The Best Strategy to Apply Trailing Stop Revealed
Hey traders,
In this post, I will share with you my strategy to apply a trailing stop.
Please, note that I am applying a trailing stop only in trend-following trades and only when a trade is opened on a key level. I trade price action patterns, so the following technique will be appropriate primarily for price action traders. Moreover, my entries are strictly on a retest.
1️⃣
Spotting a price action pattern, I am always waiting for its neckline breakout. (if we talk about different channels, then by a neckline we mean its trend line)
Once I see a candle close below/above the neckline, I set my sell/buy limit order on a retest.
Stop loss will strictly lie below the lows of the pattern if we buy and above the highs of the pattern if we sell.
I spotted a horizontal trading range on an hourly time frame on AUDUSD. I set a sell limit order after a breakout of its neckline. Stop loss is lying above the highs of the pattern.
2️⃣
Once we are in a trade, you should measure the pattern's range (distance from its high to its low based on wicks) and then project that range from the entry to the direction of the trade.
In the picture above, the pattern range and its projection are the underlined blue areas.
Once the price reaches the projection of the pattern's range, you should move your stop loss to entry and make your position risk-free.
Move stop to breakeven in traders' slang.
3️⃣
Then you should let the market go.
📈If you are holding a long position, you should let the market retrace and set a higher low and then a new higher high or AT LEAST an equal high. Once these conditions are met, you can trail your stop and set it below the last higher low.
📉If you are holding a short position, you should let the market retrace and set a lower high and then a new lower low or AT LEAST an equal low. Once these conditions are met, you can trail your stop and set it above the last lower high.
In the example above, stop loss was modified when the price set a new lower high. Stop loss is now lying above that.
Catching a trending market you should trail your stop based on new higher lows / lower highs that the price sets. Occasionally you will catch big winners.
How do you apply a trailing stop?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Candlestick Analysis
Learn FAKEOUT, BREAKOUT, RETEST | Trading Basics
Hey traders,
In this post, we will discuss 3 very important market situations that every trader must be able to recognize: breakout, retest, and fakeout.
❗️ Please, note that the essential element of all these terms is structure: vertical and horizontal key levels.
📍 Breakout is a situation when the market breaks the identified horizontal support or resistance, or a vertical trend line.
Breakout is a very important event that signifies the willingness of buyers/sellers to violate the structures. Violation of support signifies a strong selling pressure, while a violation of resistance signifies a high buying momentum.
Usually, the structure breakout is confirmed with a candle close.
For confirmation of a breakout of support, a candle close below that is needed.
For confirmation of a breakout of resistance, a candle close above is required.
Take a look at a bearish breakout of a key support on Gold. After the breakout, the broken support turned into a resistance and was respected multiple times. It was broken by the buyers then and turned into a support again.
📍 Retest is the situation when the price returns to broken horizontal support or resistance, or a vertical trend line after a confirmed breakout.
For a structure breakout, high trading volumes are needed. Usually, after a breakout, the market participants are locally exhausted and a correctional movement follows. That may lead to a retest of a broken structure.
Most of the time, after a retest, a strong impulse follows. For that reason, for many traders, the retest is applied for trading entries.
Here is how nicely the price violated a key support on Gold. After a violation, the market became oversold and the price retested the broken structure.
📍 Fakeout or false breakout is the situation when the price has not enough strength to maintain its direction after a retest of a broken structure. Instead, the market returns below/above the broken resistance/support.
Above, is the example of a false breakout on EURUSD.
Fakeout is one of the main reasons why structure traders lose money.
One of the ways to avoid fakeout is to monitor trading volumes during a structure breakout. A volume spike is needed to confirm the strength of the market participants, while low volumes most of the time signify a manipulation.
Learn to spot breakouts and false ones, and try to trade on a retest.
Hey traders, let me know what subject do you want to dive in in the next post?
4 Types of Gap You MUST Know in Trading
Hey traders,
In this article, we will discuss a very common pattern that is called gap.
In technical analysis, the gap is the difference between the closing price of the previous candlestick and the opening price of the next candlestick.
📈Gap up represents a situation when the price bounces up sharply at the moment of a transition from one candlestick to another. The price gap that appears between them is called gap up.
📉Gap down represents a situation when the price drops sharply at the moment of a transition from one candlestick to another, the price gap between the closing price of the previous candle and the opening price of the next candle is called a gap down.
From my experience, I realized that with a high probability the gap tends to be filled. For that reason, once you see a gap, consider trading opportunities around that.
Depending on the market conditions where the gap appears, there are several types of a gap to know:
1️⃣Common gap appears in a weak, calm market. When the trading volumes are low and the market participants are waiting for some trigger, or the asset reached a fair value price.
Above, there is a perfect example of a common gap that was formed on Dollar Index on an hourly time frame.
2️⃣Breakaway gap appears in a situation when the price suddenly breaks a structure (support or resistance) in a form of a gap.
Such a gap usually confirms a structure breakout.
I spotted a perfect breakaway gap on Dollar Index. The market violated a solid horizontal support with that.
3️⃣Runaway gap usually appears when the market is growing or falling sharply. It signifies the dominance of buyers/sellers and highly probable continuation. Usually such gaps are not filled.
Runaway was a perfect indicator of a strength of buyers on US30 Index.
4️⃣Exhaustion gap is, in contrast, appears around major key levels and signifies a highly probable reversal. The exhaustion gap is usually confirmed by a consequent strong opposite movement that fills the gap.
US100 formed an exhaustion gap, trading in a strong bullish wave. After that the gap was filled and the market started to fall rapidly, forming a breakaway gap.
Learn to recognize gaps on a chart and learn to interpret them. It will increase the accuracy of your technical analysis.
Hey traders, let me know what subject do you want to dive in in the next post?
Trading Initial BalancesWhat Are Initial Balances?
Initial balances refer to a specific time frame at the beginning of a trading session, typically the first few minutes or hours when a market opens. During this period, traders closely observe price movements and volume to gauge market sentiment and establish trading strategies for the rest of the session.
How Initial Balance Trading Works
The concept of initial balance trading is rooted in the idea that the price and volume behavior during the initial balance period can provide valuable insights into the day's trading potential. Here's how it works:
1. Observation: Traders closely watch the price action and volume during the initial balance period, which often includes the first 30 minutes to one hour of a trading session. This is a critical phase for assessing market dynamics.
2. Key Levels: Traders identify key price levels during the initial balance period, such as the high and low points. These levels can serve as significant reference points for the day's trading activities.
3. Breakouts: Breakouts above or below the initial balance range can signal potential trading opportunities. A breakout above the initial balance high may suggest bullish momentum, while a breakout below it may indicate bearish sentiment.
Order Blocks - The only explanation you will ever needHere's the only guide on order blocks you're ever going to need 😎✏️
Order blocks may seem scary and difficult to find -
Once you know what you're looking for, it's like taking candy from a baby 🍭
The key elements you need to have in place before getting the hang of this basic SMC application is as follows -
🟢 Trend spotting
🟢 Market structure
Those are the 2 greatest tools a trader could ever have at their disposal. Make sure you know how to identify trend and market structure well - The rest will fall in place.
Happy hunting! 🦁🐯🦈
Apex out ✌️
OANDA:GBPUSD OANDA:EURUSD
Think You Know Candlestick Patterns?Welcome to the world of candlestick patterns!
💜If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜
Doji candlesticks, with their equal or nearly equal open and close, offer crucial insights into market indecision. Understanding these formations is key to anticipating potential reversals and trade decisions. Let’s delve deeper into their significance and how to incorporate them effectively into your trading strategy.
Understanding Doji:
A Doji occurs when opening and closing prices are almost identical, signaling market indecision.
Neutral Nature: Doji are neutral signals, highlighting the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
Psychological Insight: Forming amid market uncertainty, Doji reflect hesitancy and potential trend shifts.
4 Types of Doji and Their Meanings:
Dragonfly Doji:
Description: Open and close near the high of the day.
Interpretation: Sellers drive prices down, but buyers regain control.
Action: Explore long positions with support from trend analysis and resistance levels.
Gravestone Doji:
Description: Open and close occur near the low of the day.
Interpretation: Buyers initially push prices up, but sellers regain control.
Action: Consider short positions if confirmed by trend analysis and support/resistance levels.
Traditional Doji:
Description: Open and close are almost identical.
Interpretation: Strong market indecision; trend reversal potential.
Action: Confirm with trend analysis; consider reversal or continuation trades accordingly.
Long-Legged Doji:
Description: Significantly long upper and lower shadows.
Interpretation: Represents high indecision; neither buyers nor sellers dominate.
Action: Await confirmation from other indicators for trade decisions.
Incorporating Doji Into Your Strategy:
Combining with Support/Resistance: Doji at key support/resistance levels enhance their significance. Use them to validate potential reversal points.
Utilizing Trend Analysis: Doji are potent when aligned with prevailing trends. In an uptrend, Doji signal potential reversals, while in downtrends, they may indicate trend exhaustion.
Implementing Fibonacci Levels: Combine Doji with Fibonacci retracement levels for robust entry/exit points. A Doji at a Fibonacci level strengthens the reversal signal.
Risk Management: Define stop-loss and take-profit levels logically. Doji, while insightful, don’t guarantee outcomes. Protect your investments with sound risk management.
Remember, successful trading is a blend of strategy, discipline, and adaptability. Doji candlesticks, as valuable tools, provide glimpses into market psychology. When integrated wisely, they can bolster your trading decisions, enhancing your overall effectiveness in the dynamic world of trading.
Trade Reversals Successfully - Key Price Action to look forIn the video I talk through the two trades namely trading continuation with Trend and then trading Countertrend Reversals. Both have their own price action points but are very different.
I review a continuation trade and the setups I look for when trading from level to level...but the main focus on the video is trading Reversals which can be very rewarding but also very difficult.
I like to stick to a few key points when looking for reversals, and they are :-
- Trade off an extension into a key level
- Trade off a higher low (for buys) or lower high (for sells)
- M pattern for entry confirmation or a minor lower high
In the video I explain the reasoning and how risk is managed.
** If you like the content then take a look at the profile to get more daily ideas and learning material **
** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated **
Market Gaps: Strategies, Types, Fills and Crypto.Greetings, traders!
If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜💜
In stock trading, gaps can significantly impact market dynamics. They occur when a stock's price makes a sudden leap between two candlesticks, often due to substantial news breaking after market hours.
These gaps can be upward (gap up) or downward (gap down), signifying abrupt shifts in market sentiment.
Understanding Gap Types:
Common Gaps: These gaps appear without any specific underlying event and are often encountered in stocks with low trading volumes.
Breakaway Gaps: Breakaway gaps are akin to a breakout, occurring when a stock price surges above a resistance level or plunges below a support level, breaking established market norms.
Continuation Gaps: These gaps arise in the direction of an existing trend, typically propelled by increased buying or selling activity.
Exhaustion Gaps: Exhaustion gaps signal a potential reversal of the trend, but they usually occur on low trading volumes.
Unpacking the Gap Fill Phenomenon:
Gap "fill" occurs when the stock price retraces to pre-gap levels, offering traders opportunities to benefit from the market's oscillations. However, not all gaps experience this reversion, especially breakaway gaps, as broken support or resistance might hinder the fill.
Trading Gap Fills:
Strategies and Considerations: To navigate the complex landscape of gaps and gap fills, traders should consider several key factors:
Tailored Strategies: Crafting strategies based on the gap type, the prevailing market trends, and trading volumes.
Volume Analysis: High trading volume often indicates a continuation of the gap, while low volume may suggest a potential gap fill.
Patience is Key: Traders should exercise patience, waiting for a confirmed trend to emerge before making trading decisions.
Breakaway Gaps: While many gaps in trading tend to fill over time, breakaway gaps possess unique characteristics that often result in them remaining open.
Breakaway gaps typically stand out due to:
Robust Momentum: These gaps are typically backed by powerful market momentum, making it difficult for prices to retreat quickly.
New Market Perception: They often signal a significant shift in how the market views a stock's value, establishing a new price reality.
Lack of Immediate Resistance: Occurring where trading activity is limited, breakaway gaps find little resistance to their newfound position.
Market-Wide Acceptance: When breakaway gaps respond to widely accepted news or events, the market solidifies the new price level, resisting attempts to fill the gap.
Altered Investor Psychology: These gaps can initiate shifts in investor psychology, leading to sustained buying or selling pressure, reinforcing the gap's persistence.
Navigating Risk and Opportunity in Unfilled Gaps:
Unfilled gaps can present challenges, but they also offer unique opportunities. Traders who understand the enduring nature of breakaway gaps can develop strategies that harness the momentum and trend shifts linked to these gaps. By aligning trades with prevailing market sentiment, traders can leverage the complexities of unfilled gaps to their advantage.
Cryptocurrency Market: An Exception to the Gap Rule:
It's important to note that the cryptocurrency market operates differently from traditional stock markets. Gaps are relatively rare in the crypto realm, primarily due to its 24/7 trading structure. The continuous trading activity minimizes the possibility of significant price gaps.
However, rapid and substantial price changes can result in occasional "gap-like" phenomena. For instance, a sudden surge in buying or selling activity can lead to notable price shifts. Understanding these distinctions is crucial when trading cryptocurrencies.
Recognizing gap types, considering market context, and aligning strategies with prevailing market sentiment can empower traders to navigate the intricacies of gaps and leverage them effectively. In the cryptocurrency market, it's essential to comprehend the unique dynamics that affect gap occurrences.
Three White SoldiersGreetings, traders! Today, let’s dive into a powerful candlestick pattern: the Three White Soldiers. This pattern, often regarded as a bullish signal, can provide valuable insights.
Understanding the Three White Soldiers Pattern:
The Three White Soldiers pattern is identified by three consecutive bullish candles, symbolizing a robust influx of buying pressure. When these candles appear in a sequence, it suggests a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
Key Characteristics:
Bullish Momentum: The pattern signifies a strong uptrend, indicating a potential continuation of the existing market trend.
Candlestick Size: Pay attention to the size of the candles. In this pattern, large-bodied candles with minimal wicks reflect substantial buying activity. This emphasizes the dominance of buyers in the market.
Volume Confirmation: Volume indicators on charting platforms can validate the pattern. An uptick in volume during the formation of the Three White Soldiers further strengthens its significance.
Trading Strategies with the Three White Soldiers Pattern:
Confirmation with Volume: Ensure the pattern is supported by increased trading volume, affirming the authenticity of the bullish move.
Combine with Other Indicators: Enhance your trading strategy by integrating the Three White Soldiers pattern with trend lines, Fibonacci retracement levels, or other technical indicators. This synergy can provide a more comprehensive view of the market.
Wait for Confirmation: Patience is key. Wait for the bullish candles to close before considering the pattern confirmed. This approach reduces the risk of false signals.
Consider Timeframes: Analyze the pattern across multiple timeframes. A Three White Soldiers formation on higher timeframes (such as daily or weekly charts) often indicates stronger bullish potential.
Risk Management and Trade Execution:
Set Stop-Loss: Establish stop-loss below first candlestick of the Three White Soldiers.
Diversify Your Trades: Avoid over-concentration in a single asset. Diversifying your trades across different instruments can mitigate risks associated with individual market volatility.
By combining this pattern with meticulous analysis, strategic planning, and risk management, traders can enhance their overall trading prowess.
Happy trading, and may the markets be ever in your favour!
Live Trades and Price Action setups explainedIn the video I review my trades on the DOW Jones Index for the session and talk through the setups, price action and reasoning for the trades. I also talk through the overall bias for the session and the missed opportunity from my sessions plan.
Feel free to join in our live trading room....link in the signature below.
** If you like the content then take a look at the profile to get more daily ideas and learning material **
** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated **
Example of Winning Price Action from a Live Trading SessionPrepping a market and having a defined directional bias coming into a trading session, is the key for a winning day.
In the video I talk through a Live Trading session we had with our group and the reasons why we were bias short.
I talk through the areas our traders hit sell entries and Where and Why I was happy to enter the market short once my ideal Price Action setup gave me all the confirmation that I needed.
** If you like the content then take a look at the profile to get more daily ideas and learning material **
** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated **
I was Right On Gold/XAUUSD,Watch This Video To See How I did itIn this video, I gave the full breakdown of how I could see and accurately predict Gold's bullish move before it happened.
If you enjoy my content, drop a comment, boost this video, and make sure you follow me so you won't miss my future updates.
Analysis of the psychology and Price Action of a momentum moveIn this video I take a look at the psychology of a phase of Price Action that we traded in out Live Trading Room.
I review the key price action that I am looking for to get involved in the action for a new momentum push up/down. Our aim in trading is always to enter a trade in the 'unknown' as traders start to realise they are on the wrong side of the action...this gives us the biggest payouts.
Intraday Trading is a process of doing the analysis, reviews and having confidence in your read when LIVE trading.
** If you like the content then take a look at the profile to get more daily ideas and learning material **
** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated **
How to Read CANDLESTICK Chart For Beginners
Hey traders,
If you follow me for quite a while you probably noticed that I apply a candlestick chart for the market analysis.
In this post, we will discuss how to read an individual candlestick and we will outline its important elements.
🔰The candlestick reflects the price movement for a selected period of time.
An hourly candle will show you a price action within an hour and a daily candle within a day.
Above, you can see 2 charts. On the left - daily time frame. On the right - 4h time frame. One single daily candle composes the entire price action within 24 hours, while a 4H candle - the price action within 4 hours.
🔰The candlestick pattern has a very specific shape:
it is composed of a body and a wick.
The wick of the candle indicates the range of the price action within the candle. Its upper wick will show you the highest price during that time period and its lower wick will show the lowest price, while the body of the candle indicates its opening and closing price.
🔰From the color of the body of the candle, we identify its direction.
Green signifies a bullish candle while red signifies a bearish one.
A green candle signifies that the price grows, while a red candles signifies a downward movement.
🔰The lower boundary of a body of a bullish candle will show its opening price and its upper boundary its closing price.
🔰The upper boundary of a body of a bearish candle indicates its opening price and its lower boundary its closing price level.
With so many elements within a single candlestick, one can derive a lot of valuable information.
Some candlesticks have a very specific form and are called candlestick patterns. They are applied for predicted the future market behavior.
A proper reading of a candlestick chart may unveil a lot of insights about the market, so it is very important for you to learn to work with that.
Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
Hammer of Trend ChangeThe Hammer and Inverted Hammer candlestick patterns, two powerful tools adept traders employ for reversals.
If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜💜
Here’s what you need to know:
1. Understanding the Essence:
Hammer: This pattern typically emerges at the culmination of a downtrend, indicating a potential bullish surge. Its small body and extended lower wick signify the bears' struggle to maintain lower prices.
Inverted Hammer: Contrarily, this pattern usually appears at the end of an uptrend, foreshadowing a possible bearish move down. Its small body and prolonged upper shadow denote the weakening grip of the bulls.
2. Decoding the Signals:
While Hammers don’t provide direct trading signals, they suggest a shift in momentum. Traders often see them as a sign of potential upward movement after a downtrend.
Inverted Hammers, appearing after an uptrend, hint at a potential reversal. The failed attempt by the bulls to sustain higher prices signifies a looming bearish sentiment.
3. Crafting Your Strategy:
When dealing with Hammers, traders might enter immediately after its formation or wait for confirmation with a bullish candle. Setting a stop-loss just below the recent low and targeting a significant resistance level is a common strategy.
For Inverted Hammers, a similar approach can be employed, focusing on prior support-turned-resistance levels. Vigilance and additional technical analysis are crucial for accurate predictions.
4. A Word of Caution:
While these patterns are robust, they should never be sole trading indicators. Combining them with other technical tools enhances accuracy and confidence in your trades.
5. Practice and Precision:
Prior to real trades, practice these strategies on demo accounts or paper trading. Platforms like TradingView, Vestinda and others like MetaTrader offer a conducive environment for refining your skills.
Incorporating Hammer and Inverted Hammer patterns into your trading toolkit empowers you to detect potential trend shifts. Remember, in trading, nuanced insights can translate into significant profits. Happy trading!
Candlestick Patterns Unveiled: Your Guide to 6 Key Signals🕯📈📉
Candlestick patterns are a trader's secret language, revealing potential market movements and trends. Among the multitude of candlestick formations, six key patterns stand out for their significance in technical analysis. In this comprehensive guide, we'll explore these patterns, providing real-world examples to help you decipher their bullish and bearish implications. With this knowledge, you'll be better equipped to make informed trading decisions in the dynamic world of finance.
Exploring 6 Key Candlestick Patterns
Candlestick Pattern 1: Bullish Engulfing 🐂🕯
The Bullish Engulfing pattern is a potent bullish signal that appears after a downtrend. It involves a small bearish candle followed by a larger bullish candle that completely engulfs the previous one.
Candlestick Pattern 2: Bearish Engulfing 🐻🕯
The Bearish Engulfing pattern is its bearish counterpart, signaling a potential reversal at the end of an uptrend. It consists of a small bullish candle followed by a larger bearish candle that engulfs the previous one.
Candlestick Pattern 3: Bull Flag 🐂🚩
The Bull Flag is a continuation pattern that often appears in uptrends. It consists of a sharp upward price movement (flagpole) followed by a period of consolidation (flag).
Candlestick Pattern 4: Bear Flag 🐻🚩
The Bear Flag is the bearish counterpart of the Bull Flag. It appears in downtrends and consists of a sharp downward price movement (flagpole) followed by consolidation (flag).
Candlestick Pattern 5: Morning Star 🌄🕯
The Morning Star is a bullish reversal pattern that appears after a downtrend. It comprises three candles: a large bearish candle, a small indecisive candle (often a Doji), and a large bullish candle.
Candlestick Pattern 6: Evening Star 🌇🕯
The Evening Star is the bearish counterpart of the Morning Star and signals a potential reversal at the end of an uptrend. It also consists of three candles: a large bullish candle, a small indecisive candle, and a large bearish candle.
These six key candlestick patterns are essential tools in a trader's arsenal, providing insights into potential reversals and continuations. However, remember that successful trading requires considering other factors like trend analysis, volume, and market context. By mastering these patterns and applying them judiciously, you can enhance your trading skills and make more informed decisions in the dynamic world of finance. 🕯📈📉
Do you like this post? Do you want more articles like that?
The primary trend on the 1-hour time frame is still bearish.The 1-hour chart has not yet closed a candlestick pattern indicating a bottom. We should continue monitoring the chart and look for signs of a bottoming pattern. Once a bottoming pattern forms on the 1-hour chart, we can then consider looking for a counter-trend trading signal.
What is Tweezer Top and Bottom Patterns?Welcome to the world of trading patterns. If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜💜
Today let's explore Tweezer top and bottom patterns, often referred to as simply "tweezers," are powerful candlestick formations that hold the potential to unveil significant shifts in market sentiment.
These patterns materialize as twin candles appearing at the culmination of a trend, indicating the impending transition of market dynamics. In this exploration, we'll delve into the intricacies of these patterns, unveiling their secrets for traders seeking to navigate the ever-evolving landscape of financial markets.
Tweezer Top:
A tweezer top pattern occurs during an uptrend when the price reaches a high point and then experiences a sudden reversal. It is characterized by two consecutive candlesticks with almost identical highs. The pattern suggests that the bulls are losing their grip, and a potential trend reversal or a bearish correction might follow.
Traders often interpret the tweezer top as a signal to consider selling or shorting an asset, especially if it appears after a prolonged uptrend. However, it's essential to confirm this pattern with other technical indicators or chart patterns to increase its reliability.
Tweezer Bottom:
Conversely, a tweezer bottom pattern emerges in a downtrend when the price reaches a low point and then reverses its direction. Similar to the tweezer top, tweezer bottoms consist of two consecutive candlesticks with nearly identical lows. This pattern signifies a potential end to the bearish trend, indicating that the bulls might take control soon.
Traders view the tweezer bottom as a signal to consider buying or going long on an asset, particularly if it appears after an extended downtrend. As with any trading pattern, it's crucial to validate the tweezer bottom with other technical tools to confirm the potential trend reversal.
Key Considerations:
Confirmation is Key: Tweezer patterns, while useful, should always be confirmed by other technical indicators or chart patterns before making trading decisions.
Volume Analysis: Analyzing trading volumes during the formation of tweezer patterns can provide additional confirmation of the potential trend reversal.
Market Context: Consider the overall market context and fundamental factors influencing the asset to make well-informed trading decisions.
Ultimate Guide For Trading INVERTED HEAD & SHOULDERS PATTERN
Hey traders,
Inverted head and shoulders pattern is a classic reversal pattern.
It signifies the weakness of buyers in a bearish trend and a bullish accumulation.
⭐️The pattern has a very peculiar price action structure:
Trading in a bearish trend the price sets a lower low and retraces setting a lower high (left shoulder),
then the market goes lower setting a new low but instead of setting a new lower high, the price returns back to the level of a previous lower high setting an equal high (head).
After that bears start pushing again but with an amplifying bullish pressure, the market sets a higher low and returns back to equal highs setting a new one (right shoulder).
🔔Equal highs form a horizontal structure called a neckline.
Here is a perfect example of a completed inverted head and shoulders patterns, that was formed in a bearish trend on Gold on a 4H time frame.
Once the pattern is formed it is still not a trend reversal predictor though.
The trigger that is applied to confirm a trend reversal is a bullish breakout of a neckline of the pattern.
Above, the breakout of the neckline is the indication of a confirmed bullish reversal.
📈Then a long position can be opened.
For conservative trading, a retest entry is suggested.
Safest stop is lying at least below the right shoulder.
However, in case the heights of the right shoulder and head are almost equal it is highly recommendable to set a stop loss below the head level.
🎯For targets look for the closest strong structure resistances.
After a retest of a broken neckline, Gold bounced. Entry was lying on a neckline, stop loss below the right shoulder, target was based on a closes strong resistance.
Hey traders, let me know what subject do you want to dive in in the next post?
Indicator idea " USX "USX is the average of NAS100 , SPX500 and US30 (all from BLACKBULL data provider).
( average of the 3 Open = O ),
( average of the 3 High = H),
( average of the 3 Low = L),
( average of the 3 Close = C),
Plotted as candles using thoses OHLC, making a chart representing the average price action of indexes.
It is preferable to use on 15m TF (read the ORB part below).
Usage and inputs :
- An important part is the ORB box (Opening Range Breakout) sometime reffered as OPR (Opening Price Range).
This plot a box based on market opening candle (NY time, 15m) high & low.
This box will be colored green if close is above the half value of the box and red if below.
A basic strategy for Stocks and Indexes traders is to wait after open that the price break that 9h30 to 9h45 range an enter accordingly for a scalp in the dominant direction.
( Doesn't work everytime, even less for crypto, but i've been using this tool on each separate index for some time and let me tell you, at NY open the world is always somehow correlated to what happen in Wall Street. )
- Additionnal sma21,55,89 and AMA (the average of the 3 sma).
Optionnal trend confirmation based on the position of close relative to the 3 sma (simultanously above or below) and colored background assiociated.
- The possibility to use VERY lengthy (tweakable) RSI rather than standard average $ values but it's not very effective as the candles look awful (on any big timeframes)...
- In the input you can adjust the % of each of the 3 index in the total from 0% to 100%, so you can, for exemple put NASDAQ % IN INDEX more important than S&P % and DOWJONES even lower (as Crypto-currencies are generally more related to Tech sector).
That's it for now,
Don't hesitate to ask question, even if I've already said too much...
PS: That only an idea, yes the indicator is created and functionnal. Maybe i'll publish it, probably free + open source as i anyway explained everything ;)
Peace, may the profit be with you all
The Power of Candlestick Encapsulation in Trading: Utilizing theTrading is a captivating and intricate field that demands a profound understanding of financial markets, investment strategies, and technical analysis. Among the many techniques employed by traders, candlestick encapsulation is one that can prove to be particularly powerful. In this article, we will explore the concept of candlestick encapsulation and how one can harness the 50% of the first candle's length as a potential support or resistance level.
What Is Candlestick Encapsulation?
Candlestick encapsulation, also known as an "inside bar," is a price pattern that occurs when a subsequent candle develops within the boundaries of the preceding candle. In other words, the price range of the second candle is entirely contained within the range of the first candle. This pattern can appear on any time frame, from daily candles to one-minute candles, and is often used by traders to identify potential turning points in the markets.
How to Identify Candlestick Encapsulation?
To identify candlestick encapsulation, follow these steps:
* Examine the First Candle: Begin by observing the most recent candle on your price chart. This will be the "mother candle."
* Take a Look at the Next Candle: Next, examine the candle that follows the mother candle. This candle should have a price range that is completely contained within the range of the mother candle.
* Confirm the Pattern: To confirm candlestick encapsulation, the second candle must close within the range of the mother candle.
Using the 50% Level as Support or Resistance
Now that we understand what candlestick encapsulation is, let's explore how to leverage the 50% of the first candle's length as a potential support or resistance level.
* Calculate the Length of the First Candle: Measure the length of the mother candle from its high to its low.
* Calculate 50% of the Length: Now, calculate exactly 50% of this length. You can do this by adding the high and low of the mother candle and dividing by two.
* Draw the Horizontal Line: Plot a horizontal line on your price chart at the level you calculated as 50% of the mother candle's length.
* Observe Price Behavior: This horizontal line represents a potential support level if prices move below it or a resistance level if prices stay above it. Observe how prices react when they reach this level.
Interpretation and Strategy
The use of the 50% level of the mother candle's length as support or resistance can be applied in various trading strategies. Here are some important considerations:
* Breakout Strategy: If prices break above the 50% level, there may be a potential bullish breakout. In this case, traders may look for buying opportunities.
* Pullback Strategy: If prices return to the 50% level after a breakout, this could be an opportunity to enter positions in the direction of the prevailing trend.
* Stop Loss and Take Profit: Traders can use the 50% level as a reference point to place stop-loss or take-profit orders.
Conclusion
Candlestick encapsulation is a technical analysis technique that can provide valuable insights into potential turning points in financial markets. By using the 50% level of the mother candle's length as support or resistance, traders can add another tool to their trading toolkit for making informed trading decisions. However, it is important to remember that no technique is foolproof, and trading always involves a degree of risk. Therefore, it is advisable to combine this technique with careful risk management and a solid understanding of financial markets.
EUR/GBP: how to identify a liquidity sweep (+ a technical bonus)This idea will be both educational and technical.
First, we start with the educational part.
If someone were to ask me what a liquidity grab (Stop Loss hunt) really is, I would show them this specific chart illustration. If we take a deep look at the Daily-timeframe graph, we might observe how the price has been able to tap above/below wick rejections and top/bottom reversal formations before aggressively impulsing in pre-determined destinations. This happens for the sole reason of taking out early entrants, who tend to place their Stop Loss orders a few pips above/below identified reversal patterns, before riding the wave in the pre-orchesrated direction.
Marked by a red line, we have mapped some of the recent initial reversal legs, all of which are followed by liquidity taps above/below the formed wick candles and a major reversal levels. It can be inferred how the price tends to make manoeuvres and trick masses into believing that impulses have already commenced, which forces traders into making irrationally rushed decisions and opening transactions with their SL orders set a few ticks above the recent wick. The rest is known: the price prints a leg to the upside/downside, taps into the liquidity pool, then carries on acting as planned and destined.
From the technical standpoint, the price has tapped into the Weekly timeframe lows and is on the verge of leaving a potential wick candle and impulsing towards the south in the direction of the recent Lows as painted on our graphic. Combining that with the Daily-timeframe identification of a probable liquidity sweep, we are confident about going short and targeting the zone we have identified on the chart.
For further reference, I am attaching a recent educational post of ours on the same theme published last month (“Avoid getting trapped and hunted by market sharks”).