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Metals

Technical Analysis Vs Fundamental AnalysisTA Vs FA Both Technical and Fundamental analysis seeks to evaluate an asset. In my opinion, these 2 major analysis methods are similar more than you think! FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS The FA involves the financial analysis of an asset by focusing on the underlying factors that affect that asset. The assumption behind fundamental analysis is that the market does not always value assets (shares commodities, crypto, etc) correctly in the short term. Fundamental analysers try to identify the intrinsic value of assets to buy at a discount or sell at a high. They believe their investment will pay off over time once the market realises the fundamental value of an asset. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: The technical analysis seeks to evaluate a company by: Using historical price, and Using Volume data to assess where the price of a security or market will move in the future. This means technical analysers are looking at past patterns and trends to see if they are repeatable in the future. one of the most important items in TA is the trend which shows a continuation of the current situation. WHY DO I THINK THESE 2 ARE VERY ALIKE? As mentioned, Fundamental analysis tries to identify the true value of an asset. For example for a company share price, FA will look at the company's balance sheet, cash flow statement, earnings reports, etc. The technical analysis considers that there is no need to do this hard work as a company’s fundamentals are already accounted for in the price, and the information is reflected in the company’s charts. So we need to look at charts and use indicators to find the best entry prices and the market will follow the trend. Many times if a financial report surprises traders we will see a spike in the price and depending on the nature of that news and other reports price may change direction or continue the previous trend.
NYSE:ASHEducation
by apadanaforex
2
The cicles of the volume peaks for intraday trading GOLDThese are the most volume supported price action times, which give a clear direction and positioning of big traders that move the markets. Between 14hrs and 15hrs (UTC+1) there is a high volume entry. Entrys must be done before that time or during the entry of volume , which is a gradual process until it reaches the highest point of the peak. That understanding of the movement and the pattern of human behavior behind is one of the most important aspects of technical analysis and must be mastered.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by mecoserra2008
Gold: How to Combine Technical & Fundamental To Get Best ResultsWhat Does Market Really Follow? We all know that market is normally run by based on Technical Analysis, Fundamental Analysis, and Trading Sentiment. If you want to get a high result on your trade, you must combine these 3 analyses. As USD and Gold both are safe-haven currencies and reserve currencies as well. USD and Gold have a negative co-relation. If the USD rise, Gold will drop. If the USD drops Gold will rise. Which Fundamental Factors Are Responsible for Golds Move? 1. US Economical Reports 2. World Wide Economic Conditions 3. Man-made or Natural Disaster (For the moment Covid Situations) 4. Political or Economic Crisis 5. Central Bank's Rate Decision and some other reasons. What to Do Firstly? You must have a look at US economic reports. US job Market Report, CPI, Manufacturing Reports, and FED economic Overview. If most of the fundamental reports are positive from the USA, that means fundamentally USD is in a good position, which means Gold has a chance to drop. especially CPI / Inflation reports are important for hiking bank rates. So, if you see recent most of the high-impact reports are positive, that means gold has more chance that it will drop and FED is going to deliver the hawkish statement. FED's hawkish statement will give an extra benefit to USD what is negative for Gold. What to Do Secondly Now see your technical chart. A trading view has many awesome tools to draw your Technical Charts. Personally, I do follow pure price action. Based on your chart analysis, find an entry rate, exit rates, and where the stop loss and profit should be put. You can use any kind of technical tools, indicators of what is suitable for you. What To Do Thirdly? To get the trading sentiment, Option expiry and Cot reports will help you a lot. Especially cot reports are free, so check last cot reports. Day Traders usually follow non-Commercial contract positions. if you are a day trader checks a non-commercial contract. if most of the contracts are in a short mode, that means banks, hedge funds, and other financial authorities are selling more. commercial contracts are also very important. because they are big guns and big companies. you should also check their position. Non-Reputable contracts are not really important. How Will I Combine Technical and Fundamental Analysis and implement to my trade? This is the final part. If you see most of the US economic reports are positive in recent months, especially job market reports, manufacturing reports, and Inflation reports. In this case, most of the time FED delivers a hawkish statement. So, you think for Buying USD and Sell Gold. If you see US Economic reports are not supportive, then think about selling USD and buying Gold. This is the first part. I will write details about it in my second part. till then keep reading. If you think this article helped you then, like, comment, and share with your trader's community.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Gold_Trading_Expert
4
The Importance of Understanding the Commodities MarketIn this educational post, I'll be explaining the reason why both investors and traders need to understand the commodities market. The commodities market is a market in which raw, hard, and soft commodities are traded. Examples of commodity assets include gold, oil, wheat, grain, copper, and even livestock. While these aren't commonly traded markets among retail investors, understanding assets within the realm of commodities can provide an edge in trading and investing. Benefits to Investors - The primary reason that investors needs to understand the commodity market is because it helps provide an overall picture of the entire financial market. - For instance, in the case of Nickel, Copper, Zinc, and other industrial metals, the price action differs depending on the market cycle, and certain metals are sensitive to, and heavily affected by specific industries. - Popular commodities like Gold and Oil’s price action reflects the overall market trend and sentiment. - As such, a retail investor with a deep understanding in commodities is capable of looking at the stock market from a different angle. - Secondly, understanding commodities provides a huge advantage in terms of portfolio management. - How 'well' you have invested, isn't simply determined by your annual return. - Your sharpe ratio (your return divided by the volatility) tells a more accurate story. - In order to succeed as a retail investor, you need to focus on increasing your sharpe ratio, or your risk adjusted return. - And the best way to do so, is to diversify, specifically by looking at the correlation between certain assets. - There are a plethora of assets in the commodities market that provide a great hedge / means of diversification against the stock market. - Leveraging this knowledge will help investors design a portfolio that provides them great risk-adjusted-returns. Benefits to Traders - The commodities market can be a great opportunity for traders, as long as they spend their time getting used to the market. - Normally, when the stock market is overbought, or when it demonstrates sideways action, traders often make the mistake of overtrading. - Traders enter positions at suboptimal levels, because they have no option but to trade at the stock market. - However, understanding the commodity market gives them an edge. The best analogy to explain this, is like playing online poker. - When playing poker, the player waits for good hands to appear, so he can make a bet in his favor. - When he plays online poker, he can have multiple games going on at once, and play the game where he gets the upper hand. - In the same vein, when a trader knows how to trade commodities, instead of waiting for a good entry in the stock market, he can simply trade assets within the commodities market. - If you think stocks are overvalued, there’s a chance for you to move onto gold, silver, oil, or even industrial metals. - You can take a look at multiple assets, and find one that has a good risk/reward ratio right now. Conclusion The commodity market is a market that is huge in size, yet often overlooked my many, if not most retail traders and investors. However, understanding which assets are traded, their price action (in relation to other assets), can help both investors and traders acquire an edge.
TVC:USOILEducation
by Michael_Wang_Official
7
Impact of Fed Unchanged Interest Rate and Gold PricesHere I tried to show the movement of the day when Fed announces its unchanged Interest Rate decisions during the last 6 times. As you can see, the gold prices had been quite volatile during the last Fed decision on June the 16th and shed 1.45%. Since then, the yellow metal has not been able to overcome the loss and is in the downward trend. Please note that this is shared for educational and informational purposes only and is not intended for financial decisions. If you like the idea, please like and comment :)
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnknownUnicorn621491
EDUCATION - TOP REVERSAL PATTERNS ⚡At the end of a trend, there is a typically a reversal pattern indicating to us that the trend is about to reverse. There are 3 main patterns that you NEED to know. 1. Double Top/Double Bottom A double top/bottom pattern is a chart pattern that consists of 2 consecutive peaks of similar height indicating that there is not enough buying/selling pressure to surpass the extremes of the price. This leads to a reversal in trend. Double top is a bullish to bearish trend reversal. Double bottom is a bearish to bullish trend reversal. For a safe entry, entry would be after the break of the neck line (the last swing point) which is a confirmation that the it is a valid double top/bottom pattern. Double Top: 2. Rising Wedge/Falling Wedge A rising/falling wedge is a chart pattern that occurs when price is making higher highs and higher lows (in an uptrend – rising wedge) and lower lows and lower highs (in a downtrend – falling wedge). As the pattern progresses in the wedge, the range of the price contracts and is confined between 2 lines which get closer. Price eventually breaks out of the wedge and creates a reversal. Rising wedge is a bullish to bearish trend reversal. Falling wedge is a bearish to bullish trend reversal. For a safe entry, wait for a breakout of the wedge to confirm the validity of the wedge pattern. Rising Wedge: 3. Head & Shoulders/Inverse Head & Shoulders A head and shoulders pattern is a chart pattern that appears as a baseline with three peaks. The outside two peaks (shoulders) are close in height and the middle is highest. A normal head and shoulders is a bullish to bearish trend reversal. An INVERSE head and shoulders is a bearish to bullish trend reversal. For a safe entry, it is often advised to enter on the break of the neckline as that would be confirmation of the head and shoulder pattern. Inverse Head & Shoulders: Do your best to find them in your analysis!
Education
by Altsignals
3
Understanding Range TrapsAfter an impulsive move, the market tends to enter into a consolidation. This is the zone where buys and sellers fight to win the next move. Of course, whenever sellers and buyers are fighting - liquidity is built. In this example, sellers attempted to sell from the structure only to be stop hunted before the true move to the downside. Likewise, buyers would have got activated in buy stops from the structure break to the upside. Their stop losses would have been placed below the support which again got tackled after the sellers got dealt with. Once the buyers and sellers liquidity had been wiped the true move could continue which was to the downside.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by AlkalineFX
4
Self confidenceAlways believe that you are part of the market.. market is being moved by your combined effort, People themselves. We are trading in an environment where we've been brainwashed with alot of negative ideas about forex market and trading. People telling us ooh retail traders don't make money, ooh 95% lose money, there are money makers etc. I say f that. Trade your way, beleive in yourself, watch charts and don't listen to noises.. remember to protect your a** because everyone makes mistakes
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PEducation
by Ygideon
Trading - Expectations VS RealityHey Traders, In this post we will aim to clear some of common misconceptions of trading and how we can help you go further in your trading career by giving you all the tools you need to better understand the market and kill the game. ____________________________________________________________ 1. Trading is easy. Trading is relatively easy IF you know the rules of the market and use certain analytical techniques. Once you have a full arsenal of technical tools, you can easily understand the market and figure out where it may go next. 2. Market moves in one direction. That can be true to a certain extent where we have trending markets. However, within that trend there are various types of pullbacks. Once you understand the different market phases, you can make money whether it's a trending or ranging market. Opportunities are endless! 3. Buy when low. Sell when high. If only things were that straight forward, right? Sometimes the lows aren't really the lows and the highs push higher and higher. This is when you need to understand the different patterns and structure of the market to help you figure out where the best possible place is to buy or sell. Once we understand the market, we need a trading plan. How do we enter? Where do we enter? Where is the stop loss? This is where having rigid checklist really helps! You can tick things off the list and grade the trade setup from good to bad and then enter accordingly using various entry methods. It may sound like a lot of but once broken down into little bits, you can learn this EASILY and know exactly how to analyse and enter trades! ____________________________________________________________ What we will be covering: - Market structure: Impulse & Corrections - Using Index charts to correlate your trades (Very important Topic!) - Drawing a trendline and levels correctly – There’s a hack to it! - Using Moving Averages Correctly - Combining higher timeframe & lower timeframe - Different patterns and how to trade them - More topics to come! Comment below on what other topics you would like to see! I hope this post help clarify some of the misconceptions of trading and the different elements involved. See the links below for information on how we can help you!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by WicktatorFX
30
Trading - Expectations VS RealityHey Traders, In this post we will aim to clear some of common misconceptions of trading and how we can help you go further in your trading career by giving you all the tools you need to better understand the market and kill the game. ____________________________________________________________ 1. Trading is easy. Trading is relatively easy IF you know the rules of the market and use certain analytical techniques. Once you have a full arsenal of technical tools, you can easily understand the market and figure out where it may go next. 2. Market moves in one direction. That can be true to a certain extent where we have trending markets. However, within that trend there are various types of pullbacks. Once you understand the different market phases, you can make money whether it's a trending or ranging market. Opportunities are endless! 3. Buy when low. Sell when high. If only things were that straight forward, right? Sometimes the lows aren't really the lows and the highs push higher and higher. This is when you need to understand the different patterns and structure of the market to help you figure out where the best possible place is to buy or sell. Once we understand the market, we need a trading plan. How do we enter? Where do we enter? Where is the stop loss? This is where having rigid checklist really helps! You can tick things off the list and grade the trade setup from good to bad and then enter accordingly using various entry methods. It may sound like a lot of but once broken down into little bits, you can learn this EASILY and know exactly how to analyse and enter trades! ____________________________________________________________ What we will be covering: - Market structure: Impulse & Corrections - Using Index charts to correlate your trades (Very important Topic!) - Drawing a trendline and levels correctly – There’s a hack to it! - Using Moving Averages Correctly - Combining higher timeframe & lower timeframe - Different patterns and how to trade them - More topics to come! Comment below on what other topics you would like to see! I hope this post help clarify some of the misconceptions of trading and the different elements involved. See the links below for information on how we can help you!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by WicktatorFX
15
Importance of diversification across asset classesAny feedback and suggestions would help in further improving the analysis! If you find the analysis useful, please like and share our ideas with the community. Keep supporting :) In this post, we have attempted to cover the importance of portfolio diversification. To drive our point home, we have taken a 2-year reference and divided it into 3 parts: Pre-pandemic : January 2019 to 10th Feb 2020 Height of the pandemic : Feb 2020 to 23rd March 2020 Post pandemic : 30th March 2020 till present The 3 classes of asset that we included in this analysis are: Cryptocurrency- ETH Stocks- S&P 500 Commodity- Gold Pre-pandemic period: ETH was on a bull run as were other major crypto currencies. It shot up more than 125% during that period. The S&P 500 index was up by 38.5% during the same period, while the precious commodity, Gold, rose by 24.15%. At the height of the pandemic: It was a testing time for the diversification of portfolio. Holding any particular asset class and not diversifying at all, proved to be a disaster for many naive investors. ETH dropped by approximately 65%. The S&P 500 index tanked almost 33%, while Gold, considered to be the safest asset, lost 12%. Post-pandemic period: It was one of the massive bull-runs in the history of bull runs. Patient investors who entered into the markets at the height of the pandemic saw their wealth growing multiple times. Moreover, with the Central banks around the world printing currencies at a furious pace, the only way to beat inflation was to invest in high alpha generating assets. ETH shot up almost 1800% during this period, which is a 18x return. The S&P 500 shot up over 94%, while Gold went up by a meagre 21%. Considering the returns and the risk over these 3 periods, it can be stated with absolute conviction that the need for diversification is supreme. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Any feedback and suggestions would help in further improving the analysis! If you find the analysis useful, please like and share our ideas with the community. Keep supporting :)
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDEducation
by Mudrex
2
EURCHF - How To Trade This BreakoutEURCHF is within a descending channel of an ascending channel... pretty confusing I know but have a look at the chart and you can see which way price will be heading. What we need to do now is find the best entry which is safe and clean. From the diagram in the chart, you can see that our entry will only be after the break of the descending channel and after a bullish correction such as a bull flag. We need to make sure that price has the momentum to move up so we will be waiting for a breakout of the bullflag before entering with stops below the correction. Goodluck and trade safe!
Education
by WicktatorFX
2
EURCHF - How To Trade This BreakoutEURCHF is within a descending channel of an ascending channel... pretty confusing I know but have a look at the chart and you can see which way price will be heading. What we need to do now is find the best entry which is safe and clean. From the diagram in the chart, you can see that our entry will only be after the break of the descending channel and after a bullish correction such as a bull flag. We need to make sure that price has the momentum to move up so we will be waiting for a breakout of the bullflag before entering with stops below the correction. Goodluck and trade safe!
Education
by WicktatorFX
1
A "Welcome to" Pinescript codingThis simple idea is an intro to @TradingView & @PineCoders Nothing fancy or complex, if you are already coding - you can skip this. simple MA build walk through & adding a second MA. If you want to get into coding, then here's the basic introduction. FYI - I am not a coder, 21 years trading experience and know a bit about the instruments - but new to actual coding, especially in Pine. Hope it helps someone! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
49
If you don't know what DXY is and you are a trader, then read..Let's talk about DXY. TLDR: DXY is important and you should keep your trading eye on it. For those that don't know, DXY is the US Dollar Index. It measures the performance of the USD compared with a basket of six other currencies that are major trading partners of the United States. By far the largest component is the EUR, followed by JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK and CHF. We use DXY to track the relative strength of the world's biggest currency. The health of the USD drives so many things. Yesterday's stream covered the probability of the FOMC (the body in the US that determines interest rates) changing their language regarding their Quantitative Easing (QE) program. You can watch the stream here (warning there is a slight echo at first): www.tradingview.com I wanted to add some explanation to some of the topics I covered. I predicted that their language in the statement would change, and that it would point more towards them ending QE faster than expected. What this means is that they are hinting at tightening interest rate policy. Higher US Interest rates = stronger USD, because you can get more interest depositing your cash in a US bank in USD than you could get yesterday. I also pointed out some Technical Analysis we had done here at Mayfair, showing the timing was perfect for a USD rally. So far so good, and the FOMC did more or less as I expected, and the DXY rallied strongly: Now here's the idea I posted on May 28th showing the same thing: THIS IS ALL WELL AND GOOD BUT........... DXY (USD) strength has ramifications across loads of other markets. This is the point some people may not realise, so i thought I would explain it. If you buy Gold, you pay (usually) in USD. If the USD is stronger, you need fewer USD's to buy the same amount of Gold. so the Gold price goes down: The same is true of US500 Index: While BTC is also priced against the USD, 1-2% moves in the USD aren't going to have too much of an effect on something that can move 5% a day for a long time! DXY's behaviour is something to keep your trading eye on.
TVC:DXYEducation
by Paul_Varcoe
7
The Basics - Trend LinesTrend lines are used in technical analysis to define an uptrend or downtrend. Traditionally, uptrend lines are made by drawing a straight line through a series of ascending higher troughs (lows). ... With downtrends, trend lines are formed by drawing a straight line through a series of descending lower highs. In an uptrend, the “imaginary line” acts as support and in a downtrend, the line connecting the points at swing highs become the resistance. Although we can go into what and why – the logic for trend line, is to keep it simple. It’s another subjective area and people like to spot patterns. It’s human nature. This shows in it's most basic form the concept of a trend line. In an uptrend we want to see, higher highs as well as higher lows as shown below; And in a down trend, the opposite is true - Lower highs & lower lows to create the pattern as per main image of this post. Many other techniques and indicators use this concept, and perhaps the most famous being Elliott waves. Here's a post on Elliott basics; This then all points back to Dow Theory - where markets have 3 cycles and 3 waves (another lesson for another time) in short; Here's also a post covering the Dow basics; You can also use Moving averages as part of "working out the trend" And her is another simple guide to MA's (moving Averages) We thought it would be interesting to post, more of a beginners post that our usual stuff. Hope this helps some of the newer traders. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
8
Are you a champion hopper? 😬🙈Morning traders. I started yesterday morning by posting an idea with the phrase below. 'Lets start the morning with everyone's favourite! Gold' Well I'm kinda doing the same again this morning but this time it so we can all have some more food for thought at the breakfast table instead! Now here me out, I have drawn the two graphs in this mornings idea on the same gold H1 strategy chart I shared yesterdays idea from. The comment section was a good mix of feedback, some miffed at the stop out possibly and others very realistic in the reality that stop losses occur in trading. For this strategy yesterdays stop loss means we now have 5 losses in a row. But I wont be hopping off to another method or style either. 90% of traders get spooked at the first sign of a losing run and jump to the next strategy. Why will I stick with this strategy for gold on H1? Because of probability being factored in from the back tested data available. Hand on heart how many people out there actually back test a strategy? You can't plan for probability in your risk management if you have no data for your strategy. Transparency when sharing ideas has always been key for me and strategy test data is always included in my ideas just as the H1 gold data is at the bottom of this idea. This leads me back on to the graph drawings in this idea. The one on the left is the last two weeks of data for this strategy the one on the right is the last two years! Growing capital takes time. Losing runs are part of trading the growing capital part comes from trading a strategy with a proven edge. If you have a proven system why hop on to another one? I'll end this idea with a great quote from Steve Burns. '10% of successful trading is creating a system with an edge. The other 90% is following it' Enjoy your day traders. ------------------------------------------ Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏 Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌 No one likes missing out, do they? Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this. Thank you. Darren
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by pow_removetheguesswork
7