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GOLD MACD StrategyRules for engagement: - Price must be below the 200SMA - MACD must cross above the 0 line (higher the better) - Price must then cross over short term SMAs (5&8) - Stops at previous high - Take Profits at the target low Here we saw price break down to create a new lower low and sweeping previous support. Price on the daily has broken below the 21 moving average and price is close to crossing the 200 moving average on the 4hr chart. Using the FIB we can set an expected target entry zone between the 382 and 618 zones which also aligns with previous support which could turn to resistance. We see price stall here and we look for entries short. two entries identified using the above rules with a 130SL and a 400+TP.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Youza
How Does Recession Affect Financial Markets?How Does Recession Affect Financial Markets? Recessions, marked by widespread economic decline, profoundly impact financial markets. Understanding how different markets – stock, forex, commodity, and bond – respond to these downturns is crucial for traders and investors. This article delves into the varied effects of recessions, highlighting strategies for navigating these challenging times and identifying potential opportunities for resilience and growth in the face of economic adversity. Understanding Recessions A recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, typically visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale retail sales. Economic experts often cite two consecutive quarters of GDP contraction as a technical indicator of a recession. However, it's more than just numbers; it reflects a noticeable slump in economic activities and consumer confidence. Historically, recessions have been triggered by various factors, such as sudden economic shocks, financial crises, or bursting asset bubbles. For instance, the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 stemmed from the collapse of the housing market bubble in the United States, leading to a worldwide economic downturn. Recession impacts nearly every corner of the economy, leading to increased unemployment, reduced consumer spending, and overall economic stagnation. Effects of Recession on Different Financial Markets A recession's impact on financial markets is multifaceted, influencing everything from stocks and bonds to forex and commodities. However, each market reacts differently. To see how these various asset classes have reacted in past recessions, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform to access real-time market charts. General Impact on Markets During a recession, the financial landscape typically undergoes significant changes. Investors, wary of uncertainty, often reassess their risk tolerance, leading to shifts in asset allocation. Market volatility usually spikes as news and economic indicators sway investor sentiment. This period is often marked by cautious trading and a search for safer investment havens. Impact on Stock Markets Stock market performance in a recession can be quite varied. Generally, stock markets are among the first to react to signs of a recession. Prices may fall as investors anticipate lower earnings and weaker economic growth. This decline is not uniform across all sectors, however. Some industries, like technology or luxury goods, might experience steeper drops due to reduced consumer spending. Conversely, sectors like utilities or consumer staples often include stocks that do well during a recession, as they provide essential services that remain in demand. Impact on Forex Markets In forex, recessions often lead to significant currency fluctuations. Investors might flock to so-called safe currencies like the US dollar or Swiss franc, while currencies from countries heavily affected by the recession weaken. Central bank policies, such as interest rate cuts or quantitative easing, play a crucial role in currency valuation during these times. Impact on Commodities Commodities can react differently in a recession. While demand for industrial commodities like oil or steel may decline due to reduced industrial activity, precious metals like gold often see increased interest as so-called safe-haven assets. Impact on Bonds Bond markets usually experience a surge in demand during recessions, particularly government bonds, seen as low-risk investments. As investors seek stability, bond prices typically rise, and yields fall, reflecting the increased demand and decreased risk appetite. Types of Stocks That Perform Well During a Recession During economic downturns, certain stock categories have historically outperformed others. The stocks that go up in a recession generally belong to sectors that provide essential services or goods that remain in demand regardless of the economic climate. Consumer Staples: Companies in this sector, offering essential products like food, beverages, and household items, may appreciate during a recession. As these are necessities, demand usually remains stable even when discretionary spending declines. Healthcare: Healthcare stocks often hold steady or grow during recessions. The demand for medical services and products is less sensitive to economic fluctuations, making this sector a potential safe haven for investors. Utilities: Utility companies typically offer stable dividends and consistent demand. Regardless of economic conditions, consumers need water, gas, and electricity, providing these stocks with a buffer against recessionary pressures. Discount Retailers: Retailers that offer essential goods at lower prices can see an uptick in business as consumers become more budget-conscious during tough economic times. Types of Stocks to Hold in a Recession While there are some stocks that perform well in a recession due to sustained demand for their products, there are other types of stocks that are valued for their financial resilience and potential to provide long-term stability. Blue-Chip Stocks: These are shares of large, well-established companies known for their financial stability and strong track records. During recessions, their history of enduring tough economic times and providing dividends makes them attractive. Value Stocks: Stocks that are undervalued compared to their intrinsic worth can be good picks. They often have strong fundamentals and are priced below their perceived true value, with the potential to rebound strongly as the economy recovers. Non-Cyclical Stocks: These stocks are in industries whose services or products are always needed, like waste management or funeral services. Their demand doesn’t fluctuate significantly with the economy, which may offer stability. The Role of Government and Central Banks During Recessions During recessions, governments and central banks play a crucial role in stabilising financial markets. Government interventions often include fiscal policies like increased spending and tax cuts to stimulate the economy. Central banks may reduce interest rates or implement quantitative easing to increase liquidity in the financial system. These actions can bolster investor confidence, stabilise markets, and encourage lending and spending. However, their effectiveness can vary based on the recession's severity and the timeliness of the response. The Bottom Line Navigating recessions requires understanding their multifaceted impact on financial markets. From stocks and bonds to forex and commodities, each sector reacts uniquely, offering both challenges and opportunities. To take advantage of the various opportunities a recession presents, opening an FXOpen account can be a strategic step. We provide access to a broad range of markets and trading tools designed to help traders adapt to a shifting economic landscape. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by FXOpen
6
what currencies to buy in times of geopolitical tensions. In times of geopolitical turmoil or war, investors often seek refuge in currencies perceived as safe havens. several currencies are considered safe harbors due to their stability, liquidity, and low risk of depreciation. Some of the notable safe-haven currencies include: 1-US Dollar (USD): The US dollar is often regarded as the ultimate safe-haven currency due to the size and stability of the US economy, as well as the liquidity of USD-denominated assets. During times of uncertainty, investors tend to flock to the USD, driving up its value. 2-Swiss Franc (CHF): Switzerland's reputation for political neutrality and its strong banking system make the Swiss Franc a popular safe-haven currency. Investors view the CHF as a stable and reliable asset during periods of geopolitical tension. 3-Japanese Yen (JPY): The Japanese Yen is considered a safe-haven currency due to Japan's status as a net creditor nation and its large current account surplus. During times of crisis, investors often repatriate funds into the JPY, driving up its value. 4-Euro (EUR): Despite occasional uncertainties surrounding the Eurozone, the Euro is still considered a safe-haven currency by many investors. The Euro's status as the second most traded currency in the world and the stability of major Eurozone economies contribute to its safe-haven appeal. 5-Gold-Backed Currencies: Some countries, particularly those with significant gold reserves, may issue currencies backed by gold or pegged to the price of gold. These currencies offer stability and are perceived as safe havens during times of crisis.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by JoeChampion
12
COPPER, THE MUSICAL.. ERR I MEAN, GUIDE. (Cu, Copper)COPPER, What's the deal with this shiny brown stuff that I hear everyone steals? Should I steal copper or is there a better way? What do I need to know? What is the fast summary to catch me up? First, let's talk about the technicals. Some massive trends, all strong. price targets labeled there are numbers that go pretty high, but it seems a retracement might be needed to get there. Potential to buy under 3. Potential to sell over 4. idk where it heads first. Copper: A Comprehensive Overview Introduction Copper , denoted by the symbol Cu on the periodic table, is a versatile metal with a wide range of applications. It is renowned for its excellent electrical and thermal conductivity, corrosion resistance, and malleability. These properties make it a valuable resource in various industries. Uses of Copper Copper is extensively used in the electrical industry due to its superior conductivity. It forms a crucial component in electrical equipment such as wiring and motors. In the construction industry, copper is used for roofing and plumbing, thanks to its durability and resistance to corrosion. Interestingly, copper’s antimicrobial properties are leveraged in healthcare settings to reduce the number of patients who acquire infections in hospitals. How and Where Copper is Found Copper is typically found in nature in association with sulfur. The extraction process involves mining and concentrating low-grade ores containing copper sulfide minerals. This is followed by smelting and electrolytic refining to produce pure copper. Copper deposits are found in various locations worldwide, including South America, South Central Asia, Indochina, and North America. It is found as a primary mineral in basaltic lavas and also as reduced from copper compounds. History of Copper Use Copper has a rich history of use by humans. It was one of the first metals ever extracted and used by humans, first appearing in coins and ornaments around 8000 B.C. The advent of copper tools around 5500 B.C. helped civilization emerge from the Stone Age. Copper in the Periodic Table In the periodic table, copper is a transition metal located in Group 11, along with silver and gold. These metals share similar electron structures, which result in many shared characteristics. Comparable Metals and Alloys Copper is often compared to other “red metals” like brass and bronze. While copper is a pure metal, brass and bronze are copper alloys. Brass is a combination of copper and zinc, while bronze is a combination of copper and tin. Copper is also alloyed with other metals like nickel, aluminum, and beryllium to enhance its properties. Costs and Difficulties of Working with Copper Despite its importance, the extraction and use of copper come with significant challenges. Mining copper can lead to environmental hazards, affecting water access, air quality, and Indigenous cultural sites. Moreover, the cost of copper has been rising due to increasing demand and supply constraints. Future Potential of Copper The future of copper looks promising, especially considering its role in the energy transition. Copper is critical for renewable energy systems, including solar and wind power, and electric vehicles. However, the potential for a copper shortage is drawing concerns about how to sustainably meet future demand. Conclusion Copper is an incredibly versatile and important metal with a rich history and a promising future. As we continue to innovate and move towards a more sustainable future, the role of copper is likely to become even more significant.
CAPITALCOM:COPPEREducation
by nicktussing77
2
Why both Gold & U.S. Dollar Index are rising ? (IMPORTANT)The Intricate Dance of Gold and the U.S. Dollar The relationship between the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and Gold prices is a fascinating study in economics. Typically, these two have a reverse correlation. The reason for this inverse relationship is that gold is priced in U.S. dollars. Therefore, when the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive for investors using other currencies. This can decrease demand for gold and subsequently lower its price. However, this correlation is not set in stone. There are times when both the DXY and gold prices can increase simultaneously. This can occur due to a variety of factors such as geopolitical tensions, market uncertainty, or changes in monetary policy. For instance, from early 2022 to the beginning of 2024, the correlation between gold and the DXY has seen periods of both synchronicity and divergence. This indicates that other factors are influencing gold prices. Currently, despite the rising DXY, gold prices are also on an upward trend. This could be attributed to investors seeking safe-haven assets amidst economic or geopolitical uncertainty. This increases the demand for gold, driving up its price even as the dollar strengthens. Additionally, expectations of changes in monetary policy, such as interest rate cuts, can also affect gold prices. In conclusion, while the DXY and gold prices often move in opposite directions, there are times when they dance to the same tune. This intricate dance is influenced by a myriad of factors, making the relationship between the DXY and gold prices a complex and intriguing aspect of global economics. Prepared by : Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by ArmanShabanTrading
7
Why Gold and DXY Rise Together in Times of UncertaintyIn times of market uncertainty, investors often seek refuge in assets considered safe havens, such as gold and the US Dollar Index (DXY). While traditionally these two assets exhibit a negative correlation, meaning when one rises, the other tends to fall, their simultaneous ascent during periods of uncertainty might seem counterintuitive at first glance. However, a deeper understanding reveals the underlying dynamics driving this phenomenon. Firstly, let's explore gold's role as a safe haven asset. Gold has long been revered as a store of value and a hedge against economic instability and geopolitical turmoil. During times of uncertainty, investors flock to gold as a reliable store of wealth, driving up its price. This demand surge can outweigh any negative impact from a stronger US dollar, leading to both gold and DXY rising concurrently. On the other hand, the US Dollar Index (DXY) also garners safe haven status during times of uncertainty. The US dollar is widely considered the world's reserve currency and is backed by the largest and most stable economy globally. Consequently, investors often seek refuge in the US dollar during periods of market turmoil, further boosting its value. Moreover, the correlation between gold and the US dollar is not solely determined by economic factors but also influenced by investor sentiment and market dynamics. During times of heightened uncertainty, investor behavior can drive unusual correlations as market participants prioritize capital preservation over traditional market relationships. Furthermore, it's crucial to consider the broader macroeconomic landscape. Factors such as central bank policies, geopolitical tensions, and global economic outlook play significant roles in shaping investor sentiment and asset prices. Changes in these factors can lead to shifts in the relationship between gold and the US dollar, especially during times of uncertainty when market participants reassess risk and allocate capital accordingly. In conclusion, while gold and the US dollar may traditionally exhibit a negative correlation, their simultaneous rise during times of uncertainty underscores their status as safe haven assets. Understanding the complex interplay of economic fundamentals, investor sentiment, and market dynamics is essential for comprehending the nuances of asset relationships, particularly during turbulent times in the financial markets.
TVC:DXYEducation
by JoeChampion
3
📍Part #2, Elliott Waves: "Motive Waves - Impulse".👩🏻‍💻 Welcome to the 2nd lecture on Elliott Waves. So, Elliott Wave Theory suggests that price behavior follows a wave structure, with three waves being impulse waves and 2 being corrective waves. It can be said that these 5 waves look like the image above. ➡️For example, let's take an upward impulse, where the impulse refers to all these five waves. We observe the first wave of growth, then the second wave is corrective to the first, meaning the second wave is specifically a correction for the first wave. Next, the third wave is a growth wave, the fourth is corrective for the third, and the fifth wave concludes the impulse. Following the completion of the impulse or the five-wave sequence, a correction occurs in the form of A, B, C. ➡️This entire structure is fractal, meaning that if our upward impulse has three waves, and they are also impulse waves, such as the first, third, and fifth, and as impulse waves, as we already know, consist of five waves, then each impulse within this larger five-wave sequence has the same structure of five waves. Furthermore, in the correction A, B, C, waves A and C also have a five-wave structure, but more on that in the next lessons. ➡️If you ask about the timeframes to work with waves, I would say that the 1-hour timeframe is the threshold below which it is not recommended to consider the structure! Next, I will describe the basic rules and regulations concerning impulses in the form of pictures, which are convenient to save and use as a hint when analyzing charts. ➡️Now let's consider some rules that are mandatory for all impulse movements. Rules An impulse always subdivides into five waves. Strong guidelines 📍Wave A almost always will alternate with wave B. Alternation can be expressed in two ways: 1) In the type of correction: sharp/sideways or vice versa 2) In the presence of extension: in waves 2 and 4 of the impulse, two sideways patterns are possible, but only one of them will have an extreme beyond the peak of the previous wave. 📍Wave 4, as a rule, significantly violates the channel formed by the subwaves of wave 3. 📍As a strong norm, no part of wave 4 should enter the price territory of wave 1 or 2. 📍As a strong norm, the peak of wave 4 should not extend beyond the doubled channel constructed from the peaks of waves 1, 2, and 3, while the midline of the channel will serve as the minimum achievable target. 📍Second waves of impulses tend to go beyond the previous fourth wave. When using this norm, the previous fourth wave serves as the minimum target. 📍Sometimes wave 5 does not move beyond the end of wave 3 (in which case it is called a truncation). 📍Often, waves 1 and 5 of the impulse form impulses, but more often they alternate in the type of motive waves: if wave 1 is an impulse, expect wave 5 in the form of a diagonal, and vice versa. Less commonly, waves 1 and 5 form diagonals, but in this case, alternation will be expressed in the form of a pattern: contracting/expanding. So there are also many other lesser indications, but they are too numerous and less frequent. Therefore, I recommend that we focus on the main ones for the time being. 📣This concludes the lecture on impulse waves. Save the images and practice. Next week I'll start talking about the Leading and Ending diagonals. 🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔
Education
by Hellena_Trade
11
Options Blueprint Series Strangles vs. StraddlesIntroduction In the realm of options trading, the choice of strategy significantly impacts the trader's ability to navigate market uncertainties. Among the plethora of strategies, the Strangle holds a unique position, offering flexibility in unclear market conditions without the upfront costs associated with more conventional approaches like the Straddle. This article delves into the intricacies of the Strangle strategy, emphasizing its application in the volatile world of Gold Futures trading. For traders seeking a foundation in the Straddle strategy, refer to our earlier discussion in "Options Blueprint Series: Straddle Your Way Through The Unknown" - In-Depth Look at the Strangle Strategy The Strangle strategy involves purchasing a call option and a put option with the same expiration date but different strike prices. Typically, the call strike price is higher than the current market price, while the put strike price is lower. This approach is designed for situations where a significant price movement is anticipated, but the direction of the movement is uncertain. It's particularly effective in markets prone to sudden swings, making it a valuable strategy for Gold Futures traders who face volatile market conditions. Advantages of the Strangle strategy include its lower upfront cost compared to the Straddle strategy, as options are bought out-of-the-money (OTM). This aspect makes it a more accessible strategy for traders with budget constraints. The potential for unlimited profits, should the market make a strong move in either direction, further adds to its appeal. However, the risks include the total loss of the premium paid if the market does not move significantly and both options expire worthless. Therefore, timing and market analysis are critical when implementing a Strangle in the gold market. Example: Consider a scenario where Gold Futures are trading at $1,800 per ounce. Anticipating volatility, a trader might purchase a call option with a strike price of $1,820 and a put option with a strike price of $1,780. If gold prices swing widely enough in either direction, the strategy could yield substantial profits. Strangle vs. Straddle: Understanding the Key Differences The Strangle and Straddle strategies are both designed to capitalize on market volatility, yet they differ significantly in execution and ideal market conditions. While the Straddle strategy involves buying a call and put option at the same strike price, the Strangle strategy opts for different strike prices. This fundamental difference impacts their cost, risk, and potential return. Cost Implications: The Strangle strategy is generally less expensive than the Straddle due to the use of out-of-the-money options. This lower initial investment makes the Strangle appealing to traders with tighter budget constraints or those looking to manage risk more conservatively. Risk Exposure and Profit Potential: Although both strategies offer unlimited profit potential, the Strangle requires a more significant price move to reach profitability due to its out-of-the-money positions. Consequently, the risk of total premium loss is higher with Strangles if the anticipated volatility does not materialize to a sufficient degree. Market Conditions: Straddles are best suited for markets where significant price movement is expected but without clear directional bias. Strangles, given their lower cost, might be preferred in situations where substantial volatility is anticipated but with a slightly lower conviction level, allowing for larger market moves before profitability. In the context of Gold Futures and Micro Gold Futures, traders might lean towards a Strangle strategy when expecting major market events or economic releases that could induce significant gold price fluctuations. The choice between a Strangle and a Straddle often comes down to the trader's market outlook, risk tolerance, and cost considerations. Application to Gold Futures and Micro Gold Futures Implementing a Strangle in the Gold Futures market requires a keen understanding of underlying market conditions and volatility. Given the precious metal's sensitivity to global economic indicators, political instability, and changes in demand, traders can leverage the Strangle strategy to capitalize on expected price swings without committing to a directional bet. When applying a Strangle to Gold Futures, selecting the appropriate strike prices becomes crucial. The goal is to position the OTM options in a way that balances the potential for significant price movements with the cost of premiums paid. This balance is critical in scenarios like central bank announcements or inflation reports, where gold prices can experience sharp movements, offering the potential for Strangle strategies to flourish. Long Straddle Trade-Example Underlying Asset: Gold Futures or Micro Gold Futures (Symbol: GC1! or MGC1!) Strategy Components: Buy Put Option: Strike Price 2275 Buy Call Option: Strike Price 2050 Net Premium Paid: 11.5 points = $1,150 ($115 with Micros) Micro Contracts: Using MGC1! (Micro Gold Futures) reduces the exposure by 10 times Maximum Profit: Unlimited Maximum Loss: Net Premium paid Risk Management Effective risk management is paramount when employing options strategies like the Strangle, especially within the volatile realms of Gold Futures and Micro Gold Futures trading. Traders should be acutely aware of the expiration dates and the time decay (theta) of options, which can erode the potential profitability of a Strangle strategy as the expiration date approaches without significant price movement in the underlying asset. To mitigate such risks, it's common to set clear criteria for adjusting or exiting the positions. This could involve rolling out the options to a further expiration date or closing the position to limit losses once certain thresholds are met. Additionally, the use of stop-loss orders or protective puts/calls as part of a broader trading plan can provide a safety net against unforeseen market reversals. Such techniques ensure that losses are capped at a predetermined level, allowing traders to preserve capital for future opportunities. Conclusion The Strangle and Straddle strategies each offer unique advantages for traders navigating the Gold Futures market's uncertainties. By understanding the distinct characteristics and application scenarios of each, traders can make informed decisions tailored to their market outlook and risk tolerance. While the Strangle strategy offers a cost-effective means to leverage expected volatility, it also necessitates a disciplined approach to risk management and an acute understanding of market dynamics.   When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
COMEX:GC1!Education
by traddictiv
8
How to Find a High Probability Trade in an Uptrend Hey Traders, We'll show you how you can find an easy trade with a high risk-to-reward ratio using some basic concepts. - Step One: Spot an uptrend where you have higher highs and higher lows. - Step two: Spot the last break of structure. - Step three: Use the Fibonacci tool and connect it from the recent lows to the recent highs. - Step Four: Watch prices coming back to the broken structure that lines up with any Fibonacci level. ( Focus on the 50% - 61.8% - 78.6% Levels ) - Step Five: Wait for a clear bullish candle and then enter with stoploss structure - Step Six: Take partial profits at the recent highs and the Fibonacci extensions ( - 0.27 & -0.618 )
Education
by Tradenessfx
3
Best Technical Analysis Strategies for Trading Gold If you want to trade Gold, but you don't know what strategy to trade, I prepared for you the list of 4 simple and profitable gold trading strategies. Please, note that my list includes the indicator, swing, price action and smart money strategies, so you will certainly find the one that suites you. Also, all the strategies will be strictly structure based. It means that no matter which strategy you choose, you should start your analysis with identification of key levels on a daily time frame. Example of structure analysis on Gold. 1. Breakout trading on a daily time frame With that approach, we will be aiming to catch swing moves. Your bearish confirmation will be a bearish breakout - a daily candle close below a key support. A bearish continuation will be anticipated to the next closest daily support then. Your bullish signal will be a bullish breakout of a key daily resistance. Then you can buy aggressively or on a retest, expecting a bullish continuation to the next strong resistance. In the example above, bearish breakout of a key daily support was a strong bearish signal that triggered a massive selloff. This strategy is based only on a daily time frame analysis, the next 3 strategies will be more sophisticated and involve multiple time frames analysis. 2. Price action confirmation strategy With that approach, you should patiently wait for a test of one of the key structures that you spotted on a daily. After that, you should monitor the reaction of the price to that on 4h/1h time frames. Your signal to buy will be a formation of a bullish reversal price action pattern on a key support, while your bearish confirmation will be a bearish pattern on a key resistance. Once you spotted a confirmation, you can anticipate a bullish/bearish movement, at least to the closest 4h structure. In the example above, Gold tested a key daily support. The price formed a double bottom formation on that. Its neckline breakout was a strong bullish signal. A bullish movement initiated to the closest 4H resistance then. 3. Moving average confirmation strategy For that method, you will need 2 moving averages: simple MA with 9 length and exponential MA with 20 length. Once the market tests a key support, you should look for a crossover. A simple MA should be above the exponential MA. It will be your bullish signal. After a test of a key resistance, look for an opposite crossover. A simple MA should be below the exponential MA. It will give you a strong signal to sell. Here is how the MA crossover would help you to predict a bullish movement on Gold on an hourly time frame. 4. Smart money confirmation strategy With that approach, you should look for a break of key daily structure on 4h/1h time frames. After a violation of a key support, you should look for a bullish imbalance so that the price should return above the broken structure. That will be your signal to buy. After a violation of a key resistance, look for a bearish imbalance. The price should come back below a broken structure. It will be your signal to sell. After a test and a violation of a key daily resistance, Gold formed a bearish imbalance on a 4H time frame. It was a strong bearish signal. All these strategies are very efficient. However, they will work after you learn to correctly identify key structures. Let me know in a comment section which strategy do you prefer. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
6
What is TRADING PLAN and how to use it ! What is TRADING PLAN ? A trading plan is a systematic method for identifying and trading securities that takes into consideration a number of variables including time, risk and the investor’s objectives. A trading plan can help traders and investors to achieve consistent results and avoid emotional or impulsive decisions. A trading plan should be written in a clear and concise manner and be regularly reviewed and updated. One of the main benefits of having a trading plan is that it can help traders and investors to define their personal trading style and goals. For example, some traders may prefer to trade in the forex market, which is the world’s largest financial market and offers high liquidity, around-the-clock trading and the possibility of using leverage. Other traders may opt for the stocks market, which involves buying and selling shares of well-established and financially sound companies, also known as blue chips. Blue chips are generally considered to be less volatile than forex and may offer steady growth potential and dividends to investors. Another advantage of having a trading plan is that it can help traders and investors to identify the best trading opportunities and strategies for their chosen market and instrument. A trading plan should include the following elements : • Entry and exit rules : These are the criteria that determine when to open and close a position, based on technical or fundamental analysis, indicators, signals, patterns, trends, etc. If I want to explain more, I have to say that Entry and exit rules are the criteria that determine when to open and close a position, based on technical or fundamental analysis, indicators, signals, patterns, trends, etc1. They are essential for having a trading plan and a trading strategy, as they help traders and investors to define their personal trading style and goals, identify the best trading opportunities and strategies, and manage their risk and reward. For example, if you are a trend-following trader, you may use a moving average crossover as an entry rule, meaning that you buy when a faster moving average crosses above a slower moving average, indicating an uptrend, and you sell when the opposite happens, indicating a downtrend. You may also use a trailing stop as an exit rule, meaning that you adjust your stop-loss order to follow the price as it moves in your favor, locking in some profits and protecting yourself from a reversal. Entry and exit rules can vary depending on the market, instrument, time frame, and trading style that you choose. They can also be combined with other tools and techniques, such as risk-reward ratio, position sizing, diversification, etc. The key is to have clear and consistent entry and exit rules that suit your trading plan and objectives, and to follow them diligently. • Risk management : Risk management is the process of controlling the potential losses and maximizing the potential gains of each trade, by using tools such as stop-loss orders, profit targets, position sizing, diversification, etc. Risk management helps traders and investors to protect their trading accounts from losing all of its money and to achieve consistent results. Some common risk management strategies for traders are2: Determining your risk appetite : This means knowing how much you are willing to risk on each trade, based on your trading goals, capital, and risk tolerance. A common rule of thumb is to never risk more than 1% of your account on any single trade. Knowing your risk-reward ratio : This means calculating the expected return of each trade, compared to the potential loss. A risk-reward ratio of 2:1 or higher is generally considered favorable, meaning that the potential profit is twice as large as the potential loss. Using stop-loss orders : These are orders that automatically close your position when the price reaches a certain level, to limit your losses. Stop-loss orders can be fixed or trailing, meaning that they can follow the price as it moves in your favor. Using profit targets : These are orders that automatically close your position when the price reaches a certain level, to lock in your profits. Profit targets can help you to exit the market at the optimal time and avoid greed or fear. Position sizing : This means adjusting the size of your position according to your risk appetite, risk-reward ratio, and market conditions. Position sizing can help you to balance your portfolio and diversify your risk. Diversification : This means spreading your risk across different markets, instruments, time frames, and strategies. Diversification can help you to reduce your exposure to specific risks and increase your chances of success. Risk management is an essential but often overlooked prerequisite to successful trading. By following a rational and objective approach to risk management, you can avoid common pitfalls such as overtrading, undertrading, revenge trading, fear of missing out, etc. Risk management can also increase your confidence, discipline, and consistency, which are vital for success in the financial markets. • Performance evaluation : This is the method of measuring and analyzing the results of the trading plan, by using metrics such as win rate, risk-reward ratio, drawdown, return on investment, etc. A trading plan is not a static document, but a dynamic one that should be adapted to the changing market conditions and the trader’s or investor’s experience and skills. A trading plan should be tested and backtested before being implemented in the live market, and should be reviewed and revised periodically to ensure its effectiveness and suitability. Having a trading plan in forex and stocks market can help traders and investors to achieve their financial goals and avoid common pitfalls such as overtrading, undertrading, revenge trading, fear of missing out, etc. A trading plan can also increase the trader’s or investor’s confidence, discipline and consistency, which are essential for success in the financial markets. KEY POINTS : A trading plan is a systematic method for identifying and trading securities in the forex and stocks market. A trading plan can help traders and investors to achieve consistent results and avoid emotional or impulsive decisions. A trading plan should include entry and exit rules, risk management, and performance evaluation. A trading plan should be written, tested, reviewed, and updated regularly. A trading plan can increase the trader’s or investor’s confidence, discipline, and consistency. Prepared by : Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by ArmanShabanTrading
25
Range Bar Chart, Line Chart & Candlestick Chart - Everything You Hey traders, In this post, we will discuss 3 most popular types of charts. We will discuss the advantages and disadvantages of each one, and you will decide what type is the most appropriate for you. 📈Line Chart. Line chart is the most common chart applied by analysts. Reading financial articles in different news outlets, I noticed that most of the time the authors apply line chart for the data representation. On a price chart, the only parameter that the one can set is a time period. Time period will define a time of a security closing price. The security closing prices overtime will serve as data points. These points will be connected with a continuous line. Line charts are applied for displaying an asset's price history, reducing the noise from less volatile times. Being simplistic, they can provide a general picture and market sentiment. However, they are considered to be insufficient for pattern recognition and in depth analysis. Above, a line chart is applied for analysis of a long-term trend on Gold. 📏Range Bar Chart. In contrast to a line chart, a range bar chart does not consider time horizon. The only parameter that the one can set is a price range. By the range, I mean a price interval where the price moves. A new bar will be formed only once the prices passes the desired range. Such a chart allows to completely ignore time variable, focusing only on price movement and hence reducing the market noise. The chart will plot new bars only when the market is volatile, and it will stagnate while the market is weak and consolidating. Accurately setting a desired price range, one can get multiple insights analyzing a range bar chart. In the example above, one range bar represents 10 pips price range on EURUSD. 🕯Candlestick Chart. The most popular chart among technicians and my personal favorite. ith just one single parameter - time period, the chart plots candlesticks. Each candlestick is formed as a desired time period passes. It contains an information about the opening price level, closing price, high and low of a selected time period. Candlestick chart is applied for pattern recognition and in-depth analysis. Its study unveils the behavior of the market participants and their actions at a desired time period. Each candle stick represents a price action within 4 hours on AUDUSD chart above. (time frame is 4H) Of course, each chart has its own pluses and minuses. Choosing its type, you should know exactly what information do you want to derive from the chart. What chart type do you prefer?
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
PLATINUM, WHAT IS IT AND WHY THE HECK WOULD I WANT THIS METALWhat is Platinum? Platinum is a chemical element with the symbol Pt and atomic number 78. It belongs to the noble metals group, which also includes palladium, rhodium, iridium, osmium, and ruthenium. Platinum is characterized by its high density, malleability, ductility, and resistance to corrosion. These unique properties make it an invaluable material for various industrial applications. Where is Platinum Found? While platinum is relatively scarce, it is not as rare as some other precious metals. The majority of the world's platinum supply comes from two main sources: primary production and recycling. South Africa is the leading producer of platinum, contributing significantly to the global supply. Russia, Zimbabwe, and Canada also have substantial platinum deposits. Platinum is often found alongside other minerals, such as nickel and copper, in ore deposits known as platinum group elements (PGE). Extracting platinum from these ores involves complex processes that require advanced mining and refining technologies. Why Would You Want Platinum? Jewelry and Luxury Goods: Platinum's brilliant white sheen and resistance to tarnish make it a popular choice for crafting high-end jewelry. Platinum jewelry is not only exquisite but also durable, making it an ideal choice for engagement rings, wedding bands, and other fine accessories. Catalytic Converters: The automotive industry extensively uses platinum in catalytic converters, where it plays a crucial role in reducing harmful emissions from vehicles. Its catalytic properties make it an essential component in promoting cleaner air and environmental sustainability. Electronics and Industry: Platinum is a key player in various industrial applications, including electronics, due to its excellent conductivity and resistance to corrosion. It is used in the production of electrical contacts, laboratory equipment, and in the manufacturing of glass. Investment and Financial Markets: Platinum, like gold and silver, is considered a precious metal and is actively traded in financial markets. Some investors choose to include platinum in their portfolios as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainties. Platinum mining is a challenging and complex process. Extracting platinum from the Earth involves several intricate steps, and the scarcity of platinum deposits adds to the difficulty of mining this precious metal. Here is an overview of the key challenges associated with platinum mining: Ore Extraction: Platinum is often found in combination with other metals, forming platinum group elements (PGE) deposits. Extracting platinum from these ores requires advanced mining techniques. The ores are typically low in concentration, making the extraction process more intricate than that of more abundant metals. Depth of Deposits: Many platinum deposits are located deep underground, which adds to the complexity and cost of mining. Deep-level mining requires specialized equipment and poses safety challenges for miners. In some cases, mines may extend kilometers below the Earth's surface. Energy Intensity: The extraction and refining of platinum involve energy-intensive processes. The high temperatures required for smelting and refining contribute to the overall energy consumption of platinum mining operations. Environmental Impact: Mining operations, especially in ecologically sensitive areas, can have significant environmental impacts. Platinum mining may result in habitat disruption, soil erosion, and water pollution. Sustainable mining practices and environmental regulations are essential to mitigate these effects. Labor Intensity: Mining platinum is a labor-intensive process that requires skilled workers. The complexity of the operations, coupled with safety considerations in deep-level mining, makes it essential to have trained personnel. Market Volatility: The platinum market is subject to price fluctuations, influenced by factors such as supply and demand dynamics, economic conditions, and geopolitical events. This volatility can impact the profitability of mining operations and investment decisions in the platinum industry. Technological Challenges: The extraction and processing of platinum ores require advanced technologies. Developing and implementing efficient and environmentally responsible mining technologies is an ongoing challenge for the industry. Despite these challenges, the demand for platinum in various industries, such as jewelry, automotive, and electronics, continues to drive the exploration and extraction of new platinum sources. Innovations in mining technologies and sustainable practices are being explored to address the difficulties associated with platinum mining and ensure its responsible and ethical extraction. THE TECHNICALS Sharp downtrend, weak, although down, it is a support trend. Two strong (one stronger than the other) support trends, IF UNDER, THEN BUY is probably the rule for those. It looks like there is some downside to come, which has been showing. The ideal price targets are thicker, and basically mean, under perfect conditions, I'd exit and enter at these levels, however, nothing is ever perfect. AS far as what the technicals say for price, I'd say there is a good chance it can maintain $800, however, there is a possible dip showing, which takes price down to $700. Again, these are both under or at major trends, and we can say that if price gets to these levels, I have a better than average chance at profit. AND if I'm wrong, I'm backed up by multiple support lines, which means less time in the red. Other scenario is where the bullish momentum keeps moving up at we head up to 1200 or so before hitting that huge dip. However, I tend to see this as the less likely option. RSI is showing the dip, along with various other indicators as coming in the short term and being backed up with support and buying in the longer term, this doesn't include a black swan event, which would theoretically take the price way down, and rocket to all time highs, as platinum will likely hold value. Good luck!! Personal opinion, I'm bullish long term from a fundamental side and technical side.
TVC:PLATINUMEducation
by nicktussing77
Market Algo or pain tradesI was reading another trading book today and much like watching the dumb money movie the other day, it prompted me to write another post. So, you may have heard the expression "the market is an Algorithm" whilst this is somewhat true, it's actually more a sequence, Ralph Elliott, Richard Wyckoff and Edward Jones knew this. In simple terms, the larger operators or what's known as sophisticated money - chase liquidity pools that are often areas Dumb Money have taken entries or placed stops. Now if it was as simple as this, you could simply write an indicator or be on the winning side 100% of the time. Unfortunately, there's a lot more to it! When I say the smart kids are taking the dinner money of the dumb kids, you need to appreciate the fact that winning whilst playing against retail traders is like putting the Patriots against your local under 12's side. Or like having the New Zealand All Blacks play against an old people's home in Pakistan. (I am not sure if Pakistan even have a 1st team in rugby). To gain some understanding, you need to appreciate there's such a thing as "pain trading". A "pain trade" refers to a situation in financial markets where a significant number of investors or traders find themselves on the wrong side of the market, leading to losses or discomfort. In other words, it describes a scenario in which the market moves in a way that causes the most amount of pain or financial losses to the largest number of participants. For example, if a majority of traders are positioned for a market to go up, a pain trade would be a sharp and unexpected decline in prices, catching those traders off guard and causing them losses. The term reflects the idea that markets often move in ways that inflict the most damage on the greatest number of participants. Understanding pain trades is important for investors and traders, as it highlights the potential risks of crowded trades and the importance of risk management strategies to mitigate unexpected market movements. Investors and traders often use various indicators, market sentiment analysis, and risk management techniques to try to avoid being caught on the wrong side of a pain trade. (Thanks ChatGPT for the summary). ====================================================== So take a company like Carvana for example... This type of move happens over and over again - creating cycles (But not always the same). In this image above you can see it's likely to have swept long stop losses and then rallied hard. You probably know about the Gamestop Saga. I wrote a post on that film recently. I talked about being on the wrong side - I can't get over how someone could be up $500,000 and still go broke? But it's all in the mindset. Liquidity is the name of the game. How do these things fit together? Well, Bitcoin is a prime example - retail mindset is "HODL, Buy the Dip, Diamond hands & Lambo" - whilst as a professional trader, it's enjoying your profits and buying/selling at the expense of the dumb money. These moves are shown as the last post, buy momentum. Here is the summary image from that post. Since we had a move up - retail seem to think it's up only, they seem to put all the eggs in the hope Blackrock and a halving will make them rich... I have read articles like this recently. After watching the Dumb Money film - you know where following the crowd goes. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Why is this an important lesson? It's all to do with pain, where is the maximum pain? Retail sentiment would suggest pain comes in the form of little movement, grinding prices in up moves and fast aggressive drops. Some context from Blackrock themselves: What is Blackrocks Biggest ETF? So again, let's add a little logic. Where is liquidity sitting? If and it's a big if - Blackrock get an ETF approved and it's half the size of their biggest ETF to date, let's then assume Retail flood in and match it dollar for dollar. That market cap would still put us roughly at the current ATH, given coins in circulation. This again just amplifies, why we are simply - NOT READY, YET!!! The move I didn't want in 2022, looks to be the biggest liquidity grab we are likely to see in the Bitcoin chart. We are very, very likely still in an A-B move up for the slow pain of coming back to build sustainable momentum. Have a Happy New Year all! Stay safe and see you in 2024! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
17
Top 10 books in tradingAs a trader now of over 23 years, I have read a few hundred trading books in that time. It is always really interesting to have other people's perspective, strategies, hint, tips and tools. However, the main issue is not knowing if you are likely to get value from the book you purchase as it is also very subjective. You either have issues such as the book is too basic, or the other end of the scale, it's too advanced. During the 20 plus years, I found a number of great books that helped me - but also ones I have shared with others over the years. Regardless of your level of knowledge how do you know what works or would work for you or your style of trading? I put this list together in no real order, but I'll try to summarise each with a little about what I liked or what you can take away. ============================================================== "The Wall Street Jungle" Written by Richard Ney, first published in 1970. In this book, Ney provides readers with an insider's perspective on the world of finance and investment. He delves into the complexities and pitfalls of Wall Street, offering a critical examination of the stock market and the investment industry. Ney, a former Wall Street insider himself, reveals the often deceptive practices and psychological games played by brokers and financial institutions. He discusses the dangers of following investment advice blindly and emphasizes the importance of informed decision-making when it comes to managing one's finances. Throughout the book, Ney uses real-life examples and anecdotes to illustrate the challenges and temptations that investors face. He also explores the psychological aspects of investing, discussing how emotions can influence financial decisions and lead to costly mistakes. What I like about this is the emphasis put on the market makers, as a trader who uses Wyckoff Techniques, it made more sense when identifying with Composite Man theory. "Trading in the Zone" By Mark Douglas that focuses on the psychology of trading and investing. Published in 2000, the book offers valuable insights into the mental aspects of successful trading. Douglas emphasizes the idea that trading is not just about mastering technical analysis or market fundamentals but also about mastering one's own emotions and mindset. This book was one of the best in terms of psychology, every trader has a different appetite for risk and even profits, this is a huge factor in trading especially early on. If you struggle with psychology of trading or the emotions, I would 100% recommend this one. "The Wealth of Nations" Written by the Scottish economist and philosopher Adam Smith, first published in 1776. This influential work is considered one of the foundational texts in the field of economics and is often regarded as the birth of modern economics. In the book Smith explores the principles of a free-market capitalist system and the mechanisms that drive economic prosperity. He famously introduces the concept of the "invisible hand," which suggests that individuals pursuing their self-interest in a competitive market inadvertently contribute to the greater good of society. For me, the rules of economics have not changed much since the creation of this book. appreciating moves such as DXY up = Gold down, is simple economics. The main take away is again around Wyckoff theory for me and the fact the "invisible hand" is exactly why and how some fail and some profit. "The Go-Giver" Although not technically a trading book, it's one of the best little business/life stories. self-help book co-authored by Bob Burg and John David Mann. Published in 2007, it presents a unique and compelling philosophy on success and achieving one's goals. The book revolves around the story of a young, ambitious professional named Joe who is seeking success in his career. Through a series of encounters with a mentor named Pindar, Joe learns the "Five Laws of Stratospheric Success." These laws, which are principles of giving, value, influence, authenticity, and receptivity, guide him on a transformative journey toward becoming a true "go-giver." The way I saw this from a trading perspective is pretty much, the value given by stocks or companies is something Warren Buffet and Benjamin Graham investment theory was all about. Although a different type of value - you can understand why instruments such as gold or oil have a place, a value and this can be deemed as expensive or fair at any given point. These waves are what really moves the market. "The Zurich Axioms" A book written by Max Gunther, originally published in 1985. This book offers a set of investment and risk management principles derived from the wisdom and practices of Swiss bankers in Zurich. The Zurich Axioms provide a unique and unconventional approach to investing and wealth management. The book presents a series of investment "axioms," or guidelines, that challenge conventional wisdom in the world of finance. These axioms emphasize risk management, flexibility, and the willingness to take calculated risks. They encourage investors to think independently and avoid the herd mentality often associated with financial markets. For me it's more about investing and less about trading. But the deep down message is all to do with ultimately wealth preservation, I have been in the wealth management and investment space and found it interesting that the more an investor has, the less about making money it becomes and more about safe guarding that capital it gets. "Mastering the Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side" Written by Howard Marks, a renowned investor and co-founder of Oaktree Capital Management. Published in 2018, the book delves into the critical concept of market cycles and provides insights on how investors can navigate them to enhance their investment strategies. In the book, Marks emphasizes the cyclical nature of financial markets and discusses the inevitability of market fluctuations. He explores the factors and indicators that drive market cycles, such as economic data, investor sentiment, and market psychology. Marks' central thesis is that investors can improve their chances of success by understanding where they are in the market cycle and adjusting their investment decisions accordingly. I had a spooky delve into market cycles, I have a good friend who told me he did not trade price, instead time. This was something I could not really figure out, but was so fascinating that the markets can work in cycles. It was interesting that Larry Williams also discussed a similar thing with the Orange Juice market's in one of his books. "How I Made One Million Dollars Last Year Trading Commodities" And here is Larry Williams' book. provides an insider's perspective on his successful journey as a commodities trader. In this book, Williams shares his personal experiences, strategies, and insights into the world of commodity trading. He outlines the specific techniques and tactics he used to achieve remarkable profits in a single year. While the book may not offer a guaranteed formula for success, it offers valuable lessons on risk management, market analysis, and the psychology of trading. It serves as both an inspiration for aspiring traders and a guide for those looking to improve their trading skills in the volatile world of commodities. For me, the COT intel is invaluable. When you learn what drives markets really, COT is such a useful tool to have at your disposal. "Nature's Law: The Secret of the Universe" A groundbreaking book by Ralph Nelson Elliott, the creator of the Elliott Wave Theory. Published in the early 20th century, this influential work introduced a novel perspective on market analysis and price prediction. Elliott's theory posits that financial markets and other natural phenomena follow a repetitive, fractal pattern that can be analyzed through wave patterns. He outlines the concept of impulsive and corrective waves and demonstrates how these waves form trends in various financial markets. The book delves into the idea that the market's movements are not entirely random but instead exhibit an underlying order, governed by these wave patterns. Elliott's ideas have had a profound impact on technical analysis and have been adopted by traders and analysts worldwide. "Nature's Law" serves as the foundation of the Elliott Wave Theory, offering valuable insights for anyone interested in understanding and predicting financial markets based on natural patterns and mathematical principles. If you want to learn about Elliott Waves - here it is from the horse's mouth as they say. "Master the art of Trading" By Lewis Daniels - Master the Art of Trading trader, offers a quick, easy, and comprehensive roadmap to trading. It explores the grand theories and behavioural economics underpinning the markets, from Elliot Wave Theory to Composite Man. It unpicks visual data, such as candlestick graphs and trend lines. It equips readers with the correct tools to make sense of the data and to make better trades. And it helps readers uncover their innate strengths, realise their propensity for risk, and discover what sort of trader they are - on order to optimise their behaviour to make them as effective as possible. This book puts together all of the core trading requirements from the basic trendline through to psychology and technical techniques. "The Intelligent Investor" a classic and highly influential book on the subject of value investing, written by Benjamin Graham and first published in 1949. Graham, a renowned economist and investor, is often considered the "father of value investing." The book offers a comprehensive guide to the principles and strategies of sound, long-term investing. Graham's central concept is the distinction between two types of investors: the defensive, "intelligent" investor and the speculative investor. He emphasizes the importance of conducting in-depth analysis and due diligence to make informed investment decisions, rather than engaging in market speculation. I don't think any list of trading books is complete without this one! It's the Warren Buffer Holy Grail. For me, it's about risk management, finding value - especially with investments like value stocks. Using compounding interest and the factor of time to your advantage. ===================================================================== I would be keen to get comments and other book recommendations from the trading community here on Tradingview.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
5
People want to earn but not learnThe issue is everyone wants to make money (well, maybe not everyone) but nobody wants to take the time to learn how to do it properly. This is NOT a sales pitch by the way! it's FACT!! People often ask why I bash influencers so much, it's mainly for this reason. Majority of noobs, come into trading expecting to make a fortune. If only it was that easy, every man and his dog would be a professional trader. Over the years, I have talked about things like Bots and AI that are programmed to make you money - think logically, if again it is this easy wouldn't the founders go to the bank, loan $10million based on their results and just not bother selling and shilling to customers and retail. NOBODY wants to provide customer service, especially to the world's population. Unfortunately, regardless of the market. Trust me if you stick around long enough you get to see this behaviour in Forex, Commodities, Stocks and more recently crypto with a splash of A.I. The story goes pretty much the same way. "man (or woman) hears about an opportunity to make money through a thing called trading, they do their research which leads to the old You of Tube and that leads to "Lamborghini promises from kids with fake watches, drawing random trendlines on 3 minute charts" There's often a "sign-up" bonus if you click their shill link. So let's get this straight, they make money on watch time and those links you click. The reason I chose fish in the image above, is that most people have memories that last about 2 seconds. Mark Cuban said "everyone is a genius in a bull market" Algorithms work and influencers claim to be experts with 3 months of experience. Easy to show in a market only going one way. Trading is hard enough, let alone having the ability to lose money from scams. If a trading algorithms promises a 90% win rate - run and don't buy it. ============================================================== There are fundamental things to do and you can deploy to get you off on the right track. Firstly think of the obvious. 90% of new traders lose 90% of their money in only 90 days. Hence a 50% sign-up bonus whereby you think you gained "free cash" often has small print that you can't access it until you lost your original investment. Affiliates tend to get 25% or more of the deposit - the exchanges know full well, your about to lose your money. Second thing I try to emphasis for newer traders, is that you need to treat trading as a profession. You wouldn't watch a video and expect to be a doctor, you also wouldn't buy an algorithm or Artificial Intelligence software and expect to become New York's latest Hot Shot Lawyer You see where this is going? There is no secret sauce, no silver bullet and no short cuts. If you want to trade and make money trading, you need the basics. You need to keep doing the basics well and evolve your mindset more than a strategy. Areas that will really help you include proper risk management. If your willing to be sat in negative 20, 30 or even 50% equity positions. This won't take you long to lose your entire trading pot. Instead risking 1-2% with a risk strategy of 2 -1 or greater. it's a slower game, but it keeps you playing the game. If you take a 3 or even a 4 reward trade with only 1 risk. For every time you are right, it's giving you 4 times as much as when you are wrong. Imagine winning 20% of your trading days and still being at breakeven... simple 1:4 ratio. This is only one small aspect to keep in mind. As I mentioned above, if strategies or software is pitched with high percentage win rates - run. You need to understand the market acts differently and past results do not indicate future performance. Everyone is a genius in a bull market, remember. You do not need to go looking for the silver bullet. These strategies do not exist, instead spend the time working on strategies that can be consistent in various market conditions. This is no small task, your strategy might identify entries in a counter trend differently than it would in say a ranging market. The answer to resolve this, is BACKTESTING Don't just run your strategy on replay mode, although @TradingView has a great little tool for this. Spend the time to look at things such as "repainting" this means that when your strategy triggers an entry, does it disappear and reappear. If so, do some manual back testing. Then Dig deeper and analyse the type of market condition it was more profitable or less profitable. This could be things like "I lose more on a Monday, compared to other days" or when the market goes sideways, It triggers too many trades. I've written several articles here on pure education. Here's a few examples. In this post (worth clicking on) it has a whole bunch of lessons inside. Think of trading like you would a university course, there's plenty to learn but you can have some fun along the way! Stay safe! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
37
A very long-term (Macro) Approach To US/Global MarketsAfter completing my weekend research/videos, I wanted to create something that provided an anchor for traders/investors. This video is not focused on the short-term market trends - although it does discuss what I expect to see play out over the next 12 to 24 months. This video is more about preparing traders/investors for the global events related to Central Banks, market trends/opportunities, and how I believe the markets will react over the next 5+ years. After watching this video, your job will be to watch for key events to unfold. These events, described in the video, will be key to understanding where opportunities and risks are in market trends. This is NOT the same market we've been used to from 2010 through 2021. This is an entirely different beast of a global market. Credit/debt issues will persist, and conflicts/war may drive major repricing events. Pay attention and follow my research. I'm delivering this long-term research to help you better prepare for market trends and protect your capital from downside risks.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
How To Analyze Any Chart 📚 Gold Example 📹Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. Today we are going to go over a practical example on #GOLD , but you can apply the same logic / strategy on any instrument. Feel free to ask questions or request any instrument for the next episode. 📚 Always remember to follow your trading plan when it comes to entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! Remember, all strategies are good if managed properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TheSignalyst
37