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Inflation is high, Why gold price falling?As traders, of course.. We know that when inflation is too high, safe haven prices such as gold will soar. But that only applies before 2009. Before bitcoin was launched for the first time. Not many traders know, that market participants such as banks, big institutions, fund managers, and big companies trust bitcoin as a safe-haven, which actually competes with gold. When inflation is too high, market participants will move their money between bitcoin and gold. So this is one of the reasons why gold falls when inflation is too high. We can clearly see from the short-term chart above, that gold is bearish but bitcoin is bullish, and vice versa, the unidirectional correlation between bitcoin and gold. However, when the USD is optimistic about strengthening, both will be equally bearish. It can be concluded that both are the same as hedging asset. Also, we can use COT data from CFTC and LME to know gold and crypto sentiment and correlation. Coinbase and JPMorgan can also be considered. But I'll discuss this separately in the next explanation. Hopefully this can help anyone, so that it can be considered for trading in gold and bitcoin. Practicing how to understand market behavior is much better than just understanding.
SAXO:XAUUSDEducation
by DNP-FX
Morning Star Pattern: how to trade?🌟 ❗️The Morning Star pattern is a market reversal pattern consisting of three candlesticks that indicate bullish superiority. This pattern warns us about the weakness of the ongoing downtrend, which, in turn, suggests the beginning of an uptrend. ⚠️Traders observe the formation of the "Morning Star" pattern on the price chart, and then confirm with the help of other technical tools on the Forex currency market. ✅Morning Star pattern: Three forming candles ⏺Big Bearish Candle ⏺A small bullish or bearish candle ⏺Big Bullish Candle The most important thing to remember is always that the market must be in a downtrend in order to trade according to the "Morning Star" pattern. In order to confirm the downtrend, mark the lowest lows and the lowest highs. 1️⃣The big bearish candle is the first part of the Morning Star reversal pattern. This candle indicates that the bears are in full control of the market, which means that sellers continue to pressure the market. At the moment, you should only look for sale deals, since there are no signs of a reversal yet. Here the Morning Star pattern is just beginning its formation. 2️⃣A small bullish/bearish candle is the second candle that starts with a bearish gap down. This candle indicates that sellers are unable to lower the price, despite very great efforts. The price action ends with the formation of a rather small bullish/bearish candle (Doji candle). If this candle is bullish, then we have an early sign of a trend reversal. 3️⃣A large bullish candle is the third candle that has the greatest significance, because here the real pressure of buyers is manifested. If the candle starts with a break, and buyers can push prices up by closing the candle even above the first red candle, this is a clear sign of a trend reversal. ✅Morning star: how to trade this pattern on Forex? As we already know, the Morning Star pattern is a reversal pattern. As a rule, it indicates that bulls are capturing the trend, and bears are losing control. Most beginners trade using the "Morning Star" pattern on their own, without using technical tools, or at least tips from more professional traders. We do not recommend doing this — it is not as reliable as it may seem. Always connect this pattern with other reliable indicators, support and resistance levels, as well as trend lines. So, in this strategy, we combined the Morning Star pattern with volume. Volume plays an important role in the formation of the model. If the first red candle shows a low volume, then this is a good sign for us. Then, if the second candle is green and the volume is growing, this indicates buyer pressure. After all, the volume of the third long green candle should be high. The large volume of the last candle indicates the confirmation of the upcoming trend and the entrances to purchase transactions. If the third bullish candle has a low volume, do not pay attention to the fact that the Morning Star is forming. This volume does not indicate a bullish reversal. To sum up: do you observe the closing of the third candle with a large volume? Open buy positions and move along with the uptrend until there are signs of a reversal. ✅Morning Star pattern: entry, take profit and stop loss We have to open a deal when the next green candle closes. There are many ways to lock in profits. We can close a position in any resistance zone or supply-demand zone. In this deal, we hold our positions because we have opened a deal since the beginning of a new trend. You can also close your positions when the price approaches a significant resistance level on the higher timeframe. ⚠️Combining this pattern with volumes makes trading more reliable. Therefore, you need to place a stop loss just below the second candle. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
10
How to determine the real value of the national currency?The National Regulator openly manipulates the exchange rate to the benefit of the economy, undervaluing it when there is a trade deficit, thereby helping exports, and overvaluing it when there is a surplus, so that citizens and businesses can buy more imported goods. The real exchange rate of a nation's currency is determined by its purchasing power abroad. In theory, it is calculated through a sample of identical goods. It is enough to estimate how much a certain conditional consumer basket costs in the home country, and compare the amount spent in another country. --- --- --- Why do we need to know the exchange rate regime and the real value of the national currencies? If a country has a fixed or transitional exchange rate, a currency trader can determine the entry points with a guaranteed profit. For example, the yuan is strictly "locked" in the corridor of 2% on the stock exchange, which allows you to enter at the maximum deviations, knowing exactly what intervention of the People's Bank will soon follow. The peculiarities of such trading are described in our article about USDCNH trading. Knowing the pricing mode, you can determine the entry strategy on the border of the basket value. Examples of trading such currency pairs using currency corridors are presented below. Trading on the Boundaries of the Nominal Value of National Currencies in Fixed and Transition Modes UAE Dirham (AED) The USDAED currency pair is the easiest to trade because of its strongest peg to the dollar - the national central bank kept the exchange rate at 3.6725 dirham even during the 2008 crisis. As a result the UAE national currency chart looks like a series of candles with long tails, above and below which pending orders should be placed. The figure shows a weekly candlestick chart, where you can see the possible deal levels at a glance, but there are some subtleties in this kind of trading. Firstly, there are only two brokers who are ready to provide access to the USDAED pair; secondly, they ask for a minimum deposit of $10,000; thirdly, the maximum leverage for this currency is 1 to 5. --- --- --- Models for determining the real exchange rate There is no single ideal model in the Forex market that works out 100% of the signals for the differences between the nominal value of the currency. Just like any indicators, the presented formulas need a historical check, they are suitable for certain currency pairs with different accuracy and work in combination with each other. This is why we will try to examine the basic models and theories of exchange rates. The purchasing power of the national currency against any other currency is determined in four ways, which we will talk about below. --- --- --- The law of one price - comparing the cost of the same good in different countries The current price of a commodity in national currency units = The exchange rate of the currency pair* The current price of a commodity in a foreign currency. --- --- --- Absolute Purchasing Power Parity In the formula of absolute parity instead of the price of one product, the average price level of the same basket of goods for different countries is used as expressed in national currencies or minimum subsistence values. For example, in Australia the living wage was 600 AUD for 2017, while in the European Union it is equal to: in Germany - 1240 euros, in France - 1254, in Italy - 855. The euro is a common currency for 26 states, so the three largest EU economies were chosen to use the average value of (1240+1255+855)/3= 1117 in the formula. If 1117 is the average EU living wage and 600 is Australia's living wage, then solving this expression, we get 1117/600 = 1.86. In 2017, the EURAUD exchange rate was 1.38. As you can see from the graph of the currency pair, the arbitrage correctly predicted the trend of strengthening of the euro. --- --- --- Relative trade parity. Economists in their calculations use economic indicators that show the relative change in consumer prices. The difference between the current indicator value from the economic calendar and previous data is substituted into the formula. For example, the U.S. Consumer Price Index was 119.4 in 2012 and rose to 121 by 2013. During this period, the EU CPI showed values of 118.3 and 120.1. The EURUSD exchange rate changed from 1.30 to 1.36. Using the formula, let's calculate the real euro exchange rate by taking the 2012 value of 1.30, successively multiplying it by a fraction of the relative values of the U.S. CPI 121/119.4 and the European CPI 120.1/118.3: 1,3* (121/119,4) *(120,1/118,3) = 1,3374. As you can see from the formula, the euro was undervalued, which led to the collapse in 2014, where parity was equalized due to monetary measures taken by the ECB and the Fed. The consumer price index is essentially an indicator of inflation, which is the primary focus of central banks when making decisions on the size of the discount rate. In economic statistics, it is rare to see this indicator published in relative units; everywhere there is a percentage change, which can also be used in another model. --- --- --- Relative Inflation Parity When calculating the real value of national money relative to the currency of another country, a slightly modified formula is used. The current rate of a currency pair can be represented as equal to (1 + annual inflation of one country/1 + annual inflation of another country) * the current rate of the pair at the Forex market. Let's calculate the EURUSD exchange rate in 2015. At the end of that period, U.S. inflation was 0.73%, while in the Eurozone it was 0.08%. The real EURUSD exchange rate at the end of 2015 = (1 +0.0083)/(1+0.073)*1.0565= 0.992. EURUSD quotes at the beginning of 2016 were undervalued, and the rate hike policy adopted by the Fed did not immediately save the situation - the market saw values close to 1.02 before the value of the European currency began to rise. This formula can be used to forecast the exchange rate by fitting it with the future inflation that central banks calculate in the reports they publish at every monthly meeting. --- --- --- Sincerely R. Linda!
Education
by RLinda
14
Support & Resistance Levels | Trading Basis📚 ❗️The concepts of support and resistance are fundamental concepts of technical analysis of financial markets. They are applicable to almost any market, be it stocks, Forex, gold or cryptocurrency. ❗️And although these concepts are easy to understand, in practice they are quite difficult to master, since the definition of levels is completely subjective, and their behavior depends on many conditions. So first of all it is important to learn to distinguish their types. To do this, you will have to familiarize yourself with a lot of graphs, and this guide will help you. ✅What is support and resistance? 🟢At the most basic level, support and resistance are simple concepts. To determine them, the maximum and minimum price indicators are displayed, acting as a kind of barrier. At the same time, the lower values of the chart represent the support level, and the upper values represent the resistance level. In fact, the level of support can be viewed from the point of view of demand, and the level of resistance – from the point of view of supply. 🟢Despite the fact that support and resistance levels are usually denoted by lines, in reality they usually look different. It should be borne in mind that markets are not governed by any physical law that does not allow indicators to go beyond a certain level. Therefore, it is more appropriate to consider support and resistance levels as areas. You can imagine these areas as ranges on the price chart, the approach to which is likely to cause increased activity of traders. ✅How Traders Use Support and Resistance levels 🟢Technical analysts use support and resistance levels to identify areas of interest on the price chart. At these levels, the main trend is likely to change its direction. 🟢Market psychology plays an important role in the formation of support and resistance levels. Traders and investors are guided by price levels that previously caused increased interest and trading activity. These areas will contribute to increased liquidity as many traders will be tracking the same price levels. Often, support and resistance zones create ideal conditions for entry or exit from a position for large traders. 🟢The concepts of support and resistance levels are key to effective risk management. Your trading opportunities may depend on your ability to consistently identify these zones. Usually, after the price reaches the support or resistance area, two possible events are possible. It either bounces off this area, or breaks through it and continues moving in the direction of the trend to the next potential support or resistance area. 🟢It is best to enter a trade when the price is near the support or resistance level, mainly because of its relative proximity to the cancellation point, where a stop loss order is usually placed. In case of a breakthrough of the area and invalidation of the transaction, traders will be able to reduce their losses, because the further the entry is from the supply or demand zone, the further the point of invalidation of the transaction. 🟢At the same time, you need to understand how these levels will change depending on changes in the situation on the chart. As a rule, a breakdown in the support area can turn it into a resistance area. Conversely, a broken resistance area may turn into a support area when it is retested. This pattern is called the support-resistance flip. ⚠️How to draw support levels correctly? ⏺Reduce the timeframe of your charts so that you can see the bigger picture. ⏺Draw the most obvious levels that tend to have the strongest price bounces. ⏺Adjust your levels to get the maximum number of touches. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Education
by UnitedSignals
10
Don’t bite the bait. Time is money. This is a case of comparative advantage. Which means the less time it takes the coin to produce oil or energy, maybe even transactions. All will go down and then pop back up, much like a sinking ship. Within the next 5 hours, an entry point will be present. It’s time to glean for Q2, because after this the prices will hit an all time high and then go back down until July. A lot will assume now is too soon, but yesterdays price isn’t todays price. However, the cup and handle has presented its self. Now the next sign of equilibrium the price will make will be like a Nike check. Or a Wolfe wave. The eagle has left the nest. 2. API CRUDE OIL U.S.: anything under 5 is a sink. Forecast is in the -1.0 range. TOTAL VEHICLE CAR SALES: Elon and Twitter Don’t hire the bait just yet.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Traliciaa
2
Keep your trading charts clean!🧹 ✅Keeping Charts Clean: Since a trader's charting platform is his or her portal to the markets, it is important that charts improve rather than hinder a trader's market analysis. Easy-to-read charts and workspaces (the entire screen, including charts, news feeds, order entry windows, etc.) can improve a trader's situational awareness, allowing him to quickly decipher market activity and react to it. Most trading platforms allow you to largely customize the color and design of the chart, from the background color, style and color of the moving average to the size, color and font of the words that appear on the chart. Setting up clean and visually appealing charts and workspaces helps traders use indicators effectively. ✅Information overload: Many modern traders use multiple monitors to display multiple charts and order entry windows. Even if six monitors are used, you should not consider every square inch of the screen as technical indicators. Information overload occurs when a trader tries to interpret so much data that in fact they are all lost. Some people call this analytical paralysis; if too much information is presented, the trader will most likely not be able to respond. One way to avoid information overload is to exclude any extraneous indicators from the workspace; if you don't use it, lose it – this will help reduce clutter. Traders can also view charts to make sure they are not burdened with multicollinearity; if multiple indicators of the same type are present on the same chart, one or more indicators can be deleted. ✅Tips for organizing: Creating a well–organized workspace using only relevant analysis tools is a process. The set of technical indicators that a trader uses may change from time to time depending on market conditions, strategies used and trading style. ❗️On the other hand, charts can be saved if they are configured in a user-friendly form. There is no need to reformat the charts every time the trading platform closes and reopens. Trading symbols can be changed together with any technical indicators without disturbing the color scheme and layout of the workspace. ✅Recommendations for creating easy-to-read diagrams and workspaces include: ⏺Colors. The colors should be easy to view and provide great contrast so that all data can be easily viewed. In addition, one background color can be used for order entry charts (the chart that is used to enter and exit a trade), and a different background color can be used for all other charts of the same symbol. If more than one symbol is traded, you can use a different background color for each symbol to simplify data isolation. ⏺Layout. Having more than one monitor helps to create a comfortable workspace. One monitor can be used for entering orders, and the other for price charts. If the same indicator is used on several charts, it is recommended to place similar indicators in one place on each chart using the same colors. This makes it easier to find and interpret market activity on individual charts. ⏺Sizes and fonts. Bold and clear font makes it easier for traders to read numbers and words. Like colors and layout, font style is a preference, and traders can experiment with different styles and sizes to find a combination that creates the most visually pleasing result. Once convenient labels are found, fonts of the same style and size can be used on all diagrams to ensure continuity. ⚠️It is important to note that technical analysis deals with probabilities, not certainty. There is no combination of indicators that accurately predicts market movements in 100% of cases. While too many indicators or improper use of indicators can blur a trader's view of the markets, traders who use technical indicators carefully and effectively can more accurately determine trading attitudes with high probability, increasing their chances of success in the markets. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
24
Dollar Pops. How to Trade Using Support-Resistance LinesBull market in the Dollar stared on July 13, 2021. This clearly visible on the chart and requires very little explanation. How do we take advantage of this? Simply looking at the support-resistance lines is helpful. When the stock closes above the Blue line, we go long. In this case, dollar as popped almost 12% since the initial alert was issued. Avoid listening to the news and look at the chart instead! --- How to understand price action. It is very easy to read price action if you have a reference point. These support/resistance lines are there to help you read where the buyers and sellers are likely to make a stand. You can also think of these indicators as moving pivot points . MasterChartsTrading Price Action Indicators show good price levels to enter or exit a trade. The Blue indicator line serves as a Bullish Trend setter. If your instrument closes above the Blue line, we think about going Long (buying). For commodities and Forex, when your trading instrument closes below the Red line, we think about Shorting (selling). For Stocks, I prefer to use the Yellow line as my Bearish Trend setter (on Daily charts ). A stock has to close below the Yellow line first, then rally towards the Red line and top out there. This is where I would short it.
TVC:DXYEducation
by mastercharts
Classic Trend Reversal Patterns📚 ✅It is difficult to overestimate the importance of the classic continuation and reversal patterns. For a real trader trading on the Forex market, it is huge, because these patterns make it possible to predict the behaviour of the price. ⚠️If one of the trend continuation patterns appears in front of us on the chart, it means that the usual correction (rollback) is taking place. After its completion, it becomes possible to profitably enter the market at the existing rate. 📈📉Head & Shoulders 🟢The Head and shoulders pattern is a reversal pattern that is usually formed during a bullish trend and creates a top — the first shoulder. After the correction, the price creates a higher top — the head. After the next correction, the price creates a third top, which is below the head — the second shoulder. So, we have two shoulders and a head in the middle. 🟢Of course, the head and shoulders reversal pattern has its inverse equivalent, which turns bearish trends into bullish ones. This pattern is called the Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. 🟢Confirmation of the pattern occurs when the price breaks the line that runs through two bases on either side of the head. This line is called the neckline. When the price overcomes the neck line, we get a reversal signal. 📊Double Top and Double Bottom 🟢A double top consists of two peaks on the chart. These peaks are either at the same resistance level, or the second peak is slightly lower. A sample of a double top usually looks like the letter "M". 🟢A double top has its opposite, which is called a double bottom. This model consists of two bases, which are either located at the same support level, or the second base is slightly higher. The double bottom pattern usually looks like the letter "W". 🟢Confirmation of the Double top pattern comes at the moment when the price breaks through the minimum between the two tops. This level is marked by a line on the chart and is called a signal line. 🟢The stop loss order should be placed directly above the second top. The minimum profit target is equal to the distance between the neck and the center line that connects the two tops. ❗️The double bottom looks and works exactly the same. 💎Diamond 🟢It is quite difficult to see this pattern on a real chart – it looks like a standard flat, but with unstable volatility. A diamond means, at least, medium-term market uncertainty, when the probability of movement in any direction is almost the same. But the longer it takes to form, the stronger the breakdown and the subsequent trend will be. ☕️Cup with Handle 🟢The cup with handle pattern is considered a bullish continuation pattern, so it is necessary to determine the previous uptrend. This can be done by analyzing price dynamics or technical indicators, such as moving averages. The cup should be more U-shaped, not V-shaped, and the upper points on both sides of the cup should be approximately at the same level. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Education
by UnitedSignals
10
RISK ON vs RISK OFF ‼️Risk-on risk-off is an investment setting in which price behavior responds to and is driven by changes in investor risk tolerance. Risk-on risk-off refers to changes in investment activity in response to global economic patterns. During periods when risk is perceived as low, the risk-on risk-off theory states that investors tend to engage in higher-risk investments. When risk is perceived to be high, investors have the tendency to gravitate toward lower-risk investments. RISK ON - is when investor are looking to multiply their money, they are looking for RISK. MORE RISK - MORE MONEY RISK OFF - is when investors are looking to keep/save their money, they are looking to protect more than to RISK. MORE PROTECTION - LESS MONEY
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Snick3rSD
Be Careful - Gold’s Current Trading RangeFor the past two weeks Gold has been ranging between the prices 1945.00 and 1897.00 as illustrated above. A strong, short-term trend has been set, and should be kept in mind when trading the pairing during more volatile times as this to ensure maximum profits and as little loss as possible. It is very likely that Gold will continue ranging between these prices until we see strong price indicators otherwise. A price break of 1963.00 would more than likely signal bullish momentum and that it safe to take buys above this price. A price break of 1890.00 would more than likely signal bearish movement, and that it safe to buy dips. I hope this helps. Trade safely and let me know what you think in the comments.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by DollarYenQueen
Stochastic Trading Indicator 📉📉📉📉 The Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum indicator that shows the location of the close relative to the high-low range over a set number of periods. The indicator can range from 0 to 100. The closing price tends to close near the high in an uptrend and near the low in a downtrend. 📉 The stochastic indicator is a two-line indicator that can be applied to any chart. It fluctuates between 0 and 100. The indicator shows how the current price compares to the highest and lowest price levels over a predetermined past period. 📉 How do you use a stochastic indicator? How to use the Stochastic indicator and “predict” market turning points If the price is above 200-period moving average (MA), then look for long setups when Stochastic is oversold. If the price is below 200-period moving average (MA), then look for short setups when Stochastic is overbought. 📉 The Bottom Line. While relative strength index was designed to measure the speed of price movements, the stochastic oscillator formula works best when the market is trading in consistent ranges. Generally speaking, RSI is more useful in trending markets, and stochastics are more useful in sideways or choppy markets. What do you think ? Comment below..
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by AnonimFXRO
7
Analyst and Trader. What are the differences?👨‍🎓👩‍🎓 ✅Trading on the market consists of two different, but equally important tasks, namely: market analysis and the ability to trade. ✅Market analysis is a technical or fundamental analysis of price movements in the market, and trading is the ability to competently place orders for the purchase or sale of various market assets in order to make trading as profitable as possible. Most traders do not take into account the difference between market analysis and trading rules. But knowing these differences can significantly increase the profitability of your trading system or, at least, will help to avoid significant mistakes initially. 🟢Analyst or trader? ❗️When making transactions on the stock exchange, traders often consider themselves both an experienced trader and an analyst at the same time, since they perform all the analyses and trading independently. But not every trader can be experienced in both tasks at once. Some stock speculators analyze the market very well, but make mistakes when trading, and vice versa, not strong market analysts successfully make entries and exits from the market. ❗️Therefore, very often, one person can be an excellent market analyst, but his trading system falls apart under the pressure of incorrectly executed transactions (i.e. placement and management of already completed transactions). While another trader may not be strong in market analytics, but has a psychological profile that is ideal for making trades. ⚠️At the same time, both those and others can make a constant profit by following the rules in their trading systems. 🟢Why is this happening? The thing is that analysis and trading are very different tasks and require different psychological traits. For example, market analysis as a separate task does not bring either profit or loss, since market analysis itself cannot lose capital, so this activity does not carry emotions associated with it (for example, fear or greed). On the other hand, trading, as an isolated task, brings either profit or loss, that is, by making purchases, there is an opportunity to lose partially or completely trading capital. Therefore, those emotions that are not applicable to market analysis are very relevant for trading. 🟢Trade Partnership ❗️One of the solutions to overcome the differences between analysis and trading in the market is to find your opposite and form a potentially very profitable trading partnership. For example, if you are a good market analyst (i.e. you can identify potentially profitable trades), forming a partnership with a trader, i.e. with someone who is not able to perform correct market analysis, but can competently make and manage transactions without succumbing to emotional traps. Such an alliance can be much more beneficial for both. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Education
by UnitedSignals
2
The Journey of a Trader 🛣🚶 Hey traders, Why 95% of traders fail? In this post, we will discuss the trader's road to success and why most of the traders give up at the halfway point. On the chart, I was trying to portray the journey of a trader: most of the traders start this game with gambling. They randomly buy and sell the market relying on their intuition and with a high degree of probability end up with nice cush.💰 However, as they proceed they realize that the profits that they made were the product of luck, not skill. 🍀 The more they trade, the less they win. At some moment losing trades start to outperform winners. Trying different things, jumping from one strategy to another, one comes to the conclusion that nothing seems to work.🙅‍♂️ He goes broke, he is panicking. At that stage, the majority blame the market for their failure. Forex, stocks, gold trading is complete scam. Making profits on the market is not possible. They give up and leave.👣 Only 5% are persistent. Only 5% are blaming themselves not the market for their failure. They start following a strict trading plan, they follow risk management recommendations of pro traders and at some moment they start making 0.📝 Buying and selling the market, at the end of the day, they don't lose anymore. That is the most important milestone in a trader's journey. Realizing that the one stopped losing, a trader starts polishing and improving his rules in order to achieve better results. He trains and works with his psyche.💪 After years of struggling, one finally contemplates a consistent account growth. He became a pro trader.🏆 I wish you to be persistent, traders and don't give up. Patience pay and at the end of the day winners win. ❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
Editors' picks
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
255
GOLD: the BULLISH case for 2022, the simplicity versionhi, hello fellow traders, to be positional gold owner, there is only one need, to trust gold to be a reliable store of value for our capital/wealth to time frame of decades. as most of the funds using gold as store of value and are not really busy trading it too often, but only at meaningful levels for their portfolio as whole (== balancing), we are left with the short term casino "black or red" but the casino always wins. some insist to call it trading, it is not, it is simply moving between levels of liquidity providers (== market makers) who make their money from two factors, execution of orders and triggering of stop losses. this is the simple but cruel reality of the daily gold market 210 sessions per year (the other +/- 40 sessions are for balancing of the "big boys"). of course, other markets with the principal of 'value store' work with the same principal. remember, chances are very low that your broker has institutional account with the FEDERAL RESERVE, it means that your broker's liquidity provider is LARGE BANKING/FINANCIAL establishment that have the direct account with the FEDERAL RESERVE. your funds as trader are actually the guarantees your broker provides to his liquidity provider. in the food chain, the BIG BOYS want your broker with your money, they will make sure that your broker have the grounds to "collect" new high leveraged clients on regular base. just pay attention. they warn you in advance that highly leveraged clients lose, they do say that very clearly! - which from their perspective means, 'I warned you, feel free to try how long it takes before you get wiped'. I hope I managed to explain the chain of liquidity with simple words. from here, one must pick a clear stand, gold goes UP or DOWN for the duration of choice or as much the capital of trader is enough. that makes SCALPING the most efficient form of trading gold! the chart represents the BULLISH case for gold for this year (2022) based on the price action since 2018 when the FED raised their rates for the last time and continued with their endless printing of trillions. in case you are not looking for physical gold holding, and daily trading is not really your best of talents, and still willing to place a bet on the gold market, why not DECEMBER/2022 C1860 (== CALL $1860) options? - you know in advance all of your bet, you know well in advance the worst case scenario, and you get loads of free time to trade financial instruments that trade according to much faster moving fundamentals. trading gold with leverage is a terrible idea, as at least 210 sessions per year are pure noise sessions. the chart shows that clearly. therefore, good luck! questions, need a clarification, do not hesitate to ask
COMEX:GC1!Education
by FlukeTrading
5
What are Moving Averages & how to make money on them?📚 🟢The main rule of using Moving Average is to track the general direction of the moving average: it indicates the dominant trend in the market. It is worth making deals only in the direction of this movement. Such a simple rule makes the moving average method a convenient tool for short-term forecasting. 🟢A universal tool in almost all markets is a simple moving average (SMA) with a 200-day averaging period. A longer-term moving average will allow you to see the global rise or fall of the asset, avoid short-term fluctuations or minor consolidation of the exchange rate. As a rule, short moving averages allow you to react more actively to price movements and are designed to search for short-term trends. When analyzing the price chart on a daily or even shorter interval, many traders use "fast" EMAS with different averaging periods (5, 7, 13, 21, 50). ✅To date, there are many recommendations for the period of the moving average (3, 5, 7, 13, 21, ...), as well as methods of its calculation (SMA, WMA, EMA). The general postulates are as follows: ✅The "faster" the MA (EMA) and the shorter the calculation period (3, 5, 13, ...), the more likely it is to receive false or ambiguous signals; ✅The "slower" the MA (SMA) and the longer the calculation period (50, 100, ...), the more likely the moving average is to lag behind the real state of affairs in the market. ❗️The moving average method is still a universal way to determine the trend in the asset market. Ease of use and unambiguous interpretation of the result allow the investor to determine the prevailing trend with a high degree of probability. This minimizes the risk of making unprofitable deals. The use of the method as an independent tool when deciding on a transaction is controversial, since all possible successful combinations of the intersection of moving averages or the average and the asset price are subject to cyclicity and sometimes give false or ambiguous signals. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
10
A perfect example of Bearish Bat patternAs you can see in the weekly charts Gold has made a bearish bat pattern and has reached the first target..! Further correction in the high inflation era is less likely..! do not count on the 2nd and 3rd targets..! Always consider the probability of something happening, and Keep in mind nothing is impossible in the market!!! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Moshkelgosha
6
goldIn a side conversation with my friend the gold trader Or in parentheses ( the person who distributes and sells gold to gold shops ) I asked him: Do you receive gold from the price of 2070 He replied and said it is impossible only if this gold is for me personally and not for my work I asked him why, he said, because this is what happened to us two years ago 1 Merchant like 100 merchants with one rule And if you want to know why 2070 resisted the rise, you have to know that gold is a commodity governed by traders in the first place, 50% of the gold is with them And when the merchant refuses to buy from the market by this price This is a normal reaction to drop for $100 , I did not leave him, and I asked him what if he came back and retested 2070 . He said, “We will do the same thing again.” buy if the price of gold breaks 2070, it will turn into Future Like what happened with oil, when its price was negative I asked him when will you buy, he said when a strong bounce occurs again, like 70 with 100 dollars, then we will buy again and cover ourselves with 100 dollars, an upward movement Look, I made it easy to talk as much as I could If you understand this is a good thing, but if you do not get angry, then this is normal because the subject is difficult
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Elrouby
GOLD PRICEHello! In difficult times, investors become interested in gold, as has been done for a long time. But what factors affect the price of gold? Let's try to find out today. Reserves of the Central Bank Central banks hold fiat currency, but gold is also held in reserve. Ever since the US went off the gold standard, central banks have been building up their gold holdings. Overall, governments bought a total of 650 tons of gold in 2019, down from the 656 tons bought in 2018, and still at 50-year highs. US dollar value The strength of the dollar affects the price of gold. If the dollar is strong, then the price of gold is usually low. If the dollar is weak, the price of gold rises. As a result, gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. As inflation rises, so does the price of gold. Global demand for jewelry and industry In 2019, jewelry accounted for more than half of the demand for gold, which was equal to 440 tons. In addition, 7.5% of demand is related to technology and industry, where gold is used to make equipment. These directions, their growth or decline, strongly influence the price of gold. Welfare Protection In times of crisis, gold has always been considered a "safe haven" for investors' funds. Time passes and gold is still being used, and even the arrival of bitcoin has not changed the situation much. When the expected or actual yields of bonds, stocks and real estate fall, interest in investing in gold may increase, causing its price to rise. In addition, it is believed that gold provides protection during periods of political instability. Investment demand In addition to the central bank, gold is owned by exchange-traded funds that issue shares available for purchase and sale to investors. SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) is the largest holding over 1,078 tons of gold in March 2021. In general, gold purchases from various investment vehicles in 2019 amounted to 1271.7 tons, which is more than 29%. of the total demand for gold. Gold production Major players in global gold mining include China, South Africa, the US, Australia, Russia and Peru. The production of gold in the world affects the price of gold, which is another example of supply and demand being met. The mine's gold production was approximately 3,260 tons in 2018, up from 2,500 in 2010. Every year it is more and more difficult to mine gold, and this also affects the price. conclusions Gold, after several centuries, is still used not only as jewelry, but also for investment. Every year, the price of production is growing, banks are accumulating gold in their reserves, crises and other factors are raising the price of gold. Using the data, you can predict the rise or fall of prices. In any case, nothing more expensive than information has yet been invented. Good luck! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
Education
by Lingrid
11
GOLD'S NEXT MOVE?Little educational post for you guys! If my analysis is correct & the current uptrend is Wave 5, an effective way to estimate how far this last bullish cycle will go is to go back & look at Wave 1, when Gold first started its uptrend in 2006. Wave 1 & Wave 5 tend to be very similar in how many PIPS they move, with a few hundreds PIPS difference which is very accurate for higher TF analysis. I have done this on my chart & it shows me where Wave 5 will possibly end before correcting itself over the next few years! Do this for yourself & you'll find the results you're looking for. I have covered out the price it could go to as it'll only be exclusive on the Market Breakdown Report for Investors. Markets are looking juicy for the foreseeable future🦾
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by BA_Investments
Three White Soldiers Candlestick ✅✅✅Three white soldiers is a bullish candlestick pattern that is used to predict the reversal of the current downtrend in a pricing chart. The pattern consists of three consecutive long-bodied candlesticks that open within the previous candle's real body and a close that exceeds the previous candle's high. 🎯 To identify the three white soldiers pattern, look for three consecutive green or white candlesticks. Each must open and close progressively higher than the first. The candlesticks should have big bodies and very small (or no) wicks. As mentioned, you are likely to see the pattern at the bottom of a downtrend. ✅ What Do Three White Soldiers Tell You? The three white soldiers candlestick pattern suggests a strong change in market sentiment in terms of the stock, commodity or pair making up the price action on the chart. When a candle is closing with small or no shadows, it suggests that the bulls have managed to keep the price at the top of the range for the session. Basically, the bulls take over the rally all session and close near the high of the day for three consecutive sessions. In addition, the pattern may be preceded by other candlestick patterns suggestive of a reversal, such as a doji. ✅ Limitations of Using Three White Soldiers Three white soldiers can also appear during periods of consolidation, which is an easy way to get trapped in a continuation of the existing trend rather than a reversal. One of the key things to watch is the volume supporting the formation of three white soldiers. Any pattern on low volume is suspect because it is the market action of the few rather than the many. To combat the limitation of visual patterns, traders use the three white soldiers and other such candlestick patterns in conjunction with other technical indicators like trendlines, moving averages and bands. For example, traders may look for areas of upcoming resistance before initiating a long position or look at the level of volume on the breakout to confirm that there was a high amount of dollar volume transacting. If the pattern occurred on low volume with near-term resistance, traders may wait until there is further confirmation of a breakout to initiate a long position. Was this information valuable ?
Education
by AnonimFXRO
2
Trade Defensively 🔰🔰🔰 🔰 Trading Defensively • Proper Lot Size Stop changing the lot size on each trade you take based on the ,, confluences,, your risk should be pre-determined and fixed. Example you risk only 0.50% from your account on each trade • Take Profits before News Release Number one goal is to protect your equity, news can bring high volatility into the markets and random big moves. It is better to fix your profit or move your stoploss to breakeven before important news release • Use Trailing Stops Secure the profits and let your winners run, you can apply this strategy when you are already in profit and want to squeeze more from the trade • Multiple Take Profits Remember that a win is still a WIN, you dont need big profits to be profitable in the market. You need small consistent wins and over time you will see the difference Was this information valuable ?
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by AnonimFXRO