Metals
Bearish Divergence explained This is an educational post on OANDA:XAUUSD
Look how we can view divergences and predict movements on the underlying.
Various peeks and troughs are marked in yellow on the indicators RSI and MFI and the price acton not the chart for Gold
In the time frame shown in the chart, you can see a bullish divergence where we see the last yellow circle somewhere in June/July 2019, a new high made on RSI didn't have price action making a new high, which is then followed by a rise in price over the next few sessions.
Secondly, after the quick heavy run up, RSI falls sharply indicating the move from overbought position in a downward slop, marked in red, and price actions moves upwards, showcasing a bearish divergence. This is followed by a fall in price over the last few sessions for the recent highs.
I have taken the 50 day MA as the replica for the trend line and currently Gold is sitting right below the MA. It will find resistance at the MA, Watch out this space for more on when the next opportunity presents
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USDCAD shortUSDCAD is currently pushing price up to form an M reversal pattern near my zone. The first leg has already formed in 1HR and now the second leg of the pattern is forming. (Double top).
- price is also respecting the 50ema dynamic support in the 1HR time frame
How I will be entering:
- I will be waiting for this current bullish candle to close and possible wick out or price to get near the first leg.
- I will wait for a nice bodied bear candle upon which I will enter.
XAUUSD longInital consensus as posted earlier was XAUUSD will retest and price will fall short, however price did not follow my entry requirements so I did not enter the short position.
Now price has broken the previous resistance zone and is consolidating sideways above it.
How I will be entering:
- I will be waiting for a candlestick that wicks down to the current zone that it just broke which will indicate a retest and rejection of that zone.
- I will then wait for a nice bodied bullish candle to confirm the upwards move and will enter at the close of that candle.
XAUUSD SHORTXAUUSD is currently trading below my 50ema on the 1HR time frame. It has also broken one of my zones with a nice bearish candle.
Price has been creating Lower Lows and Lower highs since 10th october.
There is also no High Impact USD news for tomorrow.
How I will be entering:
I will be waiting for a retest of the current zone where price is.
Upon which I will wait for a nice bearish bodied candle and after that I will enter short.
XAUUSD WYCKOFF DISTRIBUTION EXAMPLEHello traders,
we would like to share some value knowledge, about structure based mostly on Wyckoff schematics. As an example u have marked up area identify by us as Wyckoff distribution schematic to help u get deeper understanding about markets and printed structure itself. Please, scroll left and right chart to see multiple examples of accumulation and distribution schematics. Hopefully this will help u get some breakthrough in your trading journey.
God bless u all.
XRP vs Gold - The real moveWhat if I told you the dollar will be backed by XRP and XRP will be backed by BTC and BTC backed by gold?
would you call me insane? Would you say I should walk away from this space now before I go too far down the rabbit hole?
Well its just a conspiracy theory. And that is where it will sit but its kinda not too far-fetched of an idea when you see how this entire space is developing.
I have a gut feeling that once the feds are done pumping money into the dollar as well as other currencies; printing will slow down dramatically beginning 2020. From here fiat currency will tank forever in a bearish market while digital assets and country by country stable coins begin to take over. These are called CBDC's. Central Bank Digital Currencies. Here is the link for anyone who has not done their research: 2018 publication
www.imf.org
It will be possible to still use fiat currency but it will be like going to the store and using a $2 dollar bill come 2045-50. It'll be rare to even need paper money in 10 years from now in America.
Today, paper money is in my wallet for a short amount of time -- if ever at all. For years now I never use paper money unless I had to withdraw cash to give to someone, but even then, I have paypal and other systems I can use now that have no fees for me to transfer (such as Zelle on PNC which PNC is apart of the Trump executive order for a new global fintech system which also uses Ripple's network indirectly.
Source : home.treasury.gov
Well I think that we will get this kind of announcement in the next decade or towards the end of 2028. XRP will be a driving force like blood in the veins of this entire network supporting bitcoin with oxygen and value diversification at near instant speeds. It is what will pump economic value inside the bitcoin system and all connected protocols that survive the full regulatory rodeo show we have been in since Jan 2018.
In a perfect digital asset / world here is what I would like to see form.
1. New assets for growth to swallow inflationary costs and over valued stocks / commodities / and other investment vehicles....this would put other markets into a corrective state while digital assets grow.
2. XRP would become the universal token for transferring money globally and not just for international payment transfers (that was just the beginning). It will become a "valuable" storage container to secure payments on, save money, make it fast, etc etc...and if the majority of money around the world is constantly pumped through the inter-ledger system it will constantly slowly grow in its value beyond $1 and it would become a perfect fit as a new $100 dollar digital asset liquidity coin/token whatever you wanna call it. I like to say investment vehicle because it acts just like that.
100 billion dollar supply is pennies compared to trillions of dollars. Anyone who thinks that supply matters here with this asset does not fully appreciate/understand the way XRP is destined to work. By design, theoretically, XRP can very well have a 10T dollar market cap and be worth $100 bucks or more if you want to believe that (id love that too), sit in 1st place, but be worth less than BTC forever.
3. XRP supports fiat money transfer but supports the basket of CBDC's that are being used as a vehicle as well for on-boarding and off-boarding value through multiple networks.
4. BTC becomes the official universal digital gold in support of gold usage since its a widely used conductor and in much of our technology it only makes sense to merge these two assets or make them co-exist as a foundation of support / LTC ends up backing or acting like silver and every invention you can think about with silver.
5. ETH begins to act like the S&P500 with hundreds of businesses supporting its value growth.
6. Other things as well but this post is becoming too long so im going to cut it here.
Overall, I thought this was a neat idea to share. Alongside I am posting a historical pic in the comment below of Gold because XRP is looking quite similar in development.
There is so much that can happen in the next 10 years I just can't fathom BTC, ETH, or XRP ever going away anytime soon. That being said....enjoy the waves of the market and be a proud individual to be able to live in a life where we can create opportunity out of thin air that can give us a prosperous financial portfolio.
My goal is to obtain over 100,000 followers so we can all support each other on an invite only scale social network of knowledge, trade, and donation to leverage each other up.
Something like this takes time and this is something I will reach and achieve by 2030.
100,000 people supporting each other over the next decade. Get at me, bring a battle buddy cuz we are going into new trade wars and id rather go into this next decade with an army of people beside me, not behind me, not in front of me.....beside me...taking on the next 10 years together for our families, friends, and ourselves. Because at the end of the day.....we deserve to life a happy life with less debt and more options for wealth and growth. Im sure there are many of you out there sick and tired of being tired down to credit cards, debt, always fighting for good income but being taxed like crazy, have little support or knowledge to grow on... well im here to tell you I am 1 of a few in this world ...a rare breed with enough knowledge to share that'll help many in this world.
If there is one thing I hate growing up knowing...it was the fact my government's system failed my parents and failed me and it was failed on purpose because its a faulty designed system to begin with and has been well known by the banks and federal government since the YEAR OF MY BIRTH. I was born 2 months before the 1987 Stock market crash. What is known as Black Monday...the impact it had on my family took away our opportunity for our family to be fruitful. We started over in 1987 and had little to begin with even then...
The picture is much bigger than just crypto currencies everyone...and I hope this post helps those who cannot see that ...begin to see....
Your network is your net-worth. Build it wisely...and always respect each other.... much love everyone
..as always stay safe out there. Manage your risk....and grow many avenues of investments in your life because there is time for you to do it now but you have to take action and stop telling yourself you will get to it. As my buddy told me yesterday...GET OUT OF YOUR HEAD AND ON YOUR FEET! Actions speak louder than words. Thoughts are just thoughts until they're written on paper and designed into a plan. We all know this but we all don't always live by it!
Make goals. Plan them from A to Z. Live by them like your life depended on it and encourage those around you to help guide you and your plans of life success (not just financially but def included lol).
Peace. Love. Trade.
Even Gold Is Subject To Manipulation and ControlAll the hu ha hu ha of the Gold Bugs calling that Gold is a sound money and nothing can manipulate the Gold price. Gold is subject to supply and demand.
The word manipulation has been abused by people so many times. They think that manipulation comes in the form that someone is trying to manipulate the price of an asset "SHORT TERM". Nope, short term manipulation can't work and will never be work.
Manipulation that I have been referring to including in all my past ideas are "LONG TERM MANIPULATION".
You need to understand that the dynamics of markets are moves by its participants. Therefore, the much easier way to manipulate a market is by doing that PSYCHOLOGICALLY.
That's why bubbles ALWAYS exist, because it is the job of the manipulator to push the price of an asset BEYOND people BELIEFS and IMAGINATION in order to LURE THEM into it.
If everyone is rational and behaves rationally, bubble WILL NOT EXIST.
That's the reasons why there are so many dumb people and the number of people who understand financial literacy are awful. Because the system is designed in that way. It always about the Elite making money and RIPPING OFF the dumb people.
So, the only way for you to win this battle is to THINK and BEHAVE like the Elite, NOT LIKE THE DUMB PEOPLE OR MONEY.
You need to bring you conscious and awareness AWAY FROM MAINSTREAM and from the CONVENTIONAL WISDOM.
Remember, the CROWD and MAJORITTY always wrong. That's who market works.
Gold is an interesting case study. Its an example of how assets work and how capital flow works.
Gold has never been going up forever. In fact, from 1980 to 2000, Gold SEVERELY underperformed the stock market.
Even now, Gold started to go back up and start to fight back with stocks market.
But can Gold outperform stocks? It depends, it depends on what the elites want to do.
The tricky part here is that most retailers are NOT in stocks. So, the Elites can't simply drop and crash the market, because everyone has sold out.
Its a tricky situation.
And that's why I like to think in terms of whales and all these market manipulators, because they do exist and they do have strategic and comprehensive plan.
As long as you keep thinking that you can beat the market, then you are doomed, You need to remove all the noises in your mind and start to think and behave like the elites/whales.
Trading MindsetWELCOME TO WORLD OF TRADING
Hi everyone, what I am about to talk right now is concerned with trading psychology. Everything that I am about to say right now is also a crucial aspect of my psychology and mindset that is fueling me to write this for you guys. Hence, we can deduce one thing from this. Psychology is the most important factor in deciding your future as trader. I will be honest upfront with you guys. So you’ve been introduced to the world of trading by your friend, family or anyone that doesn’t matter, so you’ve been told how the guy next door is making thousands of dollars with just few hours of work while you out there hustling yourself to exhaustion and making just about to survive your month doesn’t seen fair right? And exactly this guy has results to show for it to make you believe how if he can do it anyone can. Or you’ve seen couple of stories, Instagram post, Facebook post promising exponential gains in a few hours. With that said I want to address 2 main problems associated with trading which I believe are significantly important to understand before you step out there or if you’re already out there and struggling.
1) Holy grail in trading (a way or a method that will promise you returns on daily basis)
Holy grail in trading what is it and does it exist? To answer this question, I want you to ask yourself a question first: why you are trading and what do u want to achieve from it
Now that you’ve asked yourself that kindly note if the answer to these questions is (firstly: I want to accumulate wealth as soon as possible and drive a luxurious car next month. Secondly: I only want to find a way in trading that works 100% and gives me return on my investment daily)
If these are you believes I am afraid to say you have work to do on yourself not on your system of approach of trading.
Financial markets are a world of chaos there are millions of possibilities out there every day
(imagine you just focus on 1 possibility consistently every day, where will that take you in the next coming years think about it)
There are successful traders out there, trading and making living out it (the so-called narrative only 5% of people can make money in the markets) where’s the difference? The difference lies not on support was breached, trend line was broken or respected but on their mentality and mind set these people very well understand how market moves and work but be cautious they will never follow the market: no one in world has the intellect and memory to remember each and every tick movement of the market these people are focused on themselves and their performance in the market. They know exactly when to trade and when to stop trading. The approach of such people is not irregular but systematic and disciplined.
To sum it up financial world is a world of chaos with billions of possibilities (FOCUS ON THE ONE THAT MAKES SENSE TO YOU AND COINCIDES WITH YOUR PERSONALITY AND ROUTINE) anyone can trade Weather your doctor or an engineer or just a high school student provided you are consistent, disciplined and motivated (YES UNDERSTANDING OF MARKET MOVEMENT IS VERY CRITICAL BUT YOU DON’T HAVE TO FOLLOW AND TRADE EVERY MOVE).
2) More importantly your Mind set (psychology)
Now if you remember I asked you 2 question in the beginning 1st paragraph. If you focus on the fundamentals of that question, they are based on you and your way thinking (NOT ON YOUR METHOD OF TRADING LIKE I STRESSED EARLIER THERE ARE BILLIONS OF WAY OF MAKING MONEY IN THE MARKET STICK TO SOMETHING U BELIEVE IN ) I myself have been trading for almost 1 year am I a millionaire? No, I am not (and I say it proudly) I too was introduced in a conventional way just like many of you are. But trading (IS NOT A GET RICH QUICK SCHEME) (THIS NEEDS TO BE OUT THERE)
but rather a skill set and unregulated chaotic state of mind that needs correction and discipline of execution which will I guarantee you results which brings me to my final and most important point
YOU ARE THE MOST IMPORTANT PART OF YOUR TRADING JOURNEY Focus on yourself (yes u do need to understand the dynamics of market and its movement but alone with that I’m sorry to say you can’t achieve what u hope to achieve
Let’s do some simple math’s in term of percentage shall we to give you an idea what I’m talking about
Account size USD % return on investment USD ROI Account size X10 USD % return Usd ROI
1000 2 20 10,000 2 200
10000 2 200 100,000 2 2000
100000 2 2000 1,000,000 2 20,000
Don’t exhaust yourself trying to get rich fast as possible that won’t work at least not in the long run focus on getting solid return percentages first weekly, monthly, yearly consistently and get a job to build yourself step by step don’t rush the process and always believe in yourself
give me a like if you agree
Three Percent Trades: Educational PostThis is an example of how we calculate range movements on a breakout. It comes down to simple math to calculate a measured move.
We simply take the high and subtract it from the low of the range. Then you add the high plus the difference to get your measured move.
If the trade moves in your favor you will want to add to your winners as it trends higher. You should add to your position on future breakouts of consolidation, and on any sign of weakness we sell half our shares to lock in profits and play with house money.
Following this will help protect your hard earned capital and allow you to let your winners run.