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US30 Simple 8:am StrategyToday I'm explaining a very simple strategy that I use for trading US30 during the NY session. Basically just wait for the 8:am EST candle to close Once the candle closes, if it's red, you would enter a sell position with a 100 point profit target with a stop loss at 100 points as well. If it's green, enter a long position with a 100 point profit target and 100 point SL. If you end up getting stopped up, it's not a big deal. The following day you would just double the position size. Make sure you avoid trading Wednesday especially if there's anything related to the FED such as an FOMC. In terms of volume size to trade, for every $100k, start with a 1 standard lot position. If stopped out one day, the following day trade 2 lots, or execute two 1 standard lot positions at the same time. This is a very simple strategy with an 80% win rate. That's it - That's all Trade Safe
BLACKBULL:US30Education
by Michael_Harding
1
Options Blueprint Series: Debit Spreads - Precision InvestingIntroduction to Options on Corn Futures Corn Futures are one of the staple commodities traded on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), representing a critical component of the agricultural sector's financial instruments. Each Corn Futures contract is standardized to 5,000 bushels, and the price is quoted in USD-cents per bushel. Contract Specifications: Point Value: 1/4 of one cent (0.0025) per bushel = $12.50. Margins: Trading on margin allows traders to leverage positions while only needing to cover a fraction of the total contract value. For Corn Futures, the initial margin requirement is set by the CME Group and varies based on market volatility: Currently $1,300 per contract at the time of this publication. Options trading introduces another layer of complexity and opportunity. Debit spreads involve purchasing one option and selling another, which helps manage the overall cost of entering the market. Margin for Debit Spreads: The margin for debit spreads typically reflects the premium paid for the long position minus any premium received from the short position. This results in a significantly lower margin requirement compared to trading the underlying futures contract outright. (In the below example the net premium paid for the spread is 7.26 points = $363, which is significantly lower than $1,300). Understanding Debit Spreads Debit spreads are a sophisticated options trading strategy utilized primarily to achieve a targeted investment outcome while managing risk exposure. They are constructed by purchasing an option (call or put) while simultaneously selling another option of the same type (call or put) but with a different strike price, within the same expiration period. The aim is to reduce the net cost of the position, as the premium received from the sold option offsets part of the cost incurred from the bought option. Mechanics of Debit Spreads: Long Position: You buy an option that you expect to increase in value as the market moves in your favor. Short Position: You sell another option with a higher strike (in the case of a call spread) or a lower strike (in the case of a put spread). This option is expected to expire worthless or decrease in value, offsetting the cost of the long position. Advantages of Using Debit Spreads: Defined Risk: The maximum loss on a debit spread is limited to the net premium paid plus transaction costs. This makes it easier to manage risk, especially in volatile markets. Potential for Profit: Although the profit potential is capped at the difference between the strike prices minus the net debit paid, these spreads can still offer attractive returns relative to the risk undertaken. Lower Cost of Entry: Compared to buying a single option, spreads typically require a lower upfront investment, making them accessible to a wider range of traders. This strategic application is what we'll explore next in the context of Corn Futures, where market conditions suggest a potential breakout. Application in Corn Futures For traders looking to harness the volatility in the agricultural sector, especially in commodities like corn, debit spreads can be a precision tool for structured trading. Given the current trading range of Corn Futures, with prices oscillating between 424 cents and 448 cents per bushel for a number of weeks, a strategic setup can be envisioned aiming for an upward breakout towards 471 cents, a resistance level indicated by Sell UnFilled Orders (UFOs). Strategy Implementation with Debit Spreads: Long Call Option: Buying a call option with a strike price near the lower end of the current range (450) positions traders to benefit from potential upward movements. Premium paid is 10.39 ($519.5) Short Call Option: Simultaneously, selling a call option with a strike price at 475 cents caps the maximum profit but significantly reduces the cost of entering the trade. This strike is chosen because it aligns closely with the expected UFO resistance level, enhancing the probability of the short option expiring worthless. Premium received is 3.13 ($156.5). The net cost of the spread ($519.5 - $156.5 = $363) represents the total risk. We are using the CME Group Options Calculator in order to generate fair value prices and Greeks for any options on futures contracts. Setting up the Trade To potentially capitalize on the anticipated market movement for Corn Futures, our debit spread strategy will involve a detailed setup of options trades based on specific strike prices that align with market expectations and technical analysis. This step-by-step guide will provide clarity on how to effectively enter and manage this options strategy. Trade Details: Long Call Option: Buy a call option with a strike price of 450. This option is chosen as it is near the current upper boundary of the trading range, providing a favorable entry point as we anticipate a breakout. Short Call Option: Sell a call option with a strike price of 475. This strike is selected based on its proximity to the identified resistance level at 471, suggesting a high likelihood that the price may not exceed this level before expiration. Cost and Profit Analysis: Net Premium Paid: $363 as discussed above. Break-even Point: Long strike price (450) plus the net premium paid = 457.26. Maximum Profit: The maximum profit for this debit spread is capped at the difference between the two strike prices minus the net premium paid = 475 – 450 – 7.26 = 17.74 = $887. Maximum Loss: The maximum risk is limited to the net premium paid. Risk Management By entering a debit spread, traders not only define their maximum risk but also set clear targets for profitability based on established market thresholds. This methodical approach ensures that even if the anticipated price movement does not fully materialize, the financial exposure remains controlled. Risk Management Techniques: Position Sizing: Determine the appropriate size of the position based on overall portfolio risk and individual risk tolerance. Stop-Loss Orders: Although the maximum loss is capped by the nature of the debit spread (the net premium paid), stop-loss orders can be used if the underlying asset moves against the trader. Rolling the Spread: If market conditions change or the initial price target is reached earlier than expected, consider 'rolling' the spread. Adjusting the Trade: If the price of Corn Futures approaches the short strike price (475) faster than anticipated, and market sentiment indicates further upward potential, the short call option can be bought back while a new higher strike call can be sold. This adjustment aims to extend the profitable range of the spread without increasing the original risk by much. Conversely, if the price seems unlikely to reach the 450 mark, reassess the viability of keeping the spread open. It may be prudent to close the position early to preserve capital if fundamental market factors have shifted negatively. Importance of Continuous Monitoring: Regularly monitor market conditions, including factors like weather reports, agricultural policies, and economic indicators that significantly impact corn prices. Stay updated with technical analysis charts and adjust strategies according to new resistance and support levels identified. Effective risk management not only protects from downside risk but also enhances the potential for profitability by adapting to changing market conditions. Conclusion The strategic use of debit spreads in Corn Futures options trading offers a balanced approach to leverage market opportunities while maintaining strict control over potential risks. Recap of Key Points: Corn Options on Futures: Understanding the contract specifics is crucial for informed trading decisions. Debit Spreads: These allow traders to benefit from expected price movements with reduced upfront costs and limited risk. Trade Setup: Focused on a potential breakout from the 448-424 range aiming towards 471, utilizing 450 and 475 strikes for the long and short calls respectively. Risk Management: Emphasizes the importance of position sizing, potential use of stop-loss orders, and the flexibility to adjust or roll the spread according to market changes. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
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CBOT:ZC1!Education
by traddictiv
2
The Rocket Booster Strategy In 3 StepsNow when you are looking at this stock I want you to understand that this type of strategy is good for investment purposes only This means you are not allowed to use margin To trade these types of stocks. Otherwise, you will lose your money to trading commissions and market volatility So instead you can use the rocket booster strategy to take advantage of this market move You may think to yourself "What is the rocket booster strategy?" The Rocket Booster Strategy In 3 Steps: Step 1 - The 50 Day moving average has to cross above the 200 Day Moving Average Step 2 - The 200-Day Moving Average has to be below the 50-Day Moving Average. Step 3 - The price should be above both the 50 Day moving average and the 200 Day Moving Average. If you follow these steps then you will see the buying signal as shown in this chart above Rocket boost its content to learn more. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice please do your own research before you buy or sell anything
NYSE:MOEducation
by lubosi
Dynamics of Bear Market CyclesBear markets, characterized by declining asset prices and investor pessimism, are a formidable force in the financial landscape. Understanding the distinct phases of a bear market cycle is essential for investors to navigate turbulent times and identify potential opportunities amidst the chaos. Shot across the Bow: The onset of a bear market sends a shockwave through the financial markets, shattering the "animal spirits" that drive bullish sentiment. Investor confidence wanes as uncertainty looms large, marking the beginning of a challenging journey ahead. Bull-Trap: Amidst the downward spiral, occasional rallies can deceive investors into believing that the worst is over. The "buy the dip" mentality prevails as hopeful traders attempt to capitalize on perceived bargains, only to be ensnared by the bear's trap once again. The Lower-High: As the bear market persists, a crucial shift in market behavior and psychology becomes apparent. The formation of lower highs signals a fundamental change in sentiment, as optimism gives way to caution and apprehension. Breakdown: The breakdown phase marks the definitive confirmation of a change in trend, as selling pressure intensifies and asset prices plummet. This descent into the deflationary abyss underscores the severity of the market downturn and underscores the need for defensive strategies. Fear and Capitulation: With fear gripping the markets, sentiment reaches a nadir as pessimism pervades and panic selling ensues. Investors capitulate in droves, relinquishing their holdings in a desperate bid to salvage what remains of their portfolios. Bottom Fishing: Amidst the chaos, value buyers emerge, scouring the market for opportunities amidst the wreckage. However, their efforts are met with fierce resistance from residual sellers, as the battle for market equilibrium rages on. Despair, End of Bear: In the depths of despair, all hope seems lost as the bear market reaches its nadir. Yet, amidst the gloom, a glimmer of optimism emerges as residual selling dries up, signaling the potential for a new beginning. Bear market cycles are a testament to the ebb and flow of market sentiment, characterized by periods of turmoil and uncertainty. By understanding the key phases of a bear market cycle, investors can better prepare themselves to weather the storm and emerge stronger on the other side.
Education
by Vestinda
What Are Cyclical Stocks?What Are Cyclical Stocks? Cyclical stocks are well known for ebbing and flowing with the rhythm of the economy. These stocks, a reflection of economic trends, demand a keen understanding of how various sectors react to changing economic conditions. This article delves into the world of cyclical stocks, offering insights into their nature, impact, and strategies for navigating their unique challenges and opportunities in the financial markets. What Is a Cyclical Stock? The cyclical stocks definition refers to shares of companies whose performance closely aligns with the economic cycle. They thrive as the economy booms but often underperform in recessions. Unlike counter-cyclical stocks, which tend to be stable or even prosper during economic downturns, cyclical stocks mirror the highs and lows of the economy. Industries like travel, automotive, and luxury goods are typical examples where price performance is directly tied to consumer spending and the health of the economy. Characteristics of Cyclical Stocks Cyclical stocks are distinguished by a set of defining characteristics. Primarily, they exhibit high volatility in response to economic changes. When the economy is growing, they often see significant gains as consumer confidence and spending increase. Conversely, during economic downturns, they often experience steep declines. The revenues and profits of these companies are closely tied to economic activities. For instance, in a booming economy, the automotive sector might see increased sales, boosting the value of car manufacturers. Sector-specific sensitivity is a critical aspect of cyclical stocks, meaning investors and traders must be adept at interpreting economic indicators to analyse performance trends. Another key feature is their correlation with consumer behaviour. Cyclical growth stocks typically see fluctuating demand based on consumer confidence and disposable income, directly impacting the values of companies in these industries. Cyclical Stocks Examples Cyclical stocks encompass a variety of industries that are highly sensitive to the economic cycle. Automotive: Companies like Ford and Toyota. Sales in the automotive sector often rise with economic growth, as consumers are more likely to purchase vehicles. Consumer Discretionary: Retail giants such as Amazon and Nike. These securities depend on consumer spending, which fluctuates with economic conditions. Travel and Leisure: Airlines like Delta and hotel chains such as Marriott. Travel spending is typically high during economic booms and drops during recessions. Construction and Housing: Homebuilders like D.R. Horton and Lowe's. Housing market growth is directly linked to the economy, influencing construction activity and home improvement spending. Luxury Goods: Brands like Louis Vuitton and Rolex. Luxury purchases increase with rising consumer wealth in strong economies. Economic Indicators and Cyclical Stocks Economic indicators play a pivotal role in the performance of cyclical stocks. Key indicators such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), employment rates, and consumer confidence indices offer insights into the health of the economy, which in turn influences these stocks. For example, a rise in GDP often signals growth, leading to increased consumer spending and higher corporate earnings, positively impacting this class of stocks. Similarly, low unemployment rates boost consumer confidence and spending power. Conversely, negative data may lead to declines in these stocks. During recessions, when GDP contracts and unemployment rises, cyclical sectors like travel and automotive often experience reduced demand, resulting in lower prices. Risks and Rewards Although when trading share CFDs, traders can take advantage of both rise and fall in the price of an asset, it’s important to be aware of the risks and rewards of cyclical stocks: Risks Economic Sensitivity: This stock type is vulnerable to economic conditions, leading to potentially greater risks due to the constantly changing environment. Timing Challenges: Predicting the peaks and troughs of economic cycles is difficult. Misjudging the timing might lead to losses. Volatility: They can experience sharp price fluctuations, adding to risks. Want to observe just how volatile these assets can be? Check them on FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform. Rewards High Growth Potential: During economic expansions, cyclical stocks may offer market-beating growth as consumer spending and corporate earnings increase. Market Opportunities: Savvy investors and traders may take advantage of the predictable patterns of economic cycles. Diversification: Including cyclical stocks in a portfolio can provide balance, as they often move opposite to defensive, counter-cyclical stocks. Strategies for Trading Cyclical Stocks In navigating the cyclical stock market, traders often employ several strategies: Searching for Undervalued Stocks During Recessions: It's common to look for undervalued cyclical shares at the end of recessions. Such a period often presents opportunities for buying at lower prices, anticipating a rebound as the economy recovers​​. Monitoring Economic Trends: Traders typically keep a close eye on indicators like interest rates and consumer spending. Recognising changing trends early may help in making informed decisions about when to buy or sell stocks. Diversification: Traders often diversify their portfolios by including a mix of cyclical and non-cyclical shares. This strategy may help mitigate risk, providing protection against economic fluctuations​​. Moving Into Defensive Stocks as the Economy Falters: As signs of downturn appear, traders may shift towards more defensive stocks, which are less affected by economic cycles. The Bottom Line These stocks, mirroring the economic cycle's highs and lows, offer unique opportunities but also pose specific challenges. By combining strategies such as monitoring economic trends, diversifying portfolios, and adopting a long-term view, traders may leverage the potential of cyclical stocks. For those seeking to delve deeper into this dynamic aspect of trading, opening an FXOpen account could be a valuable step towards engaging with the cyclical stock market. Happy trading! This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:AMZNEducation
by FXOpen
2
The ultimate guide on Elliott waves in crypto tradingMost of you have probably heard about Elliott waves and we are sure that you don’t use it in cryptocurrency trading strategy because it’s very complicated and subjective approach. Crypto trading for beginners is very challenging and stressful even without Elliott waves. To be honest when we first time tried to implement it to my crypto trading strategies it was a complete disappointment. We were sure that it does not suit for both trading bot and manual trades. Elliott waves were thrown into a garbage bin for almost two years and we developed our crypto trading algorithm using only linear programming approaches. While we have been trying to invent the best automated trading bot using only indicators and support and resistance levels, best crypto traders have been successfully using Elliott waves in their analysis. Finally we make a decision to have a deep dive in this popular crypto trading tool and studied in details all available literature. As a result we found that Elliott waves will ruin your trading if you use it without special indicators for confirmation. Now we have 2 years of experience in trading with waves and almost one year ago we implemented them into our algorithmic trading bot. Today we prepared the best ultimate guide ever on Elliott waves using best practices and our unique experience how to use them in developing your own profitable crypto trading strategies. Let’s go! Why it’s vital to use Elliott waves? Before answer this question, let me ask another one! Why is important to use map to reach the final destination? I think here is the obvious answer! Talking about Elliott waves it’s almost the same reason. This is the only one approach which gives you a map for a price chart. I think you agree that technical indicators or support and resistance levels will not give you the answer which direction the price will choose. When you have, for example Stochastic Oscillator crossover or RSI oversold area hit you just open long because this is the most common strategy. You buy asset like a blind kitten. We are not criticize this approach, because using proper risk and money management you will earn with almost every strategy, but understanding the Elliott waves concept will dramatically increase your profit even if you combine them with your ordinary strategy. Why it’s happening? The answer is easy, because Elliott waves in the underlying structure of the market. You will be aware when you shall use your signals and when it’s better to skip trade. Now let’s dive into the Elliott waves to understand how to find them on the price chart. In the first part we will give you all needed theory and after that we will show in the real charts how it works. Elliott waves In general, Elliott waves concept is pretty easy. All markets are globally moving up with the five waves formations and then show the pullback with at the reactive waves. On the Bitcoin price chart above you can see the most common picture for Elliott waves. We had the bull run which consists of five waves and then was the bear market represented with the ABC correction. Waves can be divided into two groups: impulsive and reactive. On the bullish phase waves 1, 3 and 5 are impulsive, 2 and 4 reactive. Impulsive waves consists also with five sub waves, while reactive have usually three waves (exception the triangle correction, will be covered later). On the bearish phase we have the opposite situation: waves A and C are impulsive, while wave B is reactive. Now let’s discuss each wave in details. What will stop every wave in 90% of cases? Before we will observe the wave it’s very important to understand what are the early signs that current wave is about to be finished. This is really crucial concept because without it almost impossible to use Elliott waves for profitable trading. We need four tools to make sure that our counting is correct. In this article we will not spend to much time for these indicators, we just show you in practice how to use them. These tools are: Awesome Oscillator, Market Facilitation Index (MFI), Fibonacci retracement and extension and Fractals. These four indicators produce five wave’s end conditions. Divergence with Awesome Oscillator. If you found five sub waves inside any wave and you can see that price set the higher high (or lower low for bearish case), while AO set lower high (or higher low) it’s divergence between wave 3 and 5. This is the most powerful signal that trend is over. Fractal at the top or bottom. When you see the divergence it’s just the first sign of trend weakness, we need confirmation with the fractal forming at the top or bottom. You can easily find this indicator in TradingView, it will show you all fractals. MFI squat bar. We will cover MFI in one of the next educational articles, now you just need to know that it has squat state - the last battle between bulls and bears. One of the three top bars will be the squat in 80% of waves end. You can also find this indicator in TradingView. AO momentum change. Another one confirmation that trend is over is when AO histogram changes color. It’s better to wait three consecutive columns of the other color or when AO will cross back the signal line, 5 period MA of the AO. Target area. Using Fibonacci extension and retracement we can find the area where the reversal is the most likely. We will show you this targets when talking about waves. Now you know the five basic rules and we are ready to discuss every wave using this concept. Wave 1 When the previous trend is over the impulsive wave 1 begins. We can define the wave 1 start only establishing the previous wave end. It could be wave 5, C or E. It does not matter. You just need to apply our five rules: divergence, momentum change, target area, squat bar and fractal. On the chart you can see how in theory wave 1 can be looks like. Wave 1 always consists of five waves. That’s why we can wait for the same five rules to complete between wave 3 and 5 inside the wave 1. When you anticipate the wave 1 finish you have two options: close trade and re-enter at the wave 2 bottom or hold for the entire cycle. Wave 2 When wave 1 ends, you will see pull back in wave 2. It’s important to catch wave 2 bottom because wave 3 will bring you a lot of profit. Wave 2 can be classical ABC zigzag, flat or irregular correction. 70% probability it will be ended inside 0.38 and 0.62 Fibonacci retracement range of wave 1, in rare cases it can ends higher or lower. That’s why it’s better t count waves inside wave 2 and do not miss when all five trend killing conditions are met in wave C inside 2. Wave 3 The most impulsive wave in the entire cycle is obligatory for trading. Here you can have the less risky and the most easy trading. Wave 3 has the great fundamental factors as a price drivers. For example, Bitcoin spot ETF triggered a huge pump recently. Let’s imagine you correctly entered at the wave 2 end. Now we have to define wave 3 targets. The target area using fibonacci extension can be found between 1 and 1.61. This is the most likely case. In crypto it’s very often when waves 3 are extended. To have the most precise target it’s highly recommended to count waves inside wave 3. Found five waves? Check our favorite trend killing rules to exit a trade at the top. We know it sounds fantastic, but we managed to buy the exact bottom and sell at the top many times, but to be honest, we have never caught the top of the extended wave 3. Need more experience for that. Wave 4 Wave 4 can be the most complicated because it has a lot of different variants: zigzag, flat, irregular or even triangle. But at the same time in wave 4 we can have the easiest setup. When you predicted wave 3 top, it’s time to setup the target for the wave 4. The most reliable one is between 0.38 and 0.5. This wave is not so rapid as wave 2 and takes much more time (up to 70% of all cycle). The very important tip here is to look at the price where wave 4 inside wave 3 has been ended. If this level coincides with the 0.38-0.5 zone it can give you much more confidence. We have never made a mistake using this technique. As usual you have to look for the five trend killing rules in wave C inside wave 4 as well. Another one thing we want to point out. You know the axiom, that wave 4 has not overlap wave 1 top. This rule can be slightly violated and we will show you the case. Don’t pay attention that much to this rule. Wave 5 Finally we are in wave 5. This is really vital to define it’s top because bear market will follow this wave and can destroy your deposits. The target area for the wave 5 is defined as the distance between wave 1 bottom and wave 3 top, measured from wave 4 bottom. Area between 0.61 of this distance and 1 Fibonacci level is our target. There you have to find trend killing rules as usual but this time for all cycle, not subwaves. Corrections The most dangerous place for trading is the correction. From our experience only wave C in zigzag is tradable. You would better to skip corrections and try to catch it’s end. We have four types of corrections, but the most important knowledges is that wave C and E are always consists of five waves. It means you can use the rules how to catch wave 5 end inside these waves. Zigzag ABC. If wave A consists of 5 waves the most like we will see zigzag. Wait when wave B reach 0.5-0.61 Fibonacci of wave A and be ready to trade in wave C. Flat. Wave A has 5 waves inside. Waves A, B and C are almost equal to each other. Irregular. Wave B top is higher that the previous impulsive wave. Wave A consists of 3 waves. Triangle. Consists of A, B, C, D and E waves. Wave E consists of five waves. Usually occurs inside waves 4 and B of higher degree. Now you have a theoretical description. It’s time to trade!
Editors' picks
Education
by Skyrexio
19
WHAT ARE THE DIFFERENT TYPES OF STABLECOINS?👋 Hello everyone, today we will be discussing stablecoins, which currently have a market capitalization of around $160 billion. Those who are not very familiar with cryptocurrencies often use stablecoins for various purposes such as making payments, storing money in a stable currency as an alternative to the US dollar, and for international transactions as well. However, stablecoins actually have a wide range of potential uses beyond these basic functions. In this post, you will learn about the different types of stablecoins available in the market. 💎 DIFFERENT TYPES OF STABLECOINS, THEIR APPLICATIONS, AND POTENTIAL RISKS The type of stablecoin and its purpose are typically defined by the developer, who also establishes the asset to which it is pegged, and creates the system for issuing and burning coins. Stablecoins that are listed on the top 20 exchanges globally in terms of capitalization are the ones that garner the most interest. 💎 SECURED BY FIAT WITH A PEG TO A SPECIFIC CURRENCY Binding can be done in various currencies such as USD, EUR, and others. One of the most well-known coins for binding is Tether. According to its developers, the coin is fully backed by real currency, stocks, bonds, and low-risk assets. ⚠️ However, there are risks involved with backing. For instance, Tether has faced challenges with verifying its backing. The company was not forthcoming in providing all necessary information to auditors. As a result, there are doubts about whether the security can serve as a protection fund in times of unexpected events. In another example, the second largest USDC stablecoin pegged to the USD fell below 87 cents in early March 2023. This drop was widely attributed to the bankruptcy of Silicon Valley Bank, where the startup had held approximately $3.3 billion in collateral. While the situation has since been stabilized, the potential for another bank failure to affect the value of a stablecoin remains a concern. 💎 SECURED BY A SPECIFIC ASSET One example of this is the PAXG coin, which is backed by physical gold. This means that the value of the coin is directly linked to the price of gold, eliminating the need for complicated stock market investments or futures trading. By simply purchasing the coin, you can potentially earn money. ⚠️ However, there are risks involved, particularly regarding security. The price of PAXG is not determined by traditional supply and demand forces, as it is tied to the value of gold regardless of the number of tokens in circulation. The algorithm controls the number of tokens, but there is uncertainty about whether the startup behind the coin will fulfill its obligations in case of unforeseen circumstances. 💎 ALGORITHMIC STABLECOINS One of the most complex models of operation to comprehend is the concept of stablecoins. These digital currencies are built on computer code, which is essentially an algorithm that governs the creation and destruction of coins. There are primarily two types of algorithmic stablecoins 1️⃣ The first type operates without any external backing. When the price of the stablecoin rises, the algorithm mints more coins. Conversely, when the price drops, it burns existing coins. This mechanism seems logical from an economic perspective, but it becomes problematic during times of crisis when everyone rushes to convert their virtual coins into real money. ⚠️ There are inherent risks associated with algorithmic stablecoins as they lack any physical backing. When you purchase stablecoins by providing USD, the developers may use the funds as they see fit. You can only expect to retrieve your investments if someone else injects more USD into the system. The story of Do Kwon and his Luna stablecoin serves as a cautionary tale of such a pyramid scheme. 2️⃣ The second type of algorithmic stablecoins introduces a more sophisticated concept, exemplified by the workings of DAI created by the startup MakerDAO. The innovative approach involves a redundant reservation system, where the responsibility of securing the collateral lies with the user rather than the developers. Each user can mint a DAI coin, pegged to the value of 1 USD, by locking up another cryptocurrency as collateral in excess of 100%. This surplus serves as a safety net in case the value of the pledged cryptocurrency experiences a significant drop, potentially by 50% or more. If the value of the collateral falls below the 100% threshold, the investor's position is automatically liquidated. Notably, developers have no control over the issuance of DAI, with the stability of its price reliant on the collateral provided by users. ⚠️ Despite the innovative approach, there are inherent risks involved. A sudden decrease in the value of the collateral cryptocurrency can result in standard "slippages", where users not only lose their collateral asset but are left with a stablecoin experiencing a drastic devaluation from 1 USD to just a few cents. 💎 WRAPPERD STABLECOINS One popular example is Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC). Bitcoin and Ethereum are the two largest platforms, but they are not compatible with each other. Developers who deploy startups on Ethereum find that their users also work with BTC as a reliable investment tool. WBTC was created as an intermediary to bridge this gap. The coin is deployed on the Ethereum network and is tied to WBTC in a 1:1 ratio. ⚠️ However, there are risks involved in using WBTC. As it belongs to people, there is a lack of decentralization. Only the portion of WBTC that is in demand is secured, leading to a smaller capitalization compared to bitcoin. The extent to which this network can be trusted is a complex question that requires careful consideration. ✅ CONCLUSION Stablecoins are an effective asset when utilized as a medium of exchange rather than as an investment, unlike gold-backed coins which function more as an investment tool. These coins provide protection against price fluctuations as they are linked to a stable asset. However, they still carry similar risks to altcoins such as detachment from the collateral, a decrease in the collateral's book value, and potential fraud by developers. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment
Education
by Lingrid
1
How to use different timeframesHello traders and investors! Today I'll talk about choosing the right timeframe and how you can use different timeframes when looking for trades. This will help us uncover what is hidden in this candle on the chart. When we look at something, we are usually limited by a certain viewpoint. From this point, we only see part of the whole picture. But if we move and look from a different perspective, we will discover new details and aspects that were previously unnoticed. The same applies to analyzing the chart of a financial instrument when using different types of charts or different timeframes. This post will focus on using different timeframes. On one timeframe, it may be difficult to understand the essence of what is happening, while on another, everything can become clearer and more understandable. I've already talked about using different timeframes when looking for trades in an educational article a few weeks ago (see the related post below). In that article, I highlighted 5 skills that help effectively trade in sideways markets. Discussing the first of them - how to combine higher and lower timeframes when looking for trades, I provided a practical example on the OPUSDT chart using the daily and hourly timeframes. In that practical example, I formulated target levels that are likely to be reached. You can see the results in the related post (see below). I'll provide another example of choosing the right timeframe and the correlation between timeframes, using the BTCUSDT chart. This will help us uncover what is hidden in this candle on the chart. In the update of this idea I noted that on the hourly timeframe at the contextual point of the seller (the beginning of the last seller impulse, level 66867), I didn't see an active seller and wasn't ready to join the sales at that moment. As a potential target, I indicated 62776. So, I looked at the chart on different timeframes and searched for what remains unnoticed. On the 7-minute timeframe, I discovered a sideways movement at the contextual point of the seller (level 66867), as mentioned in the idea update with a recommendation to look for a trade after exiting the sideways movement and protecting this exit: Now, let's analyze what happened next (on the bars chart, as bars take up less space and additional marks are better visible). The seller broke through the lower boundary of the sideways movement at 65626.87. The seller's impulse ended at 10:49 (New York time), when after breaking through the lower boundary of the sideways movement, the first buyer bar appeared. The key candle(bar) of the impulse (the largest volume in the impulse) is marked on the chart as "KC". Therefore, the seller's defense of this candle or the lower boundary of the sideways movement (65626) increases the probability of further price decrease. The price range of the key candle of the impulse is highlighted on the chart (from high to close). Now let's pick a lower timeframe to see more clearly what happened before and after 10:49. On the 1-minute timeframe by 10:49, a sideways movement formed, and at 10:49, the price attacked the upper boundary of the sideways movement (level at point 2). The key candle of the buyer's impulse ("KC" on the chart) is in the middle of the impulse. At 10:59, the buyer attacked a new boundary of the sideways movement (level at point 6 - 65249.01). Pay attention to the volume of the attacking candle. At 11:02, the seller pressed the attack candle, forming a seller zone (red background on the chart). On the buyer's candle at 11:04 (black downward arrow on the chart), you can sell because: On the hourly timeframe, the price is in the seller's impulse in the seller's area of interest, which defended the level 66867. On the 7-minute timeframe, the seller broke through the lower boundary of the sideways movement. On the 1-minute timeframe, the seller defended the level (65249.01) from the buyer's attack on a significant volume, which is within the price range of the key candle of the 7-minute timeframe impulse. And one more interesting point. Look where the seller's resumption on the minute timeframe came from - from the 50% of the key candle of the 7-minute timeframe seller impulse. Could the price, without reaching the target of 62776, go up? Yes, the probability of this event is not zero. And we see how the price did not reach the target by 18 dollars (black upward arrow on the chart) and turned upward. Where did the seller stop it? It stopped right there inside the key candle of the sideways movement exit on the 7-minute timeframe (black downward arrow on the chart). After that, the target of 62776 was reached.
Education
by AlexeyWolf
Here is WHY You Must Learn TRADE MANAGEMENT Hey traders, In this post, I will share with you my tips for trade management in Forex trading . But first, let me elaborate on what is exactly a trade management . Trade management is the set of rules and techniques applied for managing of an already active position. Trade management is a very important element of any trading strategy that should never be neglected. 1. Never remove a stop loss Being in a huge loss, many traders refuse to admit that they are wrong. Instead, watching how the price moves closer and closer to a stop loss, they remove stop loss hoping on a coming reversal. The alternative situation may happen when the price is going sharply in the desired direction. Watching the increasing profits, traders remove a stop loss (and occasionally take profit), being afraid to miss bigger profits. Both situations may lead to substantial, higher than initially planned losses. Driven by many factors, the market can easily burn all gains and move against the desired direction much longer than traders stay solvent. Take a look at this long trade on Gold. When the price comes closer and closer to a stop loss, many traders can not take a psychological pressure and remove stop loss, being afraid to take the loss. However, most of the time, stop loss will help you to limit your losses. You can see that after Gold reached stop loss, the price dropped much lower. Removing the stop loss, you would inquire bigger losses. Never remove a stop loss. It must be always set. 2. Never modify your stop loss if a position is in loss Watching how the price moves closer and closer to a stop loss is painful. Instead of removing stop loss, some traders move it and give the market more space for reversal. Even though such a technique is safer than the complete stop loss removal, it is still a very bad habit. Each stop loss adjustment increases the potential loss, not giving any guarantees that the market will reverse. It is highly recommendable to keep your stop loss fixed and let the price hit it and admit the loss. Above is one more example, why the earlier you close the trade in a loss, the better. Modifications and adjustment of your stop loss will most of the time lead to even bigger losses. 3. Know in advance your profit protection strategy Where do you take your profit? Do you have a fixed tp level or do you apply trailing stop? You should always know the answers. Coiling around take profit level but not being able to reach it, the price makes many traders manually close the trade or move take profit closer to current price levels. Another common situation happens when the market so quickly reaches the desired TP level so the traders remove TP hoping to make bigger than initially planned profit. Such emotional interventions negatively affect a long-term trading performance. TP removal may even burn all profits. Do not let your greed intervene, and always follow your rules. Above is the example of trade management rules in Forex trading. After GBPUSD reached a key support, a long position was opened from that. Once the price moves up by a certain distance, stop loss will be moved to entry. Take profit will be the closest key resistance. 4. Never add to a losing position Watching how the price refuses to go in the intended direction and cutting a partial loss, many traders add to a losing trade in hopes that the market will reverse and all the losses will be recovered. Again, such a fallacy usually leads to substantial losses. Remember, you can add to a position only AFTER the market moved in the desired direction, not BEFORE. Just imagine what could happen with your trading account, if you kept adding to a losing short position in a recent crazy bullish market on Gold. 5. Close the trades manually only following rules Quite often, newbie traders manually close their trades because of some random factors: they saw someone's opposite view, or they simply changed their mind. Remember, that if you opened a trade following your trading plan, you should always have strict rules for a position manual close. Do not let random factors affect your trading. Above is the example how you could easily miss a lot of pips on Gold, simply because the market temporarily stuck on some resistance. Following these 5 simple tips, your trading will improve dramatically. Remember, that it is not enough to spot and accurate entry. Once you are in a trade, you should wisely manage that, following your plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
8
1 Setup everyone should know.Trading Structure can be tricky. You can see a Break of Structure (BOS), your trying to get in on retracements and just keep getting Stopped out? This will help. Trade only after a Liquidity Grab, I'm going to call this a "Grubber". After the Grubber, There must be a STRONG Impulse move which breaks Structure in the Opposite Direction, Then you have to wait for a 3 wave retracement "ABC" The "C" Wave is now your Smaller Time Frame "Grubber" Now wait for the B Wave to be broken (Smaller Time Frame IMPULSE"), This is your smaller Time Frame "BOS" The final Step is to set a Limit order on Imbalance fill.
Education
by craig.sloper.10
How To Trade Triangles Like A Pro?Welcome, traders and investors, to our educational post on ascending and descending triangles! In the fast-paced world of financial markets, understanding chart patterns like these is crucial for making informed trading decisions. Ascending and descending triangles are powerful tools that provide valuable insights into market dynamics and potential price movements. In this post, we will delve into the characteristics of these patterns, explore how to identify them on price charts, and discuss effective trading strategies to capitalize on their implications. Whether you're a novice trader or an experienced investor, mastering these patterns can greatly enhance your ability to navigate the markets with confidence and precision. What Is An Ascending Triangle? An ascending triangle chart pattern is formed during the upward price movement in an uptrend. The price tends to consolidate for a while and allows the trader to draw a horizontal trend line on the upside. Simultaneously, it allows the trader to draw a rising trend line downwards. The pattern implies that the price is consolidating and existing buyers are closing partial positions and the market is expecting new buyers to join and continue the Bullish trend. As a result, the price consolidates on the upper trend line and is unable to move higher and make new higher highs. However, the price does not make lower lows either, instead makes higher lows. So technical analysts look for trading opportunities and enter the market once the pattern is spotted on a price chart. How To Identify The Ascending Triangle? The ascending triangle pattern is similar to the other triangle patterns, but the location and shape of the triangle formation is very important. The shape of the ascending triangle should strictly contain the upper horizontal trend line and the lower rising trend line, failing this will invalidate the pattern. The pattern must be located within the uptrend, so it can be validated as a trend continuation pattern. The ascending triangle can be spotted easily by its shape. The horizontal upper trend line and the rising lower trend line make it easy to spot the triangle. An ascending triangle forms during a bullish uptrend as the pattern is a continuation pattern. However, the pattern may form in any part of the chart and trend. The ascending triangle pattern formed during a uptrend is significant and produces the best trading results. So traders should look for the pattern while prices are in an uptrend and identify it using the triangle shape. Features That Help To Identify The Ascending Triangle: ▪️ There should be an existing uptrend in the price. ▪️ The upper trend line should be horizontal. ▪️ The lower trend line must be a rising trend line. ▪️ The trend lines should be touched at least twice. The greater number of times the trend line is touched, the stronger it gets. How To Trade The Ascending Triangle? As mentioned earlier, the pattern not only provides the best entry point but provides the stop loss and takes profit too. Moreover, these points can be clearly defined and understood by the trader. Entry point: During the market consolidation phase, the upper trend line acts as a resistance and the lower trend line acts as a support. As the market consolidation ends and the price starts to get momentum, it breaks the upper trend line. The best entry point is the breakout of the upper trend line or the resistance. Price breakouts are normally associated with spikes in the trading volume. The increased trading volume implies the entry of fresh buying orders. Traders should look for trading volume levels during the breakout and confirm the breakout before entering the market with a BUY position. The next confirmation is the classic price action which shows that the resistance has changed into support. Normally, price once breaks the upper trend line tries to move lower but will have ample support from the upper trend line which now starts to act support. This price action confirms the buying interest and gives the trader with additional confirmation and confidence. Stop Loss: The best stop loss method is to exit the trade if the price breaks the support or the lower rising trend line. The breakout of the lower trend line implies the non-availability of the upside momentum and indicates the possibility of the return of the bears. (In the cryptocurrency market, there are often fake breakouts, and that's also worth considering!) Take Profit: The projected take profit target is the farthest distance between the upper and lower trend lines. At the beginning of the pattern, the upper and lower trend line will be wider from each other. This distance can be measured and can be projected from the entry point to the upside. As per the pattern, this is the best take profit target. What Is An Descending Triangle? A descending triangle appears during a downtrend. The price tends to move lower and then finds a consolidation area, this consolidation area is the potential price level at which the market allows the trader to draw a horizontal trend line, due to the failure to make lower lows. On the other hand, the price tries to move higher and fails to make any higher highs. Oppositely, the failure to make higher lows results in lower lows so the price action allows the technical trader to draw a descending trend line on the upside. The combination of the upper and the lower trend line forms the shape of the descending triangle. Traders look for trading opportunities once the price consolidation ends. Price breakout from the descending triangle pattern indicates the beginning of the trend resumption. So traders enter the market in the direction of the previous trend direction. How To Identify The Descending Triangle Pattern? The following are the features that help to identify the descending triangles chart pattern. ▪️ There should be an existing downtrend in the price. To validate the pattern, it should form during an existing downtrend. The pattern that forms during an uptrend should be invalidated and not taken into account. As the trend is a BEARISH continuation pattern the formation during the downtrend is essential. ▪️ A lower trend line should be horizontal. The price should fail to make lower lows and usually bounce from the low, as a result, the lower trend line should be as horizontal as possible. The upper trend line must be a descending trend line. The price action on the upper side is very crucial for this pattern. The failure of the price to make higher highs and instead of making lower highs shows the failure of the price to reverse the trend direction. ▪️ The trend lines should be at least touched twice, the greater number of times the trend line is touched it gets stronger. Trend lines must be validated independently, as a general rule of the trend line the price should touch the trend line at least twice. However, the more times a trend line is touched it gets stronger. The upper and lower trend lines converge each other and look to join at the end, thereby forming the shape of a descending triangle. Traders can spot the pattern easily due to the shape of the trend lines, as the chart will make it easier to spot a consolidation area during a downtrend. How To Trade The Descending Triangle Like A Pro? As discussed earlier the pattern is a completely trade-able pattern, meaning it provides the trader with the best entry point and stops loss, and takes profit points. It must be mentioned that all of the parameters can be measured and identified easily. Entry Point: During the market consolidation phase, the price action makes the price bounce from the lower trend line and prevents the price to move higher than the upper falling trend line. The resultant shape of the descending triangle will be broken the consolidation phase ends as traders enter a fresh buying phase. The price breaks the lower trend line and continues to move lower, which is the prevailing downtrend. Traders should confirm the entry point using additional confirmation using the trading volumes. Any breakout of trend lines or triangles is generally associated with increased trading volumes. The increased trading volumes provide the necessary momentum for the price movement. So traders should look for increased volumes, however, if the descending triangle breakout does not show any increase in volume traders should refrain from trading as it may be due to a false breakout. The next type of confirmation is by applying the support and resistance or trend line trading rules. The lower horizontal trend line effectively acted as a support during the market consolidation phase, while the upper trend line acted as a resistance. So once the price breaks the support, it becomes resistance. There may be few instances when the price broke the support line and fails to continue or displays a false breakout. Stop Loss: The stop loss is the upper falling trend line because, if the price makes higher highs it shows the market intent to move higher or reverse the trend. So the best method is to exit the position if the price breaks the falling upper trend line or resistance. Take Profit: The pattern allows identifying the take profit by measuring the longest distance between the trend lines. Normally during the beginning of the descending triangle pattern is the longest distance, this shall be measured. This measurement from the entry point will provide the potential take profit position. Understanding ascending and descending triangles is essential for any trader navigating the financial markets. These chart patterns offer valuable insights into potential price movements, providing traders with opportunities to enter and exit positions strategically. Ascending triangles typically indicate bullish continuation patterns, suggesting that an uptrend may persist after consolidation. On the other hand, descending triangles often signal bearish continuation patterns, indicating potential downtrends following consolidation. By recognizing these patterns and applying appropriate trading strategies, traders can enhance their decision-making process and improve their overall trading performance. Remember to combine pattern analysis with other technical indicators and risk management principles for optimal results in the dynamic world of trading. Happy trading!🩷 Thanks for Your attention 🫶 Always sincerely with You, Kateryna💙💛
Editors' picks
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by RocketBomb
27
How Does Recession Affect Financial Markets?How Does Recession Affect Financial Markets? Recessions, marked by widespread economic decline, profoundly impact financial markets. Understanding how different markets – stock, forex, commodity, and bond – respond to these downturns is crucial for traders and investors. This article delves into the varied effects of recessions, highlighting strategies for navigating these challenging times and identifying potential opportunities for resilience and growth in the face of economic adversity. Understanding Recessions A recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, typically visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale retail sales. Economic experts often cite two consecutive quarters of GDP contraction as a technical indicator of a recession. However, it's more than just numbers; it reflects a noticeable slump in economic activities and consumer confidence. Historically, recessions have been triggered by various factors, such as sudden economic shocks, financial crises, or bursting asset bubbles. For instance, the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 stemmed from the collapse of the housing market bubble in the United States, leading to a worldwide economic downturn. Recession impacts nearly every corner of the economy, leading to increased unemployment, reduced consumer spending, and overall economic stagnation. Effects of Recession on Different Financial Markets A recession's impact on financial markets is multifaceted, influencing everything from stocks and bonds to forex and commodities. However, each market reacts differently. To see how these various asset classes have reacted in past recessions, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform to access real-time market charts. General Impact on Markets During a recession, the financial landscape typically undergoes significant changes. Investors, wary of uncertainty, often reassess their risk tolerance, leading to shifts in asset allocation. Market volatility usually spikes as news and economic indicators sway investor sentiment. This period is often marked by cautious trading and a search for safer investment havens. Impact on Stock Markets Stock market performance in a recession can be quite varied. Generally, stock markets are among the first to react to signs of a recession. Prices may fall as investors anticipate lower earnings and weaker economic growth. This decline is not uniform across all sectors, however. Some industries, like technology or luxury goods, might experience steeper drops due to reduced consumer spending. Conversely, sectors like utilities or consumer staples often include stocks that do well during a recession, as they provide essential services that remain in demand. Impact on Forex Markets In forex, recessions often lead to significant currency fluctuations. Investors might flock to so-called safe currencies like the US dollar or Swiss franc, while currencies from countries heavily affected by the recession weaken. Central bank policies, such as interest rate cuts or quantitative easing, play a crucial role in currency valuation during these times. Impact on Commodities Commodities can react differently in a recession. While demand for industrial commodities like oil or steel may decline due to reduced industrial activity, precious metals like gold often see increased interest as so-called safe-haven assets. Impact on Bonds Bond markets usually experience a surge in demand during recessions, particularly government bonds, seen as low-risk investments. As investors seek stability, bond prices typically rise, and yields fall, reflecting the increased demand and decreased risk appetite. Types of Stocks That Perform Well During a Recession During economic downturns, certain stock categories have historically outperformed others. The stocks that go up in a recession generally belong to sectors that provide essential services or goods that remain in demand regardless of the economic climate. Consumer Staples: Companies in this sector, offering essential products like food, beverages, and household items, may appreciate during a recession. As these are necessities, demand usually remains stable even when discretionary spending declines. Healthcare: Healthcare stocks often hold steady or grow during recessions. The demand for medical services and products is less sensitive to economic fluctuations, making this sector a potential safe haven for investors. Utilities: Utility companies typically offer stable dividends and consistent demand. Regardless of economic conditions, consumers need water, gas, and electricity, providing these stocks with a buffer against recessionary pressures. Discount Retailers: Retailers that offer essential goods at lower prices can see an uptick in business as consumers become more budget-conscious during tough economic times. Types of Stocks to Hold in a Recession While there are some stocks that perform well in a recession due to sustained demand for their products, there are other types of stocks that are valued for their financial resilience and potential to provide long-term stability. Blue-Chip Stocks: These are shares of large, well-established companies known for their financial stability and strong track records. During recessions, their history of enduring tough economic times and providing dividends makes them attractive. Value Stocks: Stocks that are undervalued compared to their intrinsic worth can be good picks. They often have strong fundamentals and are priced below their perceived true value, with the potential to rebound strongly as the economy recovers. Non-Cyclical Stocks: These stocks are in industries whose services or products are always needed, like waste management or funeral services. Their demand doesn’t fluctuate significantly with the economy, which may offer stability. The Role of Government and Central Banks During Recessions During recessions, governments and central banks play a crucial role in stabilising financial markets. Government interventions often include fiscal policies like increased spending and tax cuts to stimulate the economy. Central banks may reduce interest rates or implement quantitative easing to increase liquidity in the financial system. These actions can bolster investor confidence, stabilise markets, and encourage lending and spending. However, their effectiveness can vary based on the recession's severity and the timeliness of the response. The Bottom Line Navigating recessions requires understanding their multifaceted impact on financial markets. From stocks and bonds to forex and commodities, each sector reacts uniquely, offering both challenges and opportunities. To take advantage of the various opportunities a recession presents, opening an FXOpen account can be a strategic step. We provide access to a broad range of markets and trading tools designed to help traders adapt to a shifting economic landscape. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Editors' picks
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by FXOpen
6
Comparing 2 Similar Stock Trading Moves You Might Want To TradeLosing on a trade when you think it will go up, especially after following EMA's does not feel okay. If you look at these 2 charts one is Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN and the other is NASDAQ:MSFT Microsoft. Now Microsoft crashed on the earnings report to about -4% This type of move really shocked me. Because I was expecting the price to follow the trend lines and in this case, it didn't do that, instead when the news came out on that day of earnings the price dropped like a pile of bricks. In this case, it gapped down. while it was in an uptrend, What do you think will happen to Amazon next week at the earnings report? I think it will crash as well just like Microsoft but we will have to wait and see exactly what happens after the market closes next week Tuesday Remember Rocket boost this content to learn more. Disclaimer: Trading is risky and you will lose money do not buy or sell anything I recommend to you. These are just ideas they are not facts.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by lubosi
Options Blueprint Series: Credit Spreads for Weekly PlaysIntroduction Credit spreads are a sophisticated options strategy involving the simultaneous purchase and sale of options of the same class and expiration, but at different strike prices. This approach is particularly effective in scenarios where the trader seeks to capitalize on premium decay while maintaining controlled risk exposure. Commonly used in volatile markets, credit spreads can offer a strategic advantage by allowing traders to position themselves in accordance with their market outlook and risk tolerance. Understanding Credit Spreads Selling one option and buying another with the same expiration date but different strike prices is done to earn the premium (credit) received from selling the higher-priced option, offset by the cost of buying the lower-priced option. There are two main types of credit spreads: Call Spreads and Put Spreads, specifically Bull Put Spreads and Bear Call Spreads. Bull Put Spreads: This strategy involves selling a put option with a higher strike price (receiving a premium) and buying a put option with a lower strike price (paying a premium), both on the same underlying asset and expiration. The trader anticipates that the asset's price will stay above the higher strike price at expiration, allowing them to keep the premium collected. This spread is termed "bull" because it profits from a bullish or upward-moving market. Bear Call Spreads: Conversely, this strategy involves selling a call option with a lower strike price (receiving a premium) and buying a call option with a higher strike price (paying a premium). The expectation here is that the asset's price will remain below the lower strike price at expiration. This spread is called "bear" because it benefits from a bearish or downward-moving market. Easy Way to Remember: Bull Put Spread: Remember it as "selling insurance" on a stock you wouldn't mind owning. You're betting the stock price stays "bullish" or at least doesn't drop significantly. Bear Call Spread: Think of it as "calling the top" on a stock. You're predicting that the stock won't go any higher, demonstrating a "bearish" outlook. Risk Profile The below graph illustrates the risk profile of a Bull Put Spread (Bullish Credit Spread that uses Puts): WTI Crude Oil Options Contract Specifications WTI Crude Oil options offer traders the opportunity to manage price risks in the highly volatile crude oil market. Key contract specifications include: Point Value: Each contract represents 1,000 barrels of crude oil, with each point of movement equivalent to $1,000. Trading Hours: Options trading is available from Sunday to Friday, providing extensive access to market participants around the globe. Margin Requirements: Initial margins are set by the exchange and are adjusted according to market volatility. USD 6,281 at the time of this publication (based on the CME Group website). Credit Spread Margin Calculation: For credit spreads, margins are typically lower as the margin for a credit spread in WTIC Crude Oil options is calculated based on the risk of the position, which is the difference between the strike prices minus the net credit received. This calculation ensures that the trader has sufficient funds to cover the potential maximum loss. (for example: a spread using the 78.5 and the 77.5 strikes which are 1 point away would require USD 1,000 minus the credit received). Understanding these specifications is crucial for traders looking to employ credit spreads effectively, ensuring compliance with financial requirements and alignment with trading strategies. Application to WTIC Crude Oil Options Credit spreads are particularly suited to the Weekly Expiration WTIC Crude Oil Options due to their ability to capitalize on the oil market's frequent price fluctuations. The strategy's effectiveness is enhanced by the oil market's characteristics: Market Dynamics: Crude oil prices are influenced by a myriad of factors including geopolitical events, supply-demand dynamics, and changes in global economic indicators. These factors can lead to significant price movements, creating opportunities for options traders. Strategy Suitability: Given the volatile nature of crude oil, credit spreads allow traders to take a directional stance (bullish or bearish) while limiting risk to the difference between the strike prices minus the credit received. This is particularly advantageous in a market where sudden price swings can occur, as it provides a safety buffer in case WTI Crude Oil moves against the trader and then comes to back towards the desired direction. By employing credit spreads, traders can leverage such market characteristics to potentially enhance returns while maintaining a clear risk management framework. Forward-looking Trade Idea For above TradingView price chart presents a trade setup as we consider the current market conditions and employ a put credit spread strategy, focusing on two UFO (UnFilled Orders) Support Price Levels that indicate potential support below the current market price of WTIC Crude Oil Futures. These levels suggest that prices are unlikely to drop below these thresholds anytime soon. Trade Setup: Utilize the 78.5 and 77.5 put strike prices for the credit spread. Sell a put option at the 78.5 strike price, where we expect the market will not fall below and collect 0.13 points (USD 130). Buy a put option at the 77.5 strike price to limit downside risk and define the trade’s maximum loss and pay 0.07 points (USD 70). Premium Collected: The credit received from this spread is the difference in premiums between the sold and bought puts, which contributes to the overall profitability if the options expire worthless. The net credit collected is USD 60 (130-70). Expected Outcome: The best scenario is for WTIC Crude Oil prices to stay above the 78.5 strike at expiration, allowing the trader to retain the full premium collected while minimizing risk. As seen on the above screenshot, we are using the CME Options Calculator in order to generate fair value prices and Greeks for any options on futures contracts. This trade is predicated on the belief that the underlying crude oil price will remain stable or increase, ensuring that the prices do not fall to the strike price of the sold put, thereby maximizing the potential for profit from the premiums. Risk Management Effective risk management is crucial when employing credit spreads in trading. Given the defined risk nature of credit spreads, several strategies can be implemented: Position Sizing: Adjust the number of spreads to fit within the overall risk tolerance of the trading portfolio, ensuring that potential losses do not exceed pre-determined thresholds. Stop-Loss Orders: Although credit spreads have a built-in maximum loss, setting stop-loss orders based on market price can help lock in profits or prevent excessive losses in volatile market conditions. Monitoring: Regular monitoring of market conditions and adjusting positions as necessary can help manage risks associated with unexpected market movements. Conclusion Credit spreads offer a strategic advantage for options traders looking to leverage market movements while controlling risk. By focusing on premium collection and employing a disciplined approach to risk management, traders can enhance their chances of success in the volatile WTIC Crude Oil options market. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by traddictiv
''Pulse'' of an asset times Fibonacci: Chapter 4: Impulse ReDuxThis is my 4th Idea or "Chapter" to collect evidence for my theories. This Chapter is to observe the results of price Returning to Impulse. I will be adding examples as ongoing "Updates" whenever I spot them. Impulse = strong continuous force for a limited amount of time. When there is a return to Impulse, it is a critical zone to watch. Rejection from, Penetration of, or Traversal through are clues. In this particular example, there was clear and exact Rejection. The resulting move followed the same Ripples as original move. Possible Deduction: the selling power in this Impulse is still 100%. Please take momen to look at the previous Chapters below. Original Edition with numerous examples: Chapter 2 with more advanced exampels: Chapter 3 to study the 9.618 Extension in particular: ALSO see the numerous other examples in the "Related Ideas" below.
COINBASE:LTCUSDEducation
by EuroMotif
4
Top-5 tips for Top-Down Multiple Time Frame Analysis Trading I am trading multiple time frame analysis for many years. After reviewing trading ideas from various traders on Tradingview, I noticed that many traders are applying that incorrectly In this article, I will share with you 5 essential tips , that will help you improve your multiple time frame analysis and top-down trading. The Order of Analysis Matters Multiple time frame analysis is also called top-down analysis for a reason. When you trade with that, you should strictly start your analysis with higher time frames and then dive lower, investigating shorter-term time frames. Unfortunately, most of the traders do the opposite. They start from a lower time frame and finish on a higher one. Above are 3 time frames of EURGBP pair: daily, 4h, 1h. To execute multiple time frames analysis properly, start with a daily, then check a 4h and only then the hourly time frame. Limit the Number of Time Frames Executing multiple time frame analysis, many traders analyse a lot of time frames. They may start from a weekly and finish on 5 minute time frame, going through 5-8 time frames. Remember that is it completely wrong. For execution of a multiple time frame analysis, it is more than enough to analyse 3 or even 2 time frames. Adding more time frames will overwhelm your analysis and make it too complex. Analyse Particular Time Frames Your multiple time frame analysis should be consistent and rule-based. It means that you should strictly define the time frames that you analyse. For example, for day trading, my main trading time frames are daily, 4h, 1h. I consistently analyse ONLY these trading time frames and I look for day trades only analysing this combination of time frames. Higher is the time frame, stronger the signal in provides Trading with multiple time frame analysis, very often you will encounter controversial signals: you may see a very bullish pattern on a daily and a very bearish confirmation on 30 minutes time frame. Always remember that the higher time frames confirmations are always stronger, and their accuracy is probability is always higher. Above there are 2 patterns: a head and shoulders pattern on a daily time frame with a confirmed neckline breakout, and an inverted head and shoulders pattern on a 4h time frame with a confirmed neckline breakout. 2 patterns give 2 controversial signals: the pattern on a daily is very bullish and the pattern on a 4h is very bearish. The signal on a daily time frame will be always stronger , so it is reasonable to be on a bearish side here. You can see that the price dropped after a retest of a neckline of a head and shoulders on a daily, completely neglecting a bullish pattern on a 4H. Each Time Frame Should Have Its Purpose You should analyse any particular time frame for a reason. You should know exactly what you are looking for there and what is the purpose of your analysis. For example, for day trading, I analyse 3 time frames. On a daily, I analyse the market trend and key levels. On a 4H time frame, I analyse candlesticks. On an hourly time frame, I look for a price action pattern as a confirmation. On GBPAUD on a daily, I see a test of a key horizontal resistance. On a 4H time frame, the price formed a doji candle. On an hourly, I spotted a double top, giving me a bearish confirmation. These trading tips will increase the accuracy of your multiple time frame analysis. Study them carefully and adopt them in your trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
Countertrend Impulse StrategyCountertrend Impulse Strategy Countertrend trading is a well-respected way to trade. Combining it with the predictive power of impulse movements can help traders act on market reversals. This article delves into the components and practical application of this strategy, providing insights for any trader looking to enhance their trading skills. Understanding Countertrend Trading In trading, a trend represents the general direction in which a market or asset is moving. Trends are either upward, downward, or sideways. Countertrend trading, on the other hand, involves taking positions that are opposite to the prevailing trend. Recognising countertrends is vital, as they provide new opportunities in the market. Traders look for signals that a trend might be losing momentum, such as weakening volume or specific candlestick patterns. They then seek opportunities to profit from the anticipated reversal. Basic techniques to identify countertrends include using tools like moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and trendlines. By understanding and identifying countertrends, traders can position themselves to capitalise on potential market shifts, making it a fundamental aspect of various trading strategies. Impulse Strategies: An Overview An impulse strategy focuses on identifying and trading based on momentum changes within the market. An impulse in the market is a sudden and strong move in a particular direction, often triggered by news or fundamental events. The key elements of impulse strategies include identifying a sudden movement, analysing its underlying cause, and predicting how it might impact future price action. Traders often look for candlestick patterns, like engulfing candles, and momentum indicators, such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), to gauge these impulses. Integrating countertrend trading with an impulse strategy offers a method to identify when a reversal has weight behind it. It builds upon the foundational principles of recognising countertrends by adding a focus on sudden and significant market moves. This combination allows traders to recognise both gradual shifts and sudden changes in market direction. Impulse-Based Countertrend Trading Strategy This strategy involves a nuanced approach that combines the principles of countertrend trading with the detection of market impulses. Here's how it can be applied practically. To try your hand at applying this setup for yourself, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform. There, you’ll find all of the trading tools and indicators you need to countertrend trade. Identifying Overbought/Oversold Areas Using RSI: Traders use the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to determine when an asset is overbought (above 70) or oversold (below 30). If there's a divergence between the RSI and price, it adds further confluence, although it's not a necessary condition. Looking for Specific RSI and Candle Patterns: The strategy becomes actionable when the RSI moves back above 30 or below 70, coupled with an engulfing candle that is noticeably larger than the previous few candles. This pattern indicates a strong impulse against the prevailing trend. Setting Stop Losses: A stop loss is placed above or below a nearby swing point, usually just before the impulse. This protects the position if the anticipated reversal doesn't materialise. Taking Profits at Support and Resistance Levels: Profits are taken at nearby support and resistance levels. Traders often aim to gradually scale out of their position, allowing flexibility in response to market movements. Risks and Benefits of Countertrend Trading Countertrend trading can offer opportunities for profit, but it's important to understand both the risks and benefits involved in this approach: Benefits Opportunity in Reversals: Identifying and trading reversals can yield profits in otherwise overlooked market situations. Diversification: Adding countertrend strategies to your arsenal may offer diversification benefits. Risks Potential for False Signals: Countertrend trading might identify a reversal that does not materialise, leading to losses. Challenging Timing: Accurate timing of the market reversal requires skill and experience, and errors can be costly. Increased Volatility Exposure: This strategy might expose traders to increased volatility, making risk management vital. The Bottom Line In essence, combining countertrend trading with impulsive movements in the market can be an effective strategy. While it goes contrary to the typical advice of “the trend is your friend,” with the right setup, it can offer a way to capitalise on unique market opportunities. For anyone interested in employing these strategies, opening an FXOpen account can be a good first step toward putting these techniques into practice. You’ll gain access to a wide range of markets to deploy your skills and benefit from competitive trading costs and rapid execution speeds. Good luck! This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
2