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Candlestick Analysis

3 Types of Charts You Must Know 📈 Hey traders, In this post, we will discuss 3 most popular types of charts. We will discuss the advantages and disadvantages of each one, and you will decide what type is the most appropriate for you. 📈Line Chart. Line chart is the most common chart applied by analysts. Reading financial articles in different news outlets, I noticed that most of the time the authors apply line chart for the data representation. On a price chart, the only parameter that the one can set is a time period. Time period will define a time of a security closing price. The security closing prices overtime will serve as ​data points. These points will be connected with a continuous line. Line charts are applied for displaying an asset's price history, reducing the noise from less volatile times. Being simplistic, they can provide a general picture and market sentiment. However, they are considered to be insufficient for pattern recognition and in depth analysis. 📏Range Bar Chart. In contrast to a line chart, a range bar chart does not consider time horizon. The only parameter that the one can set is a price range. By the range, I mean a price interval where the price moves. A new bar will be formed only once the prices passes the desired range. Such a chart allows to completely ignore time variable focusing only on price movement and hence reducing the market noise. The chart will plot new bars only when the market is volatile, and it will stagnate while the market is weak and consolidating. Accurately setting a desired price range, one can get multiple insights analyzing a range bar chart. 🕯Candlestick Chart. The most popular chart among technicians and my personal favorite. With just one single parameter - time period, the chart plots candlesticks. Each candlestick is formed as a desired time period passes. It contains an information about the opening price level, closing price, high and low of a selected time period. Candlestick chart is applied for pattern recognition and in-depth analysis. Its study unveils the behavior of the market participants and their actions at a desired time period. Of course, each chart has its own pluses and minuses. Choosing its type, you should know exactly what information do you want to derive from the chart. What chart type do you prefer? ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
12
2 Steps in Drawing a Downtrend Channel A buying strategy in a downtrend. How to identify buying opportunity in a downtrend? Not my preference to buy in a downtrend, but that does not mean we should avoid it when buying opportunity arises. Recognizing it is a downtrend, we keep our buy position short-term; as we are going against the trend. Discussion: Rules in constructing a downtrend parallel trendline Rule 1 – First the downtrend line Rule 2 – Then, its parallel Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CBOT_MINI:MYM1!Education
by konhow
39
Bounce Risk for Selling ShortStocks that are falling rapidly often have the illusion that they will never stop falling. The panic that settles into the mindset of an investor who is watching his or her profits and capital erode overnight can overwhelm a stock’s price action. So for a brief time, the stock can behave outside of what the chart patterns would suggest was reasonable. But the higher risk is always the bounce. Stocks can bounce without warning. Huge up days that form in a downtrend can cause significant losses for short sellers. A stock bounces because it hits a price point where: 1. b uyers are waiting to go long 2. where large-lot short sellers are preparing to exit Monthly and yearly highs are areas where there is risk for a bounce. These bounces are often caused by small-lot investors and traders perceiving this as a good place to buy a stock that has corrected. The old adage, “buy low and sell high,” prompts the uninformed to buy as a stock is running down without understanding the dynamics of a downtrend. So they buy at monthly and yearly highs when they are called out by the various news and trading chat forums: “XYZ has hit its 52-week price, this is a good time to buy XYZ.” Another big bounce area is far more important: the monthly lows and yearly lows. This is the price range where the wiser bargain hunters and bottom fishers lurk around. They know that low area is solid support and that a downtrending correction isn’t going to last on a strong company. Therefore, lows pose even bigger risk of bounces that actually can reverse the downtrend, especially if the steep descent has been underway for some time. A stock may nearly pierce through a sturdy support level, reach the yearly low and then suddenly make a V-shaped short-term bottom or shift sideways depending upon the strength of the stock and company. These sudden changes of trend catch many short traders unaware and create larger losses than monthly and yearly highs. Sideways patterns also create sturdy support levels where large bounces can occur for the rapidly falling stock. Moving averages for long-term trendlines are another area of strong support where bounce risk is high. How to avoid bounces for selling short: Identify each area where a stock could bounce. This includes the highs and lows of sideways action from prior years. Identify long-term moving average support on weekly charts. Identify monthly and yearly the highs and lows. After you have identified all support areas, determine if this support will be weak, moderate, or strong. Weak support will seldom cause problems for a falling stock and usually a resting day, at best, will form. Moderate support can cause a bounce that can take out tight stop losses and strong support can potentially wipe out a wider stop loss for a bigger loss. It is important to calculate the point gain to the lean side when selling short because bounces can occur before the support is actually touched. And do not be fooled by the falling stock that runs just beyond the support level--often a small run beyond the lowest low is just a ‘gottcha’ sell short entry for bargain hunters. This is the area where you will find the larger reversal candle patterns. Selling short is a faster-paced trading condition. It can be more lucrative with faster profits than the upside at times, but you must have plenty of experience to watch for high-risk areas in the downtrend and a strong mental attitude that allows you to cut losses quickly.
NYSE:DACEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
A simple strategy for low timeframesHello, good morning, I want to introduce a simple strategy to those who trade in low frame time. For example, I'm on the Dow Jones chart for 5 minutes at a time frame Take a closer look at this backtest You must first find support and resistance levels In the next neighbourhood, be patient until the price hits that level Now wait for the first candle to form relatively independently of that surface By independent candlestick, I mean to see a candlestick that starts to form without contact with the surface and closes in such a way that it does not come into contact with that surface again. A candle that has no contact with the desired surface either at the beginning or at the endpoint. We can now expect the price to move with the size of the independent candlestick length. simply To better understand, watch the image or ask a question after watching it. I should mention that i always consider one unit of profit and one and a half units of loss
UEducation
by ali5adeghi
2
PRICE ACTION TRADING | THREE TYPES OF TRIANGLES YOU MUST KNOW 📐 Hey traders, In this post, we will discuss 3 simple and profitable types of a triangle pattern. 1️⃣The first type of triangle is called a descending triangle. It is a reversal price action pattern that quite accurately indicates the exhaustion of a bullish trend. Setting a new higher high the market retraces and sets a higher low, then bulls start pushing again but are not able to retest a current high and instead the price sets a lower high and drops to the level of the last higher low setting an equal low. The price keeps trading in such a manner setting lower highs and equal lows till the price sets a new lower low. Most of the time it gives a very accurate signal of a coming bearish move. Please, note that a triangle formation by itself does not give an accurate short signal. The trigger that you should wait for is a formation of a new lower low. 2️⃣The second type of triangle is called a symmetrical triangle. It is a classic indecision pattern. It can be formed in a bullish, bearish trend, or sideways market. The price action starts contracting within a narrowing range setting lower highs and higher lows. Based on them, two trend lines can be drawn. Breakout of one of the trend lines with a quite high probability indicates a future direction of the market. 3️⃣The third type of triangle is called an ascending triangle. It is a reversal price action pattern that quite accurately indicates the exhaustion of a bearish trend. Setting a new lower low the market retraces and sets a lower high, then bears start pushing again but are not able to retest a current low and instead the price sets a higher low and bounces to the level of the last lower high setting an equal high. The price keeps trading in such a manner setting higher lows and equal highs till the price sets a new higher high. Most of the time it gives a very accurate signal of a coming bullish move. 📍Please, note that a triangle formation by itself does not give an accurate long signal. The trigger that you should wait for is a formation of a new higher high. Learn to recognize such triangles and you will see how accurate they are. Let me know what pattern do you want to learn in the next post? ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
Trade Recap of a Trend Line Break + Retest StrategyI am recapping these previous trade set up. I hope my 600+ followers understand how I do my live market execution trade set ups. What I am looking for in a live trade set up is first wait for the break out. I am looking for a break out candle which closes above a trend line. Next, I am looking for a retest of the trend line. In the examples below, retest number one is just a plain old retest and not a price action signal. I still like this retest since the candlestick wick touches the trend line and price closes above the trend line. In retest number two, a price action signal occurs in the form of an engulfing candlestick. I like this set up better than the first one because of the price action signal. So, my entries are when the candlestick wick touches the trend line. The best entries are when there is a price action signal where the wick touches the trend line or protrudes through the trend line. Note: Trend line has FOUR or MORE touches on the H1 Chart. RETEST 1 RETEST 2
Education
by TradeLive-
Candlestick Action | How Candles Are Formed🕯 ❗️Japanese candlesticks as a technical analysis tool were invented earlier than others, but they were not widely used immediately. By the name, it is easy to guess that Japan became the "homeland": local rice traders used this method already in the 18th century. However, due to the geographical remoteness and closeness of the country from external "visitors", this type of chart gained popularity much later, when exchange life was already actively boiling in Europe and the USA. ✅What is hidden behind the candlestick chart? 🟢A candle is formed from 4 prices: opening, closing, high and low for a certain period of time. If we take a timeframe of a minute, then each candle will indicate the price movement within this minute, if an hour is inside an hour, if a day is inside a day. The distance between the opening and closing price is the "body" of the candle, and the tails show to what lows and highs the price reached. If the opening price was higher than the closing price, then the candle will be black; and vice versa: if the opening price is lower than the closing price, then the candle will be white. It turns out that candles are, in fact, the psychology of the market, they most accurately reflect the fears and hopes of its participants. 🟢The charts of Japanese candlesticks themselves are valuable for analysis: the resulting models are interpreted as models of reversal or continuation of the trend. It is also important to understand: each individual candle or a combination of candles is just a way of depicting the actions and moods of all bidders for the period we have chosen (day/week/ month, etc.). The fact is that human behavior is quite formulaic in the same situations, and that is why various methods of chart analysis are so popular with investors and traders. 🟢Looking at only one or several candlesticks, a "savvy" viewer can easily understand whether the market is set to rise or fall, change the current trend or its continuation, increase the momentum of movement or its attenuation. ⚠️It is important to understand that the behavior of individual bidders develops into a general market movement, which can be "read" using charts of Japanese candlesticks and their basic models. Therefore, your optimal investment decisions will be supported by the most effective moments of entry or exit from the position, which will significantly improve the financial result. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
15
What is a Gap in Trading? | Different Types of Gaps Explained 📚 Hey traders, In this article, we will discuss a very common pattern that is called gap. In technical analysis, the gap is the difference between the closing price of the previous candlestick and the opening price of the next candlestick. 📈Gap up represents a situation when the price bounces up sharply at the moment of a transition from one candlestick to another. The price gap that appears between them is called gap up. 📉Gap down represents a situation when the price drops sharply at the moment of a transition from one candlestick to another, the price gap between the closing price of the previous candle and the opening price of the next candle is called a gap down. From my experience, I realized that with a high probability the gap tends to be filled. For that reason, once you see a gap, consider trading opportunities around that. Depending on the market conditions where the gap appears, there are several types of a gap to know: 1️⃣Common gap appears in a weak, calm market. When the trading volumes are low and the market participants are waiting for some trigger, or the asset reached a fair value price. 2️⃣Breakaway gap appears in a situation when the price suddenly breaks a structure (support or resistance) in a form of a gap. Such a gap usually confirms a structure breakout. 3️⃣Runaway gap usually appears when the market is growing or falling sharply. It signifies the dominance of buyers/sellers and highly probable continuation. Usually, such gaps are not filled. 4️⃣Exhaustion gap is, in contrast, appears around major key levels and signifies a highly probable reversal. The exhaustion gap is usually confirmed by a consequent strong opposite movement that fills the gap. Learn to recognize gaps on a chart and learn to interpret them. It will increase the accuracy of your technical analysis. ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
9
ERRORS ON PIN-BARSThere are a large number of technical analysis figures, there are many different patterns, but as you know, they do not work 100% of the time. No matter what you trade, you should always pay attention to the market context and the pin bar is no exception. Pin bar is a very profitable pattern, provided that you trade it correctly. Beginners often make mistakes trying to trade every pin bar that is formed in the market. Today we will try to analyze the most common mistakes of beginners when trading a pin bar. 1. Trading pin bars in trending markets To begin with, every beginner should learn how to trade a pin bar in trending markets, because any pattern will work itself out if it trades in the direction of the trend. The trend is still our friend and we should use its strength to open positions. Look for an entry point on the pin bar in the direction of the trend and avoid losses. 2. Pin bar on daily charts A trader should be able to trade a pin bar on daily charts, because a daily chart is the best chart for trading. This is a fact. If you do not know how to trade a pattern on a daily chart, then you will not be able to trade it on smaller timeframes. As you know, the market is full of trading noise on low timeframes. That is why patterns are most difficult to work out there. In such noise, false signals appear that confuse beginners, but an experienced trader will be able to determine a really profitable entry point. 3. Market conditions It is very important to understand where to expect the right pin bar, which will bring profit. Pin bars can be found anywhere in the market, but this does not mean that each of them will bring you profit. No. The strongest signals occur near strong levels, it is at such points that it is worth looking for an entrance. 4. Stop loss Very often, traders trade a reversal pin bar, hoping to catch a trend change. If you catch such a movement, you can earn a lot, but it's difficult to do it. The price rarely immediately reverses after the pin bar, the market will fluctuate and if you put a stop loss too close to the position opening point, you may be knocked out. It is most correct to put a stop loss where the closing of the position will be correct, perhaps a little further than the opening point. No one wants to be knocked out of position ahead of time and watch the price go where we wanted, but without us. Conclusion The strongest signals simply cannot appear everywhere on the chart. You need to be able to filter out the signals correctly and use the most profitable ones. To do this, first study the theory, gain experience on older timeframes and only then practice more. Take your time. Good luck! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
13
AMD Reports: Planning for Each ScenarioAMD reports after the close today and is expected to have strong revenues over last quarter. The chart patterns suggest some Pro Traders setting up ahead of the report. The question is how far can it rise on the retail reaction to the report? Where are the sellers? See the red lines. 124 is the strongest resistance for the short-term trend, but there are potential stalling levels on the way up as well. Earnings reactions can be a very short-lived event, so prepare to take profits when the pro traders do. They trade against retail.
NASDAQ:AMDEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Dark Pool Buy Zones™Some traders try to watch Level 2 data to discern when the large-lot orders come through to get an idea of when the big institutions are accumulating in the Dark Pools, but you really don’t need that. Plus, whether that’s accurate is questionable since Dark Pool transactions are reported way after they were transacted. “Dark Pool buy zones” is a term I coined because Dark Pools use precise controlled orders that trigger automatically over extended periods of time. Since the Buy Side Institutions using the Dark Pools are primarily buying for the long term, price can sometimes drop down before moving up, creating a range in the price action, what I call “the buy zone.” When you learn to recognize the Dark Pool Candlestick and Indicator Patterns, you can be ready for the bottom to develop and look for Dark Pool accumulation patterns to plan your trading. Below is an example. Ford is still falling, but the Dark Pool buy zone support is close. I’ll be waiting to see how the bottom develops around that level before making my decision to trade. Happy TechniTrading! Please like and follow if you found this interesting.
NYSE:FEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
How to Read a Candlestick | Beginners Guide 🕯 Hey traders, If you follow me for quite a while you probably noticed that I apply a candlestick chart for the market analysis. In this post, we will discuss how to read an individual candlestick and we will outline its important elements. 🔰The candlestick reflects the price movement for a selected period of time. An hourly candle will show you a price action within an hour and a daily candle within a day. 🔰The candlestick pattern has a very specific shape: it is composed of a body and a wick. The wick of the candle indicates the range of the price action within the candle. Its upper wick will show you the highest price during that time period and its lower wick will show the lowest price, while the body of the candle indicates its opening and closing price. 🔰From the color of the body of the candle, we identify its direction. Green signifies a bullish candle while red signifies a bearish one. 🔰The lower boundary of a body of a bullish candle will show its opening price and its upper boundary its closing price. 🔰The upper boundary of a body of a bearish candle indicates its opening price and its lower boundary its closing price level. With so many elements within a single candlestick, one can derive a lot of valuable information. Some candlesticks have a very specific form and are called candlestick patterns. They are applied for predicted the future market behavior. A proper reading of a candlestick chart may unveil a lot of insights about the market so it is very important for you to learn to work with that. ❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
12
Quantification of Candlestick Patterns !!!█  DISCLAIMER Are you looking for an answer for Best Quantification of Candlestick Patterns? you are not going to get here. It's just my thoughts about an indicator built on this concept that will be published next month (because I can only post two public indicators per month). Felt to discuss this with the community before head because I am excited to know your view on this. To make it better. █  OVERVIEW Thirty-seven different Candlestick Patterns are available in All Patterns Tradingview Indicator + The Boring Candle indicator totalling 38. █  QUESTIONS FOR THE READERS How many of you know about them and how to trade them? Do you feel Candlestick Patterns are reliable? If reliable, why do traders attach some trend rules to trade? If they already built based on trends? (In the above indicator, also we have the option of "Detection trend based on" option you can observe) Do you feel other candles not labelled in the above indicator are not telling any story about the price movement? If not, why are we not naming new names? I am not answering the above questions. There are so many posts with mixed opinions on the above questions. Yes, I know I am questioning an idea that has existed for more than one century. I respect the knowledge passed down to us to improve the work is our responsibility. That is a crucial role of the researcher. █ QUANTIFICATION OF CANDLESTICK PATTERNS? Here, quantification means mapping a candlestick pattern to a number or ratio specks about the trend. A basic example of Quantification is the Probability of a Bull Market i.e. Bull (Green Candle) → 1 Neutral (Boring Candle) → 0.5 Bear (Red Candle) → 0 Here 0, 0.5 and 1 are quantification based on Candles to tell the Probability of a Bull Market. Yes, these are not Candlestick patterns we are taking, but I feel you understand my proposal to deal with candlestick patterns. Let's talk about another example using Heiken Ashi Candles , and the same Quantification is the Probability of a Bull Market . Strong Bull (Green Candle with only upper wick) → 1 Weak Bull (Green Candle with both wicks and not Neutral) → 0.75 Neutral (Doji or spinning top candles) → 0.5 Soft Bear (Red Candle with both wicks and not Neutral) → 0.25 Strong Bear (Red Candle with only lower wick) → 0 I hope you understand the meaning of quantification better now. Now my idea is why can't we build a quantification system for general candlestick patterns based on position, volume, and other parameters (Your limit is your imagination !!!). Instead of using the same knowledge from the century, why can't we transform it into some oscillator and put the learning into actual work in trading. This is my attempt to brush some pine scripters to work on this. I share my work too soon. █ BENEFITS Since we are talking about candlestick patterns, there is a delay in picking trends, maybe two candles if you are looking at two bar play. which is significantly less when compared to conventional indicators like MACD, RSI, Moving Average etc., With the above discussed "Probability of a Bull Market" with some higher timeframe averages using Rolling OHLC and Rolling Heikin Ashi candles I published, I build a clean indicator that looks similar to RSI but is efficient in finding Over Bought and Over Sold Regions. Creating an oscillator based on candlestick patterns with more sensitive quantification than the proposed simple methods may lead to better trade trends than existing indicators. We can use volume, Price and candlestick patterns to obtain more trend related oscillators. █ MY FINAL THOUGHTS Maybe I am overthinking (I am a PhD Statistics Research Scholar. This is my bad habit). Ignore the idea if you feel this observation is not realistic. Wait till next month to get to know what I am talking about. I am bad at referring to books and indicators. If there is already any concept like this, please enlighten me. I am happy to acknowledge their thoughts. If you have built any indicators already, please share them in the comments section. If I am the first person talking about this, Kudos to me... █ REFERENCES All thoughts are from my head, so there are no references for this post. Stay Tuned... If you have any recommendations or alternative ideas, then please drop a comment under the script ;) Happy Trading
Education
by candlesmart
2
HOW-TO: TheStrat Alerts indicatorHOW-TO educational video on using TheStrat Alerts indicator in combination with TradingView awesome Alert functionality. Time is precious and like many of you I cannot sit and watch charts all day, so I coded this indicator to do that for me and to alert me just prior to the closure of an actionable TheStrat setup. There are 5 steps when using this indicator: Step 1) Decided on which TICKER Step 2) Decided on which TIMEFRAME Step 3) Add the TheStrat Alerts Step 4) Enable the conditions within the indicator settings Step 5) Create the alert and select that it used alert events from 'TheStrat Alerts' indicator. I hope this video will give you all the information to get this indicator setup on your charts/timeframes and that you are able to be notified when there is an actionable setup. Please feel free to reach out to me if you have any questions. Good luck and stay safe! Ngami
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by ngami7
85
[Candlestick Patterns] Just need to know these three!#Candlestick #CandlePattern #Tocademy #Tutorial Hello traders from all over the world, this is Tommy =) I was unexpectedly surprised by many of you who liked and supported my last post about the basic concept of TA(Technical Analysis). Today I prepared a brief lecture about the Candlestick Pattern, one of the most fundamental phenomenon and behaviors that traders must be well-informed. In fact, we should be very familiar with these textbook contents and interpret it in a glimpse on the technical chart unconsciously. Just like we don't pay direct attention about each breathes when breathing, like we don't care each and all of the alphabets when we speak, or like we don’t perceive location of each keyboards every moment as we type, this very technique should be performed automatically and quickly by observing dominant formations of candlestick bars. As a matter of fact, comprehending market trends and price actions only by referring to the candlesticks is yet too spurious. It should be used in such a way to weight on certain scenarios in a macroscopic view, rather than deriving precise and specific PRZ(Potential Reversal Zone)s and distinguish the accurate market trend. It’s never like ‘The price must go up because this pattern just appeared’. Furthermore, I strongly believe that the reliability of the candlestick pattern strategy is declining especially in recent financial market, where we encounter countless non-traditional and abnormal situations that were not very common in the past. Hence among the existing ‘Textbook’ candlestick pattern strategies that can easily be found on Google, there are particular patterns that are still very reliable on current market and there are ones that are not as reliable as it used to be. So here, I will organize everything very clearly for you guys. The technical chart is well known as sort of a map tracing the mob-psychology of all the stakeholders in the market. Investors’ sentiments such as FUD(Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt) and FOMO(Fear of Missing Out) that often cause panic buy/sell are visualized as data. Those with a clear understanding of the fundamental nature of how candlesticks are being formed, don’t even need to memorize these patterns one by one. As I emphasized at my previous post, candlesticks should be interpreted as a whole structure, unlike the line chart expressed in one-dimensional. Candlesticks are newly formed in each time interval and we can choose the timeframe for the chart that we are about to analyze. For instance, each candlestick in a daily chart is formed every day while each candlestick in a 5minute chart is formed every 5 minutes. Higher the timeframe of the chart is, longer-term the scope within the chart is. It is important as a TA analyst to start from macro-perspective with higher timeframe first, then go deeper to lower timeframe and find short-term factors. There are four independent prices composing a candlestick: open, high, low and close price. Open price indicates the starting point while close price indicates the ending point of a candlestick. Just like the wording, high/low prices are formed at the highest/lowest price during the time period of candlestick being formed. A bullish candlestick is when the closing price is above the opening price (i.e., when the price rises), while a bearish candle is when the closing price is below the opening price (i.e., when the price is falling), and the two are expressed in different colors (green & red or red & blue). The thick part between the opening and closing price is called the ‘Body’, and the thin part is called the ‘Tail’ (Wick or Shadow). Typically, the length of the body implies the strength of an ongoing trend. We learned from the textbook that the candlesticks with a longer body means stronger trend and those with shorter tails mean clearer trend. Back in the days, there was time when we could detect if whales are involved and deduct impulsiveness of ongoing trend when distinctly long bodied candlesticks with relatively high trading volumes take places. I am afraid to tell you that it is better to erase that memory. First of all, it is too obvious and cliché to announce that the long candlesticks with high volumes mean strong market trend. This criterion itself is quite vague and not 100% reliable to identify future trends or find insightful signals. Moreover, in recent days (especially in Crypto), whales like to deceive retail traders with a strong faith of trading volumes and since the future markets are becoming bigger, giving too much weight on trading volume paired to each candlestick is not as effective as it was when textbook used to work very well. I am not saying textbook is wrong. It just needs slight updates since the market we are dealing with keeps changing over time. In TA world, closing price of a candlestick carries a great meaning and thus closing prices at higher timeframes should very well be monitored to become a successful trader. Sometimes whales even battle aggressively right before a major closing time often causing a weird ‘scam’ moves with a high volume. As shown below, we usually find the price and time when certain TA variables (such as top/bottom of trendline, channels, pivot levels, and other indicators) are broken, meaning if the price has penetrated those variables successfully, in order to find breakout entries, stoplosses, and target prices, etc. This whole concept of breaking above or below is quite vague, subjective, and relative idea. So, what we traders refer to as a reliable criterion is confirming whether the candle closed above and below the factors. For instance, let’s say that we are seeking and waiting for the breakout of the downward trendline. Well sometimes it’s not as easy as expected to precisely spot and determine whether the price has successfully pierced through the trendline. There are times when price breaks the trendline, but ends up coming back below leading close price of the candlestick to be formed below the trendline like the case 2 below. In this very case, it’s difficult to determine whether the breakout happened successfully or not. Nevertheless, like case 3, when both closing and high prices are formed above the trendline, we can clearly confirm and weight more on the breakout scenario, expecting more bullish rally. Okay let's get to the point. In recent financial trading market, it's enough to know just these three. 1. Engulfing 2. Doji 3. Long Tailed Candlestick As mentioned above, there’s nothing hard if you understand the essential concepts and principles of the above patterns and phenomena. The engulfing candlestick is a phenomenon in which the body of the previous candle is consumed by the body of the next candle, that is, a larger body than the previous one comes out. In other words, if a new bullish candle closes higher than the previous open price or if a new bearish candle closes lower than the previous open price, we say ‘the new candlestick engulfed the previous one’. If we look closely, this pattern implies the circumstance where the new candle completely overwhelms the trend of the previous candle and reverses it into a new trend despite closing the price from above or below. However, the appearance of an engulfing candle does not mean that the trend is unconditionally reversed. It is often the case that engulfing candles take place consecutively, with the second candle taking over the body of the first candle, the third’s taking over the second’s, the fourth’s taking over the third’s and so on. As the price fluctuates up and down, it creates a Widening or Broadening pattern also known as expanding sort of shapes, making it difficult for traders to figure out the current trend. In this circumstance, the entry prices, stop loss prices, target prices, or average prices of many participants in the market tend to be located relatively nearby. This price range or region is called a HVP(High Volume Profile or Peak) or an Orderblock and I will cover details about this concept later on another post. Anyway, there are numerous methods to derive Orderblock and one of them is to spot bodies of the consecutive engulfing candlesticks. The tail(wick) of a candlestick can be interpreted as a sign of the fierce battle between the bulls are bears. Longer tail signifies bigger collision between buying and selling forces. The longer the upper tail, the more the bulls trying to raise the price up but the bears rejecting them eventually sellers ending up being dominant and vice versa for the longer the lower tail. Generally, when the long upper/lower tails are formed at a relative higher/lower part of the wave structure or at a distinctive pullback as a PRZ this can be a possible signal of trend reversal. Due to my personal trading experience, it doesn't matter much in recent TA market whether the long-tailed candlestick is a bullish or bearish. In other words, regardless of the color of Hammer or Shooting star (which are both long-tailed candlestick pattern), it’s better to check if the next following candlesticks are being formed opposite direction of the tail. Personally, I don't think the Inverted Hammer and Hanging Man are not as necessary as it used to be in the old days. When the length of the candlestick’s body is relatively short meaning if the open and close prices are very close, forming a cross like shape, it’s called a Doji. Since Doji has a short body, the upper and lower tails tend to come out longer and thus can be considered as evidence of a tense confrontation between the bulls and bears that eventually ends up reaching a balance. Similar to the long-tailed candlestick, Doji is also known as a sign of a PRZ depending on the next appearing candlesticks. When Dojis are observed after swing high or low, it can be a possible indicator that the on-going trend is overheated and you might want to anticipate some pullbacks. However, it is too risky to directly assume that the top or bottom is near just because of Doji. Especially in the market these days, Dojis also appear frequently in sideways and sometimes confuses traders searching for a clear trend. As emphasized above, as with other technical techniques, theories, and indicators, always remember to weight more to the emergence of patterns in higher timeframes and longer-term perspectives. The higher timeframe people globally refer to, the more the reliability the TA will be. Just think about it for a second. Which timeframe do you think that people consider more significantly about the closing price, a 5 minutes chart or a daily chart? I would obviously say that the price signals from the daily cart is relatively more representative and reflect longer-term than those of the 5 minutes chart. Keep in mind is that you also need to understand market trends from a macro perspective before approaching towards short-term perspective. It is always recommended to recognize long-term trends or situations in advance from the candlestick of a higher timeframe, and then look at more detailed and microscopic elements step by step. All right. I will wrap up now. Thanks for reading my post. 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BITMEX:BTCUSD.PEducation
by Tommy_Trader
20
Bearish Pressure Zone (3 Candles In Row With Upper Wicks)Chart example is of a Bearish Pressure Zone: 3 consecutive price bars with upper wicks (VERY strong/either bearish or bullish setups) Note: Make a zone from top of highest wick to top of highest close with one of the consecutive wicks, this is what you use as you risk or initial stop loss. Price Action is not about price, but more importantly about decisions other traders/big banks are making related to price action. Half of Forex trading is psychology (see Mark Douglas- You tube or google him)- might even read and/or buy his trading books. Wick Psychology: When we have three consecutive bars with overlapping lower or upper shadows, the traders undergo the same emotional cycle three times, all within a compact price range. But these wick bars can be in close area of each other, they do not have to be three in a row, see bullish pressure zone on the attach chart for an example.
Education
by Anbat