Get started

Community ideas

Some information About Gold 🚀 Weaker U.S. labour data pushes gold higher Gold (XAU) reached a near four-week high during yesterday's trading session following a weaker-than-expected report on U.S. private employment. Also, the yields on U.S. bonds continued to rise following a report that President-elect Donald Trump was considering implementing emergency measures to impose a new tariff program. 👉 Possible effects for traders The ADP National Employment Report revealed that U.S. private payroll growth slowed significantly in the previous month, from 146,000 in November 2024 towards 122,000 in December. The market is now awaiting the release of the U.S. jobs report on Friday for further insights into the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy direction. The minutes from the Fed's previous meeting indicated that policymakers agreed that inflation is likely to continue declining this year. They also acknowledged the rising risk of persistent price pressures, which could be influenced by the potential impact of President Trump's policies. Meanwhile, physical gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen their first inflow in four years despite a decline in their holdings by 6.8 metric tons, according to the World Gold Council. XAUUSD was moving primarily in a relatively narrow range of $2,656–$2,662 during Asian and early European trading hours. Today, market participants are waiting for the U.S. Jobless Claims report data, coming out at 1:30 p.m. UTC. A higher-than-expected reading should be taken as bullish for gold, while lower data may trigger bearish momentum in the precious metal.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Sam-Brown
1
Trading Resolutions for 2025The start of a New Year is always a time to not only look back on the old, but also look ahead to the new. Resolutions are often made during this period, so we wanted to provide some suggestions of what you could try from a trading perspective in the year ahead. 1. Keeping a Trading Journal: This doesn’t have to be as onerous as I’m sure you’re thinking! Every time you initiate a trade, write down in a notebook, on your phone or in a file on your laptop, why you’ve executed the trade, your expectations for the trade, the entry and stop loss level(s), possible objectives, the outcome of the trade, and finally your thoughts on what was right/wrong/or how things could have been improved. This will allow you to look back on all your trades, assess your trading strategy and check on how results have changed from trade to trade. Does one strategy consistently outperform the others? Are you making consistent mistakes with trades that lose you money? Are your stop losses being hit more than objectives? This can be performed on a daily, weekly, monthly, or even annual basis to provide valuable insights into what you may be doing wrong and, more importantly, what you are doing right 2. Never Trade Without a Stop Loss in Place: The first question you should always ask yourself before you hit the trade button, is where your stop loss needs to be. Choose chart levels that matter, like previous highs or lows, moving averages, or Fibonacci retracements. Setting a stop loss based solely on risk tolerance may place it above strong support or below strong resistance, where price reversals often occur after stops are triggered. Consider putting your stop loss just above resistance for short positions or just below support for long positions. 3. Determine the Size of Position You Take in Each Trade by Using The Stop Level: This follows on from number 2 above. Try not to go into every trade thinking, I’m prepared to lose X amount financially on each trade, so I will trade my usual size of the asset, which means the stop should be here. Consider whether a better approach maybe to identify where your stop loss should be before you trade an asset, then try adjusting the size of your position to suit where the stop loss level you identified should be placed. This way, your financial risk remains the same each trade, but your stop is in what you have identified as the correct position. 4. Establish a Chart Template on Your Pepperstone System Using Technical Indicators You Trust: Consider assessing what technical indicators you like and trust, be it for example Bollinger Bands, Moving Averages, Momentum and/or Trending indicators, or a combination of them. Whatever you feel works for you and you have a feel for. If you’re not sure which indicators work best for you and your trading, use a Pepperstone demo trading account to test out the technical signals you receive and see what does work for you in a risk free live environment. Remember you don’t have to overcomplicate things by always having all the indicators available to you on a chart. Consider keeping it simple with one momentum, one trending, one sentiment indicator, and an indicator that allows to gauge sentiment, such as Bollinger Bands. Take a look at our timeline where we have already covered several indicators and the types of signals they generate; over time we will add to this coverage. 5. If you like our posts, please hit the Rocket button so we know you like our work, or leave us a comment and let us know if you’d like anything in particular covered. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Education
by Pepperstone
How to manage emotions and the great problems that this generateThere is something that must be understood when entering the market: the risks, manipulation, trading with poor-quality assets, not managing risk, among other things. However, the most important one, and the one no one wants to address, is the psychological aspect. Why do I say this? 85% of traders do not control their emotions when trading. Letting ourselves be driven by emotions can be, and I’m not sure if it’s the worst, in a market like the financial one. We may be the best at analyzing, but what’s the point if we make 1,000 USD and then lose it by trying to make another 1,000? Over trading is one of the main issues. Over the years, it has been something I struggled with a lot, but today, 5 years later, I can say that I have overcome it. How can I control my emotions? Addressing these aspects takes time and patience, as we are talking about changing a pattern that may have existed for a long time, and it may not even be directly related to trading but to something internal within each person. Sometimes, professional help is even necessary. My method, which helped me a lot to control this, is the future blocking every certain number of days (I trade, generate profits, and block). 48 hours is an important timeframe. It’s essential to use exchanges that offer this option; it’s the only way to control our anxiety when trading. How do I control my emotions when facing losses? It’s not only about losses; gains and greed can also play a role. Many times, after a winning streak, we believe the market can’t defeat us or that we’re invincible. And that’s when we get knocked down, and the dreaded losses arrive. When that happens, a big part of a trader’s mind is overwhelmed by the thought of: “Now I need to recover!” And that’s when the problems begin: one loss leads to another, creating a never-ending chain. The best thing in these cases, whether it’s a loss or gain, is also blocking. Why do I talk about blocking? Because it’s the only way for someone with a problem to truly step away from the market. Emotions and feelings in weak individuals create an explosive combination that leads nowhere. It’s important to work on your mindset so that you don’t become just another person giving money away to the market. Work intelligently: enter the market when there’s an opportunity, not when you want or can. It’s the only way you will be able to achieve or at least attempt profitability. Be sharp and focus more on the mindset than on the analysis. CriptoSolutions
Education
by CriptoSolutions
Clear mind to manage the risk aheadWe are reaching critical areas for the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC , the ideal is to stay out of the market in these cases, both in BTC and in the rest of the cryptocurrencies. And you wonder why? The dominance of BTC in the face of strong falls causes the rest of the tokens to collapse abruptly, which is why it is always better when liquidations are approaching to stay out of the market, since there are no Orders and SLs to hold. Once the market is going to sweep away all the leveraged and SL that is when we come in, although we have a support zone at 87,000 - 86,000, I do not think it will hold and in my opinion, it will go directly to close the gap to 76k
CME:BTC1!Education
by CriptoSolutions
Something NEW!!1. Identify your htf. 2. Identify a htf bias. 3. Identify your current trading range on your htf. 4. Identify your premium or discount level. 5. Inside your premium or discount level identify your htf point of interest. 6. Wait for price to pull into your htf point of interest. 7. Pop down to a ltf where you'll observe bearish or bullish price action. 8. Wait for the buy model or sell model to play our wait for a market structure shift on the ltf. 9. Look for 2 stack pois like a breaker block coupled with an imbalance 10. Enter at the stacked poi( point of interest) after a market structure shift.
CAPITALCOM:DXYEducation
by darrenblignaut78
Day Trading Strategy Using EMA Crossovers + RSI for CryptoIntroduction Day trading in the volatile crypto market requires precision and a clear plan. Today, I’ll walk you through a straightforward strategy using EMA crossovers and the RSI (Relative Strength Index) to identify high-probability trades on shorter timeframes (e.g., 5-minute or 15-minute charts). Strategy Overview Indicators: Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): Use the 9-EMA (short-term) and 21-EMA (medium-term). RSI: Set to 14 periods with thresholds at 70 (overbought) and 30 (oversold). Trade Entry: Look for bullish EMA crossover (9-EMA crossing above 21-EMA) for a potential buy signal. Confirm the entry when RSI is above 50 but below 70 (indicating bullish momentum without overbought conditions). For short trades, wait for the 9-EMA to cross below the 21-EMA and confirm RSI is below 50. Stop-Loss: Place the stop just below the most recent swing low for long trades or above the recent swing high for shorts. Take-Profit: Use a 1.5:1 or 2:1 risk-to-reward ratio or adjust based on key resistance/support levels. Example Chart Analysis In the chart, notice how the EMA crossover and RSI alignment resulted in clean entries and exits during the trend. Closing Thoughts This strategy is best suited for trending markets, so avoid using it in choppy, range-bound conditions. Always use proper risk management and adapt to the market’s volatility. What do you think of this strategy? Share your thoughts or let me know if you’ve tried something similar!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Cryptobingbong
Gann Astro Trading - Why Time is More Important than Price.Understanding Gann Astro Trading: Why Time is More Important than Price 1.Time and Price are Interconnected: - According to Gann, markets move in cycles, and these cycles are governed by natural and cosmic rhythms. The relationship between time and price is crucial, but time, as Gann states, is often the more significant factor. - While price shows the movement, it is the time element that reveals the true potential of a market cycle. Gann's theory posits that price will ultimately follow time-based cycles, meaning that a specific time point will have a more profound influence on future price movements than price levels alone. 2.Time: The Key Driver of Market Movements: - In his writings, Gann emphasizes the importance of specific time intervals, particularly geometric and astrological cycles, to predict price movements. Markets do not move in a vacuum; they respond to the inherent rhythms of time. - As described in The Tunnel Thru the Air and How to Make Profits in Commodities, Gann believed that understanding time cycles could help traders forecast market turning points more accurately than focusing solely on price patterns. 3.The Significance of Degrees and Cycles: - Gann used the concept of a "degree" to measure time in a circular manner. A degree represents a specific amount of time, where 360 degrees make a complete cycle. He applied this idea to market movements, showing how price and time could be mapped in a circular form. - Gann believed everything in the universe operates in cycles—astrological, physical, and even economic. Through his Gann Wheel, Gann demonstrated how specific degrees, such as 90°, 180°, and 360°, corresponded to important market levels and time intervals. 4.Astrological Influence on Time and Price: - Gann integrated astrology into his market analysis, acknowledging that planetary movements had a direct influence on market cycles. For example, a planet returning to the same degree it occupied at the start of a cycle could be a strong indicator of a market shift. - By converting planetary positions into degrees and mapping them onto market time frames, Gann successfully predicted major market events. 5.Why Time is Critical: - Gann's extensive research showed that market trends often form at specific time intervals—regardless of the price level—such as at 90, 180, 270, or 360 degrees from a key turning point. -The timing of a market move can indicate a price reversal or continuation, and Gann believed that correctly identifying these time cycles allowed for more precise predictions. -The market’s response to time cycles reveals the true potential of price movements, as price action will follow these natural time-based rhythms. 6.The Gann Square and Time Cycles: -The Gann Square is another tool Gann used to analyse price and time. It is a geometric pattern based on the number 9, and each square corresponds to specific time and price relationships. By calculating the number of days or weeks that correspond with these squares, traders could better predict key market turning points. - Gann’s approach suggests that once a market has completed a cycle of 360 degrees (time), the next cycle could follow a similar pattern, reinforcing the idea that time leads price. 7. Converting Everything to Degrees: - Gann’s unique ability to convert price and time into degrees allowed him to identify specific turning points. Whether it was a stock chart, a commodity price, or even an astrological event, everything could be analysed using this degree-based methodology. - In his Master Commodities Course and Gann Master Charts, he elaborated on how these degrees could be used for precise timing and decision-making in trading. Each market action and reaction could be mapped along a 360-degree circle, giving traders a unique insight into future movements. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "Here is a trade example using the Gann Astro Trading Principle." "Using Gann Astro techniques, I accurately calculated the exact reversal time for Gold 2 hours in advance. Although my limit orders didn’t get filled, the market reversed precisely at the predicted time, showcasing the precision of intraday trading with Gann Astro trading and mathematical Models" OANDA:XAUUSD TIME OF REVERSAL CALCULATED 2 HOURS PRIOR - In the market, TIME is more important than PRICE. Most of you are misled by retail strategies that solely focus on the X-axis (price), which is fundamentally flawed. Markets move based on the function of TIME, not price, and certainly not by your lagging indicators or ineffective strategies focused only on price. The real truth lies in the Y-axis: TIME. TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE - GANN WHEN THE TIME IS UP THE MARKET WILL REVERSE- GANN (Note: Emphasizes the precision of your calculation and method while acknowledging the limit order not being filled.) "YOU DON'T PANIC WHEN YOU KNOW THE GAME" ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Conclusion: Time, as Gann stated, is often the more important element in forecasting price movements because it reflects the cosmic and cyclical influences that govern all aspects of life, including the markets. By converting everything to degrees, Gann was able to map time and price in a way that provided clearer insights into market direction. Through his works, we see that the true key to success in trading lies not just in price levels but in understanding the cycles of time that drive the markets.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by GannAstroTrader
10
Understanding Gann Astro Trading.Understanding Gann Astro Trading: Why Time is More Important than Price 1.Time and Price are Interconnected: - According to Gann, markets move in cycles, and these cycles are governed by natural and cosmic rhythms. The relationship between time and price is crucial, but time, as Gann states, is often the more significant factor. - While price shows the movement, it is the time element that reveals the true potential of a market cycle. Gann's theory posits that price will ultimately follow time-based cycles, meaning that a specific time point will have a more profound influence on future price movements than price levels alone. 2.Time: The Key Driver of Market Movements: - In his writings, Gann emphasizes the importance of specific time intervals, particularly geometric and astrological cycles, to predict price movements. Markets do not move in a vacuum; they respond to the inherent rhythms of time. - As described in The Tunnel Thru the Air and How to Make Profits in Commodities, Gann believed that understanding time cycles could help traders forecast market turning points more accurately than focusing solely on price patterns. 3.The Significance of Degrees and Cycles: - Gann used the concept of a "degree" to measure time in a circular manner. A degree represents a specific amount of time, where 360 degrees make a complete cycle. He applied this idea to market movements, showing how price and time could be mapped in a circular form. - Gann believed everything in the universe operates in cycles—astrological, physical, and even economic. Through his Gann Wheel, Gann demonstrated how specific degrees, such as 90°, 180°, and 360°, corresponded to important market levels and time intervals. 4.Astrological Influence on Time and Price: - Gann integrated astrology into his market analysis, acknowledging that planetary movements had a direct influence on market cycles. For example, a planet returning to the same degree it occupied at the start of a cycle could be a strong indicator of a market shift. - By converting planetary positions into degrees and mapping them onto market time frames, Gann successfully predicted major market events. 5.Why Time is Critical: - Gann's extensive research showed that market trends often form at specific time intervals—regardless of the price level—such as at 90, 180, 270, or 360 degrees from a key turning point. -The timing of a market move can indicate a price reversal or continuation, and Gann believed that correctly identifying these time cycles allowed for more precise predictions. -The market’s response to time cycles reveals the true potential of price movements, as price action will follow these natural time-based rhythms. 6.The Gann Square and Time Cycles: -The Gann Square is another tool Gann used to analyse price and time. It is a geometric pattern based on the number 9, and each square corresponds to specific time and price relationships. By calculating the number of days or weeks that correspond with these squares, traders could better predict key market turning points. - Gann’s approach suggests that once a market has completed a cycle of 360 degrees (time), the next cycle could follow a similar pattern, reinforcing the idea that time leads price. 7. Converting Everything to Degrees: - Gann’s unique ability to convert price and time into degrees allowed him to identify specific turning points. Whether it was a stock chart, a commodity price, or even an astrological event, everything could be analysed using this degree-based methodology. - In his Master Commodities Course and Gann Master Charts, he elaborated on how these degrees could be used for precise timing and decision-making in trading. Each market action and reaction could be mapped along a 360-degree circle, giving traders a unique insight into future movements. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "Here is a trade example using the Gann Astro Trading Principle." "Using Gann Astro techniques, I accurately calculated the exact reversal time for Gold 2 hours in advance. Although my limit orders didn’t get filled, the market reversed precisely at the predicted time, showcasing the precision of intraday trading with Gann Astro trading and mathematical Models" OANDA:XAUUSD TIME OF REVERSAL CALCULATED 2 HOURS PRIOR - In the market, TIME is more important than PRICE. Most of you are misled by retail strategies that solely focus on the X-axis (price), which is fundamentally flawed. Markets move based on the function of TIME, not price, and certainly not by your lagging indicators or ineffective strategies focused only on price. The real truth lies in the Y-axis: TIME. TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE - GANN WHEN THE TIME IS UP THE MARKET WILL REVERSE- GANN (Note: Emphasizes the precision of your calculation and method while acknowledging the limit order not being filled.) "YOU DON'T PANIC WHEN YOU KNOW THE GAME" ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Conclusion: Time, as Gann stated, is often the more important element in forecasting price movements because it reflects the cosmic and cyclical influences that govern all aspects of life, including the markets. By converting everything to degrees, Gann was able to map time and price in a way that provided clearer insights into market direction. Through his works, we see that the true key to success in trading lies not just in price levels but in understanding the cycles of time that drive the markets.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by GannAstroTrader
Surviving the Crazy Market: Two Tricks That Saved My TradingI've had those moments where watching my trades feels like being on a wild roller coaster, my stomach all twisty with excitement and fear. Here's my story and two tricks that have helped me when the market goes nuts: Trick 1: My Chill-Out Break There was this one time when the market just fell like a rock right after I made a trade. My heart was racing, and my first thought was to sell everything before I lost more money. But instead, I did something different. I set a timer for 15 minutes, went outside, and just watched the sky. When I came back, I wasn't panicking anymore. The market had calmed down a bit too. With a clear head, I looked at my trade again, adjusted my stop-loss, and held on until it got better. What I Did: I took a break from my computer. How I Felt: I went from super scared to pretty relaxed. What Happened: I made better choices and didn't lose as much money. Trick 2: My Crazy Meter I used to dive into trading without thinking about how wild the market was. After this one day when I lost a lot because I was trading like crazy, I made up something I call my "Crazy Meter." Before I trade, I check if the market's calm or wild, giving it a number from 1 to 10. If it's really wild, over a 7, I only use a tiny bit of my money and make sure I can stop the trade if things go too bad. What I Did: I check how wild the market is before I trade. How I Felt: I felt prepared, not scared of what the market might do. What Happened: I didn't lose a lot, and sometimes I even made money when others were freaking out. Have you ever had your trades go all over the place and felt just as scared as I did? These tricks might help you too! If you want to learn more about handling when the market goes nuts, come to my webinar this Sunday. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:DJTEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
My Crazy Trading Story and How I Fixed ItHey everyone! I want to tell you about this one time when trading made me feel like I was on a wild rollercoaster. I made some money with a trade, and I got so excited that I thought I could do it again, but even bigger. But guess what? I lost a lot of that money back because I was too greedy. I know you guys have felt this too: - Fear: When your trade starts going down, and you get scared, selling it too early. Then, you see it going up the next day, and you're like, "Oh no, why did I do that?" - Greed: When you win big, you want more, right? But sometimes, that makes you keep a trade too long or do another one without thinking, and then you lose. -Worry: Those nights where you can't stop thinking about your trades. You're either scared to lose more or afraid you'll miss out if you don't trade. It's so hard to decide what to do. It's super frustrating when you mess up because you're letting your feelings control your trades. But I found a cool trick that helped me a lot: My Trick: The Chill-Out Break When I start feeling all those big emotions - like greed or worry - I set a timer for 15 minutes. I go outside, take a walk, or play with my dog. Anything to get my mind off trading for a bit. When I come back, I'm calmer, and I can think better about what to do next. It's like taking a timeout in a game, but for your brain. This little break has stopped me from making bad choices just because I was feeling too much. It's not just about making more money; it's about being happy while trading. Have you ever felt like this when you're trading? What do you do to calm down? Let's talk about it! Ever felt this way? Send me a DM, I'm more than happy to help or even join my webinar this Sunday. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:PLTREducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
Predicting Bitcoin's Cycle Using the Elliott Wave Theory, Part 3Hello Traders. With the new year upon us, I think sufficient time has passed for the charts to develop from our previous #Bitcoin analysis. Having accurately forecasted the macro trends for each pivot within a reasonable margin of error, I believe we're approaching another pivotal moment this year, aligning with our previous predictions. Please take this post with a grain of salt, and more importantly, please use it to add confluence to your personal theories. In this post, we will be diving deeper into the Elliott Wave Theory by also integrating the Wyckoff Market Cycle Theory. By combining the two theories, the chart below represents our current position within the final leg for what could be giving us signs of a possible reversal (again, within margin of error depending on how far wave 5 extends): Wyckoff believed that markets move in cycles, which arguably has a direct correlation to the Elliott Wave 5-wave/3-wave cycle. Wyckoff introduced a four-stage market cycle , attributing it to the actions of institutional players who strategically influence price movements to capitalize on the behavior of uninformed traders. Simply put, the theory gives us a further understanding of 'cause and effect' within the markets. In my view, the Wyckoff cycle also does a fantastic job of representing market psychology. And if intertwined correctly with the Elliott Wave Theory, price action tends to follow patterns in similar ways. The Elliott Wave Theory and Wyckoff Theory often overlap in their application and interpretation of market behavior, but they approach the market from different perspectives. Both theories aim to understand and predict market movements based on the behavior of market participants and price cycles, making them complementary in many ways. Commonalities Between the Elliott Wave Theory and Wyckoff Theory: Market Cycles - Wyckoff Theory identifies a four-stage market cycle: Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and Markdown. The Elliott Wave Theory also emphasizes cyclic behavior through a fractal structure of impulsive and corrective waves within broader market cycles. - Both theories suggest that price movements are not random but follow identifiable patterns driven by market psychology. Psychological Basis - Wyckoff focuses on the interaction between "big players" (institutional traders) and "uninformed traders," highlighting group psychology and how institutional actions exploit public sentiment. - Elliott Wave focuses on the crowd psychology behind price movements, suggesting that mass investor sentiment drives waves in predictable patterns. **Both theories reflect the influence of human behavior and emotions on market prices.** Application Across Timeframes - Both theories are applicable across multiple timeframes, from intraday trading to long-term investments. This flexibility allows traders to use them in conjunction for deeper market analysis. Identification of Trends and Reversals - In Wyckoff Theory, phases like Markup and Markdown align with Elliott Wave's impulsive trends, while Accumulation and Distribution phases can correspond to corrective wave patterns. - Both approaches aim to identify key turning points in the market, helping traders anticipate trends and reversals. ----- The Four Stages of the Market Cycle According to Wyckoff Accumulation Phase This is a sideways range where institutional traders accumulate positions quietly to avoid driving prices higher. During this phase, the asset remains out of the public spotlight, and uninformed traders are largely unaware of the activity. On a price chart, the phase appears as a range-bound movement between areas of support and resistance. Markup Phase Following the accumulation phase, the market enters a classic uptrend. As prices rise, uninformed traders begin to notice and join in, further fueling the rally. Institutional players may take partial profits or continue holding for greater gains. Short sellers caught off guard are forced to cover their positions, adding additional buying pressure and driving prices to new highs. Distribution Phase After the uptrend loses momentum, the market transitions into a sideways range, marking the distribution phase. Institutional players use this period to offload their holdings, while uninformed traders, still expecting higher prices, continue to buy. Some institutional traders may also initiate short positions during this phase to benefit from the subsequent price decline. On the price chart, this phase appears as a reversal of the uptrend into a sideways range. Markdown Phase The markdown phase is characterized by a downtrend following the distribution phase. Institutional traders add to their short positions, while uninformed traders, recognizing the decline too late, sell in panic, creating further downward pressure. The market eventually reaches new lows as selling accelerates. The Model of Group Psychology After the markdown phase, the cycle often repeats, moving from accumulation to markup, distribution, and markdown again. The Wyckoff cycle offers a simplified perspective on market behavior, focusing on the psychological dynamics between two groups: institutional traders (the "big players") and uninformed traders (the "small players"). It highlights how the mistakes and emotional reactions of uninformed traders often benefit institutional players. The Wyckoff cycle provides valuable insights into market behavior but is not without limitations: Limitations of the Wyckoff Trading Cycle Difficulty in Identifying Phases Distinguishing between accumulation and distribution phases can be challenging. What appears to be an accumulation phase might turn into a distribution phase, with the market unexpectedly breaking lower. Timing Challenges Entering trades during accumulation or distribution phases is difficult due to the lack of clear stop-loss levels. Placing stops around support and resistance often leads to being trapped. Complexity in Trading Trends Trading the markup and markdown phases requires skill, as they are filled with complex price action patterns. Modern markets often experience frequent trend reversals, complicating trade execution. Irregular Cycles The market does not always follow the textbook sequence of accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown. Variations such as accumulation followed by markdown or other combinations are possible. Despite its limitations, the Wyckoff cycle remains a useful framework for understanding market behavior. It is best combined with other strategies, such as price action and market dynamics, to enhance its practical applicability. While modern markets may reduce the cycle's predictive reliability, it still serves as a powerful tool for traders who know how to apply it effectively. Proper Application of the Elliott Wave Theory and Wyckoff Overlap (in Practice): Trend Identification: The Markup Phase in Wyckoff often aligns with Elliott's Impulse Waves (1, 3, and 5), while the Markdown Phase aligns with corrective waves or bearish impulses. Sideways Markets: Wyckoff’s Accumulation and Distribution phases correspond to Elliott’s Corrective Waves (A-B-C) or sideways consolidations (Flats and Triangles). Volume Confirmation: Traders can use Wyckoff’s volume analysis to validate Elliott Wave patterns, especially in identifying wave 3's (typically accompanied by high volume) and wave 5's (often showing declining volume). Timing and Execution: Wyckoff’s emphasis on identifying support/resistance levels and trading ranges can help refine the entry and exit points suggested by the Elliott Wave Theory. Combining the Two: Many traders find value in combining these theories: - Use Wyckoff to identify key price levels and market phases (e.g., when accumulation or distribution is occurring). - Use Elliott Wave to determine the broader trend structure and anticipate the next moves within those levels. - By integrating Wyckoff’s volume-driven approach with Elliott’s fractal patterns, traders can gain a comprehensive view of the market and improve their ability to time trades effectively. ---- By integrating the concepts from both theories and the outlined schematics, we can now take a closer look at how Bitcoin is behaving through the lens of these frameworks. As observed, Bitcoin appears to be nearing the completion of the potential 5th wave we've been discussing over the past year. In my view, a bear market (or at least a significant correction) may be approaching. While timing is uncertain due to the unlikely nature of extensions, we can use insights from both Wyckoff and Elliott Wave theories to gauge our current position. I believe we are likely in the Distribution phase, which aligns with the 5th wave. The 5th wave can extend as much as it wants, but it won't change the overall conclusion of the cycle. We still anticipate the cyclical behavior that Bitcoin has shown in the past. While past price action isn't necessarily a predictor of future movements, it often follows a similar pattern.
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by XForceGlobal
22
Trading GBPUSD and NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 30-03/01/25The past week offered a subtle reminder that trading isn't always about pushing the buy or sell button. Sometimes, when market conditions are less predictable, it is advisable to sit back and concentrate on tape reading to allow market to reveal its intentions before engaging in trades. During the festive season and approaching the New Year, the market often exhibits erratic behaviour, making trading a bit difficult, and traders are often slaughtered under these conditions. Using the Judas Swing strategy, we scouted for trades during this period to evaluate how the strategy would perform under these conditions. On Monday, we did not find any trading opportunities on the four currency pairs we were monitoring. Fortunately the next day, we saw a potential trading setup forming on GBPUSD which caught our attention. We saw a sweep of liquidity on the sell side, signalling potential buying opportunities on GBPUSD. This followed a break of structure to the buy side, that price leg also left behind a fair value gap (FVG). With these conditions aligning, all we need is a retrace into the FVG to fulfil the entry requirements on our checklist. Twenty minutes later, we saw the retracement needed to enter the GBPUSD trade, triggered by the candle that closed within the FVG. We executed the trade with a 1% risk allocation from our trading account, aiming for a 2% return on this setup. This trade barely showed any profit before hitting our stop loss within twenty five minutes, leaving us down by 1% for the day. Did losing that amount bother us? Not at all. We were fully comfortable with the risk we had allocated for the trade. Wednesday didn’t present any trading opportunities, but on Thursday, we identified a promising setup on AUDUSD that we were eager to capitalize on. Once the price retraced into the FVG and all the requirements on our checklist were met, we executed the trade, risking 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% return The AUDUSD trade came within a few pips of hitting our take profit (TP) before reversing and going the other way. From our backtest data, we’ve observed that taking partial profits negatively impacts the strategy’s overall performance over time. Instead, allowing trades to play out fully either hitting the stop loss or the take profit has consistently delivered better results in the long run. While reviewing our data, we also noted that it’s not uncommon for trades to come very close to hitting TP, only to reverse and hit the stop loss. Although this doesn’t happen often, it’s a pattern we’ve seen before during our backtesting sessions, so it wasn’t surprising when it occurred here. Taking a loss like this can be emotionally taxing, especially if you risked more than you could afford to lose or weren’t prepared for such scenarios due to a lack of backtesting. That’s why we can’t stress enough the importance of backtesting—it allows you to observe various scenarios in action and equips you to handle these situations more effectively. Friday didn’t present any trading opportunities, leaving us down 2% on our trading account for the week. However, we’re okay with this outcome, knowing that one good trade can offset those losses.
Education
by CleoFinance
Investment Strategies for 2025: Insights from 2024 As we embark on 2025, the investment horizon is shaped by the remarkable performance of various asset classes in the previous year. In 2024, global stock markets soared, largely driven by advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), while precious metals, base metals, and other sectors also yielded impressive returns. With the constant evolution of market dynamics, it is crucial to analyze the key factors influencing investments as we transition into 2025. This article outlines significant takeaways from 2024's performance and identifies the upcoming trends and opportunities in the financial markets. A Review of Investment Performance in 2024 The landscape of 2024 was characterized by commendable gains across multiple asset classes. Major stock indices saw extraordinary growth, heavily influenced by the fervor surrounding AI technology. Precious metals, base metals, soft commodities, and alternatives also reported substantial returns. In the United States, the S&P 500 index increased by an astounding 27%, crossing the 6,000-point mark for the first time. Similarly, the UK’s FTSE 100 index demonstrated robust performance, delivering noteworthy returns, especially when accounting for dividends. Elevated interest rates ultimately bolstered bond market performance, further enhancing investment possibilities. S&P500 2024 Performance FTSE 2024 Performance Dow Jones 2024 Performance However, it is vital to acknowledge that even the most successful investments do not maintain uninterrupted growth. Historical performance does not guarantee future results, highlighting the importance of exercising caution in investment strategies. Certain timeless investment principles endure. Market timing remains a challenging endeavor, with the prevailing wisdom advocating for consistent market participation rather than chasing the ideal entry points. Maintaining a long-term outlook, diversifying investment portfolios, and establishing effective risk management strategies prove beneficial for investors. Given that nearly all asset classes thrived in 2024, maintaining a level-headed approach is more critical than ever. It is essential to avoid emotional trading driven by FOMO (fear of missing out), as this can hinder a successful investment journey. ⭐️ Read Also: Key Factors Influencing Financial Markets in 2025 As we step into 2025, several pivotal themes are anticipated to affect financial markets. These include shifts in U.S. economic policies, technological advancements, and changing dynamics in global trade. Below, we explore the critical factors expected to shape market conditions in the coming year. **1. U.S. Tariffs and Tax Reforms** The administration under President Donald Trump has signaled significant economic shifts, including the potential implementation of tariffs and tax cuts. Proposed tariffs of 10% or more on imports, particularly from China, could influence numerous sectors, including automotive, electronics, agriculture, and retail. Additionally, a reduction in the corporate tax rate from 21% to 15% may enhance corporate earnings, benefiting shareholders. However, higher import costs could ultimately drive consumer prices up, potentially stifling spending. While some analysts predict a balanced effect, caution is warranted given the potential for increased market volatility stemming from these changes. **2. Federal Reserve Interest Rate Policy** It is widely anticipated that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates further in 2025, with projections of a reduction of at least 75 basis points throughout the year. This would make borrowing more affordable and stimulate economic activity. Historically, interest rate cuts have positively affected sectors such as automotive and retail, as consumers benefit from lower financing costs. However, the actual impact will depend on prevailing global economic conditions and the effectiveness of these monetary policies in fostering growth. **3. Rise of Blockchain and Cryptocurrencies** Blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies are expected to gain further traction in 2025. From securing data to streamlining operations in finance, logistics, and real estate, the applications of blockchain continue to expand. The adoption of digital currencies is likely to provide a boost to crypto exchanges, mining companies, and manufacturers of specialized hardware. As blockchain technology integrates further into traditional economies, it could revolutionize the financial landscape and open up new investment opportunities. **4. The Continued Advancement of AI and Automation** Artificial intelligence (AI) and automation are anticipated to catalyze major market transformations. Major technology firms are projected to invest over $200 billion in AI development, enabling businesses to optimize their operations and achieve measurable financial outcomes. Cloud computing providers and companies focused on high-performance computing stand to gain the most from these technological advancements. As these innovations mature, their ripple effects across different sectors will likely enhance productivity and profitability. ⭐️ Read Also: Top Investment Picks for 2025 **1. S&P 500 Index Fund: A Road to Diversification** For investors aiming to navigate the intricate market landscape, broad index funds remain a dependable option. A low-cost S&P 500 index fund offers exposure to 500 of the largest American companies, delivering a consistent performance track record with average annual returns of approximately 10% over time. For those desiring even greater diversification, total market or global index funds present an attractive alternative, encompassing a blend of U.S. and international equities and capturing a broader spectrum of global economic opportunities. **2. Microsoft Corp. (MSFT): A Beacon of Innovation** Microsoft stands out as a leading choice for 2025, showcasing a stock price of $415.29 alongside trailing 12-month revenue of $254 billion. Its 0.8% dividend yield adds an appealing income potential for investors. The company’s leadership in cloud computing and artificial intelligence positions it strongly amidst technological innovation. With its Azure platform supporting both AI and blockchain initiatives, Microsoft remains integral to the businesses embracing cutting-edge technologies. Recent quarterly revenues from its Intelligent Cloud segment reached $24.1 billion, signifying robust growth. Microsoft Corp 2024 Performance Analysts remain optimistic about Microsoft, projecting a consensus price target of $503.43, which suggests potential upside of nearly 22%. As demand for AI-driven solutions escalates, Microsoft solidifies its appeal among investors. **3. Gold: The Timeless Safe Haven** Gold has long been acknowledged as a reliable safe-haven asset, particularly during periods of economic volatility. This reputation persisted throughout 2024, with the yellow metal continuing to attract substantial attention from central banks and investors. According to the World Gold Council, central banks purchased a notable 694 tons of gold in the first three quarters of 2024. While slightly below the record levels of 2023, this figure remains among the highest recorded. Over a rolling four-quarter period, net purchases reached 909 tons, significantly above the historical average. This shift marks a departure from previous decades characterized by gold-selling practices, with central banks now engaging in a sustained buying spree lasting over two years. Gold’s enduring allure stems from its independence from any specific government or issuer, serving as a valuable diversification tool. Holding gold enables central banks to diminish their reliance on traditional safe assets like the U.S. dollar or Treasury securities, a strategy gaining prominence amidst ongoing U.S. debt ceiling concerns. GOLD Futures 2024 Performance In 2024, gold prices surged beyond $2,600 per ounce, driven by robust demand and strong investor sentiment. While many analysts anticipate further increases in 2025, uncertainties remain, particularly if the incoming U.S. administration leads to sustained high-interest rates that may impact gold’s upward trajectory. Additionally, demand from China will continue to be a critical variable to monitor. Conclusion As we look forward to 2025, investors must be agile and informed to adeptly navigate the fluctuating financial markets. The commendable performance of asset classes like stocks, metals, and bonds in 2024 illustrates that while markets can flourish, they remain unpredictable. With economic policies, technological changes, and global trends shaping the investment environment, maintaining a diversified portfolio and focusing on long-term goals will be crucial in managing potential volatility. Key factors such as U.S. tariffs and tax adjustments, regulatory trends, and the burgeoning growth of AI and blockchain technology are among the variables likely to influence market movement. Savvy investors can leverage these trends by aligning their portfolios accordingly while judiciously managing risks. For those seeking a balanced investment strategy, considerations like S&P 500 index funds, Microsoft, and gold can provide both stability and growth. In these dynamic times, it is essential to steer clear of emotional decision-making, grounding investment choices in disciplined, research-informed strategies. Whether exploring diversification through broad index funds, capitalizing on AI and energy sectors, or investing in reliable safe-haven assets like gold, 2025 offers a myriad of investment pathways to explore. ✅ Please share your thoughts about this educational post in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate! Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution
Education
by FOREXN1
1
#1 Provisional Balance 2025: A Promising Start with +5%! Dear readers, My name is Andrea Russo, and today, January 9, 2025, I want to share with you the first provisional balance (#1) of the new year. After completing three trades, my initial capital has increased by +5%. Not bad as a starting point, right? But what really matters is not just the result, but the strategy behind these numbers. My Strategy: Win Big and Lose Small My investment approach is simple but effective: Every winning trade increases the current capital by +30%. Every losing trade results in a -10% loss of the current capital. This strategy is based on disciplined risk management and maximizing market opportunities. It’s a system that allows me to move forward gradually, protecting my capital from significant shocks. What Has Happened So Far? Here are the results of the three trades closed so far, all verifiable on my Trading View profile: EUR/MXN: Profit of +30% on the invested capital. EUR/JPY: Loss of -10% on the invested capital. EUR/ZAR: Loss of -10% on invested capital. Additionally, I have a trade on EUR/NOK, which is currently under evaluation. With this combination of results, my total balance so far shows an encouraging +5% increase in the initial capital. A small step, but in the right direction. Why Share This Journey? Documenting and sharing my journey helps me stay accountable and disciplined. Moreover, I want to show that a clear and verifiable strategy can lead to concrete results, even in a complex and unpredictable market. Looking Ahead This is just the beginning of 2025. I will continue to provide balance updates at regular intervals and publish my trades on Trading View, where you can verify them personally. The road is long, but every step is an opportunity to grow and learn. Thank you for your support.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Recency Bias: Your Brain’s Worst Trade Idea Ever!Let’s face it: your brain is out to sabotage your trading, and recency bias is its weapon of choice. This sneaky psychological gremlin convinces you that your last few trades—good or bad—are all that matter. But spoiler alert: they’re not. 🎲 What is Recency Bias? Recency bias is your brain’s tendency to overvalue recent events and ignore the bigger picture. Three wins in a row? You’re invincible, right? WRONG. Three losses? Time to ditch your strategy? ALSO WRONG. The market doesn’t care about your streak—it plays the long game, and so should you. 💀 How It Destroys You 1️⃣ Winning Streak Confidence: After a few wins, you start upping your risk like you’re Warren Buffet. Then BAM—one loss wipes you out. 2️⃣ Losing Streak Paralysis: A few losses, and suddenly you’re too scared to pull the trigger, even on solid setups. 3️⃣ Revenge Trading: The currency pair that burned you? Oh, you’ll “get it back,” right? Nope. You’ll just lose more. 🛡️ How to Beat It 1️⃣ Reset Daily: Clear your head before every session. Meditate, walk, scream into a pillow—whatever works. 2️⃣ Stick to Your Plan: Your strategy works because it’s tested, not because your emotions say so. 3️⃣ Journal Everything: Spot your patterns before they wreck you. 4️⃣ Manage Risk: Winning or losing streaks shouldn’t change your position size. Period. 5️⃣ Check Your Ego: The market isn’t out to get you. It doesn’t even know you exist. 🧠 Final Words Recency bias is a sneaky little troll, but with self-awareness and discipline, you can shut it down. Remember: your last trade doesn’t define you—your consistency does. Now stop letting your brain gaslight you and go trade like the pro you were meant to be. 🚀
Education
by RoadToAMillionClub
Trade trainingHello guys This time we came with classic price action training. As you can see, after a strong upward movement, the price entered suffering and made a ceiling and made a heavy fall, which caused the failure of the previous floor. Now we can enter into a sell transaction with the first pullback, and our target will be the defined support range. Now that the price has entered the channel after the spike, we can still enter into a sell transaction with any upward move until we see signs of trend reversal. *Trade safely with us*
Education
by TheHunters_Company
5 Mistakes to Avoid When Trading Futures(My Personal Experience)Hi everybody🫶 Many of You have been asking about trading futures! So, I decided to write a post about the mistakes I’ve made in futures trading and how to avoid them. Of course, everyone has their own journey and will make their own mistakes, but learning from someone else’s experience can be incredibly valuable too! Trading futures can be highly rewarding, but it also carries significant risks. Based on my own experience, here are five common mistakes I made and how to avoid them: 1. Ignoring Stop-Losses Mistake: Many traders skip setting stop-losses, hoping the price will reverse in their favor. This can lead to devastating losses. How to avoid it: Always set stop-losses before entering a trade. They are a simple yet effective way to limit losses. If you're worried about stop-hunts, place them considering market volatility or use trailing stops. 2. Overusing Leverage Mistake: High leverage can amplify profits, but it also significantly increases potential losses, especially in volatile markets. How to avoid it: Use minimal leverage, particularly if you're a beginner. Calculate your position size so that any potential loss does not exceed 1-2% of your capital per trade. 3. Trading Without a Clear Plan Mistake: Trading based on emotions or intuition often leads to chaotic decisions and loss of capital. How to avoid it: Develop and stick to a clear trading plan. Define your entry and exit points, position size, and risk levels before opening a trade. Regularly review and analyze your results. 4. Neglecting Risk Management Mistake: Putting too much capital into a single trade or failing to account for market volatility can result in substantial losses. How to avoid it: Diversify your positions and follow the rule: never risk more than 2% of your total capital at once. Assess current market volatility and adjust your position size accordingly. 5. Letting Emotions Drive Your Trades Mistake: Greed, fear, or the urge to "get even" can lead to impulsive and poorly thought-out decisions. How to avoid it: Stick to your pre-defined strategy instead of reacting emotionally. If you feel emotions taking over, take a break. Trading requires discipline and a calm mindset. Avoiding these mistakes and following these tips, which come from my personal experience, can help you reduce risks and improve your chances of success in futures trading. Remember, the market is always full of opportunities, stay calm to catch them! Thank You for staying with me Sincerely yours, Kateryna💋
Education
by RocketBomb
What are the key features of the Floki Inu and its future?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ Overview of Floki Inu: In the world of cryptocurrency, numerous projects exist, each falling into specific categories based on their characteristics and objectives. One such category is meme coins, which, despite their whimsical nature, have captured the attention of investors and enthusiasts alike. Among the most popular and disruptive meme coins in the crypto space is Floki Inu, a project that has gained significant attention with its remarkable market cap and immense influence in the crypto industry. Floki Inu is a meme coin inspired by the name of Elon Musk's dog, built on the Ethereum blockchain. In this analysis, we will explore what Floki Inu is, who its creators are, its origins, how to purchase it, its use cases, whether it represents a sound investment, and what sets it apart from other competing meme coins. My Personal Perspective and Technical Analysis of Floki Inu: Cryptocurrencies associated with famous personalities inherently carry high potential, but they are also characterized by significant volatility and high risk. However, they can be good options for short-term and periodic gains. The technical chart of this asset currently shows a promising upward trend, though we might observe some bearish consolidations before this upward movement fully materializes. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post provided by the website, this is merely my personal opinion and should not be interpreted as financial advice. How to Buy Floki Inu? First, you need to create an account on an exchange that lists Floki Inu. It’s essential to choose a secure trading platform with strong security measures like two-factor authentication and data encryption. The transaction fees should also be reasonable to avoid diminishing your profits. Make sure the platform supports Floki Inu and offers an easy-to-use interface for smooth trading. Reading user reviews and online feedback can help you choose the right platform. The History of Floki Inu: What is the story behind the creation of Floki Inu, and how did it all begin? The creation of Floki Inu stems from a single tweet. On June 25, 2021, Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla and the current owner of Twitter, tweeted that he would soon be adopting a Shiba Inu puppy, which he intended to name Floki. Little did anyone know, this tweet would spark the creation of a new meme coin bearing the name of Musk’s dog. Following the tweet, an anonymous developer created Floki Inu, only to abandon the project shortly thereafter. However, less than two weeks later, on July 6, 2021, a passionate community of supporters and enthusiasts revived the project, taking matters into their own hands. The team behind Floki Inu recognized the significant influence Musk had on the price movements of meme coins such as Dogecoin and Shiba Inu. Interestingly, on September 12, when Musk tweeted that his family had received the puppy, Floki Inu was already actively being traded in the market. The token was deployed on the Ethereum blockchain as an ERC-20 token. However, Floki Inu quickly evolved from a simple meme coin to a multifaceted project that now includes elements of Web 3.0, decentralized finance (DeFi), and the Metaverse. Floki Inu has since become known as The People’s Crypto. Floki Inu’s Mission: The Floki Inu team asserts that the project is part of a broader movement aimed at charitable activities, including building schools and addressing food insecurity. Their primary vision is to build schools in underdeveloped countries around the world. This mission has even garnered recognition from major institutions; for instance, Nasdaq (the New York Stock Exchange) listed Floki Inu as one of the top metaverse projects to invest in during 2022. The Floki Inu team is also collaborating with the Million Gardens Movement, led by Kimbal Musk, Elon Musk's brother. According to Floki Inu’s official website, it is the only cryptocurrency project that has an official partnership with this movement. The goal of their collaboration is to combat global food insecurity. Use Cases of Floki Inu: Floki Inu’s utility can be summarized in four key areas: 1. Investment: Floki Inu has garnered attention as a meme coin, largely due to Elon Musk’s tweets, which have historically influenced the price movements of cryptocurrencies. Many investors may purchase Floki Inu with the expectation that it will experience similar price increases driven by social media attention. 2. Trading: As with other cryptocurrencies, Floki Inu can be traded to capitalize on price fluctuations, with traders seeking to profit from short-term market movements. 3. Staking: Floki Inu is also a cryptocurrency that can be staked in various wallets, offering users the opportunity to earn rewards in return for locking their tokens in a staking mechanism. 4. Charitable Initiatives: This is perhaps the most distinguishing feature of Floki Inu. The project positions itself as a charitable movement, with its long-term vision of building schools and addressing food insecurity globally. The Floki Inu Ecosystem: Floki Inu has developed a unique ecosystem comprising several distinct projects that are still under development. These projects span areas such as non-fungible tokens (NFTs), decentralized finance (DeFi), and the Metaverse. Given that the adoption of Floki Inu in DeFi platforms or NFT marketplaces is currently limited, the development team is focused on expanding the token’s utility and broadening its acceptance through these diverse initiatives. Some of the key projects within the Floki Inu ecosystem include: Valhalla: An NFT-Based Game Floki Inu has entered the NFT gaming space with its game, Valhalla, which is centered around NFTs. In this game, players can earn rewards based on their participation, with full ownership of the FLOKI tokens they acquire. These FLOKI tokens act as the in-game currency, which can be used for purchases within the game. FlokiFi: A DeFi Project FlokiFi refers to a collection of decentralized finance (DeFi) products that Floki Inu plans to launch in the future. The first product in this suite is the FlokiFi Locker, which is designed to be one of the most innovative protocols in the industry for securing digital assets. There are also hints of new staking products in the works, although specific details have yet to be disclosed. FlokiPlace: An NFT Marketplace In line with the growing popularity of NFTs, Floki Inu aims to create FlokiPlace, a marketplace dedicated to NFTs and digital assets. The goal of FlokiPlace is to facilitate the buying and selling of NFTs and other digital products, while also establishing Floki Inu as a viable alternative to Bitcoin, Dogecoin, and even the US Dollar as a medium of exchange. Floki University: A Metaverse Platform for Crypto Education Floki University is an educational platform designed to teach individuals about cryptocurrency and blockchain technology. This metaverse-based university will offer a range of educational resources, with a focus on raising awareness of the Floki Inu ecosystem. Most of the courses will be available for free, though some specialized courses may require a fee, which can be paid using the FLOKI token. The long-term vision for Floki University is to become a leading platform with the largest database of crypto-related content, accessible to users worldwide using the FLOKI token. 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 Floki Inu is a meme coin inspired by Elon Musk's dog, launched in 2021, and built on the Ethereum blockchain. It aims to be more than just a meme, with a focus on charitable projects like building schools and tackling food insecurity. The ecosystem includes NFT games, DeFi projects, a marketplace, and an educational platform, positioning Floki Inu as both an investment and a movement. Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Education
by MadWhale
1
The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI): What Does It Tell Traders?The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI): What Does It Tell Traders? The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) is a widely watched economic indicator that helps traders assess the overall health of the economy via an early snapshot of business activity. Traders often use this data to analyse potential market movements across different asset classes, from equities to forex. In this article, we’ll explore what the PMI is, how it works, and why it matters for traders. PMI Definition The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) is a key economic indicator that offers insight into the business conditions of the manufacturing and services sectors. It’s derived from monthly surveys sent to purchasing managers at various companies, who provide data on several aspects of their business activities. The idea is to get a snapshot of how the economy is performing based on the people making the procurement decisions. PMI data is released in various countries, including majors. PMI is calculated by analysing five main components: - New Orders: Measures the level of new orders received by businesses, indicating future demand. - Inventory Levels: Looks at the stock of goods that companies have on hand, reflecting production expectations. - Production: Assesses the output levels of companies, showing current economic activity. - Supplier Deliveries: Tracks the time it takes for suppliers to deliver goods, which can signal supply chain conditions. - Employment: Monitors hiring levels, providing clues about the labour market. The PMI is reported as a number between 0 and 100. A reading above 50 suggests that the sector is expanding, while a figure below 50 indicates contraction. There are different types of PMIs to be aware of: - Manufacturing PMI: Focuses on the manufacturing sector and is often watched closely because manufacturing is a significant part of many economies. - Services PMI: Covers the services sector, which includes industries like finance, healthcare, and retail. - Composite PMI: Combines data from both the manufacturing and services sectors to give a broader picture of overall economic health. How the PMI Is Calculated The PMI economic indicator is calculated using survey responses from purchasing managers who report whether conditions have improved, remained the same, or worsened. Each response is assigned a score: 1 for improvement, 0.5 for no change, and 0 for deterioration. The PMI is then calculated using the formula: PMI = (P1 × 1) + (P2 × 0.5) + (P3 × 0) Where P1, P2, and P3 represent the percentages of each response. PMI as a Leading Economic Indicator The PMI is widely regarded as a leading economic indicator, meaning it often signals shifts in the economy before other data figures catch up. This is because it’s based on real-time data from purchasing managers, who have a front-row view of their companies’ supply chains and business activity. Early Signals The PMI often catches shifts in the economy before broader indicators like GDP can reflect them. For example, there may be a multi-month decline in the PMI index, meaning that an economic slowdown is coming, giving traders a chance to adjust their positions before the data is widely recognised. Global Comparisons PMI isn’t just available for one country; it’s tracked across the world. Comparing PMI data from different regions allows traders to see how various economies are performing relative to each other. For instance, if the Eurozone PMI is climbing while the US PMI is dropping, it might indicate stronger growth prospects in Europe. Correlation with Broader Economic Trends PMI trends are often correlated with other major indicators like GDP growth, inflation, and industrial output. For traders, this makes the PMI a useful tool to anticipate how markets might react to upcoming economic reports. If the PMI has been rising, GDP or job growth numbers are likely to follow suit, offering a way for traders to estimate upcoming economic releases. Why the PMI Report Matters to Traders The PMI indicator is a valuable tool for traders because it provides early insight into the state of the economy. Here’s why traders pay attention: - Economic Sentiment: A rising PMI suggests that businesses are seeing higher demand and increasing production, which can boost confidence in economic growth. On the flip side, a falling PMI can hint at slower activity, creating caution among traders. - Stock Market Reactions: Traders often see PMI data as a way to gauge how different markets might respond. For instance, if the PMI shows strong expansion, stock markets may react positively, especially in sectors sensitive to economic health like manufacturing or retail. Conversely, a weak PMI could lead to declines as concerns about slower growth set in. - Currency Impact: Currencies tend to strengthen when PMI data indicates economic expansion, particularly for major economies like the US or the Eurozone. This is because higher economic activity usually leads to higher interest rates, which can make a currency more attractive to investors. - Commodities: In commodities, a strong PMI often means higher demand for raw materials like oil and metals, while a weaker PMI could signal reduced demand. If you’d like to see how past PMI releases have impacted markets, head over to FXOpen to explore a world of stocks, currency pairs, commodities, and more. Interpreting the PMI in Trading When traders look at PMI data, they’re not just interested in whether the number is above or below 50—they’re looking for trends and context. As mentioned, a PMI above 50 generally signals economic expansion, while below 50 suggests contraction, but the details matter. Key Thresholds While 50 is the main dividing line, traders often watch for more specific levels. For instance, if the PMI climbs above 55, it usually points to strong growth. If it dips below 45, it could indicate a deeper economic slowdown. Traders pay attention to these shifts because they can signal changes in market sentiment. Month-to-Month Changes It’s not just about the latest PMI reading but how it compares to previous months. For example, a PMI of 52 might still suggest growth, but if it’s down from 57 the month before, traders may see it as a warning sign of slowing momentum. Conversely, an increase over several months can signal improving conditions. Market Reactions to Surprises Market expectations play a huge role in how PMI data is received. If the PMI reading is significantly higher or lower than expected, markets can react swiftly. A higher-than-expected PMI might push stock prices up as traders anticipate stronger economic growth. Conversely, a lower-than-expected PMI could spark sell-offs in risky assets​. Sector-Specific Insight Traders don’t just look at the headline PMI—they break down the numbers by sector. For example, if the manufacturing PMI is rising but the services PMI is stagnant or falling, it could mean that only certain parts of the economy are doing well. This helps traders understand which sectors might perform better in the short term. Global Context PMI data from major economies like the US, China, and the Eurozone can influence global markets. For example, strong US PMI data could push equities higher around the world, while weak data from China might affect commodity prices like copper or currencies like the Australian dollar. The Limitations of Using PMI While the PMI is a useful tool for understanding economic trends, it’s not without its limitations. Traders need to be aware of potential pitfalls when using this data in isolation. - Sector-Specific Focus: PMI primarily covers manufacturing and services, which means it might not fully represent the broader economy, especially in economies where other sectors, like technology or agriculture, play a significant role. - Short-Term Volatility: PMI data can be sensitive to short-term factors, such as seasonal demand fluctuations or temporary supply chain disruptions. These one-off events can distort the numbers, making it tricky to draw long-term conclusions based on a single month’s report. - External Factors: Sometimes, external factors like geopolitical tensions or sudden policy changes can have a bigger impact on markets than the underlying economic trends reflected in PMI. It’s always wise to consider the broader context. - Complementary Analysis Needed: Relying solely on PMI data without looking at other economic indicators, like employment figures or consumer spending, can lead to a narrow view. Therefore, it’s usually used as part of a broader economic analysis. The Bottom Line The PMI offers valuable insights into economic trends, helping traders analyse potential market movements across various asset classes. While not without its limitations, it's a key indicator for understanding market sentiment. For those looking to take advantage of PMI data in their trading, opening an FXOpen account provides access to more than 700 markets and low-cost, high-speed trading. FAQ What Does PMI Stand for in Markets? PMI stands for Purchasing Managers’ Index. It reflects the sentiment of purchasing managers who are responsible for buying goods and services in various industries. Their responses to monthly surveys form the basis of the PMI data, meaning traders can better understand which sectors are expanding or contracting. What Does PMI Mean in Trading? In trading, the PMI meaning refers to the Purchasing Managers’ Index, a key economic indicator that traders use to assess the health of the manufacturing and services sectors. It helps traders gauge economic growth or contraction, which can impact asset prices like equities, currencies, and commodities. How to Use PMI in Forex Trading? In forex trading, PMI data is closely monitored because it provides insight into economic strength. A higher PMI typically signals economic growth, which can strengthen a currency. Conversely, a lower PMI may suggest weaker economic activity, potentially putting downward pressure on the currency. How Does the PMI Index Work? The PMI index is calculated from monthly surveys of purchasing managers in manufacturing and services. The data covers areas like new orders, production, employment, supplier deliveries, and inventory levels. Readings over 50 demonstrate an expanding economy, while below 50 indicate a contracting economy. What Is Manufacturing PMI? Manufacturing PMI focuses solely on the manufacturing sector. It tracks changes in production, new orders, inventories, and more to reflect the overall health of the manufacturing industry. What Is the Difference Between the ISM and PMI Index? The ISM PMI index is produced by the Institute for Supply Management and focuses on the US economy, while PMI is a broader term that refers to similar indices in other regions, like IHS Markit’s global PMI. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
2