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People want to earn but not learnThe issue is everyone wants to make money (well, maybe not everyone) but nobody wants to take the time to learn how to do it properly. This is NOT a sales pitch by the way! it's FACT!! People often ask why I bash influencers so much, it's mainly for this reason. Majority of noobs, come into trading expecting to make a fortune. If only it was that easy, every man and his dog would be a professional trader. Over the years, I have talked about things like Bots and AI that are programmed to make you money - think logically, if again it is this easy wouldn't the founders go to the bank, loan $10million based on their results and just not bother selling and shilling to customers and retail. NOBODY wants to provide customer service, especially to the world's population. Unfortunately, regardless of the market. Trust me if you stick around long enough you get to see this behaviour in Forex, Commodities, Stocks and more recently crypto with a splash of A.I. The story goes pretty much the same way. "man (or woman) hears about an opportunity to make money through a thing called trading, they do their research which leads to the old You of Tube and that leads to "Lamborghini promises from kids with fake watches, drawing random trendlines on 3 minute charts" There's often a "sign-up" bonus if you click their shill link. So let's get this straight, they make money on watch time and those links you click. The reason I chose fish in the image above, is that most people have memories that last about 2 seconds. Mark Cuban said "everyone is a genius in a bull market" Algorithms work and influencers claim to be experts with 3 months of experience. Easy to show in a market only going one way. Trading is hard enough, let alone having the ability to lose money from scams. If a trading algorithms promises a 90% win rate - run and don't buy it. ============================================================== There are fundamental things to do and you can deploy to get you off on the right track. Firstly think of the obvious. 90% of new traders lose 90% of their money in only 90 days. Hence a 50% sign-up bonus whereby you think you gained "free cash" often has small print that you can't access it until you lost your original investment. Affiliates tend to get 25% or more of the deposit - the exchanges know full well, your about to lose your money. Second thing I try to emphasis for newer traders, is that you need to treat trading as a profession. You wouldn't watch a video and expect to be a doctor, you also wouldn't buy an algorithm or Artificial Intelligence software and expect to become New York's latest Hot Shot Lawyer You see where this is going? There is no secret sauce, no silver bullet and no short cuts. If you want to trade and make money trading, you need the basics. You need to keep doing the basics well and evolve your mindset more than a strategy. Areas that will really help you include proper risk management. If your willing to be sat in negative 20, 30 or even 50% equity positions. This won't take you long to lose your entire trading pot. Instead risking 1-2% with a risk strategy of 2 -1 or greater. it's a slower game, but it keeps you playing the game. If you take a 3 or even a 4 reward trade with only 1 risk. For every time you are right, it's giving you 4 times as much as when you are wrong. Imagine winning 20% of your trading days and still being at breakeven... simple 1:4 ratio. This is only one small aspect to keep in mind. As I mentioned above, if strategies or software is pitched with high percentage win rates - run. You need to understand the market acts differently and past results do not indicate future performance. Everyone is a genius in a bull market, remember. You do not need to go looking for the silver bullet. These strategies do not exist, instead spend the time working on strategies that can be consistent in various market conditions. This is no small task, your strategy might identify entries in a counter trend differently than it would in say a ranging market. The answer to resolve this, is BACKTESTING Don't just run your strategy on replay mode, although @TradingView has a great little tool for this. Spend the time to look at things such as "repainting" this means that when your strategy triggers an entry, does it disappear and reappear. If so, do some manual back testing. Then Dig deeper and analyse the type of market condition it was more profitable or less profitable. This could be things like "I lose more on a Monday, compared to other days" or when the market goes sideways, It triggers too many trades. I've written several articles here on pure education. Here's a few examples. In this post (worth clicking on) it has a whole bunch of lessons inside. Think of trading like you would a university course, there's plenty to learn but you can have some fun along the way! Stay safe! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
37
A very long-term (Macro) Approach To US/Global MarketsAfter completing my weekend research/videos, I wanted to create something that provided an anchor for traders/investors. This video is not focused on the short-term market trends - although it does discuss what I expect to see play out over the next 12 to 24 months. This video is more about preparing traders/investors for the global events related to Central Banks, market trends/opportunities, and how I believe the markets will react over the next 5+ years. After watching this video, your job will be to watch for key events to unfold. These events, described in the video, will be key to understanding where opportunities and risks are in market trends. This is NOT the same market we've been used to from 2010 through 2021. This is an entirely different beast of a global market. Credit/debt issues will persist, and conflicts/war may drive major repricing events. Pay attention and follow my research. I'm delivering this long-term research to help you better prepare for market trends and protect your capital from downside risks.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
How To Analyze Any Chart 📚 Gold Example 📹Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. Today we are going to go over a practical example on #GOLD , but you can apply the same logic / strategy on any instrument. Feel free to ask questions or request any instrument for the next episode. 📚 Always remember to follow your trading plan when it comes to entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! Remember, all strategies are good if managed properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TheSignalyst
37
How to Profit from Trend Exhaustion - XAGUSDHow much ... and when? What else is there to know? Enjoy this multi-timeframe tour of the XAGUSD chart to learn how I find MAJOR reversals and targets BEFORE price action reaches them. As always, I strive to produce charts that speak for themselves, and yet this is my video debut here on Tradingview, and I could not be more pleased to narrate this unusual experience. If you enjoy it or, better yet, if you learn from it, then consider this a preview of forthcoming weekday morning livestreams, which I hope you will follow. Until then, be liquid!
OANDA:XAGUSDEducation
by TheLeadingIndicator
4
How i trade using engulfing candles Good afternoon gold gang! I thought i would jump on here with an educational piece on how i trade using engulfing candles along with my algo levels Whenever you get a big push in the markets, this may be a news item or simply a market open, we normally see a candle being "engulfed" .. now this means that the candle closed bigger than the previous .. imagine it over shadowing. When this happens, price likes to come back to collect orders from this level at some point in the future. Check the levels marked on my charts with a white box. The best englufing levels for me, occur at my algo levels. Observe the chart and see what i mean. Very powerful. I simply mark the level and await price to come back before making the decision to long or short it (based on the lower time frame confirmation) My algo levels are very powerful and are a constant draw on price as you can see .. they are not random and are always the same distance apart .. just look at the respect they get. Your homework is to go back on to the chart and mark all the engulfing candles you find on the 1 hour and above timeframe. See for your self how many times price comes back catch you this evening for the outlook!! follow along for more educational posts tommy
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by tommyXAU
2
The Evolution Of Money: From Barter-System To Cryptocurrency!Hello, Welcome to this analysis about The Evolution Of Money. Till today money had a protracted history reaching back to times where there even did not exist electricity or industry like we now it these days. Since these beginnings money constantly reshaped and emerged new forms of money that theoretically can be applied still today however it is also a fact that it is important in which form the money circulates bringing innovation and prosperity to the civilization as there are money forms although logical from its form however contra-productive for the further developments. __ The Barter System (High Phase 98000 BC - 900 BC): It is clear that in times where people did not have the ability to keep a sufficient store-of-value they had to adapt to circumstances and exchange what they had in order to receive things they need for everyday living, this form of money is called the "Barter-System". This system principally defines the exchange of goods and services against other goods and services. It was a typical hunter-gatherer-form of exchange between the individual occupations. For example, a fisherman had a lot of fish however no grain to exchange for and on the other side there was a farmer which had a lot of grain, however, no fish to eat, so these two come to an agreement to exchange the fish against the grain in order to fulfill both sides needs. This system had a lot of substantial problems as it was not possible to store any value with the goods and services, besides it only functioned when the other side also searched for the offered product therefore there needed to be a double coincidence of wants otherwise an exchange was not fulfilled by both sides agreements. Besides that there was the issue with the indivisibility of goods, for example, one had one goat and needed one pot therefore it was only possible to exchange one goat against 10 pots and now the goat holder was stuck because he could not share the goat into 10 pieces to received his one pot as needed. Overall it was a complicated exchange system that definitely could have been improved. Commodity Money (High Phase 6000 BC - 500 AD): Since it was not possible to store values with the Barter-System as there were also many goods that fouled by the times this could also be improved by the right commodities that do not foul. In ancient Rome, the Romans moved on to keep salt as a store of value and exchange for goods and services. Salt is easily divisible, it can be stored for a long period of time and it was expensive and labor-intensive to produce therefore limited in quality, besides that it was widely consumed by everybody. Additionally to salt, many other forms of this commodity money emerged such as Cattle, Tobacco, Rice, Sugar, or Tea. All commodities which can be stored over a long period and exchange properly. Together with these new gained advancements, it was a step in the right direction nevertheless there remained significant negative aspects in the commodity money these are various things such as some forms of cattle are very difficult to store because they need to be fed constantly and can not obtain a passive store, other forms like cowry shells are fragile and need to be transported carefully. Besides these storing problems, it was always difficult to transport over long routes as the commodities can take up so much room that it was simply so unpracticable to transport them over long distances. Also, there existed not universal acceptability so the two exchange partners needed to agree on the exchange of these commodities to come up with a deal. Metal Money (600 BC till today) Metal money was a true revolution in the money evolution and the story speaks for itself as it is still today widely accepted and a sufficient store of value with gold and silver holding its values. Against the commodity money, it was stable and had an inherent value as it is rare in nature as well as its supply is limited, the perfect characteristics for a natural store of value and also exchange value. As metals were already used for armors and tools and had already the value within these products this kept advancing with the first coins to be pressed in ancient Greece 600 BC after which the metallic money kept advancing into more sophisticated forms such as the IOUs and also tender coinage bringing a practicable way to pay for goods and services. The Metallic Money shaped into different forms like the IOUs where Goldsmiths backed the gold and gave people a trust which they can exchange in order to receive goods and services, so the people came to the goldsmith and bought basically gold for which they received the document to pay with. The only problem with this system was that the Goldsmiths created fake IOUs and kept spending them. Besides this form, there was the legal coinage in Rome for example with gold coins issued by the empire however the problem, in this case, was that it got debased over time as the people mixed more cheap metal like copper with the gold coins to get a higher supply, today it wont function so easily as it can be proved nevertheless in this time it marked a serious issue. Paper Money (1690 till today): The emerging paper money in fact marked a true change in the whole money system as now it was not possible to issue by everybody, now it was issued by a central authority whereas these authorities firstly existed private also the mission came more and more into central bank area. The first printed money was created in 1690 in the form of a bill of credit to serve as a promissory note by the government on its own credit, these bill of credits were unsecured paper money and at this time in the 17th to 18th century, it was still possible to have private money with private companies creating own bills with the individual exchange qualities to get into the circulation. Till today many currencies have established holding the money as it is issued by certain central banks such as the US-Dollar by the Federal-Reserve-System or the EURO by the European-Central-Bank. The problem here is that this money is printed by will and the central banks have the ability to just print more when the time is needed to do so like it was seen in the corona crisis where the money sum moved exponentially to new heights. Although Paper Money is still omnipresent and used as a store of value as well as exchange value to there are important faults that need to be improved to keep a healthy economic balance and obtain continued stable money. Plastic Money (1946 till today): In the 20Th Century, the printed central bank money moved now into the account money especially backed by the payment providers in the individual credit or debit cards. The first bank-issued cards originated in 1946 as a Brooklyn banker created the charge-it card, these were forwarded to the bank account and then the service or good was released. In post-war times further cards followed and till now there established credit-card providers which issue credit or debit cards also with giving their own credits to people that can be paid back. Cryptocurrency (2008 till today): This is the very last money form and the most innovative so far, like Bitcoins, like they invented, are limited in supply and can only be created through the mining process and proof of work they provide a sustainable interface within the blockchain which transactions are scalable and easy to use for peer-to-peer-transactions. It is not a wonder that the cryptocurrency market since the beginnings expanded more and more and several other projects emerged, there are still many projects given however the market will likely sort the not innovative ones out. Cryptocurrency marks the point in the history of money evolution where money advanced significantly from its initial barter exchange system to cryptocurrency. This is a major step and as for now, central banks are looking also into cryptocurrency and blockchain technology to implement their own central-bank-digital-currencies. There are really not many contra-aspects like in the previously stated money forms as cryptocurrency improved all the issues that previously came up and also innovated increasingly above these. __ In this manner, this was my analysis about the evolution of money which is important as the money keeps on shaping as we see it especially in these times with cryptocurrency, it is also not unlikely that these technologies will improve further, and there comes something new that is more applicable and innovative however till now cryptocurrency serves as the highest quality money forms when comparing to the other money forms. Especially it is the case that all money forms still coexist today however mainly not applicable. __ In this manner, thank you everybody for watching, support the idea with a like and follow or comment, have a good day, and all the best to you! Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets. __
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by VincePrince
21
A Simple Method Of Evaluating Trade Setups For Everyone - PART IThis is a simple example of how anyone can attempt to understand price action, trade setups, and determine if the current trade setup is valid for any trading action. Unless you have a trading system that helps you identify highly successful trade setups, most people struggle to find opportunities before they turn into breakout trends (up or down). Ideally, most traders want to get into trades before the big breakout, or breakdown, happens. This video, part I of an extended series, will help you learn to use simple tools to identify qualified trade setups from invalid setups. You can trade whatever you want. But remember, the trend is your friend, and learning to understand price theory, trends, channels, and support/resistance is all you need to make better decisions. Watch this video to see if it helps you. Over the next few weeks, I'll create more videos highlighting simple techniques to help you become a better trader. I'll review dozens of charts and highlight what works and what doesn't. Trading is a matter of managing risks while attempting to generate profits. This will be a great way for me to share my thoughts with all of you while trying to help you learn techniques to help you build solid skills. Hope you enjoy this first video.
NASDAQ:CSCOEducation
by BradMatheny
19
Mechanical Consistency Weekly Review 8; +8% Return.04 Sep to 08 Sep 2023 TL;DR Total Profit of approximately $800 (around +800%) for the 1st week of September 2023. Total 8 trades, 6 wins & 2 loss. 1-hour Timeframe, Oanda, XAUUSD(Gold), $10,000 Capital, $200/ 2% per trade. Mechanical Consistency Trading Strategy; Purely rule-based strategy, zero guesswork, zero analysis. Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The content for this article is purely for educational/research purposes only and is merely based on my personal opinions. Please note: There will be affiliate links in this article. But it will only benefit both of us. If you do not wish to participate under my affiliate links, please feel free to Google them separately. Cheers! I'm truly thankful for yet another successful week employing my mechanical consistency strategy. My retracement trades are consistently delivering the expected results, while any losses I've incurred can be attributed solely to my mean reversion trades on Tuesday. Let's review every day. Monday (04 September 2023) 1x Win Trade Daily bias: Downtrend I was only able to trigger a retracement trade on Monday, but it turned out to be a highly profitable one. Despite the slowing down at night, I was fortunate that the price continued its downtrend the following day, reaching my desired profit level. Tuesday (05 September 2023) 2x Lose trades Daily bias: Downtrend The only losing days I've had this week were both due to my mean reversion trades. These trades carry significant risk since they go against the prevailing trend, relying on a rebound to reach my 21 SMA+EMA level. Unfortunately, the downward trend proved to be stronger, resulting in losses. Wednesday (06 September 2023) 1x Partial win & 1x full win trades Daily bias: Downtrend Contrastingly, I managed to secure a profit with my two mean reversion trades on Wednesday. Fortunately, the price did rebound successfully in both cases, albeit with the first trade yielding a partial profit and the second trade lasting until Friday morning. Nonetheless, I'm quite satisfied with the overall outcome. Thursday (07 September 2023) 0x trade Daily bias: Downtrend There were no trades on Thursday as my mechanical consistency strategy did not trigger any of my limit orders. It was yet another stress-free day for me. Friday (08 September 2023) 1x partial win 2x solid win trades Daily bias: Uptrend Friday turned out to be quite a rollercoaster day for me, with three consecutive trades triggering throughout the day. Fortunately, all of these trades ended in profit. The first mean reversion trade yielded a partial win, the second mean reversion trade was an immediate victory with zero drawdowns, and the third retracement trade delivered a profit by Monday morning. Endnote While I encountered some losses with my mean reversion trades due to their inherent risk of going against the trend, I also enjoyed significant profits from retracement and mean reversion trades that went as planned. Despite the fluctuations, my mechanical consistency strategy helped maintain a stress-free approach to trading, and I ended the week on a positive note, with successful trades on Friday. This experience reinforces the importance of a well-rounded trading strategy and the need to adapt to market conditions while remaining disciplined and focused on long-term goals. Learn My Strategy For Free As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopted the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money. This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making. If you want to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in bio. Thank you!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Barry_Games_Trading
Mechanical Consistency Weekly Review 7; +3% Return.I avoided trading on Non-Farm Payroll Day! 28 August to 01 Sep 2023 TL;DR Total Profit of approximately $300 (around +3%) for the 4th week of August 2023. Total 5 trades, 3 wins & 2 loss. 1-hour Timeframe, Oanda, XAUUSD(Gold), $10,000 Capital, $200/ 2% per trade. Mechanical Consistency Trading Strategy; Purely rule-based strategy, zero guesswork, zero analysis. Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The content for this article is purely for educational/research purposes only and is merely based on my personal opinions. Please note: There will be affiliate links in this article. But it will only benefit both of us. If you do not wish to participate under my affiliate links, please feel free to Google them separately. Cheers! What an exhilarating week it’s been with the Non-farm payroll report dominating the market’s volatility! The intense fluctuations led to rapid outcomes in some of my trades, with some resulting in quick wins and others in losses. Let’s dive into a review of this action-packed week! Monday (28 August 2023) 0x Trades Daily bias: Uptrend Thanks to the market movements of the previous week, we didn’t initiate any new trades this time around. It turned out to be a stress-free day for me! Tuesday (29 August 2023) 1x Win & 2 Lose trades Daily bias: Uptrend This week kicked off positively with a substantial profit from the first retracement trade. However, the intense volatility pushed past both my mean reversion trades, causing them both to end up in losses. Wednesday (30 August 2023) 1x Partial win trade Daily bias: Uptrend After a significant bout of volatility the day before, the price settled into a narrow range, a pattern that became evident during the first half of Wednesday’s trading session. It wasn’t until later in the day that the price triggered my mean reversion trade. Fortunately, I was able to secure partial profits at Take Profit 1 before it resumed its upward trend. Thursday (31 August 2023) 1x Solid win trade Daily bias: Uptrend The price remained confined within the narrow range, which worked in our favour as it triggered a retracement trade. I held onto the trade overnight, and by Friday, I successfully closed it with both take profit levels reached! Friday (01 September 2023) 0 trade taken Daily bias: Downtrend Non-Farm Payroll typically takes place on the first Friday of each month, and it’s a known fact that the market becomes extremely volatile when this economic data is released. Traders often face significantly widened spreads, which can be detrimental to their trading strategies. Personally, I steer clear of trading on Non-Farm Payroll days, even if the setup aligns perfectly with my usual trade conditions. The heightened spread can trigger my stop-loss even when the price is far from my actual stop-loss level, making it a risk I’d rather avoid. Endnote In summary, the trading week was marked by the Non-Farm Payroll report’s influence, resulting in a mix of wins and losses. The previous week provided a break from stress, while trading saw a profitable retracement trade and losses in mean reversion trades. A narrow price range on Wednesday allowed for partial profits, and the week ended positively with a successful retracement trade reaching both take profit levels. I will avoid trading on Non-Farm Payroll days due to heightened volatility and widened spreads, mitigating risks from unpredictable market reactions to economic data releases. Learn My Strategy! (FREE) As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look for the “perfect” trading opportunity. This is why I adopted the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money. This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making. If you want to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in bio. Thank you!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Barry_Games_Trading
Mechanical Consistency Weekly Review 5; +9% Return.TL;DR Total Profit of approximately $900 (around +9%) for the 2nd week of August 2023. Total 9 trades, 8 wins & 1 loss. 1-hour Timeframe, Oanda, XAUUSD(Gold), $10,000 Capital, $200/ 2% per trade. Mechanical Consistency Trading Strategy; Purely rule-based strategy, zero guesswork, zero analysis. Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The content for this article is purely for educational/research purposes only and is merely based on my personal opinions. Please note: There will be affiliate links in this article. But it will only benefit both of us. If you do not wish to participate under my affiliate links, please feel free to Google them separately. Cheers! We had a beautiful trading week for 2nd week of August. Most of my predetermined parameters got triggered and reached my take profit without much drawdown. Let’s break it down. Monday (14 August 2023) I encountered my first loss of the week when the initial mean reversion trade didn’t go as planned. The price swiftly plummeted, triggering my stop loss and prompting me to initiate my second mean reversion trade. Fortunately, I managed to bounce back and secure some profit from take profit 1 before the price continued its downward trend. Tuesday (15 August 2023) My daily bias, determined by the 21 EMA, indicated a clear downtrend. I executed both trades flawlessly. The first mean reversion trade unfolded precisely as anticipated, allowing me to capture profits at each stage. The second trade, a retracement play, experienced an immediate reversal shortly after entry, with almost no drawdown. It was the ideal trade setup I had been hoping for! Wednesday (16 August 2023) The daily bias continued to favor a downtrend. While Tuesday’s trade remained open, my parameters signaled another retracement trade, and both trades successfully reached all of my predetermined take profit levels. As the trading day neared its end, I was triggered into a mean reversion trade at 127%. Fortunately, I managed to secure some profits before ultimately closing the trade on Thursday. Thursday (17 August 2023) The daily bias remained in a downtrend. Most of my attention on Wednesday was dedicated to managing the ongoing trade from that day. However, once I closed out the Wednesday trade, I was able to initiate a standard retracement trade that successfully reached both of my pre-set take profit levels, resulting in a substantial profit. Later that same night, my mean reversion trade was triggered, and I had to manage it until Friday. Friday (18 August 2023) Even though market sentiment began to show signs of shifting towards the upside, my daily bias remained in a downtrend. I successfully closed my Thursday’s trade with a profit and promptly initiated a standard retracement trade, reaching the first take profit level and securing a breakeven point at the entry price, just before the market began its upward momentum. Endnote As I navigated a market with a prevailing downtrend, while also observing hints of a shift in market sentiment towards the upside. Despite these challenges, I executed my trades with precision, closing out profitable positions and making the most of favourable retracement opportunities without any market analysis + zero guesswork, purely using a mechanical system that I developed, backtest and forward testing. Same strategy, same system day in and day out! As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopted the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money. This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making. Here's how it works: Immediately after the 1st-hour candlestick closes either below or above the 21 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), you place precise Buy/Sell limit orders. Once all parameters are meticulously set, you can confidently attend to your daily routine, including your day job, while entrusting the market to dictate the trades. If you want to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in BIO. Thank you!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Barry_Games_Trading
THE ART OF RANGE MANAGEMENT - WITH THE TREND OR AGAINST Hey Everyone, Here at GVFX, we are currently buying dips. What that means is that we buy on the dips and therefore only concentrate on long positions/buys with the odd sells for fun. As mentioned before, having both sell and buy positions open in your account will affect your psychology and in turn, your trading decisions. Now a question that typically arises here is why would it still be advisable to buy when the market is pushing down? Firstly, let me assure you that the same algorithms, experience and strategies that we use to achieve a 97% hit rate with our bullish directional bias also gives us the heads up, or down if you will, on when the market is going down. Don't think for a moment that we only know how to analyse a bull market or up trends. We share targets/signals for both buys and sells but choose not to hedge out of choice. Our published results remain consistently profitable month in month out!! In my experience, in the current market conditions, it is much safer to get out of a stuck buy position than a stuck sell position. That's not to mention the clean PSYCHOLOGICAL PROFILE that is achieved when trading in just one direction. And although hedging can in theory work, it requires years of experience and in the end, is simply not worth the effort. I am more than capable of hedging effectively but the fact that I do not should tell you something. Let us look at an example to further answer the question highlighted above. When you have short-term bearish momentum down, we take buys from key supports or MAs which act as dips. Remember that the market does not go up or down in a straight line (with the rare exception of short-lived parabolic moves). So, when the market is going down and hits one of our key levels, a buy from that point will go back up for 20 to 30 or 30 to 40 pips (this number of pips has been calibrated based on back testing) before resuming back down. You can think of it like this. The market moves in a zigzag manner. The zig is that part of the leg which is going down to create lower lows (if the downward trend is continuing). The zag is that part of the leg which takes a breather and pushes back up with momentum for our entry and quick pip-take range to create a lower high (if the downward trend is continuing) before heading back down again. We catch the right and safest waves (buys) in and out and surf to success. When price hits a key structural support or stops creating lower lows and lower highs, we then reassess for entries with a wider range of pip capture. Hope this post helps our followers to understand how we keep our psychology strong!! GoldViewFX XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Goldviewfx
41
Mechanical Consistency Weekly Review 4; +10% Return.I humbly apologize for the extended hiatus, as I was navigating through some profoundly personal challenges. Despite the setbacks, I’m pleased to share that my trading endeavours have not only persisted but also yielded remarkable results. Miraculously, each of our trades has culminated in a profitable outcome, marking a pristine 100% success rate. Allow me to delve into the details below. Monday (07 August 2023) My mechanical strategy was executed flawlessly, defying its initial parameters geared towards an upward trend. I managed to secure profits at Take Profit 1 and adeptly adjusted the stop loss to breakeven just as the price trajectory began to shift in a downward direction. Tuesday (08 August 2023) By looking at the very first candle of the day, I changed my strategy bias to align with the emerging downward trend. This astute shift allowed me to initiate a mean reversion trade, effectively attaining success at Take Profit 1 while seamlessly riding the ongoing downward trajectory. Wednesday (09 August 2023) Maintaining a downtrend bias, my strategy once again demonstrated its prowess by executing a trade during the retracement phase, flawlessly achieving both designated take profit levels without incurring any drawdown whatsoever. As the day progressed, my strategy seamlessly activated a mean reversion trade, hitting the bullseye with Take Profit 1. Furthermore, I skillfully managed to conclude the remaining trade at a slight deviation level come Thursday. Thursday (10 August 2023) Similar to Tuesday, my strategy adeptly initiated a trade during a retracement, adeptly securing gains from both take profit levels. This time around, the trade unfolded over a span of approximately 2 days, culminating in a graceful and satisfying closure. Friday (11 August 2023) During this period, our trading activity remained non-existent. The absence of substantial trading volume resulted in an inability to generate price movement of significance. Endnote This week was truly exciting for me. It’s the first time in my 4 years of experience that I’ve won every single trade in a week. This success proves without a doubt that my consistent mechanical strategy works perfectly, which has made me much more confident in my trading approach.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Barry_Games_Trading
KOG - JACKSON HOLE Part 1Jackson Hole Symposium: What is the Jackson Hole Symposium? The Jackson Hole symposium (Economic Policy Symposium) is held in Jackson Hole, Wyoming USA. It is an event attended by the worlds top financial professionals including ministers, bankers and academics. It is a closed event so no press are allowed access to the meetings or talks. Instead, press conferences are held throughout the event where any comments from financial professionals usually move the markets and cause extreme volatility. This is not the usual analysis we provide. Instead, what we wanted to show you is the last 3-4yrs of market data illustrated on the charts, giving you an idea of what this event can do and cause on the markets. In this example, on Gold. So, lets start with last year, 2021. We can see the price was at a similar price point to where we are today, just slightly higher at around the 1780 level. The early sessions were quiet, however, after a retest of the low look at the aggressive move to the upside! Price started at 1780 and the move completed at 1836. 500+ pip move in a matter of days. Lets look at the top right chart, 2020. Again, look at the choppy price action, the whipsaw up and down, then the rested of the low before an aggressive move to the upside. Price started at 1904 and the move completed at 1994. 900pip movement in a matter of days. Now 2019, a slow start in the early sessions, all of a sudden, a rested on the low and then another aggressive move to the upside. Price started at 1491 and completed the move 1557. Over 500pip movement in a matter of days! What we’re trying to show you here is that its going to be a very difficult event to trade for new traders. Its going to be choppy, its going to be volatile, its going to whipsaw and its likely to move. If you’re caught the wrong side of it its going to kill your account. Best practice here is to let the market make the moves it wants to, wait for the price to settle in whatever level they want to drive it to, once this has happened then look for the setup to get in to the trade. Hope this helps. As always, trade safe. KOG
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by KnightsofGold
32
Short Dated Options to Deftly Manage Oil Market Shocks"Volatility gets you in the gut. When prices are jumping around, you feel different from when they are stable" quipped Peter L Bernstein, an American financial historian, investor, economist, and an educator. Crude oil prices are influenced by a variety of macro drivers. Oil market shocks are not rare events. They appear to recur at a tight frequency. From negative prices to sharp spikes in volatility, crude oil market participants "enjoy" daily free roller-coaster rides. Precisely for this reason, crude oil derivatives are among the most liquid and sophisticated markets globally. This paper delves specifically into weekly CME Crude Oil Weekly Options and is set out in three parts. First, what’s unique about short-dated options? Second, tools enabling investors to better navigate crude oil market dynamics. Third, a case study illustrating the usage of weekly crude oil options. PART 1: WHAT’S UNIQUE ABOUT CME CRUDE OIL WEEKLY OPTIONS? Macro announcements such as US CPI, China CPI, Fed rate decisions, Oil inventory changes and OPEC meetings drive oil price volatility. Sharp price movements can lead to premature stop-loss triggers. When prices gap up or gap down at open, stop orders perform poorly leading to substantial margin calls. Weekly options enable hedging against these risks with limited downside and substantial upside. Closer to expiration, options prices are sensitive to changes in the prices of the underlying. Small underlying price moves can have outsized value creation through short-dated options. Hedging with weekly options allows investors to enjoy large upside potential. Short duration vastly reduces the options premium burden. This high risk-reward ratio has made short-dated options popular among both buyers and sellers. The daily traded notional value of Zero-DTE options (Zero Days-To-Expiry, 0DTE) have grown to USD 1 Trillion. Among S&P 500 options, 0DTE options comprise 53% of the average daily volume (ADV), up from 19% a year ago. In 2020, CME launched Weekly WTI options with Friday expiry (LO1-5), offering robust, round-the-clock liquidity and enabling precise event exposure management at minimal cost. These weekly options are now the fastest growing energy products at CME with ADV growing 69% YoY with June 2023 ADV up 136% YoY. Building on rising demand, CME added weekly options expiring Monday and Wednesday. At any time, the four nearest weeks of each option are available for trading. Weekly options settle to the latest benchmark CL contract and like other CME WTI products, they are physically deliverable ensuring price integrity. Each weekly WTI options contract provides exposure to 1,000 barrels. Every USD 0.01 change per barrel change in WTI represents a P&L change of USD 10 in premium per contract. PART 2: EIGHT TOOLS TO BETTER NAVIGATE CRUDE OIL MARKET DYNAMICS Highlighted below are eight critical tools across TradingView and CME enabling investors to better navigate oil market dynamics. 1. OPEC+ Watch OPEC+ Watch charts the probability of different outcomes from OPEC+ meetings. Probabilities are derived from actual market data & represent a condensed consensus market view of forthcoming meetings. 2. News Flow TradingView’s News section collates the key market developments impacting crude oil. 3. Forward Curve TradingView maps crude oil prices across the forward curve exhibiting oil’s term structure. Augmenting the forward curve chart is a table CL contracts across various expiries with technical signals embedded in them enabling investors to spot calendar spread trading opportunities. 4. TradingView Scripts Supported by a vibrant community of script creators, TradingView has curated scripts catering to the specific needs of crude oil traders. OIL WTI/Brent Spread by MarcoValente: Shows the spread between WTI and Brent crude. This spread is growing in importance with growth in US oil exports. Seasonality Indicator by tradeforopp: Presents seasonal price trends along with key pivot points to guide traders. 5. Economic Calendars TradingView’s economic calendar highlights upcoming economic events segmented by dates and with countdown timers to help traders better manage their portfolios. Augmenting, TradingView’s calendar is CME’s Economic Events Analyzer which lists key events specifically impacting energy markets and highlights the relevant weekly options contract. 6. Options Expiration Calendar CME’s Options Expiration Calendar is a comprehensive yet condensed view of upcoming expiration dates of WTI options, even those that are not listed yet. 7. Daily/Weekly Options Report CME’s Daily/Weekly Options Report profiles volumes and OI by strike price for weekly options supplying key stats such as Put/Call ratio and key strike levels at a glance. 8. Strategy Simulator CME’s strategy simulator allows investors to simulate diverse options strategies. Selecting the relevant instruments and adding each component of the overall position automatically calculates the payoff while still allowing modification of key statistics such as volatility based on user inputs. The below shows the payoff of an ATM straddle position for the upcoming Monday weekly option. It also allows simulating various market conditions. Selecting price trends such as up fast, up slow, flat, down slow, down fast can simulate the changes in P&L. PART 3: ILLUSTRATING USAGE OF WEEKLY CRUDE OIL OPTIONS Why does CME list weekly options expiring on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday? Each of these address specific macro events. OPEC meeting outcomes are typically announced over the weekend leading to gaps in prices on Monday. EIA weekly crude oil inventory data are released on Wednesdays. Key US economic data such as CPI and Non-farm payrolls are released on Fridays. Use Case for Options expiring on Monday These can be used to hedge against downside risk associated with weekend events. For instance, in April, OPEC+ announced major supply cuts at their meeting on Sunday. This led to WTI price spiking 4% at market open. This can lead to “gap risk.” Gap risk refers to the risk that markets may open sharply above or below their previous close. Since, price never passes the levels in between, stop loss orders fail to trigger at set levels resulting in more-than-anticipated realised losses. Such gap risks from weekend news can be managed through Monday weekly options which provides a predictable and resilient payoff with limited downside risk. Use Case for Options expiring on Wednesday Oil inventory reports by EIA (U.S. Energy Information Administration) and API (American Petroleum Institute) are released every week on Tuesday and Wednesday respectively. Major misses/beats against expectations for these releases can result in large price moves. Wednesday options come in handy to better manage volatility stemming from these shocks or surprises. Weekly options provide superior ROI on small moves when compared to futures. Favourable price moves deliver larger payoffs from position in weekly options than futures and shorter expiries allow for much lower premium than monthly options. Illustrating with Back tested Results On June 14th, Crude price fell by 1.7% (USD 1.2) to USD 68.7/barrel upon release of inventory data that showed a larger than expected inventory build-up. In the lead up to this data release, a crude oil participant could either (a) Short Crude Oil Futures, or (b) Long Weekly Crude Oil Put Option. Summary outcomes from these two strategies are tabulated and charted below. The results speak for themselves. Short dated long put option is capital efficient, prudent, and credible as a risk management tool. That said, participants must evaluate the risk return profile taking into consideration market liquidity and volatility levels, among others, when choosing between instruments. KEY TAKEAWAYS In summary, 1) Weekly Options can be cleverly deployed to hedge against shocks in oil markets. 2) TradingView & CME provide a rich suite of tools to deftly navigate the oil market dynamics. 3) Weekly options expiring on (a) Monday helps manoeuvre developments over the weekend, (b) Wednesday helps to manage inventory data linked shocks, and (c) Friday enables investors to trade and hedge around key US economic data. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by mintdotfinance
6
Magic of Fibonacci Levels ✨In the realm of technical analysis, few tools capture the imagination of traders as effectively as Fibonacci retracements and extensions. Derived from the famous Fibonacci sequence, these levels offer insights into potential price reversals, extensions, and trend continuation points. In this article, we'll delve into the world of Fibonacci levels and explore how to use them to enhance your trading decisions. Understanding Fibonacci Retracements: Fibonacci retracement levels are like hidden treasures ✨ along a price trend. These levels, calculated from a swing high to a swing low, create horizontal lines that indicate potential support and resistance levels. The most common retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. How to Use Fibonacci Retracements: Identify a Trend: 📈📉 Begin by spotting a clear trend, either upward or downward. Select Swing Points: 🏞️ Locate the pivotal swing high and swing low within the trend. Plot Fibonacci Levels: 📏 Put those retracement levels on your chart, and watch as they highlight potential support or resistance areas. The Application: Support Levels: 💪🛡️ During an uptrend, traders often see retracement levels as potential buying zones. Resistance Levels: ☔ In a downtrend, these levels can be seen as possible areas to consider short trades. Understanding Fibonacci Extensions: Fibonacci extensions act like a crystal ball 🔮 projecting potential price targets or levels where the trend might extend. Extension levels include 161.8%, 261.8%, and 423.6%. How to Use Fibonacci Extensions: Identify a Trend: 📈📉 As with retracements, spot a well-defined trend. Select Swing Points: 🏞️ Determine the significant swing low and swing high within the trend. Plot Fibonacci Extension Levels: 📏 Add those extension levels to your chart, projecting potential price targets. Few examples : The Application: Projection of Trend Continuation: 🚀 Fibonacci extensions hint at where a trend might continue in its existing direction. Price Targets: 🎯 Traders often utilize extension levels to pinpoint potential price areas before a reversal might occur. Conclusion: Fibonacci retracements and extensions are like wizardry in the trader's toolkit. By grasping these levels and their applications, traders can create more informed strategies for entry, exit, and target levels. Remember, while Fibonacci levels are magical, they work best when combined with other technical indicators and chart patterns. As with any trading strategy, practice, experience, and risk management remain essential. With careful consideration and diligent analysis, Fibonacci levels can sprinkle a touch of enchantment to your trading endeavors. 📊✨
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
Mechanical Consistency; Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Review for 02 AugHi, This is a trade review for 02 Aug 2023. Here are some details for the trades. OANDA:XAUUSD 1-hour time frame 2% per trade 1 open trade. Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice! I'm just sharing my trading journey. Please take it as educational content. Thank you! On Wednesday, we came close to securing a successful winning trade. The price exhibited a retracement to the 50% Fibonacci level before initiating a downward movement, resulting in the establishment of a new lower low. As of now, my second trade has been triggered and is actively in progress. As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopt the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money. This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making. Here's how it works: Immediately after the 1st-hour candlestick closes either below or above the 21 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), you place precise Buy/Sell limit orders. Once all parameters are meticulously set, you can confidently attend to your daily routine, including your day job, while entrusting the market to dictate the trades. If you want to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in BIO. Thank you!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Barry_Games_Trading
1
Mechanical Consistency; Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Review for 01 AugHi, This is a trade review for 01 Aug 2023. Here are some details for the trades. OANDA:XAUUSD 1-hour time frame 2% per trade 1 loss, 1 win (trade still open with take profit 1 achieve) Net -1% currently. Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice! I'm just sharing my trading journey. Please take it as educational content. Thank you! Tuesday, Gold fails the upward push and falls below the market structure, triggering and losing my first trade. Luckily, the price is able to hold at my 2nd trade level. Retracing back to my first take profit level, recovering half of my loss. The 2nd is currently still open with 0 risk running. As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look out for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopt the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money. This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making. Here's how it works: Immediately after the 1st-hour candlestick closes either below or above the 21 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), you place precise Buy/Sell limit orders. Once all parameters are meticulously set, you can confidently attend to your daily routine, including your day job, while entrusting the market to dictate the trades. If you are interested to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in BIO. Thank you!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Barry_Games_Trading
Mechanical Consistency; Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Review for 31 JulyHi, This is a trade review for 27 July 2023. Here are some details for the trades. XAUUSD 1-hour time frame 2% per trade 2 Solid Wins, net around +5.5% Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice! I'm just sharing my trading journey. Please take it as educational content. Thank you! Monday's trading was exceptionally successful with both trades yielding outstanding results. The first trade was executed flawlessly, experiencing minimal drawdown before quickly hitting its target for a satisfying profit. The second trade was triggered right after the first's successful exit and continued its momentum into Tuesday morning, reaching its initial take profit level. However, due to the potential impact of the ongoing trade on the new setup, I had to make a prudent adjustment to the second trade's take-profit level. As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look out for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopt the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money. This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making. Here's how it works: Immediately after the 1st-hour candlestick closes either below or above the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), you place precise Buy/Sell limit orders. Once all parameters are meticulously set, you can confidently attend to your daily routine, including your day job, while entrusting the market to dictate the trades. If you are interested to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in BIO. Thank you!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Barry_Games_Trading
Mechanical Consistency Weekly Review; -2.2% Return.Hi, Here's a weekly trades review on my mechanical consistency strategy. Here are some details for the trades. XAUUSD 1-hour time frame 2% per trade 3 win, 4 lose; Net Lose -2.2% The week started out great but ends horribly after wiping out all my profit from Monday and Tuesday. Let's review each day. Monday's trade was executed beautifully, price went into profit almost immediately triggering the entry and reaches my first take profit soon after. After shifting stop loss to entry, the trade retraces back and just went I thought the trade was over. The price holds and triggered my Tuesday trade and head down to profit with close to zero drawdown, hitting all my take profit levels. Tuesday trade was cut short after taking profit 1 has been reached and hit my stop loss level at entry. But still it was a good trade! Wednesday trades ended net zero, the first trade lose immediately, hit my stop loss and triggered 2nd trade at the same time. Luckily, the 2nd trade is able to hit my first take profit level before going further up. Thursday is the most disappointing trades of the week, wiping out all my profit for this week. Because of the strong US data, Gold price fells sharply wiping all my trades within seconds. Friday did not trigger in any trades. Most because of my trade setup parameters. Even we ended up losing only -2.2% of the capital. I am still in profit for the entire month of July. I will be sharing monthly trades review soon. As long as we do not deviate from my mechanical strategy, we can and will still profit in the long run. Take it as an investment instead of day job. Disclaimer: Not Financial Advise, just sharing my trading journey. Please take it as educational content. Thank you! If you are interested to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in BIO. Thank you!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Barry_Games_Trading
Mechanical Consistency; Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Review for 27 JulyHi, This is a trade review for 27 July 2023. Here are some details for the trades. XAUUSD 1-hour time frame 2% per trade 3 lose, net -3R / -6% Due to the robust US data, Gold experienced a significant decline, resulting in a substantial setback. Unfortunately, all three of my carefully positioned mechanical trades ended up losing -3R, erasing all the profits I had accumulated this week. Nevertheless, dwelling on the past won't be productive. Instead, I remain committed to my strategy without any deviations or changes. It's worth noting that I've extensively backtested this consistent mechanical approach, and it has proven to be profitable over the past year. Moving forward, I am optimistic that the upcoming week will yield better results. Staying focused and disciplined will be key to achieving success. Let's look ahead with confidence and hope for a more favourable outcome next week! Disclaimer: Not Financial Advise, just sharing my trading journey. Please take it as educational content. Thank you! As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look out for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopt the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money. This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making. Here's how it works: Immediately after the 1st-hour candlestick closes either below or above the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), you place precise Buy/Sell limit orders. Once all parameters are meticulously set, you can confidently attend to your daily routine, including your day job, while entrusting the market to dictate the trades. If you are interested to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in BIO. Thank you!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Barry_Games_Trading
Mechanical Consistency; Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Review for 26 JulyHi, This is a trade review for 26 July 2023. Here are some details for the trades. XAUUSD 1-hour time frame 2% per trade 1 win & 1 lose, net -0.2R (-$40) My mechanical strategy is still working as intended. Although the first trade ended up losing but the second trade manages to perform and reduce the overall loss to -0.2R. I am still confident that the strategy will work in the long run. Disclaimer: Not Financial Advise, just sharing my trading journey. Please take it as educational content. Thank you! As a full-time working individual, I do not have the time to constantly monitor the charts and look out for the "perfect" trading opportunity. This is why I adopt the mechanical trading strategy to earn extra money. This approach eliminates the need for extensive technical or fundamental analysis and removes any guesswork. It is a 100% Mechanical rule-based strategy, ensuring disciplined and consistent decision-making. Here's how it works: Immediately after the 1st-hour candlestick closes either below or above the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), you place precise Buy/Sell limit orders. Once all parameters are meticulously set, you can confidently attend to your daily routine, including your day job, while entrusting the market to dictate the trades. If you are interested to learn my strategy, please visit my blogging site, link in BIO. Thank you!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Barry_Games_Trading