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FALSE BREAK | Price Action Trading📊 ⚠️How often have you opened a key level breakout trade, and then the price turned against you? False breakout happens quite often and it is a problem for many traders who buy at highs and sell at lows. Breakout trading is a fairly popular and viable trading strategy. However, some breakouts often turn out to be false. This can be quite frustrating, not to mention that it can often lead to a losing trade. However, in many cases, an experienced trader can analyze the market situation and react to it accordingly. False breakouts can make a profit if you know how to trade them correctly. ❗️A false breakdown is a situation when the price violates an obvious level, but then suddenly changes direction. When the initial breakout of the level occurs, many traders open a trade in the direction of the breakdown. These traders are trapped when the price reverses, which triggers a series of stop losses. New traders are also entering the market, and this puts additional pressure on the price. This often turns the price into a new trend, the opposite of the initial breakout. A breakout that turns out to be false is a sign of strength in a downtrend or weakness in an uptrend. As you can see, a false breakout can easily cause significant losses for any trader. Some traders develop their entire strategy around trading false breakouts, as this can be a very powerful trading approach. Some of the best trades happen when market players fall into a trap and their stops start to work. ✅How to find patterns of false breakouts? 🟢If you do not learn how to correctly identify false breakouts, you will not be able to trade them profitably. For example, there will be situations when the price returns to the breakout point, and only then continues its movement. 🟢One of the ways to detect false breakouts is to monitor the volume. Real breakouts are usually accompanied by strong indications of trading volume at the time of the breakout. When this volume is absent, there is a higher probability that the breakout will not happen. 🟢Thus, if the trading volume is low or it decreases during the breakout, a false breakout is likely to occur. In contrast, if the volume is large or it increases, a real breakdown is likely. 🟢It is also useful to monitor not only the trading volume but also the price movement on the lower timeframe. In many cases, you will see that the price makes a very sharp pullback on the lower timeframe, which is not visible on the higher timeframe. ✅False Breakout Trap 🟢After all, many trading textbooks say that a breakout can be considered confirmed when a candle closes above the resistance level. However, the price moves in your direction for a while and then turns 180 degrees. As a result, you have a stop loss triggered. 🟢The false breakout trap includes several candlesticks, usually 1-4, that go beyond the key support or resistance level. Such breakouts occur after a strong movement, as the market has reached an important level, but the price momentum still retains its strength. Have you ever been trapped by a false breakout? ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
6
TRIPLE TOP PATTERN | Tips on How to Trade it📚 ❗️A triple top is a type of graphical pattern that is used in technical analysis to predict the reversal of an asset's price movement. Consisting of three peaks, the triple top signals that the asset may no longer be growing, and that lower prices are possible. Triple tops can occur on all timeframes, but in order for the model to be considered a triple top, it must occur after an uptrend. The opposite of a triple is a triple bottom, which indicates that the asset price is no longer falling and may rise higher. ✅How the triple vertex works The triple top pattern occurs when the price of an asset creates three peaks at approximately the same price level. The area of peaks is resistance . The pullback between peaks is called the swing minimum . After the third peak, if the price falls below the lows of the fluctuation, the model is considered completed, and traders expect further downward movement. Three consecutive peaks make the triple peak visually similar to the "head and shoulders" pattern; however, in this case, the average peak is almost equal to the other peaks, and not higher. The model is also similar to the double top model, when the price touches the resistance area twice, creating a pair of high points before falling. Triple tops are traded in almost the same way as the "head and shoulders" figures. Let's say the stock price peaks at $119, drops to $110, rises to $119.25, rolls back to $111, rises to $118, then falls below $111, which is a triple top and signals that the stock is probably moving down. ✅The value of the triple vertex Technically, the triple top pattern shows that the price cannot break through the peak area. Translated into real events, this means that after several attempts, the asset cannot find many buyers in this price range. When the price drops, it forces all traders who bought during the pattern to start selling. If the price cannot rise above the resistance, there is limited potential for profit retention. As the price falls below the minimum of the fluctuation of the model, sales may increase as former buyers exit long positions and new traders open short ones. This is the psychology of the model and what helps fuel the sale after its completion. No template works all the time. Sometimes a triple top is formed and completed, which makes traders believe that the asset will continue to fall. But then the price may recover and rise above the resistance area. In order to protect, a trader can place a stop loss on short positions above the last peak or above the recent maximum of the fluctuation within the model. This move limits the risk of a trade if the price does not fall, but instead rises. ✅Trading on Triple Top patterns Some traders open a short position or exit long positions as soon as the asset price falls below the support of the model. The support level of the model is the most recent swing minimum following the second peak, or alternatively, the trader can connect the swing minima between the peaks with the trend line. When the price falls below the trend line, the figure is considered completed and further price decline is expected. To add a confirmation of the model, traders will keep an eye on the large volume when the price falls through the support. The volume should increase, which indicates a strong interest in sales. If the volume does not increase, the model is more prone to failures (the price rises or does not fall as expected). The pattern provides a lower target equal to the height of the pattern subtracted from the breakout point. This goal is approximate. Sometimes the price will fall far below the target, other times it will not reach the target. ⚠️Other technical indicators and graphical models can also be used in combination with the triple top. For example, a trader can watch the bearish crossing of the MACD after the third peak or the exit of the RSI from the overbought zone to confirm the price drop. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
5
Q3(3RD QUARTER) ANALYSIS FOR GOLD, BULLISH BEFORE BEARISH Hey guys. I'm Martin Sylvester😅😅😅😅 Everything Charts. I want to engage you a little. If your chart is open. You could use horizontal lines on the higher Timeframe like D1. Something is really really nice there and I spotted it. I may be wrong but it's so sweet and I'll like to share it. $2000 price $1900 price $1800 price $1700 price Each with 1000pips separation but really aligns to price movements on Gold. I'm more of a round up number person when it comes to dissecting a chart. So Gold found itself at $1800 and just spiked to $1790. When Gold got to $2000, it spiked to a midpoint $2050 but $2000 is the main main part, it went down to $1900, patterned it's movement back to $2000, dragged down to $1800 From all indications, history repeats itself😅😅😅😅😅 We are likely to see a move to $1900 or $1950 cos for Gold to spike to $2050 but main price point is $2000, history will repeat itself from past data that it will get to $1900 and may possibly spike to $1950/$1960. Then drop down as before... When it spiked to $2050/$2060, what happened??? It dropped to $1900, made a Retracement to $2000 and dropped to $1800. So let's see it this way.. Rally to $1900, spike to $1950/$1960, then a drop to $1700. That's like 2000pips plus repeated on historical data of the charts.. Cos $2050/$2000 to $1800 is 2500pips move... So if there's a Retracement to $1950/$1900, it will be another 2500pips move if we were to look at how data collides with algorithm and repeats itself. 2500pips decline from $1950/$1900 would be at exactly $1700 as predicted earlier. Trade with caution but these are just speculations, I may be wrong (as I'll always say). I'm open to corrections(as I'll always say). If you can take your time to mark these price points, it will help with trades for Gold(XAUUSD). Lest I forget, there are in-between reaction price points too that I know of that moves in 200pips difference. Lemme list them starting from top to bottom $2070 $2050(midpoint for $2000 and $3000) $2030 $2010 $1990 $1970 $1950(midpoint for $1900 and $2000) $1930 $1910 $1890 $1870 $1850(midpoint $1800 and $1900) $1830 $1810 $1790 $1770 $1750(midpoint for $1700 and $1800) $1730 $1710 $1690 $1670 $1650 (midpoint for $1600 or $1700) Yours Truly, Martin I. Sylvester Financial Market Analyst
TVC:GOLDEducation
by MartSyl
FIBONACCI TOOL | common reversal levels📊 ⚠️Fibonacci levels are one of the most popular tools for analysis. These are price levels that are located in certain parts of the movement corresponding to the mathematical Fibonacci numbers. ✅What are Fibonacci numbers? 🟢In the XIII century, the famous scientist Leonardo of Pisa lived in the Republic of Pisa – the first major medieval mathematician in Europe. On the cover of one of his most famous works was attributed filius Bonacci (son of Bonacci). Hence the nickname Fibonacci. 🟢The Fibonacci numbers are a sequence of numbers derived from Leonardo's experiment on rabbits. The Pisan mathematician decided to find out how many pairs of rabbits will be in a fenced pen a year after the start of breeding (provided that there will be only one pair in the pen in the first month). In the third month, the cuts began to multiply recurrently – each subsequent number was equal to the sum of the previous two (1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, etc.). 🟢If any number from the sequence is divided by the previous one, you get a number tending to 1.61803398875… This number is the "golden ratio". In algebra, such a number is called the Greek letter phi. When dividing any number from the sequence by the following, the inverse of phi 0.618 is obtained. When dividing any number from the sequence by the number following one, 0.382 is obtained. In this form, Fibonacci numbers are much more familiar to traders. ✅Correction levels 🟢Correction (retracement) - movement against an existing trend. The correction "absorbs" part of the trend movement. Of the Fibonacci numbers, 38.2 are mainly used for correction levels (from the previous trend movement), 50%, 61,8%, 78,6%. 🟢Correction levels are based on candle wicks, in other words, on their maximum or minimum points. To build a correction level, you need to find a trend. Fibo levels can be asymmetrical, so it is especially important to pay attention to where the beginning and end of the wave on which the level is being built are located. 🟢On a downtrend, 0% at the bottom, 100% at the top. When ascending, the opposite is true. The most significant correction level is 61.8. When a breakdown of this level occurs, a new trend in the opposite direction usually begins. After that, it is necessary to build a new corrective level. 🟢Correction pattern – movement between minor correction levels. After such a move, the price usually moves to the key level of 61.8. 4 patterns are depending on which levels of correction the price concerns. ❗️Even if the skills of analyzing the state of the market by Fibonacci levels will not be a big advantage in trading, then in any case it is a great (and to some extent integral) experience of technical analysis. Fibo levels can be combined with a footprint, deltas, and other tools. The trader will understand only in practice if it is possible to benefit from this or not. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
4
Importance of resistance and long-term chartsI just had to pop this chart on here this morning – it is the CBOT monthly wheat chart. It demonstrates that no matter what your time frame that it is important to look at long term charts and it also demonstrates the importance of resistance. There are two resistance points to mention on here – the first is the 1349 2008 high and the second is the shallow parallel line I have drawn, which connects the 1977 low and the 2000 low. I shifted this line up to connect to the 1349 2008 high and this provided resistance at 1373. The market tested these twin perils in March and failed miserably. The mid-point of this range is about 810 and this where I suspect the market will head. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
CBOT:ZW1!Education
by The_STA
1
3 Types of Charts You Must Know 📈 Hey traders, In this post, we will discuss 3 most popular types of charts. We will discuss the advantages and disadvantages of each one, and you will decide what type is the most appropriate for you. 📈Line Chart. Line chart is the most common chart applied by analysts. Reading financial articles in different news outlets, I noticed that most of the time the authors apply line chart for the data representation. On a price chart, the only parameter that the one can set is a time period. Time period will define a time of a security closing price. The security closing prices overtime will serve as ​data points. These points will be connected with a continuous line. Line charts are applied for displaying an asset's price history, reducing the noise from less volatile times. Being simplistic, they can provide a general picture and market sentiment. However, they are considered to be insufficient for pattern recognition and in depth analysis. 📏Range Bar Chart. In contrast to a line chart, a range bar chart does not consider time horizon. The only parameter that the one can set is a price range. By the range, I mean a price interval where the price moves. A new bar will be formed only once the prices passes the desired range. Such a chart allows to completely ignore time variable focusing only on price movement and hence reducing the market noise. The chart will plot new bars only when the market is volatile, and it will stagnate while the market is weak and consolidating. Accurately setting a desired price range, one can get multiple insights analyzing a range bar chart. 🕯Candlestick Chart. The most popular chart among technicians and my personal favorite. With just one single parameter - time period, the chart plots candlesticks. Each candlestick is formed as a desired time period passes. It contains an information about the opening price level, closing price, high and low of a selected time period. Candlestick chart is applied for pattern recognition and in-depth analysis. Its study unveils the behavior of the market participants and their actions at a desired time period. Of course, each chart has its own pluses and minuses. Choosing its type, you should know exactly what information do you want to derive from the chart. What chart type do you prefer? ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
12
CUP & HANDLE. How the pattern works☕️ ✅This pattern is not as popular among traders as "Head and Shoulders", "Double Top" and other classic patterns of technical analysis. However, this does not mean that it is not so effective. In fact, the "Cup & Handle" pattern is in no way inferior to the above patterns in its reliability and, if used correctly, can bring considerable benefits to the trader. ✅Below we will look at how the "Cup & handle" is formed, what are the signs of authenticity of the formed pattern, and the trading strategy for it. ⚠️How the "Cup & Handle" formation is formed The formation of this pattern occurs on an uptrend and is a sure sign of its continuation (subject to the conditions of authenticity of the pattern). In essence, it is a cup - an uptrend correction. The price reaches a strong resistance level, cannot overcome it, and smoothly rolls back, forming the left wall of the cup. Then it smoothly unfolds along the bottom and rises to test the level again. Having reached the level, it rolls back down again. This rollback should be much smaller than the previous one, and it forms a handle. The handle of the cup is very often formed in the form of a "Flag" pattern. The "Cup & handle" pattern is considered fully formed when the price, having formed a "handle", returns up and breaks through the resistance level from which the pattern formation began ⚠️Confirmation of the truth of the "Cup & handle" pattern There are several conditions, without which the formed pattern cannot be considered true. These are the conditions: 1️⃣To begin with, as mentioned above, for the formation of this pattern, it is necessary to have an uptrend. Without a trend, there is no point in looking for this formation on the price chart, because even if you find a drawing of an ideal cup with a handle, it will be just a drawing that has no meaning. 2️⃣The depth of the forming cup should not exceed 2/3 of the height of the previous uptrend. The optimal depth of the cup is within 1/3 - 2/3 of this value. The depth of the forming handle should not exceed a value equal to ½ of the depth of the cup. 3️⃣The most reliable is the "Cup & Handle" pattern formed on daily or weekly timeframes. Of course, it can also be formed on hourly charts, but where the probability of its triggering is somewhat lower. 4️⃣The "Cup & handle" pattern should be confirmed by the indicators of the volume indicator. Volumes should grow at a time when the price is moving in the direction of an uptrend and fall when it decreases. Also, a sharp surge in volume should accompany the moment of breaking through the price level at the end of the formation of the figure. 🟢Trading strategy based on the "Cup & handle" The entry into the position is carried out after the completion of the formation of the figure. It is recommended to wait for the price to close above the resistance line. To do this, you must constantly monitor the schedule in anticipation of the right moment. There is also a strategy for opening a position on a pending order, in which case there is no need to sit and wait for the completion of the figure. A pending order is placed at a level slightly above the resistance level (approximately 10 points) and is triggered if the figure is completed. The target level for this pattern is the height of the cup, laid up from the resistance level. Therefore, we set the profit-taking level of TAKE PROFIT either at the target level or 10-15 points below it. As for the STOP LOSS limit order, it should be placed at the level of the bottom of the handle (or slightly lower). ❗️In conclusion, I will say once again how important it is to correctly identify the "Cup and Handle" formation before you start trading on it. Carefully re-read the rules confirming this pattern. Try not to mess with the patterns formed on small timeframes. Take your time, be patient, and remember that the absence of open positions can also be considered an excellent position. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
6
A good trendline should touch 3 timesJust wanted to highlight for you this morning the importance of trendlines. Good trendlines are like a good wine – the older they are the better they become! A 3-month trendline is more important than a 3-week trendline for example. They also help to enforce discipline; they can act as entry or exit zones and they can help with timing. This one on the Crude Oil continuation chart is an excellent one, it underpins the bull move so far this year and connects 3 points (very important) and is located circa 106.50. Success or failure at the trendline is likely to prove pretty directional for the market and given price action over the past week, to my practiced eye – it looks vulnerable. Failure we suspect would initiate a sell-off towards the 50% retracement (of the move seen this year) circa 96.50.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by The_STA
Shocking Truths about Trading no one talks about EP1.After 5 years of self-educating myself in the art of trading while undergoing brutal consistent losses, these are the truths that set me on the path of surprising consistency after internalizing them.....I hope it will for you guys and give more inspiration to the already consistent ones. Shocking Truths no one talks about in trading: 1. You may have the best strategy, signal provider or learned everything about trading, but what counts is what happens to that knowledge 5 seconds before pressing the buy/sell button. 2. What is Mathematically optimal is Psychologically impossible. If you have a strategy that gets wins of 25R but has like 12 losses in a row, DUMP IT. Mathematically, you will make money at the end, Psychologically you will quit before you take trade 13. 3. You start winning in trading when you believe you can lose (Trading Paradox). Consistently profitable traders have one thing in common: they place their next trade like it was already a loser. 4. Extremely good analysts are most often bad traders....you can be right about the direction but fail in the critically important aspect of Entry timing and still lose the trade. 5. IT IS THE SIMPLE THINGS THAT WORK!. Most people will tell you to look for complex strategies that look for "Random walk algorithmic discrepancies that rhyme with Chaos theories....and all that blah..." But I have been on that path and I hate to break it to you that a guy/girl using only support and resistance and simple moving average crossovers with a verified and bactested edge and discipline will most likely be more profitable. 5. THE MORE OBVIOUS A TRADE IS THE GREATER THE CHANCES YOU LOSE IT. Most people think that if a trade has soooo many confluences it is more likely to work....well that might be true to an extent after which it is a blatant fallacy. From historical data and my own personal LIVE trading results, the probability of a trade working out reduces DRASTICALLY when the number of confluences crosses 5. I theorize that this happens because market makers will see all the orders placed at that point is soo much(cause everyone will see the opportunity with their different approaches) and take them all out. 6. No one can sell a money printer, cause it has no price. If someone offers to sell you a robot or STRATEGY that triples your money every month, laugh and pass, if you don't and end up buying that....you deserved to be scammed. Think about it the person can just take $100 and apply his/her magic to it and print out Elon Musk's networth in lower than 3 years using compounding......and he/she will sell you that for $2000?, you must be kidding me!. 7. Your consistency has nothing to do with your strategy but your mind. I can bet you my life's earnings, that there is someone out there, using your exact entry and exit rules but is profitable and you are not. A better strategy brings in more profit, but any random edge with the right mindset and risk management MUST be profitable. 8. Almost everything in life is a pyramid-scheme, & survival of the fittest and trading is not left out. No matter how much we desire to the contrary, it is IMPERATIVE THAT TRADING HAS MORE LOSERS THAN WINNERS. The winners in trading have to be relatively fewer cause they win a lot and hence they need soo many losers to give them that money. There is no bank that hands at money to you when you win, your job as a trader is to outsmart some other fellow and TAKE his/her money and once you come to terms that every dollar lost by you trading, is a dollar gained by someone else in this zero-sum game, you will realize only YOU has got your own back. 9. You can NEVER completely eliminate emotions in trading but you can set rules that allow you trade only when you are at your optimal state, and gives you a day or two vacation when you are down. 10. Reading this article will definitely NOT HELP YOU, it is remembering it the moment before you place your next trade that will. Pls LIKE and Subscribe, I want to know what you think about this article and which point you agree with the most or disagree with. Tell me whether it helped you in any way and if we get 50 likes and 20 comments I will consider making the next episode.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDEducation
by LexyenHille
3
BID AND ASK BASICS📚 🔴In all markets, there is a price at which a market participant is willing to buy an asset and a price that suits the seller. At the same time, traders intend to carry out a purchase and sale transaction only within the amount that is profitable for them. ⚠️In the foreign exchange market, the ask line is the cost of buying an asset or the price that is set by the broker in the Buy order. ⚠️Bid - accordingly, the cost at which the broker opens a sell order when accepting an application for the sale of currency from a trader. ❗️The spread is the difference between ask and bid prices. To be more precise, the spread is the difference between the best bid and ask offers for a specific asset over a certain period. Thus, the spread is dynamic, changing over time. The spread value is formed by the initial value set by the broker, as well as due to the volatility of the currency. The spread can vary from 0.1 to 100 points. ✅In the market of physical goods, a similar example can be given: a seller and a buyer, haggling, narrow the difference between prices that satisfy them, bringing them to one at which they make a deal. ✅In the foreign exchange market, the spread between prices is the commission charged by the broker. It should be borne in mind that the broker takes a commission regardless of the volume of the transaction and its result. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
6
COMPOUND INTEREST | Time is on your side📚 ❗️As it turned out, not all traders are familiar with such an important concept as compound interest. Meanwhile, the use of compound interest in trading can be a very effective tool for making a profit. In short, compound interest is the accrual of interest on interest, and if in detail, then read on. ✅The formula for calculating compound interest has the form: Compound percentage = (P (1 + g)^ n) – P, where P – the amount originally invested; r – interest rate; n is the investment period. Let's say you invested an amount of $ 10,000, every year the interest received is added to the principal amount, and new interest is accrued for a larger amount. If the investment period is 5 years, and the interest rate is 10% per annum , then after the specified period, taking into account the compound interest, you will receive a profit in the amount of: (10000(1+0.10)^5)-10000=6105.1$ And without taking into account the compound interest, the profit for the same period will be: 1000050,10-10000=5000$ As you can see, using compound interest (or in other words reinvesting profits) brought additional income in the amount of: 6105.1-5000 = 1105.1 $. ✅It seems that the figures presented above are not impressive, but the use of compound interest in trading can truly work wonders. In what way? Let's take another look at the compound interest formula described above. It is obvious from the formula that you can increase profit by increasing any of its components. Let's not touch the amount originally invested, but play with the value of the investment period and the interest rate. To begin with, let's imagine that we will reinvest the profit not every year, but every month. Then the investment period will be 12 5 = 60 months. The interest rate corresponding to this investment period will be equal to: 10%/12=0.833%. Let's substitute these values into the formula for calculating the compound percentage: (10000(1+0.00833)^60)-10000=6449,8$ As you can see, under the same conditions, but with monthly reinvestment of profits, the income will already be $ 6449.8- $6105.1 =$344.7 more. Well, if the trader's income is not 0.833% per month, but, for example, 5% monthly, then under the same conditions and for the same period, the profit will already be: (10000(1+0. 05 )^60)-10000=176791,86$ Felt the difference, impressive, isn't it? And what if you reinvest profits not monthly, but daily? Let's figure it out. With an average yield of 5% per month, the average daily yield will be 5%/21= 0.238% (here 21 is the number of working days in a month). The investment period will be 5360=1800 days. Let's substitute the data into the compound interest formula: (10000(1+0.00238)^1800)-10000=711617,5$ This is already 711617.5-176791.86 = 534826 $ more than with monthly reinvestment of profits. More than half a million dollars (and this with an initial investment of only ten thousand)! That's impressive. That's what compound interest is in action. ⚠️This is about theory. In practice, it is impossible to achieve a constant percentage of profit every day. Some days a trader inevitably ends up with a loss, some with a profit, and the size of these losses and profits is always different. So it is unlikely to substitute the value of the percentage of profit per day in the above formula. However, the very essence of compound interest, clearly shown above in figures, gives the trader a fairly powerful tool for earning. A trader can and should use compound interest when creating his own money management system. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
6
How To Make Your Trading Plan In 7 Steps !How To Make Your Trading Plan In 7 Steps ! ➡️ Choose The Correct Time Frame All traders know what time frames are, but few know that each time frame has a specific way of working. Time frames from 15 minutes to 60 minutes fall under the name of day trading, meaning that all deals will be closed on the same day, whether with profit or loss, and traders call it the name "Scalping" On the other hand, there is a time frame from 4 hours to the daily frame, which are considered long deals and traders call them “swing” Time frames higher than the daily are considered investment centers and are not suitable for small capitals —————————————————— ➡️ Risk Management Most traders make a fatal mistake, which is not choosing a risk ratio for each trade, and this exposes the entire account to a loss. The best traders in the world believe that the reasonable risk ratio is between 1% to 3% for each trade. —————————————————— ➡️ Conditions You Must Choose Between " Ranging " Or " Trending " —————————————————— ➡️ Markets In Stock Markets We Have 4 Market ,, - First One Is Option Option or binary options is a currency, commodities and stock market that simulates the same conditions as the real markets, but you can set a time for the transaction and bet on the direction within a minute or two and you can win up to 90% of the bet amount, but in the event of a loss, you lose the entire bet amount and some believe that The option market has a lot of suspicions and scams - Second Type Is Equity - Third Type Is Futures - Forth Type Is Forex - Fifth Market Is Crypto Currency —————————————————— ➡️ Type Of Your Entries - Pull Back - Break Out - Cross Over —————————————————— ➡️ How To Put Your Stop And Targets ? —————————————————— Print It And Don't Forget Any One From The 7 Steps To Be Successful Trader ❤️❤️
Education
by Fx_Vanguard
Most Popular Types Of Candles How to Read Candlestick charts? Candlestick charts were originated in Japan over 100 years before the West had developed the bar charts and point-and-figure charts. In the 1700s, a Japanese man known as Homma discovered that as there was a link between price and the supply and demand of rice, the markets also were strongly influenced by the emotions of traders. A daily candlestick charts shows the security’s open, high, low, and close price for the day. The candlestick’s wide or rectangle part is called the “real body” which shows the link between opening and closing prices. This real body shows the price range between the open and close of that day’s trading. When the real body is filled, black or red then it means that the close is lower than the open and is known as the bearish candle. It shows that the prices opened, the bears pushed the prices down and closed lower than the opening price. If the real body is empty, white or green then it means that the close was higher than the open known as the bullish candle. It shows that the prices opened, the bulls pushed the prices up and closed higher than the opening price. The thin vertical lines above and below the real body is knowns as the wicks or shadows which represents the high and low prices of the trading session. --------------------------------------- 1- Hammer Candle Hammer is a single candlestick pattern that is formed at the end of a downtrend and signals a bullish reversal. The real body of this candle is small and is located at the top with a lower shadow which should be more than twice the real body. This candlestick chart pattern has no or little upper shadow. The psychology behind this candle formation is that the prices opened, and sellers pushed down the prices. Suddenly the buyers came into the market and pushed the prices up and closed the trading session more than the opening price. This resulted in the formation of bullish pattern and signifies that buyers are back in the market and downtrend may end. Traders can enter a long position if next day a bullish candle is formed and can place a stop-loss at the low of Hammer. ----------------------------------------- 2- Hanging Man Hanging Man is a single candlestick pattern which is formed at the end of an uptrend and signals bearish reversal. The real body of this candle is small and is located at the top with a lower shadow which should be more than the twice of the real body. This candlestick pattern has no or little upper shadow. The psychology behind this candle formation is that the prices opened and seller pushed down the prices. Suddenly the buyers came into the market and pushed the prices up but were unsuccessful in doing so as the prices closed below the opening price. This resulted in the formation of bearish pattern and signifies that seller are back in the market and uptrend may end. Traders can enter a short position if next day a bearish candle is formed and can place a stop-loss at the high of Hanging Man. ----------------------------------------- 3- Three White Soldiers The Three White Soldiers is a multiple candlestick pattern that is formed after a downtrend indicating a bullish reversal. These candlestick charts are made of three long bullish bodies which do not have long shadows and are open within the real body of the previous candle in the pattern. ----------------------------------------- 4- Inverted Hammer An Inverted Hammer is formed at the end of the downtrend and gives a bullish reversal signal. In this candlestick, the real body is located at the end and there is a long upper shadow. It is the inverse of the Hammer Candlestick pattern. This pattern is formed when the opening and closing prices are near to each other and the upper shadow should be more than twice the real body. ---------------------------------------- 5- Piercing Pattern Piercing pattern is a multiple candlestick chart pattern formed after a downtrend indicating a bullish reversal. Two candles form it, the first candle being a bearish candle which indicates the continuation of the downtrend. The second candle is a bullish candle which opens the gap down but closes more than 50% of the real body of the previous candle, which shows that the bulls are back in the market and a bullish reversal is going to take place. Traders can enter a long position if the next day a bullish candle is formed and can place a stop-loss at the low of the second candle. ---------------------------------------- 6- White Marubozu The White Marubozu is a single candlestick pattern that is formed after a downtrend indicating a bullish reversal. This candlestick has a long bullish body with no upper or lower shadows which shows that the bulls are exerting buying pressure and the markets may turn bullish. At the formation of this candle, the sellers should be caution and close their shorting position. Don't Forget To Like And Follow To Next Part
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Fx_Vanguard
Less Liquidity In Summer Months Could Lead To More VolatilityThe Memorial Day weekend is the start of the summer season. In many markets, seasonal factors can impact prices. The old saying, “sell in May and go away,” may not be applicable in the stock market as stocks have been on a rocky path lower in 2022. In commodities, gasoline, meats, grains, and other raw material prices often increase as demand peaks. Heating oil and other winter commodities often move to the downside. However, 2022 is anything but an ordinary year in markets. Thin markets are more volatile than liquid markets Market participants are tired and frustrated in 2022 Lockdowns over the past years could lead to extended summer vacations Lots of head-fake moves on the horizon Expect the unexpected- Volatility leads to opportunity Over the past two years, the global pandemic distorted prices. Stocks rose as artificially low interest rates made the stock market the only alternative with fixed income yields at historical lows. Rates are rising in 2022, with a hawkish Fed and falling bond market. Supply chain bottlenecks continue to plague commodities, and the war in Ukraine has only exacerbated pricing and availability issues. Mid-term elections in the US, and a Presidential contest in Brazil, a leading commodity-producing country, are on the horizon later this year. The geopolitical bifurcation between nuclear powers is another issue facing markets that reflect the economic and geopolitical landscapes. Market participants are exhausted as 2022 has brought a new set of concerns. We could see liquidity in markets dry up over the coming weeks and months as the summer has arrived, and vacations will limit participation in markets across all asset classes. Thin markets are more volatile than liquid markets Liquidity is a critical ingredient for smooth-running markets. Liquidity tends to reduce price variance as more market participants increase buying and selling interests at various levels. Commodities tend to be more volatile than other assets, sans cryptocurrencies, but some raw material markets experience far more volatility than others. Lumber and crude oil are two highly volatile commodities, but one has minimal liquidity while the other experiences far more participation. The daily chart of CME lumber futures shows that daily volume tends to be well below 500 contracts. Open interest at 2,293 contracts makes lumber an illiquid market. Daily historical volatility at over 62% is a function of the lack of volume and open interest, leading to price gaps and limit-up and limit-down price moves where buying disappears during bearish periods and selling evaporates when the price moves higher. Meanwhile, on a typical trading session, NYMEX crude oil futures trade well over 400,000 contracts, with open interest at above 1.81 million contracts on June 2. Daily historical volatility at below 20% reflects that the highly liquid oil market has buyers and sellers at all price levels. The bid-offer spreads in liquid markets are far tighter than in illiquid markets. As liquidity declines, markets tend to experience far more price variance. Market participants are tired and frustrated in 2022 In early 2022, market participants were breathing sighs of relief as the global pandemic was beginning to fade in the rearview mirror. Health concerns may have declined, but financial woes increased with prices. Monetary and fiscal policies planted inflationary seeds that have caused prices to explode higher, while supply chain bottlenecks continue to exacerbate inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, the Russian invasion of Ukraine is another crisis following on the heels of two years of pandemic panic. Sanctions and Russian retaliation exacerbate inflation. Moreover, Russia’s “no-limits” cooperation with China creates a geopolitical bifurcation of the world’s nuclear powers. We live in interesting and exhausting times, with people tired and frustrated with the events since 2020. Lockdowns over the past years could lead to extended summer vacations Lockdowns ended in the US as vaccines went into arms. People have returned to work and school. In China, the COVID-19 restrictions appear to be easing. In early June 2022, the coming summer months offer the opportunity to rest, relax and recharge internal batteries for the second half of 2022. The demand for travel, hotel rooms, and other vacation-related consumer products has soared. Inflation and supply chain bottlenecks have only increased prices, but the demand is robust. As market participants take a few weeks off over the coming months, they are likely to turn off their screens and ignore the market action that could interfere with good times with friends and family. Increased vacations may bolster earnings for travel-related businesses, but it will reduce market liquidity as a vacation for many includes a rest period from watching or participating in markets across all asset classes. Lots of head-fake moves on the horizon As liquidity declines because of a lack of participation, markets will likely become a lot bumpier over the coming weeks and months. Selling could lead to downdrafts and buying may create rip-your-face-off rallies. These events cause head-fake moves that can cause even the most experienced traders and investors more than a bit of indigestion. A decline in liquidity could dramatically increase price variance. The geopolitical and economic landscapes will not take any vacation during the summer of 2022. Expect the unexpected- Volatility leads to opportunity Expecting the unexpected will reduce the stress-related with sudden market volatility. Moreover, higher price variance increases opportunities for nimble traders and investors with their fingers on the pulse of markets. Approach markets with a sold risk-reward plan that avoids open-ended risks. Even though declining liquidity can cause markets to rise or fall to irrational price levels, always remember the current price is always the correct price because it is the level where buyers and sellers meet in a transparent environment, the marketplace. Do not be afraid to take small losses and remember to take those profits or adjust risk levels to protect them when markets reach targets. Trading or investing with a plan and sticking to it avoids the ego-related mistakes that cause us to believe we are always right, and the market is wrong. The market price is never wrong. Meanwhile, combinations of put and call options can protect the downside, hedging portfolios while allowing for upside participation that will enable you to enjoy your time off from the daily grind. Enjoy the summer but keep your eyes open for opportunities. Adjust your mindset to expect the unexpected and embrace the higher volatility that comes alongside lower liquidity. Price variance is a nightmare for the passive, but it creates a world of opportunity for the dynamic. -- Trading advice given in this communication, if any, is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that we believe are reliable. The author does not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects the author’s good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice the author provides will result in profitable trades. There is risk of loss in all futures and options trading. Any investment involves substantial risks, including, but not limited to, pricing volatility, inadequate liquidity, and the potential complete loss of principal. This article does not in any way constitute an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any investment, security, or commodity discussed herein, or any security in any jurisdiction in which such an offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.
LEducation
by Andy_Hecht
1
Negative Divergences Often Warn of Declines: Bitcoin & Gold Negative Divergences Often Warn of Impending Declines: Bitcoin Highlighted…. Is Gold Next? OTC:GBTC COMEX:GC1! INDEX:BTCUSD The CMT Association is proud to publish this guest post from Louise Yamada CMT. Louise was a Managing Director and Head of Technical Research for Smith Barney (Citigroup), and while there, was a perennial leader in the Institutional Investor poll and the top-ranked market technician in 2001, 2002, 2003 and 2004. Louise was the 2016 recipient of the CMT Association’s Lifetime Achievement Award. In these examples we use the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator to illustrate the concept of divergence, to forensically evaluate Bitcoin and to make some forward looking observations on the gold market. Divergences: • Negative momentum divergences often warn of impending price consolidations or declines. • Divergence forms as price moves to a new high while the oscillator fails at a lower high, creating a negative divergence between the oscillator and price. • Divergences of this type suggest that the underlying momentum may be waning. Divergences carry different implications depending upon their time frame. • Daily perspective divergences suggest either a consolidation, or a pullback in an ongoing uptrend. • Weekly perspective divergences suggest a more sustained consolidation or even a reversal of trend, particularly if important support is violated. • Monthly divergences have the potential to result in a more sustained decline or even to reverse an uptrend. MACD sell signals give validity to divergences. • Monthly signals have much more weight than weekly and daily. • Monthly divergences don’t always occur prior to monthly MACD sell signals • But when a sell signal does occur it offers a structural warning. Graystone Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) Weekly: • The March 2021 high (A) was followed by a roughly equal price high (B). However, the MACD momentum peaked at a significantly lower high (Line A1-B1), forming a classic divergence that suggested that upward momentum was fading. • At point C, the weekly MACD moved onto a sell signal (the fast moving average crossed below the slower moving average) strongly suggesting that positions should be either lightened or sold. • After the sell signal was generated, price declined from 50 to 24. • A weekly MACD buy signal was then generated at point D. The subsequent rally carried price near the prior high. • The failure of the MACD to match its prior high warned of potential weakness. • The MACD generated another sell signal at point E, suggesting lightening or selling positions. Price offered another decline from 50 to 24. • After a multi-week consolidation in March-April 2022, price broke below the support @24 (S1-S2). • MACD continues to decline, suggesting that the price decline may not be over, notwithstanding interim rallies. • Before considering a new long, evidence of stabilization at a low and the gradual reversal of the daily, weekly and eventually, monthly MACDs would be required. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) Daily • On the daily perspective chart that there is a divergence from price (A-B) and the MACD (C-D) • The divergence warned of the possibility of bearish developments spreading to the weekly and monthly. Graystone Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) Monthly: • The monthly chart also shows a divergence at points MD1 and MD2 and on the histogram at MD3 and MD4. • At the second price high (B), MACD hadn’t yet generated a sell signal, but it was beginning to flatten and roll over. • One can also see the falling histogram, as the MACD narrows (blue arrow), and the divergence progressed, until it finally generated a clear sell. • Price lingered above the support at 24 (S2) for several months providing ample time to adjust positions before the May 2022 price breakdown. Momentum is still declining, suggesting that it’s too soon to consider re-entry, notwithstanding interim rallies, which can carry into resistance, formerly support. Graystone Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) relative to SPX Weekly: • One can also note a similar warning in the weekly Relative Strength (RS) negative divergence. • In this case the RS for BITCOIN/SPX was also suggesting a change from a period of relative overperformance to one of relative underperformance. Is Gold Next? Gold is displaying many of the same long term MACD warning behaviors evident in the GBTC chart. COMEX Gold Daily: • Despite the May 2020 (R1) and 2022 (R2) price peaks being roughly equal, the MACD (R3 & R4) peaked at a much lower level. • A MACD Sell signal occurred after the 2020 peak (R3), alerting to the possible price decline, which eventually carried to the March 2021 low near 1,700 (S1). • The lower March 2022 MACD peak (R4) also registered a sell signal, suggesting one might lighten positions. COMEX Gold Monthly: • There is a monthly multi-year MACD negative divergence between the 2012 (R1) and 2022 (R2) price peaks. • In 2012, the monthly MACD structural sell signal (R3) was very effective as price collapsed toward 1,100 on the sell signal. • In March 2022, the MACD, registered another major monthly sell (R4), and then subsequently rallied to test the high (R2) without generating a new buy signal (A), a sign of weakness. • The MACD has remained negative and appears poised to perhaps continue down. • This suggests that Gold may be in danger of a potentially large decline, especially if support at 1,700 is broken. • Such a breach could easily find support at the breakout level from the 2013 to 2019 basing pattern at 1400. • It is possible, however, that although GOLD has broken out in many other currencies, the extraordinary current strength in the US dollar may be contributing to the Gold disappointment. Louise Yamada CMT LYAdvisors LLC
GEducation
by CMT_Association
75
ENGULFING CANDLE | powerful price reversal📚 ✅The engulfing model (external bar) is mainly a reversal pattern (although in rare cases it may indicate a continuation of the trend). It looks like two candles, the first of which is small, and the second is large, with a body larger than the entire previous candle, and directed in the opposite direction. ✅From the point of view of crowd movement, such a pattern means that the strength of the current trend is drying up (this is evidenced by the small size of the first engulfing candle). The crowd does not know in which direction to move and, figuratively speaking, is marking time. The appearance of a powerful candle that absorbed the previous one and closed in the opposite direction marks the beginning of a new, strong trend. ⚠️There are several mandatory conditions that the pattern must meet in order for its signal to provide the maximum probability of working out: 1️⃣Before the pattern itself, there must be a downtrend or an uptrend in the market. The movement may be small, but its presence is mandatory; 2️⃣The body of the second candle should be of a different color and orientation (bearish after bullish and bullish after bearish). Shadows may not be absorbed, but then the signal is considered weaker; 3️⃣The body of the second candle should have a contrasting color with respect to the body of the first. The exception is when the body of the first candle is very small (doji or close to it). ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Education
by UnitedSignals
7
Why Shorting support & Longing resistance gets traders REKT!INDEX:BTCUSD INDEX:ETHUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FRED:SP500 NASDAQ:NDX I see this time and time again - no matter if you are trading, cryptocurrency, commodities, indices or stocks, the principle remains the same: Shorting at support and longing at resistance is GENERALLY not a good idea. I show you examples in the video and explain why. There is however a good time to short at support - i.e. When it has flipped into resistance after the retest, changing the market structure - and the inverse is true for longs. If this video helped you, please consider leaving a thumbs up and a comment if you have any questions! Learn, learn and then learn some more! Not financial advice. DYOR. Papertrade before using real money
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PEducation
by zartraderguy
1
Candlestick Action | How Candles Are Formed🕯 ❗️Japanese candlesticks as a technical analysis tool were invented earlier than others, but they were not widely used immediately. By the name, it is easy to guess that Japan became the "homeland": local rice traders used this method already in the 18th century. However, due to the geographical remoteness and closeness of the country from external "visitors", this type of chart gained popularity much later, when exchange life was already actively boiling in Europe and the USA. ✅What is hidden behind the candlestick chart? 🟢A candle is formed from 4 prices: opening, closing, high and low for a certain period of time. If we take a timeframe of a minute, then each candle will indicate the price movement within this minute, if an hour is inside an hour, if a day is inside a day. The distance between the opening and closing price is the "body" of the candle, and the tails show to what lows and highs the price reached. If the opening price was higher than the closing price, then the candle will be black; and vice versa: if the opening price is lower than the closing price, then the candle will be white. It turns out that candles are, in fact, the psychology of the market, they most accurately reflect the fears and hopes of its participants. 🟢The charts of Japanese candlesticks themselves are valuable for analysis: the resulting models are interpreted as models of reversal or continuation of the trend. It is also important to understand: each individual candle or a combination of candles is just a way of depicting the actions and moods of all bidders for the period we have chosen (day/week/ month, etc.). The fact is that human behavior is quite formulaic in the same situations, and that is why various methods of chart analysis are so popular with investors and traders. 🟢Looking at only one or several candlesticks, a "savvy" viewer can easily understand whether the market is set to rise or fall, change the current trend or its continuation, increase the momentum of movement or its attenuation. ⚠️It is important to understand that the behavior of individual bidders develops into a general market movement, which can be "read" using charts of Japanese candlesticks and their basic models. Therefore, your optimal investment decisions will be supported by the most effective moments of entry or exit from the position, which will significantly improve the financial result. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
15
Your strategy will inevitably go through a Drawdown!Your strategy will inevitably go through a Drawdown. And there's nothing you can do about it to stop that. However, you can learn how to survive it! Today I will give you actionable steps, that you can use for the next time the market hit your strategy and you feel that everything is going wrong. Let's start with an idea of what a drawdown is, and why drawdowns happen. There are an infinite amount of trading strategies and tools that people use to trade and take advantage of specific market conditions. Some traders are better in trending markets, they trade breakouts. Other traders feel more comfortable in ranging markets, where they trade quick reversals on key levels. The Math is simple here. Trending strategies will have a poor performance on ranging markets, while reversal strategies will have a poor performance on trending markets. Detecting the beginning and end of trending cycles or ranging cycles, is blurry. So, if you agree with that, as I do, you can expect your strategy to start failing at some point. And that's the beginning of the drawdown. (This is true for the best traders in the world, as for the worst traders in the world. Nobody scape drawdowns, the quickest you accept this, the faster you can learn how to handle them properly) So let's start by saying that drawdowns are situations where your strategy experiences a lasting decline in performance, even if you are doing everything perfectly. Drawdowns, happen because strategies are made to take advantage of specific anomalies that can be found in one part of the market cycle, and when that market cycle finishes, or changes, your strategies become less accurate. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- It's important that you become aware of the Psychological consequences of Draw Downs , so you can have a countermeasure for this. Let's take a look at the most common ones: 1) Decrease in confidence (constant negative thoughts about your system) 2) Fear of entering the next trade. 3) Thinking about changing things in your strategy (deviations from the original plan) 4) Thinking about modifying the risk you are using to cover losses quicker. 5) Ceasing your trading execution, and looking for a new strategy. ALL THESE ITEMS, are the main situations you may start feeling when going through a drawdown. IF you are going through that, it's important that you understand that you are under a delicate emotional state, where your confidence is low, and you are prone to make more emotional decisions that 99% of the time, tend to increase the drawdown. So the way we handle drawdowns is by having logical and systematic processes in place instead of emotional ones. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Here you have actionable steps to handle drawdowns: STEP 1 : You handle drawdowns by getting ready before they happen, not when they are happening. This is true for almost all disciplines, not only for trading. Airplanes have clear plans in case things start going wrong, instead of figuring out the problem at the moment, pilots go to the manual book, and use the template for this situation, plus the fact that they trained those situations several times in simulations. So, if you want to understand what a drawdown situation looks like in your strategy, you MUST go into the past, and when I say this, I'm not saying making a 3 week backtest. You need to go as far as you can in the past, to find that exact moment where your strategy is not working as expected. How many consecutive stop losses do I have? 3? 5? 15? 20? How long does this period last until everything goes on track again? 1 month? 3 months? or a year? These are the kind of answers you are trying to solve. When doing a backtest you are trying to understand two things. The first one is if your strategy has an edge. The second one is how hard you get hit when things go wrong! STEP 2: Work your risk management around the stats of your system. Imagine we reach the following conclusion "I have a system, that executes 10 setups per month" and the worst-case scenario I have found is 20 consecutive stop losses during 2 months. What I would personally assume is that 20 consecutive stop losses can be 30. So how much capital percentage should I risk on this system so I don't get knocked out if this TERRIBLE scenario happens. The answer for me would be 1% per setup. Under the assumption of this unique scenario, I would be 30% down, which is something acceptable, compared to the drawdown of conventional investment vehicles like S&P500 where we observed those kinds of declines, in the last years. The main point here is that you need to adapt the risk you are using on the strategy, to the stats of it, and your risk tolerance. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Let's recap the key aspects of this post. 1) Drawdowns are inevitable, your strategy will be hit by this scenario eventually. 2) Drawdowns cause an emotional disturbance and are the main reason why people make really bad decisions. 3) We handle drawdowns by getting ready in advance. Through backtest, we can understand the edge of our strategy and the worst-case scenarios. 4) We adapt the risk of our strategy, by considering a terrible scenario, like 30 consecutive losses. This will not eliminate the feeling during this period, but it will bring you a work frame to make logical decisions based on data, instead of emotions. Implementing this type of thinking will make your strategy more robust, it will help you go through these situations, and most importantly it will protect you from making stupid things with a strategy that has an edge, and actually works! Thanks for reading!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by ThinkingAntsOk
129