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How to measure a true range in any asset!Hello to everyone familiar with ICT concepts! If you already understand breakers, order blocks, and the principles of price premiums and discounts, you're in the right place. I’m excited to share some insights with you, using the FOREXCOM:EURUSD chart from August 20th, 2024. One challenge I've always faced is accurately measuring the true range. It often feels like price moves towards balance, finding equilibrium before moving away again. ICT's teachings on this topic can sometimes be a bit vague, especially when it comes to the details of whether to measure wicks or focus solely on candlestick bodies. However, I’ve recently made a breakthrough and discovered the key to accurately measuring a true range! This knowledge aligns with the idea of balances, but it’s crucial to understand that when one algorithm meets another, neither has the power to deviate far from the current price. But that's not what we need to focus on. What truly matters is identifying when the price is moving away from its current state. This method works exceptionally well during trending markets, like we’ve seen recently with #EURUSD, #GBPUSD, and other forex pairs. It’s also effective in commodities like Gold, indices such as #NQ, #YM, #ES, and even in the crypto markets! Take yesterday's trend in EURUSD, for example. We saw a significant 5-15 minute trend where the price perfectly retraced to its 50% level. But how did I know where to start measuring? This time, I used a breaker from a different structure on the 15-minute chart to identify the key level. The answer lies in understanding breakers, order blocks, and supporting structures. If this topic resonates with you, I’d love to hear your thoughts! Let’s dive deeper together—there’s so much more to explore. Feel free to share your insights or reach out if you’re curious about how to apply these concepts more effectively EURUSD 21.08.2024 10:11
Education
by iochkirill
How to Trade with the Choppiness IndexHow to Trade with the Choppiness Index The Choppiness Index is a valuable tool in the world of trading, particularly for experienced traders involved in analysing market trends and making informed trading decisions. Developed by Australian commodity trader E.W. Dreiss, this indicator is designed to measure price volatility or directionless behaviour. The Choppiness Index provides traders with insights into whether an asset is in a trending or ranging phase. This article describes the purpose, calculation, and application of this efficient tool. Continue reading if you need help adjusting and improving your trading strategies. What Is the Choppiness Index? The Choppiness Index (CI) is a technical analysis tool that helps determine whether a market is moving in a trend or consolidating. Sideways movements are challenging for traders to develop a viable strategy; thus, the Choppy market indicator, in conjunction with other technical tools, can help. A possible reversal of an existing trend can also be verified through the Choppiness Indicator. Yet, it is not a directional indicator and, therefore, cannot be used to predict future price direction. The Choppy market index can be useful in all asset classes, but higher volatility conditions, like in stock index trading, can be more suitable for this index. If you would like to explore how to enhance your market analysis techniques using the Choppiness Indicator, head over to FXOpen and try out TickTrader’s charting tools. How Is the Choppy Market Indicator Calculated? The Choppiness Index is calculated through the following formula: CI = 100 ∗ LOG10( ∑ n1ATR)( MaxHigh( n) − MinLow( n)) / LOG10( n) Where: ATR( 1) = Average True Range ( Period of 1) SUM( ATR( 1), n) = Sum of the Average True Range over n periods MaxHigh( n) = The highest peak over n periods MinLow( n) = The lowest trough over n periods Log10( n) = base-10 Log of n n = defined period length How to Use the Choppiness Index The CI value provides insights into the market situation when crossing a certain level or entering a predefined area. As an oscillator-type analysis tool, the CI takes values between 0 and 100. The most common interpretations of the Choppy market indicator are derived from the Fibonacci retracement values. Generally, it is considered that a reading below 38.2 indicates a trend; a reading between 38.2 and 61.8 suggests choppy movements that would make traders wait for the emergence of a clearer trend; a high reading of the Choppy market indicator is considered above 61.8, and it indicates very choppy or consolidated prices when many traders would prefer to stick to range-bound strategies. Depending on the specific asset, risk preference, or trading style, traders can apply different thresholds. For example, a fall below the level of 30 or a rise above the level of 50 could be considered a signal for a starting trend or the beginning of an indecision phase, respectively. The Chop Index can be very useful in stock index trading. That market can get volatile, and the Choppy market indicator allows traders to identify potential breakouts or lower volatility periods. Below are three examples on the US SPX 500 chart of how the Choppiness Index can be implemented when analysing real markets. A Trending Market (A Sudden Drop in the Choppiness Index) The CI value dropping below a certain threshold (typically below 38.2) signals that the market is starting a trending phase. This suggests that there is a clear and sustained price movement; however, as the CI does not show the direction of price movement, it may be either an upward or downward move. Traders engaged in stock index trading or interested in other asset classes may interpret this signal as an opportunity to employ trend-following strategies, such as buying in an uptrend or selling in a downtrend. Choppy or Ranging Asset Price (Moderate Levels of the Choppiness Index) When the CI stays within the moderate range (typically between 38.2 and 61.8), it indicates that the market is relatively choppy or ranging. As seen in the chart below, such behaviour of the CI can also be accompanied by increased volatility, implying higher market risk. In such conditions, there may be no clear or sustained trend, and prices may move within a slightly broader range but with no clear direction. Traders may exercise caution when observing such readings of the Choppy market indicator, as it can be challenging to predict the price direction. Experienced stock index trading participants might choose to reduce risk or wait for a clearer trend to develop. Consolidating Market (Choppiness Index Stays High) A CI reading above a certain threshold (typically above 61.8) suggests that the market is consolidating within a narrow trading range. In the US SPX 500 stock index trading example displayed on the chart below, volatility is low, yet the price movement implies market indecision and possible unpredictable moves in either direction with no well-defined trend. In such conditions, combined with high values of the Choppy market indicator, traders may consider staying out of the market or employing range-bound or mean-reversion strategies, as breakouts and trend-following approaches may be less effective. How to Combine the Chop Index with Other Technical Analysis Tools Several other indicators can be combined with the Choppiness index indicator to analyse price action. Traders can identify support and resistance levels and consider the price level relative to Moving Averages, and then add the Chop index to determine an entry point in a trending market. Bollinger Bands provide another suitable indicator to be used together with the CI to identify potential breakouts of a trading range. Combined with trading volume, the CI can provide a strong confirmation signal. After a period of sideways price action, low volume, and a high level of CI, a sudden surge in volume while the price is still in range, a drop of the index below the 38.2 level, combined with the price breaking the range, could confirm the breakout. Conclusion The Choppiness Index can be a valuable instrument for all asset classes, stock index trading being one possibility. It helps distinguish sideways movements from trending market activity, while it’s also used to evaluate an asset’s volatility. As the Choppiness Index cannot predict price direction, traders combine it with other technical tools, making it beneficial to a chart analysis strategy. Interested in testing possible trading strategies using the Choppiness Index? Consider opening an FXOpen account, which grants you access to a wide range of markets and advanced trading opportunities. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXMEducation
by FXOpen
2
Best Currency Pairs to Trade at NightBest Currency Pairs to Trade at Night In forex trading, time is of great importance. The forex market operates 24/5, and it is divided into different trading sessions, including Asian, European, and North American. Each session has its own unique characteristics, and their overlap can impact activity and volatility. Night trading presents both opportunities and challenges. To make the most of night hours, it is important to identify the best forex currency pairs to trade during this period. This FXOpen article will delve into the world of night trading, exploring the key elements affecting it and offering valuable insights. Factors Impacting Nighttime Forex Trading Time is a critical factor in forex trading because it influences market conditions, liquidity, and volatility. Traders consider the timing of their trades and adapt their strategies accordingly to maximise opportunities while managing risk. Market Hours Around the World Nighttime forex trading coincides with different market sessions. The primary session during the night for European traders is the Asian session (Sydney and Tokyo sessions). In addition, although the New York session is not technically a night session, the latter part of it often moves into the night. The North American trading session, which includes markets in New York, Chicago, and Toronto, aligns with the evening and night hours for Australian traders. The European session overlaps with the late evening and early morning hours for Australian traders. This overlap is where traders can find significant trading opportunities. Liquidity During Different Sessions Nighttime trading sees lower liquidity compared to the major sessions, but this doesn’t mean it’s devoid of opportunities. Major forex pairs, for example, tend to remain relatively liquid, ensuring traders can enter and exit positions with ease. Also, liquidity differs depending on the currency pair. For Europe, pairs with Asia-Pacific currencies (e.g. Japanese yen, Australian dollar, and New Zealand dollar) will have more liquidity at night. Meanwhile, for Asian and Australian traders, pairs with the USD and European currencies will be more liquid in the overnight hours. Volatility Patterns Night trading often sees more stable price movements than day sessions. Traders seeking smoother trends and reduced risk often find night trading attractive. Night traders analyse and react to the information accumulated during the day sessions. This allows for more methodical and less impulsive trading decisions, which also contributes to price stability. Economic Events and News Releases Despite the quiet hours, economic events and news releases can still impact nighttime trading. Keep an eye on economic calendars to avoid unexpected surprises and capitalise on market reactions. Best Currency Pairs to Trade at Night The choice of the best forex pairs to trade at night depends on your trading strategy, risk tolerance, and preferences. However, some currency pairs are generally considered more suitable for this. Here are some popular forex pairs to consider. Major Currency Pairs Major forex pairs, such as EUR/USD (Euro/US dollar), USD/JPY (US dollar/Japanese yen), and GBP/USD (British pound/US dollar), remain attractive options for night trading due to their liquidity and stable price movements. As these are the most traded pairs in forex, many market participants favour them. Cross Currency Pairs Cross currency pairs, like EUR/GBP (Euro/British pound), EUR/JPY (Euro/Japanese yen), and AUD/JPY (Australian dollar/Japanese yen), can provide diversification and trading opportunities during the night. They might exhibit different volatility patterns from major currency pairs. Exotic Currency Pairs While exotic currency pairs can be riskier, some traders find them intriguing during the night. You can consider, for example, USD/SGD (US dollar/Singapore dollar), USD/TRY (US dollar/Turkish lira), or EUR/TRY (Euro/Turkish lira). These are among the most volatile pairs in forex, and they often experience substantial price swings, offering the potential for higher profits. Trading Strategies for Nighttime Trading Trading strategies for night trading require careful consideration of market conditions and trader preferences. Below are a few trading strategies suitable for night trading. Scalping Scalping is a short-term strategy that allows traders to capitalise on small price movements. This strategy can be effective, as news that comes out at night can create more volatility in the market, which is the main benefit for scalpers. Swing Trading This approach involves capturing medium-term price movements. This strategy provides opportunities to identify and enter positions that can be held overnight or for several days. By using swing trading, traders reduce risks of price fluctuations that can affect day traders and scalpers. Swing traders typically need to conduct technical analysis to know when it’s best to enter and exit a trade. Carry Trading Carry trading utilises the difference in interest rates between currency pairs. Traders earn interest on the currency they buy (the currency of the country with a higher interest rate) and pay interest on the currency they sell (the currency of the country with a lower interest rate). For night trading, traders may look for pairs with favourable interest rate differentials and hold positions to accumulate interest income. Range Trading Range trading involves identifying price ranges or support and resistance levels and trading within those boundaries. During the night, many currency pairs consolidate within narrower ranges, making range trading an appealing strategy. Risk Management Techniques Regardless of the trading strategy, setting stop-loss and take-profit orders is crucial. They help limit potential losses and lock in profits. You can also consider managing your risk through proper position sizing. The theory states that you shouldn’t risk more than you can afford to lose in a single trade. Another smart idea is to diversify your portfolio and trade different currency pairs to spread risk. Before entering a trade, a good way to go is to evaluate the risk-reward ratio. A favourable ratio ensures that potential gains outweigh potential losses. Final Thoughts To identify the best currency pairs to trade today, it’s crucial to conduct technical and fundamental analysis. The TickTrader platform can help you with the former, as there you will find the most advanced analysis tools, graphs, and more. To assess external factors, use news resources and analyses by experts, which you can find on our blog. You can open an FXOpen account and start trading tonight. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Editors' picks
Education
by FXOpen
4
The Dark Side of Prop Trading: Factors Leading to Financial LossA few years ago, few people were familiar with prop trading, but it has gained popularity in recent years as an alternative to traditional PAMM accounts. With PAMM accounts, traders manage investors' funds but must first attract and convince these investors. In contrast, prop trading offers a more straightforward approach to fund management that initially appears more convenient. A trader pays a fee (up to $1,000) to enter a challenge, and if successful, can be granted up to $1 million in management funds. However, the reality is more complex. A study conducted in the United States revealed that many prop traders are dissatisfied with their experiences working with prop trading firms. 📍 The Performance Of Prop Traders: Results Of A 2023 Study A study conducted in 2023 examined the performance of prop traders by surveying 10 randomly selected prop trading firms in the United States. Additionally, the study included responses from 3,000 traders who had experienced varying degrees of success in their trading endeavors. The data was sourced from the website of the CFTC regulator, statistics from an investigation into a complaint against the prop firm MyForexFunds, and publicly available information about another prop firm FTMO. 📍 General Analysis Results The study revealed some striking insights regarding the performance of prop traders: ◾ Approximately 94% of traders fail to complete the challenges during the first or second phase, with only 6% successfully meeting the profitability and drawdown requirements. ◾ A significant 73% of traders who fail believe their outcomes are unjust, attributing their failures primarily to the prop firms rather than their own mistakes. Many contend that the firms manipulate results, undermining their chances of success. ◾ Of the small percentage 6% who do succeed in completing the challenge, an overwhelming 98% choose to sever their ties with the prop firms within the following six months. The failure rates at both the first and second phases of the challenges are approximately equal. This suggests that the stricter conditions imposed during the second phase do not significantly influence the overall outcome. Instead, it indicates that the mistakes and challenges encountered are consistent across both phases. Importantly, the survey revealed that inexperience is not a primary factor in the failure of the challenges. Over 80% of traders reported having prior trading experience, with many having actively traded on demo accounts for several months. These traders stated they understood the risks involved, were aware of their trading strategies, and had previously achieved positive results during their demo trading sessions. 📍 1. Reasons Cited By Prop Traders For Failing The Challenges ◾ Lack of Time (79%). Many traders feel pressured by high revenue targets set by prop firms, which often need to be achieved within a limited time period of just 1-2 months. Although, since 2023, almost all prop firms do not set such strict time limits. ◾ Technical Problems (61%). A significant number of traders reported encountering technical issues during the challenge process. Problems such as unreliable quotes, slow platform performance, and unexpected widening of spreads were commonly mentioned as major obstacles to their success. ◾ Violation of Risk Management (27%). A smaller but still notable proportion of traders admitted to breaching risk management rules. Common mistakes included engaging in high-risk gambling behavior, mismanaging leverage, and neglecting to set stop-loss orders. Some traders reported that their lack of understanding of the prop company's terms and conditions led to unintentional rule violations. Specifically, many were unclear about the guidelines surrounding practices such as copying trades, trading during news releases, and the use of trading advisors. This confusion contributed to their unsuccessful attempts in the challenges, emphasizing the importance of clear communication and thorough understanding of the rules set by the prop firms. 📍 2. Most Frequent Complaints From Traders About Prop Firms ◾ Non-Market Prices (92%). A staggering majority of traders reported issues with prices that do not reflect real market conditions. ◾ Order Execution Failures and Canceled Profitable Orders (73%). Many traders experienced problems with their orders not being executed as expected, particularly when they were set to generate profits. ◾ Slippage (67%). A significant number of traders reported encountering slippage, where their orders were filled at prices different from those expected. ◾ Technical Problems with the Trading Platform (52%). Technical glitches and issues with the trading platform were cited as major frustrations by more than half of the traders surveyed. ◾ Ambiguous Contract Conditions (45%). Many traders found the terms outlined in their contracts to be unclear, leading to confusion and misunderstandings. ◾ Insufficient Support Service (19%). A smaller proportion of traders expressed dissatisfaction with the lack of adequate assistance from customer support. ◾ Kicking Out from the Market Due to Non-Market Gaps (11%). Some traders noted instances where they felt they were unfairly removed from trading positions due to non-market gaps. ◾ Other Complaints (7%). A few traders reported additional issues not covered by the aforementioned categories. Traders often encounter hidden rules when working with prop firms, such as minimum holding periods for positions, strict limitations on the minimum length of stop-loss orders, and restrictions on the use of certain trading strategies. Additionally, many traders express concerns about the lack of transparency in the operations of prop firms. On average, over 50,000 traders attempt to pass these firms' challenges each year, but only about 6%, or around 3,000 traders, succeed. Once qualified, these traders are offered between $100,000 and $1 million of the firm's capital, which is sometimes claimed to be sourced from investors. However, there is little clarity regarding how these prop firms can amass such significant investor capital to support 3,000 traders annually. 📍 3. Main Difficulties Encountered By Prop Traders During The Challenge Phases ◾ Sharp Spread Widening and Violation of Maximum/Daily Drawdown Level Requirements (44%) ◾ Automatic Position Closures and Stopping of Challenges by the Company Due to Drawdown Violations (34%) ◾ Other Reasons (51%) It's important to note that traders could cite multiple reasons for their difficulties. The survey results indicate that many successful traders perceive prop firms as having a vested interest in creating obstacles to intentionally disadvantage traders. ◾ Difficulty of Challenge Conditions. 89% of traders described the challenge conditions as difficult, stating they were able to pass only due to their prior experience. ◾ Funding Amounts. 96% reported receiving an amount equivalent to their initial challenge deposit, typically ranging from $20,000 to $200,000. The anticipated funding of $1 to $2 million, as promised by the prop firm, is not accessible until at least one year of successful trading. ◾ Retention Rate. 98% of traders exited the program within six months. In theory, prop firms claim to offer the same trading conditions on a live account as they do during the challenge phases. Additionally, these firms are transparent about their model; traders often operate on demo accounts, while analysts copy their trades. A significant number of traders cited emotional burnout as a primary reason for leaving the prop firms. The tough conditions, restrictions on instrument use, and the risk of having their agreements terminated due to breaches create considerable emotional pressure. Once traders recover the costs associated with the challenge fees and their time, many choose to transition to independent trading, where they can set their own restrictions. 📍 CONCLUSION Prop trading presents several problems that diminish its appeal for novice traders. Many beginners struggle to pass the challenges, while seasoned professionals prefer the freedom of individual trading, free from the constraints typically found in prop trading. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
9
Amateur vs. Professional GapsWhen analyzing gaps on a chart, the key question to ask yourself is this: Did this gap result from amateur traders reacting emotionally, either buying or selling? Or was it the professional traders, who base their decisions on logic rather than emotion? To determine this, there's a crucial concept you need to grasp first... Professional traders buy after a wave of selling and sell after a wave of buying. Amateur traders, on the other hand, do the opposite! They see a stock rising and, driven by fear of missing out, rush to buy – right when the pros are preparing to sell.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by zerocashcool
2
Beware of Trading on Public Holidays! In this educational article, we will discuss why is it recommendable not to trade during the public holidays. I will explain to you how banking holidays affect the financial markets and how it may impact your trading. WHY??? 🏦 The main source of problems comes from the fact that the big market players like: banks, hedge funds investing firms are absent. Similarly to ordinary people, bankers and investors prefer to spend the holidays with their relatives and friends instead of staring at charts on Holidays. HOW??? But how does it affect the market? Big players are the main source of the market liquidity. The liquidity itself is the measure to which an asset can be quickly bought or sold in the market at a price of its quotes. Therefore, when the big players are missing, the market liquidity drops. WHAT??? 1️⃣ That fact instantly reflects in the market spreads. They become substantially bigger, directly increasing the costs of each trade and making it problematic to open a position at a desired price. 2️⃣ Secondly, low liquidity leads to a decrease in volatility. The market becomes weak and indecisive. As traders, we make the money on market moves. Our goal is to catch a bullish or a bearish wave. Their absence deprives us of profits or, at least, dramatically decreases them. Look at a chart above, it is EURJPY on a 4H time frame. Look how weak and boring the pair was in US Independence Day - official US banking holiday. And here is how weak and slow was Gold during US Independence Day on an hourly time frame . 3️⃣ Thirdly, when the liquidity is low, even small market participants can move the market. It dramatically increases the probabilities of false signals. Relatively low trading volumes may manipulate the market, substantially decreasing the efficiency of technical and fundamental analysis. Look at a density of false breakout on Dollar Index DXY on 15 minutes time frame the 19th of June - Juneteenth National Independence Day in US. All these breakouts were the manipulations and false signals. The increased costs of trading, low volatility and manipulations should have convinced you to stay from charts during the holidays season. However, the main reason to not trade on holidays is much simpler. Holidays give you an opportunity to stay with your family, to take a break, to recharge and relax. Even a part-time trading is very exhausting and requires a constant attention. Let yourself be distracted and return after holidays. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
Trend Strategy: Liquidity with DCF█ INTRODUCTION This trading strategy is designed to maximize your chances of success by focusing on the most favorable currency pairs and aligning your trades with strong market trends. Here’s a breakdown of how it works: 1. Identify the DCF (Daily Capital Flow) Index: Start by analyzing the overall flow of capital across various currencies. This involves identifying which currencies are gaining strength and which are weakening. By combining the strongest currencies against the weakest, you can select currency pairs that are more likely to move in your favor, taking advantage of minimal market resistance. 2. Wait for a trap play: A trap play is a market pattern where the price seems to move against the trend but then quickly reverses, trapping traders who took the bait. Look for this trap play to form in the direction of the identified capital flow. The key signal here is the price crossing the 10-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which acts as a trigger for entry into the trade. 3. Place your stop loss: To manage risk, place your stop loss just below the bar or candlestick that forms the trap play. This way, if the market moves against your position, your losses will be limited. 4. Stay in the trend: As long as the price remains above the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on a closing basis, you stay in the trade. This indicates that the trend is still strong, and there's no need to exit prematurely. 5. Take profit: Monitor the market for a trap play forming in the opposite direction of your trade. This suggests that liquidity is building up, and the market might reverse. This is your cue to take profit and close the trade. 6. Repeat: Once you've closed the trade, start the process again by identifying the DCF, finding new optimal pairs, and following the steps above. By consistently applying this strategy, you can leverage market trends and manage risk effectively, potentially leading to consistent profits.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDEducation
by CGE_Trading
1
Key Elements of Market Trends: Strategies for Effective AnalysisNavigating the complex world of financial markets requires a deep understanding of market trends. These trends represent the general direction in which the price of a market or asset moves, influenced by a variety of economic, social, and political factors. By analyzing these trends, investors can identify opportunities, manage risks, and improve their trading strategies. This guide explores the core concepts of market trends, including their definitions, how to identify and confirm them, and their application in stock and forex markets. Whether you're new to investing or a seasoned trader, understanding market trends is essential for navigating financial markets and achieving your investment goals. What Are Market Trends and Why Are They Important? Market trends refer to the overall direction in which an asset, market, or index price moves over a specific period. Recognizing these trends is crucial for investors and traders, as they guide decisions on when to buy or sell assets. There are three main types of market trends: 1. Uptrend: An uptrend occurs when asset prices are rising, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. This trend indicates a bullish market sentiment, with investors showing optimism and increased buying activity. EURUSD Uptrend 2022 -2023 2. Downtrend: A downtrend is identified by falling asset prices, with lower highs and lower lows. It reflects a bearish market sentiment, where pessimism prevails, leading to more selling than buying. EURUSD Downtrend 2021 - 2022 3. Sideways Trend: Also known as a horizontal trend, this occurs when an asset's price fluctuates within a narrow range without a clear upward or downward movement, indicating a balance between buying and selling pressures. EURUSD Sideways 2023 - Actual Understanding market trends is vital because they are driven by factors like economic data, company performance, geopolitical events, and investor sentiment. By identifying these trends, investors can predict potential market movements and develop informed trading strategies. How to Analyze Market Trends Analyzing market trends involves looking at historical price data and other relevant information to forecast future price movements. The following methods are commonly used: 1) Technical Analysis Technical analysis focuses on studying past market data, primarily price and volume, to identify patterns and trends. Key tools and techniques include: Moving Averages : These averages smooth out price data over a set period, helping to determine the direction of a trend. For example, a simple moving average calculates the average price over a specific number of days, filtering out short-term fluctuations to provide a clearer view of the trend. 200 Moving Average SMA Trendlines: Trendlines connect significant price points, such as highs or lows, on a chart. They visually represent the trend's direction and strength, aiding in identifying potential trend reversals or continuations. Chart Patterns: Patterns like head and shoulders, double tops, and flags provide visual signals of potential trend changes or continuations, indicating whether a trend is likely to persist or shift. 2) Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis evaluates economic indicators, financial statements, and qualitative factors to determine an asset's intrinsic value. Key elements include: - Economic Indicators: Metrics such as GDP growth, unemployment rates, and inflation can influence market trends. For instance, strong economic growth can lead to an uptrend in stock prices, as companies typically perform better in a robust economy. - Corporate Performance: Factors like earnings reports, revenue growth, and profit margins offer insights into a company's financial health and future prospects. These metrics help investors decide whether a company's stock is likely to rise or fall. - Geopolitical Events: Events like political instability, trade policies, and international conflicts can impact investor sentiment and market trends. For example, political uncertainty might trigger a downtrend as risk-averse investors sell off assets. By combining these methods, investors gain a comprehensive view of market trends. Technical analysis identifies patterns based on past price movements, while fundamental analysis uncovers the underlying forces driving these trends. A thorough understanding and analysis of market trends enable investors to make better decisions, manage risks more effectively, and improve their chances of success in the market. The Importance of Market Trends Understanding market trends is essential for successful trading and investing. These trends vary in duration: - Short-term Trends: Lasting from days to weeks, these trends are often influenced by recent market news and events and are usually characterized by higher volatility. - Intermediate-term Trends: Spanning weeks to months, these trends offer a clearer direction, filtering out short-term noise and focusing on more significant movements. Long-term Trends: These trends, lasting from months to years, are shaped by macroeconomic factors and significant market shifts, reflecting broader economic conditions. Market trends also follow specific phases: - Accumulation Phase: Informed investors begin buying undervalued assets, often when prices are low and market sentiment is bearish. - Advancing Phase / Mark-up: As more investors recognize the asset's value, prices rise, leading to bullish market sentiment. - Distribution Phase: Savvy investors start selling as the asset reaches its peak, causing prices to stabilize or decline, with mixed market sentiment. - Decline Phase: Increased selling pressure leads to falling prices, resulting in bearish sentiment among investors. Market sentiment—whether bullish, bearish, or neutral—plays a crucial role in shaping trends and trading decisions. Economic indicators such as GDP growth, corporate earnings reports, interest rate changes, and geopolitical events also significantly influence market trends. Aligning investments with prevailing trends helps manage risks and avoid potential losses by staying in tune with market movements. Techniques for Identifying Market Trends Identifying market trends requires a combination of technical and fundamental analyses: Technical Analysis Tools - Moving Averages: Simple or exponential moving averages smooth out price data to reveal trend directions. - Trendlines: By connecting highs and lows, trendlines help visualize trends and anticipate potential breakout points. - Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI measures the speed and change of price movements, indicating overbought or oversold conditions, which can signal potential trend reversals. - Bollinger Bands: These bands plot volatility levels around moving averages, highlighting potential reversals based on price reaching the bands' outer limits. Validating Market Trends Assessing the validity of a market trend is crucial for making informed investment decisions. Consider these factors to determine a trend's validity: - Volume Confirmation: A valid trend is often accompanied by high trading volume. Significant price movements with increased volume indicate strong investor interest, which lends credibility to the trend. - Trend Duration: The length of a trend provides insights into its strength and validity. Short-term fluctuations may result from market noise, while long-term trends reflect more enduring economic or corporate factors. - Moving Averages: Analysts use moving averages to confirm trends. For example, a stock consistently trading above its 200-day moving average suggests a bullish trend, while trading below indicates a bearish trend. - Support and Resistance Levels: Identifying key support and resistance levels helps validate a trend. A valid trend typically breaks through these levels and continues in the same direction rather than reversing. - Market Sentiment and News: External factors like economic news and political events can influence market sentiment and validate trends. Positive or negative news aligned with the stock's fundamentals supports the validity of a trend. - Divergence Analysis: Analyzing divergences between price trends and momentum indicators (such as RSI or MACD) can reveal potential weaknesses in a trend. For example, a rising price with a declining momentum indicator may indicate a weakening trend. - Pattern Recognition: Recognizing chart patterns like head and shoulders, double tops and bottoms, and triangles can validate trends, as these patterns often precede significant price movements and confirm the trend's direction. By carefully analyzing these factors, investors can gain a deeper understanding of whether a market trend is valid and make informed decisions accordingly. Conclusion Mastering market trends is crucial for investors at all levels of experience. Understanding the nature of trends, how to analyze them, and how to validate their validity are key steps in making informed trading decisions. By combining technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and staying updated on market news and events, investors can enhance their ability to identify and capitalize on market trends. Whether you're trading stocks or navigating the forex market, leveraging these insights will help you navigate the complexities of financial markets and achieve your investment goals. Continuous learning and staying informed about market conditions are essential to developing successful trading and investment strategies.
Education
by FOREXN1
1
4. e-Learning with the TradingMasteryHub - Risk Management 1x1🚀 Welcome to the TradingMasteryHub Education Series! 📚 Are you looking to level up your trading game? Join us for the next 10 lessons as we dive deep into essential trading concepts that will help you grow your knowledge and sharpen your skills. Whether you're a beginner or looking to refine your strategy, these lessons are designed to guide you on your journey to better understand the markets. 📊 Manage Your Risk with These Three Simple Methods! In trading, managing risk effectively is crucial to long-term success. Even the best strategies can fail if risk management is ignored. In this session, we'll explore three key methods that every trader should master to protect their capital and stay consistently profitable. 1. Position Sizing: Trade Smart, Trade Safe Position sizing is the foundation of risk management. I always set a daily and weekly stop-loss limit to ensure that I can recover mentally and financially from any losses. My daily stop-loss is capped at 5-10% of my entire trading account, and I never risk more than 30% of that daily limit on a single trade. Each trade's risk allocation depends on the quality of the opportunity: - 5-star setups: Up to 30% of the daily stop-loss. - 4-star setups: Up to 15% of the daily stop-loss. - 3-star setups: Up to 5% of the daily stop-loss. I only trade 4-star setups and above to avoid overtrading and the temptation to jump into random market opportunities. This disciplined approach ensures that I’m only putting my capital at risk when the odds are strongly in my favor. 2. Stop-Loss Orders: Protect Your Trades with Precision When setting stop-losses, I place them at strategic points highlighted by the market, such as significant support or resistance levels. To avoid premature stop-outs due to market noise, I set my stop-loss beyond the spread and the market’s natural fluctuations. For example, if the FDAX is in an uptrend with the last higher low at 17,000 points and the spread is 15 points, I would set my stop-loss at 16,967 points (17,000 - 15 - 17). This ensures that my risk/reward ratio (R/R-ratio) is correctly calculated. Before entering any trade, I carefully assess whether the potential upside justifies the risk. If the R/R-ratio isn’t favorable, even for a 5-star setup, I might avoid the trade to protect my capital. 3. Diversification: Tailor Your Strategy to Your Comfort Level Diversification is another critical aspect of risk management. As a trader, you can choose to focus on a handful of ticker symbols or spread your risk across a broader range of assets. The first approach, trading a few instruments, is easier to manage and ideal for strategies like market profile trading in FX or indices. Alternatively, you might opt for a more diversified portfolio, trading up to 50 different stocks at once. In this strategy, each trade only represents a small fraction of your total risk capital—such as your daily stop-loss. This minimizes the emotional strain of trading, as each individual trade carries a smaller risk. With a solid strategy, you can manage all trades effectively, spreading your approach across calls, puts, different markets, industries, and volatility levels. However, this approach is typically better suited for larger accounts, where spread costs won’t significantly impact your profits. 🔚 Conclusion and Recommendation Risk management isn’t just about protecting your capital; it’s about maintaining the psychological stability needed to trade consistently. By mastering position sizing, setting precise stop-loss orders, and choosing the right diversification strategy, you can navigate the markets with confidence and discipline. Remember, successful trading isn’t just about finding the right opportunities—it’s about managing those opportunities wisely to ensure long-term profitability. By focusing on high-quality trade setups, calculating your risks accurately, and diversifying appropriately, you’ll find that you can maintain your composure even during losing streaks. This approach not only protects your account but also keeps your mind clear and your emotions in check, paving the way for sustained success. --- 🔥 Can’t Get Enough? Don't Miss Out! Subscribe, share, and engage with us in the comments. This is the start of a supportive trading community—built by traders, for traders! 🚀 Join us on the journey to market mastery, where we grow, learn, and succeed together. 💪 💡 What You'll Learn: - The fundamentals of trading - Key technical and sentiment indicators - Risk management strategies - And much more!... Best wishes, TradingMasteryHub
NASDAQ:AMDEducation
by TradingMasteryHub
Mastering High Probability Trading Across All AssetsGreetings Traders! Welcome back to today’s video! In this session, we're revisiting the critical concept of draw on liquidity. I'll guide you on how to take advantage of it with extreme market precision, focusing on when to trade, when to avoid the market, and how to increase your chances of high-probability trade outcomes. If you're looking to enhance your trading strategy and make smarter decisions, this video is for you. Let's dive in and start mastering these concepts! Refer to these videos as well: Premium Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading: Mastering Institutional Order-Flow Price Delivery Quarter Theory Mastering Algorithmic Price Movements: Best Regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by The_Archi-tect
4
Mastering the Moving Average: The Trendspotter for Every TraderTradingViewers, this one will take you back to basics. In this Idea we visit a tool that’s as essential as your morning coffee — the Moving Average (MA). This indicator is the market’s smoothing instrument, ironing out the noise and letting you see the trend for what it really is. What’s a Moving Average? Think of the Moving Average as the market’s highlight reel. It averages out price action over a specific period, showing you where the market’s been and giving you a clue about where it might be headed. It’s the ultimate trendspotter, cutting through the daily chatter to reveal the bigger picture. Day traders and scalpers, don’t fret — it works on intraday time frames, too. Types of MAs Simple Moving Average (SMA): The old-school classic. It’s as straightforward as it gets — just an average of days you specify — 7, 9, 21, 50, 100, or even 200 days — that’s called “length”. This tool might be simple, but it’s a mainstay indicator for professional traders, institutional investors, and other big-shot money spinners. Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The turbocharged version of the SMA. It gives more weight to recent prices, meaning it reacts quicker to the action. If the SMA is a steady cruise, the EMA is a sports car with a little more kick. How to Use Moving Averages Spotting Trends : The Moving Average is your trend-checking buddy. Prices above the MA? We’re in bull territory. Prices below? Looks like the bears are in control. Slap it on any time frame — it’s the same rules regardless of the time horizon. Support and Resistance : MAs are like the guardrails of the market. They often act as support during uptrends and resistance during downtrends. When price bounces off an MA, it’s like a boxer bouncing off the ropes — watch for the counterpunch! The Golden Cross & Death Cross : Now we’re talking setups that get traders buzzing. When a short-term MA crosses above a long-term MA, you get a Golden Cross – the market’s flashing a buy signal party. But when the opposite happens, it’s a Death Cross, and the bears start licking their lips. Moving Average Crossover : Want some trading action? Watch for crossovers between short and long MAs. For example, throw in your chart a 50-day moving average and then top it up with a 100-day and a 200-day line. If they all cross over to the upside, you can expect a swing higher. And if they cross over to the downside, you can anticipate a swing lower. Pro Tip: Tune Your Moving Average Jot these numbers down — 20, 50, 100, 200 — these are the MA settings you’ll see most, but don’t be afraid to tweak them. A shorter MA (20 or 50) reacts quicker but can whipsaw you. A longer MA (100 or 200) is steadier but might be slower to catch reversals. It’s all about finding the balance that suits your trading style. Bottom Line The Moving Average isn’t about predicting the future — it’s about seeing the present more clearly. It’s the difference between getting lost in the noise and riding the trend with confidence. Whether you’re trend-following or looking for a noiseless entry, the MA is your go-to indicator. So slap that Moving Average on your chart and let it take you beyond the clutter. Because when the market’s moving fast, it pays to have a steady hand guiding your trades. And as essential as MAs are, don't limit your analysis to just one tool: apply several indicators on your chart to spot trends more effectively and enhance your research with data from the economic calendar , screeners, heatmaps, and all kinds of tools available on TradingView to have a bigger picture of market activities. Are you already using MAs in your charting and trading? Let us know in the comments below!
Editors' picks
Education
by TradingView
11
What Is a Blue Chip Stock?What Is a Blue Chip Stock? Investing and trading the stock market is like navigating a vast sea of options, each with its own set of risks and rewards. For those seeking stability, reliability, and the potential for long-term growth, blue chip stocks have long been a beacon of hope. But what exactly are they, and why do some traders avoid them? This FXOpen article examines what a blue chip stock is and why it is valuable to investors and traders. What Is Considered a Blue Chip Stock? A blue chip stock is a stock of a reputable, profitable, and recognised company. It is characterised by a high market capitalisation, a listing on a major stock exchange, and a history of reliable growth. Such stocks are known for their stability, which means they have lower volatility than other stock classes. The term comes from the world of poker, where blue chips have the highest value. Similarly, in the stock market, these are the most valuable and sought-after investment options. What is an example of a blue chip stock? Shares in IBM, Coca-Cola and McDonald's are considered blue-chip. Below, you will find more examples from different industries. Key Features Companies offering blue chip stocks have four core features that make them attractive to traders. These are: - Financial stability. They typically have strong balance sheets, healthy cash flows, and minimal debt, making them less susceptible to financial crises. - Leadership. Large issuing companies are leaders in their industries, typically holding a dominant market share. - Consistent dividends. These companies pay regular dividends, providing investors with a reliable income stream. - Longevity. They have a track record of long-term success and a history of adapting to changing conditions. What Is the Difference Between a Regular Stock and a Blue Chip Stock? Blue chip and regular shares differ in several ways. In the comparison table, you’ll see the main differences between them. Blue Chip Stocks - Issued by large companies with excellent reputations - These companies have dependable earnings and usually pay dividends - These companies have market capitalisations in the billions of dollars - These companies are generally the market leaders or among the top in their sectors - Are included in the most reputable indices - Less volatile than other stock classes Regular Stocks - Issued by any company, regardless of size and reputation - May not pay dividends - These companies have market capitalisations that vary widely - These companies may not be market leaders in their sectors - May not be included in indices - May experience a high level of volatility Blue chip stocks are often seen as a safe haven during periods of economic instability. These shares tend to weather market downturns better than other stock types. They are also the cornerstone of many long-term investment strategies. What Is the Difference Between a Blue Chip Stock and a Speculative Stock? In addition to top-tier and regular stocks, there are also speculative ones. Let’s look at their main characteristics to see how they differ from blue chips: - They are issued by companies that don’t have a strong business model or don’t show solid strength. - They are more volatile than other stock classes. - They have the potential for appreciation. - They have much lower prices than other shares. The issuing companies may be operating under new management or have the potential to become a monopoly or develop a very lucrative product that could cause the stock price to go upward. For the above reasons, blue chip stocks are generally less volatile and preferred by conservative investors, while speculative ones fluctuate more and are preferred by more risk-tolerant investors. What Are Some Famous Examples of Blue Chip Shares? Now that you know a lot about the key characteristics of various shares, you may want to ask the question, “What is an example of a blue chip stock?”. Technology - Apple (AAPL) - Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) - Meta Platforms (META) Healthcare - Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) - Pfizer (PFE) - AbbVie (ABBV) Consumer Goods - Procter & Gamble Company (PG) - Coca-Cola Company (KO) - Walmart (WMT) Financial Services - JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) - Visa (V) - Goldman Sachs Group (GS) What Is a Catalyst for a Blue Chip Stock? A catalyst can be an event or news that causes a significant change in the performance of the stock. General market trends can also be catalysts. For blue chip stocks, these are typically: - Strong earnings reports - News about a corporation’s products or services - Mergers and acquisitions - Changes in management or leadership - Economic or political events affecting the corporation - Changes in interest rates - Changes in consumer preferences Catalysts have a significant impact on the performance of blue chip stocks, so it’s important for traders to stay abreast of industry developments. You can explore our blog to keep up to date with the latest news. Risks and Considerations While top-tier stocks offer numerous benefits, they are not without risks. They also suffer during severe economic recessions or crises. While less volatile, blue chip shares are not immune to fluctuations. They may not offer the rapid growth potential seen in smaller, high-risk investments. Finally, they can sometimes become overvalued, leading to subpar returns. Final Thoughts Blue chip stocks have stood the test of time as reliable, financially stable investments. They play a crucial role in diversified portfolios, providing stability and long-term growth potential. However, investors and traders must be mindful of the associated risks and stay informed about market conditions to make informed decisions when putting money in these elite shares. If you want to try trading blue chip shares or more volatile stocks, you can open an FXOpen account. You can also consider using the TickTrader platform to conduct technical analysis and take advantage of the advanced charts and indicators. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by FXOpen
3
Forex Trade Management Strategies. Techniques For Beginners I am going to reveal 4 trade management strategies that will change the way you trade forex. These simple techniques are aimed to minimize your losses and maximize your gains. 1. Trading Without Take Profit Once you spotted the market that is trading in a strong bullish or bearish trend, there is one tip that will help you to benefit from the entire movement. If the market is bullish, and you buy it expecting a bullish trend continuation, consider trading WITHOUT take profit. Take a look at USDJPY on an hourly time frame. The market is trading in the bullish trend, and we see a strong trend-following signal - a bullish breakout of a current resistance . After the violation, the price went up by more than 1000 pips, and of course, trading with a fixed target, most likely you would close the trade too soon. The same trade management strategy can be applied in a bearish trend. Above is a price action on GBPUSD. The pair is very bearish, and we see a strong bearish signal on an hourly time frame. The market dropped by more than 1000 pips then, and of course, trading with the fixed take profit, you would miss that bearish rally, closing the trade earlier. Even though the trends do not last forever, the markets may easily fall or grow sharply for weeks or even months and this technique will help you to cash out from the entire movement. 2. Stop Loss to Breakeven Once you open a trading position and the market starts going in the desired direction, there is a simple strategy that will help you to protect your position from a sudden reversal. Above is the real trade that we took with my students in my trading academy. We spotted a very bearish pattern on USDCAD and opened short position. Initially we were right, and the market was going to our target. BUT because of the surprising release of negative Canadian fundamental news, the market reversed suddenly, not being able to reach the target. And that could be a losing trade BUT we managed to save our money. What we did: we moved our stop loss to entry level, or to breakeven, before the release of the fundamentals. Trade was closed on entry level and we lost 0 dollars. Moving stop loss to entry saved me tens of thousands of dollars. It is one of the simplest trade management techniques that you must apply. 3. Trailing Stop Loss Once you managed to catch a strong movement, do not keep your stop loss intact. As we already discussed, your first step will be to protect your position and move your stop loss to entry. But what you can do next, you can apply trailing stop loss. Above is a trend-following trade that we took with my students on GBPCHF. Once the market started moving in the desired direction, we moved stop loss to breakeven. As the market kept setting new highs, we trailed the stop loss and set it below the supports based on new higher lows. We kept trailing the stop loss till the market reached the target. Application of a trailing stop will help you to protect your profits, in case of a sudden change in the market sentiment and reversal. 4. Partial Closing The last tip can be applied for trading and investing. Remember that once you correctly predicted a rally, you can book partial profits, once the price is approaching some important historical levels or ahead of important fundamental releases. Imagine that you bought 1 Bitcoin for 17000$. Once a bullish market started, you can sell the portion of your BTC, once the price reaches significant key levels. For example, 0.2 BTC on each level. With such trade management technique, you will book profits while remaining in your position. Even though, these techniques are very simple, only the few apply them. Try these trade management strategies and increase your gains and avoid losses! ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
Showcasing the Stochastic + HMA Trade StrategyIn this video, I showcase my latest strategy which is available for free on TradingView. Actually my first strategy that utilizes the Hull Moving Average. The strategy combines the Stochastic Oscillator with HMA to capture momentum shifts while using optional filters like RSI, ADX, MFI, EMA, VWAP, and ATR to refine entries and exits. The early results are promising, but there's still room for fine-tuning. Positives: 👉 Profit Rate: Looks solid, indicating the strategy's potential. 👉 Max Drawdown: Manageable, with opportunities to reduce it further. 👉 Capital Curve: Not bad for a first draft, showing steady growth. Negatives: 👉 Net Profit: Currently extremely low in relation to the number of trades. This will need attention as I refine the strategy. This is still a work in progress, but the foundation is strong. Let me know your thoughts and feel free to backtest the strategy!
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by ben_walther
2
Quarter Theory: Mastering Algorithmic Price Movements!Greetings Traders, and welcome back! In today's video, we’ll dive deep into Quarter Theory—a powerful concept that can take your trading to the next level. We’ll break it down step-by-step, explain how it works, and show you how to implement it into your strategy. Quarter Theory is all about studying the algorithmic price delivery within the markets. It’s grounded in Time and Price Theory, which suggests that significant market moves often occur at specific price levels and times. This foundational idea will help us predict price movements more effectively. If you haven’t already, be sure to check out the previous videos in the High Probability Trading Zones playlist for the key concepts you’ll need to fully grasp today’s content. For those watching on TradingView, links to previous videos will be included to help you catch up. Mastering Institutional Order Flow & Price Delivery: Premium & Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading: We’re kicking off a weekly series on Quarter Theory, with the goal of helping you build a robust trading model by the end. Stay tuned! Best Regards, The_Architect
Education
by The_Archi-tect
2
Highs and Lows Move Together: A Key Insight for Retail Traders█ Understanding Daily Highs and Lows in Trading When it comes to trading, understanding the dynamics of daily price movements is essential. Daily highs and lows, which represent the highest and lowest prices of an asset within a single trading day, are more than just numbers—they provide valuable insights into market behavior, volatility, and potential trading opportunities. █ What Are Daily Highs and Lows? Daily Highs: The highest price an asset reaches during a trading day. Daily Lows: The lowest price an asset hits during the same period. Price Range: The difference between the daily high and low, which gives a measure of the day's volatility. These metrics are crucial for traders because they not only reflect the volatility but also highlight the turning points in the market. A wide price range indicates high volatility, while a narrow range suggests the opposite. █ Insights from Research Research shows that daily highs and lows are not just random occurrences—they are statistically significant and can be forecasted with reasonable accuracy. For example, models that analyze the relationship between daily highs, lows, and the price range can outperform simple predictions based on past prices alone. ⚪ Highs and Lows as Important Levels: The daily high is the highest price that an assets reaches in a day, and the daily low is the lowest price. These points are important because they often act like barriers in the market. If the price approaches the daily high, it might struggle to go higher, like hitting a ceiling. If it can’t break through, it might start to fall back down. Similarly, when the price gets close to the daily low, it might find support, like hitting a floor, and start rising again. ⚪ Market Reactions: When the price reaches these highs or lows, it often reacts strongly. For instance, if the price hits a high but then drops, it suggests that traders think the price shouldn’t go higher, leading to a possible reversal. On the other hand, if the price keeps pushing against a high and finally breaks through, it could signal the start of a new upward trend. In simple terms, the highs and lows act like important checkpoints in the market. Watching how prices behave around these levels can give traders clues about what might happen next. █ Key Findings ⚪ Daily Highs and Lows Move Together: The study found that the highest and lowest prices of oil each day are connected and tend to move together over time. This connection means that if one changes, the other usually does too. For retail traders, this suggests that tracking these levels can provide important clues about where the market might be heading next. ⚪ Price Ranges Indicate Volatility: The difference between the daily high and low (known as the price range) is a strong indicator of how volatile the market is. A large range means the market is very active and prices are swinging widely. For traders, this could mean more opportunities to profit, but also more risk. Conversely, a small range indicates a calmer market with less movement. ⚪ Better Forecasting Models: The study shows that by understanding the relationship between daily highs, lows, and the price range, traders can use more accurate models to predict future prices. These models outperform simpler methods that many traders might be using. For retail traders, this means there are better tools available that can help them make more informed decisions and potentially increase their chances of success. █ Daily Highs and Lows Move Together Daily highs and lows are connected and influence each other. This means that the highest and lowest prices of an asset during a trading day tend to move in relation to one another. Imagine you're tracking the price of crude oil. On Monday, the highest price of the day was $80 per barrel, and the lowest was $75 per barrel. On Tuesday, the price went up, with the high being $88 and the low being $79. What the research found is that these daily highs and lows tend to follow a pattern or move in sync with each other over time. The increase in both the high and low suggests that overall market sentiment is positive, and traders are willing to pay more, even at the lowest prices of the day. █ What It Actually Means ⚪ Connection Between Highs and Lows: If the daily high price increases, the daily low price often increases too, and vice versa. This doesn’t mean they are the same price, but rather that they tend to trend in the same direction. For instance, if the market is generally moving up (bullish), both the daily high and low prices will usually increase from one day to the next. ⚪ Why They Move Together: This movement happens because the factors driving the price up or down (like supply and demand, market sentiment, or external news) impact both the high and low of the day. If there’s strong buying pressure, it will push the daily high up and also raise the floor, or daily low, as sellers adjust their expectations. █ What It Means for Retail Traders For new traders, understanding and using daily highs and lows can be a game-changer. These metrics offer a glimpse into market sentiment, help identify trading opportunities, and can form the foundation of robust trading strategies. By incorporating the analysis of daily highs and lows into your trading routine, you can make more informed decisions and improve your chances of success in the markets. Understanding that daily highs and lows move together can help you predict market trends. If you see a pattern where both the highs and lows are steadily rising, it’s a sign that the market is in an uptrend, and you might decide to buy, expecting prices to keep climbing. Conversely, if both are falling, it might indicate a downtrend, suggesting it’s a good time to sell or avoid buying. █ Reference He, A.W.W., Kwok, J.T.K., & Wan, A.T.K. (2010). An empirical model of daily highs and lows of West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices. Energy Economics, 32(6), 1499–1506. ----------------- Disclaimer This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only. The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
OANDA:BCOUSDEducation
by Zeiierman
1
It's OK to change your mind- it even makes you a better traderIn the fast-paced and ever-evolving world of trading, the pressure to make quick decisions and stick to them can be intense. There's a pervasive belief that once a decision is made, a good trader should stand by it, no matter what. However, this mindset can be misleading and, in some cases, even harmful. In truth, the ability to change your mind in trading is not a sign of weakness or inconsistency. On the contrary, it’s a hallmark of a skilled and adaptable trader who understands the complexities of the market. The Nature of the Market: Constant Change The financial markets are anything but static. They are influenced by an array of factors that can change within moments—economic indicators, global political events, shifts in market sentiment, and even unexpected news releases. These variables make the market highly unpredictable. A trading decision that was well-founded one moment can become obsolete the next due to new developments. Successful traders recognize this inherent uncertainty and embrace the need to adapt. Being rigid in your approach can lead to unnecessary risks and missed opportunities. Flexibility allows you to respond to the market’s constant fluctuations, ensuring that your trading strategy remains relevant and effective. Embracing Flexibility: The Power of Adaptation Flexibility in trading is not just about changing your mind when things go wrong; it’s about continuously assessing your position in light of new information. This doesn’t mean constantly second-guessing yourself but rather being open to the possibility that your initial analysis may need adjustment as new data becomes available. For instance, you might enter a trade based on a specific market pattern or trend. However, as the trade progresses, you might notice signs that the market is shifting in an unexpected direction. At this point, the ability to re-evaluate your position and, if necessary, change your strategy can mean the difference between a small loss and a significant one—or even turning a potential loss into a profitable trade. This willingness to adapt shows not indecision but a deep understanding of the market’s unpredictable nature. Ego vs. Objectivity: Trading Without Emotional Attachment One of the biggest hurdles traders face is overcoming their own ego. Ego can cloud judgment, pushing you to stick with a decision out of pride rather than sound reasoning. This is particularly dangerous in trading, where the market has no regard for your personal biases or feelings. Ego-driven decisions can lead to stubbornness, causing you to hold onto losing trades far longer than you should. Objectivity, on the other hand, is the foundation of successful trading. It requires detaching your emotions from your trades and focusing solely on the data and what the market is telling you. Changing your mind in response to new market information is not a sign of weakness; it’s a demonstration of objectivity. By prioritizing market signals over personal pride, you’re aligning yourself with the realities of the market rather than a fixed idea of what should happen. The Importance of Capital Preservation In trading, your capital is your most valuable asset. Preserving it is crucial for long-term success. The notion that "it’s better to be right than to be profitable" can be a dangerous trap. Sticking to a losing trade out of stubbornness can lead to significant losses, quickly eroding your trading account and undermining your ability to recover. When you change your mind in response to market conditions, you are, in effect, practicing good risk management. Recognizing when a trade isn’t going as planned and adjusting your strategy accordingly helps you limit losses and protect your capital. This approach not only safeguards your resources but also keeps you in the game, allowing you to capitalize on future opportunities. Continuous Learning: Evolving as a Trader Trading is not a static skill—it’s a dynamic process that involves continuous learning and adaptation. Every trade, whether successful or not, provides valuable insights. When you allow yourself to change your mind, you’re acknowledging that there is always something new to learn. This openness to learning and evolving is essential for long-term success in trading. The market itself is a constantly evolving entity, influenced by countless factors that change over time. Traders who are rigid in their thinking are often left behind, while those who embrace change and are willing to learn from their experiences continue to grow and succeed. Changing your mind in trading isn’t about flip-flopping or being indecisive; it’s about recognizing that the market is bigger than any one individual and that adaptability is key to thriving in this environment. Navigating the Fine Line: Reason vs. Reaction (AND THIS IS VERY IMPORTANT) While the ability to change your mind is crucial, it’s important to recognize that there’s a fine line between making well-reasoned decisions and reacting impulsively to every market fluctuation. The market is filled with noise—short-term movements that can be misleading if taken out of context. Constantly changing your mind in response to every minor shift can lead to overtrading, unnecessary stress, and ultimately, poor performance. The key is to differentiate between significant market changes that warrant a reassessment of your strategy and normal market noise that should be ignored. Strong, data-driven reasons should guide your decision to change course, not fleeting emotions or fear of missing out. Successful traders strike a balance—they remain flexible and open to change, but they do so based on sound analysis, not on every whim of the market. Building Confidence Through Adaptability Another critical aspect of changing your mind in trading is that it can actually build your confidence rather than diminish it. Confidence in trading doesn’t come from being right all the time; it comes from knowing that you can navigate the market effectively, even when things don’t go as planned. By being flexible and willing to change your mind, you develop a stronger sense of control over your trading strategy. This adaptability also helps you develop resilience. In trading, losses are inevitable. What separates successful traders from the rest is their ability to recover from those losses and learn from them. When you change your mind in response to the market, you’re not just minimizing losses—you’re also building the mental toughness needed to succeed in the long term. Conclusion: The Strength in Changing Your Mind In the world of trading, changing your mind doesn’t make you a bad trader—it makes you a better one. It demonstrates that you are flexible, objective, and committed to continuous learning—qualities that are essential for long-term success in the markets. The ability to adapt to new information and evolving market conditions is not just a good practice; it’s a necessary one. So the next time you find yourself reconsidering a trade, remember: it’s not about being right all the time. It’s about making the best possible decision with the information at hand. In the ever-changing landscape of trading, those who can adapt and change their minds when necessary are the ones who ultimately thrive.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Global Economic News & MarketsGlobal Economic News & Markets In our interconnected world, it’s more important than ever to stay up to date with global economic news. The link between economic events and financial markets emphasises that traders need to be well-informed. This FXOpen article looks at the significance of global economic news and its impact on financial markets. Through expert judgement and attention to long-term trends, the article aims to equip you with the knowledge you need to make wise financial decisions. Top Global Economic News Why is it so critical to keep abreast of current global economic news? The answer lies in how much influence they have on the financial markets. News can cause market volatility and influence long-term trends. Top global economic news can be divided into five categories: - Central bank announcements - Economic indicators such as GDP growth, employment, and inflation - Trade agreements and geopolitical tensions - Fiscal policy, government initiatives, and infrastructure investment - Earnings reports of major corporations Market Reactions Stock market indicators, currency market fluctuations, changes in commodity prices and the level of volatility reflect market sentiment. Traders try to learn as much as possible about them to make informed decisions. Stock Market Performance When economic data or corporate news is released, it can trigger immediate reactions in the stock market. For example, when publicly traded companies release their earnings reports, analysts assess whether the company has met, exceeded, or fallen short of expectations. Positive earnings often lead to stock price increases, while disappointing results can lead to price declines. Individual stocks affect the direction of the indices they are included in. Indices serve as benchmarks or references for evaluating the overall performance of a specific stock market or a particular sector within it. They provide a quick and easy way to assess whether the market, as a whole or in part, is doing well or poorly. Also, indices serve as a benchmark of the market sentiment. Volatility Level (VIX Index) The Volatility Index, often referred to as the VIX or fear indicator, measures market volatility and trader sentiment. A high VIX indicates that traders expect significant market fluctuations, indicating uncertainty or fear in the market. Typically, the VIX rises when the level of fear and uncertainty is high. Currency Market Fluctuations and Exchange Rate Shifts Central banks set interest rates, and changes in these rates can significantly impact a country's currency value. Higher interest rates typically attract foreign capital, leading to an appreciation of the currency. Conversely, lower rates may lead to depreciation. Various economic indicators, such as GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, and trade balances, provide insights into a country's economic health. Positive economic data can boost a currency, while negative data can weaken it. Changes in Commodity Prices and Their Drivers The fundamental driver of commodity prices is the balance between supply and demand. Factors such as population growth, economic development, and shifts in consumer preferences can influence demand, while supply can be affected by weather conditions, geopolitical events, and production decisions by producers. Regional Focus Not all regions face the same economic challenges. There are emerging markets with promising growth prospects and developed economies with unique challenges. Let’s explore some specific regions and countries that are particularly noteworthy in the current economic landscape. Emerging Markets Emerging markets refer to economies that are in the process of rapid industrialisation and experiencing substantial economic growth. They tend to be characterised by a growing middle class and urbanisation. They are seen as long-term growth engines for the global economy. - Many investors are attracted to emerging markets because of the opportunity for high returns in sectors such as technology, consumer goods, and infrastructure. - To diversify risk, traders can allocate a portion of their portfolio to emerging markets. These markets may not necessarily correlate with developed markets, providing a buffer during global economic downturns. - Investing in emerging markets comes with risks. Political instability and currency volatility can create uncertainty. Developed Economies Developed economies, generally characterised by stability and strong financial systems, also face specific challenges. For example, many advanced economies have ageing populations, which can put strain on social protection and health care systems. - Some developed economies have experienced long periods of low economic growth. This is due to demographic trends and low labour productivity. - Managing public debt and deficits is challenging for developed economies. The balance between social spending and fiscal responsibility is a key issue. - Developed countries are highly dependent on international trade, which makes them vulnerable to trade disputes and supply chain disruptions. Long-Term Trends Traders and investors explore technological advancements, sustainable investing, and demographic shifts to guide their investment strategies for years to come. Technological advancements are a driving force behind economic and market transformation. Key points to consider include the rise of e-commerce, FinTech, AI and automation, blockchain and cryptocurrency, renewable energy and green technologies. Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors are increasingly influencing investment decisions and corporate behaviour. ESG-focused investments consider a company’s impact on the environment and society. Companies that demonstrate a commitment to social responsibility and fair labour practices tend to attract investors. Demographic changes are altering consumption patterns, labour markets, and economic dynamics. Factors to keep in mind are ageing populations in developed countries, rapid urbanisation, consumption habits and preferences of Millennials and Gen Z, and increased global mobility. Insights from financial analysts and market experts provide valuable context. They interpret recent economic data, offer forecasts, and recommend investment strategies. You may, for example, check out global markets news at Reuters or read JPM global markets news. Of course, you should double-check for yourself, but you can find some main areas to consider in their analyses. Final Thoughts The significance of economic events cannot be overstated, and their impact on financial markets emphasises the importance of adaptation. It’s best to monitor economic news globally, seek expert advice and consider long-term trends when making financial decisions. Informed and adaptable investors and traders are most successful in an ever-changing global economic and market environment. You can open an FXOpen account and read our blog to learn more about potential opportunities and ways to mitigate risks. Also, you can use the TickTrader platform to conduct technical analysis and benefit from advanced charts. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by FXOpen
2
Comparing Different Financial MarketsComparing Different Financial Markets In trading, understanding the types of international financial markets is crucial. This article offers a comprehensive market comparison of the stock, forex, commodity, crypto* and bond arenas. You’ll learn the importance of these financial markets and what it takes to navigate each one effectively. Stock Market The stock market is a financial marketplace where traders and investors can buy and sell shares of publicly traded companies. By purchasing a stock, an investor essentially owns a slice of the company, and their investment's value moves in tandem with the company's performance. - Risk: Stocks can be volatile, subject to market sentiment, economic indicators, and company performance. Risk varies widely among different types of stocks. - Income Potential: Day traders aim for short-term gains, while long-term investors often seek stocks that offer dividends or high growth potential. - Knowledge: A solid understanding of market trends, company fundamentals, and technical indicators is beneficial for effective trading. - Liquidity: Most stocks, especially those listed on major exchanges, have high liquidity, allowing for quick entry and exit. - Costs and Fees: Costs can include brokerage commissions, although many online platforms now offer zero-commission trading. - Trading Hours: Generally restricted to weekdays, opening and closing at set times, with after-hours trading being possible but less liquid. Forex Market The forex market is the global marketplace for buying and selling currencies. Traders pair two currencies, like EUR/USD, and profit from the fluctuations in exchange rates. - Risk: Forex trading can be highly volatile and is considered riskier than stock trading, influenced by geopolitical events, interest rates, and economic data. - Income Potential: High leverage can amplify gains but also increase risk. Many traders seek to profit from short-term fluctuations. - Knowledge: Understanding of macroeconomic indicators, geopolitical events, and technical analysis can be crucial for success. - Liquidity: Extremely high, given the 24/5 operation of the Forex market. - Costs and Fees: Typically lower than other markets, often involving spreads rather than direct commissions. - Trading Hours: Operates 24 hours a day, five days a week, allowing for flexibility in trading times. Commodity Market The commodity market is one of the types of international financial markets where physical or virtual assets like gold, oil, or agricultural products are traded. These markets often act as a gauge for supply and demand conditions globally. - Risk: Commodities can be quite volatile, influenced by global events, natural disasters, and political instability. Traders often hedge against other market risks by investing in commodities. - Income Potential: Gains can be substantial but are also subject to dramatic shifts based on the factors mentioned above. - Knowledge: Understanding of global economic indicators, supply and demand factors, and geopolitical events is critical. - Liquidity: Varies widely depending on the commodity; for example, gold and oil are highly liquid. - Costs and Fees: This can include brokerage commissions, futures contract fees, and costs associated with physical storage for some commodities. - Trading Hours: Vary by commodity and exchange, but many have extended hours due to global demand. Cryptocurrency Market* The cryptocurrency market is a decentralised digital asset market that includes cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and various tokens. It's the newest and one of the most rapidly evolving financial markets. - Risk: Extremely volatile, with prices subject to rapid fluctuations, sometimes within minutes. Regulatory concerns add another layer of risk. - Income Potential: High potential for both short-term and long-term gains, but also significant risk of loss. - Knowledge: Understanding of blockchain technology, market sentiment, and technical analysis is often crucial. Familiarity with regulation is also beneficial. - Liquidity: Generally high for well-known cryptocurrencies but can be low for lesser-known tokens and coins. - Costs and Fees: Vary by platform and may include transaction fees, deposit/withdrawal fees, and "gas" fees for certain types of transactions. - Trading Hours: Operates 24/7, allowing for ongoing trading and the chance to react to market news or events. You can head over to FXOpen's free TickTrader platform to explore the above-mentioned markets for CFD trading in real-time. Bond Market The bond market is a segment of the financial market where debt securities are issued and traded. Unlike the stock market, which is a part of the capital market, the bond market focuses on long-term debt instruments. This highlights the difference between capital markets and financial markets. - Risk: Generally considered lower risk compared to stocks and commodities, although risk can vary depending on the issuer's creditworthiness. - Income Potential: Lower yield compared to more volatile markets, but often offers more stable returns through interest payments. - Knowledge: Understanding of interest rates, yield curves, and credit ratings is essential for bond trading. - Liquidity: Varies depending on the type of bond; government bonds are usually highly liquid, while corporate bonds can be less so. - Costs and Fees: Transaction costs are generally built into the bond's price, but some brokers may charge commissions. - Trading Hours: Primarily traded over-the-counter (OTC), with some bonds available on exchanges. Trading hours can vary but are generally regular business hours. The Bottom Line In summary, the diverse features of financial markets offer traders a range of opportunities, from stocks and commodities to cryptocurrencies* and bonds. Armed with this knowledge, you're now equipped to navigate the markets with confidence. Want to put these insights into action? Consider opening an FXOpen account to kickstart your trading adventure. *At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules, respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
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