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Mastering Volatile Markets: Why the Trend is Your Best Friend█ Mastering Volatile Markets Part 4: Why the Trend is Your Best Friend In Part 1 , we covered reducing position size. In Part 2 , we explored liquidity and execution strategies. In Part 3 , we discussed the power of patience over FOMO. Now,we're diving into one of the most important principles of all — especially in volatile, fast-moving markets: Follow the Trend. Trust the Trend. Trade With the Trend. In wild markets like these, everything changes quickly. Indicators print overbought or oversold conditions well before the market even thinks about reversing. Divergences can keep stacking up while the price continues trending for another 300, 500, or even 1000 points. Why? Volatility + Liquidity conditions = Extended trending behavior. When liquidity is thin, and volatility is high, strong trends tend to last longer than usual: Breakouts run further. Breakdowns fall deeper. And counter-trend trades? They're often a fast ticket to losses. █ What Pro Traders Know Better Than Anyone: In volatile markets, trend-following isn't optional — it's survival. But wait, it is obvious that trends aren't perfect straight lines. So how can one even realistically “follow” a trend, especially in volatile markets. Well, the key is to expect the unexpected. Experienced traders trade logically, we expect pullbacks, fakeouts, stop hunts, snapbacks and/or channel breaks. In fact, we prepare for them. It is detrimental to assume the trend is over just because of these moves. Most of these are liquidity traps, not real reversals. █ Here's What Pro Traders Do Differently: ⚪ They Identify the Core Trend Direction Pro traders use price structure, trendlines, moving averages, VWAP , or higher timeframe levels to identify the trend direction. Once identified, every trade respects the trend. Let me explain with an example. → Uptrend Identification: Say you notice that the price of Gold (XAUUSD) has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows. What should you do? You use the 100-period moving average (MA) and see that price is staying above it, indicating an uptrend. You wait for price to pull back to the MA, giving you a low-risk entry to join the uptrend rather than chasing the trend. → Downtrend Identification: In a downtrend, USD/JPY keeps making lower highs and lower lows. You observe the 100-period moving average pointing down. This is your cue to look for short entries , avoiding countertrend buys that could trap you. ⚪ They ONLY Look for Entries at Key Trend Channel Levels Professional traders don’t chase the price or try to catch every move. Instead, they patiently wait for price to return to key areas within a well-defined trend channel , either the upper boundary (in a downtrend) or the lower boundary (in an uptrend). → In an uptrend: Pro traders draw a trend channel based on the price move. When price pulls back to the lower boundary of the channel (often aligning with demand zones), they start looking for long entries, aiming to trade with the trend and target a new high. → In a downtrend: The same logic applies, but in reverse. Price pulls back to the upper boundary of the channel (supply area), offering a clean short opportunity to continue with the trend and target a new low. But here’s what separates pros from amateurs: → They expect fakeouts, spikes , and temporary breaks beyond the trend channel — especially in volatile conditions. → They don’t panic when the price briefly moves outside the channel. Instead, they wait for confirmation signals (like a rejection candle, break of structure, or momentum shift) before entering. → This gives them both a logical entry point and a favorable risk-reward setup — aligning with the larger trend direction while staying protected if the trend fails. ⚪ They Treat Countertrend Moves as Opportunities to Enter WITH the Trend When a countertrend move happens, pro traders see it as an opportunity to enter with the prevailing trend, rather than trying to catch a reversal. → Counter-Trend Move in an Uptrend: Let's say S&P 500 is in a strong uptrend, and it experiences a sharp pullback of 5%. While many retail traders panic and try to short the market, pro traders see this as a buying opportunity at a lower price, anticipating the trend will continue after the correction. → Counter-Trend Move in a Downtrend: For Gold (XAU/USD) , if the price falls sharply from $1,900 to $1,850 and then retraces back to $1,875 (a previous support-turned-resistance level), pros see this as an opportunity to sell into the trend rather than buying into what could be a false recovery. ⚪ They Accept That Trends Can Look "Overbought" or "Oversold" for a Long Time In volatile, trending conditions, RSI can stay above 70 for hours or even days, and divergences can build for a long time without price reacting. → RSI Above 70 in an Uptrend: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) rallies from $40,000 to $60,000. Despite RSI being above 70 for a few days, pro traders don't fight the trend because momentum is strong. Instead, they look for a pullback to the 100-period MA for a safer entry. → Divergence in Downtrend: The EUR/USD shows a bearish trend , but the RSI starts to build a divergence as the price keeps making lower lows. Pro traders ignore the divergence because the trend is still strong. They wait for a clear break of the trendline or confirmation that price has reversed before considering a long trade. █ Summary of Part 4 — Trend is Your Best Friend You can't control how far a trend will run…but you can control whether you're with or fighting against it. And trust me, fighting a strong trend in a volatile market is a battle retail traders rarely win. Here’s what you should take away from this article: Volatile markets = Extended trends Indicators can lie — trend structure tells the truth Fakeouts & pullbacks are normal Don't fight the trend — trade with it Use counter-moves to enter the trend Patience & trend-following = Survival + Profit █ What We Covered: Part 1: Reduce Position Size Part 2: Liquidity Makes or Breaks Your Trades Part 3: Patience Over FOMO Part 4: Trend is Your Best Friend That's it! You've now completed the Mastering Volatile Markets series. Stay calm, adapt quickly, and trade smarter — that's how you survive (and thrive) in volatile markets. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by Zeiierman
4
The Charts Wall Street Watches – And Why Crypto Should Too📉 Crisis or Rotation? Understanding Bonds Before the Bitcoin Reveal 🔍 Hi everyone 👋 Before we dive into the next major Bitcoin post (the 'Bitcoin Reveal' is coming up, yes!), let's take a moment to unpack something critical most crypto traders overlook — the world of bonds . Why does this matter? Because the bond market often signals risk... before crypto even reacts. We're going to walk through 4 charts I've posted recently — not the usual BTC or altcoin setups, but key pieces of the credit puzzle . So here’s a simple breakdown: 1️⃣ BKLN – Leveraged Loans = Floating Risk 🟠 These are loans to risky companies with floating interest rates. When rates go up and liquidity is flowing, these do well. But when the economy weakens? They’re often the first to fall. 📌 Key level: $20.31 This level held in COVID (2020), the 2022 bank scare... and now again in 2025. ⚠️ Watch for a breakdown here = real credit stress. Right now? Concerned, but no panic. 2️⃣ HYG – Junk Bonds = Risk Appetite Tracker 🔴 Junk bonds are fixed-rate debt from companies with poor credit. They pay high interest — if they survive. When HYG bounces, it means investors still want risk. 📌 Fear line: 75.72 Held in 2008, 2020 (COVID), and again now. Price rebounded — suggesting risk appetite is trying to return . 3️⃣ LQD – Investment Grade = Quality Credit 💼 LQD holds bonds from blue-chip companies like Apple, Microsoft, Johnson & Johnson. These are lower-risk and seen as safer during stress. 📊 Chart still shows an ascending structure since 2003, with recent pressure on support. 📌 Support: 103.81 Holding well. Rebound looks solid. Unless we break 100, this says: "No panic here." 4️⃣ TLT – U.S. Treasuries = Trust in the Government 🇺🇸 This is the BIG one. TLT = Long-term U.S. bonds (20+ yrs) = safe haven assets . But since 2022, that trust has been visibly broken . A key trendline going back to 2004 was lost — and is now resistance. 📉 Price is in a clear descending channel . 📌 My expectation: One final flush to $76 or even $71–68 …before a potential macro reversal toward $112–115 🔍 The Big Picture – What Are Bonds Telling Us? | Chart | Risk Level | Signal | |--------|------------|--------| | BKLN | High | Credit stress rising, but support holding | | HYG | High | Risk appetite bouncing at a key level | | LQD | Medium | Rotation into quality, no panic | | TLT | Low | Trust in Treasuries fading, support being tested | If BKLN breaks $20... If HYG fails to hold 75.72... If LQD dips under 100... If TLT falls to all-time lows... That’s your crisis signal . Until then — the system is still rotating, not collapsing. So, Should We Panic? 🧠 Not yet. But we’re watching closely. Next: We add Bitcoin to the chart. Because if the traditional system starts breaking... 🟧 Bitcoin is the alternative. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 📌 Next Post: BTC vs Treasuries – The Inversion Nobody Saw Coming Because if the system is shaking… Bitcoin is Plan B. Stay ready.
AMEX:BKLNEducation
by FX_Professor
14
Mastering the Stochastic RSI - Guide to Spotting Momentum ShiftsIntroduction In the world of technical analysis, momentum indicators are essential tools for understanding market sentiment and potential price movements. One such tool is the Stochastic RSI (Stoch RSI), a unique and highly sensitive variation of the traditional Relative Strength Index (RSI). While the standard RSI focuses on price, the Stoch RSI takes it a step further by measuring the momentum of the RSI itself. This makes it a faster-reacting and more dynamic indicator that many traders use to anticipate trend shifts and spot overbought or oversold conditions earlier. What is the Stochastic RSI? The Stochastic RSI (Stoch RSI) is a momentum oscillator that operates similarly to the RSI but with a twist — instead of measuring the price of an asset, it measures the movement of the RSI. Because of this, the Stoch RSI is typically more sensitive and quicker to respond to changes in market momentum. It consists of two lines: * The blue line: The primary line that reacts quickly and shows when the RSI is gaining or losing momentum. * The orange line: A moving average of the blue line, which acts as a smoother version to help filter out noise and highlight potential turning points. How to Read the Stoch RSI The Stoch RSI moves between 0 and 100, and traders often focus on the 20 and 80 levels as key thresholds: Above 80 (Overbought): Indicates that the RSI has been running hot compared to recent values. This suggests strong upward momentum that could be due for a slowdown or minor correction. However, it doesn’t necessarily mean the price will drop immediately, just that conditions are extended. Below 20 (Oversold): Suggests the RSI has been suppressed, signaling weakening bearish momentum and a possible reversal upward. Again, this isn’t a guaranteed bounce but rather a situation where a shift may be more likely. How to Trade with the Stoch RSI While entering overbought or oversold zones can offer insight, trading solely based on those levels is risky. Instead, look for crossovers between the blue and orange lines: Bearish signal: When the Stoch RSI is above 80 and the blue line crosses below the orange line, it can indicate that bullish momentum is fading — a potential short entry. Bullish signal: When the Stoch RSI is below 20 and the blue line crosses above the orange line, it may suggest that bearish momentum is weakening — a potential long entry. These crossover points provide more reliable signals than the levels alone, especially when confirmed by price action or other indicators. What Timeframes to Use The Stoch RSI can be applied to any timeframe, but its effectiveness varies. On lower timeframes (like 1-minute or 5-minute charts), it generates many signals, including plenty of false or weak ones. For stronger and more reliable signals, it’s best used on higher timeframes such as the 4-hour, daily, weekly, or monthly charts. Generally, the higher the timeframe, the more significant the signal becomes. Conclusion The Stochastic RSI is a powerful indicator that combines the strengths of the RSI and Stochastic Oscillator to deliver sharper, more responsive momentum signals. While it’s tempting to act on overbought or oversold readings alone, true effectiveness comes from understanding the behavior of the two lines and using it in conjunction with other analysis tools. Whether you're a short-term trader or a long-term investor, mastering the Stoch RSI can add depth to your strategy and help you make more informed decisions.
Education
by Youriverse
54
The Art of Doing Nothing: Why Tape Watchers Beat Impulse TradersLess is more. In this Idea we dig into the trading philosophy where less action means more traction. It’s the dispute between the chart readers and the button clickers. Some swear by this: the smartest trading strategy sometimes involves sitting on your hands and embracing the sweet, underrated beauty of doing absolutely nothing. The Italians figured this out ages ago—they call it Dolce Far Niente , the sweetness of doing nothing. But can a trader really get away with just kicking back and waiting while sipping espresso (or the mezcal martini type if you got your Patagonia vest)? Actually, yes—and it often pays better than impulsive clicks. Let’s talk about why chart-watching and tape-reading often outsmart trigger-happy trading. 🤷‍♂️ Doing Nothing Is Harder Than It Looks First off, let’s acknowledge something painfully true: not trading is tough. Seriously tough. Trading never sleeps, notifications flash at you like slot machines. Headlines constantly scream about massive opportunities you're missing — Tesla's NASDAQ:TSLA latest rally or gold’s OANDA:XAUUSD record-breaking surge powered by tariff jitters. The pressure to click, buy, sell, or do something—anything!—can be overwhelming. It’s why there’s something called a heatmap — because it’s hot, hot, hot! But here’s the secret: successful traders know that impulse trading isn't a strategy; it's just financial caffeine. Instead, chart watchers—the cool-headed crowd who sit back, patiently observing price movements, market structure, and volume flow—tend to win the marathon, while impulse traders burn out in the sprint. 🌸 The Dolce Far Niente Method Ever watched an old Italian movie? There's usually a scene featuring someone lounging effortlessly, soaking in life’s beauty without lifting a finger—this is Dolce Far Niente. In trading terms, it’s the act of patiently waiting, savoring the calm between trades, watching your charts like an old-school tape reader that would make Jesse Livermore proud. (“A prudent speculator never argues with the tape. Markets are never wrong, opinions often are.”) A good setup is worth the wait. Instead of diving into trades, relax, observe, and let opportunities come to you. Because the reality is, not every candlestick needs your immediate response. Markets don’t reward hyperactivity; they reward patience and calculated action. 🤩 Tape Reading vs. Trading: The Difference Between Winning and Clicking The lost art of tape reading, as hedge fund guru Paul Tudor Jones calls it, is about carefully tracking price action, volume, and market sentiment. It’s far less exciting than rapid-fire day trading but potentially more rewarding. “When it comes to trading macro,” Tudor Jones says, “you cannot rely solely on fundamentals; you have to be a tape reader, which is something of a lost art form. Learning when to sit quietly (doing nothing) and when to strike decisively is the hallmark of trading mastery. ✋ Real Traders Don’t Chase—They Anticipate Waiting isn’t passive. It’s actually active restraint—a calculated choice to do nothing until the odds tip decidedly in your favor. Let’s be clear: chart watchers aren’t asleep at the wheel; they're carefully steering clear of trouble until clear setups emerge. The result? Better entry points, clearer risk-reward ratios, and fewer sleepless nights worrying about impulsive mistakes. “The trick in investing is just to sit there and watch pitch after pitch go by and wait for the one right in your sweet spot. And if people are yelling, ‘Swing, you bum!,’ ignore them.” Bonus points if you know who said that! So, next time your finger hovers over that "buy" or "sell" button, ask yourself if you’re trading strategically or just for the dopamine hit. Remember the Italian saying, take a breath, embrace the tranquility, and let patience become your trading superpower. Let us know in the comments: Are you team “click less, wait more,” or do you find yourself riding the impulse wave fairly frequently?
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
24
The End of Meme Coin Scams: A New UpdateWith the latest update, we are witnessing a shift in how meme coins operate in the crypto world, effectively putting an end to scams that have plagued the meme coin space. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 3 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin💰. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective: Bitcoin is currently near a strong trendline and a solid daily support level. I’m expecting it to break the $90,000 mark, a key psychological level, within the next few days. My main target is at least a 7% increase, reaching $90,500. 📈 Now , let's dive into the educational section, which builds upon last week's lesson (linked in the tags of this analysis). Many of you have been eagerly waiting for this, as I have received multiple messages about it on Telegram. A Recap of Meme Coin Creation and Scams In a previous educational analysis, I walked you through the step-by-step process of how meme coins are created and, most importantly, how scammers often exploit these coins for personal gain. I explained the mechanics behind the manipulation of meme coins, where bad actors would create a coin, pump its price, and then abandon it once they made a profit, leaving countless investors in financial ruin. The Hidden Aspect: How Creators Profited from Commissions However, there was one critical aspect I did not discuss—how meme coin creators were profiting through transaction fees, also known as commissions. Prior to this update, many small-scale creators were incentivized to sell portions of their holdings at high prices, ensuring they made a profit, often at the cost of the coin's long-term stability. This led to price crashes, the collapse of the coin's market, and devastating losses for thousands of investors. 🚨 The Previous Model: 2 important platform one for creating the mem coin and second for transactions and fees Under the previous system, meme coins were typically launched on platforms like P p .F n, which helped boost the coin’s liquidity through in-app promotions and social media outreach. This initial momentum would attract many investors, and then the coin would be listed on various exchanges for wider visibility. To ensure that creators could continue to profit, the transactions would eventually shift to a new platform, which took all of the transaction fees, further enriching the platform but leaving creators with limited sustainable profits. The New Update: Introducing new version for enring fees directly With the latest update, the creator introduces a revolutionary feature. This addition fundamentally changes how meme coin creators can profit. Instead of relying on external platforms that take all the transaction fees, allows creators to receive a significant percentage of trading fees directly. This ensures that creators who are genuinely committed to the long-term success of their coin can continue to benefit from it without destroying the project once the coin gains traction. A Sustainable Future for Meme Coins This update paves the way for a new era where meme coins are not just tools for short-term profit but are sustainable and beneficial in the long run for both creators and investors. Creators who have the genuine intention to build and maintain their projects will now have the opportunity to continuously profit from them as the coin grows stronger and attracts more users. 🌱 Why This Matters for Investors For investors, this is a game-changer. As meme coins become more reliable and profitable for creators, they also become safer and more promising for long-term investment. The more successful these meme coins become, the more lucrative it will be for investors in both the short and long term. 📈 By fostering a system that rewards creators based on the coin's success and longevity, this update helps eliminate the risk of sudden crashes. As a result, meme coins have the potential to evolve into solid, dependable projects rather than speculative assets that leave many in financial distress. However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅. 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 With the latest update, meme coin scams are effectively ending. creator website of meme coin now introduces new direct update for fees, which allows creators to earn a fair share of trading fees, ensuring they benefit long-term without abandoning the project. This makes meme coins more sustainable, rewarding both creators and investors. It’s a major shift towards stability and profitability in the meme coin space. 🚀 Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Education
by MadWhale
9
Breakout trading (Title) Breakout trading starts with finding support and resistance points ------------------------------- Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- I will take the time to talk about breakout trading. This is my opinion, so the content may be lacking. The reason I did not explain what other people say with examples is because trading is a psychological battle. Most of the content in books or on the Internet is explained with patterns. However, it is not easy to find patterns when checking the movement of a real-time chart. Therefore, I think it is more important to understand why such movements occur than to explain them with patterns. Therefore, I think it is better to create a trading strategy by finding support and resistance points and checking whether or not they are supported by the support and resistance points rather than memorizing patterns. Breakout trading refers to starting a transaction after checking whether there is support at a point or section when the price rises above a certain point or section, and there is a possibility of a larger rise. If you do a breakout trade incorrectly, you may end up buying at a high point, which could result in a large loss, so it is recommended to always keep a stop loss point when trading. In order to reduce the stop loss, you need to make an effort to lower the average purchase price by selling in installments when the price rises after purchasing and buying in installments when the price falls again. Therefore, the stop loss point is when it is beyond the range you can handle. - Let's take the BTCUSDT 1D chart as an example. It has fallen after renewing the ATH. Looking at the current price position, it feels like it will fall further. However, if the price rises to around the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart, that is, around 89294.25, you will feel like it will turn into an uptrend. Even if you think that you won't feel that way now, you will feel that way after it rises. Therefore, the most important thing in breakout trading is to find important support and resistance points. To find support and resistance points, you need to basically understand candles. Any book or video about candles will do. I recommend that you don't try to memorize the content in it, but read or watch it repeatedly several times. In my case, after watching the video about candles about 3 times, my understanding of the chart became easier. The reason for finding support and resistance points is to select a trading point. What you need to find support and resistance is a horizontal line. It is not easy to start trading with chart tools that are not horizontal lines but diagonal lines or curves. The reason is that when you try to start a trade, you are more likely to miss the timing because your psychological state is added. - You can see that the uptrend started when it broke through the 73072.41 point. Therefore, you can see that it is possible that the uptrend will start when it breaks through the 106133.74 point this time as well. However, in this case, since it is rising while renewing the ATH, it is a point where it is thought to be difficult to actually start trading. In other words, it is likely that you will be reluctant to trade because it is thought to be a high point. Therefore, as I mentioned earlier, the actual breakout trade will be conducted when it breaks through the 89294.25 point. Then, even if it rises to around the 106133.74 point, you will be more likely to respond stably without feeling much psychological anxiety. - However, there is one problem. That is, the StochRSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone. Therefore, when it rises near the 89294.25 point and confirms support, the StochRSI indicator should show a downward trend from the overbought zone. Otherwise, the 89294.25 point is likely to act as a resistance point. Even if the market is messy and difficult to predict, you should not be too busy finding support and resistance points. After all, you need to have a standard for creating a trading strategy to start trading. It is better to create a trading strategy and respond at the support and resistance points you have selected if possible. Even if you suffer a loss, if you continue to trade, you will be able to better organize the support and resistance points. For reference, the indicators that can create a trading strategy on my chart are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
3
Trading is a business The masses have the wrong ideas about Trading. It is a business and just like others it involves risk. We grow, we learn, earn and scale up. Crafting a plan is essential to success and character also play a key role here. In this business, risk is an inherent part of the equation. Just like any other enterprise, trading exposes you to challenges and setbacks, but it's how you manage these risks that can differentiate a thriving business from one that falters. Careful risk management—whether through proper position sizing, stop-loss strategies, or diversification—is the foundation that helps protect your capital while you grow your business over time. Crafting a trading plan is essential. This plan should not only outline your entry and exit strategies based on rigorous analysis but also incorporate a framework to evaluate your performance critically. A well-crafted plan serves as a roadmap, guiding your decisions in both favorable and challenging market conditions. Moreover, it creates a discipline that protects you from emotional reactions that can often lead to impulsive decisions—a common pitfall in trading. Character plays a crucial role as well. In trading, psychological fortitude, resilience in the face of losses, and the humility to learn from mistakes are qualities that separate the successful from the rest. Many people mistakenly believe that a few big wins can offset a series of missteps; however, it is the consistent, calculated, and disciplined approach that leads to sustainable growth. This business mindset—acknowledging that each trade is a learning opportunity and a step in scaling up your efforts—is what ultimately propels traders to long-term success. In essence, re-framing trading as a business fosters a mindset where every decision is taken seriously, every mistake is analyzed for improvement, and every trade is seen as a building block for growth. This approach not only minimizes unnecessary risks but also enables you to scale up with confidence. I'm curious—what elements of your trading plan do you find most effective at keeping your business mindset in check, and are there aspects you'd like to refine further?
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSDEducation
by XTDB
QE vs QT: The Invisible Force Behind Every Pump and Dump !Hello Traders 🐺 In this idea, I want to talk about macroeconomics and how QE and QT actually impact the economy and financial markets — and more importantly, how both pro traders and even non-professionals can benefit from understanding these basic concepts in their trading journey and even their everyday life. So make sure to stick with me until the very end, because if you still don't know about these key metrics, this is going to be extremely helpful — and I promise I’ll keep it simple. 🔄 First... What Are QE and QT Anyway? It’s simple: QE (Quantitative Easing) = Pumping money into the system 💸 QT (Quantitative Tightening) = Sucking money out of the system 💀 That’s it. The Fed either injects liquidity — or pulls it back. And that liquidity is the real fuel of the market — Not your RSI, not your fib levels, not your favorite influencer's altcoin pick. 🟩 What Is QE? When the Fed wants to support the economy (like during a crash or recession), it prints money and buys government bonds, mortgage-backed securities, and more. This increases liquidity → makes borrowing easier → and drives people toward risky assets like stocks and crypto. ✅ Benefits of QE: Boosts markets (stocks, crypto, real estate — all of it) Supports employment and economic growth Weakens the dollar → makes exports stronger ❌ Downsides of QE: Can lead to inflation or even hyperinflation if overused Creates asset bubbles (aka pumps with no real fundamentals) Weakens long-term purchasing power In short: QE = Bullish AF for markets — but dangerous if left unchecked. 🟥 What Is QT? QT is the opposite. When the economy overheats or inflation gets out of control, the Fed stops printing — and even starts removing liquidity from the system. They let bonds expire or sell them off, reducing the amount of money circulating. ✅ Benefits of QT: Helps bring inflation down Cools off overheated markets Restores balance after aggressive QE periods ❌ Downsides of QT: Slows down the economy Crashes risk assets (like BTC, tech stocks, etc.) Can trigger a recession if done too fast or too long QT = Bearish pressure for almost every chart you trade. 💡 Now that you understand QT and QE, let's talk about how we can use this in our trading. To help you visualize it better, I’ve marked the QT and QE periods on the chart. And as you’ll see, there’s a perfect correlation between Fed policy decisions and the BTC chart. It almost looks like their policies decide exactly where and even when the tops and bottoms happen! Let me explain it step by step — because while it might sound complicated, it’s actually very easy to understand: 📉 Example: The QT Period from 2017 to 2019 From October 2017 to September 2019, the Fed was in full QT mode — and we had three major phases in the market. Phase 1: When the Fed first announced QT, BTC was around a red monthly resistance line after a huge parabolic run-up. Right after the announcement, BTC entered a sharp correction — all the way down to the monthly support. (Shown with a red ellipse on the chart) Phase 2: BTC started to prepare for its next move — it accumulated below a bullish structure and slowly positioned itself for the next wave. 📉📈 Phase 3: The Big Corona Dump + QE Restart Then came the third and most important phase of QT in the BTC chart: The COVID crash — a sudden, brutal dump across all markets. Sound familiar? Yeh, same pattern… Immediately after the crash, the Fed announced QE and started pumping liquidity again → and we saw that huge parabolic run everyone remembers. 🔁 Now Here’s the Plot Twist... We’re Repeating the Same Pattern Let’s break it down: A huge crash after QT announcement (phase 1) Market accumulation below a bullish structure (phase 2) One final shakeout — just like the COVID dump — which I personally call Black Monday 2025 👀 And now… the Fed has hinted that they're ready to step in to stabilize the markets if needed ( phase three ) Guess what? Another round of QE could be coming... In this idea, I tried to explain how QE and QT work — and show you the hidden forces behind every bull and bear cycle. If you enjoyed this, make sure to follow and stay tuned for more. And as always, never forget our rule: 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Kiu_Coin
37
Mastering Volatile Markets: Why Patience is Your Biggest Edge█ Mastering Volatile Markets Part 3: Why Patience is Your Biggest Edge If you've read Part 1 about position sizing and Part 2 on liquidity , then you already know how to adapt to the mechanics of volatile markets. The next great tool in your arsenal will be patience. Your biggest opponent in wild markets is your own mind. In volatile markets, your emotions can easily get the best of you. Fear of missing out (FOMO) is one of the most dangerous emotions that drives poor decisions. █ FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) Hits Hardest in Volatile Markets Wild price swings, like 300-500 point moves in the Nasdaq or Bitcoin jumping $1000 in seconds, can make it feel like easy money is everywhere. You can quickly get the overwhelming temptation to chase moves , especially when it seems like you're missing every opportunity. This is where most traders lose. Let me state some harsh truths that I had to learn the hard way through many losses: Volatility doesn't equal opportunity. Fast moves don't mean easy trades. Most wild price moves are designed to trap liquidity and punish impatience. The true reality is that the market wants you to overreact in these conditions. It wants you to buy after a big move. It wants you to short after a flush. It thrives on you being emotional, chasing, and reacting. Because reactive traders = liquidity providers for smart money. Every single trader has made this mistake — not just once, but over and over again. Jumping into the market after a big move, hoping it will continue… but what usually happens? The market snaps back and stops you out. Can you relate? Share your story or experience with this in the comments below! █ What Experienced Traders Do Instead ⚪ They Know the First Move is Often the Trap Breakout? Expect a fakeout. Breakdown? Expect a snapback. New high? Watch for stop hunts. New low? Watch for a flush. Effectively speaking, pro traders don't chase the market. We wait for stop hunts to complete, liquidity grabs to finish, price to return into their zone, and for confirmations before entering the market. ⚪ They Train Patience Like a Skill Professional traders aren't more patient because they're "special." We are patient because we’ve learned the hard way that chasing leads to pain. ⚪ They Know When Not to Trade It is bad to trade when there’s no clear structure, no clean confirmation, if the spread is too wide or when the liquidity is too thin. Instead, pro traders let the market come to them , not the other way around. ⚪ They Turn FOMO into Confidence Instead of saying, "I'm missing the move…" , I recommend you think: "If it ran without me — it wasn't my trade." "If it comes back into my setup — now it's my trade." █ So, what have we learned today? Volatility triggers FOMO. FOMO triggers bad decisions. Bad decisions trigger losses. To win long-term, you must stay calm, selective and professional. Let other traders be emotional liquidity. That's how you survive volatile markets. █ What We Covered Already: Part 1: Reduce Position Size Part 2: Liquidity Makes or Breaks Your Trades Part 3: Why Patience is Your Biggest Edge █ What's Coming Next in the Series: Part 4: Trend Is Your Best Friend ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSDEducation
by Zeiierman
14
Inversion Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs) - A Deep Dive Trading GuideIntroduction Inversion Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs) are an advanced price action concept rooted in Smart Money theory. Unlike standard Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), IFVGs consider the idea of price revisiting inefficiencies from an inverse perspective. When price "respects" a previously violated gap from the opposite side, it creates a powerful confluence for entries or exits. This guide will cover: - What an IFVG is - How it differs from traditional FVGs - Market context for IFVG setups - How to trade them effectively - Real chart examples for clarity --- What is an IFVG? An Inversion Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when price trades through a traditional Fair Value Gap and later returns to that area, but instead of continuing in the original direction, it uses the gap as a support or resistance from the other side. Standard FVG vs. IFVG: - FVG: Price creates a gap (imbalance), and we expect a return to the gap for mitigation. - IFVG: Price violates the FVG, but instead of invalidation, it respects it from the other side. Example Logic: A bullish FVG is formed -> price trades through it -> later, price revisits the FVG from below and uses it as resistance. --- Structure and Market Context Understanding structure is key when trading IFVGs. Price must break structure convincingly through a Fair Value Gap. The gap then acts as an inversion zone for future reactions. Ideal Market Conditions for IFVGs: 1. Market is trending or has recently had a strong impulsive move. 2. A Fair Value Gap is created and violated with displacement . 3. Price retraces back to the FVG from the opposite side . 4. The gap holds as support/resistance, indicating smart money has respected the zone. --- Types of IFVGs 1. Bullish IFVG: Price trades up through a bearish FVG and later uses it as support. 2. Bearish IFVG: Price trades down through a bullish FVG and later uses it as resistance. Note: The best IFVGs are often aligned with Order Blocks, liquidity levels, or SMT divergences. --- How to Trade IFVGs 1. Identify a clear Fair Value Gap in a trending market. 2. Wait for price to break through the FVG with momentum . 3. Mark the original FVG zone on your chart. 4. Monitor for price to revisit the zone from the other side. 5. Look for reaction + market structure shift on lower timeframes. 6. Enter trade with a clear stop loss just beyond the IFVG. Entry Confluences: - SMT divergence - Order Block inside or near the IFVG - Breaker Blocks - Time of day (e.g., NY open) --- Refined Entries & Risk Management Once the IFVG is identified and price begins to react, refine entries using: - Lower timeframe market structure shift - Liquidity sweeps just before tapping the zone - Candle closures showing rejection Risk Management Tips: - Set stop loss just beyond the IFVG opposite wick - Use partials at 1:2 RR and scale out based on structure - Don’t chase missed entries—wait for clean setups --- Common Mistakes to Avoid - Confusing IFVG with invalidated FVGs - Trading them in low volume or choppy conditions - Ignoring market context or structure shifts - Blindly entering on first touch without confirmation Tip: Let price prove the level—wait for reaction, not prediction. --- Final Thoughts IFVGs are an advanced but powerful tool when used with precision. They highlight how Smart Money uses inefficiencies in both directions, and when combined with other concepts, they can form sniper-like entries. Practice finding IFVGs on historical charts. Combine them with SMT divergences, OBs, and market structure, and soon you’ll start seeing the market through Smart Money eyes. Happy Trading!
Education
by Louigi_24
89
How Momentum Divergence Reveals Hidden Market Strength and WeaknMost traders watch price action closely: candlesticks, moving averages, trendlines. But there’s a deeper, less obvious layer of information that often signals shifts in direction before price confirms it: momentum. 📌 Quick overview – what you'll learn: What momentum divergence is (clearly explained) How it helps predict potential trend shifts Practical ways to spot and trade divergences 📈 Price vs Momentum: They're Not the Same! Momentum doesn't simply track price direction. Instead, it measures the strength behind price movements. Rising prices, falling momentum often signals upcoming bearish reversals. Falling prices, rising momentum often hints at bullish reversals building beneath the surface. These subtle divergences are powerful because they reveal hidden market shifts before everyone else notices them. ⚠️ How to Spot Momentum Divergence (Simple Steps): Step-by-step: - Find clear price swings: Clearly defined highs/lows on your chart. - Check momentum indicators (RSI, MACD, CCI, etc.): Does the indicator agree or disagree with the price action? - Spot divergence: Bullish divergence: Price makes lower lows, indicator shows higher lows. Bearish divergence: Price makes higher highs, indicator shows lower highs. - Confirmation: Always wait for price confirmation like a reversal candle or break of a trendline. 🔥 Why Momentum Divergence Works: Divergence highlights hidden accumulation or distribution by smart money. Helps you anticipate reversals before price confirms. Filters out weak moves and helps you avoid fake breakouts. 📊 Real Example (XAUUSD – April 2025): Recently in Gold: Price was dropping steadily, reaching new lows. Meanwhile, RSI showed clear higher lows – classic bullish divergence. Result: Price exploded significantly shortly after momentum divergence appeared clearly. 🧠 Trading Tips to Remember: Divergence signals are stronger near key support/resistance zones. Use momentum divergence with your existing strategy for confirmation, not isolation. Always define your risk clearly (set stops above/below recent highs/lows). 🚩 Common Pitfalls to Avoid: Trading divergence without confirmation: always wait for the market to show its hand. Ignoring the bigger picture: check higher timeframes for stronger signals. Overtrading: not every divergence leads to a reversal; quality beats quantity. 🚀 Your Action Plan for Next Week: Pick one momentum indicator and identify at least 3 divergences on your favorite assets. Monitor how they play out. Note down what works best in your trading journal. 💬 Question for you: What’s your go-to momentum indicator when spotting divergence? RSI, MACD, CCI, or something else? Drop a comment below! Happy trading! TrendGo Team
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by TrendGo_Official
1
Learning Not to TradeThe ability to wait for your setup is the most important skill a trader can have. Strangely enough, in trading, you absolutely must learn not to trade. Patience is key. We’re like predators lying in ambush: no sudden moves, no panic, just waiting for the right moment. No setup — no trade. Sometimes it's a day or two without trades, sometimes a week or even more. Hard? Very. It feels like you have to participate in every move, squeeze the maximum out of every market, trade daily, nonstop — hands itching, mind racing, gotta make money. Some traders even set financial goals — I’m totally against that. You’ve got a "monthly target"? Great — now you're forced to find trades where there are none. But there’s an awesome fix for that: create trading-related activities for yourself during downtimes: 1. Analyze your past trades. In detail: average gain, average loss, win rate, risk/reward ratio, and more. Where are your strengths? Which markets and instruments work best for you? Where do you tend to screw up — late stops, premature exits, re-entries? How can you minimize losses? 2. Study price action after you close a trade. Maybe you’re exiting too early and missing the rest of the move. Tons of traders scalp and make money, sure — but if they didn’t scalp, they could’ve made twice as much. Data from successful traders shows a clear edge in holding positions for at least a few days. Also — let’s not forget commissions: fewer trades means lower costs. 3. Test new setups. Use TradingView's replay function to go back in time and trade historical data as if it were live. It’ll sharpen your eye for candle and chart patterns, help validate new strategies, and overall — it’s just super useful. 4. Read books. All good traders read — a lot, constantly, forever. Sit down with a highlighter, mark up important ideas, and better yet — take notes. Learning never stops. And now — plot twist: this is your actual job. Not sitting and hypnotizing charts all day. Not entering a trade and staring at every pip like a madman — one second you're thrilled, the next you’re sweating bullets. Yes, we look at charts and order books — all useful tools — but we analyze smartly, not emotionally. Trading is everything that happens before the trade. Waiting for your moment. Knowing exactly where your stop loss and take profit should be. I was analyzing my trading and realized that my main recurring mistakes right now is exiting too early , then re-entering with a tight stop, getting stopped out, and then entering again. Overtrading. And the worst part — this isn’t the first time. But I know how to fix it! In my next educational post, I’ll write about the most common trading mistakes and how I personally worked through them. Because honestly — I’ve made every mistake you can possibly make, even the ones you’re not supposed to be able to make. I’ve been in all kinds of psychological states, and I’ve tried a ton of different ways to deal with each issue. See you in the next one.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by kventinka
Instructional for my brother. IThis is a bad swing trade, it is under the 180 day moving average. You wouldn't enter this using a swing trading system alone, its more advanced to identify. But you can see the yellow line I drew, that is strong resistance. That means the price don't want to go below that line. I put what a trade would look like on it. You see how in this trade there is much more green than red? That is a good risk to reward ration. Now here is CBOE. See how the green and red of this projected trade are nearly equal? Yeah, that is a bad risk to reward ration. At a 1:1 (that is for each dollar you can gain, you are risking) you are at a coin toss odds. Which is better than gambling but isn't trading. You pretty much have the gist of Bravo simple trading, these are more advanced things. IF you are trading, you want to know where you will set your stop loss and where you will set your take profit BEFORE you buy anything. And then set those with the trade. That way you know beforehand what a worse case scenario looks like. If you do this, you will very likely succeed in the long run.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by travis84
1
Mastering Volatile Markets: Liquidity Makes or Breaks Trades█ Mastering Volatile Markets Part 2: Why Liquidity Makes or Breaks Your Trades If you've read the first part of this four-part series, you know that reducing position size is a key strategy for surviving volatile markets. The second crucial factor that determines success or failure in wild markets is understanding liquidity. In volatile markets, liquidity is often the real reason behind those massive price spikes — whether 300-500 point moves in the NAS100, violent whipsaws in crypto or stop hunts in forex. █ Liquidity: The Silent Killer in Wild Markets In normal market conditions, liquidity is everywhere. You can enter and exit trades with minimal slippage, and everything feels smooth. But in volatile conditions, liquidity can disappear quickly. Here's why it happens: Market makers pull back to avoid getting caught in wild moves. Spreads widen , making execution harder. Order books thin out , meaning there aren't enough buy or sell orders to absorb aggressive price movements. Even small orders can cause significant price changes when liquidity is low. This is what causes those huge candles you often see in volatile markets. It's not just about more buyers or sellers; it's about less liquidity available to absorb those trades. There’s also a common misunderstanding at play here: High Volume = High Liquidity Many newer traders see a big volume candle and think, "Oh, high volume means it's safe to trade." But that’s an inaccurate conclusion. ⚪ Volume refers to the number of transactions happening. ⚪ Liquidity refers to how much depth the market has to handle those transactions without causing price instability. In volatile markets, high volume doesn't mean there's enough liquidity. And low liquidity causes wild wicks, huge spreads, higher slippage and unstable price action. █ How to Navigate Low Liquidity in Volatile Markets So, how can you trade effectively in these conditions? 1) Expect Crazy Moves — Levels Will Get Violated In high-volatility, low-liquidity markets: Support and resistance levels won't hold as they usually do. Price will blow through key levels like they were nothing. Fakeouts become extremely common. 2) Don't Rely Solely on Support & Resistance As a newer trader, it's vital not to blindly rely on S/R levels in these markets. Here's why: Don't expect clean bounces or perfect reactions. Fakeouts, wicks, and stop hunts are normal. Tight stops right behind these levels? You'll get stopped out a lot. Experienced traders know this, which is why we adapt the strategies to handle the market's unpredictability. 3) Split Your Orders Into Smaller Chunks One of the most effective techniques in volatile markets is order splitting. Break it into smaller chunks instead of entering your full position at one price. This would help you survive fakeouts, scale in better across larger price moves and avoid becoming liquidity for bigger players. Example: Let's say you want to go long at support (15,000 on the NAS100), instead of entering all at 15,000. Instead Enter: 25% at 15,000 25% at 14,950 25% at 14,900 25% at 14,850 This way, if the market fakes out below support due to low liquidity, you get filled at better prices without panic. 4) Control Your Emotions — Understand the Environment This is HUGE in volatile markets. Many retail traders panic when prices move against them quickly. But if you understand the nature of low liquidity , you can remain calm: It's normal for the price to move wildly. Levels will get swept. Fake moves are common before the market plays out the right way. █ Summary Let’s take stock of what we learned today about liquidity in highly volatile markets: High volatility often equals low liquidity. High volume does not equal high liquidity. Expect fakeouts , wild price behavior, and wide spreads. Don't rely blindly on support/resistance levels. Split your orders into smaller chunks to manage risk. Trade smaller position sizes and stay calm. Remember, you must adapt not only your size but also your execution . Understand liquidity, or it will punish you. █ What We Covered Already: Part 1: Reduce Position Size Part 2: Liquidity Makes or Breaks Trades █ What's Coming Next in the Series: Part 3: Patience Over FOMO Part 4: Trend Is Your Best Friend ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by Zeiierman
10
RSI 101: Revealing the Special Characteristics of RSIWhy does RSI have support and resistance levels at 40 and 60? Why does divergence happen between RSI and price? What is RSI momentum? All the characteristics of RSI (that I know) will be explained here. Formula and Meaning If you are using TradingView, you probably already know what RSI is and what "overbought" and "oversold" mean. So, I won’t repeat it here. Instead, I’ll dive deeper into the true nature of RSI, giving you a different perspective. You can skip the mathematical formula of RSI, it’s already discussed everywhere online. Just remember this ratio table: Here’s how I explain the table: At RSI = 50, the average gain equals the average loss (I'll call this the buy/sell ratio). This is a balanced point. Buyers and sellers are equally strong. At RSI ~ 60 (66.66), the buy/sell ratio = 2/1. Buyers are twice as strong as sellers. At RSI ~ 40 (33.33), the buy/sell ratio = 1/2. Sellers are twice as strong as buyers. At RSI = 80, the buy/sell ratio = 4/1. Buyers are four times stronger. At RSI = 20, the buy/sell ratio = 1/4. Sellers are four times stronger. The formula shows that when RSI reaches 80 or 20, the buyer or seller is extremely strong — about four times stronger — confirming a clear trend. At these levels, some Trading strategies suggest placing a Sell or Buy based on the overbought/oversold idea. But for me, that’s not the best way. The right approach is: when a trend is clearly formed, we should follow it. I'll explain why right below. Look at this chart showing RSI changes with the buy/sell ratio: When RSI > 50: When RSI < 50: You can see that the higher RSI goes, the slower it climbs, but the high buy/sell ratio makes price move up faster. Similarly, when RSI goes lower, it drops slower but price drops faster. That’s why at overbought (RSI=80) or oversold (RSI=20) areas, you need to be careful. Even a small RSI moving can lead to big price changes, easily hitting your stop loss. On the other hand, if you follow the trend and wait for RSI to pull back, you will trade safer and more profitably. RSI Key Levels Here are some special RSI levels I personally find useful when observing FX:XAUUSD : (These levels are relative. They might vary with different timeframes or trading pairs. Check historical data to find the right ones for you. On bigger timeframes like M15 or above, the accuracy is better.) RSI = 20 When RSI hits 20, sellers dominate. This confirms a trend reversal to bearish. RSI = 80 When RSI hits 80, buyers dominate. This confirms a trend reversal to bullish. RSI = 40 This is a sensitive level. Sellers start gaining the upper hand (sell/buy = 2/1). If buyers lose 40, they lose their advantage. So RSI >= 40 is "buyer territory". In an uptrend, RSI usually stays above 40. RSI = 40 acts as support in an uptrend. RSI = 60 Same idea. RSI <= 60 is "seller territory". RSI = 60 acts as resistance in a downtrend. 40 and 60 are considered the key levels of RSI. Now you guys know why RSI has support/resistance around 40/60! RSI Range As you know, RSI moves between 0 and 100. Since RSI >= 40 is buyer territory, we can see the relationship between price and RSI: When RSI stays above 40, price tends to move in an uptrend: When RSI stays below 60, price tends to move in a downtrend: When RSI stays between 40 and 60, buyers and sellers are balanced, and price moves sideways in a box: When RSI is moving, It creates a RSI Range. Whenever the trend switches between the three states — uptrend, sideways, and downtrend — a Range Shift is formed. At first, RSI moves in 40-60 range, price moves sideways. A strong price move pushes RSI to 80. Later, RSI stays above 50, helping price grow strongly. When momentum fades, RSI returns to 40-60 and price moves sideways again. Note: RSI reflects Dow Theory by showing the stages of accumulation, growth, and distribution. And as you see, when RSI touches key levels, the trend often pulls it back. RSI Momentum Price momentum means how fast price changes.RSI momentum represents the change in the strength between buying and selling forces. When RSI > 50: If price falls, RSI shows high momentum — RSI drops fast but price drops slowly. If price rises, RSI shows low momentum — RSI rises slowly but price rises fast. For example, at first RSI is above 50. Price drops from (a) to (b) by 44 units, RSI drops from (Ra) to (Rb) by 25 units. Later, RSI drops from (Rb) to (Rc) (also 25 units) but price drops from (b) to (c) by 73 units. When RSI < 50: If price falls, RSI has low momentum — RSI drops slowly but price falls fast. If price rises, RSI has high momentum — RSI rises fast but price rises slowly. RSI and Price Divergence Divergence happens when price and RSI move in opposite directions: Price goes up but RSI goes down, or vice versa. Why does divergence happen? In a strong downtrend, price forms a bottom at point (1), and RSI drops to level (r1). When a price pullback happens, price pushes up to a peak at point (2), and RSI also bounces back to level (r2). Because the downtrend is strong, after completing the pullback (1-2), price continues to make a lower bottom at point (3). At this point, remember the behavior of RSI momentum when RSI is below 50: It takes a large price drop (from 2 to 3) to cause a small RSI drop (from r2 to r3). Meanwhile, even a small price increase (from 1 to 2) causes a large RSI rise (from r1 to r2). Since the distance (1-2) is smaller than (2-3), but the RSI move (r1-r2) is bigger than (r2-r3), divergence is created. Divergence shows that the current trend is very strong, not a complete signal of a trend reversal. (I might share with you how to spot a complete RSI reversal signal in future posts.) As shown in the example above, after forming bottom (5) and creating a bullish divergence between (3-5) and (r3-r5), price still kept dropping sharply while RSI kept rising. In these areas, if you keep trying to catch a reversal just based on divergence, you will likely need to DCA or cut your losses many times. That’s why the most important thing in trading is always to follow the trend. RSI Exhaustion RSI Exhaustion happens when RSI keeps getting rejected by a resistance or support zone and can’t break through. After a strong downtrend, RSI recovers but stalls around the 5x zone. It tries many times but fails, showing buying power is weakening. Then the downtrend continues: Exhaustion near high or low RSI levels creates stronger divergences than exhaustion in the middle range: Double or triple tops/bottoms on RSI (M or W shapes) basically indicate RSI exhaustion. RSI Can Identify Trend Strength In an uptrend: If RSI pulls back to a higher level before going up again, the trend is stronger. The pullback should not fall too deep (below 40). Example: First rally: RSI drops to 60 before rising again → strong rally (273 units). Second rally: RSI drops to 50 before rising again → weaker rally (94 units). Same idea for a downtrend: If RSI pullbacks to 50 then drops again, the downtrend is stronger than if it pullbacks to 60. RSI Support and Resistance Besides 40-60 acting as support/resistance, RSI also reacts to old tops and bottoms it created. Why does this happen? RSI is calculated from closing prices. On a higher timeframe, the candle close price is a high/low or support/resistance price on lower timeframes. When RSI moves in a trend on a higher timeframe, it maintains a buy/sell ratio, forcing lower timeframe RSI to oscillate within a range. Example: On H4, RSI stays above 40 → uptrend. It makes H1 RSI move between 30-80. Sharp RSI tops/bottoms react even stronger because they show strong buying/selling forces. Summary When looking at the price chart, we can see that price can rise or fall freely without any defined boundaries. However, RSI operates differently: it always moves within a fixed range from 0 to 100. During its movement, RSI forms specific patterns that reflect the behavior of price. Because RSI has a clear boundary, identifying its characteristics and rules becomes easier compared to analyzing pure price action. By studying RSI patterns, we can make better assumptions and predict future price trends with higher accuracy. I have shared with you the core characteristics of RSI, summarized as follows: Besides overbought (80) and oversold (20), RSI respects 40 and 60. 40 is support level in an uptrend. 60 is resistance level in a downtrend. In an uptrend, RSI stays above 40. In a downtrend, RSI stays below 60. An RSI Range-Shift leads to a trend change. RSI Divergence shows strong trends. Double or triple tops/bottoms show RSI exhaustion → potential reversals. The higher the RSI level, the slower it moves, but the faster the price rises. The lower the RSI level, the slower it moves, but the faster the price falls. A strong uptrend can be identified when RSI moves within a higher range or shows continuous bearish divergences. A strong downtrend can be identified when RSI moves within a lower range or shows continuous bullish divergences. RSI reacts to its old tops and bottoms. Sharper RSI peaks show stronger selling. Sharper RSI bottoms show stronger buying. In the next parts, I’ll show you how to apply these RSI's Characteristics to trend analysis, multi-timeframe analysis, and trading strategies, that you might have never seen before. I trade purely with RSI. Follow me for deep dives into RSI-based technical analysis and discussions!
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by dangtunglam14
2
Are You Taking the Right Risks in Trading? RISK Per Trade Basics What portion of your equity should you risk for your trading positions? In the today's article, I will reveal the types of risks related to your position sizing. Quick note: your risk per trade will be defined by the distance from your entry point to stop loss in pips and the lot size. 🟢Risking 1-2% of your trading account per trade will be considered a low risk. With such a risk, one can expect low returns but a high level of safety of the total equity. Such a risk is optimal for conservative and newbie traders. With limited account drawdowns, one will remain psychologically stable during the negative trading periods. 🟡2-5% risk per trade is a medium risk. With such a risk, one can expect medium returns but a moderate level of safety of the total equity. Such a risk is suitable for experienced traders who are able to take losses and psychologically resilient to big drawdowns and losing streaks. 🔴5%+ risk per trade is a high risk. With such a risk, one can expect high returns but a low level of safety of the total equity. Such a risk is appropriate for rare, "5-star" trading opportunities where all stars align and one is extremely confident in the positive outcome. That winner alone can bring substantial profits, while just 2 losing trades in a row will burn 10% of the entire capital. 🛑15%+ risk per trade is considered to be a stupid risk. With such a risk, one can blow the entire trading account with 4-5 trades losing streak. Taking into consideration the fact that 100% trading setups does not exist, such a risk is too high to be taken. The problem is that most of the traders does not measure the % risk per trade and use the fixed lot. Never make such a mistake, and plan your risks according to the scale that I shared with you. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
5
LiteCoin (LTC) - Chart reading with Weis Wave with Speed Index Lesson 15 Methodology: 1. Largest up volume wave at the bottom after while (probable buyers but let's confirm using AVWAP and Weis Wave with Speed Index and it's Plutus Signals. 2. Placed AVWAP at the beginning of the previous down wave and wait for price to pullback to it. 3. Price Respects AVWAP. 4. Abnormal Speed Index 40.8 is a sign that price has a hard time to move down. 5. Enter Long on PL signal. ... and up we go!!!! Target Fib area which was reached! No entries now - Fib could risky!
Education
by TradeTheVolumeWaves
Mastering Volatile Markets: Why Reducing Position Size is Key █ Mastering Volatile Markets Part 1: Why Reducing Position Size is Key Trading is always challenging, but how do you navigate today's markets? That's a whole different level. Today, we'll move away from the usual "Trump's tariffs are horrendous" discussions. We'll instead focus on how experienced traders profit in the current volatile market. Right now, we're seeing extreme volatility across many assets. It's not uncommon for markets to move 3% to 10% in a single day , and for indices like NAS100 (Nasdaq), intraday swings of 300 to 500 points can happen in just 5 to 30 minutes. This can seem like bad news, but as Warren Buffet said in 2008, "In short, bad news is an investor's best friend." Volatile markets can shake even experienced traders — but they don’t have to. With 16 years of trading experience , we’ll show you exactly how to approach conditions like these with confidence and clarity. █ Reducing position size is the key to surviving volatility: The most critical adjustment in a volatile market is reducing position size. Why? Because when the market moves faster and with bigger swings, your potential risk per trade automatically increases. The key is to keep your d ollar risk the same — even when volatility is exploding. ⚪ Let's take a look at how position size changes when markets change: 2 Weeks Ago — Stable Market: NAS100 average move per trade = 50 to 100 points Risk per trade = 100 points = $500 risk (for example) Position Size = 5 contracts Today — Volatile Market: NAS100 average move per trade = 300 to 500 points To maintain the same $500 risk per trade → Position Size = 1 contract ⚪ The Benefit: With a smaller position, you can still earn the same profit because the price is moving much more. At the same time, your risk stays controlled , even in these wild markets. This is exactly how professional traders survive and thrive in volatile conditions — by adjusting to what the market is giving them. ⚪ What Happens If You Don't Reduce Size? Let's say you keep the same position size as in stable markets, but now the market moves 300-500 points against you instead of 50-100. Here's how it plays out (example): In Stable Markets (NAS100 average move: 50-100 points): Position Size: 5 contracts Risk per contract: $10 per point Risk per trade: 100 points x $10 x 5 contracts = $5,000 risk per trade In Volatile Markets (NAS100 average move: 300-500 points): Position Size: 5 contracts (unchanged) Risk per contract: $10 per point Risk per trade: 500 points x $10 x 5 contracts = $25,000 risk per trade Without reducing position size, your risk increases dramatically as the market moves wildly. As a result, your losses will skyrocket when the market moves against you. █ Summary: Huge volatility = Smaller position size Same risk = Same profit potential Trade smarter, not bigger This is rule number one when navigating wild markets like the ones we have today. █ What's Coming Next in the Series: Part 2: Liquidity Is the Silent Killer Part 3: Patience Over FOMO Part 4: Trend Is Your Best Friend Stay tuned for the next part — and remember, adapting to volatility isn't just about managing risk, it's about mastering the market! ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by Zeiierman
6
Learning The Excess Phase Peak Pattern : How To Identify/Use ItThis new tutorial video is for all the new followers I have on TradingView who don't understand the Excess Phase Peak pattern (EPP) yet. I received a question from a new follower yesterday about the EPP patterns. He/She could not understand what they were or how to use/identify them. This video should help you understand what the EPP patterns are, how to identify them, how to trade with them, and how to identify/use proper expectations with them. I hope this video is informative and clear. Remember, price only does two things... FLAG or TREND - NOTHING ELSE And the EPP pattern is the CORE STRUCTURE of price that happens on all charts, all intervals, and all the time. The second pattern, the Cradle pattern, is part of the EPP pattern, but it acts as another price construct related to how to identify opportunities in price action. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by BradMatheny
Learn These Patterns And You'll Never Regret ItEVERYTHING ON THE TRIANGLE PATTERN a triangle chart pattern involves price moving into a tighter and tighter range (like a consolidation phase which has a triangle-like shape) as time goes by and provides a visual display of a battle between bulls and bears. The triangle pattern is generally categorised as a “continuation pattern”, meaning that after the pattern completes,  it’s assumed that the price will continue in the trend direction it was moving before the pattern appeared. note: the triangle pattern depends on the trend however don't hold on to that thought since fake-outs are possible. the point i am trying to make is that you should not be obsessed with which direction the price goes, but you should be ready for movement in either direction. there are three triangle patterns: a) the ascending (upward slope consisting of higher-lows and a consistent resistance), b) descending (downward slope consisting of lower-highs and a consistent support) c) symmetrical (equal slopes the market is forming lower-highs and higher-lows).. the triangle is different from a wedge. however, a wedge can be in a triangle or better put the general formation of a wedge is a triangle-like shape (in some cases). point to note: • you need at least two points (bullish or bearish) to connect for a triangle to be considered, and a consistent support or resistance. • the volatility of price of any instrument decreases when there's a triangle pattern and increases on breakout of the pattern. • measuring the size of the triangle can serve as a good profit target (will explain in meeting) • keep an open mind at all times. 📝..
VANTAGE:XAUUSDEducation
by lazyluchi
Trading A Divergence Trade (Breakdown) with Pivots and LiquidityTrading divergences was always a problem for me in the past. I did the same thing you did and got it wrong every time. I was trading divergences when i saw them instead of realizing a divergence is a flip of support and resistance levels. I just needed to know where they are. In this video: Internal vs External Pivot divergence confirmation: You can have two types of pivots on your chart. One for long term and one for short term. Using them to confirm short and long term price action is intuitive as youll be able to see the market squeezing on the short term while knowing where your long term price structure exists. Price action to Divergence Confirmation: A divergence on a short term pivot is an indication of short term loss of trend or reversal. If the short term has no divergence but the long term does, you are about to end up with some pretty large price moves. Youll be confirming the divergence by looking for highs, lows, and closes moving the wrong way from current price action. This video will give you a method you can use to draw out your support zone / resistance zone / divergence zone and use them to your advantage. The "Divergence Zone" that you draw out is the very reason why so many people fail at divergences. Bare in mind that when you have a divergence, support and resistance are on the WRONG sides as their normally are so you'll learn here how to find those zones as well. Then in the end of the video ill show you how to use lower timeframes to confirm the new move of the market. Thanks, everyone. For coming through to the CoffeeShop.
CME:6J1!Education
by CoffeeshopCrypto
2