YOU ONLY NEED 3 TIMEFRAME TO BE PROFITABLE !!!most of the time people on the internet bombard us with so many information when it comes to trading. like use this use that you have to use 5 or 6 timeframes, but in fact using this much could make you even more confused . so in this post I will share the easiest way for you you can to capitalize on timeframe analysis.
THE HIGHER TIMEFRAME - for bias which tells us in what way the price is going.
( up, down, range)
THE MIDDLE TIMEFRAME - to identify our zone for example if your trading system uses FVG you can locate your zone their. i personally use supply and demand so at this time i zone out my i will draw my supply or demand.
THE LOW TIMEFRAME - in this stage use it for entry confirmation.
this multi timeframe analysis can work on every time which means you can scalp , day trade or swing trade .
for example you can use
1 HOUR FOR BIAS
15 MIN ZONE IDENTIFICATION
5 CONFIRMATION
thanks for taking your time and read this post.
tell us your thought in the comment.
Trend Analysis
Enhancing Trading Proficiency: Top Educational ResourcesEnhancing Trading Proficiency: Top Educational Resources
Staying abreast of the ever-evolving market trends and honing trading techniques are critical aspects of becoming a successful trader. Luckily, a plethora of educational resources are readily available to aid traders in enhancing their skills and decision-making abilities. In this FXOpen article, we will discuss the best websites, books, online trading classes, and other information sources that can help traders succeed.
The Best Educational Resources for Traders
We recognise the importance of having a readily accessible knowledge base to find prompt answers to your trading queries. Below, we have curated a list of the most sought-after educational resources for traders, covering a diverse range of topics, from technical analysis to risk management.
1. Investopedia: A highly popular website that offers comprehensive learning materials suitable for traders at any experience level. Alongside trading, Investopedia delves into investing and personal finance, presenting a vast array of articles, tutorials, and videos.
2. TradingView: This social platform is a haven for traders, providing access to various trading tools, including charts of a wide range of financial instruments from different trading platforms, as well as technical analysis tools. Additionally, it hosts a vibrant community where traders can engage in discussions and share educational ideas.
3. ChartSchool: Specialising in technical analysis and charting, ChartSchool presents articles covering essential topics such as chart patterns, indicators, and other technical tools. If you harbour an interest in technical analysis, this resource furnishes all the necessary information to deepen your understanding of various instruments.
At FXOpen, we regularly update our blog with market analysis and educational articles for traders with any level of experience.
Top Trading Courses to Be Aware Of
Corporate Finance Institute: an online education platform that offers courses on finance, accounting, and investment banking. It provides in-depth knowledge and practical skills for traders. CFI’s courses cover topics like financial modelling, valuation, risk management, and portfolio management.
Babypips: a platform that provides one of the best stock trading courses for traders. Any online trading course from this platform for forex trading education will be of great help. Babypips offers a structured curriculum and interactive quizzes.
Coursera: an education platform that offers great trading courses. The courses taught by industry experts focus on financial markets, trading strategies, and risk management. Coursera trading courses are flexible, and there’s the possibility of self-study.
Udemy: an e-learning platform that allows instructors to create and publish online courses. With Udemy’s course development tools, instructors can upload various materials — videos, audio files, source code, and PDF files — to enhance their students’ learning experience.
Websites That Publish Economic News
In this section, we’ll explore the top websites that publish economic news and highlight their key features. Here is a list of them:
- Financial Times: a renowned news outlet. With a team of journalists, the Financial Times provides analysis and commentary on the latest economic events and trends. In addition to informative articles, the site offers market data.
- Fortune Magazine: a platform that publishes articles on business news and technology. The website features interviews with top executives and entrepreneurs and lists of top companies such as the Fortune 500. It’s a must-read for anyone looking to stay ahead in the world of business.
- Forbes Economy Market News: a well-known business and finance publication. The website has a special economic news section with articles about global financial markets. The site also provides tools like market data, stock quotes, and investment information.
- SEC Website: a website of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The SEC is dedicated to protecting investors, ensuring fair and efficient markets, and promoting capital formation. The SEC seeks to create a marketplace environment that is credible to the public.
- Yahoo Finance: a resource that helps traders effectively manage their investments and stay abreast of the latest market trends and news. The site provides current news, portfolio management tools, international market data, and social interaction — all designed to help readers manage their financial lives with ease.
Books by Famous Traders
In addition to articles and courses, we decided to gather a list of books that will be interesting to traders:
- The Market Wizards – Conversations with America’s Top Traders by Jack D. Schwager
- The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham
- Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets by John J. Murphy
- The Psychology of Trading by Brett N. Steenbarger
- How to Trade In Stocks by Jesse Livermore
If you are ready to try your hand at the real market, you can open an FXOpen account and check out our TickTrader trading platform. Our blog will also help you make rational decisions when trading.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Chart Patterns Within Patterns: A Guide to Nested Setups Daily Chart Analysis:
Pattern Overview:
The daily chart shows an Ascending Channel formation, which generally indicates a bullish trend but can also signal a potential reversal if the upper trendline acts as strong resistance.
Within the ascending channel, there are continuation patterns such as smaller bull flags, which suggest bullish momentum continuation.
Key Resistance and Liquidity Zone (LQZ):
The upper trendline of the ascending channel aligns closely with the recent highs around the $2,530 - $2,540 region, creating a significant resistance area.
The 1-Hour Liquidity Zone (LQZ) at $2,486.793 is marked below the current price, indicating potential areas where price might retest before any significant upward or downward move.
Potential Reversal Signal:
The upper boundary of the ascending channel has recently been tested multiple times, and each time, there has been a slight pullback, indicating selling pressure. This could be a precursor to a possible reversal if this level is not broken with conviction.
4-Hour Chart Analysis:
Nesting Patterns:
The 4-hour chart also reveals several nested patterns within the broader ascending channel, including smaller bull flags and a potential double-top pattern forming at the resistance zone.
The price action is consolidating below the resistance line at $2,530.750, creating a possible Double Top scenario, which could indicate a bearish reversal if confirmed by a breakdown below the neckline support.
Impulse and Correction Phases:
The recent impulsive moves upwards have been followed by corrective pullbacks, which have been forming higher lows, reinforcing the bullish bias in the medium term.
However, the proximity to the resistance and the potential double-top formation might signal caution for long positions.
1-Hour and 15-Minute Chart Analysis:
Short-Term Structure:
The 1-hour chart shows a more detailed view of the recent consolidation phase near the key resistance level. There are signs of weakening momentum as prices approach the upper trendline.
The 15-minute chart further shows a tightening range and potential bear flag or a descending channel, which could indicate a short-term bearish continuation if the lower trendline of this smaller pattern breaks.
Critical Levels:
The support level around $2,486.793 (1HR LQZ) is critical for intraday trading. A break below this could lead to a sharper correction towards the lower boundary of the ascending channel on the daily chart.
For bullish continuation, a clear break above the $2,530 - $2,540 resistance with strong volume would be needed to confirm further upside potential.
Trading Strategy and Recommendations:
Bullish Scenario:
Look for a strong breakout above the $2,530 - $2,540 resistance on the daily chart, accompanied by increased volume and a break above the smaller continuation patterns (flags) on the lower timeframes.
Enter on a reduced risk entry after a pullback to the breakout level, with stops placed below the recent consolidation range or the 1-Hour LQZ.
Bearish Scenario:
Watch for a confirmed Double Top breakdown on the 4-hour chart, with a clear break below the neckline support around $2,486.793.
Consider short positions on the break of the neckline or after a retest of the breakdown level, with stops placed above the recent highs or the upper boundary of the descending channel on the 15-minute chart.
Risk Management:
Given the proximity to a key resistance level and the potential for a reversal, it is crucial to manage risk carefully. Use tight stops and consider reducing position size until a clear directional move is confirmed.
Understanding Volume Oscillator and Its RoleUnderstanding Volume Oscillator and Its Role in Technical Analysis
Navigating the complex terrain of trading requires a grasp of various technical analysis tools. One such tool is the Volume Oscillator, a potent indicator that offers insight into market trends and their strength. This article provides a comprehensive look at this tool, its interpretation, principles, and limitations.
What Is the Volume Oscillator?
The Volume Oscillator is a vital tool in technical analysis, utilising two moving averages of trading volume to generate signals about the strength and weaknesses of trends. Unlike price oscillators which focus primarily on the direction and momentum of price movements, this tool delves into the undercurrents of the market.
Volume, in the context of financial markets, is the number of asset units traded during a given period. As such, it is a measure of market activity.
So what does a Volume Oscillator do? This indicator goes a step further by comparing short-term and long-term buying and selling activity flow to help traders identify potential reversals, breakouts, and other market events. However, it's important to note that this tool doesn't signify bullish or bearish behaviour but rather indicates whether a move has supporting volume.
Calculating the Volume Oscillator Technical Indicator
The calculation of the Volume Oscillator is straightforward. It begins with selecting two lengths of moving averages, often referred to as the short and long periods. The default Volume Oscillator settings used are 5 and 20, but these can be adjusted as per your trading needs.
The indicator is then calculated using the formula: * 100.
This calculation produces a percentage that oscillates above and below zero. If you’d like to practise your Volume Oscillator skills, you can use FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform to get started within minutes.
Principles of Volume Analysis
The principles of volume analysis are integral to understanding and interpreting this indicator. These principles encompass two primary signals: signs of strength and signs of weakness in the prevailing trend.
A sign of strength is identified when the price of an asset moves concurrently with a rise in buying or selling activity. This suggests that the prevailing price movement – whether upwards or downwards – has solid support from traders, leading to a stronger confirmation. Hence, when the fast volume moving average is above the slow volume moving average, the indicator is above the zero line, indicating a stronger market direction.
Conversely, a sign of weakness is indicated when the price movement is not supported by strong activity. This means that the price is increasing or decreasing while trading activity is declining. In such a case, the Volume Oscillator is below the zero line, implying a potential lack of conviction in the current price direction, thereby signalling a potential reversal or slowdown.
Volume Oscillator Interpretation
This tool’s interpretation is primarily based on its trend direction in relation to the zero line. When trending upward and above the zero line, it indicates growing conviction in the current price movement, whatever its direction. Conversely, a downward trend above the zero line suggests diminishing confidence in the ongoing price action.
Below the zero line, an upward trend in the oscillator points to a potential shift in momentum, indicating that the conviction in the current price direction might be returning, while a downward trend implies that the uncertainty in the market's direction is intensifying.
It can also provide divergence signals, which occur when its direction deviates from the price movement direction. For instance, if prices reach new highs while the indicator fails to achieve new highs, it may suggest a weakening upward price trend, potentially heralding a downturn. Conversely, if prices hit new lows and the tool does not follow suit, it could be a sign of an impending upward reversal.
Limitations
Despite its usefulness, this indicator is not infallible and has certain limitations. Primarily, it may produce false signals in periods of low trading activity or in thinly traded assets where the market participation data can be sporadic. Moreover, while it is excellent at confirming price movements, it may be less effective at predicting reversals, particularly in highly volatile markets.
The Bottom Line
By gauging the intensity behind trends, the Volume Oscillator adds a depth dimension to market analysis. While it has its limitations, its ability to identify the strength of price movements and potential reversals makes it a beneficial part of any trader's toolkit.
If you would like to put your Volume Oscillator knowledge into action, you can open an FXOpen account. Once you do, you will access lightning-fast execution speed and competitive trading costs. Happy trading!
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Identifying Market Correction EndpointsCorrection or trend? How deep is the correction if it exists? When can we expect a reversal? These are common questions among traders who utilize trend strategies. The foundation of trend trading systems rests on the understanding that a trend can become 'exhausted.' Prices cannot rise indefinitely nor plummet to zero. Unlike stocks, currency pairs operate within ranges established by central banks, leading to frequent reversals and corrections.
Corrections differ from trends in both depth and duration. If the price retraces more than one-third of the previous trend's length after a reversal, it is often considered the beginning of a new trend rather than a mere correction, which is the basis for counter-trend strategies. However, local corrections can occur, enabling the trend to continue. Entering the market at the end of a correction allows traders to secure positions at optimal prices, which is the essence of swing trading.
📍 METHODS FOR DETERMINING THE END OF A CORRECTION
1. BY PATTERNS. This straightforward and logical approach relies on market psychology. As a trend ascends, more buyers enter the market. When news prompts some to sell, a correction occurs, causing temporary price declines. However, buyers often see this as a chance to purchase at lower prices. A key indicator of the end of this correction is a candle with a small body and a long downward wick, suggesting that selling pressure has subsided and buyers are stepping back in.
2. BY CANDLE BODY SIZE. The size of candle bodies reflects price movement. When candle bodies decrease in size during a correction, it indicates waning interest in the asset. In an upward trend that turns bearish, if the correction shows small candle bodies, it likely signals a recovery of the trend. Conversely, during a downtrend, large downward candlesticks signify strong selling, while small bodies during corrections suggest minimal price movement.
3. CHANGE IN TRADING VOLUMES. Similar to the analysis of candle bodies, observing changes in trading volumes can signal the end of a correction. A decline in volume may indicate that the correction is over. However, a limitation of this method in Forex trading is the absence of aggregated volume data, necessitating reliance on indicators that may show tick volumes or specific broker volumes.
4. FIBONACCI LEVELS. Based on mathematical concepts, Fibonacci levels help identify potential retracement points. The end of a correction is most likely to occur at the first or second Fibonacci level after a reversal. If the price retraces to the 50% level, it often indicates the potential continuation of the initial trend.
5. TECHNICAL INDICATORS. Technical indicators, particularly oscillators like the Stochastic and Relative Strength Index (RSI), can be valuable tools for identifying the end of a correction. When these oscillators reach overbought or oversold territories and subsequently reverse their direction, it often signals that the correction has concluded, indicating a potential resumption of the original trend.
6. FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS. Local reversals frequently occur in response to news events. For instance, a cryptocurrency might be on the rise, but negative news—such as a significant fund dumping its holdings or regulatory actions by the SEC—can lead to a temporary price pullback. However, if positive news later arises, it can trigger renewed buying interest, signaling the end of the correction and a potential return to upward momentum.
📍 CONCLUSION
In trading, there are no infallible tools for pinpointing trends, corrections, or their respective beginnings and endings. A correction can seamlessly shift into a new trend, while a reversal following a correction may lead to a false breakout. Given these uncertainties, it is prudent to combine multiple analytical tools into a cohesive signal system. By doing so, we can enhance our decision-making process and improve ability to interpret market movements. Additionally, it is essential to test this system against historical price data to ensure its effectiveness and reliability in various market conditions. This comprehensive approach allows us to better navigate the complexities of the market and make more informed trading decisions.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
XAU/USD Strategy: Pattern Recognition and Trade ExecutionComprehensive Market Breakdown for XAU/USD (Gold Spot) Based on Multi-Time Frame Analysis
Overview:
The analysis of XAU/USD across multiple time frames (15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour) indicates a complex market structure with both bullish and bearish signals. This detailed breakdown will provide insights into the current market conditions, key patterns to watch, potential trading strategies, and risk management considerations.
1. 15-Minute Time Frame: Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
Pattern Details:
Symmetrical Triangle: This pattern is characterized by converging trend lines connecting lower highs and higher lows, indicating indecision in the market.
Apex Proximity: The price is nearing the apex of the triangle, suggesting a potential breakout is imminent.
Implications:
Neutral Bias: The symmetrical triangle does not inherently suggest a bullish or bearish bias but indicates a potential breakout in either direction depending on market sentiment.
Volume Confirmation: A breakout with a significant surge in volume will confirm the direction of the move.
Trading Strategy:
Bullish Breakout: If the price breaks above the upper trendline with strong volume, consider entering long positions targeting previous resistance levels.
Bearish Breakout: Conversely, if the price breaks below the lower trendline with increased volume, consider short positions targeting previous support levels.
Stop-Loss Placement: Place stops just outside the opposite side of the breakout point to mitigate risks from false breakouts.
2. 30-Minute Time Frame: Mixed Channels (Descending and Ascending)
Patterns Observed:
Descending Channels: Suggest bearish continuation if in a downtrend or a potential reversal if broken to the upside.
Ascending Channels: Suggest bullish continuation if in an uptrend but signal a potential reversal if broken to the downside.
Market Implications:
Corrective Phase: The presence of both descending and ascending channels indicates the market is in a corrective phase, oscillating between support and resistance levels.
Range-Bound Trading: Until a significant breakout occurs, the market is likely to remain range-bound.
Trading Strategy:
Range Trading: Consider buying at the lower boundaries of the channels and selling at the upper boundaries.
Breakout Preparation: Prepare for a potential breakout by setting alerts around key levels (upper and lower boundaries of the channels).
Stop-Loss Placement: Place stops just outside the channels to protect against unexpected breakouts.
3. 1-Hour Time Frame: Rising Wedge Pattern
Pattern Details:
Rising Wedge: This pattern is characterized by higher highs and higher lows within a narrowing upward slope, typically a bearish reversal pattern.
Implications:
Bearish Reversal: The rising wedge suggests that upward momentum is weakening, and a potential breakdown could follow.
Reversal Zone: The price is near the upper boundary of the wedge, which may serve as a reversal zone, especially if a breakout to the downside occurs on high volume.
Trading Strategy:
Short Entry on Breakdown: Enter short positions if the price breaks below the lower trendline of the wedge with confirming volume.
Target Levels: Target the lower boundary of the larger ascending channel or previous support levels as take-profit points.
Stop-Loss Placement: Set stops above the most recent high within the wedge to protect against false breakouts.
4. 4-Hour Time Frame: Broader Rising Channel and Nested Patterns
Patterns Observed:
Broad Rising Channel: Indicates a larger uptrend is intact, providing a bullish bias.
Nested Descending Channels: Smaller corrective patterns within the broader uptrend suggest temporary pauses or consolidation phases before potential continuation moves.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance at 2,540: A break above this level would suggest a bullish continuation and potential for new highs.
Support at 2,470: A break below this level would indicate a significant shift in market sentiment towards bearishness.
Market Implications:
Potential Continuation or Reversal: The larger rising channel gives more weight to potential continuation moves, but the presence of smaller corrective patterns within suggests caution.
Echo Phase: The nested descending channel could represent an echo phase, a corrective move within the larger uptrend.
Trading Strategy:
Long Positions on Break Above 2,540: Enter long positions if the price breaks above this resistance level with confirming volume.
Short Positions on Break Below 2,470: Consider short positions if the price breaks below this support level with increased volume.
Volume Confirmation: Ensure any breakout is confirmed with a surge in volume to avoid false signals.
Risk Management: Use wider stops given the higher time frame context to avoid being stopped out by market noise.
5. Synthesis of Multi-Time Frame Analysis:
Confluence of Patterns: The alignment of rising wedges, symmetrical triangles, and mixed channels across multiple time frames suggests a market at a critical juncture. The presence of both bullish and bearish signals indicates that the market is poised for a decisive move.
Key Takeaways for Traders:
Patience and Discipline: Wait for confirmed breakouts with volume before entering trades. Do not rush into trades without sufficient confirmation.
Adaptability: Be prepared to adapt strategies based on the direction of the breakout or breakdown. Use alerts and monitor key levels closely.
Focus on Higher Time Frame Signals: Higher time frame signals carry more weight and should be given priority when making trading decisions.
Risk Management: Employ tight stops and carefully manage position sizes to limit exposure in case of adverse market movements.
6. Final Recommendations:
Potential Bullish Scenario:
Watch for a break above 2,540 on strong volume across multiple time frames. A confirmed breakout could lead to a bullish continuation towards new highs.
Potential Bearish Scenario:
Monitor for a breakdown below 2,470, especially if supported by a break of the rising wedge and descending channel patterns. A breakdown here would signal a shift to a bearish trend.
By combining these insights with real-time monitoring of market conditions, traders can enhance their decision-making process and capitalize on high-probability trade setups in the XAU/USD market.
Advanced Camarilla Concepts (1)Exploring Advanced Camarilla Concepts: The Strategic Role of Pivot Width
In the realm of technical analysis, understanding the nuances of pivot points, particularly within the Camarilla framework, can significantly enhance a trader's ability to forecast and capitalize on market movements. A key aspect often overlooked is the analysis of pivot width, especially the width between the third layers, S3 and R3, which offers crucial insights into impending market dynamics.
Pivot Width Analysis: Decoding Market Behavior
Pivot width, the distance between significant Camarilla support (S3) and resistance (R3) levels, is a powerful indicator of potential market behavior. The interpretation of pivot width can be categorized into two distinct scenarios:
Abnormally Wide Pivot Widths: When the distance between S3 and R3 is unusually large, it often indicates that the market might enter a period of trading range activity. In such scenarios, the market is less likely to exhibit strong directional momentum, and instead, traders might experience extended periods of consolidation. This setup requires strategies that capitalize on range-bound trading techniques, where buying at support and selling at resistance can be particularly effective.
Abnormally Narrow Pivot Widths: Conversely, a tighter than usual gap between these pivot points typically signals the potential for breakout and trending activities. Narrow pivot widths suggest that the market is coiling, much like a spring, ready to release significant energy that could lead to strong directional moves. Traders should prepare for breakout strategies during these conditions, anticipating substantial moves away from the pivot line once a breakout occurs.
Strategic Application in Trading
Understanding and applying pivot width analysis within the Camarilla framework allows traders to adapt their strategies based on anticipated market conditions. By aligning trading approaches with pivot width signals, traders can enhance their tactical execution and improve the probability of success in varying market environments.
For Wide Pivots: Implement range-bound strategies, focusing on capturing the oscillations between the defined support and resistance levels.
For Narrow Pivots: Prepare for potential breakouts by setting entry points near the anticipated breakout levels, with appropriate stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively.
Conclusion: Enhancing Trading Acumen with Pivot Width Analysis
The study of pivot width in the context of Camarilla pivots offers a sophisticated tool for traders aiming to refine their market analysis and execution strategies. By paying close attention to these details, traders can better prepare for the market's next moves, whether they point to a continuation of the range or the start of a new trend.
Stay tuned for further insights into the application of Camarilla pivots in trading, as we continue to explore deeper layers of this powerful analytical tool. This exploration not only enriches your trading toolkit but also enhances your ability to navigate through complex market landscapes.
A simple long-term T/F Stochastic Trick You Will Only Learn Here
Cast your minds back to the end of 2015 guys. I know you probably have no recall on the Gold-price.
So let me tell you how the Gold price was behaving at the end of 2015.
For several years prior (approximately) 2012-2015 the Gold Price was trending down to a support level around December 2015.
Now, take a look at the 3 MONTH-Chart for XAU USD. What do you see when looking at the 2nd bottom of chart indicator the Stochastics. Scan from left to right from 2007 to 2024. How many times does it get over-sold under the crucial 20 level. Do you get my drift?
Just prior to December 2015 the Stochastic on the 3M chart crossed-down below the 20 level. But it would've been pressing-down-hard at the floor so you would not be buying yet.
But now, look what happens to price around December 2015 when the 3-MONTH-STOCHASTIC INDICATOR crosses up the Green-20 line. You are correct, price starts to rally-hard.
Forget the so-called gurus selling the b.s. indicators guys. Stochastics and especially on the Higher-Time-Frame is the "KING" of all indicators. It's only let-down is that it does tend to give you a road-map of when to exit your trade. That road-map can be achieved tracking the MACD, which incidentally, the MACD got you into a trade here in Gold not long after the Stochastic crossed-up the 20, there was a Bullish cross-up of the MACD lines. The lower under the zero line this MACD cross occurs. Following the MACD and RSI can actually create a road-map like you are driving a car and trying to avoid an interest, I might explain this another time.
But again, nobody will teach you this trading secret on the Highertimeframes, you will only learn it from the 100% free subscription service delivered by me here at easy_explosive_trades. Just imagine buying 1 lot in XAU USD and capitalising on that 138% move. I have not done the maths.
These are the big trades I look for on the highertimeframes. I started investing and trading during the GFC in 2008 but in 2015 I did not know about this very insider high-time-frame trick using the number 1 indicator, the King-Stochastics, it get you into trades on HTF with needle point accuracy.
Nobody showed me this trick. I work these things out myself. I wanted to share it with you. As I am proud to have you part of my channel.
Cheers,
Chris
easy_explosive_trader
* Trading is risky. Don't rely solely on my investment advice.
Monday's trades: We are bidding up the Silver price & Palladium. Both of these and especially Palladium are bullish on the HTF.
Hey..... forget these gurus with their 72 day moving averages & 171 day moving averages. You make money sticking to the basics in trading.
Finally, I encourage you to, if you take my trades, to always risk no more than 0.25% to 0.50%. I endeavour always to give you fantastic RR not this 1:1 crap that the expensive subscriptions in Gold and Currency's charge. I make enough money trading, I don't need to make money out of you.
How Spotting Liquidity Can Help Your Trading StrategyUnderstanding where liquidity exists in the market can help enhance your trading success in a few ways:
1. It can help you understand where potential blocks of liquidation could occur. The market is often attracted to these block and will liquidate there.
2. It can help you confirm patterns that exist on you charts
3. It can help you spot new patterns which you may not have spotted previously.
Let's take a quick look at the "Liquidity Swings" indicator by LuxAlgo in this video.
Gap Between Understanding and Expect;Why forex traders failThis topic explores how uninformed expectations often lead to failure in Forex trading.
The internet is littered with people explaining how they lost money in Forex trading or how Forex is a scam. In your circle of friends and family, should you make the mistake of mentioning Forex trading, you are likely to get salty looks. To many, Forex trading equals failure and heartbreak.
To further emphasize the magnitude of failure in this industry, Forex brokers issue disclaimers on their websites indicating failure rates ranging from 75-90%. To put it into perspective, out of 1000 individuals who venture into Forex trading, up to 900 inevitably will fail and lose their entire capital outlay. A sad statistic indeed. I must admit, in my 10-year trading career, I have formed part of that painful statistic.
Why do we fail? I wonder? Presently, I seem to gravitate towards the belief that fundamentally, our failure is primarily driven by divergence between understanding and expectations. I posit further when we place a premium on expectations over understanding, we should prepare for rather painful results. From experience, many enter the Forex trading space driven by expectations, not understanding.
By definition, understanding is awareness. Expectation is defined as the belief that something will happen. Let me illustrate how the divergence between understanding and expectation causes failure.
Recall your childhood years watching your favorite superhero, say, superman. Watching the indestructible Superman flying around fighting bad guys was quite a motivator. Children are impressionable, therefore, it wasn't hard to find young boys mimicking Superman's behavior to the degree we thought we could fly. It was common to find boys leaping off tables and high surfaces believing and expecting they could fly. At this point, gravity, or the understanding of the effects of gravity was a foreign concept. Later on, of course, gravity was introduced to us painfully, sometimes with an accompanying injury and or beating from our mothers. I believe this reminder illustrates the outcomes when understanding and expectations are not aligned.
Back to Forex trading. If we are honest, we lose not because we seek understanding and mastery, we lose because we seek to fulfill our expectations. The promise of a lavish lifestyle, and the allure of making X % per month without struggling appeals to many. Ultimately, this leads to disastrous decisions that end in heartbreak.
How do you bridge the gap between understanding and expectations?
1. Education and continuous learning
I am in my fourth profitable year in Forex trading. What is different, my desire to consistently improve my knowledge is constant. I am always learning new things that improve my skills and edge. I am not the same trader I was six months ago.
2. Set realistic goals.
Early in my trading career, I would set goals out of desire and ignorance. Consequently, I would trade aggressively and force the markets to meet my expectations. The outcome was always disastrous. Presently, I target a 20% return annually based on experience. This target is achievable and less risky, allowing me to outlast seasons.
In conclusion, mastery is only achieved through understanding. I leave you with a verse from the Bible to reinforce the above statement, Proverbs 4: 5-9
How Market Dynamics Can Improve Your Trades█ Understanding Optimal Trading Strategies: How Market Dynamics Can Improve Your Trades
As traders, whether seasoned professionals or newcomers to the market, we're constantly looking for ways to improve our trading strategies and reduce costs. One area that often goes overlooked is the dynamic nature of supply and demand in the market and how it can impact your trades. In this article, we'll break down the key insights from a study on optimal trading strategies and show you how this knowledge can be applied to enhance your trading performance.
█ The Basics: What You Need to Know About Supply and Demand Dynamics
When you place a trade, you're interacting with the market's supply and demand. Traditionally, many traders think of supply and demand in static terms—like the bid-ask spread or how deep the market is at any given moment. However, the reality is that supply and demand are dynamic—they change over time, especially after a trade is executed. One of the most important concepts from the study is market resilience. This refers to how quickly the market returns to its normal state after a trade has been placed. In simple terms, resilience is how fast new buy or sell orders come in after you've placed your trade. Understanding this can be a game-changer for your trading strategy.
█ The Strategy: Combining Large and Small Trades for Optimal Results
The study suggests an optimal trading strategy that might seem counterintuitive at first. Instead of splitting your trades evenly over time, it recommends a mix of large and small trades. Here’s how it works:
Start with a Large Trade: Begin with a significant trade that moves the market slightly. This "shakes up" the market and attracts new orders from other traders who see the opportunity.
Follow with Smaller Trades: After the initial large trade, continue with smaller, more frequent trades. These smaller trades allow you to absorb the new orders that come in without pushing the market too far in either direction.
Finish with Another Large Trade: As you approach the end of your trading window, place another large trade to complete your order. At this point, you're less concerned about future market conditions since your goal is to finalize the transaction.
█ Why This Strategy Works
This approach leverages the dynamic nature of the market. By starting with a large trade, you create a temporary imbalance that encourages other traders to place orders, which you can then capitalize on with your smaller trades. The key is understanding that markets don’t just respond to one trade—they continuously adjust. By strategically timing your trades, you can reduce the overall cost of execution.
█ How Retail Traders Can Apply This Knowledge
Even if you're trading smaller volumes, you can still benefit from understanding market dynamics. Here’s how you can apply these principles to your own trading:
Observe Market Depth and Liquidity: Before placing a trade, take a look at the market depth (how many buy and sell orders are available at different price levels) and consider the market's resilience. If the market is less liquid, be cautious about placing large trades all at once.
Adjust Your Trade Sizes: Instead of placing a single large order, consider breaking it up. Start with a larger trade to test the market, then follow up with smaller trades to take advantage of the new orders that might come in.
Be Mindful of Timing: Spread out your trades over time, especially in less liquid markets. This can help you avoid moving the market too much and keep your trading costs lower.
█ For Retail Traders Without Access to the Order Book: How to Spot Big Players
Not all retail traders have access to the order book or sophisticated market data. However, you can still benefit from the principles of dynamic supply and demand by analyzing price charts directly. Here's how you can do it:
⚪ Look for Imbalances in the Price Chart: When a large player enters the market, their trades can create noticeable imbalances in the price action. For example, if you see a sharp move in price followed by a series of smaller movements in the same direction, it could indicate that a big player has started trading and is following up with smaller trades, just as the strategy suggests.
⚪ Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Fair Value Gaps are areas on a price chart where there is little to no trading activity, often due to a large, quick movement in price. These gaps can serve as clues that a large order has just been executed, leading to a temporary imbalance. When the market later returns to these gaps, it can be an opportunity to place trades in the direction of the original move, anticipating that the large player might continue to influence the market.
█ The Big Takeaway: Trading Isn’t Just About Prices—It’s About Timing
Understanding that supply and demand in the market are constantly changing can give you a significant edge. By timing your trades strategically and mixing large and small orders, you can reduce the impact of your trades on the market, ultimately saving on costs and improving your returns. Whether you're a retail trader managing a small portfolio or a professional handling large orders, these principles can be applied to improve your trading strategy. And even if you don’t have access to the order book, studying price imbalances, Fair Value Gaps, and other price action cues can help you detect the underlying intentions of big players, allowing you to trade more effectively in their wake.
The next time you plan a trade, remember: it's not just about what you trade, but how and when you trade that can make all the difference.
█ Reference
Obizhaeva, A. A., & Wang, J. (2013). Optimal trading strategy and supply/demand dynamics. Journal of Financial Markets, 16, 1–32.
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Disclaimer
This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only.
The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
The Basics of Becoming a Swing TraderIn this educational lesson, we will explain the concept of swing trading so that aspiring traders can learn how it works and what it means. Swing trading is considered a short to medium-term strategy that aims to trade specific market “swings” or oscillations within a broader trend. Swing trading is not day trading, and it is not long-term investing. Instead, it fits somewhere between those two disciplines.
Swing trading typically spans a few days to several weeks and it begins with the trader spotting a large trend, finding a discrepancy in the current price within that larger trend, and then structuring a trade based on this intermediate price action. Swing traders primarily rely on technical analysis, using indicators and strategies to spot these specific swings within larger trends.
Before we discuss the details of these indicators and other concepts, allow us to give you the basics one more time. Here are the key points:
Timeframe: Medium term
Analysis: Mostly technical
Goal: Capitalize on moves within larger trends
Example: Open a chart of USD/JPY ( USDJPY Chart — Dollar Yen Rate — TradingView ) and look at the trend since early 2021. Now, within that trend, look for the oscillations and swings that occurred, showing quick drops and then quick rises or vice versa. Swing traders look to spot these price movements within the overall trend, placing trades that last a few days to several weeks.
Forex Swing Trading:
Forex markets are ideal for swing trading due to high liquidity, typically tight spreads, and around the clock trading. Traders usually focus on momentum peaks and dips, rather than long-term currency value. Both concepts are unique to forex markets and make it ripe for swing trading. In addition, like all other markets, technical tools can be accessed in forex markets as well.
If you’re interested in learning how specific indicators are used by swing traders, go give the following indicators a look:
1. A short to medium-term moving average like 5, 10 or 20 days.
2. MACD to research crossovers and divergence between price and moving averages.
3. Stochastic oscillators to look for overbought and oversold conditions.
4. Pivot Points to look for potential support and resistance levels on shorter time intervals.
Thanks for reading our latest educational post about becoming a swing trader! Be sure to follow us for more updates and educational resources like this.
How to Decode Market Days: Wide Range, Inside, and Outside DaysHey Traders! 👋
Let's break down some classic chart patterns that can clue you in on the market's next move. We're exploring Wide Range Days, Inside Days, and Outside Days today. These are your bread and butter for spotting potential volatility and directional shift s!
Wide Range Days (WRD)
These are the days when the market just can't sit still—volatility shoots through the roof, often without hitting new highs or lows.
Triggered by unexpected news or a sudden surge in order activity, a WRD can signal that a peak or pivotal reversal is near.
💡 Tip: If the market closes near the high or low of a WRD, it’s a strong hint at continued movement in that direction. But remember, extreme moves often lead to a pause or reversal as the market catches its breath.
Outside Days
An Outside Day steps out of the shadow of the previous day, with a high higher and a low lower than the day before.
This pattern often hints at a reversal, especially if it comes with high volatility.
💡 Keep in Mind: An Outside Day with low volatility and only slightly larger than the previous day is a weaker signal. It’s crucial to consider the context—what was the market like leading up to this?
Inside Days
📈 Why They Matter:
Inside Days are like the market taking a time-out, staying within the range set by the previous day.
This pattern usually signals a decrease in volatility and can indicate a consolidation phase after a big move.
Trading Strategy: Post-explosive move, if all the action has attracted everyone likely to buy in, the price might be too steep for new players, leading to a stagnant or reversing trend once the news fades or the market reevaluates.
Wrapping It Up 🙌
Single-day patterns are just pieces of the larger market puzzle. They’re common but need discerning eyes to interpret correctly. Always corroborate these patterns with other indicators and market context to enhance your trading strategy.
Remember, trading is not just about recognizing patterns but understanding the market's language. Keep refining your approach and stay ahead of the curve. Happy trading!
How to Use Fibonacci Retracements to Find Entry and Exit PointsAlright, traders, let’s talk about Fibonacci Retracements — the tool that’s part math, part mysticism, and all about finding those sweet spots for entry and exit. If you’ve ever wondered how seasoned traders seem to know exactly when to jump in and when to cash out, chances are they’ve got Fibonacci retracements in their toolbox (or they’re insider trading).
What Are Fibonacci Retracements?
Fibonacci Retracements are based on the famous Fibonacci sequence — a string of numbers discovered in the 1200s by the medieval Italian mathematician Leonardo of Pisa (later nicknamed Fibonacci, meaning "son of Bonacci"). The sequence of numbers starts with 1, 2, 3, 5 and grows by adding the sum of the two previous numbers.
These mystical numbers show up everywhere from pinecones and seashells to the human hand and the Apple logo and, of course, the charts. It all comes down to 61.8%, the golden child of market moves and corrections. But before you go off believing Fibonacci is some sort of market sorcerer, let’s break it down.
The Key Levels
23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6% : These are the Fibonacci retracement levels you’ll see on your chart when you whip up the Fibonacci Retracement. They’re acting as the market’s pit stops — areas where the price could take a breather or reverse altogether.
Traders use these levels to predict how far a price might pull back before resuming its trend. Put simply, it’s like finding the market’s sweet spot where it says, “Enough with the chit-chat, let’s bounce.”
How to Use Fibonacci Retracements
Identify the Trend : First, you need a clear trend — trace a price trajectory and make sure there is a well-defined and sustained move either up or down with a clear reversal at the end. No trend? No Fibonacci.
Draw the Retracement : Stretch the Fib tool from the start of the move (swing low) to the end (swing high). If the trend is up, draw from low to high. If it’s down, high to low. Watch as those golden ratios light up your chart like a Christmas tree. Now you’ve got your levels mapped out and you can easily start looking for the potential turning points.
Spot the Bounce : The series of horizontal lines on your chart — these are your Fibonacci levels, and they’re not just pretty—they’re potential support and resistance zones. When the price retraces to a Fib level, it’s decision time. Will it bounce, or will it break? The 61.8% level is the big one — the golden ratio. If the price holds there, it may be a sign that the trend could continue. If it breaks, well, it’s time to reassess. Think of it as the market’s line in the sand.
Finding Entry Points
Here’s where it gets interesting. Imagine the market’s been on a bull run, but then starts to pull back. You’re itching to buy, but where? This is where Fibonacci levels shine.
When the price retraces to a key Fibonacci level (say 38.2% or 50%), it’s like the market is pausing to catch its breath. That’s your cue to consider entering a position. You’re aiming to ride the next wave up once the market finishes its coffee break at one of these levels.
Nailing Exit Points
On the flip side, if you’re already in a trade and looking to lock in profits, those same Fibonacci levels can be your guide for exiting. If the price is approaching a key level from below, it might be time to secure your gains before the market pulls another U-turn.
For the bold and brave, you can even set your sights on the 161.8% level — this is where Fibonacci extensions come into play. It’s a target for when the market decides it’s not just going to bounce, but rocket into the stratosphere.
Pro Tip: Fib Confluence
Looking to up your game? Combine Fibonacci with other indicators like moving averages or trendlines. When multiple signals converge around a Fib level, it may be a strong confirmation that the trend could turn. Pay attention and always do your own research — fakeouts are real.
Why It Works (and Why It Doesn't)
Some say Fibonacci levels work because they’re rooted in natural mathematics. Others believe it’s a self-fulfilling prophecy because so many traders use them. And just like any strategy, it doesn’t work 100% of the time. The market has a mind of its own, and sometimes it just doesn’t care about your Fibonacci levels. But when they do work, they can give you a serious edge.
The Bottom Line
Fibonacci Retracements aren’t just a bunch of lines on a chart — they’re your reminder that maybe everything is indeed one from the universe’s perspective and there are naturally occurring patterns everywhere.
Whether you believe in the math and the or just like the results, one thing’s for sure: Fibs can give you an edge in spotting when to hold back or lean forward. So next time you’re stuck wondering when to buy or sell, try the Fibonacci.
How to Trade with a Momentum IndicatorHow to Trade with a Momentum Indicator
The momentum oscillator (MOM) is a vital instrument in the trader's toolkit. Designed to measure the velocity of asset price changes, it serves as a compass for traders, pointing them towards prevailing market trends. By analysing this indicator, traders can gain insights that allow them to seize budding opportunities in volatile markets. Keep reading to broaden your understanding and elevate your momentum indicator strategies.
Momentum Technical Analysis
Momentum technical analysis is a crucial aspect of understanding the financial markets. Traders and investors rely on momentum tools to identify potential trends and make trading decisions.
What Is a Momentum Technical Indicator?
While the term "momentum" is often tossed around in financial circles, its technical significance is profound. Momentum indicators are a class of technical analysis tools that quantify the strength and direction of market trends. They help traders and investors identify potential reversal points, overbought or oversold conditions, and the continuation of existing trends. These tools are based on the principle that price trends often exhibit momentum before they reverse or continue. However, there is also such a thing as a momentum oscillator.
Momentum Oscillator
The momentum indicator or oscillator (MOM) is a technical analysis tool that’s available on most trading platforms, including services like FXOpen’s TickTrader. It’s one of the best momentum indicators. The MOM displays the speed of change in a financial instrument's price over a specific time frame. You can apply the momentum indicator to forex, stock, commodity, and crypto* markets.
MOM formula = (Current Close/Close N Periods Ago)*100
By default, the indicator is set to 10 periods, but traders can easily change this in the settings tab. The calculated values are plotted below the trading chart as a single line that moves near the 0 line. If today's price is the same as it was 10 days ago, the indicator's value is plotted on the zero line. If today's price is higher than it was 10 days ago, the indicator plots above the line, and vice versa.
When trading stocks, the momentum indicator typically fluctuates between +/- 20, while for forex pairs, its range is more like +/- 0.02. The chart below provides an example of how the momentum oscillator is used on a daily GBP/USD chart.
How to Use the Momentum Oscillator
Here's a breakdown of the procedure for using the momentum indicator in trading:
Tapping into the potential of the MOM is quite straightforward. For those who swear by MetaTrader, it's as easy as venturing into the oscillators section to access the momentum indicator on MT4 or MT5. For TickTrader enthusiasts, a quick search on the list of indicators should yield the built-in MOM.
1. Zero-Line Crossover
Keeping an eye on the MOM indicator when it crosses the zero line is the most straightforward and fundamental trading technique. An upward momentum (with values above the midpoint) often suggests a potential buy signal, implying the asset is likely to continue its upward movement. Conversely, when the MOM consistently hovers below the midpoint, it indicates a sell cue, hinting at a possible continuation of the asset's downward trajectory.
Take, for instance, the GBP/USD pair. As the pair spirals downward, a consistent position below zero signals a dominant momentum steering, it further down and vice versa.
2. Divergence Trading Momentum Oscillator
The momentum oscillator is instrumental in pinpointing divergences on a chart. Essentially, a divergence arises when there's a discrepancy between the market movement and the MOM, akin to top momentum indicators like the Stochastic or RSI. It often hints at a forthcoming shift in market direction.
There are primarily two forms of divergences:
- Classic (Regular): This is used to anticipate potential trend reversals.
- Hidden: This aids in identifying the likely continuation of existing trends.
For instance, in the GBP/USD chart, we notice a hidden bullish divergence pointing to the trend's continuation and a classic bullish divergence pointing to a trend reversal.
3. Extreme Readings
Extreme readings in momentum indicators can provide valuable insights for traders by indicating potential overbought or oversold market conditions. As the momentum oscillator is unbounded, it’s harder to identify overbought and oversold conditions compared to the RSI or the Stochastic oscillator.
To do this, a trader needs to compare recent highs and lows. If the oscillator reaches a significant peak, the asset can be considered overbought and may fall soon. Conversely, if the oscillator falls to noticeable lows, the asset may be oversold and may rise soon.
In the chart above, the momentum oscillator reached a significant high, following the uptrend in the EURGBP pair. After that, the price moved down.
When using the momentum oscillator, traders incorporate additional technical indicators and filters to avoid overtrading and reduce market noise.
How to Combine the MOM with Other Technical Analysis Tools
By incorporating a 200-period EMA on the chart along with the MOM, we can discern the overarching market trend. A price positioned above the 200-period EMA is indicative of an uptrend, prompting traders to scout for bullish signals on the MOM. On the flip side, a price below this suggests a downtrend, warranting a lookout for bearish signals.
For instance, in the GBP/USD chart, we notice an upward market trajectory marked by two bullish divergence signals: a hidden one pointing to the trend's continuation and a classic one pointing to the trend’s reversal.
Conclusion
To succeed in trading, finding financial assets with momentum is key. The momentum indicator can help traders identify these assets before they make big moves, but it's important to remember that it’s not foolproof. Other technical and fundamental analysis tools are often used to evaluate market trends. To start utilising the MOM and many other tools, consider opening an FXOpen account.
*At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules, respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
e-Learning with the TradingMasteryHub - 3 Strategies You Need
Welcome to the TradingMasteryHub Education Series!
Are you ready to take your trading to the next level? Join us for another exciting lesson in our 10-part series where we dive deep into strategies that can transform your trading game. Whether you're a beginner or looking to refine your strategy, these lessons are designed to guide you on your journey to mastering the markets.
Three Proven Strategies That Can Make You a Fortune, When You Follow Them with Discipline!
In trading, having the right strategy is crucial, but even the best strategy won’t work if you don’t stick to it. Today, we’re uncovering three live-proven strategies that can potentially lead to massive gains—when executed with discipline and precision.
1. The Trend-Following Strategy: Ride the Waves
Trend-following is all about identifying and capitalising on sustained market movements. This strategy involves buying when the market is in an uptrend and selling when it’s in a downtrend. The key is to use indicators like moving averages and the ADX (Average Directional Index) to confirm the strength of the trend.
The beauty of trend-following lies in its simplicity. By aligning your trades with the market's momentum, you increase your chances of catching big moves. But remember, patience is key. Wait for clear signals before entering a trade, and always protect your position with a well-placed stop-loss to minimise risk.
2. The Breakout Strategy: Capture Explosive Moves
Breakout trading focuses on identifying price levels where the market has repeatedly struggled to break through—these are your key support and resistance levels. When the price finally breaks out of these levels, it often leads to significant moves.
To execute this strategy, use tools like the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) and Relative Volume (RVOL) to confirm the strength of the breakout. A high RVOL indicates that the breakout is supported by strong market participation, increasing the likelihood of a sustained move. The trick here is to act quickly but carefully, entering the trade as soon as the breakout is confirmed and setting your stop-loss just below the breakout level to protect against false moves.
3. The Mean Reversion Strategy: Profit from Market Extremes
Mean reversion strategies work on the principle that prices eventually return to their average or "mean" after extreme moves. This approach is particularly effective in range-bound markets where prices oscillate between defined levels.
To implement this strategy, you’ll need indicators like the RSI (Relative Strength Index) or Bollinger Bands to identify overbought and oversold conditions. When the market shows signs of exhaustion at these extremes, you can enter a trade expecting a reversal back toward the mean. The key to success here is timing—enter too early, and you might get caught in a continued move against you; enter too late, and the best part of the move may already be over.
The Key to Success: Discipline and Consistency
While these strategies have the potential to deliver significant returns, they only work if you follow them with discipline. That means sticking to your trading plan, setting realistic profit targets, and most importantly, managing your risk. Remember, no strategy is foolproof—losses are part of the game. The goal is to stay consistent, manage your emotions, and keep learning from each trade, win or lose.
Conclusion and Recommendation
These three strategies—trend-following, breakout trading, and mean reversion—are time-tested and can be incredibly profitable when applied correctly. But success in trading doesn’t come from the strategy alone; it comes from the discipline to follow your plan, manage your risk, and stay calm under pressure.
As you incorporate these strategies into your trading routine, focus on maintaining a strong risk/reward ratio and a consistent approach. Over time, this discipline will build the confidence and experience you need to potentially turn these strategies into a fortune.
Can’t Get Enough? Don't Miss Out!
Subscribe, share, and engage with us in the comments. This is the start of a supportive trading community—built by traders, for traders! Join us on the journey to market mastery, where we grow, learn, and succeed together.
What You'll Learn:
- Proven trading strategies
- How to confirm trade setups
- Risk management and execution
- And much more!...
Best wishes,
TradingMasteryHub
Profitable Gold Price Action Strategy For Beginners
To trade this Gold price action strategy, you need to learn just 2 simple things:
support and resistance levels identification
a couple of bullish and bearish price action patterns.
In this article, I will share with you a complete guide for Gold trading with price action and reveal the best patterns for XAUUSD.
Step 1
Your First task will be to execute complete structure analysis on a daily time frame.
It means that you should identify all vertical and horizontal supports and resistances.
From structure supports, we will look for buying opportunities.
From structure resistances, we will look for selling the market.
Above, you can see how a complete Gold support and resistance analysis should look.
Step 2
Patiently wait for the test of one of these structures.
In the example above, we see a test of Support.
Step 3
Your next task will be to look for a price action pattern on an hourly time frame on one of these structures.
You should look for a bullish pattern after a test of a structure support.
You should look for a bearish pattern after a test of a structure resistance.
Here is the list of classic bullish patterns that you should look for:
falling wedge,
bullish flag,
double bottom,
triple bottom,
inverted head & shoulders pattern,
cup & handle,
ascending triangle.
Once you identified a bullish pattern, simply wait for a signal -
with horizontal patterns like a double bottom or cup & handle you should wait for a bullish breakout of its neckline - an hourly candle close above.
With vertical patterns like a bullish flag or a falling wedge, you should look for a bullish breakout of its trend line - and hourly candle close above.
Here is the list of classic bearish patterns that you should look for:
rising wedge,
bearish flag,
double top,
triple top,
head & shoulders pattern,
inverted cup & handle,
descending triangle.
Once you identified a bearish pattern, simply wait for a signal -
with horizontal patterns like a double top or inverted cup & handle you should wait for a bearish breakout of its neckline - an hourly candle close below.
With vertical patterns like a bearish flag or a rising wedge, you should look for a
bearish breakout of its trend line - and hourly candle close below.
Sometimes there will be the situation when you will encounter multiple patterns. The rule is that the more - the better.
Above, we can see 2 bullish patterns on an hourly time frame, after a test of a key daily support on Gold: bullish flag pattern and cup & handle.
The price broke the resistance line of the flag and a neckline of a cup & handle, giving us a strong bullish signal.
Step 4
Open a trading position.
Once you spotted a bearish pattern after a test of a key daily resistance, and a signal - a bearish breakout of a neckline or a trend line, sell Gold on a retest of a broken neckline/trend line.
Stop loss will lie above the highs of the patterns.
Take profit will be the closest 4H support.
Once you spotted a bullish pattern after a test of a key daily support, and a signal - a bullish breakout of a neckline or a trend line, buy Gold on a retest of a broken neckline/trend line.
Stop loss will lie below the lows of the pattern.
Take profit will be the closest 4H resistance.
In our example, a long position was opened on Gold on a retest of a broken neckline of a cup & handle formation. Stop loss lies below the lows, TP based on a 4H resistance.
After some time, the price reached the target!
This Gold price action strategy is simple and very profitable. Try this strategy by your own and good luck in trading Gold!
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
A simple Stock strategy to trade with edge!A simple, profitable strategy.
If you’re struggling to trade profitability and searching for the ‘Holy Grail’ of trading strategies, then you’re in luck. I’ve got it for you….
DON’T SHORT STOCKS!
Well, that’s it in a nutshell. I will elaborate, but please read on because this was a game changer for me. It sounds too simple. Honestly, my win/loss ratio has improved , and my hairline has stopped receding.
The simplistic rationale for long only
1. Just look at the S&P500 chart since 2010. It is statistically impossible to lose money if you only buy.
2. People want to buy stocks! It’s just a fact. Everyone in the world is investing in stocks, whether it's for their retirement, their children's ISAs, speculating through the 30 apps on their smartphones, or visiting their local bank, with the aim of beating inflation and outperforming savings accounts.
3. During the most significant event of my life, the infamous COVID-19 pandemic, the S&P500 experienced a 30% decline, causing the world to stop, businesses to close, and a sense of impending doom! The S&P is now up 60%, reaching an all-time high!
4. The buy-only mentality, when combined with simple technical analysis, can eliminate 50% of trade ideas, clear your mind, reduce 50% of stress, and, as stated in Point 1, enhance your edge.
5. Most importantly, stocks are an appreciating asset; they want to go up. A company's entire purpose is to grow!
Okay, so that’s a really simple rationale. I get that some stocks do go down during market corrections or natural ebbs and flows; we want market pullbacks. We could go into boring stats like volatility and liquidity, etc., but the key point is that stocks go up! I can’t emphasise this enough.
The simple strategy
My strategy applies to stock indexes (US500, US100, etc.) as well as individual stocks; however, indexes are easier, in my opinion. I would recommend sticking to well-known stocks that fit this complex filter. Is it likely to fail? Here are some recent stocks I have traded using this filter. McDonald's (MCD) and Go Daddy's (GDDY)
We've already decided to focus solely on long-only trades, so how do we begin? We chase momentum using these complex , simple technical tools.
1. The daily price must be above these simple moving averages (SMA): 20, 50, 100 = momentum!
2. 4-hour price above these simple moving averages (SMA) of 20, 50, 100= short-term momentum.
3. Avoid trading at major resistance levels.
4. Enter trades on a 4-hour chart; don’t over-analyse.
5. Take profits.
To fine-tune an entry, you can apply this extremely simple framework to any existing TA skills, candlestick patterns (bullish engulfing, ABC pullback, pinbar, etc.), or market structure.
Here are some examples of trade entries on MCD, GDDY, and SPX. Follow the framework and keep your trading simple.
Why we always widen our stop loss when DAY TRADINGVery important and basic rule with Day Trading.
Always increase the stop loss when going short (sell) above the original stop loss.
Always decrease the stop loss when going long (buying) below the original set stop loss.
Reason: When the index touches the ASK or BID price (regardless of it actually trading there), it will get you out of your trade and hit your stop loss.
So, don’t be afraid to increase the distance between the entry and stop loss.
As long as the Risk to Reward stays above 1:1.5 – It’s fine.
How much do I increase the distance between the entry and the stop loss?
Notice what the spread is on the contract when you place your stop loss.
So wherever you wanted to put your stop loss originally, add the spread on top of that and that is where you would place your NEW stop loss.
Maybe 20 – 30 points is safe.
But other times it could be up to 50 points
8 Key qualities of a good traderA good trader often possesses a combination of skills, discipline, and mindset that sets them apart. Here are eight key qualities:
1. **Discipline**: A good trader sticks to a well-defined trading plan and doesn't let emotions drive their decisions. They consistently follow their strategies, whether in profit or loss, avoiding impulsive actions.
2. **Patience**: Successful traders understand that good trades don't happen every day. They patiently wait for the right opportunities that align with their trading strategy, avoiding the temptation to chase the market.
3. **Courage**: Trading often involves making difficult decisions under uncertainty. A good trader has the courage to take calculated risks, enter trades that align with their analysis, and stay in positions even when the market is volatile, as long as their strategy supports it.
4. **Confidence**: Confidence in their trading strategy and decisions is crucial for a trader. A good trader believes in their analysis and is not easily swayed by market noise or the opinions of others. This confidence helps them stick to their plan even in challenging situations.
5. **Consistency**: Consistency in execution is key to long-term trading success. A good trader applies their strategy consistently across different market conditions, refining it over time but maintaining a steady approach to achieve reliable results.
6. **Analytical Skills**: A strong ability to analyse market data, charts, and trends is essential. Good traders can interpret technical indicators, fundamental data, and market sentiment to make informed decisions.
7. **Risk Management**: Managing risk is crucial in trading. Good traders set stop-loss orders, position sizes, and risk-reward ratios to protect their capital. They understand that no trade is guaranteed, so they always prepare for potential losses.
8. **Adaptability**: Markets are constantly changing, and good traders can adapt to new conditions. They update their strategies as needed, learn from mistakes, and stay informed about market developments to remain competitive.
These qualities, combined with experience and continuous learning, help traders succeed in the long run.
Many happy trading years ahead.........NicheFX.