Crypto influencers: The Good, The Bad and The UglyThe crypto space is evolving fast, and with it, the influence of social media figures has grown exponentially.
Crypto influencers have become a major source of information, ideas, and trends for traders and investors alike. But are they really helping, or are they just creating noise?
Let's break it down into three categories: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly.
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The Good: Learning and Discovery
One undeniable benefit of crypto influencers is access to information. With thousands of projects emerging every months, it's impossible to keep track of everything on your own. Influencers often highlight new projects, provide market insights, and share educational content, making it easier for retail investors to stay informed.
Their content can serve as a starting point for research, helping you discover opportunities you might have missed otherwise. Instead of spending hours searching for new projects, you can get a curated list of potential investments, saving time and effort.
However, the key here is not to blindly follow , but to use their insights as a research tool to dig deeper and verify information before making investment decisions.
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The Bad: Copy-Paste Content & One-Sided Narratives
While some influencers provide value, many simply recycle the same information. If you follow multiple influencers, you might notice that most of them talk about the exact same projects, using almost identical arguments.
Why? Because they often copy each other or are paid to promote specific coins. Instead of offering genuine analysis, they just ride the hype wave.
Another major issue is the lack of balance in their narratives. The majority of influencers focus only on bullish scenarios, constantly pushing the idea that prices will rise. Very few discuss the risks, potential corrections, or exit strategies.
This creates a dangerous mindset among beginner investors, making them believe that crypto only goes up, leading to FOMO-driven decisions instead of well-thought-out investments.
________________________________________
The Ugly: Hype-Driven, Clickbait Influencers
And now, we get to the worst of the bunch—the aggressive, loud, and sensationalist influencers who have taken over social media. These are the ones who:
🚨 Shout in every video, promising to make you a millionaire overnight
🚨 Hype up "the next 1000x coin" without any real analysis
🚨 Push FOMO-driven narratives to drive engagement, not to educate
Their goal? Clicks, views, and affiliate commissions.
Many of these influencers don’t even trade or invest themselves—they simply capitalize on the excitement of others. They prey on new and inexperienced investors, convincing them to buy into the hype without considering the risks.
But let’s be honest… How many people have actually gotten rich following their advice?
Most of these so-called “expert picks” end up crashing once the hype fades, leaving followers with losses while the influencers move on to the next pump-and-dump scheme.
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Final Thoughts: How to Navigate the Crypto Influencer Space
Not all influencers are bad, but you need to approach them with a critical mindset. Here are a few tips to stay safe:
✅ Use influencers as a research tool, not financial advisors – Always do your own due diligence.
✅ Look for balanced perspectives – Avoid those who only push bullish narratives.
✅ Be skeptical of hype-driven content – If someone is shouting about a guaranteed 100x coin or even 1000x, it's most probably a scam.
✅ Follow influencers who discuss risk management – Real traders know that both gains and losses are part of the game.
At the end of the day, your success in crypto depends on your own research and strategy, not on blindly following influencers. Stay informed, stay cautious, and don’t fall for the hype! 🚀📉
What do you think about crypto influencers? Have you ever made (or lost) money following their advice? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🔥👇
Community ideas
The Three Black Crows Pattern: Trading PrinciplesThe Three Black Crows Pattern: Trading Principles
Various candlestick and chart patterns indicate potential market reversals. One such formation is the three black crows pattern that indicates a potential bearish reversal in the price of an asset. You can find three black crows stock, commodity, and forex patterns. This FXOpen article will help you understand how such a pattern is formed, explaining how it can be used to spot trading opportunities in the market and demonstrating live trading examples.
What Are the Three Black Crows?
The three black crows is a bearish candlestick pattern used in technical analysis to signal a potential reversal of an uptrend. It consists of three consecutive long bearish candlesticks that occur after a strong upward trend. The pattern suggests that the momentum has shifted from buyers to sellers, indicating that a downtrend could be about to begin.
Key Characteristics:
- Three Consecutive Bearish Candles: The pattern is composed of three long bearish candlesticks that open within the body of the previous candle and close near their lows.
- Appears After an Uptrend: The pattern typically forms after a prolonged uptrend, signalling a potential shift in market sentiment.
- Declining Price with Minimal Wicks: The candles should ideally have small upper and lower wicks, showing that the sellers controlled the market throughout the session.
- Steady Decline: Each candlestick in the pattern opens higher than the previous candle’s close but then reverses to close lower.
Psychological Interpretation
The pattern reflects a growing bearish sentiment among traders. Each successive bearish candlestick suggests that sellers are taking over, and buying pressure is weakening. This gradual increase in selling activity is often interpreted as a sign that the market could be heading for a downturn.
How Can You Trade the Three Black Crows Chart Pattern?
The three black crows formation has general trading rules. They can be modified depending on the timeframe, market volatility, and risk tolerance.
Entry
Once the formation is confirmed with the third long red candle and additional indicators, traders enter a short position below its low.
Take Profit
The pattern doesn’t provide specific take-profit targets. Usually, traders use other technical indicators and strong support levels to determine a suitable take-profit point. Some traders set the take-profit order with regard to the risk-reward ratio, say 1:2 or 1:3.
Stop Loss
The theory states that a stop-loss order can be placed above the first candlestick’s high to potentially limit losses. Moreover, it should be based on the trader's risk tolerance and trading approach.
Live Market Example
The above example shows the formation of the three black crows’ pattern on a weekly chart of the EUR/USD pair. When the pattern formed, the relative strength index had just left the overbought zone, confirming a potential trend reversal. A trader could go short after the third long bearish candle at 1.42550 and place a stop loss near above the first pattern’s candle (at 1.51763). The profit target could be set at the next important support level of 1.23378. It took six months for the price to reach the target level.
Practical Trading Strategies Using the Three Black Crows Pattern
Now, let’s look at two specific 3 black crows trading strategies.
MACD Strategy
The combination of the three black crows candlestick pattern and the MACD crossover offers traders a strong signal of a bearish reversal after a bullish movement. The three black crows formation suggests weakening bullish momentum, while the MACD crossover confirms the shift in momentum from buyers to sellers. Together, these indicators increase the likelihood of a sustained downtrend, offering an opportunity for traders to enter the market with greater confidence.
Entry
- Traders observe a bearish MACD crossover within a few candles of the three black crows, either just before, during, or just after.
- Both conditions (pattern completion and MACD crossover) are typically met by the close of the third candle, signalling a potential opportunity for a sell trade.
Stop Loss
- Stop losses might be placed just beyond the swing point before the three black crows pattern to potentially protect against false signals.
Take Profit
- Traders often set take-profit targets at a risk-reward ratio, such as 1:2 or 1:3, to lock in potential returns.
- Alternatively, profits might be taken at key support levels where the price may reverse.
- Another option might be to exit the trade upon observing a bullish MACD crossover, signalling the end of the downtrend.
HMA Strategy
Using two hull moving averages (HMA), one set to 20 and the other to 50, provides traders with an extra filter to confirm that a downtrend is beginning following the three black crows pattern. The three black crows indicate a potential bearish reversal, but a cross of the 20-period HMA below the 50-period HMA helps confirm the strength of the downtrend. HMAs are used as they are more responsive to trend shifts than other moving averages.
Entry
- Traders look for a bearish crossover where the 20 HMA crosses below the 50 HMA within a few candles of the three black crows.
- Both the pattern and the HMA crossover typically confirm the start of a downtrend, allowing traders to enter a short position.
Stop Loss
- Stop losses might be set just above the swing high before the pattern.
- Alternatively, they might be placed above one of the HMAs, depending on the trader’s risk tolerance and desired level of protection.
Take Profit
- Take-profit targets might be based on a risk-reward ratio, such as 1:2 or 1:3.
- Traders may also take profits at a known support level where price reversal is likely.
- Another potential exit point is when the HMAs cross over again, signalling the end of the trend.
Three Black Crows vs Three White Soldiers
The three white soldiers candlestick pattern is the opposite of the three black crows. It is a bullish reversal setup that traders commonly use to identify the potential end of a prior downtrend and the start of an uptrend. It consists of three consecutive long bullish candlesticks with highs and lows higher than the previous ones and with little or no wicks. It suggests that the buyers have taken control of the market and that the price will likely continue rising. The candles together create a formation that resembles three soldiers marching in a bullish direction.
This formation is usually considered a strong bullish signal when it appears after a prolonged downtrend, in contrast to the three black crows formation, which indicates a strong potential bearish reversal. Traders often use it as an indication to enter long positions, with a stop-loss order placed near the bottom of the pattern.
Confirmation Tools
Confirmation tools can help traders ensure that the 3 black crows candlestick pattern signals a true bearish reversal rather than a short-term pullback. Here are some key tools to consider when confirming the pattern:
- Volume Increase: A spike in selling volume during the formation of the three black crows can confirm heightened pressure and a stronger likelihood of a trend reversal.
- Momentum Indicators: Tools like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), MACD, or a Stochastic Oscillator can show a shift in momentum. An overbought RSI, a bearish MACD crossover, or bearish Stochastic divergence may reinforce the bearish signal.
- Support Level Break: Watch for a break below a key support level after the three black crows form. This can further validate the downtrend, indicating that sellers are gaining control.
- Bearish Candlestick Patterns: Additional bearish patterns, such as engulfing or dark cloud cover, emerging after the three black crows, can reinforce the likelihood of a sustained downtrend.
- Moving Averages: A cross of a short-term MA below a long-term MA can offer further confirmation of a bearish reversal.
Common Mistakes When Trading the Three Black Crows Pattern
In 3 black crows trading, it's common to make several mistakes that may lead to poor results or false signals. Here are key pitfalls to watch out for:
- Ignoring Volume: Failing to check for a rise in volume during the formation of the three black crows can lead to misinterpreting the pattern. Low volume may indicate weak selling pressure and an unreliable signal.
- Trading Without Confirmation: Jumping into a trade as soon as the pattern forms without using additional confirmation tools like momentum indicators or support breaks can increase the risk of a false reversal.
- Overlooking Market Context: The three crows candlestick pattern works in specific conditions. If the pattern appears in a sideways or range-bound market, it may not signal a true trend reversal, leading to misinterpretation.
- Setting Tight Stop-Losses: Placing stop-loss orders too close to the first candlestick’s high can result in early exit due to market noise. Proper risk management with room for fluctuations is essential.
- Neglecting Trend Strength: Ignoring the strength of the prior uptrend may lead to premature trades. The pattern is believed to be the most effective after a prolonged uptrend; using it in weak trends can result in false signals.
Final Thoughts
The three black crows pattern is a powerful bearish reversal signal that can help traders identify potential downtrends after a sustained uptrend. By understanding its formation, confirming the pattern with additional technical indicators, and implementing sound risk management strategies, traders can incorporate this pattern into their trading plans. However, as with any trading strategy, patience and proper confirmation are key to avoiding false signals.
Once you have practised identifying the black crows, consider opening an FXOpen account to start your trading journey!
FAQ
What Do 3 Black Crows Mean in Trading?
The 3 black crows’ meaning refers to a candlestick pattern signalling a bearish reversal. It consists of three consecutive long bearish candlesticks following an uptrend, indicating that sellers are taking control of the market. This pattern suggests a potential shift in momentum from bullish to bearish, meaning the price is likely to decline further as selling pressure increases.
What Do Three Black Crows Indicate?
The 3 black crows’ candlestick formation, after a prolonged uptrend, indicates a potential downside reversal. It means that sellers are taking control, and the price will likely trade downwards.
What Is the Success Rate of the 3 Black Crows?
The success rate of the three black crows pattern varies depending on market conditions, timeframe, and confirmation tools used. While it is generally considered a reliable bearish reversal signal, traders often use volume, momentum indicators, and support level breaks to confirm the pattern and improve success rates.
What Is the Meaning of Identical Three Crows?
The identical three crows is a variation of the traditional pattern. In this case, the three bearish candles open at the close of the previous candlestick, showing even stronger bearish pressure. This variation suggests that sellers are overwhelming buyers consistently, signalling an even more pronounced reversal.
How Do You Trade Three Black Crows?
To trade the 3 black crows pattern, traders wait for confirmation of a bearish reversal after the three consecutive down candles in an uptrend. They enter a short position once the pattern is completed and confirmed by additional indicators like increased volume or a break below support. They may place a stop-loss order above the high of the first candle and target key support levels below for profit-taking. Traders always manage risk carefully by using stop-losses and monitoring market conditions.
Are Three Black Crows Bullish?
No, the three black crows pattern is not bullish; it is a bearish candlestick pattern. It signals a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend, indicating that selling pressure is starting to overwhelm buying pressure.
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How to Trade Ending Diagonal: EURUSDOne of my favorite EW patterns: Ending Diagonal
It usually appears in wave C or 5, we have wave C
It consists of five waves and each of them are three waves
All looks good as wave 5 is over wave 3 and Ending diagonal might be completed
as EWO oscillator already shows Bearish Divergence between wave 3 and 5
This educational post to show trade setup on this pattern
The bottom of wave b in wave 5 is a breakdown trigger (blue) as it means wave 5 is over
Confirmation is on breakdown of wave 4 (orange)
Target is at the start of the Ending Diagonal (green)
Bonus track:
One could consider sell on 61.8% Fib retracement as we see the first impulse down
and now we watch this two-legged pullback.
Master Your Emotions: The 3 Trading Psychology Hacks Most traders don’t struggle because they lack a strategy—they struggle because emotions get in the way. After coaching hundreds of traders, I’ve seen the same patterns over and over: hesitation, FOMO, revenge trading, and self-doubt.
I get it. I’ve been there too. You see the perfect setup but hesitate. Or worse, you jump in too late and watch the market turn against you. It’s frustrating, but there’s a fix.
In this video, I’m breaking down the biggest trading psychology mistake I see and the simple 3-step process that has helped my students trade with confidence, even in the most volatile markets.
If you’ve ever felt like your emotions are sabotaging your trades, this is for you. Let’s fix it.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Using Fair Value Gaps to find A+ entriesA Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a concept used in trading to identify areas of price imbalance on a chart. These gaps occur when there is significant buying or selling pressure, leading to rapid price movements that leave behind gaps on the price chart. Essentially, an FVG represents a zone where the market did not trade efficiently.
Historical chart data can show that price has a tendency to dip back into these FVGs before the continuation of the overall trend. FVGs can be found on all time frames and can be used as a form of support and resistance.
When price dips into these Gaps, that is the opportune time to enter a trade, allowing you to have a tight and logical Stop Loss below the FVG (PLEASE ACCOUNT FOR SPREAD).
Bitcoin mining cost and Bitcoin price appreciation RIOT earnings disclosed that 53% decrease in power credits directly affects miners’ operational costs, leading to higher Bitcoin mining costs.
In the broader economic context, this ties into energy market dynamics and inflation control in several ways.
Preventing upward pressure on industrial energy prices.
Power credits or subsidies previously given to miners have kept their costs artificially low, allowing them to consume large amounts of energy without fully bearing the market rate.
By reducing these credits, miners are exposed to real energy prices, discouraging excessive energy consumption and reducing competition for energy resources with industrial sectors (like manufacturing or logistics) that are critical to the economy.
Why it matters
When Bitcoin miners compete with industrial users for power, it can push up energy prices. Since energy is a major input cost for many industries, rising prices can ripple through supply chains, increasing the costs of goods and contributing to inflation.
Aligning with Energy allocation priorities
In many regions, energy regulators aim to ensure that critical industries, those tied to job creation, exports, or essential services, have priority access to affordable energy. Bitcoin mining, often seen as non-essential from a macroeconomic standpoint, might be deprioritized to keep energy-intensive sectors from facing higher costs that could contribute to consumer price inflation.
Market correction & miner attrition
With actual energy costs now directly impacting miners, many less efficient operations (those with older equipment or higher power costs) will struggle to remain profitable and may shut down. This natural market correction helps reduce overall energy consumption by the mining sector, easing pressure on the grid and stabilizing prices for other users.
Survivors :
Only miners with low energy costs, high-efficiency hardware, or renewable energy sources will remain competitive.
The reduction in power credits is a policy lever to discourage energy-intensive activities that don’t directly contribute to broader economic stability. In doing so, it helps control energy costs for industries tied to GDP growth and job creation, ultimately working as an inflation management tool.
For Bitcoin miners, this shift creates a survival-of-the-fittest environment, where only the most efficient operations can withstand real market conditions, while others may exit the market.
As the cost to mine each Bitcoin rises , it establishes a new economic floor for the market. Miners are less willing to sell below their production cost, especially large-scale miners who can influence market liquidity. Historically, when mining costs increase due to factors like halvings, energy price hikes, or network difficulty, Bitcoin tends to gravitate toward or above these higher cost bases over time.
Example: After the 2016 and 2020 halvings, mining costs surged, but Bitcoin’s price followed with significant upward movements in the months that followed, leading to new all-time highs.
The Two Minds of a Trader: Analysis vs. ExecutionTrading is a game of probabilities, discipline, and emotional control. Yet, most traders unknowingly sabotage themselves by letting their analytical mind interfere with their execution. Understanding the distinction between the Analytical Mind (The Analyst) and the Execution Mind (The Trader) can significantly improve your trading performance. I’m Skeptic , and today, I’ll break down how to master these two mental states.
The Analytical Mind vs. The Execution Mind
The Analyst: The Market Forecaster 🔍📊
This is the part of your mind that loves to analyze, predict, and overthink.
It constantly searches for confirmation and the perfect setup.
It’s responsible for drawing support/resistance levels, using indicators, and finding confluence zones.
Often, it falls into the trap of “analysis paralysis,” hesitating to take trades due to over-analysis.
🛑 Biggest Mistake: Letting the Analytical Mind interfere with execution.
The Trader: The Decision Maker 🎯💰
This is the part of your mind that follows a structured, predefined trading plan.
It focuses on executing rather than predicting.
It respects stop-losses, sticks to the plan, and doesn’t chase the market.
It manages risk effectively and understands that losses are part of the game.
✅ Key to Success: Training the Execution Mind to act without emotional interference from the Analytical Mind.
How to Stop Overthinking and Trade with Confidence
1. Create a Clear Trading Plan 📝
A structured plan removes uncertainty. Before you enter a trade, you should already know:
Your entry triggers (specific price action setups, indicators, or fundamental conditions).
Your risk-to-reward ratio (R/R) and stop-loss placement.
Your profit-taking strategy (scaling out, trailing stops, etc.).
💡 Example:
I personally use setups based on support/resistance, RSI divergences, and volume confirmation.
I’ve backtested these setups with 30+ trades per condition, ensuring their viability.
This confidence in my system allows me to execute trades without second-guessing.
2. Separate Learning from Execution 🚧
One of the biggest mistakes traders make is learning while trading.
Before the trade: This is the time for analysis and preparation.
During the trade: This is execution mode—stick to your plan, no second-guessing.
After the trade: Review and learn. This is when you refine your strategy, not during a live trade.
3. Reduce Information Overload 📉
Too much knowledge can be detrimental in trading.
Many traders believe that knowing more = better trading. This is a myth.
The best traders master one or two strategies and refine them instead of constantly searching for new indicators.
Focus on backtesting and forward-testing instead of endlessly consuming content.
🚨 Reality Check: Traders 100 years ago made consistent profits without advanced indicators, algorithms, or AI models. Why? Because they focused on mastering risk management and execution instead of drowning in endless analysis.
Final Thoughts: Train Your Execution Mind
Trust your plan: If you’ve done your homework, your only job is to execute without hesitation.
Less is more: Reduce unnecessary analysis and stick to core principles.
Be patient: The best traders don’t chase trades—they wait for their setup.
📌 Key Takeaways: ✅ Stop over-analyzing and start executing.✅ Confidence comes from backtesting and having a structured plan.✅ The market rewards discipline, not predictions.
Which mindset dominates your trading—Analyst or Trader? Drop a comment below and let’s discuss!
🔹 I’m Skeptic, and my goal is to help traders gain clarity and consistency in their journey. Let’s grow together!
A Trader’s Guide to ABCD PatternsIntroduction to ABCD Patterns
The ABCD pattern is a tool in technical analysis that measures up and down moves within a trend. It consists of three consecutive price swings, forming a very specific shape as shown on the chart above. Note that the dark solid line on the chart above is the ABCD pattern while the dotted lines are retracement measurements. The ABCD pattern is valuable because it reflects the rhythmic and cyclical nature of market movements. While it may support such a nature, please note that past performance is not always indicative of future results.
The ABCD pattern is often used as a way to map out existing and potential price movements. This pattern is composed of four key points: A, B, C, and D. From point A to B, a new prevailing trend begins. The market then retraces from point B to point C, followed by a resumption of the initial trend from C to D. This sequence can help traders draw and see the movements within a trend.
One of the strengths of the ABCD pattern is its versatility. It can appear in both bullish and bearish forms, making it applicable across various markets, including forex like the FOREXCOM:EURUSD and other symbols. Additionally, it can be used in different market conditions, such as range-bound markets, uptrends, and downtrends, and across various timeframes, from intraday to long-term charts.
Typically, the tool is used to measure the retracements between each move. The dotted lines on the chart indicate the size of the retracement compared to where the previous trend began. This makes it easy to see where the ABCD pattern is finding its bottom (or top) within the trend. By analyzing these retracements, traders can gauge the strength of the trend and identify potential entry and exit points.
The key takeaway from the ABCD pattern is that it is a tool used to draw, measure, and see price movements within a trend. Imagine the market as a roller coaster ride with four key points: A, B, C, and D. At point A, the excitement kicks off with a fresh, dominant trend. As the ride progresses, it dips to point B, offering a brief pause. But hold on tight, because at point C, the initial trend roars back to life. Finally, traders eagerly anticipate the next twist at point D. This dynamic sequence allows traders to map out and visualize the market's journey.
Did you learn something new?
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Thanks for reading!
The FOREX.com team
How to Set Multiple TPs...for BeginnersHey Rich Friends,
I wanted to share how I find multiple TPs for my Forex trades using free tools and only 1 technical indicator. This strategy is perfect for beginners because it is easy to follow and has clear confirmations for entering and exiting a trade in profit, even if it hits your Stop Loss.
I keep my charts clean and let price action do the talking. Here's my setup:
✅ Session Breaks & Horizontal Lines – I mark the previous day’s highs, lows, and key levels to identify potential areas of interest.
✅ Stochastic for Entries & Exits – I use the Stochastic indicator to time my trades when the price reacts at my key levels (80 and 20 are very important here!)
✅ Horizontal Lines = Potential TPs – Instead of setting a take profit, I let the market tell me when to exit based on price action around these levels.
Less noise, more precision. Drop a "7" if you made it to the end of the video and let me know if it was helpful!
Peace and Profits,
Cha
The Power of a Trading Journal: Key to Consistent SuccessHave you ever pondered what distinguishes successful traders from those who struggle for consistent profits? One key tool, often underestimated, is the trading journal. Both research and practical experience demonstrate that traders who diligently track their performance and critically assess their decisions tend to enhance their trading skills and overall results over time. While financial markets can seem erratic, a well-maintained trading journal can provide clarity regarding your trading behavior and highlight areas ripe for improvement.
Understanding the Trading Journal
At its core, a trading journal serves as a comprehensive record of your trades, detailing every decision and its corresponding outcome. However, it goes beyond a mere tally of wins and losses; it acts as a robust instrument for self-reflection and growth. By keeping an organized log, traders can identify recurring patterns, refine their strategies, and cultivate greater discipline in their trading practices. In essence, a trading journal empowers you to track your performance while offering meaningful insights for informed decision-making.
What Constitutes a Trading Journal?
A trading journal is a personalized record of your trading journey designed to document every aspect of your experiences. Unlike a basic transaction log, it encompasses insights into your decisions, emotional states, and strategies, thereby providing an in-depth perspective on your trading habits and performance over time. This journal functions as a roadmap, enabling you to analyze your actions, learn from missteps, and recognize successful patterns to replicate in future trades.
Essential Components of a Trading Journal
1. Trade Details:
Log fundamental information for each trade, including the date, instrument, entry and exit points, position size, and the outcome.
2. Trade Analysis and Rationale:
Capture the reasons behind each trade, such as market analysis, utilized indicators, or significant news events influencing your decision.
3. Emotional Insights:
Document the emotions felt before, during, and after each trade, which will help you identify emotional triggers impacting your decision-making.
4. Results and Lessons Learned:
Reflect on the trade’s outcome and the insights gained. Did it align with your expectations? What could be improved next time?
By consistently maintaining these entries, your trading journal will allow for systematic performance tracking, enabling you to conduct insightful trade analysis and continuously enhance your trading methodology.
The Key Benefits of a Trading Journal
Maintaining a trading journal provides numerous benefits that can significantly elevate your trading performance over time. From honing decision-making skills to fostering emotional discipline, a trading journal is an invaluable asset for anyone committed to enhancing their trading approach.
1. Enhanced Decision-Making:
Analyzing past trades enables you to discern patterns in your decision-making process, both successful and otherwise. You might uncover that certain strategies work better under specific market conditions or that impulsive trades frequently lead to losses. Understanding these patterns grants you valuable insights for making informed, calculated choices in future trades.
2. Improved Emotional Control:
Trading often involves a rollercoaster of emotions, with factors like fear and greed skewing decision-making. Documenting your feelings during trades can help you identify emotional triggers and develop strategies to manage them, maintaining objectivity and preventing emotions from derailing your trading plan. Over time, this fosters emotional control, which is crucial for sustained trading success.
3. Increased Consistency and Discipline:
A trading journal encourages consistency by promoting adherence to your trading plan and strategies. By recording every trade—regardless of its outcome—you cultivate a disciplined mindset that helps you avoid impulsive decisions and maintain a structured approach aligned with your objectives.
How to Establish Your Trading Journal
Creating a trading journal is quite simple; the key lies in selecting the right format and knowing what to document. Follow this guide to set up a journal that effectively tracks your trading performance and identifies growth opportunities.
Selecting Your Format:
1. Digital Applications:
Tools like Evernote, OneNote, or specialized trading journal software offer accessibility, data backup, and automation. Many apps include analytics features for streamlined performance tracking.
2. Spreadsheets:
Utilizing Excel or Google Sheets affords flexibility and customization. You can craft a spreadsheet tailored to your needs, complete with specified fields, formulas, and visualizations.
3. Paper Journals:
For those who prefer a tactile approach, a traditional notebook can suffice. While writing by hand fosters reflection, it lacks digital conveniences like searchable records.
Crucial Information to Record:
To enhance the effectiveness of your trading journal, make sure to include these key data points:
- Entry and Exit Points:
Log the precise times and prices at which trades are entered and exited.
- Position Size and Trade Details:
Note the trade size, instrument, and any pertinent details.
- Motivation for the Trade:
Document the analysis or strategy that influenced your trade decision, whether rooted in technical analysis, fundamental factors, or broader market trends.
- Emotional State:
Record your feelings throughout the trading process to better understand emotional influences.
- Trade Outcome and Lessons:
Reflect on the trade's success and any insights gained, noting what worked well or what didn’t.
Starting a trading journal requires minimal time but can significantly affect your long-term ability to track performance and improve.
Read Also:
Reviewing Your Trading Journal for Growth
A trading journal can only yield benefits if you regularly review and analyze its contents. Consistent reviews enable you to identify patterns, adjust strategies, and enhance your trading acumen.
Setting Review Periods:
Designate time—weekly, biweekly, or monthly—to review your journal. These sessions reinforce your commitment to your goals and reveal areas needing adjustment, ensuring ongoing learning from your trades.
Spotting Patterns and Mistakes:
Analyze your trades for recurring themes. Determine if you consistently act on particular signals or if emotional responses lead to poor decision-making. Acknowledging frequent mistakes marks the first step toward correcting detrimental behaviors.
Implementing Adjustments:
Leverage insights from your journal to modify your trading strategies. If a specific method isn’t yielding results, revise or replace it accordingly. If certain emotional triggers lead to losses, develop coping mechanisms to mitigate their influence.
By committing to regular reviews, you can transform your trading experiences into invaluable lessons that foster better habits and skills.
Read Also:
Maximizing the Benefits of Your Trading Journal
To fully reap the rewards of a trading journal, it's crucial to engage with it effectively. Here are tips to enhance your journaling experience:
1. Maintain Consistency:
Regularly enter details after every trade or at least daily. This practice captures relevant details while they’re recent, building a robust record for analysis.
2. Practice Honesty:
Accurately document both successes and failures. A truthful account allows for clearer insights into areas needing improvement, as self-awareness plays a vital role in progress.
3. Utilize Visuals:
Incorporate charts, graphs, or screenshots to enrich your journal. Visual aids facilitate pattern recognition and provide a more comprehensive understanding of your trading performance.
Read Also:
Conclusion: The Transformative Role of a Trading Journal
A trading journal is an essential tool for any trader pursuing consistent success. By meticulously recording trades, scrutinizing decisions, and learning from both victories and defeats, you can sharpen your skills, master your emotions, and cultivate a disciplined approach to the markets. Beyond merely documenting past trades, a trading journal offers critical insights that can profoundly influence your long-term performance. By consistently utilizing this resource, you can decipher your unique trading habits, refine strategies, and ultimately boost your confidence in decision-making.
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SOLUSD: How to Draw Quarter's Theory LevelsApplying Quarter’s Theory to SOL/USD helps traders identify key psychological price levels where institutional players might step in. With Solana’s volatility, these quarter levels (25%, 50%, 75%, and full dollar increments) act as crucial areas for potential reversals or breakouts.
Current Market Outlook
SOL/USD is currently trading around a major quarter level, signaling a potential shift in momentum. If buyers push above $150, the next logical upside target is $175, while a breakdown could send prices back to $125—both key quarter points.
How to Trade It
Aggressive traders can enter at quarter levels with tight stops, aiming for quick price movements.
Conservative traders should wait for a breakout confirmation and a retest before executing trades.
Renko charts can help filter noise and confirm trend strength, making it easier to spot clean setups.
Is SOL/USD Gearing Up for a Big Move?
With SOL/USD sitting at a crucial level, the next move could be significant. Will we see a drop toward $125, or is a deeper pullback coming? What’s your take? Drop a comment below!
AUDUSD: How to Draw Quarter's Theory LevelsThe Quarter’s Theory , popularized by Ilian Yotov, is based on the idea that the market moves in predictable 25, 50, and 100-pip increments. When applied to AUD/USD, these psychological price levels become crucial for identifying potential reversals and breakouts.
Current Market Outlook
AUD/USD is currently trading near a key quarter level, indicating a potential reaction zone. The pair is hovering around 0.6500, a psychological price barrier that often serves as support or resistance. If buyers step in, the next upside target is 0.6750, while a break lower could send prices to 0.6250.
How to Trade It
Aggressive traders can look for confirmations near quarter levels and enter trades with tight stops.
Conservative traders might wait for a breakout and retest before committing.
Combining Quarter’s Theory with Renko charts can help filter out noise and confirm strong trends.
Will AUD/USD Hold or Break?
Quarter’s Theory gives traders a structured way to navigate price movements. Whether AUD/USD holds or breaks through the current quarter level will determine the next significant move. Are you watching these levels? Drop your thoughts below!
Learning Risk Management in Forex – A Step-by-Step ApproachAlthough I traded since 2004, but I actually started my trading learning journey in 2022. All what I did before was a waste of time.
I did another mistake in 2022. I wanted to teach myself technical analysis, and come up with a trading methodology that was suitable for me. That in itself is not a mistake, but starting with that aspect of trading was my mistake.
I realized that the first step should have been how to learn risk management in Forex trading.
As I continue my forex trading journey, I’ve realized that risk management is not just an add-on to a strategy—it’s the foundation of long-term survival. I’m sharing what I’m learning in the hopes that it helps others who are also figuring things out.
Here are a few key lessons I’ve come across:
Set a Fixed Risk Per Trade – Many experienced traders risk no more than 1 to 2 percent of their capital per trade. I’ve started applying this to keep losses manageable.
Define a Clear Stop-Loss Level – I used to place stops based on random numbers, but now I focus on market structure instead. This has made a difference in protecting my trades.
Use a Favorable Reward-to-Risk Ratio – I’ve been experimenting with a 1:2 ratio, meaning I aim for at least twice the reward compared to the risk. It helps keep my winners bigger than my losses.
Adjust Lot Size Based on Risk – This is something I’m paying more attention to. Calculating lot size based on risk per trade and stop-loss distance keeps things consistent.
Avoid Emotional Decision-Making – Sticking to a plan is harder than it sounds, but I’m learning that discipline is just as important as technical analysis.
I will write more about this and go deeper in each part of Forex trading risk management until I reach a level where I find myself set on my risk management plan.
I'm documenting more of my trading journey on my profile—feel free to check it out if you're interested.
How do you approach risk management in your trading? Let’s discuss in the comments.
AI crypto’s ultimate security shield or its biggest threat?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts,✌
Reading this educational material will require approximately 3 minutes of your time . For your convenience, I have summarized the key points in 3 concise lines at the end . I trust this information will prove to be insightful and valuable in enhancing your understanding of market and Bitcoin.
Personal Insight & Technical Analysis of Bitcoin:
📉 Bitcoin's price is nearing a crucial support level. If this level breaks, we could see at least an 8% decline, with the main downside target set at $87,000. The market’s reaction will be key to short-term price movements.
🚨 Bybit Faces a Massive $1.5 Billion Hack, Triggering a $5.5 Billion Capital Outflow 💸
Bybit, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, has recently suffered a catastrophic security breach , resulting in the theft of approximately $1.5 billion💰. The aftermath of this incident has led to a staggering $5.5 billion in total capital outflows 📉, as panicked investors rush to withdraw their funds. In response, Bybit is actively seeking emergency liquidity through loans 🏦 to fulfill withdrawal requests and has developed new software aimed at accessing frozen assets.
The attack, reportedly linked to North Korea’s Lazarus Group, marks one of the largest heists in cryptocurrency history 🚨. During this exploit, Bybit’s cold wallet—primarily holding Ethereum—was compromised, leading to substantial losses. Data from DeFiLlama 📊 indicates that Bybit-associated wallets saw their total assets plummet from approximately $16.9 billion to $11.2 billion following the breach. The exchange is currently conducting an internal investigation🕵️ to pinpoint the exact vulnerabilities that led to this unprecedented event.
👨💼 Bybit CEO’s Response and Emergency Measures
In a recent X (formerly Twitter) Spaces session🎙️, Bybit’s CEO, Ben Zhou, addressed the crisis, explaining that the company had immediately mobilized its team to process withdrawal requests and respond to user concerns. Zhou revealed that approximately 70% of customers' Ethereum holdings were lost in the attack, forcing Bybit to seek urgent loans to cover withdrawal demands.
However, he clarified that Ethereum was not the most withdrawn asset—instead, the majority of users opted to withdraw stable coins 💵, likely seeking a safer alternative amid uncertainty. Bybit has assured affected users that they will be fully compensated ✅, reinforcing the exchange’s commitment to customer protection despite the severity of the incident.
This event is now being regarded as the largest crypto theft in history ⏳, and potentially one of the most significant financial cybercrimes ever recorded.
🌍 The Broader Impact on the Cryptocurrency Market
The implications of such an attack extend far beyond Bybit itself. The erosion of investor confidence in cryptocurrency exchanges and blockchain security is a primary concern. Repeated breaches of this scale could deter both retail and institutional investors 📉, prompting increased regulatory scrutiny 🏛️ and possibly slowing the adoption of digital assets.
This raises an even more pressing question: What does the future hold for cybersecurity in the crypto space?🤔
🤖 The Role of Artificial Intelligence in Crypto: Savior or Threat?
While blockchain technology has long been touted as highly secure, the rise of sophisticated hacking techniques—potentially augmented by AI🧠—presents new challenges. This leads to some thought-provoking questions:
Could AI become a powerful tool for cybercriminals, making crypto networks more vulnerable than ever?
⚡At its peak capability, could AI potentially hack and dismantle the entire cryptocurrency ecosystem in an instant?
🛡️ Or, conversely, will AI evolve into an unparalleled security mechanism, capable of preventing such breaches altogether?
These are the questions that have been keeping me, as the writer, awake at night 🌙—questions without definitive answers. However, I have gathered some insights 📚 that may help illuminate the discussion.
📈 AI’s Expanding Role in Cryptocurrency Markets 💡
Artificial Intelligence is already playing a transformative role in cryptocurrency trading and security 🔄. Advanced AI-driven algorithms 🖥️ can analyze vast amounts of market data, identify trading patterns, and generate buy/sell signals with unprecedented accuracy 📊. This technology is increasingly assisting traders in making data-driven decisions, optimizing portfolio performance, and mitigating risks ⚖️.
Beyond trading, AI has limitless applications in the crypto industry 🚀. From automated fraud detection to risk management, AI-driven systems can continuously monitor blockchain transactions, identify suspicious activity, and enhance market transparency. AI can also be leveraged to optimize investment portfolios 📈 based on specific financial goals and risk tolerance.
⚔️ The Double-Edged Sword of AI in Crypto Security
While AI presents enormous potential for strengthening crypto security🛡️, it also introduces new existential risks. As AI continues to evolve, it could become powerful enough to exploit vulnerabilities at an unprecedented scale🚨, potentially threatening the very foundations of blockchain security.
Ultimately, only time will provide the answers⏳ to these pressing questions.
🌟 Will AI emerge as the ultimate protector of decentralized finance?
💥 Or will it become the very force that brings about its downfall?
The future of cryptocurrency security remains uncertain, but one thing is clear—the integration of AI into the crypto world is inevitable, and its consequences will shape the industry for years to come.
However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
🚨 Bitcoin is at a critical support level—if it breaks, we could see an 8% drop, targeting GETTEX:87K 📉. Meanwhile, Bybit got hacked for $1.5B, triggering $5.5B in withdrawals, with 70% of customer ETH lost, but they promise to compensate users. Now the big question—will AI be crypto’s ultimate security shield or its biggest threat ?
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
How to Count Weekly Waves Using RSI5A valid corrective wave occurs when:
- ABCDE
- ABC (A > C)
Using RSI 5 to count and filter noise: A wave is considered corrective when a reversal candle appears, and the next candle moves in the opposite direction or shows little movement. If the following candle continues in the previous direction and breaks the prior high/low immediately, it is still considered a continuation of the previous wave.
Tokenomics: How to avoid scams and fake projects?I've decided to write about the scams, Ponzi schemes, and fake projects in the crypto industry.
I'm a developer with 30+ years of experience in Web2, gaming (Unity, Unreal), and Web3. With this background, I can quickly spot fake projects riding a hot narrative that will never deliver or that mislead investors about their business model.
Meme Coins vs. Big Projects – Who's the Real Scam?
The common belief is that meme coins are scams. While some are, others have better tokenomics and fundamentals than major Layer 1 projects. On the other hand, big funded projects aren’t necessarily more honest—their scams are just more sophisticated, preying on investors' lack of technical knowledge.
Most Common Crypto Scams & Red Flags
1️⃣ Coins promising cheaper services using their own token 🚩
Many projects claim that using their token will make their services cheaper (e.g., Filecoin, Render). Why is this a scam?
If the coin succeeds and its price rises, then the service becomes more expensive—making it worse than the competition.
This contradicts their entire business model, proving it's unsustainable.
2️⃣ DeFi protocols without 1:1 backing 💰💀
Many bridges and lending protocols use their own token as collateral—this is a disaster waiting to happen (e.g., Thorchain, Thorswap).
As long as the token holds value, the system works.
But if FUD spreads, a bank run will wipe out liquidity and make the protocol insolvent—there’s no safety net.
3️⃣ Gaming projects claiming to use AI agents 🎮🤖 (It’s a lie!)
It is technically impossible to have AI-powered NPCs in a game at scale (e.g., Astra Nova).
AI agents require 12GB+ of VRAM per instance—you cannot have hundreds running in a game.
Many GameFi projects slap "AI" on their marketing because investors don’t know better.
🔍 How to spot a fake GameFi project:
No shadows on characters (e.g., BigTime, Valhalla) = outdated pre-2000s tech
"Arcade games" = nobody cares about them
League of Legends clones = LoL is 15+ years old!
Claims of 80+ devs = At EUROTLX:4K + per dev, that’s $380K/month in salaries—do the math!
Legit Meme Coins Can Be Better Than "Big Projects"
Example: CRYPTOCAP:PEPE 🐸
Despite being a meme, CRYPTOCAP:PEPE has better tokenomics than most of the top 200 projects.
✔️ No staking = No inflation (fixed supply, no endless token dilution).
✔️ No central ownership = No rug pulls (tokens distributed to the community).
✔️ Strong market makers (e.g., Wintermute).
✔️ No fake narrative—it’s just a meme, no BS.
✔️ Huge liquidity & low slippage on major exchanges.
Final Thoughts
🚫 Don’t judge a project by its marketing—check its fundamentals!
✅ Avoid inflationary projects
✅ Avoid projects with too many insiders
✅ Avoid narrative-based scams that sell you fairy tales
💡 Hope you found this post insightful!
DYOR! 🧐
Leap Ahead with a Dynamic Setup: Trading with Andrew’s PitchforkThe Leap Trading Competition: A Chance to Trade Micro Euro Futures
TradingView’s "The Leap" Trading Competition provides an opportunity for traders to apply their futures trading strategies in a competitive environment. Participants can trade select CME Group futures contracts, including Micro Euro Futures (M6E).
This article presents a structured trade setup using Andrew’s Pitchfork, a technical tool that helps define potential trend direction and breakout levels. The setup involves two intersecting pitchforks near a key UFO support level, signaling the possibility of either an uptrend continuation or a confirmation of a new downtrend.
Understanding Andrew’s Pitchfork and Market Structure
Andrew’s Pitchfork is a technical analysis tool used to identify trend channels by plotting three parallel lines from a major price swing. The tool helps traders anticipate support, resistance, and breakout levels based on median lines.
In this setup, two pitchforks define opposing market structures. The green pitchfork represents an uptrend, suggesting that price could continue higher. The red pitchfork represents a developing downtrend, indicating a possible reversal. The intersection of these pitchforks at a key UFO support level marks an important decision point for the market.
The Dynamic Trade Setup: Long and Short Scenarios
In a long trade scenario, entry is confirmed if price breaks above the Upper Median Line (UML) of the red pitchfork. The target for the trade is the Median Line (ML) of the green pitchfork, representing trend continuation. A stop loss is placed below entry at a distance that ensures a minimum 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
In a short trade scenario, entry is confirmed if price breaks below the Lower Median Line (LML) of the green pitchfork. The target for the trade is the Median Line (ML) of the red pitchfork, confirming further downside movement. A stop loss is placed above entry at a distance that maintains a minimum 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
Because the UML, LML, and ML levels change dynamically with each bar, breakout levels and targets must be adjusted accordingly. If price remains inside the pitchfork structure, the setup remains neutral until confirmation occurs.
Contract Specifications and Margin Requirements
Euro FX Futures (6E) details:
Full contract specs: 6E Contract Specifications – CME Group
Contract size: €125,000
Tick size: 0.00005 per EUR/USD ($6.25 per tick)
Margin requirements depend on broker conditions and market volatility, currently around $2,600 per contract.
Micro EUR/USD Futures (M6E) details:
Full contract specs: M6E Contract Specifications – CME Group
Contract size: €12,500 (1/10th of 6E)
Tick size: 0.0001 per EUR/USD ($1.25 per tick)
Lower margin requirements provide access to traders with smaller accounts, currently around $260 per contract.
M6E offers a lower-cost alternative to 6E, making it a useful instrument for adjusting position sizes and managing risk effectively. Traders should consider market conditions and leverage when determining position sizes.
Execution and Trade Management
Before executing a trade, price must confirm a breakout by fully breaking above UML for long trades or below LML for short trades. Additional confirmation through volume trends, momentum indicators, or candlestick patterns may help validate the move.
If price does not confirm the breakout, the setup remains invalid. If price re-enters the pitchfork channel, traders should reassess market structure before taking a new position. Stop losses should be maintained at levels that align with a structured risk-reward plan.
Conclusion
Andrew’s Pitchfork provides a structured approach for trading trend continuation and reversals. This setup allows for both long and short breakout opportunities, depending on how price reacts at key pitchfork levels.
For traders in The Leap Trading Competition, this setup highlights the importance of disciplined execution, waiting for confirmation, and managing risk effectively when trading futures.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
The Crypto Market’s True PowerLet’s shift focus from price volatility to the foundational driver of crypto’s value: network effects. While traditional markets rely on centralized moats (e.g., Facebook’s user base, Visa’s payment rails), crypto’s network effects are decentralized, programmable, and inherently disruptive. This isn’t just theory, it’s a blueprint for identifying asymmetric opportunities.
The Strategic Depth of Network Effects:
- Bitcoin’s Security Flywheel: Metcalfe’s Law quantifies network value as the square of its users, but Bitcoin adds a critical layer: security. Each incremental miner strengthens its Proof-of-Work consensus, exponentially raising the cost of a 51% attack. This isn’t adoption, it’s antifragility.
- Ethereum’s Developer Ecosystem: Ethereum’s dominance isn’t rooted in first-mover advantage alone. Its network effect hinges on developer density. Every new dApp (Uniswap, Aave) attracts liquidity, users, and complementary protocols, creating a self-reinforcing ecosystem. Traditional platforms can’t replicate this composability.
The Uncharted Risk-Reward Dynamic:
- Forks as Network Experiments: Unlike closed systems, crypto’s open-source code allows forks (e.g., Ethereum Classic, Bitcoin Cash) to test value divergence. This isn’t fragmentation, it’s Darwinian market validation.
- Protocol Upgrades as Catalysts: Events like Ethereum’s Merge recalibrate incentives overnight. Leaders must monitor developer momentum and governance alignment; missteps here aren’t setbacks, they’re existential threats.
Why This Matters: Network effects in crypto aren’t linear, they’re recursive. Prioritize ecosystems where liquidity, developer activity, and user growth compound. These are the battlegrounds where 10x returns emerge.
🛠️ Interoperability: The Strategic Race to Unify Crypto’s Fragmented Landscape
The future of blockchain isn’t monocultural, it’s a multi-chain ecosystem. However, interoperability remains crypto’s Gordian Knot. Solving it isn’t technical minutiae; it’s a trillion-dollar opportunity.
The Strategic Challenge:
- Siloed Blockchains = Friction: Bridging assets between chains remains fraught with risk (e.g., Wormhole’s $320M exploit). This isn’t a UX problem, it’s a structural barrier to institutional adoption.
- The Stakes: Interoperability is TCP/IP for Web3. The protocol that standardizes cross-chain communication will capture the foundational layer of crypto’s value stack.
The Contenders:
- Polkadot’s Parachain Model: Auctioning blockchain “slots” to prioritize scalability and security.
- Cosmos’ IBC Protocol: Enabling sovereign chains to interoperate without sacrificing autonomy.
- Layer 2s as Mini-Ecosystems: Ethereum’s rollups (Arbitrum, Optimism) are scaling vertically, but horizontal integration remains unsolved.
The Emerging Frontier:
- Cross-Chain DAOs: Governance systems managing assets across Ethereum, Solana, and Avalanche could redefine organizational infrastructure. This isn’t incremental, it’s revolutionary.
Strategic Insight: Interoperability isn’t a technical checkbox, it’s a power struggle for crypto’s architectural control. Bet on protocols with modular design, robust security audits, and developer traction.
⚖️ Regulatory Arbitrage: Navigating Crypto’s Geopolitical Chessboard
Regulation isn’t a compliance hurdle, it’s a strategic lever reshaping crypto’s geographic and economic frontiers.
The Global Divergence:
- U.S. Uncertainty: The SEC’s “regulation by enforcement” creates a chilling effect. Ripple’s case is precedent-setting: Is crypto a security, currency, or a new asset class? Clarity will unlock, or cripple, innovation.
- EU’s MiCA Framework: While providing regulatory certainty, its stringent stablecoin rules risk stifling DeFi’s permissionless ethos.
- Asia’s Pragmatism: Post-China ban, hubs like Singapore and Dubai are courting crypto enterprises, balancing innovation with oversight.
The Existential Threat: CBDCs
- Central Bank Digital Currencies (e.g., China’s digital yuan) aren’t just digitized fiat, they’re tools for surveillance and monetary control. Crypto’s response? Decentralized governance. Wyoming’s DAO LLC law and decentralized identity solutions (e.g., ENS) are early plays to codify self-sovereignty.
Why This Demands Attention: Regulatory outcomes will determine whether crypto remains a tool for individual empowerment or becomes an instrument of the legacy financial system.
💥 DeFi’s Silent Crisis: The Smart Contract Risk Mispricing
DeFi’s $50B+ ecosystem hinges on one assumption: smart contracts are secure. The data suggests otherwise.
The Reality:
- $1.5B Lost in 2023: Exploits like Euler Finance and Curve’s reentrancy hack highlight systemic fragility. Unlike TradFi, there’s no FDIC insurance, losses are final.
- The Institutional Barrier: Until smart contract risk is mitigated, pension funds and corporates will remain sidelined.
The Mitigation Race:
- Audits ≠ Safety: Firms like CertiK and OpenZeppelin provide baseline checks, but bugs persist.
- Insurance’s Scaling Problem: Nexus Mutual and Cover Protocol lack capacity to underwrite large-scale DeFi.
- Formal Verification: Projects like Chainlink’s Proof of Reserve and algorithmic audits (e.g., Certora) are emerging as non-negotiables for enterprise adoption.
Strategic Takeaway: DeFi’s next phase requires institutional-grade security infrastructure. Allocate capital to protocols prioritizing formal verification and real-time monitoring.
🔮 Quantum Computing: Crypto’s Unspoken Existential Risk
While markets obsess over Fed rates, a stealthier threat looms: quantum decryption.
The Threat Matrix:
- Breaking ECC: Quantum computers could crack Bitcoin’s elliptic-curve cryptography within a decade, exposing private keys.
- Response Timeline: Post-quantum algorithms (e.g., NIST’s Kyber) are in development, but blockchain migration will be chaotic.
The Strategic Play:
Ethereum’s quantum-resistant R&D and privacy chains (e.g., Monero, Zcash) are hedging this risk early. Projects ignoring quantum preparedness risk obsolescence.
Why This Can’t Be Ignored: Quantum risk isn’t hypothetical, it’s actuarial. Leaders must pressure-test portfolios against this scenario.
📊 Tokenomics: Engineering Incentives for Sustainable Growth
Tokenomics isn’t speculative jargon, it’s the economic backbone of crypto projects.
The Levers of Value:
- Supply Dynamics: Bitcoin’s halving cycle vs. Ethereum’s EIP-1559 burn, scarcity narratives matter.
- Governance Centralization: UNI and COMP holders wield power, but low voter turnout risks plutocracy.
- MEV’s Hidden Tax: Front-running bots extract SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B + annually from DeFi users. Solutions like Flashbots MEV-Share aim to democratize this value.
The Winning Formula:
Projects like Curve (veToken model) demonstrate how aligned incentives bootstrap liquidity. Conversely, misaligned tokenomics (e.g., Terra’s UST) trigger death spirals.
Strategic Imperative: Scrutinize token distribution, utility, and governance. Sustainable models prioritize long-term holders over mercenary capital.
🌍 Crypto’s Macro Thesis: Hedge Against Fiat Instability
Crypto’s correlation with equities is a red herring. Its true value emerges during systemic crises.
The Data-Driven Case:
- Geopolitical Hedging: Russia and Venezuela’s hyperinflation drove P2P Bitcoin adoption.
- Inflation Response: While BTC’s 2022 performance disappointed “digital gold” proponents, its 2023 rebound amid banking collapses (SVB, Credit Suisse) reaffirmed its safe-haven narrative.
The Long Game:
As central banks test CBDCs and fiscal instability grows, crypto’s role as a hedge against systemic trust erosion will intensify.
✍️ Crypto’s Core Thesis: A New Economic Primitive
Crypto isn’t an asset class, it’s a foundational shift in how value is created, governed, and exchanged.
The Vision:
- Programmable Money: Smart contracts automate value transfer (e.g., streaming salaries via Sablier).
- Decentralized Governance: DAOs like MakerDAO and Aragon are rewriting corporate playbooks.
The Reality Check:
Crypto is a mirror of human coordination, fraught with scams, inefficiencies, and brilliance. The winners will be those who harness its primitives to solve real-world problems, not speculate on narratives.
Final Note: Leaders who dismiss crypto as a speculative toy will miss the forest for the trees. This is the rebuild of the internet’s infrastructure, participation isn’t optional; it’s strategic.
Understanding Volume In TradingVolume is one of the most crucial yet often overlooked aspects of trading. It represents the total number of shares, contracts, or lots traded in a given period and provides insight into the strength of price movements. By analyzing volume effectively, traders can identify trends, confirm breakouts, and detect potential reversals before they happen.
Unlike price action alone, volume adds a critical layer of confirmation. A price move supported by high volume is more likely to be sustainable, while a move on low volume may indicate weakness or manipulation. Institutions, hedge funds, and large market players leave footprints through volume, and understanding these patterns can give traders an edge.
Volume Types 🎯
Volume
Buy/Sell Volume
Delta Volume
Cumulative Delta Volume
Relative Volume
Cumulative Relative Volume
Open Interest
Volume Profile
01. Volume 🔥
In trading, volume refers to the total quantity of assets traded during a specific time frame, whether they are stocks, futures contracts, options, or currencies. It measures the activity level of a security and provides insights into the strength or weakness of price movements.
Key aspects:
Market sentiment: High volume often indicates strong interest in a security and can signal the strength of a price move. Conversely, low volume may suggest a lack of interest and can indicate that price movements may not be sustainable.
Liquidity: High volume generally indicates better liquidity, meaning it is easier to enter and exit positions without significantly impacting the asset’s price. Low volume may lead to higher slippage and greater price volatility.
Volume spikes: Extremely high volume after a prolonged trend may signal the end of that trend (blow-off tops or panic selling bottoms).
Market types: Volume can vary by market type. In stock markets, it is usually reported in shares. In futures and options, it is reported in contracts, while in Forex, it is often measured by tick volume (the number of price changes).
Impact on market orders & liquidity
High Volume = Lower Slippage: Large orders can be executed more efficiently in high-volume environments.
Low Volume = Higher Volatility: Thin order books in low-volume markets can lead to erratic price swings and wider bid-ask spreads.
02. Buy/Sell Volume 💹
Buy volume and sell volume are key metrics that indicate the level of buying and selling activity in a market. They help traders assess the strength of price movements and market sentiment.
Buy Volume
Buy volume represents the number of shares, contracts, or lots traded at the ask price (or higher). It occurs when buyers are willing to pay the seller’s asking price, indicating buying pressure and potential bullish sentiment.
How buy volume is measured:
Transactions that execute at the ask price are counted as buy volume.
In some cases, aggressive market orders (where buyers take liquidity) are considered buy volume.
Buy volume is often compared to total volume to determine demand strength.
Sell Volume
Sell volume represents the number of shares, contracts, or lots traded at the bid price (or lower). It occurs when sellers accept the buyer’s bid price, indicating selling pressure and potential bearish sentiment.
How sell volume is measured:
Transactions executed at the bid price are counted as sell volume.
Market sell orders (where sellers take liquidity) contribute to sell volume.
Higher sell volume relative to buy volume suggests downward price pressure.
03. Delta Volume ✨
Delta Volume (often referred to as Volume Delta) is a key order flow metric that measures the difference between buy volume and sell volume over a given period.
Calculation
Delta Volume is defined as: Delta Volume = Buy Volume − Sell Volume
Where:
Buy Volume is the total volume transacted at the ask price (aggressive buying).
Sell Volume is the total volume transacted at the bid price (aggressive selling).
Interpretation
Positive Delta (Buy Volume > Sell Volume): Indicates more aggressive buying, suggesting bullish momentum.
Negative Delta (Sell Volume > Buy Volume): Indicates more aggressive selling, suggesting bearish momentum.
Near Zero Delta: Indicates a balance between buyers and sellers, often seen in range-bound markets.
04. Cumulative Delta Volume ⚡
Cumulative Delta Volume (CVD) is an advanced order flow metric that tracks the cumulative sum of Delta Volume over time.
Calculation
CVD t =CVD t − 1 + (Buy Volume − Sell Volume)
Where:
Buy Volume = Volume transacted at the ask price (aggressive buying).
Sell Volume = Volume transacted at the bid price (aggressive selling).
CVD*t = Current cumulative delta value.
CVD\*{t-1} = Previous cumulative delta value.
Interpretation
Rising CVD (Positive Delta Accumulation): Buyers are dominating, indicating bullish momentum.
Falling CVD (Negative Delta Accumulation): Sellers are in control, signaling bearish momentum.
Flat or Divergent CVD: A divergence between price and CVD can indicate potential reversals or absorption by large traders.
05. Relative Volume 📉
Relative Volume (RVOL) is a key trading metric that measures current trading volume compared to its historical average over a specified period. It helps traders assess whether a security is experiencing unusual trading activity and provides insights into liquidity, volatility, and potential price movements.
Calculation
Relative Volume is typically expressed as a ratio:
RVOL = Current Volume / Average Volume Over A Given Period
Where:
Current Volume = The total shares/contracts traded in the current period (e.g., 1-minute, 5-minute, daily).
Average Volume = The average volume over a past period (e.g., 10-day average, 50-day average).
A higher RVOL (>1) means the security is trading at above-average volume, while a lower RVOL (<1) indicates below-average activity.
Interpretation
RVOL > 2: Indicates significantly higher-than-normal volume, often linked to news events, earnings reports, or breakout trends.
RVOL around 1: Suggests normal trading activity with no unusual volume spikes.
RVOL < 1: Indicates low trading activity, which may lead to weak price movements and lower liquidity.
06. Cumulative Relative Volume 💥
Cumulative Relative Volume (CRVOL) is an advanced volume metric that tracks the total volume traded throughout a session relative to its historical average at the same time of day.
Calculation
Cumulative Relative Volume compares the ongoing total volume at a given point in time to the average cumulative volume at that same time over a historical period.
CRVOL = Cumulative Volume at Time X / Average Cumulative Volume at Time X over N periods
Where:
Cumulative Volume at Time X = The total volume traded from market open up to time X.
Average Cumulative Volume at Time X = The average total volume at that point in time over a selected historical period (e.g., 10 days).
N periods = The number of historical sessions used for comparison.
A CRVOL > 1 indicates higher-than-normal trading activity, while CRVOL < 1 suggests lower-than-average activity.
Interpretation
CRVOL > 1.5: Significantly higher trading activity than usual, often linked to news events, earnings reports, or institutional participation.
CRVOL ≈ 1: Normal trading volume, suggesting typical market conditions.
CRVOL < 0.8: Below-average trading volume, often indicating low liquidity and reduced volatility.
07. Open Interest 📊
Open Interest (OI) is a key metric in derivatives markets (futures and options) that represents the total number of outstanding contracts that have not been settled or closed. It is an important indicator of market activity, liquidity, and trader commitment.
How it works?
Open Interest increases or decreases based on the interaction between buyers and sellers:
OI Increases: When a new buyer and a new seller enter the market, creating a fresh contract.
OI Decreases: When an existing buyer and seller close their positions (either by offsetting trades or expiration).
OI Unchanged: If an existing contract is transferred between traders (one trader closes, another opens an equal position).
Interpretation
Rising OI + Rising Price: Suggests strong buying interest, indicating a bullish trend with conviction.
Rising OI + Falling Price: Indicates strong selling pressure, confirming a bearish trend.
Falling OI + Rising Price: Signals a short-covering rally or weakening trend, as traders close positions.
Falling OI + Falling Price: Suggests a lack of commitment to further declines, indicating potential trend exhaustion.
08. Volume Profile 🎢
Volume Profile is a powerful market analysis tool that plots trading volume at different price levels over a specific period. Unlike traditional volume indicators, which show volume per time interval, Volume Profile reveals where the most buying and selling activity occurred, helping traders identify key support and resistance levels, market structure, and potential price reactions.
Components
Volume Profile is displayed as a histogram on the vertical axis, showing the amount of volume traded at each price level. It is built using tick data or intraday price action and is often calculated for different timeframes (daily, weekly, monthly, or custom sessions).
Key components of Volume Profile include:
Point of Control (POC): The price level where the highest volume was traded, acting as a major support/resistance zone.
High Volume Nodes (HVN): Price areas with heavy trading activity, indicating consolidation zones where price is likely to stabilize.
Low Volume Nodes (LVN): Price areas with little trading activity, often leading to fast price movements as there is little resistance or support.
Value Area (VA): The price range where 70% of the total volume was traded, representing the "fair value" zone of the market.
Value Area High (VAH) & Value Area Low (VAL): The upper and lower boundaries of the Value Area, acting as dynamic support and resistance levels.
Types
Session Volume Profile: Analyzes volume for a single trading session (daily or intraday).
Composite Volume Profile: Covers a longer period (weeks, months, or custom-defined ranges).
Fixed Range Volume Profile: Analyzes volume for a specific price range or custom-selected area.
Developing Volume Profile: Updates dynamically throughout the trading session to show real-time changes in volume distribution.
Interpretation
POC as a Magnet: Price tends to revisit the POC due to high liquidity and market agreement at that level.
Breakouts from Value Area: If price breaks above VAH with strong volume, it signals a bullish trend; if it breaks below VAL, it signals a bearish trend.
Reaction at LVN: Price moves quickly through LVN areas but may reverse or stall when approaching HVN.
Rejections at VAH/VAL: If price rejects VAH, it may return to POC or VAL, and vice versa.
09. Indicators 📦
Volume indicators help traders gauge market strength by analyzing the number of shares or contracts traded.
Volume (Default) – Displays the total volume traded per candle, often color-coded based on price movement.
Volume Profile (Fixed Range, Session, Visible Range) – Shows volume distribution across price levels to identify support and resistance zones.
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) – A dynamic support/resistance line that calculates the average price based on volume.
On-Balance Volume (OBV) – Measures cumulative volume flow to detect price trends and confirm breakouts.
Money Flow Index (MFI) – A volume-weighted RSI-like oscillator that identifies overbought and oversold conditions.
Volume Delta – Measures the difference between buying (ask) and selling (bid) volume.
Cumulative Delta Volume – Tracks the cumulative sum of volume delta over time to assess buying/selling pressure.
Relative Volume (RVOL) – Compares current volume to historical averages to highlight unusual trading activity.
Key Takeaways 📋
Volume is a crucial market indicator that reflects trading activity and liquidity, often preceding price movements.
High volume confirms trends and breakouts, while low volume can signal weak or false moves.
Volume Profile identifies key support and resistance zones, with High Volume Nodes (HVNs) acting as strong barriers and Low Volume Nodes (LVNs) allowing fast price movement.
Relative Volume (RVOL) highlights unusual market activity, while Delta Volume and Cumulative Delta reveal buying and selling pressure.
VWAP serves as a dynamic support/resistance tool commonly used by institutional traders.
Bullish & Bearish Reversal Divergence Trading in Forex🔍 Bullish & Bearish Reversal Divergence Trading in Forex: A Detailed Overview
Divergence is a powerful concept in technical analysis — it helps spot potential trend reversals and momentum shifts. Let’s dive into the details with clear strategies and some visual flair! 🚀
🧠 What is Divergence?
Divergence happens when price action and a technical indicator (like RSI, MACD, or Stochastic) move in opposite directions. This hints that the current trend is losing strength and a possible reversal is coming.
📈 Types of Divergence
🐂 Bullish Reversal Divergence (Buy Signal)
Price: Makes lower lows ⬇️
Indicator: Makes higher lows ⬆️
Meaning: Sellers are losing momentum; buyers might take over soon.
Signal: Potential uptrend reversal ahead.
🔑 Key Confirmation Tools:
Support zone bounce 🛑
Bullish candlestick patterns (Hammer, Engulfing) 🕯️
Increased buying volume 📊
💡 Example Setup:
RSI makes a higher low while price drops lower — prepare for a long (buy) position.
🐻 Bearish Reversal Divergence (Sell Signal)
Price: Makes higher highs ⬆️
Indicator: Makes lower highs ⬇️
Meaning: Buyers are losing strength; sellers could take control.
Signal: Potential downtrend reversal ahead.
🔑 Key Confirmation Tools:
Resistance zone rejection 🚧
Bearish candlestick patterns (Shooting Star, Engulfing) 🌑
Increased selling volume 📉
💡 Example Setup:
MACD makes a lower high while price pushes higher — prepare for a short (sell) position.
🛠️ Best Indicators for Divergence Trading
RSI (Relative Strength Index) – Tracks overbought/oversold conditions. 📊
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) – Measures momentum shifts. 💥
Stochastic Oscillator – Identifies trend strength and reversals. 🎢
🎯 Divergence Trading Strategies
1️⃣ Classic Divergence Strategy
Spot bullish or bearish divergence. 🔍
Confirm with support/resistance levels. 🧱
Wait for a reversal candlestick pattern (like a Doji, Engulfing, or Pin Bar). 🕯️
Enter trade with a tight stop loss below support (for buys) or above resistance (for sells). 🎯
2️⃣ Divergence + Trendline Break Strategy
Draw a trendline following the current trend. 📐
Spot divergence as the trend loses strength. 🚨
Wait for a trendline breakout for extra confirmation. 💥
Enter trade on the break and retest of the trendline. 💯
3️⃣ Divergence + Moving Average Strategy
Spot divergence between price and indicator. 📉
Use a moving average (MA) like the 50 EMA or 200 EMA to confirm the trend shift. 📈
Buy when price crosses above the MA after bullish divergence. 💚
Sell when price crosses below the MA after bearish divergence. ❤️
⚠️ Common Mistakes to Avoid
🚫 Ignoring confirmation: Always wait for candle closes or breakouts.
🚫 Forcing divergence: Only trade when divergence is clear.
🚫 Skipping risk management: Use a stop loss and position sizing.
🚫 Overtrading small timeframes: Higher timeframes (4H, Daily) offer more reliable signals.
Knowledge is not enough to be a successful traderWhile having strong knowledge and an effective strategy is essential for success, they alone are not enough to become a profitable trader. It is important to integrate other key aspects, such as:
Risk Management
Capital Protection: Adopt strict risk management by using stop-loss orders and limiting your capital exposure on each trade.
Diversification: Spread your investments across multiple assets to reduce the impact of potential losses on any single position.
Emotional Mastery and Managing Greed
Stress Control: Remain calm in the face of market fluctuations to avoid impulsive decisions
Discipline: Stick to your trading plan even during periods of high volatility.
Managing Greed: Greed can lead to taking undue risks. It is crucial to remain objective and not be swayed by the lure of profit, which could compromise rigorous risk management.
Patience and Perseverance
Patience: Waiting for the right opportunities is essential. Rushing into trades can lead you to enter the market under unfavorable conditions.
Perseverance: Trading is a continuous learning process. Learn from your mistakes and persevere, even after losses, to adjust and improve your strategy.
Adaptability and Continuous Learning
Market Evolution: Market conditions are constantly changing. A profitable trader knows how to adjust their strategy based on new trends and information.
Feedback: Keeping a trading journal to analyze your performance, identify your mistakes, and progress over the long term is fundamental.
By combining these skills – strict risk management, emotional control (including managing greed), as well as patience and perseverance – you give yourself the best chance to achieve sustainable success in the financial markets.
MINDSET: Trading is The Only True Path to Financial FreedomFinancial freedom—it’s the goal everyone chases but few ever reach. The world sells you a million ways to get rich: grinding a 9-to-5, climbing the corporate ladder, starting a business, investing in real estate. But the truth? Trading is the only path that offers complete financial autonomy. No bosses, no employees, no overhead—just you, the markets, and the ability to scale your wealth indefinitely.
The Illusion of Traditional Wealth-Building
People spend decades in careers that leave them dependent on someone else’s paycheck. Even business owners and investors face external risks—regulations, economic downturns, and unpredictable market shifts that limit their control.
Trading, however, is a pure meritocracy. The market doesn’t care about your background, degrees, or connections. It rewards skill, discipline, and adaptability.
Why Trading Stands Alone
Unlimited Earning Potential – Unlike a job, where your salary is capped, trading offers the ability to scale indefinitely.
Complete Time Freedom – Once profitable, you decide when and how much you work. A few well-placed trades can replace weeks of grinding at a traditional job.
No Middlemen – You don’t need clients, customers, or employees. Your success is fully in your hands.
Geographical Independence – As long as you have an internet connection, you can trade from anywhere in the world.
The Harsh Reality: Trading Isn’t Easy
Now, let’s be real—most traders fail because they treat it like a lottery ticket instead of a skill.
They chase signals, blow accounts, and then blame the markets. But those who master the psychological and technical aspects of trading gain something no job or business can provide: total financial sovereignty.
Are You Ready to Take Control?
Trading is the only financial vehicle where you set the rules and have the power to create generational wealth—without relying on an employer, a system, or a customer base.
The real question is: Are you willing to put in the work to claim that freedom?
Let’s talk in the comments.
#TradingFreedom #NoMore9to5 #FinancialIndependence
THE FEAR IS REAL. MAKE USE OF IT FOR THE LONG TERM!Disclaimer: The following article is not investment advice. It is solely prepared for educational purposes, specifically regarding the Indian markets and aimed at people interested in long-term investments. The numbers mentioned reflect the data available at the time of writing.
Hello people,
We are witnessing significant movements in the Indian markets, with news of small-cap stocks entering a ‘bear market’, mid-caps falling nearly 16%, and the major index, NIFTY 50, down about 11% since September. This has led to a decline in SIPs (by 109%) and raised questions about the resilience of common Indian equity investors. SMID stocks have performed the worst since the Covid crash, and various narratives are circulating, such as ‘BUY THE DIPS’ and others equally discouraging equity investment altogether.
Regardless of these narratives, it is evident that during substantial declines or bear markets, even fundamentally strong stocks—those suitable for long-term investments—can be purchased at discounted prices. These are the stocks widely considered the right choice and can be made use of for this phase of the market according to proficient professionals. The question remains: which are they?
This article highlights a few of these stocks based on my analysis. I share them to raise awareness, especially for those looking for such opportunities, but I am NOT advising you to buy them. What makes this content relevant is that it comes from someone who has been monitoring the market out of initiative, from a genuine interest over the past 3-4 years. So let's begin.
My top pick stock ticking all the boxes is Mahanagar Gas . It has impressive financials and is a fundamentally strong mid-cap company. It's both a value stock and a good growth stock (two common investing styles are value investing and growth-based investing). The stock's P/E ratio is 12.6, indicating it might be undervalued. The current price is ₹1,343, and the intrinsic value (according to Screener) is ₹1,479. As a mid-cap stock, it holds significant growth potential with a medium risk level—lower than that of small caps. It’s currently priced at a 31% discount.
Next I see Indus towers . Again good fundamentally, making it a good pick for long-term investors. As a large-cap stock, its growth potential is less than mid or small caps, but it’s still solid and carries lower risk of all. Its P/E ratio is 9.18, indicating potential undervaluation. However, one downside is that although its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.75 (which is good), its enterprise value exceeds the market cap, possibly suggesting high debt or overvaluation (which I doubt). Additionally, promoter holdings have decreased by 3% in the last quarter.
Among the other options are Godawari Power and Andhra Petrochemicals . Godawari Power is a solid mid-cap stock, with one exception: its 10-year sales growth or compounded revenue growth does not exceed 10% over the last 10 years, a key criterion for long-term investments. However, its 7-year sales growth surpasses 10%, which is positive. With a P/E ratio of 14.5 and a 31% discount from its previous high, it seems undervalued and carries medium risk, with the potential for high growth.
Last option is Andhra petrochemicals which unlike the others on this list, is a small-cap stock, making it suitable for those with a high-risk appetite. It has strong fundamentals and meets all the criteria required for long-term investment. The current price of ₹58.7 is below its book value of ₹64.8, and the intrinsic value is ₹154, indicating an attractive investment. It’s also interesting to note that when the price-to-book ratio is below 1 (P/BV < 1), it’s often considered an amazing deal .But again, this is a small-cap stock, so proceed with caution.
Criteria Used
All the stocks listed here have passed my evaluation based on four key areas required for a growing business: profitability, liquidity, leverage, and operational efficiency. Other factors considered include undervaluation, debt-to-equity ratio, and so on.
Going forward, I am aware that there is a possibility of the markets falling further, which cannot be ignored. The narrative around March 20th and its significance in the market cycle is still present, and I would encourage caution. For those hesitant to invest now, I suggest keeping an eye on the charts. Wait for a solid bullish signal to appear, and confirm it with USOIL and USDINR charts. These are crucial for concluding about the trend of our markets.
Additionally, perform a reality check on your investments: assess where your money is allocated, determine reasonable conservative targets, and evaluate the time frame for returns, apart from the projections made by portfolio managers and fund managers and their years of experiences too. Stats such as NIFTY MIDCAP 100 index giving negative returns from 2008 to 2014, is evident by directly observing the charts itself.
I hope this information was valuable to you. Don't lose faith in the markets. Happy investing!
“Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy only when others are fearful.” – Warren Buffet