering dust.
👀 What’s Next? The Inevitable Hand-Wringing
So — should you pop champagne? Depends.
If you’re a trend follower, record highs are record highs. Momentum is your friend. But if you’re a value purist, these multiples probably make your eye twitch.
Big question: when does this all get too frothy? Will the next earnings season justify these valuations? Markets are forward-looking anyway — even if big tech’s revenue flops, that doesn’t mean money will flow out of the market cap.
After all, we’re halfway through the year and that means it’s time to pop open the Earnings calendar for those spring reports.
Any dip right now may very well be seen as an opportunity to swoop in at a lower price, not as something that indicates there’s something fundamentally wrong with the business.
🫶🏻 The Takeaway: Celebrate, but Stay Focused
The rally is real. The headlines are dazzling. But the same lessons apply: trends don’t last forever, risk doesn’t disappear just because the chart is green, and the Magnificent Seven won’t carry the world on their backs indefinitely.
So have your stop losses placed right, your position sizes sensible , and your eyes on the macro backdrop. Because record highs are fun, but holding the bag isn’t.
Off to you : Are you riding this rocket or waiting for the next dip? Drop your take below — are we so back, or about to crack?
One Last Push Before It’s Over?Total Market Cap CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL CRYPTOCAP:TOTALES
From a price action perspective, the structure looks very constructive:
• In May 2021, a swing high was formed, which later became a key resistance level.
• In November 2021, we saw a fakeout, confirming the significance of the level.
• Between March and June 2024, there was a clear rejection from this resistance.
• Eventually, price broke through the level and completed a clean retest from above — textbook move.
The bullish structure remains intact and has been reaffirmed once again. With that in mind, a new ATH on Total Market Cap feels like just a matter of time. The 3.73T+ level is likely to be taken out soon.
From a volume distribution perspective, the market is currently trading near the upper VWAP band — between +1σ and +2σ, yet shows no signs of overheating. Historically, the extreme zone is marked by +3σ, which currently sits around $4.6 trillion.
Wave Structure
The impulsive wave that began in 2022 appears to be nearing its completion. Given the price action and internal structure, it is highly likely that the final fifth wave is forming as an ending diagonal.
The $4.6–5 trillion zone stands out as a potential market top.
Volume behavior is key here:
We’re seeing notable vertical volume spikes in the current phase.
Horizontal volume (volume profile) reveals a strong cluster and point of control (POC) — a clear sign of distribution.
This pattern often signals the final stage of a bull cycle and precedes a reversal. The question is when, not if.
That said, the trend remains bullish for now. Notably, we don't yet observe strong RSI divergences on major timeframes, which supports the case for a continued push higher in the short term.
BTC - Consolidation, Manipulation & DistributionMarket Context
The current price action unfolds within the broader structure of a bullish leg that began after a sharp reversal near 97,000. This impulsive rally created a clear Fair Value Gap on the 4-hour chart—left behind as price surged upward with minimal resistance. Following this move, the market entered a consolidation phase, forming a range that has now broken to the upside. This kind of breakout often attracts breakout traders, but in this case, the context signals something more calculated.
Buy Side Liquidity Sweep Following Consolidation
The breakout above the consolidation range led directly into a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep, as price ran the highs just above the marked range. These highs acted as a magnet for liquidity—stop losses from short sellers and buy stops from breakout traders were likely pooled in that area. The quick rejection following this sweep suggests the move was not backed by genuine demand, but rather served the purpose of liquidity collection by larger players.
Manipulation and Distribution
This is a textbook example of manipulation into liquidity. Price was engineered to move upward into a zone of interest, taking out the Buy Side Liquidity before sharply reversing. The strong rejection signals distribution—institutions likely offloaded positions into the influx of late buyers. This kind of pattern often precedes a larger markdown, particularly when followed by lower timeframe bearish structure breaks.
Unfilled Fair Value Gap as a Draw
Beneath the price lies an unfilled Fair Value Gap, a zone of imbalance left behind by the earlier impulsive move. These areas often act as magnets for price, especially once liquidity objectives to the upside have been completed. Now that the sweep has occurred and distribution is underway, there is a strong probability that price will begin to seek rebalancing within this Gap. The area between 104,000 and 103,500 stands out as a high-probability target for the next leg down.
Execution Insight
If you're looking to enter short, it may be wise to wait for confirmation on a lower timeframe—such as a bearish break of structure or an internal Gap forming during the retracement. A 5-minute timeframe can often give early signs of rejection or supply stepping in. Being patient and allowing the market to reveal intent is crucial, especially after liquidity-driven moves like this.
Final Thoughts
Price doesn’t move randomly—it seeks liquidity and fills inefficiencies. This chart beautifully illustrates that logic, from engineered consolidation to a manipulative sweep, and now potentially toward rebalancing.
If you found this breakdown helpful, I’d really appreciate a like—it helps support the work and keeps this kind of content going. Let me know in the comments what you think, or if you’re seeing it differently. I'm always up for a good discussion.
PCEs & attacks on PowellWe are carefully monitoring the PCEs today, to see, "wins" this small battle in the rate-lowering war. Let's dig in.
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Beating the S&P 500 with TradingView's Stock ScreenerThis is Mo from MWRIGHT TRADING. The date is Friday, June 27th, 2025.
This video is about selecting stocks that collectively have the potential to consistently beat the S&P 500
I look for smooth and consistent long-, mid-, and short-term performance. For that we need
Building a Screener
What I look for
- Liquidity - that means money, or trading volume.
- Room to move - no overhead resistance
- Favorable trends - stable moving averages
- Good short term signals - a good intraday chart
Filters
- Market Cap 300M to 2B
Not too big, and not too small
- Perf 10Y > Perf 5Y
No long term dips in performance
- Perf 5Y > Perf 1Y
No short term dips in performance
- SMA(300) < Price
Price above moving average
- SMA(200) < Price
Price above moving average
- Avg Volume 10D > 100K
No lightly traded stocks. Liquidity needed
- + SMA(200) >= SMA(300)
Stacked long-term SMAs
- + SMA(50 >= SMA(200)
Stacked short-term SMAs
- + ROE, Trailing 12 Months > 0% (Chris Mayer)
Improving ROE
Examples
- SENEA
- DGII
Review the charts
- Verify short term performance
- Multi-VWAP (1 hr Chart) - Free Indicator
- Above a rising 5-Day AVWAP
- Magic Order Blocks (5 min Chart) - Free Indicator
- No major overhead resistance
- Verify fundamentals and long term performance
- ROE (Quarterly) - TV Indicator
- Rising ROE
- Float Shares Outstanding - TV Indicator
- Lower float means lower supply. When high demand occurs, this can act as a price catalyst.
- Multi VWAP from Gaps - Free Indicator
- Stacked is good
- 3 SMA Ladies - Custom Indicator
- Stacked is good
27% Cheaper Than Buffett’s Buy – And Sitting on a Key ZoneHi,
One of the most recent and notable additions to Berkshire Hathaway’s portfolio is Constellation Brands NYSE:STZ — and if that’s not a fundamental vote of confidence, I don’t know what is.
And hey, while Midsummer Day is behind us, warm and sunny summer evenings still lie ahead. So why not make your next cold Corona or Modelo a bit more... eemmm... financially meaningful? 😄
Because let’s be honest, I’m not just sipping beer, I’m making strategic support buys to help lift the chart. 🍻 That’s right, not a simple toast but a tactical entry. Cheers to price action! ;)
Okay, jokes aside, but technically, this stock is now sitting at a real make-or-break level that deserves attention.
Technical View:
Trendline — We’re seeing the third touch, which tends to be the strongest. I usually ignore wicks, but this time the confluence gives it weight.
Monthly EMA200 — Last touched during the 2008/2009 crash. A level packed with long-term liquidity and psychological weight.
Fibonacci 38% retracement
Horizontal support — Marked by arrows on the chart. Price has reversed here multiple times. It’s not a coincidence and hopefully this time isn’t the exception.
$150 mid-round level — US markets love round numbers, and this one sits right inside the box. Often a magnet for liquidity and reaction.
--------------------------------------------------------
Now add this:
You’re not just buying a chart level. You’re buying a premium cash generator:
- FCF Yield ~6.8%
- Operating margin ~34%
- Trading ~27% cheaper than Berkshire’s initial average (their cost basis is around $220/share)
- Strong brands, stable cash flows, and pricing power
Yes, last earnings had a one-off impairment but the underlying business remains rock solid.
If you’ve ever wanted to justify those "cold snacks" in your hand as “portfolio research”... well, here’s your excuse.
Do your homework, this might be your stock today.
Cheers🍻
Vaido
Ethereum at Key Resistance After Short Squeeze BounceEthereum recently found a local bottom at $2,111, triggering a sharp bounce that resembles a short squeeze. However, the rally has met a significant resistance zone—a former support level now flipped into resistance. This zone is technically loaded with multiple confluences: the point of control, the VWAP, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, and the $2,550 weak resistance area. Reclaiming this zone is essential for Ethereum to regain bullish momentum.
Structurally, the daily market structure has shifted. The previous trend of consecutive higher highs and higher lows has been broken with the recent drop, signaling a bearish structural shift unless key levels are reclaimed.
If Ethereum fails to break and hold above $2,550, the current move may confirm as a bearish retest, increasing the likelihood of a rotation back to $2,227 in the near term. A loss of $2,227 would open the door for a much deeper correction, targeting the $1,790 support zone—a critical level that acted as a base during previous consolidations.
At this point, Ethereum sits at a pivotal juncture. The reaction at current resistance will determine whether bulls can regain control or if bears will drive the next leg lower.
Nasdaq All-Time Highs, S&P Close, Blast Off or Breakdown?What an incredible melt-up since April 7 lows in the US markets.
Trump vs Musk - ignored
Iran vs Israel - ignored
High Valuations - ignored
FED Pausing - ignored
The US economy is resilient and it's a good thing because the world is performing really well (EX-US). Europe/China/India/Emerging Markets are outperforming the US by 15-16% YTD
The USD is having one its worst years ever in 2025
Gold, Silver, Bitcoin are great diversifiers in my opinion for 2025
Oil prices are incredibly volatile and energy stocks and commodities in turn are showing
volatility and big swings
As we near end of month and end of Q2, I have to believe the market is due for a small pause or pullback sooner rather than later - but we'll see
Thanks for watching!!!