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Trading - Expectations VS RealityHey Traders, In this post we will aim to clear some of common misconceptions of trading and how we can help you go further in your trading career by giving you all the tools you need to better understand the market and kill the game. ____________________________________________________________ 1. Trading is easy. Trading is relatively easy IF you know the rules of the market and use certain analytical techniques. Once you have a full arsenal of technical tools, you can easily understand the market and figure out where it may go next. 2. Market moves in one direction. That can be true to a certain extent where we have trending markets. However, within that trend there are various types of pullbacks. Once you understand the different market phases, you can make money whether it's a trending or ranging market. Opportunities are endless! 3. Buy when low. Sell when high. If only things were that straight forward, right? Sometimes the lows aren't really the lows and the highs push higher and higher. This is when you need to understand the different patterns and structure of the market to help you figure out where the best possible place is to buy or sell. Once we understand the market, we need a trading plan. How do we enter? Where do we enter? Where is the stop loss? This is where having rigid checklist really helps! You can tick things off the list and grade the trade setup from good to bad and then enter accordingly using various entry methods. It may sound like a lot of but once broken down into little bits, you can learn this EASILY and know exactly how to analyse and enter trades! ____________________________________________________________ What we will be covering: - Market structure: Impulse & Corrections - Using Index charts to correlate your trades (Very important Topic!) - Drawing a trendline and levels correctly – There’s a hack to it! - Using Moving Averages Correctly - Combining higher timeframe & lower timeframe - Different patterns and how to trade them - More topics to come! Comment below on what other topics you would like to see! I hope this post help clarify some of the misconceptions of trading and the different elements involved. See the links below for information on how we can help you!
Editors' picks
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by WicktatorFX
30
Trading - Expectations VS RealityHey Traders, In this post we will aim to clear some of common misconceptions of trading and how we can help you go further in your trading career by giving you all the tools you need to better understand the market and kill the game. ____________________________________________________________ 1. Trading is easy. Trading is relatively easy IF you know the rules of the market and use certain analytical techniques. Once you have a full arsenal of technical tools, you can easily understand the market and figure out where it may go next. 2. Market moves in one direction. That can be true to a certain extent where we have trending markets. However, within that trend there are various types of pullbacks. Once you understand the different market phases, you can make money whether it's a trending or ranging market. Opportunities are endless! 3. Buy when low. Sell when high. If only things were that straight forward, right? Sometimes the lows aren't really the lows and the highs push higher and higher. This is when you need to understand the different patterns and structure of the market to help you figure out where the best possible place is to buy or sell. Once we understand the market, we need a trading plan. How do we enter? Where do we enter? Where is the stop loss? This is where having rigid checklist really helps! You can tick things off the list and grade the trade setup from good to bad and then enter accordingly using various entry methods. It may sound like a lot of but once broken down into little bits, you can learn this EASILY and know exactly how to analyse and enter trades! ____________________________________________________________ What we will be covering: - Market structure: Impulse & Corrections - Using Index charts to correlate your trades (Very important Topic!) - Drawing a trendline and levels correctly – There’s a hack to it! - Using Moving Averages Correctly - Combining higher timeframe & lower timeframe - Different patterns and how to trade them - More topics to come! Comment below on what other topics you would like to see! I hope this post help clarify some of the misconceptions of trading and the different elements involved. See the links below for information on how we can help you!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by WicktatorFX
15
Importance of diversification across asset classesAny feedback and suggestions would help in further improving the analysis! If you find the analysis useful, please like and share our ideas with the community. Keep supporting :) In this post, we have attempted to cover the importance of portfolio diversification. To drive our point home, we have taken a 2-year reference and divided it into 3 parts: Pre-pandemic : January 2019 to 10th Feb 2020 Height of the pandemic : Feb 2020 to 23rd March 2020 Post pandemic : 30th March 2020 till present The 3 classes of asset that we included in this analysis are: Cryptocurrency- ETH Stocks- S&P 500 Commodity- Gold Pre-pandemic period: ETH was on a bull run as were other major crypto currencies. It shot up more than 125% during that period. The S&P 500 index was up by 38.5% during the same period, while the precious commodity, Gold, rose by 24.15%. At the height of the pandemic: It was a testing time for the diversification of portfolio. Holding any particular asset class and not diversifying at all, proved to be a disaster for many naive investors. ETH dropped by approximately 65%. The S&P 500 index tanked almost 33%, while Gold, considered to be the safest asset, lost 12%. Post-pandemic period: It was one of the massive bull-runs in the history of bull runs. Patient investors who entered into the markets at the height of the pandemic saw their wealth growing multiple times. Moreover, with the Central banks around the world printing currencies at a furious pace, the only way to beat inflation was to invest in high alpha generating assets. ETH shot up almost 1800% during this period, which is a 18x return. The S&P 500 shot up over 94%, while Gold went up by a meagre 21%. Considering the returns and the risk over these 3 periods, it can be stated with absolute conviction that the need for diversification is supreme. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Any feedback and suggestions would help in further improving the analysis! If you find the analysis useful, please like and share our ideas with the community. Keep supporting :)
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDEducation
by Mudrex
2
EURCHF - How To Trade This BreakoutEURCHF is within a descending channel of an ascending channel... pretty confusing I know but have a look at the chart and you can see which way price will be heading. What we need to do now is find the best entry which is safe and clean. From the diagram in the chart, you can see that our entry will only be after the break of the descending channel and after a bullish correction such as a bull flag. We need to make sure that price has the momentum to move up so we will be waiting for a breakout of the bullflag before entering with stops below the correction. Goodluck and trade safe!
Education
by WicktatorFX
2
EURCHF - How To Trade This BreakoutEURCHF is within a descending channel of an ascending channel... pretty confusing I know but have a look at the chart and you can see which way price will be heading. What we need to do now is find the best entry which is safe and clean. From the diagram in the chart, you can see that our entry will only be after the break of the descending channel and after a bullish correction such as a bull flag. We need to make sure that price has the momentum to move up so we will be waiting for a breakout of the bullflag before entering with stops below the correction. Goodluck and trade safe!
Education
by WicktatorFX
1
A "Welcome to" Pinescript codingThis simple idea is an intro to @TradingView & @PineCoders Nothing fancy or complex, if you are already coding - you can skip this. simple MA build walk through & adding a second MA. If you want to get into coding, then here's the basic introduction. FYI - I am not a coder, 21 years trading experience and know a bit about the instruments - but new to actual coding, especially in Pine. Hope it helps someone! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Editors' picks
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
49
If you don't know what DXY is and you are a trader, then read..Let's talk about DXY. TLDR: DXY is important and you should keep your trading eye on it. For those that don't know, DXY is the US Dollar Index. It measures the performance of the USD compared with a basket of six other currencies that are major trading partners of the United States. By far the largest component is the EUR, followed by JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK and CHF. We use DXY to track the relative strength of the world's biggest currency. The health of the USD drives so many things. Yesterday's stream covered the probability of the FOMC (the body in the US that determines interest rates) changing their language regarding their Quantitative Easing (QE) program. You can watch the stream here (warning there is a slight echo at first): www.tradingview.com I wanted to add some explanation to some of the topics I covered. I predicted that their language in the statement would change, and that it would point more towards them ending QE faster than expected. What this means is that they are hinting at tightening interest rate policy. Higher US Interest rates = stronger USD, because you can get more interest depositing your cash in a US bank in USD than you could get yesterday. I also pointed out some Technical Analysis we had done here at Mayfair, showing the timing was perfect for a USD rally. So far so good, and the FOMC did more or less as I expected, and the DXY rallied strongly: Now here's the idea I posted on May 28th showing the same thing: THIS IS ALL WELL AND GOOD BUT........... DXY (USD) strength has ramifications across loads of other markets. This is the point some people may not realise, so i thought I would explain it. If you buy Gold, you pay (usually) in USD. If the USD is stronger, you need fewer USD's to buy the same amount of Gold. so the Gold price goes down: The same is true of US500 Index: While BTC is also priced against the USD, 1-2% moves in the USD aren't going to have too much of an effect on something that can move 5% a day for a long time! DXY's behaviour is something to keep your trading eye on.
TVC:DXYEducation
by Paul_Varcoe
7
The Basics - Trend LinesTrend lines are used in technical analysis to define an uptrend or downtrend. Traditionally, uptrend lines are made by drawing a straight line through a series of ascending higher troughs (lows). ... With downtrends, trend lines are formed by drawing a straight line through a series of descending lower highs. In an uptrend, the “imaginary line” acts as support and in a downtrend, the line connecting the points at swing highs become the resistance. Although we can go into what and why – the logic for trend line, is to keep it simple. It’s another subjective area and people like to spot patterns. It’s human nature. This shows in it's most basic form the concept of a trend line. In an uptrend we want to see, higher highs as well as higher lows as shown below; And in a down trend, the opposite is true - Lower highs & lower lows to create the pattern as per main image of this post. Many other techniques and indicators use this concept, and perhaps the most famous being Elliott waves. Here's a post on Elliott basics; This then all points back to Dow Theory - where markets have 3 cycles and 3 waves (another lesson for another time) in short; Here's also a post covering the Dow basics; You can also use Moving averages as part of "working out the trend" And her is another simple guide to MA's (moving Averages) We thought it would be interesting to post, more of a beginners post that our usual stuff. Hope this helps some of the newer traders. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
8
Are you a champion hopper? 😬🙈Morning traders. I started yesterday morning by posting an idea with the phrase below. 'Lets start the morning with everyone's favourite! Gold' Well I'm kinda doing the same again this morning but this time it so we can all have some more food for thought at the breakfast table instead! Now here me out, I have drawn the two graphs in this mornings idea on the same gold H1 strategy chart I shared yesterdays idea from. The comment section was a good mix of feedback, some miffed at the stop out possibly and others very realistic in the reality that stop losses occur in trading. For this strategy yesterdays stop loss means we now have 5 losses in a row. But I wont be hopping off to another method or style either. 90% of traders get spooked at the first sign of a losing run and jump to the next strategy. Why will I stick with this strategy for gold on H1? Because of probability being factored in from the back tested data available. Hand on heart how many people out there actually back test a strategy? You can't plan for probability in your risk management if you have no data for your strategy. Transparency when sharing ideas has always been key for me and strategy test data is always included in my ideas just as the H1 gold data is at the bottom of this idea. This leads me back on to the graph drawings in this idea. The one on the left is the last two weeks of data for this strategy the one on the right is the last two years! Growing capital takes time. Losing runs are part of trading the growing capital part comes from trading a strategy with a proven edge. If you have a proven system why hop on to another one? I'll end this idea with a great quote from Steve Burns. '10% of successful trading is creating a system with an edge. The other 90% is following it' Enjoy your day traders. ------------------------------------------ Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏 Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌 No one likes missing out, do they? Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this. Thank you. Darren
Editors' picks
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by pow_removetheguesswork
7
Missed gold opportunity. Good time for educating.This was an ideal occasion for order blocks. This one would have netted some good profit and limited risk. This isn't how I trade ordinarily. I don't often take trades off the 240 or higher just because I almost never see an order block within my risk parameters. I usually only use the higher time frames to chart the landscape, however, the idea of successfully trading this way is ultimately enticing enough for me to keep at it.
COMEX:GCQ2021Education
by emehoke
Emotional Analysis I have posted recently on Wyckoff, Elliott cycled, Gann education and covered psychology. The Thing is - as a long time trader, you often see new comers and the assumption is more indicators, more stuff = better results. Take a step back and view this from 30,000 feet. You looking at finding an edge, an edge can be as simple as risk management and positioning yourself with a great risk to reward system. The problem is, if there was an algo or one indicator that could make you rich. The world would quickly run out of doctors and postmen. What Elliott, W.D.Gann, Wyckoff, Dow and others clearly understood - was not the technical count on the chart, or if this is a UTAD or a spring event. What they appreciated was human nature - psychology. I wrote this post to show how the mindset fits into the chart - When everyone started posting the "Wall Street, cheat sheet" and asking - Where are we? I would respond, depending on where you bought or sold. It's not a group thing. Unless you refer to sentiment - which is another topic again. The issue is - everyone is looking to have their hand held. Indicators can be useful of course. But you cannot depend, rely or only take buy and sell signals. Make yourself sheep and the wolves will eat you. Benjamin Franklin ================================================================================================================================== So whilst people assume The Elliott's and the Gann's where the titans of technical. There's a deeper skill they tapped into. Emotional analysis. When studying Elliott, you can walk through a certain journey of why the price moves up & pulls back. Why it rapidly grows in wave 3 and why the 4th becomes messy. Elliott knew what drove these moves & how the retail traders follow on like sheep. click link for full article ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Wyckoff and Dow - this is not a lesson on the technical side. It's an eye opener. Wyckoff could make a schematic of the logic and emotions inside the chart and simply plotted it. Dow, simplified it into 6 market tenets. But either way they knew more about the market psychology than they did the chart. If you are looking to trade alt coins - you need to understand the project, the team & just like investing in a stock. Get a feel for the company. This last week, I have seen social media posts about "this guy lost this, that or the other" All blaming and pointing fingers at Musk - the truth is if you need to follow a celebrity for stock picking. Chose another sport. Doctors, lawyers, accountants and many professions take many years just to qualify - why is crypto trading any different? Professional traders know this - and currently it's like having penguins in the water for the first time, the pro's are the sharks. PSYCHOLOGY This is all it boils down to. We assume big brother is watching, we assume stocks, crypto etc all being manipulated. There's often talk about FOMO & FUD. Wyckoff knew this as the "Composite man" Truth is - retail do it to themselves 90% of the time, trying to catch tops and bottoms. Not learning market phases or cycles and then blaming everyone else for their mistakes. Everyone wants to strike it rich, one trade and millions. Seems to be the mentality. It needs time & proper risk management. ==================================================================================================================================== If you can take a step back and see the market with "emotional vision" switched on, you will see why Elliott & Wyckoff are applicable today - Humans don't change, the psychology and mindset is still the same. Market manipulation is strong and real - it's just not what you think. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
19
XAUUSD - How I caught 580 pips on Gold almost zero Drawdown💰💰Hello Traders😃 I have decided to make this educational post on a trade I took on the 5th of may which took profit after NFP✅ I believe there is a struggling trader who may be having difficulties putting it all together and creating a simple trading plan. The first thing to remember is that trading is probabilities so we try to get as many reasons as possible in our favor before placing any single trade If you see most of my ideas I highlight if a trade is medium probability or high probability and it’s mostly backed by these factors, The more factors in my favor, the higher the probability ⚜️ In this trade I simply used these 5 reasons to get on this trade and all criteria was met perfectly.✊🏽 You don’t need a magic indicator or a lot of lines on your chart to be profitable Remember simplicity is the key 🔑 Just these 5 factors helped me to secure 580 pips on a single trade with a healthy risk to reward too.😊 I caught a similar trade on the 15th of April which I’ve linked below and you can see the factors above Keep things simple and repeatable♻️ God bless you😊 I wish you all a profitable trading career Slick⚜️
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Slickpapi
9
Stochastic OscillatorA stochastic oscillator is a momentum indicator. Trading Strategy: ✔ Recognise the trend: 👉 In a trendy market only open position in the direction of trend. 👉In a range market you can use both buy and sell signals. ✔ Upper band and lower band indicating different things in different market conditions: 👉In a trendy market upper and lower bands show the momentum in the market for example in an uptrend if the indicator is above 80 it means that buyers have the momentum. 👉In a range market, however upper and lower bands showing the overbought and over-sold areas. So, we may go long if we see oversold in a range market and go short if we see a over-bought situation. ✔ Divergence is another important strategy to adopt when using stochastic indicator as a divergence may indicate a trend reversal.
Education
by apadanaforex
Basic understanding of Candlestick- and Chart-PatternsHello everyone, first of all - thank you for the positive respond to my previous video. Now that we know what a trend is made of, we want to point out the difference between Candle-Stick patterns and Chart-Patterns. Feel free to check out the previous episode below. In the next Video we are going to discuss the basic indicators you should look at for trading a trend. Please give me some feedback on what i can improve. Cheers, Ares
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Anton_XBT
8
The Lazy Man's Guide To ELLIOTT WAVEElliott Wave Post 2; after writing the first post I have received some questions. So I thought it easier to write a follow-up post here showing some tricks. To be clear, I am not an Elliottition as a whole, I use it as part of a wider strategy on the monthly and weekly timeframes. But also we have access to an automated Elliott wave tool. The Elliott wave logic still works today and with a couple of little tricks, you will be able to use to help forecast potential target zones. Elliott can be very subjective and the saying goes "if you ask 10 Elliott wave traders where to plot the waves, you will get 9 different answers" So just like everything else, you need to use it wisely and not rely solely on it. Again to reiterate - this is not a full-out lesson, there's more to learn on the topic. But these little tips will help you along the way, even to get into the overall concept a little quicker. Step 1 - if you have this in your mind, you will be able to start the process for an overall measure. Major rule Wave 2; If you can identify a wave 2 but it is less than 50% of wave 1 - be careful as it could create a double bottom (in an uptrend) and dip a little lower before moving up. with 1 & 2 identified you can start working on estimations for 3. Knowing wave 3 is usually 1.618 or 2.618 - will give you a good idea of where price is heading. Again you could use things like Stochastic or RSI to assist the directional bias when you feel you have identified the 2. Let's go all out - let's say we have the perfect setup... We can also say that a lot of the time, wave 4 is around 38.2% of wave 3 and often no greater than 50% (whereas, wave 2 is often more than 50%) Then lastly, if we know a potential target for 3 (maybe draw 2 target levels to test) we can use that with 2 levels for the 4 move 382 and 50 as a rule of thumb. You can see what works best for the instrument you are trading. How they play out with backtesting and so on. It would be great to get some additional comments from traders who use Elliott every day, even from new traders only now getting into Elliott waves. Any additional tips or trips from the pro's for the newer traders? If you are new to Elliott waves - see the related post below for the basic concept. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Editors' picks
FOREXCOM:SPX500Education
by Mayfair_Ventures
35
RSI (Relative Strength Index)RSI = Relative Strength Index Is fluctuates between 0 and 100 • A momentum Oscillator • Increasing RSI when: Average gains are greater than average losses = Bullish • Decreasing RSI when: Average gains are less than average losses = Bearish How to use: 1. Trend recognition: trading in the direction of the trend 1.1 Above 50: Uptrend 1.2 Below 50: Downtrend 2 Overbought and oversold entry signals. 2.1 In an uptrend look for oversold areas and open a long trade after the pullback above 30. 2.2 In a downtrend look for overbought areas and open a short trade after the pullback below 70.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by apadanaforex