How i trade using engulfing candles Good afternoon gold gang! I thought i would jump on here with an educational piece on how i trade using engulfing candles along with my algo levels
Whenever you get a big push in the markets, this may be a news item or simply a market open, we normally see a candle being "engulfed" .. now this means that the candle closed bigger than the previous .. imagine it over shadowing.
When this happens, price likes to come back to collect orders from this level at some point in the future. Check the levels marked on my charts with a white box.
The best englufing levels for me, occur at my algo levels. Observe the chart and see what i mean. Very powerful.
I simply mark the level and await price to come back before making the decision to long or short it (based on the lower time frame confirmation)
My algo levels are very powerful and are a constant draw on price as you can see .. they are not random and are always the same distance apart .. just look at the respect they get.
Your homework is to go back on to the chart and mark all the engulfing candles you find on the 1 hour and above timeframe. See for your self how many times price comes back
catch you this evening for the outlook!!
follow along for more educational posts
tommy
Metals
The Evolution Of Money: From Barter-System To Cryptocurrency!Hello,
Welcome to this analysis about The Evolution Of Money. Till today money had a protracted history reaching back to times where there even did not exist electricity or industry like we now it these days. Since these beginnings money constantly reshaped and emerged new forms of money that theoretically can be applied still today however it is also a fact that it is important in which form the money circulates bringing innovation and prosperity to the civilization as there are money forms although logical from its form however contra-productive for the further developments.
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The Barter System (High Phase 98000 BC - 900 BC):
It is clear that in times where people did not have the ability to keep a sufficient store-of-value they had to adapt to circumstances and exchange what they had in order to receive things they need for everyday living, this form of money is called the "Barter-System". This system principally defines the exchange of goods and services against other goods and services. It was a typical hunter-gatherer-form of exchange between the individual occupations. For example, a fisherman had a lot of fish however no grain to exchange for and on the other side there was a farmer which had a lot of grain, however, no fish to eat, so these two come to an agreement to exchange the fish against the grain in order to fulfill both sides needs.
This system had a lot of substantial problems as it was not possible to store any value with the goods and services, besides it only functioned when the other side also searched for the offered product therefore there needed to be a double coincidence of wants otherwise an exchange was not fulfilled by both sides agreements. Besides that there was the issue with the indivisibility of goods, for example, one had one goat and needed one pot therefore it was only possible to exchange one goat against 10 pots and now the goat holder was stuck because he could not share the goat into 10 pieces to received his one pot as needed. Overall it was a complicated exchange system that definitely could have been improved.
Commodity Money (High Phase 6000 BC - 500 AD):
Since it was not possible to store values with the Barter-System as there were also many goods that fouled by the times this could also be improved by the right commodities that do not foul. In ancient Rome, the Romans moved on to keep salt as a store of value and exchange for goods and services. Salt is easily divisible, it can be stored for a long period of time and it was expensive and labor-intensive to produce therefore limited in quality, besides that it was widely consumed by everybody. Additionally to salt, many other forms of this commodity money emerged such as Cattle, Tobacco, Rice, Sugar, or Tea. All commodities which can be stored over a long period and exchange properly.
Together with these new gained advancements, it was a step in the right direction nevertheless there remained significant negative aspects in the commodity money these are various things such as some forms of cattle are very difficult to store because they need to be fed constantly and can not obtain a passive store, other forms like cowry shells are fragile and need to be transported carefully. Besides these storing problems, it was always difficult to transport over long routes as the commodities can take up so much room that it was simply so unpracticable to transport them over long distances. Also, there existed not universal acceptability so the two exchange partners needed to agree on the exchange of these commodities to come up with a deal.
Metal Money (600 BC till today)
Metal money was a true revolution in the money evolution and the story speaks for itself as it is still today widely accepted and a sufficient store of value with gold and silver holding its values. Against the commodity money, it was stable and had an inherent value as it is rare in nature as well as its supply is limited, the perfect characteristics for a natural store of value and also exchange value. As metals were already used for armors and tools and had already the value within these products this kept advancing with the first coins to be pressed in ancient Greece 600 BC after which the metallic money kept advancing into more sophisticated forms such as the IOUs and also tender coinage bringing a practicable way to pay for goods and services.
The Metallic Money shaped into different forms like the IOUs where Goldsmiths backed the gold and gave people a trust which they can exchange in order to receive goods and services, so the people came to the goldsmith and bought basically gold for which they received the document to pay with. The only problem with this system was that the Goldsmiths created fake IOUs and kept spending them. Besides this form, there was the legal coinage in Rome for example with gold coins issued by the empire however the problem, in this case, was that it got debased over time as the people mixed more cheap metal like copper with the gold coins to get a higher supply, today it wont function so easily as it can be proved nevertheless in this time it marked a serious issue.
Paper Money (1690 till today):
The emerging paper money in fact marked a true change in the whole money system as now it was not possible to issue by everybody, now it was issued by a central authority whereas these authorities firstly existed private also the mission came more and more into central bank area. The first printed money was created in 1690 in the form of a bill of credit to serve as a promissory note by the government on its own credit, these bill of credits were unsecured paper money and at this time in the 17th to 18th century, it was still possible to have private money with private companies creating own bills with the individual exchange qualities to get into the circulation.
Till today many currencies have established holding the money as it is issued by certain central banks such as the US-Dollar by the Federal-Reserve-System or the EURO by the European-Central-Bank. The problem here is that this money is printed by will and the central banks have the ability to just print more when the time is needed to do so like it was seen in the corona crisis where the money sum moved exponentially to new heights. Although Paper Money is still omnipresent and used as a store of value as well as exchange value to there are important faults that need to be improved to keep a healthy economic balance and obtain continued stable money.
Plastic Money (1946 till today):
In the 20Th Century, the printed central bank money moved now into the account money especially backed by the payment providers in the individual credit or debit cards. The first bank-issued cards originated in 1946 as a Brooklyn banker created the charge-it card, these were forwarded to the bank account and then the service or good was released. In post-war times further cards followed and till now there established credit-card providers which issue credit or debit cards also with giving their own credits to people that can be paid back.
Cryptocurrency (2008 till today):
This is the very last money form and the most innovative so far, like Bitcoins, like they invented, are limited in supply and can only be created through the mining process and proof of work they provide a sustainable interface within the blockchain which transactions are scalable and easy to use for peer-to-peer-transactions. It is not a wonder that the cryptocurrency market since the beginnings expanded more and more and several other projects emerged, there are still many projects given however the market will likely sort the not innovative ones out. Cryptocurrency marks the point in the history of money evolution where money advanced significantly from its initial barter exchange system to cryptocurrency. This is a major step and as for now, central banks are looking also into cryptocurrency and blockchain technology to implement their own central-bank-digital-currencies. There are really not many contra-aspects like in the previously stated money forms as cryptocurrency improved all the issues that previously came up and also innovated increasingly above these.
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In this manner, this was my analysis about the evolution of money which is important as the money keeps on shaping as we see it especially in these times with cryptocurrency, it is also not unlikely that these technologies will improve further, and there comes something new that is more applicable and innovative however till now cryptocurrency serves as the highest quality money forms when comparing to the other money forms. Especially it is the case that all money forms still coexist today however mainly not applicable.
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In this manner, thank you everybody for watching, support the idea with a like and follow or comment, have a good day, and all the best to you!
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
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A Simple Method Of Evaluating Trade Setups For Everyone - PART IThis is a simple example of how anyone can attempt to understand price action, trade setups, and determine if the current trade setup is valid for any trading action.
Unless you have a trading system that helps you identify highly successful trade setups, most people struggle to find opportunities before they turn into breakout trends (up or down). Ideally, most traders want to get into trades before the big breakout, or breakdown, happens.
This video, part I of an extended series, will help you learn to use simple tools to identify qualified trade setups from invalid setups.
You can trade whatever you want. But remember, the trend is your friend, and learning to understand price theory, trends, channels, and support/resistance is all you need to make better decisions.
Watch this video to see if it helps you. Over the next few weeks, I'll create more videos highlighting simple techniques to help you become a better trader. I'll review dozens of charts and highlight what works and what doesn't.
Trading is a matter of managing risks while attempting to generate profits. This will be a great way for me to share my thoughts with all of you while trying to help you learn techniques to help you build solid skills.
Hope you enjoy this first video.
Mechanical Consistency Weekly Review 8; +8% Return.04 Sep to 08 Sep 2023
TL;DR
Total Profit of approximately $800 (around +800%) for the 1st week of September 2023.
Total 8 trades, 6 wins & 2 loss.
1-hour Timeframe, Oanda, XAUUSD(Gold), $10,000 Capital, $200/ 2% per trade.
Mechanical Consistency Trading Strategy; Purely rule-based strategy, zero guesswork, zero analysis.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The content for this article is purely for educational/research purposes only and is merely based on my personal opinions.
Please note: There will be affiliate links in this article. But it will only benefit both of us. If you do not wish to participate under my affiliate links, please feel free to Google them separately. Cheers!
I'm truly thankful for yet another successful week employing my mechanical consistency strategy. My retracement trades are consistently delivering the expected results, while any losses I've incurred can be attributed solely to my mean reversion trades on Tuesday. Let's review every day.
Monday (04 September 2023)
1x Win Trade
Daily bias: Downtrend
I was only able to trigger a retracement trade on Monday, but it turned out to be a highly profitable one. Despite the slowing down at night, I was fortunate that the price continued its downtrend the following day, reaching my desired profit level.
Tuesday (05 September 2023)
2x Lose trades
Daily bias: Downtrend
The only losing days I've had this week were both due to my mean reversion trades. These trades carry significant risk since they go against the prevailing trend, relying on a rebound to reach my 21 SMA+EMA level. Unfortunately, the downward trend proved to be stronger, resulting in losses.
Wednesday (06 September 2023)
1x Partial win & 1x full win trades
Daily bias: Downtrend
Contrastingly, I managed to secure a profit with my two mean reversion trades on Wednesday. Fortunately, the price did rebound successfully in both cases, albeit with the first trade yielding a partial profit and the second trade lasting until Friday morning. Nonetheless, I'm quite satisfied with the overall outcome.
Thursday (07 September 2023)
0x trade
Daily bias: Downtrend
There were no trades on Thursday as my mechanical consistency strategy did not trigger any of my limit orders. It was yet another stress-free day for me.
Friday (08 September 2023)
1x partial win 2x solid win trades
Daily bias: Uptrend
Friday turned out to be quite a rollercoaster day for me, with three consecutive trades triggering throughout the day. Fortunately, all of these trades ended in profit. The first mean reversion trade yielded a partial win, the second mean reversion trade was an immediate victory with zero drawdowns, and the third retracement trade delivered a profit by Monday morning.
Endnote
While I encountered some losses with my mean reversion trades due to their inherent risk of going against the trend, I also enjoyed significant profits from retracement and mean reversion trades that went as planned. Despite the fluctuations, my mechanical consistency strategy helped maintain a stress-free approach to trading, and I ended the week on a positive note, with successful trades on Friday. This experience reinforces the importance of a well-rounded trading strategy and the need to adapt to market conditions while remaining disciplined and focused on long-term goals.
Learn My Strategy For Free
As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopted the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money. This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making.
If you want to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in bio. Thank you!
Mechanical Consistency Weekly Review 7; +3% Return.I avoided trading on Non-Farm Payroll Day! 28 August to 01 Sep 2023
TL;DR
Total Profit of approximately $300 (around +3%) for the 4th week of August 2023.
Total 5 trades, 3 wins & 2 loss.
1-hour Timeframe, Oanda, XAUUSD(Gold), $10,000 Capital, $200/ 2% per trade.
Mechanical Consistency Trading Strategy; Purely rule-based strategy, zero guesswork, zero analysis.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The content for this article is purely for educational/research purposes only and is merely based on my personal opinions.
Please note: There will be affiliate links in this article. But it will only benefit both of us. If you do not wish to participate under my affiliate links, please feel free to Google them separately. Cheers!
What an exhilarating week it’s been with the Non-farm payroll report dominating the market’s volatility! The intense fluctuations led to rapid outcomes in some of my trades, with some resulting in quick wins and others in losses. Let’s dive into a review of this action-packed week!
Monday (28 August 2023)
0x Trades
Daily bias: Uptrend
Thanks to the market movements of the previous week, we didn’t initiate any new trades this time around. It turned out to be a stress-free day for me!
Tuesday (29 August 2023)
1x Win & 2 Lose trades
Daily bias: Uptrend
This week kicked off positively with a substantial profit from the first retracement trade. However, the intense volatility pushed past both my mean reversion trades, causing them both to end up in losses.
Wednesday (30 August 2023)
1x Partial win trade
Daily bias: Uptrend
After a significant bout of volatility the day before, the price settled into a narrow range, a pattern that became evident during the first half of Wednesday’s trading session. It wasn’t until later in the day that the price triggered my mean reversion trade. Fortunately, I was able to secure partial profits at Take Profit 1 before it resumed its upward trend.
Thursday (31 August 2023)
1x Solid win trade
Daily bias: Uptrend
The price remained confined within the narrow range, which worked in our favour as it triggered a retracement trade. I held onto the trade overnight, and by Friday, I successfully closed it with both take profit levels reached!
Friday (01 September 2023)
0 trade taken
Daily bias: Downtrend
Non-Farm Payroll typically takes place on the first Friday of each month, and it’s a known fact that the market becomes extremely volatile when this economic data is released. Traders often face significantly widened spreads, which can be detrimental to their trading strategies. Personally, I steer clear of trading on Non-Farm Payroll days, even if the setup aligns perfectly with my usual trade conditions. The heightened spread can trigger my stop-loss even when the price is far from my actual stop-loss level, making it a risk I’d rather avoid.
Endnote
In summary, the trading week was marked by the Non-Farm Payroll report’s influence, resulting in a mix of wins and losses. The previous week provided a break from stress, while trading saw a profitable retracement trade and losses in mean reversion trades. A narrow price range on Wednesday allowed for partial profits, and the week ended positively with a successful retracement trade reaching both take profit levels. I will avoid trading on Non-Farm Payroll days due to heightened volatility and widened spreads, mitigating risks from unpredictable market reactions to economic data releases.
Learn My Strategy! (FREE)
As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look for the “perfect” trading opportunity. This is why I adopted the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money. This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making.
If you want to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in bio. Thank you!
Mechanical Consistency Weekly Review 5; +9% Return.TL;DR
Total Profit of approximately $900 (around +9%) for the 2nd week of August 2023.
Total 9 trades, 8 wins & 1 loss.
1-hour Timeframe, Oanda, XAUUSD(Gold), $10,000 Capital, $200/ 2% per trade.
Mechanical Consistency Trading Strategy; Purely rule-based strategy, zero guesswork, zero analysis.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The content for this article is purely for educational/research purposes only and is merely based on my personal opinions.
Please note: There will be affiliate links in this article. But it will only benefit both of us. If you do not wish to participate under my affiliate links, please feel free to Google them separately. Cheers!
We had a beautiful trading week for 2nd week of August. Most of my predetermined parameters got triggered and reached my take profit without much drawdown. Let’s break it down.
Monday (14 August 2023)
I encountered my first loss of the week when the initial mean reversion trade didn’t go as planned. The price swiftly plummeted, triggering my stop loss and prompting me to initiate my second mean reversion trade. Fortunately, I managed to bounce back and secure some profit from take profit 1 before the price continued its downward trend.
Tuesday (15 August 2023)
My daily bias, determined by the 21 EMA, indicated a clear downtrend. I executed both trades flawlessly. The first mean reversion trade unfolded precisely as anticipated, allowing me to capture profits at each stage. The second trade, a retracement play, experienced an immediate reversal shortly after entry, with almost no drawdown. It was the ideal trade setup I had been hoping for!
Wednesday (16 August 2023)
The daily bias continued to favor a downtrend. While Tuesday’s trade remained open, my parameters signaled another retracement trade, and both trades successfully reached all of my predetermined take profit levels. As the trading day neared its end, I was triggered into a mean reversion trade at 127%. Fortunately, I managed to secure some profits before ultimately closing the trade on Thursday.
Thursday (17 August 2023)
The daily bias remained in a downtrend. Most of my attention on Wednesday was dedicated to managing the ongoing trade from that day. However, once I closed out the Wednesday trade, I was able to initiate a standard retracement trade that successfully reached both of my pre-set take profit levels, resulting in a substantial profit. Later that same night, my mean reversion trade was triggered, and I had to manage it until Friday.
Friday (18 August 2023)
Even though market sentiment began to show signs of shifting towards the upside, my daily bias remained in a downtrend. I successfully closed my Thursday’s trade with a profit and promptly initiated a standard retracement trade, reaching the first take profit level and securing a breakeven point at the entry price, just before the market began its upward momentum.
Endnote
As I navigated a market with a prevailing downtrend, while also observing hints of a shift in market sentiment towards the upside. Despite these challenges, I executed my trades with precision, closing out profitable positions and making the most of favourable retracement opportunities without any market analysis + zero guesswork, purely using a mechanical system that I developed, backtest and forward testing. Same strategy, same system day in and day out!
As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopted the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money.
This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making.
Here's how it works: Immediately after the 1st-hour candlestick closes either below or above the 21 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), you place precise Buy/Sell limit orders. Once all parameters are meticulously set, you can confidently attend to your daily routine, including your day job, while entrusting the market to dictate the trades.
If you want to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in BIO. Thank you!
THE ART OF RANGE MANAGEMENT - WITH THE TREND OR AGAINST Hey Everyone,
Here at GVFX, we are currently buying dips. What that means is that we buy on the dips and therefore only concentrate on long positions/buys with the odd sells for fun. As mentioned before, having both sell and buy positions open in your account will affect your psychology and in turn, your trading decisions.
Now a question that typically arises here is why would it still be advisable to buy when the market is pushing down? Firstly, let me assure you that the same algorithms, experience and strategies that we use to achieve a 97% hit rate with our bullish directional bias also gives us the heads up, or down if you will, on when the market is going down. Don't think for a moment that we only know how to analyse a bull market or up trends. We share targets/signals for both buys and sells but choose not to hedge out of choice. Our published results remain consistently profitable month in month out!!
In my experience, in the current market conditions, it is much safer to get out of a stuck buy position than a stuck sell position. That's not to mention the clean PSYCHOLOGICAL PROFILE that is achieved when trading in just one direction. And although hedging can in theory work, it requires years of experience and in the end, is simply not worth the effort. I am more than capable of hedging effectively but the fact that I do not should tell you something.
Let us look at an example to further answer the question highlighted above. When you have short-term bearish momentum down, we take buys from key supports or MAs which act as dips. Remember that the market does not go up or down in a straight line (with the rare exception of short-lived parabolic moves). So, when the market is going down and hits one of our key levels, a buy from that point will go back up for 20 to 30 or 30 to 40 pips (this number of pips has been calibrated based on back testing) before resuming back down.
You can think of it like this. The market moves in a zigzag manner. The zig is that part of the leg which is going down to create lower lows (if the downward trend is continuing). The zag is that part of the leg which takes a breather and pushes back up with momentum for our entry and quick pip-take range to create a lower high (if the downward trend is continuing) before heading back down again. We catch the right and safest waves (buys) in and out and surf to success. When price hits a key structural support or stops creating lower lows and lower highs, we then reassess for entries with a wider range of pip capture.
Hope this post helps our followers to understand how we keep our psychology strong!!
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
Mechanical Consistency Weekly Review 4; +10% Return.I humbly apologize for the extended hiatus, as I was navigating through some profoundly personal challenges. Despite the setbacks, I’m pleased to share that my trading endeavours have not only persisted but also yielded remarkable results. Miraculously, each of our trades has culminated in a profitable outcome, marking a pristine 100% success rate. Allow me to delve into the details below.
Monday (07 August 2023)
My mechanical strategy was executed flawlessly, defying its initial parameters geared towards an upward trend. I managed to secure profits at Take Profit 1 and adeptly adjusted the stop loss to breakeven just as the price trajectory began to shift in a downward direction.
Tuesday (08 August 2023)
By looking at the very first candle of the day, I changed my strategy bias to align with the emerging downward trend. This astute shift allowed me to initiate a mean reversion trade, effectively attaining success at Take Profit 1 while seamlessly riding the ongoing downward trajectory.
Wednesday (09 August 2023)
Maintaining a downtrend bias, my strategy once again demonstrated its prowess by executing a trade during the retracement phase, flawlessly achieving both designated take profit levels without incurring any drawdown whatsoever.
As the day progressed, my strategy seamlessly activated a mean reversion trade, hitting the bullseye with Take Profit 1. Furthermore, I skillfully managed to conclude the remaining trade at a slight deviation level come Thursday.
Thursday (10 August 2023)
Similar to Tuesday, my strategy adeptly initiated a trade during a retracement, adeptly securing gains from both take profit levels. This time around, the trade unfolded over a span of approximately 2 days, culminating in a graceful and satisfying closure.
Friday (11 August 2023)
During this period, our trading activity remained non-existent. The absence of substantial trading volume resulted in an inability to generate price movement of significance.
Endnote
This week was truly exciting for me. It’s the first time in my 4 years of experience that I’ve won every single trade in a week. This success proves without a doubt that my consistent mechanical strategy works perfectly, which has made me much more confident in my trading approach.
KOG - JACKSON HOLE Part 1Jackson Hole Symposium:
What is the Jackson Hole Symposium?
The Jackson Hole symposium (Economic Policy Symposium) is held in Jackson Hole, Wyoming USA. It is an event attended by the worlds top financial professionals including ministers, bankers and academics. It is a closed event so no press are allowed access to the meetings or talks. Instead, press conferences are held throughout the event where any comments from financial professionals usually move the markets and cause extreme volatility.
This is not the usual analysis we provide. Instead, what we wanted to show you is the last 3-4yrs of market data illustrated on the charts, giving you an idea of what this event can do and cause on the markets. In this example, on Gold.
So, lets start with last year, 2021. We can see the price was at a similar price point to where we are today, just slightly higher at around the 1780 level. The early sessions were quiet, however, after a retest of the low look at the aggressive move to the upside! Price started at 1780 and the move completed at 1836. 500+ pip move in a matter of days.
Lets look at the top right chart, 2020. Again, look at the choppy price action, the whipsaw up and down, then the rested of the low before an aggressive move to the upside. Price started at 1904 and the move completed at 1994. 900pip movement in a matter of days.
Now 2019, a slow start in the early sessions, all of a sudden, a rested on the low and then another aggressive move to the upside. Price started at 1491 and completed the move 1557. Over 500pip movement in a matter of days!
What we’re trying to show you here is that its going to be a very difficult event to trade for new traders. Its going to be choppy, its going to be volatile, its going to whipsaw and its likely to move. If you’re caught the wrong side of it its going to kill your account. Best practice here is to let the market make the moves it wants to, wait for the price to settle in whatever level they want to drive it to, once this has happened then look for the setup to get in to the trade.
Hope this helps.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Strifor || Education: Break LevelHello traders❗️ This is Viktor and Strifor team❗️ We welcome you to our learning content, where we briefly talk about the main things and learn how to apply our knowledge in practical trading.
The topic of today's lesson is Break Level . So, let's see what it is☝️
❗️To get know more about levels support this video with a like and a comment, follow us and trade with us👍🚀
Magic of Fibonacci Levels ✨In the realm of technical analysis, few tools capture the imagination of traders as effectively as Fibonacci retracements and extensions. Derived from the famous Fibonacci sequence, these levels offer insights into potential price reversals, extensions, and trend continuation points. In this article, we'll delve into the world of Fibonacci levels and explore how to use them to enhance your trading decisions.
Understanding Fibonacci Retracements:
Fibonacci retracement levels are like hidden treasures ✨ along a price trend. These levels, calculated from a swing high to a swing low, create horizontal lines that indicate potential support and resistance levels. The most common retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%.
How to Use Fibonacci Retracements:
Identify a Trend: 📈📉 Begin by spotting a clear trend, either upward or downward.
Select Swing Points: 🏞️ Locate the pivotal swing high and swing low within the trend.
Plot Fibonacci Levels: 📏 Put those retracement levels on your chart, and watch as they highlight potential support or resistance areas.
The Application:
Support Levels: 💪🛡️ During an uptrend, traders often see retracement levels as potential buying zones.
Resistance Levels: ☔ In a downtrend, these levels can be seen as possible areas to consider short trades.
Understanding Fibonacci Extensions:
Fibonacci extensions act like a crystal ball 🔮 projecting potential price targets or levels where the trend might extend. Extension levels include 161.8%, 261.8%, and 423.6%.
How to Use Fibonacci Extensions:
Identify a Trend: 📈📉 As with retracements, spot a well-defined trend.
Select Swing Points: 🏞️ Determine the significant swing low and swing high within the trend.
Plot Fibonacci Extension Levels: 📏 Add those extension levels to your chart, projecting potential price targets.
Few examples :
The Application:
Projection of Trend Continuation: 🚀 Fibonacci extensions hint at where a trend might continue in its existing direction.
Price Targets: 🎯 Traders often utilize extension levels to pinpoint potential price areas before a reversal might occur.
Conclusion:
Fibonacci retracements and extensions are like wizardry in the trader's toolkit. By grasping these levels and their applications, traders can create more informed strategies for entry, exit, and target levels. Remember, while Fibonacci levels are magical, they work best when combined with other technical indicators and chart patterns. As with any trading strategy, practice, experience, and risk management remain essential. With careful consideration and diligent analysis, Fibonacci levels can sprinkle a touch of enchantment to your trading endeavors. 📊✨
Mechanical Consistency; Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Review for 02 AugHi, This is a trade review for 02 Aug 2023.
Here are some details for the trades.
OANDA:XAUUSD
1-hour time frame
2% per trade
1 open trade.
Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice! I'm just sharing my trading journey. Please take it as educational content. Thank you!
On Wednesday, we came close to securing a successful winning trade. The price exhibited a retracement to the 50% Fibonacci level before initiating a downward movement, resulting in the establishment of a new lower low. As of now, my second trade has been triggered and is actively in progress.
As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopt the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money.
This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making.
Here's how it works: Immediately after the 1st-hour candlestick closes either below or above the 21 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), you place precise Buy/Sell limit orders. Once all parameters are meticulously set, you can confidently attend to your daily routine, including your day job, while entrusting the market to dictate the trades.
If you want to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in BIO. Thank you!
Mechanical Consistency; Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Review for 01 AugHi, This is a trade review for 01 Aug 2023.
Here are some details for the trades.
OANDA:XAUUSD
1-hour time frame
2% per trade
1 loss, 1 win (trade still open with take profit 1 achieve) Net -1% currently.
Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice! I'm just sharing my trading journey. Please take it as educational content. Thank you!
Tuesday, Gold fails the upward push and falls below the market structure, triggering and losing my first trade. Luckily, the price is able to hold at my 2nd trade level. Retracing back to my first take profit level, recovering half of my loss. The 2nd is currently still open with 0 risk running.
As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look out for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopt the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money.
This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making.
Here's how it works: Immediately after the 1st-hour candlestick closes either below or above the 21 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), you place precise Buy/Sell limit orders. Once all parameters are meticulously set, you can confidently attend to your daily routine, including your day job, while entrusting the market to dictate the trades.
If you are interested to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in BIO. Thank you!
Mechanical Consistency; Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Review for 31 JulyHi, This is a trade review for 27 July 2023.
Here are some details for the trades.
XAUUSD
1-hour time frame
2% per trade
2 Solid Wins, net around +5.5%
Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice! I'm just sharing my trading journey. Please take it as educational content. Thank you!
Monday's trading was exceptionally successful with both trades yielding outstanding results. The first trade was executed flawlessly, experiencing minimal drawdown before quickly hitting its target for a satisfying profit. The second trade was triggered right after the first's successful exit and continued its momentum into Tuesday morning, reaching its initial take profit level. However, due to the potential impact of the ongoing trade on the new setup, I had to make a prudent adjustment to the second trade's take-profit level.
As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look out for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopt the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money.
This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making.
Here's how it works: Immediately after the 1st-hour candlestick closes either below or above the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), you place precise Buy/Sell limit orders. Once all parameters are meticulously set, you can confidently attend to your daily routine, including your day job, while entrusting the market to dictate the trades.
If you are interested to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in BIO. Thank you!
Mechanical Consistency Weekly Review; -2.2% Return.Hi, Here's a weekly trades review on my mechanical consistency strategy.
Here are some details for the trades.
XAUUSD
1-hour time frame
2% per trade
3 win, 4 lose;
Net Lose -2.2%
The week started out great but ends horribly after wiping out all my profit from Monday and Tuesday. Let's review each day.
Monday's trade was executed beautifully, price went into profit almost immediately triggering the entry and reaches my first take profit soon after. After shifting stop loss to entry, the trade retraces back and just went I thought the trade was over. The price holds and triggered my Tuesday trade and head down to profit with close to zero drawdown, hitting all my take profit levels.
Tuesday trade was cut short after taking profit 1 has been reached and hit my stop loss level at entry. But still it was a good trade!
Wednesday trades ended net zero, the first trade lose immediately, hit my stop loss and triggered 2nd trade at the same time. Luckily, the 2nd trade is able to hit my first take profit level before going further up.
Thursday is the most disappointing trades of the week, wiping out all my profit for this week. Because of the strong US data, Gold price fells sharply wiping all my trades within seconds.
Friday did not trigger in any trades. Most because of my trade setup parameters.
Even we ended up losing only -2.2% of the capital. I am still in profit for the entire month of July. I will be sharing monthly trades review soon. As long as we do not deviate from my mechanical strategy, we can and will still profit in the long run. Take it as an investment instead of day job.
Disclaimer: Not Financial Advise, just sharing my trading journey. Please take it as educational content. Thank you!
If you are interested to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in BIO. Thank you!
Mechanical Consistency; Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Review for 27 JulyHi, This is a trade review for 27 July 2023.
Here are some details for the trades.
XAUUSD
1-hour time frame
2% per trade
3 lose, net -3R / -6%
Due to the robust US data, Gold experienced a significant decline, resulting in a substantial setback. Unfortunately, all three of my carefully positioned mechanical trades ended up losing -3R, erasing all the profits I had accumulated this week. Nevertheless, dwelling on the past won't be productive. Instead, I remain committed to my strategy without any deviations or changes. It's worth noting that I've extensively backtested this consistent mechanical approach, and it has proven to be profitable over the past year.
Moving forward, I am optimistic that the upcoming week will yield better results. Staying focused and disciplined will be key to achieving success. Let's look ahead with confidence and hope for a more favourable outcome next week!
Disclaimer: Not Financial Advise, just sharing my trading journey. Please take it as educational content. Thank you!
As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look out for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopt the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money.
This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making.
Here's how it works: Immediately after the 1st-hour candlestick closes either below or above the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), you place precise Buy/Sell limit orders. Once all parameters are meticulously set, you can confidently attend to your daily routine, including your day job, while entrusting the market to dictate the trades.
If you are interested to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in BIO. Thank you!
Mechanical Consistency; Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Review for 26 JulyHi, This is a trade review for 26 July 2023.
Here are some details for the trades.
XAUUSD
1-hour time frame
2% per trade
1 win & 1 lose, net -0.2R (-$40)
My mechanical strategy is still working as intended. Although the first trade ended up losing but the second trade manages to perform and reduce the overall loss to -0.2R. I am still confident that the strategy will work in the long run.
Disclaimer: Not Financial Advise, just sharing my trading journey. Please take it as educational content. Thank you!
As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look out for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopt the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money.
This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making.
Here's how it works: Immediately after the 1st-hour candlestick closes either below or above the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), you place precise Buy/Sell limit orders. Once all parameters are meticulously set, you can confidently attend to your daily routine, including your day job, while entrusting the market to dictate the trades.
If you are interested to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in BIO. Thank you!
SUPPORT & RESISTANCE Hey Everyone,
Support and resistance is one the most talked about price action component when it comes to technical chart analysis.
What is support and resistance?
Support and resistance are areas where price fails to continue to rise or drop. Historical areas of rejections create levels of support and resistance. These levels are expected to stop price from a continuation. - SEE EXAMPLE BELOW
How can we use support and resistance?
Support and resistance levels can be used to take trades from and to close trades on. We will cover the basics of drawing the levels and also identifying rejections and breakouts using support and resistance levels.
First and foremost traders draw support and resistance in many different ways. We will cover one of the methods we use to support our signals and trades, which is called "CANDLE BODY CLOSE"
See examples below on how to draw the levels, identify rejections and also the breakout strategy.
CANDLE BODY CLOSE SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
Failure to close above a level with the candle body forms level of resistance and failure to close below a level with the candle body forms support. Also areas of rejections.
CANDLE BODY CLOSE BREAKOUT
A candle that is able to close above a resistance or below a support level with the body and not just the wick confirms a breakout of the level for a continuation.
This is a fantastic simple way to chart support and resistance levels, that can also be used to support entries and exits by identifying the wick rejections and the candle body breakouts.
As always, we will continue to share our chart ideas and useful educational tips for traders. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
TOMMY XAU | BASIC MARKET STRUCTURE Good afternoon gold gang!
Thought id jump on here to talk to you about basic market structure, as its the basis for any strategy and super important to learn.
We can identify that the market moves 3 ways ..
up trend
down trend
sideways (consolidation)
I prefer to trade when the market is trending in either direction. I determine this by looking at the monthly and weekly candles.
In a trending market, i am looking to identify areas that the market can reverse from. If we are making a higher high for example .. I can identify that price is likely to pull back down to the key level it started its ascent from. From there i can wait for confirmations on the lower time frame to take a trade in the direction of the trend.
obviously this doesnt work everytime .. news etc .. but its always good to have it in the back of your mind the phase of the market you are currently in.
you will find with my strategy .. that price will make new structure points around my key levels ( the ones i place on my chart)
Hope this helps some of you out .. back to basics is sometimes the way to go if you are getting overwhelmed with information
Have a great sunday and see you tonight for the outlook
tommy
💰 Exploring the Potential of Investing in Precious Metals.Throughout the ages, the allure of rare and captivating metals like gold, silver, platinum, and palladium has remained unwavering. Their scarcity, exquisite aesthetics, and enduring nature have made them objects of desire. While these metals are commonly associated with ornamental jewelry, their utility extends far beyond adornment, finding applications in various industrial and technological realms. Moreover, precious metals have long been regarded as a safeguard against inflation and a sanctuary for investors amidst economic upheaval. Consequently, the trading of these invaluable commodities has evolved into a pivotal component of the global financial landscape, witnessing the exchange of billions of dollars each passing day. In this exposition, we embark upon an exploration of the fundamentals of precious metals trading: the mechanisms at play, the influential factors shaping prices, and the diverse avenues through which investors can partake in this exhilarating and ever-evolving marketplace.
The vast realm of metals is neatly divided into two distinct groups: ferrous and nonferrous. The former encompasses iron, manganese, and chromium, although experts occasionally question the inclusion of the latter metal. This classification extends to alloys containing elements from these primary ferrous metals.
Understanding Precious Metals
From an official statistical perspective, ferrous metals command an overwhelming share, reaching up to 90%. One would naturally assume that such metals enjoy significant demand on stock exchanges. However, in reality, a majority of transactions occur outside the realm of these exchanges, transpiring directly between buyers and sellers. Consequently, the ferrous metals market and its liquidity do not boast the most favorable conditions.
Within this category, certain metals hold a prominent position in exchange trading, namely: gold, silver, platinum, palladium, copper, aluminum, zinc, and nickel. Amongst these, gold and silver reign as the favored choices among traders and investors.
To comprehend the market of precious metals in its entirety, it is imperative to examine it through two essential lenses: the functional aspect and the institutional perspective. Ultimately, the market represents a harmonious amalgamation of diverse spheres, encompassing not only extraction, production, and processing but also the final sale to consumers.
The price of precious metals is subject to the influence of various factors, encompassing:
Supply and demand dynamics: The fundamental principles of supply and demand exert a significant impact on precious metal prices. Limited supply coupled with high demand typically drives prices upward.
Economic indicators: Economic data, including inflation rates, interest rates, and GDP growth, can shape the price trajectory of precious metals. For instance, during periods of elevated inflation, investors often seek refuge in precious metals as a store of value, leading to increased demand and subsequent price appreciation.
Geopolitical events: Geopolitical occurrences like wars, trade conflicts, and political instability have the potential to sway precious metal prices. When geopolitical tensions escalate, investors frequently turn to precious metals as a safe haven, fueling demand and subsequently driving prices higher.
Currency fluctuations: Since the price of precious metals is commonly denominated in US dollars, fluctuations in currency value can impact metal prices. For instance, if the US dollar strengthens, precious metal prices may experience a decline as they become relatively more expensive for buyers using other currencies.
Investor sentiment: The sentiment and outlook of investors can play a vital role in shaping precious metal prices. Bullish sentiment may lead to increased buying activity, resulting in price surges. Conversely, bearish sentiment may prompt investors to sell their holdings, leading to price declines.
To summarize, the price of precious metals is influenced by a multifaceted interplay of factors, ranging from the core dynamics of supply and demand to geopolitical events and currency fluctuations.
Investing in precious metals offers several avenues for investors to participate in the market. Here are three of the most popular approaches:
Stocks: Investors can purchase shares in mining companies engaged in the extraction of precious metals like gold, silver, platinum, and palladium. The stock prices of these companies often correlate closely with the underlying metal's price, as their profitability is tied to production costs and market demand.
Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs): Precious metal ETFs enable investors to buy shares in a fund that holds physical precious metals, such as gold or silver. These funds aim to track the price movements of the respective metal, providing a convenient means of exposure to the market without the need for physical storage and transportation of the metals.
Contracts for Difference (CFDs): CFDs are financial instruments that allow investors to speculate on the price fluctuations of precious metals without owning the physical metal itself. By entering into a contract with a broker, investors can buy or sell the metal at a predetermined price on a future date. CFDs are a more speculative approach, involving leverage and potentially significant losses if the metal's price moves unfavorably.
The potential earnings from trading precious metals can vary greatly and are highly dependent on individual factors and market conditions. It's important to note that trading in precious metals can be subject to volatility and fluctuations, and there are no guarantees of specific earnings. While gold and silver have demonstrated a long-term upward trend, it is crucial to approach trading with realistic expectations.
Over the long term, precious metals have historically shown the potential for favorable returns. However, short-term gains can be less predictable. It's important to have a long-term perspective and not expect significant profits within a short period. Patience and a strategic approach are key when investing in precious metals.
It's worth mentioning that the scarcity of precious metals, especially gold, has a significant impact on their value. As the available supply diminishes over time while demand remains steady or increases, the price per unit tends to rise. This trend is driven by the basic principles of supply and demand.
In summary, while precious metals can offer good returns over the long term, it's important to manage expectations and understand that substantial earnings may take years or even decades to materialize.
Investing in precious metals offers both advantages and disadvantages. Here are the key pros and cons to consider:
Advantages:
Safe haven investment: Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, are often viewed as safe haven assets during economic uncertainty or market instability. They can act as a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and geopolitical risks.
Diversification: Precious metals provide diversification benefits to an investment portfolio. They have a low correlation with traditional assets like stocks and bonds, which can help reduce overall portfolio risk and enhance stability.
Tangible assets: Precious metals are physical assets that can be held directly, offering a sense of ownership and security for some investors. Having tangible assets can also provide a potential alternative during times of financial crisis or disruptions in the banking system.
Disadvantages:
Volatility: Precious metal prices can be highly volatile, experiencing significant price swings within short periods. This volatility can pose risks, especially for short-term traders or those seeking quick profits.
Limited income potential: Unlike stocks or bonds, precious metals do not generate income through interest payments or dividends. Their value primarily relies on price appreciation, which may limit their long-term growth potential compared to income-generating investments.
Storage and insurance costs: If investing in physical precious metals, storage and insurance expenses can add to the overall costs of ownership. Proper storage facilities and insurance coverage are necessary to protect the value of the assets, which can eat into potential returns.
Market manipulation concerns: Critics argue that the precious metals market may be susceptible to manipulation by large players or governments, potentially leading to artificial price movements that may not reflect true supply and demand dynamics.
It's important for investors to carefully weigh these advantages and disadvantages, taking into account their financial goals, risk tolerance, and the broader investment landscape. Consulting with a financial advisor or conducting thorough research is recommended before making any investment decisions in precious metals.
Are Precious Metals A Good Investment For You?
Determining whether precious metals are a good investment for you requires considering various factors such as your financial goals, risk tolerance, and investment timeframe. Here are some key points to consider:
Diversification: Precious metals can serve as a valuable component of a diversified investment portfolio, as they often have a low correlation with other asset classes. This diversification can help mitigate risk and stabilize portfolio performance.
Inflation protection: Precious metals are historically considered a hedge against inflation since their value tends to rise when the purchasing power of fiat currencies declines. If protecting against inflation is a priority for you, investing in precious metals could be advantageous.
Volatility: It's important to recognize that precious metals can experience significant price volatility, which may not align with the risk tolerance of every investor. If you are uncomfortable with substantial price fluctuations, other investment options may be more suitable.
Liquidity: Precious metals generally offer high liquidity, meaning they can be easily bought or sold on major exchanges. This accessibility allows for flexibility and quick access to funds when needed.
Long-term perspective: Investing in precious metals, particularly gold, often yields gradual and steady returns over the long term. Patience is crucial when investing in these assets, as their growth tends to occur gradually rather than in short-term bursts.
Considering these factors, it is recommended to conduct thorough research, assess your individual circumstances, and consult with a financial advisor before deciding if precious metals are a suitable investment for you.
Target Reached! XAGUSD ReviewPrice reversed strongly from our resistance level to the support level at 22.20. But how did it happen?
Join Desmond in today's analysis review to have a quick recap on the elements that led to this strong reversal.
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High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
The Dangers of Giving Up Too Soon on a Trading Strategy
There are hundreds of different strategies to trade. Some of them are losing ones, some provide modest results and some strategies are very profitable.
Novice traders often struggle to find the right strategy that suits their personality, financial goals and risk appetite. Unfortunately, they also tend to make some common mistakes that can undermine their performance and confidence.
❌ One of the biggest mistakes that they make in their search is that they give a strategy a very short trial period. It simply means that they are trying to assess the validity of the strategy, trading that for a very short time span (usually a day to a week).
Please, realize the fact that the performance of the strategy can be measured only with extended backtesting - meaning that the strategy should be tested on multiple financial instruments and for a long period of time and applying multiple evaluation metrics.
Moreover, if the strategy proves its efficiency on backtesting, it should be traded on a demo account at least 2 months before the valid performance can be calculated.
❌ Another common mistake is that many traders drop the strategy once it starts losing. And by losing, I mean just 2–3 trades in a row.
Newbies are searching for the approach that never loses.
They may even abandon a trading strategy once they catch JUST ONE bad trade.
✅ In contrast, a smart trader realizes that one bad trade does not define the performance of the strategy. Moreover, such a trader calmly faces the losing streaks and sticks to the strategy.
Take a look at that picture.
On the top, we have the traits of a newbie trader and his equity curve.
He abandons the strategy after he faces the loss, not giving the strategy a chance to recover.
When he changes the strategy, he starts recovering a little bit and a losing period follows.
He drops a strategy again, and he keeps following this vicious cycle till his entire account is blown.
On the bottom of the picture, we see the equity curve of a smart trader.
Even though he faces losses occasionally, his strategy always gives him a chance to recover and with time his trading account steadily grows.
Please, realize the fact that a perfect strategy does not exist. You will lose the money occasionally anyway. What distinguishes a smart trader from a dumb one is his discipline and trust to his trading system and willingness to face losses.
❤️Please, support this video with like and comment!❤️