TRADING PSYCHOLOGY | Common Traps You Must Know 🧠💭💫
Hey traders,
Trading psychology plays a very important role in a learning curve of a trader. In this post, we will discuss common biases and traps that every struggling trader is occasionally facing.
⚓️Anchoring Bias
People rely too much on a reference point from the past when making a decision for the future - they are "anchored" to the past.
Imagine you spotted a great trading opportunity & made a nice profit. Encountering a similar setup in the future you trade it again. It turns out that you lose.
Next time - same thing. The setup that initially brought you nice cash refuses to work.
Even though the probabilities indicate that the identified pattern produces negative long-term returns, you keep taking that because you are "anchored" to the initial winner.
🙅♂️Loss Aversion
This is when people go to great lengths to avoid losses because the pain of loss is twice as the pleasure received from a win.
You see a great trading setup. You are 100% sure that it will play out. You open a trade and guess what? The market goes in the opposite direction. You can't believe that you are wrong. Instead, you decide to hold your position just a bit more adjusting your stop loss. And again, the market refuses to go in the direction that you projected. It is a vicious cycle that most of the time leads to substantial losses.
✅Confirmation Bias
The confirmation trap is when traders seek out the information that validates their opinions and ignores any theory that invalidates them.
You spotted a great long opportunity on GBPUSD. Checking the ideas of other traders on TradingView you consider only the ones that confirm your predictions completely ignoring the opposite ones.
👑Superiority Trap
Many traders have lost large sums of money in the past simply because they have fallen prey to the mentality of overconfidence.
Imagine that you caught a winning streak. You feel like the king of the world. You spend less and less time and reflection on each consequent trading decision that you make, you lose your focus. At some moment the reality kicks in and your gains evaporate.
🐮Herding
As a trader, you should execute your own analysis & avoid the temptation to blindly follow the majority.
Analyzing a EURUSD chart you make a conclusion that the market is bearish. However, then you see that 90% of the traders are very bullish on TradingView.
Instead of following your own analysis, you decide to join the herd.
These biases are common and most of the time we fall prey to them unconsciously.
The more you self-reflect, the more you analyze your thoughts and actions, it would be easier for you to avoid them.
Have your ever fallen prey to these traps?
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Metals
Your Success Formula | What Drives a Big Change 🏔️
Hey traders,
There’s a well-known Chinese proverb that says, “A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step.”
The one thing that prevents you from attaining your goal is hidden in your psyche, deep inside your soul. People usually look for shortcuts and want to accomplish their goals in one night. But the thing about long-term goals is that they can not be accomplished in a single day! It’s not like they require one huge, monumental effort to be achieved.
The only way you’re going to accomplish something really big and ambitious – the kind of goal that will transform your life forever – is by consistently taking one small step at a time in the direction of your dreams.
The importance of small incremental steps should be recognized by everyone, life is full of challenges, ups, and downs, but one should not lose hope or give up during the process. Failure should be considered as a learning point, an opportunity for growth.
Be ready for a journey of thousand miles this year. Be ready to meet the chaos and unknown. That is the only way to evolve and be better.
Remember that nothing is impossible to achieve unless you decide to do it at all costs.
Do you agree with this quote?
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Your only as good as the assets you tradeThis is just a short blog post of a much longer idea!
In a recent post we spoke about focusing only on assets that are in play for the day, even tough with day trading you can still make solid profits, especially on the tick charts, trading ranges, a trend will generate you much bigger and more importantly, easier profits.
This is why it is vital to focus on assets which could generate momentum, because at the end of the day in day trading you are only as good as the assets you trade.
Below you will find a chart of NASDAQ (left) and a chart of XAUUSD (right), one has moved significantly upwards while one was stuck in a whipsaw range which ended up breaking to the down side towards the end of the day on December 31st.
Choosing to trade XAUUSD would be much easier to make a profit.
SUPERTREND AND EMA x2 Strategy for XAUUSD SWING TRADINGTools(Indicators) used:
Supertrend Indicator from KivancOzbilgic no changes.
EMA used twice. Set Length on first EMA at 20 change color to Blue (any you want but I will explain using the settings used).
Set Length on second EMA at 50 change color to Yellow
CHART 5 MINS and UP but under 1H.
Preferred instrument is FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Strategy:-
We enter a trade upon confirmation of the following conditions.
1. When the supertrend suggests a buy. We confirm entry only when the blue line crosses the yellow from below.
If both the conditions are true we place a buy order taking the previous lowest point as stop loss and profit at 1:1
2. When the Supertrend suggests a sell. We confirm entry only when the blue line crosses the yellow line from above.
If both the conditions are true we place a sell order taking the previous highest point as stop loss and profit at 1:1.
This is the strategy that I am using and I have been able to close 90% trades in profit.
The strategy holds good almost every currency pairs and major cryptos. But I have not tried it on stocks. So reviews and suggestions are welcome to improve the strategy
Please Like and Comment....
Disclaimer: The views expressed are for educational purpose only and do not constitute to trading advice. Please do your own research before acting on the views expressed herein.
Using Stochastic RSI to trade Gold on shorter time framesFor the past 2 months I tested a scalping strategy using the Stoch RSI oscilator for OANDA:XAUUSD .
Basically, it consisted in entering a position, short or long, whenever the Stoch RSI crossed the signal above (shorting) or bellow (long) the overbought /oversold zones with very tight SL, waiting until the Stoch RSI gave me a clear trend change signal.
I tried several time frames for Gold and found that 15m and 30m worked the best.
Bear in mind I tried this for stocks, Bitcoin and it didn't fit at all. Only with gold. And only with the stoch RSI, the RSI was almost useless.
At first this strategy was providing me good results. I had a hit rate of up to 85% on shorts and and 50% on longs. I tried several explanations for this and best one I found is a combination of the following two:
1) gold was in a macro slight downtrend and even in very short time frames, the probability of being right shorting was higher.
2) gold (and everything?) tends to come down more decisively than up so the oscillators pick a more clear trend shift.
3) my psychology was stronger shorting, somehow I seem to be more "afraid" when longing, perhaps because of point number 2).
I eventually 1) gave up longing gold 2) used less leverage to have less tight SL and the strategy seemed too good to be true. No one was mentioning this on ideas or chats and sometimes I felt like I had found some sort of cheat code. Fellow traders would write "it's going up" or "it's going down" and they were almost always wrong if the Stoch RSI didn't match.
However, suddenly i stopped having clear signals, the market completely changed. Stubbornly and because I wanted to test it, I stuck to it, but it never worked again (so far).
My conclusion is that for it to work, the price action needs to be in "oscillator" mode with gold trading sideways on 15/30 minute time frame with a range of more than 3-4$ between tops and bottoms. It's also wiser to follow the main trend and opting out on entering short or long positions against a main trend.
Also, it is very important to check TVC:DXY and TVC:US10Y in real time. (right now those two indicators are much more relevant to me than stoch RSI).
I know for many more experienced traders the above idea might seem very obvious or naive, but I'm learning every day and I though I'd share my experience.
Feel free to comment and happy trading to all.
Breakout Trading | 7 Steps to Follow 📝
Hey traders,
Breakout trading is one of the most popular trading strategies.
Being quite simple in theory, it remains quite complex and complicated in practice.
In this post, we will discuss 7 steps every breakout trader must follow.
💬And just in brief about a breakout trading itself:
this method aims to spot a key level (it might be horizontal support/resistance or a trend line) and then to trade its occasional breakout assuming that it will trigger an impulsive move.
1️⃣No surprise, the first task of a breakout trader is the identification of key levels. Preferably these levels should be spotted on weekly/daily time frames.
2️⃣Once key levels are spotted, a breakout trader should patiently wait for the test of one of those. His goal is to wait for a breakout.
In that step, many traders fail. The problem is that in order to confirm the breakout, one should have strict & reliable rules to follow. The rules that describe a confirmed breakout.
*I apply the following rule: the breakout of a level will be considered to be confirmed once the candle closes above/below the structure on the highest time frame where the structure is recognizable.
3️⃣Once the breakout is confirmed, the next step is to wait for a retest of a broken level. Why retest? Simply because a retest gives a better risk to reward ratio for the trade. And even though there is no guarantee that the price will retest the broken level and because of that some trading opportunities will be missed, in the long run, retest trading produces higher gains.
4️⃣Opening a trade on a retest one should know the exact target levels. The levels where the profits will be taken. Again, newbies traders make a lot of mistakes on that step. Remember that your targets must be realistic, they must be based on closest strong structure levels, not on your desired returns.
5️⃣Also, a breakout trader should set a stop loss. And again, a stop-loss level must be safe, it must be set at least below/above a previous minor structure to protect you from stop-hunting.
Stop-loss reflects the point where the trader becomes wrong in his predictions and where the trading setup becomes invalid.
6️⃣Once the trading position is opened and stop-loss & take-profit are set, one should patiently wait. There is no guarantee that the price will start falling/growing sharply after the breakout. The market may start coiling for a quite long period of time before it starts acting.
Breakout trader must be patient not allowing his emotions to intervene.
7️⃣Lastly, one should remember that his exit points are stop-loss/take-profit levels. Stop-loss adjustment in case of a position drawdown, preliminary profit-taking, and target extension are your worst enemies. Be disciplined, don't be greedy, and keep your emotions in check.
Of course, this 7-steps trading plan is not sufficient enough for profitable breakout trading. There are so many nuances on each step of the plan to consider.
However, let this plan be your initial guideline: learn & follow that and with time, keep elaborating its rules until you become a consistently profitable trader.
Are you a breakout trader?
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These few chart patterns will improve your trading!Hello everyone,
Let's look at few of my favorite chart patterns that I use from day to day in my trading and analyses. These patterns appears in almost every asset, instrument and currency pairs in the financial market and stock market.
Forex chart patterns are on-chart price action patterns that have a higher than average probability of follow-through in a particular direction.
They have offer significant clues to price action traders that use technical chart analysis in their forex trading decision process.
Each chart pattern has the potential to push the price toward a new move.
Forex traders tend to identify chart patterns in order to take advantage of upcoming price swings.
Forex trading patterns are divided in groups based on the potential price direction of the pattern.
There are three main types of chart patterns classified in Forex technical charting:
🔹 Continuation Chart Patterns
🔹 Reversal Chart Patterns
🔹 Neutral Chart Patterns
1. Bullish Flag
In the context of technical analysis, a flag is a price pattern that, in a shorter time frame, moves counter to the prevailing price trend observed in a longer time frame on a price chart. It is named because of the way it reminds the viewer of a flag on a flagpole.
The flag pattern is used to identify the possible continuation of a previous trend from a point at which price has drifted against that same trend. Should the trend resume, the price increase could be rapid, making the timing of a trade advantageous by noticing the flag pattern. In this scenario a bullish flag can be a sign that the previous bullish move that occurred prior to this pattern is likely to continue in the same direction. Opposite can be said with the bearish flag.
2. Double bottom
The double bottom is a reversal pattern that occurs after an extended move down. The pattern signals that the market is unable to break through a key support level, and thus is likely to move higher.
This pattern consist of
🔹First bottom
🔹Second bottom
🔹Neckline
Neckline represents a resistance level that forms after the first bottom. A daily close above the neckline confirms the double bottom pattern. A total break through the neckline may confirm a violation of this pattern, long positions can opened once price has closed above the neckline at times a successful retest of price to the neckline can confirm a strong reversal.
The opposite of this pattern is the Double Top which is a sign of reversal in bullish market, signaling a strong move to the downside.
3. Triple Bottom
A triple bottom is a visual pattern that shows the buyers (bulls) taking control of the price action from the sellers (bears) and that price is about to change direction to the upside.
A triple bottom is generally seen as three roughly equal lows bouncing off support followed by the price action breaching resistance.
The formation of triple bottom is seen as an opportunity to enter a bullish position.
The triple bottom consist of:
🔹First bottom
🔹Second bottom
🔹Third bottom
🔹Neckline
The opposite of the triple bottom is a triple top which can signal a move to the downside.
4. Head and Shoulders
A head and shoulders pattern is a chart formation that appears as a baseline with three peaks: The outside two are close in height and the middle is highest.
In technical analysis, a head and shoulders pattern describes a specific chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal, while an inverse head and shoulders indicates the reverse.
The head and shoulders pattern is believed to be one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns, but does have its limitations.
5. Rectangle
A rectangle occurs when the price is moving between horizontal support and resistance levels.
The pattern indicates there is no trend, as the price moves up and down between support and resistance.
The rectangle ends when there is a breakout, and the price moves out of the rectangle.
Some traders like to trade the rectangles, buying near the bottom and selling or shorting near the top, while others prefer to wait for breakouts.
6. Symmetrical Triangle
The symmetrical triangle pattern is a continuation chart pattern like Ascending and Descending Triangle patterns.
This pattern is characterized by two converging trend lines that connect a series of troughs and peaks.
The trend lines should be converging to make an equal slope.
This pattern indicates a phase of consolidation before the prices breakout.
7. Ascending Triangle
The ascending triangle is a bullish formation that usually forms during an uptrend as a continuation pattern. There are instances when ascending triangles form as reversal patterns at the end of a downtrend, but they are typically continuation patterns. Regardless of where they form, ascending triangles are bullish patterns that indicate accumulation.
Because of its shape, the pattern can also be referred to as a right-angle triangle. Two or more equal highs form a horizontal line at the top. Two or more rising troughs form an ascending trend line that converges on the horizontal line as it rises. If both lines were extended right, the ascending trend line could act as the hypotenuse of a right triangle. If a perpendicular line were drawn extending down from the left end of the horizontal line, a right triangle would form.
8. Cup and Handle
The Cup and Handle is a bullish continuation pattern that marks a consolidation period followed by a breakout. There are two parts to the pattern: the cup and the handle. The cup forms after an advance and looks like a bowl or rounding bottom. As the cup is completed, a trading range develops on the right-hand side and the handle is formed. A subsequent breakout from the handle's trading range signals a continuation of the prior advance. The opposite of this is the Inverse Cup and Handle that appears in the bearish market and that act as a continuation pattern and sponsor move to the downside after the breakout.
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Learn Top-Down Analysis | The Best Trading Strategy 🏆
Hey traders,
🔝Top-Down analysis is one of the most efficient ways to analyze & trade different financial markets. In this post, we will discuss the time frames to watch and the main steps to go through to execute a Top-Down trading strategy properly.
Being a Top-Down trader your task is to assess the global market perspective and identify the zones, the areas from where it will be relatively safe for you to trade it following the trend or catching the reversals.
➖Weekly time frame shows you the price action during the last couple of years. It unveils the major zones of supply and demand and indicates the long-term direction of the market.
Your task is to spot these zones and underline them.
The strongest market moves most of the time initiate from these zones.
At the same time, you must remember that on a weekly time frame the market is extremely slow. Being beyond the key zones 90% of the time, it takes many weeks, even months for the market to reach them.
➖Once you completed a weekly time frame analysis,
the next on your radar is a daily time frame.
Daily time frame shows you 1-year-long price action.
It indicates a mid-term sentiment.
And again, here your task is to simply identify the market trend and underline major key levels.
*It is highly recommendable to apply different colors for highlighting weekly/daily levels.
Completing weekly/daily time frame analysis, your task is to set the alerts on at least two closest support/resistance clusters. You must patiently wait for the moment when the price reaches one of them.
Once the underlined key level is reached, you start the analysis of intraday time frames.
➖The intraday time frames on focus are 4H/1H.
Your task here is to spot the price action/candlestick patterns.
With such formations, the market unveils its reaction to the key level that it is approaching.
You are looking for a pattern that confirms the strength of the level.
Spotting the pattern you are looking for a trigger to open a trading position. Most of the time it is a breakout of a trend line or a horizontal neckline.
The breakout confirms the willingness of buyers/sellers to buy/sell from the underlined support/resistance. Only then a trading position is opened.
Of course, in practice, Top-Down analysis is very complex and many things and concepts must be learned in order to apply that strategy properly. Follow the steps described in this post, learn to identify key levels and recognize the price action patterns and you will see how efficient this strategy is.
Do you apply a Top-Down trading strategy?
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What Type of Trader Are You? 🤔
Hey traders,
In this post, I decided to make a comparative analysis of three main trading styles: scalping, day trading, and swing trading.
We will go throw the main pros and cons of each approach and discuss common misconceptions.
🏃♀️🏃 Let's start with scalping.
I guess many of us were impressed by videos on youtube showing how a guy makes thousands of dollars applying a simple scalping strategy.
Some of these videos get millions of views and excitement from the audience. No surprise the majority of newbies start their trading journey with scalping strategies.
Practicing some of them and trading on a real account, these traders suddenly realize that the youtube videos barely reflect the reality of scalping.
Scalping requires being extremely reactive, making trading decisions quickly, and constantly staying focused.
Moreover, it turns out that this trading style is extremely risky, and occasional losing streaks become an essential part of the process.
A pro scalper usually opens dozens of trading positions per day and manages many of them simultaneously.
Even though it is a fact that a solid scalping strategy is a true cash machine, the constant pressure and high level of stress make many traders leave that game blowing their trading account.
A true scalper is a guy with iron nerves and a sharp mind.
It takes many many years to become a person like that.
🚶♀️🚶Intraday trading is a bit simpler. While quite often scalping gives a trader just a couple of minutes to react and make a trading decision, intraday trading gives the hours. Such a trading style is slower, the intraday perspective is not that chaotic and irrational. It takes many hours for the trading setup to play out making the trade management process not that time-consuming. Moreover, intraday trader tends to open much fewer trading positions than a scalper. Analyzing primarily 4h/1h time frames less trading setups meet the entry conditions.
That primarily affects the potential gains though. Lesser you trade, the less money you make.
I consider myself to be an intraday trader. Trading full-time of course I was trying different scalping strategies, but I must admit that I can’t make the decisions that quickly, I can’t constantly hold so many active trading positions in my mind, I need some time to think, I need some time to do other things, I want more freedom. For that reason, intraday trading is my choice.
And let me be frank right here: I am not trying to say that intraday trading is simple, it is SIMPLER than scalping still remaining extremely complicated to master.
🕴🕴 If you want trading to become your side income if you have a full-time job and just a couple of hours per day for charting, I believe that intraday trading/scalping are not appropriate for you. In your situation, I would consider swing trading.
Swing trading is extremely slow. Being primarily focused on weekly/daily time frames a swing trader tends to hold trading positions for weeks, sometimes even months.
Moreover, it takes many days for a swing trading setup to form and the market gives a trader much time for reflection.
Of course, that primarily affects the potential gains:
I believe that among the 3 trading styles that we discussed, swing trading generates the lowest returns.
Swing trader is the best starter for newbie traders.
Analyzing higher time frames they can constantly follow the market and don’t miss the major moves.
Just 1-2 hours per day are enough to follow dozens of financial instruments.
Only by becoming a consistently profitable swing trader, one can try himself in intraday trading.
Working with hundreds of struggling traders from different parts of the world I realized that the majority has the inverted perception of scalping/intraday/swing trading. I hope that this article will shed a light on that topic.
What trading style do you prefer?
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How to Spot & Trade Falling Wedge Pattern | Price Action 🤓
Hey traders,
In this video, I will teach you how to trade a falling wedge pattern.
I will share with you my rules on how to identify the pattern,
how to read it correctly, how to select the target & entry levels
and how to set a safe stop loss.
We will discuss a theory and real market examples.
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Asset Classes - Part 3 - For beginnersToday we prepared for you 3rd part of our paper on asset classes for beginners. Purpose of this paper is to concisely detail futures contracts, forwards, swaps and options.
Asset Classes - Part 1 and 2 - For beginners
Feel welcome to read part 1 and part 2 if you have not yet.
Derivative
Derivative is a type of financial asset which derives its value from an underlying asset or group of assets, or benchmark. Underlying assets for derivative contracts can be, for example, stocks, commodities, currencies, bonds, etc. Derivatives are traded on a stock market exchange or over-the-counter (OTC). They can be used as investment vehicles, speculative vehicles and even as hedge against the risk. Additionally, derivatives often allow for use of leverage. Most common derivatives are futures contracts, options, forwards and swaps.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily graph of gold in USD.
Futures contracts
Futures contract is a standardized derivative that is publicly traded on a stock market exchange. It binds two parties together which are obligated to exchange an asset at a predetermined future date and price (without regard to current value). Expiration date is used to differentiate between particular futures contracts. For example, there may be a corn futures contract with expiration in April and then another corn futures contract with expiration in May. On a day of expiry, also called delivery, the exchange of an asset between the two parties is enforced. Underlying assets for futures contracts can be stocks, commodities, indexes, etc.
Forwards
Forward contract is a derivative contract between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a specified price on a future date. Unlike futures contracts, forward contracts are not standardized. They are customizable and traded over-the-counter rather than at a stock market exchange.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration above depicts the daily graph of continuous futures for gold. It is clearly visible that the gold chart in USD and gold continuous futures chart are resemblant.
Swaps
Swap is another form of derivative contract that binds two parties to exchange cash flows. There are currency swaps and interest rate swaps. Currency swap is defined as the exchange of an amount in one currency for the same amount in another currency. Interest rate swaps are defined by exchange of interest rate payments.
Illustration 1.03
Picture above shows daily graph of S&P500 continuous futures.
Options
Option is a type of financial asset that gives a buyer the right to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price and date. Options differ from futures contracts in that they do not oblige parties to exchange an underlying asset. There are European-style options and American-style options. European-style options can be exercised only on a date of expiry while American-style options can be exercised at any time before this date. Options that give a buyer the right to buy an underlying asset are called call options. Contrary to that, the put options give a buyer the right to sell the underlying asset. Options are very complex as they involve option risk metrics, so called greeks.
DISCLAIMER: This content serves solely educational purposes.
TRIPLE TOP PATTERN. Tips on how to trade it 📚
🟢The triple top is a very powerful reversal pattern. Visually, it represents three consecutive peaks approximately equal in height. Formally, it can be considered as a special case of the head and shoulders formation, whose head height is approximately equal to the shoulders. Moreover, the differences between them are purely academic, since, from a practical point of view, both of them indicate a change in the uptrend to a downtrend.
✅The pattern reflects three consecutive unsuccessful attempts to break through a certain resistance level. At the same time, each subsequent unsuccessful attempt indicates a weakening of the bulls and increases the likelihood of a future reversal.
❗️To correctly identify the pattern, the analyst should pay attention to the following conditions.
1️⃣The formation of a triple top should be preceded by a solid upward (bullish) trend, which should last at least a month, and preferably several months.
2️⃣Three consecutive tops must be clearly expressed and be approximately the same height. Through their maxima, the upper resistance level is built. The maxima should differ from each other by no more than 1-2%.
3️⃣ The lower support level is built through the minimum of the retracement after the first and second peaks depending on which of them will be lower.
4️⃣ As the triple top forms, there should be a gradual decline in trade volumes. At the same time, a local increase in trading volumes in the area of a top formation is considered acceptable. This is a confirmation of the gradual weakening of bull pressure on the market and a sign of an approaching trend reversal.
5️⃣ The triple top gives its final confirmation only after breaking through the lower support level after the formation of the third top. The breakout should be accompanied by a significant increase in trading volumes, and the appearance of price gaps on the chart is also desirable. After breaking through, the support level becomes the resistance level, in the area in which subsequent corrective price movements are possible.
6️⃣ To determine the goal of the price movement, it is necessary to measure the distance between the lower support level and the maximum point of the triple top. Then this distance should be projected from a broken support level to the downside.
7️⃣ The reliability of the patterns directly depends on the duration of the period during which it was formed. It should be at least several months.
⚠️In technical analysis, the triple top is one of the most difficult to recognize and "insidious" figures for an investor. Until the third top is formed, this figure looks like a classic double top. Also, three consecutive peaks of approximately equal height are characteristic of the ascending triangle and rectangle patterns, which are trend continuation formations. Thus, the final confirmation of the triple top is received only after a consequent breakout of the lower support level, which should be accompanied by a sharp increase in trading volumes.
Do you trade triple top?🤔
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How & When big players enter to market?As you can see #gold is into consolidation space & we should wait for new movement to this chart in 4hour time frame. When the market starts sharp movement ( It doesn't matter up or down ), We'll have pullback to broken structure & this will be great signal to open buy or sell position from hole range area or supply and demand zone.
WHY 95% OF TRADERS FAIL | Top 6 Mistakes to Avoid 🙅♂️🙅♀️
Hey traders,
That is the absolute fact:
95% of traders will fail.
Working with hundreds of struggling traders from different parts of the world, studying their trades & following their reasoning I found a lot of commonalities. In this post, we will discuss the top 6 mistakes to avoid to succeed in trading.
🤖 Rather than studying the market structure, rather than learning price action, many traders are looking for a "secret indicator". The one that will accurately indicate when to buy or sell the market.
Failing to find the one, they start looking for a set of indicators giving them magic profit formula. At some stage, they stop analyzing the chart at all. They become obsessed with the indicators.
Remember, naked chart analysis always goes first.
The indicator is the tool in your toolbox that is applied as one of the confirmations.
💫 The expectations & mindset play a very important role here as well.
Many people come in trading with a desire to become rich quick. To buy a subscription to some signal service promising them thousands of pips monthly and quite their 9:5 job.
Or to watch a couple of educational videos about trading and after a couple of days of practicing become a whale of Wallstreet making thousands of dollars with a single trade.
Such a mindset is completely wrong. Instead, you must realize that trading is extremely hard. It will take many years and a lot of blown trading accounts before you get how to trade properly.
Moreover, even once you mature, you won't make millions of dollars. Professional trading is simply about winning slightly more than you lose and then living on a margin.
📉 Poor risk management is the primary reason for blown trading accounts. And here I am not talking about some "advanced" risk management techniques.
Many traders simply trade with oversized lots.
Having high leverage & 1000$ deposit at hand the one can simply open a trading position with 1 standard lot and be kicked in by a spread.
Or they open a trading position without a stop loss. Being wrong in their predictions instead of closing a losing position they keep holding it. And while the market keeps going against them they pray the God for a market reversal. At some moment they get the margin call.
You must learn to calculate a lot size for all your trades. Instead of risking a huge portion of your trading account, learn to set a stop loss and risk no more than 1% of your deposit.
📝 Lastly, discipline plays a crucial role in your success in trading. Once you developed a trading strategy & backtested that you must learn to follow its rules no matter what. Usually, once traders catch a losing streak they start changing their rules, they start adjusting their trading strategy. Remember that losses are inevitable. The only correct way to stay afloat is to be consistent and don't break the rules.
Avoiding these common mistakes your chances to succeed in trading will increase dramatically. I wish you be among 5% of traders who made it.
Did you make these mistakes?
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Traders Dynamic Index (TDI) indicatorTraders Dynamic Index (TDI) indicator is a complex indicator that consists of the following indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Moving Average To smooth RSI
Bollinger Bands (BB) Or in this case we should only refer to them as volatility bands
RSI helps us with:
1. Trend recognition: trading in the direction of the trend
2 Overbought and oversold entry signals
MA helps us with:
1. Smoothing RSI
Volatility bands help us with:
1. Trend straight recognition
2 Trend direction
PRICE ACTION PATTERNS | Descending Triangle 🔰
Hey traders,
In this video, you will learn a classic price action pattern "Descending Triangle".
Main topics covered:
Structure of the pattern
Bias of the pattern
Triggers
Stop placement
Target selection
Real market example
Let me know in a comment section what pattern do you want to learn in the next video!
❤️Please, support this video with like and comment!❤️
⚡️♦️Breakdown of the Big Gold Short♦️⚡️Greetings To You Traders
▫️Let’s break down this superb trade timeframe by timeframe
▫️One of the the most important factor in our lives is Time.
▫️It also proves to be very important In our trades as well
I will break down this trade in the same way I did when I took it on Friday
I use just 4 things in my trading:
1. Recent price Structure ( Supply and Demand)
2. Overall Structure (Support and resistance)
3. Structural moves ( Higher Highs/ Higher Lows ( Uptrend)
4. Structural moves( Lower Highs / Lower Lows ( Downtrend)
▫️First Time frame : Daily
Key factor : Resistance level
Looking at the daily timeframe you could see that price had reached a previous support now turned into resistance
This is a textbook market structure move and is very profitable if traded well
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▫️Second Time Frame : 4 Hour
Key factor : Supply Zone
Looking at the 4 Hour time frame I saw a nice supply zone and all I was waiting for was the wick rejection and entry on smaller TF
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▫️Third time Frame : 1 Hour
Key factor : Structure move ( lower lows )
Look at the 1 hour time frame I observed that the market was now making lower lows
Very typical for price to do so in a down trend and that is when I started loading up my lots
My stops were above structure and I took the plunge
♦️♦️♦️♦️♦️♦️♦️♦️♦️♦️♦️♦️
▪️I hope this breakdown can help you in executing your own trades too and using multi time frame analysis
▪️Be kind and leave a like and a follow : )
God bless you all
Slick✨
COMPOUND INTEREST. Time is on your side📚
❗️As it turned out, not all traders are familiar with such an important concept as compound interest. Meanwhile, the use of compound interest in trading can be a very effective tool for making a profit. In short, compound interest is the accrual of interest on interest, and if in detail, then read on.
✅The formula for calculating compound interest has the form:
Compound percentage = (P (1 + g)^ n) – P, where
P – the amount originally invested;
r – interest rate;
n is the investment period.
Let's say you invested an amount of $ 10,000, every year the interest received is added to the principal amount, and new interest is accrued for a larger amount. If the investment period is 5 years, and the interest rate is 10% per annum, then after the specified period, taking into account the compound interest, you will receive a profit in the amount of:
(10000(1+0.10)^5)-10000=6105.1$
And without taking into account the compound interest, the profit for the same period will be:
10000*5*0,10-10000=5000$
As you can see, using compound interest (or in other words reinvesting profits) brought additional income in the amount of: 6105.1-5000 = 1105.1 $.
✅It seems that the figures presented above are not impressive, but the use of compound interest in trading can truly work wonders. In what way? Let's take another look at the compound interest formula described above. It is obvious from the formula that you can increase profit by increasing any of its components. Let's not touch the amount originally invested, but play with the value of the investment period and the interest rate.
To begin with, let's imagine that we will reinvest the profit not every year, but every month. Then the investment period will be 12 *5 = 60 months. The interest rate corresponding to this investment period will be equal to: 10%/12=0.833%. Let's substitute these values into the formula for calculating the compound percentage:
(10000(1+0.00833)^60)-10000=6449,8$
As you can see, under the same conditions, but with monthly reinvestment of profits, the income will already be $ 6449.8- $6105.1 =$344.7 more.
Well, if the trader's income is not 0.833% per month, but, for example, 5% monthly, then under the same conditions and for the same period, the profit will already be:
(10000(1+0.05)^60)-10000=176791,86$
Felt the difference, impressive, isn't it? And what if you reinvest profits not monthly, but daily? Let's figure it out. With an average yield of 5% per month, the average daily yield will be 5%/21= 0.238% (here 21 is the number of working days in a month). The investment period will be 5*360=1800 days. Let's substitute the data into the compound interest formula:
(10000(1+0.00238)^1800)-10000=711617,5$
This is already 711617.5-176791.86 = 534826 $ more than with monthly reinvestment of profits. More than half a million dollars (and this with an initial investment of only ten thousand)! That's impressive. That's what compound interest is in action.
⚠️This is about theory. In practice, it is impossible to achieve a constant percentage of profit every day. Some days a trader inevitably ends up with a loss, some with a profit, and the size of these losses and profits is always different. So it is unlikely to substitute the value of the percentage of profit per day in the above formula. However, the very essence of compound interest, clearly shown above in figures, gives the trader a fairly powerful tool for earning. A trader can and should use compound interest when creating his own money management system.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT & EXTENSION | Trading Basics 📚
Hey traders,
In this video, I will teach you the basics of fib. extension & retracement.
In this lesson we will cover:
Settings for fib.retracement
Settings for fib. extension
Impulse leg & correct drawing
Application in a trending market
Let me know in a comment section if you want to see more lessons like that.
❤️Please, support this video with like and comment!❤️
Why Do You Need a Trading Journal? 📝
Hey traders,
📖 Trading Journal is a crucial element in your trading education.
Even though the majority tends to neglect it, in fact, it is considered to be the essential part of a daily routine of a professional trader.
In this post, we will discuss why you should keep a trading journal & how it enhances your trading performance.
Let's start with the obvious:
✍️ Trading journal is applied for recording your trading positions:
winning and losing ones.
With that, you can monitor your current performance, identify the mistakes that were made and examine your decisions.
❌ Analyzing the errors you learn your weaknesses & the situations when it is preferable not to trade. You adjust your trading strategy accordingly in order to avoid similar mistakes in future.
💪 Examining the winning trades you learn about your strengths.
You identify the trading instruments, the trading setups where your strategy reaches the highest accuracy.
⚖️ Working with the numbers you can measure your investing exposure and calculate your account drawdowns. You can analyze your losing streaks & your long-term/mid-term/short-term account statistics.
📈 Analyzing the figures you can measure your progress over time by comparing your current results with the old ones.
😡 Keeping the record of your emotions, you can measure & quantify the psychological element of your trading. You may calculate the percentage of emotional decisions being made and their effect.
🌟 Consistent journaling makes you disciplined. It teaches you to strictly follow the rules of your trading plan & constantly learn from your mistakes in order to hasten the path towards a more disciplined and profitable trading career.
A trading journal should be simple and tailored to your specific trading style and the goals you would like to achieve.
I hope that my words will inspire you to keep a trading journal!
Do you have the one already?
❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
Gold: 8 Factors You Must Know, If You Trade Gold8 Factors You Must Know If You Trade Gold
Gold has been a favorite of many for centuries. It's used as an investment and holds sentimental value all over the world.
Let's take a closer look into some factors that affect these changes: supply & demand dynamics between countries holding large amounts while wanting lower rates so they won't have trouble selling off inventories; economic stability decides whether there'll be.
Wh at Moves the Gold Price?
There are many reasons plays behind the gold price. Let's discuss some.
Supply and Demand
Demand and Supply are two forces that constantly affect the price of Gold. When demand for this precious metal increases, its value goes up too. When there's less interest in purchasing or holding onto it, prices will naturally decrease over time due to supply constraints. That means you can buy more at any given moment without worrying about getting stuck paying the total retail cost later.
Inflation
Gold has been a good hedge against inflation for many years. When prices go up in an economy, people tend to invest their money into Gold and not a currency. Because it's considered stable over time while maintaining its value even when currencies change significantly from one day or year-to-year ranking/rating changes due to economic factors. Such as high unemployment rates, which increase demand by consumers looking for safe-haven assets.
Central Banks Decision
Gold is typically bought in large amounts by governments and institutions who view it as an essential store for wealth preservation. But this can also mean traders take notice.
Central banks worldwide have recently been buying substantial quantities because they want to diversify their reserves away from US dollars which currently make up most international finance markets valued at close to $200 trillion (€170 T).
The result has already shown itself, with spot prices rising 6 percent higher than last year despite economic uncertainty following recent hikes on interest rates over America's quantitative easing program.
Interest Rates
Interest rates are the driving force behind Gold's price movements. When interest rates increase, people sell their assets to earn higher returns on existing investments. At the same time, at other times, they might buy back in if prices have fallen too far for them not to make up that loss with purchasing power today - this increases demand for precious metals like never before.
The relationship between these two economic indicators means different things depending upon one another. For example, when there is inflation (worst-case scenario), investors seek out safe-haven currencies such as Gold, which protect wealth against devaluation or hyperinflationary policies imposed by countries worldwide seeking currency stability through international agreements like SDRs.
Central Banks Reserve
The government holds a large number of gold reserves. Therefore, when most of the Reserve Banks worldwide start to buy Gold more than they sell. The gold prices increase because there will be insufficient supply in the future and vice versa when central banks sell greater quantity than it buys; therefore, these transactions result in currency rates against other currencies.
Currency Fluctuations
Gold is traded on the international market in US dollars. When you convert your currency from USD to any other currencies during import, it becomes more expensive as the price fluctuates concerning both currencies.
Let's compare prices between countries like the United States and Saudi Arabia, where one has a more robust economy than others do. There can be a hike of up to 30 – 50% extra cost for purchasing an item because these economies have been performing better over recent years, meaning they provide higher rates of return that give them power over minting new coins. In contrast, some country's revenue may only last one year before another recession strikes, making importing items not profitable anymore.
A co-relation with other asset class
Gold is a highly effective portfolio diversification because of its low negative correlation to major asset classes. In addition, when shares fall in companies, there's an inverse relationship shown between Gold and equities. This makes it easy for investors looking at their investments from either side to have peace of mind when they know that one goes down. Then others will likely recover - especially considering how much more stable stocks tend towards being over time than fluctuating prices do.
Geopolitical Factors
Gold has often been seen as a haven during times of political and geopolitical turmoil. During such periods, Gold does well compared to other asset classes due to an increase in demand from investors who won't keep their money away from unstable markets or currency values that could change at any moment.