Commodities
Bearish Divergence explained This is an educational post on OANDA:XAUUSD
Look how we can view divergences and predict movements on the underlying.
Various peeks and troughs are marked in yellow on the indicators RSI and MFI and the price acton not the chart for Gold
In the time frame shown in the chart, you can see a bullish divergence where we see the last yellow circle somewhere in June/July 2019, a new high made on RSI didn't have price action making a new high, which is then followed by a rise in price over the next few sessions.
Secondly, after the quick heavy run up, RSI falls sharply indicating the move from overbought position in a downward slop, marked in red, and price actions moves upwards, showcasing a bearish divergence. This is followed by a fall in price over the last few sessions for the recent highs.
I have taken the 50 day MA as the replica for the trend line and currently Gold is sitting right below the MA. It will find resistance at the MA, Watch out this space for more on when the next opportunity presents
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USDCAD shortUSDCAD is currently pushing price up to form an M reversal pattern near my zone. The first leg has already formed in 1HR and now the second leg of the pattern is forming. (Double top).
- price is also respecting the 50ema dynamic support in the 1HR time frame
How I will be entering:
- I will be waiting for this current bullish candle to close and possible wick out or price to get near the first leg.
- I will wait for a nice bodied bear candle upon which I will enter.
XAUUSD longInital consensus as posted earlier was XAUUSD will retest and price will fall short, however price did not follow my entry requirements so I did not enter the short position.
Now price has broken the previous resistance zone and is consolidating sideways above it.
How I will be entering:
- I will be waiting for a candlestick that wicks down to the current zone that it just broke which will indicate a retest and rejection of that zone.
- I will then wait for a nice bodied bullish candle to confirm the upwards move and will enter at the close of that candle.
XAUUSD SHORTXAUUSD is currently trading below my 50ema on the 1HR time frame. It has also broken one of my zones with a nice bearish candle.
Price has been creating Lower Lows and Lower highs since 10th october.
There is also no High Impact USD news for tomorrow.
How I will be entering:
I will be waiting for a retest of the current zone where price is.
Upon which I will wait for a nice bearish bodied candle and after that I will enter short.
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