Commodities
WTI - OIL ANALYSES
Oil prices are as shown below :
Peaked at 1 July 2008 -147 $ plummeted to 35 $
Peaked at 1 July 2014 -107 $ plummeted to 28 $
Peaked at 1 July 2018 - 77 $ plummeted to 21 $ (You can see this in my profile exactly predicted in September 2019 as of 21 $)
Will Peak at 1 July 2020 -60 $ will plummeted to 9.71 $
So until July 1 2020 May be long after badly short.
oil gold4.17.20 US citizens should be trading the oil futures, not the Forex oil even though they correspond very closely, you should take a look at this video. I showed some follow-up on gold; and I give a brief review for new followers on how I view the market. Please give a thumbs up if you like the video.
GOLD | Will Gold Hit the 2000 Mark in 2020??#XAUUSD (Update)
In Monthly Chart, So far GOLD has been Doing Well ..!!
At the Moment Bulls in Control & Pushing the GOLD Price Towards the Major Resistance (1780)
Will Gold Hit the 2000$ Mark in 2020?
Will #Bitcoin (Digital Gold) Follow the #GOLD??
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DXY THEORY YOU HAVEN'T HEARD YET!THE DXY IS ONLY MADE UP OF 6 MAJOR CURRENCIES MEASURED AGAINST THE DOLLAR:
EUR (57.6% OF THE WEIGHTING),
JPY (13.6%),
GBP (11.9%),
CAD (9.1%),
SEK (4.2%),
CHF (3.6%)
A MISTAKE MANY PEOPLE MAKE WHEN PREDICTING THE DOLLAR'S STRENGTH IS USING THE DXY AS A GAUGE FOR ALL CURRENCIES' PERFORMANCES AGAINST THE DOLLAR!
EMERGING MARKET AND MANY OTHER MAJOR CURRENCIES ARE NOT INCLUDED IN THE DXY!
RECENTLY, PETER SCHIFF PLACED A BET WITH BRENT JOHNSON ON THE DIRECTION OF THE DXY, STATING THAT THE DXY WOULD BE WEAKER THAN 99 IN JANUARY 2021, WHILE BRENT JOHNSON PREDICTED IT WOULD BE HIGHER!
PETER'S THEORY CLAIMS THAT THE CURRENCIES OF PRODUCTIVE COUNTRIES WILL STRENGTHEN AGAINST THE DOLLAR FOR MANY OBVIOUS REASONS, WHILE BRENT CLAIMS THAT THE MASSIVE SHORTAGE OF U$Ds WORLDWIDE WILL ACT AS DEMAND ON THE DOLLAR, INCREASING IT'S VALUE AGAINST OTHER CURRENCIES!
I BELIEVE THEY COULD BE BOTH RIGHT, AND THAT PETER MAY HAVE MADE A MISTAKE IN USING THE DXY AS A BAROMETER:
BRENT JOHNSON IS RIGHT BECAUSE: THE WESTERN FINANCIAL SYSTEM WILL ABSORB ALL U$Ds CREATED, AND EUR, GBP, CHF AND CAD WILL ESPECIALLY SUFFER BECAUSE OF THE EURODOLLAR SYSTEM! WESTERN ECONOMIES COULD ALSO WEAKEN SEVERELY WHICH WOULD DEVALUE THEIR CURRENCIES IN ADDITION TO A EURODOLLAR SQUEEZE!
PETER SCHIFF IS RIGHT BECAUSE: AS COUNTRIES NOT INCLUDED IN THE DXY DIMINISH THEIR TRADE WITH THE U.S.A., AS THEY CEASE USING THE EURODOLLAR TO SETTLE FORMS OF TRADE NOT INVOLVING THE U.S.A. (MAINLY OIL), AND AS THE AMOUNT OF U$Ds' CREATED IN EXCESS OF THEIR DEMAND FOR DOLLARS INCREASES, PRODUCTIVE ASIAN AND EMERGING MARKET CURRENCIES WILL ABSOLUTELY STRENGTHEN AGAINST THE DOLLAR, BUT THIS WILL NOT APPEAR IN THE DXY!
IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT THE FEDERAL RESERVE MEETS THE GLOBAL DEMAND FOR DOLLARS, AND THEN SOME, WHICH WOULD DEVALUE THE DOLLAR AGAINST ALL CURRENCIES, AND I BELIEVE THIS IS THE CASE, BUT I DO NOT DISCOUNT THE POSSIBILITY EXPLAINED ABOVE!
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Crude clone called Euro?This also needs to be understand by those who think that are trading just euro...Funds lock their positions in EURUSD with those in crude oil!
Understanding the OIL, EUR/USD Correlation
Read - chigrl1.wordpress.com
Most oil exporting countries trade assets in USD, meaning, these countries receive a significant portion of USD inflows from the proceeds of these sales. Thus the foreign currency reserve balances of these oil exporting countries, in a sense, is broadly reflected by the price of oil. We can see this as reflected in the chart below. Up to 2014, reserves increased notably, and then declined considerably as the price of oil fell.
However, data also shows that they invest part of their reserves in EUR, as they sell a large share of their production to the Eurozone.
Thus, when the price of oil falls, this means that a smaller portion of USD is transferred to EUR, thus contributing to a depreciation of the currency. Inversely, when the price of oil increases, a larger portion is transferred to EUR, contributing to the appreciation of the currency. For this reason, many funds lock their positions in EUR/USD with those in crude oil.
Therefore, it is no coincidence that COT data shows crude oil and EUR in lock step.
HEAVENLY GOLDHello huyz and gerlz the gold lovers
The chalk board analysis says gold going moon
Why? Cus money love certainty especially when it is not so
Is gold a safe heaven really? Noooooo cus gold is rather useless in production economy compared to other metals
But who gives a f*ck?
So you Don't give a f*ck too
Tutorial complete go to next tutorial
GOLD | Rising Wedge & Major Resistance..!!XAUUSD (Update)
In 8hr Chart, Gold Has been forming Rising Wedge Pattern & Heading towards the Major Resistance Area (1685-1690)
If It's Failed to Clear the Major Resistance then Expecting Wedge Breakout towards the 1560-1570 Area.
If Bulls Cleared the Resistance then Wedge Pattern Will be Invalid & It Might PUMP Hard towards the 1800 Area.
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Part 2 4.4.20 Part 2 for NEW FOLLOWERS My purpose here is to give you an example of some of the lines I use and I got those lines from very large time frames where most traders will be searching. In addition to that, because of circumstances, when the market hit that line I would've already been filled on an OCO, so I missed that additional profit potential, but if I am following that market real time I know that line would be a good short for a smart scalper... with a relatively small risk and a fairly good reward if you understood market dynamics and how expanding markets with large volatility trade in both directions. It is worth drawing the simple lines, and I gave two more for you that may help you if the market moves higher. If the market doesn't move higher then they won't help you. What I'm really doing is trying to show you value, and to encourage you to draw some of these simple things that I'm showing you so that you can use them to help you read the markets and make decisions when it's time to take a trade. I am selling nothing, and I most likely will not do this indefinitely because I don't want to be a mentor, and because I want to do other things in my life before I lose my chance. The best way to learn is looking at real time set ups in the market while it is available. if you feel the videos have value, please give a thumbs up which will encourage me to make more videos.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) KEEP CALM! TREND IS STILL BEARISH!
hey guys,
reading news outlets and ideas on tradingview, the forecasts are all bullish right now!
people are urged to buy from any level based on the fundamental news.
be very careful! though we truly see a dramatic shift and strong bullish rally this week,
don't forget that technically the trend remains bearish!
moreover, currently, the price is trading on a key structure resistance level and for now
buyers could not break above that and we see a negative reaction.
the next safe opportunity to buy will come only after a bullish breakout of the underlined resistance,
for now just patiently watch the reaction of the market.
it is still possible that next week we may see a perfect signal to short.
so no rush right now!
good luck and have a great weekend!