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Trend Analysis

Stock Market Logic Series #9Two Daggers Buy Pattern EXPLAINED This is a super powerful pattern for a buy. Especially if you are a value investor. What do you want to look for? 1. You must see TWO daggers to the downside. A dagger is an extremely abnormal drop in price with a HUGE volume. You want to see the first dagger, and then pray for the price to continue falling at a normal rate. Normal rate = people are trying to pick the bottom (without success). Then you want to look for (wait = put alerts) for the SECOND DAGGER. Then after the second dagger arrives and you get a second sharp drop in price, then you want to expect a rejection up and a new strong trend up should emerge. 2. Exterme volume on the daggers! Ideally, you want the volume of the second dagger to be bigger than the first one. This means that someone is loading all he can get since he KNOWS KNOWS KNOWS that the price is going to get higher for sure. I bet you would have done the same... if you KNOW KNOW KNOW its going UP! This pattern does not happen all the time, and it is more likely to happen near the end of a bear market. But prices get so unreasonably cheap, that its obviously for fundamental reasons that they are wrong! so someone who KNOWS will take all the money he can get to load into this stock at this price.
NASDAQ:METAEducation
by ZoharCho
The Hidden Key --> Multi-Timeframe Analysis 🪀I begin by explaining the Video Idea--> Using Multi-Timeframe analysis to put together a trade idea. MTF analysis is absolutely crucial for running a profitable trading business... It's something that takes some experience but once you understand the way in which all timeframes move together it's like an Aha moment. We look at 3 timeframes.. the 1Hr, 4hr and the Daily timeframes. We observe an example from just a few days ago that outlines how it was very possible to catch a 20 pips after the Monday(3/25/24) daily candle closed bullish.. Give and rocket and leave a comment for similar content in the future!
Education
by ShrewdCatfx
2
The importance of the Inside bars!An inside bar is a two- candlestick pattern used in technical analysis to identify potential breakouts or reversals in the price of a security. The first candlestick, called the "mother bar," is any sized candlestick. The second candlestick, called the "inside bar," is entirely contained within the high and low of the mother bar. This means that the inside bar's high is lower than the mother bar's high, and the inside bar's low is higher than the mother bar's low. There are two main ways to interpret inside bars: Continuation: An inside bar can signal a continuation of the prevailing trend. For example, if the mother bar is bullish (i.e., a bar with a higher close than open), then an inside bar following the mother bar may signal that the bulls are still in control and that the price is likely to continue rising. Conversely, if the mother bar is bearish (i.e., a bar with a lower close than open), then an inside bar following the mother bar may signal that the bears are still in control and that the price is likely to continue falling. Reversal: An inside bar can also signal a potential reversal of the prevailing trend. This is because the inside bar suggests that there is indecision or hesitation among traders, which can sometimes lead to a reversal in price direction Conclusion: Although losing money in the weeks inside bars formed is inevitable, Inside bars are silent before the storm.
NASDAQ:AMZNEducation
by Moshkelgosha
2
Bitcoin (BTC) and Hidden Bullish DivergenceThe recent price action in the Bitcoin (BTC) market has seen corrections alongside a hidden bullish divergence pattern, which some believe could be a precursor to a price surge. Let's delve into shakeout patterns, hidden bullish divergence, and why this combination might signal a potential upswing: Shakeout Patterns: Purpose: Shakeout patterns are price movements that aim to force leveraged traders out of their positions. This often involves sharp price drops or sudden volatility, causing leveraged traders with losing positions to be liquidated. Impact: By eliminating overleveraged positions, shakeouts can create a healthier market environment with less speculative influence. Hidden Bullish Divergence: Technical Indicator: This pattern refers to a discrepancy between the price action of an asset and its relative strength index (RSI) indicator. Interpretation: In a hidden bullish divergence, the price makes lower lows while the RSI forms higher lows. This suggests a weakening bearish momentum despite the price decline, potentially indicating an upcoming reversal. The Shakeout and Hidden Bullish Divergence Combo: The Theory: The idea is that the shakeout targets leveraged short positions (those betting on a price decrease). Once these positions are forced out, the underlying bullish momentum (reflected in the RSI) can take hold, leading to a price increase. Important Considerations: Not a Guaranteed Signal: While hidden bullish divergence can be a promising indicator, it's not a foolproof guarantee of a price surge. Other factors like overall market sentiment and news events can influence the price direction. Technical Analysis Limitations: Technical analysis should be used in conjunction with other factors for a more comprehensive understanding of the market. Do Your Own Research: Conduct thorough research on Bitcoin's fundamentals, technical indicators, and market trends before making any investment decisions. Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, and this information should not be considered financial advice. Always consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Remember: The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and shakeouts can be nerve-wracking. Develop a sound investment strategy, manage risk effectively, and don't rely solely on technical indicators for making investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by ParabolicP
5
Learn Best Lot Size for Gold Trading (XAUUSD) If you trade Gold with fix lot, I prepared for you a simple manual how to calculate the best lot size for your XAUUSD trading account. Step 1 Find at least the last 10 trades that you took on Gold. Step 2 Measure stop losses of all these trades in pips Step 3 Find the trade with the biggest stop loss In our example, the biggest stop loss is 680 pips Step 4 Open position size calculator for XAUUSD Step 5 Input your account size, 1,5% as the risk ratio. In "stop loss in pips" field, write down the pip value of your biggest stop loss - 680 pips in our example. Press, calculate. For our example, the best lot size for Gold will be 0.22. The idea is that your maximum loss should not exceed 1,5% of your account balance, while the average loss will be around 1%. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
How to Trade a High Wave PatternHow to Trade a High Wave Pattern In the dynamic world of trading, the high wave candlestick pattern emerges as a potent instrument, offering valuable insights to traders as they navigate the intricate terrain of financial markets. As we venture into the setup, this exploration will illuminate its fundamental principles, strategies, and tools that empower traders and investors to decode the intricate language of the financial market. What Is a High Wave Candlestick Pattern? The high wave candle pattern is a technical analysis formation traders usually use to identify potential trend reversals in highly fluctuating markets. Still, there might be conditions in which you find this formation during a solid trend, signalling a trend continuation. It is characterised by a candlestick with a small body and long upper and lower wicks, suggesting indecision and rapid price fluctuations. It often materialises at critical support and resistance levels, making it a vital indicator for potential trend reversals. The candle may have any colour. You may also encounter a so-called inverted high wave candlestick pattern. It’s characterised by a small body and long wicks, suggesting price volatility and potential reversals, but this term refers only to a bearish candle. To identify the high wave candlestick pattern, you may look for the following characteristics: It typically consists of a single candlestick. The candlestick's body is relatively small compared to its long upper and lower wicks, which are at least twice as long. The longer the shadows, the stronger the signal the formation provides. It can be green (bullish) or red (bearish). However, a bullish candle at a strong support level provides a more reliable signal of a trend reversal, while a bearish candle at a strong resistance point is more effective for a bearish signal. How to Trade the High Wave Formation When trading the high wave, you may consider the following rules: Entry: To trade a bullish reversal, you may place a buy-stop order above the high of the bar and a sell-stop order below the setup’s low to trade a bearish reversal. Take Profit: There are no precise rules for where to place a profit target trading this pattern. However, you may follow general rules. For a bullish trade, take profit may be set at the nearest strong resistance level, while for a bearish trade, it could be set at the closest solid support level. Stop Loss: You may implement a stop-loss order above/below the setup to limit potential losses if the trade goes against you and the trend continues. Live Market Example A trader finds a high wave setup at a support level on the 1-minute chart of the EUR/USD pair. They place a buy stop above the pattern and take profit at the next resistance level. Their stop loss lies below the candle. You can use the TickTrader platform by FXOpen to examine strategies with the high wave candle. High Wave vs Doji The high wave and the doji are both candlestick formations that indicate market indecision, but they have some differences: High Wave: It has a small body and long upper and lower wicks, suggesting significant price fluctuations. It often forms at support or resistance levels and signals potential trend reversals. Doji: A doji is a candlestick with a small body and long shadows. The major difference between the setups is the size of the body – the doji’s open and close prices are nearly the same, while the high wave’s open and close prices are very different, which makes its body larger. Dojis represent uncertainty and market balance and can occur in various market conditions, including the continuation of a trend or within a sideways trend. What Is a High Wave Spinning Top Pattern? A high wave spinning top candle is a combination of two candlestick patterns: the high wave and the spinning top. It essentially implies a situation of extreme uncertainty and volatility. It signals that the market is experiencing substantial price swings while lacking a clear directional bias. Traders often interpret this setup as a sign that market participants are struggling to determine their next move, and it can foreshadow potential reversals or a shift in market sentiment. Conclusion The high wave is a valuable tool in technical analysis, offering traders insights into potential price reversals and indecision points. When identified correctly and confirmed with other technical indicators, it can provide traders with opportunities to make well-informed decisions. However, like any technical tool, the high wave is not foolproof, and traders should exercise caution and use risk management strategies. It is essential to combine it with other forms of analysis and consider the broader market context before making trading decisions. After developing a solid understanding, you may open an FXOpen account and apply this concept to over 600 assets. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
3
Support And Resistance Lines Are Not Real: Prove Me WrongIn this video, I draw random lines on the chart to prove a point. I think we need to ask ourselves the following questions to become better traders: How will I define support and resistance consistently ? How will I use support and resistance in my trading? Do I need support and resistance in my trading? Is support and resistance a reliable measure for markets? Are the lines that I have been drawing for so long actually meaningful?
NYSE:CVSEducation
by JoeRodTrades
2
Setting stop-loss and take-profit levels on TradingViewSetting stop-loss and take-profit levels on TradingView is a straightforward process. Here's how you can do it: **1. Open a TradingView Chart:** - Log in to your TradingView account and open the chart for the instrument you want to trade, such as GBP/USD. **2. Draw a Long or Short Position:** - Click on the "Trading Panel" icon located at the bottom of the chart. - In the trading panel, select either "Long" or "Short" to initiate a buy or sell position, respectively. **3. Set Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Levels:** - After opening a position, you can set stop-loss and take-profit levels directly from the trading panel: - **Stop-Loss:** Click on the "SL" button and enter your desired stop-loss price level. This is the price at which your position will automatically close to limit potential losses. - **Take-Profit:** Click on the "TP" button and enter your desired take-profit price level. This is the price at which your position will automatically close to lock in profits. **4. Adjust Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Levels:** - You can adjust stop-loss and take-profit levels by clicking and dragging the stop-loss and take-profit lines directly on the chart. - Alternatively, you can modify the stop-loss and take-profit levels from the trading panel by clicking on the "Edit" button next to the respective level and entering a new price. **5. Confirm and Execute the Order:** - Once you've set your stop-loss and take-profit levels, review your order details in the trading panel to ensure accuracy. - Click on the "Place Order" button to execute your trade with the specified stop-loss and take-profit levels. **6. Monitor Your Position:** - After executing your trade, monitor your position on the chart. - Your stop-loss and take-profit levels will be displayed as lines on the chart, making it easy to track their progress. **Note:** - Ensure that your stop-loss and take-profit levels are set at logical price points based on your trading strategy, risk tolerance, and market conditions. - Remember that stop-loss and take-profit orders are executed automatically when the specified price levels are reached, even if you're not actively monitoring the market.
Education
by FrankFx14
2
Optimizing and refining trading strategiesOptimizing and refining trading strategies is a continuous process that involves analyzing historical performance, identifying areas for improvement, and making adjustments to enhance profitability and reduce risk. Here's a step-by-step guide on how to optimize and refine your trading strategies: **1. Analyze Historical Performance:** - Review the historical performance of your trading strategy using backtesting tools or software. Evaluate key metrics such as profitability, win rate, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted returns. **2. Identify Strengths and Weaknesses:** - Identify the strengths and weaknesses of your trading strategy based on the analysis of historical performance. Determine what aspects of the strategy are working well and which areas need improvement. **3. Adjust Parameters and Rules:** - Make adjustments to the parameters, rules, and conditions of your trading strategy based on the analysis of historical performance and identified weaknesses. This may include: - Fine-tuning entry and exit criteria. - Modifying stop-loss and take-profit levels. - Optimizing indicator settings. - Adjusting position sizing or risk management techniques. **4. Test Alternative Approaches:** - Explore alternative approaches or variations of your trading strategy to see if they yield better results. This could involve testing different indicators, timeframes, or market conditions to identify optimal settings. **5. Implement Risk Management Measures:** - Incorporate robust risk management measures into your trading strategy to protect capital and minimize losses during adverse market conditions. This may include setting stop-loss orders, implementing position sizing rules, and diversifying your trading portfolio. **6. Use Walk-Forward Analysis:** - Perform walk-forward analysis to validate the effectiveness of your strategy over multiple periods of historical data. This involves dividing the historical data into segments, optimizing the strategy parameters on one segment, and then testing the optimized parameters on subsequent segments to ensure robustness. **7. Consider Market Regimes:** - Analyze how your trading strategy performs under different market regimes (e.g., trending, ranging, volatile) and adjust your approach accordingly. Some strategies may perform better in certain market conditions than others. **8. Keep a Trading Journal:** - Maintain a detailed trading journal to record your trades, observations, and thoughts about the market. Use the journal to track the performance of your refined strategy in real-time and make adjustments as needed. **9. Backtest and Validate Changes:** - Backtest the refined version of your trading strategy using historical data to validate the effectiveness of the changes. Ensure that the strategy performs consistently well across different market conditions and timeframes. **10. Monitor Real-Time Performance:** - Implement the refined strategy in a demo or simulated trading environment to monitor its real-time performance. Evaluate its performance over an extended period before transitioning to live trading. **11. Continuously Iterate and Improve:** - Continuously iterate and improve your trading strategy based on feedback from real-time trading experience and ongoing analysis. Be open to making further adjustments as market conditions evolve. By following these steps and adopting a systematic approach to optimizing and refining your trading strategies, you can enhance their effectiveness, increase profitability, and achieve greater consistency in your trading results over time.
Education
by FrankFx14
A Renko Trading Strategy with Multiple Indicators (update 1)This will serve as an update to the previous discussion specifically to some of the chart settings and the approach. Going into the open on 25-March-2024, I was looking for price to move lower to test the monthly and yearly Camarilla R3. My reasoning was that neither seemed to have been tested yet and that these two together would provide a good level for support. My long term view on crude oil is bullish and I believed this type of action would provide a good entry point. However, this plan did not come through so I stood aside to let the market playout to determine another entry strategy. While watching the market in the charts I had published earlier, I decided to make some adjustments to see if I would have detected the market’s plan sooner providing an entry point. The following are the changes that I’ve made: Changed the timeframe of the Renko chart from 15 minutes to 1 minute. Without paying for a higher subscription in TV, 1 minute is as low of a timeframe as you can go with Renko. This alone changed the dynamics of the chart with a different view on the DMI and Stoch. Changed the slower Stoch from 25,3,3 to 50,3,3 (which is a setting I’ve experimented with in the past. The DMI remained the same as did the levels of importance for the ADX of 35 and 20. Added the BPP (Bull Bear Power) indicator and set it to an interval of 50. I’ve not used this indicator before but was experimenting with some items yesterday and found this. I set the line to a step line and you can see the results here. Added a 2-hour candle chart next to the Renko and will use it in conjunction with the Renko chart to make entry/exit decisions. Removed the manual Linear Regression from the Renko chart and have added them to the 2hr chart. This is a more natural fit and have maintained the default settings. I have added two LR indicators with one at 1 STD and one at 2 STD. Removed the manual drawings of the Camarilla pivots and have added them as indicators to the 2hr chart. Removed the volume profile from the Renko chart and have added it to the 2hr chart with a week timeframe. All markup for volume area, opening range, etc. will be put on the 2hr chart and will be for a weekly view. The Renko chart will remain to work for timings of entry and exits. Considering the 1-minute chart, you can see that there was a buy signal across several of the setups. As noted earlier, the consolidation on the 1 minute/25 tick Renko chart provided a signal that a breakout was coming. The slower Stoch set to 50,3,3 provided some insight into the direction with the break of the %k up over the %d and lastly, the new BBP gave an indication that the down move was a correction and that higher prices could be coming. A long wick and breakout of consolidation would have been a trigger to enter a trade of buying a Call option (see green arrow on Renko). Looking at the 2hr candle chart with the 2 linear regressions (1 and 2 STD respectively), then you can see where the support was formed then then where resistance was hit. The monthly and the weekly R4 provided resistance and now support is at the median of the current LR. Because the break of the weekly R3 was with a force with no test, my plan now is to find an entry long (an August Call) along this line which is also the same proximity of the weekly Pivot and the top of the week’s opening range (where the opening range for the week is defined as the first 5 2hr candles of the week. With a red brick in place on the 1 minute/25 tick chart, a green brick now would be a buying opportunity. I’ve added a consolidation channel across levels of what could be support for any pullback and could see another 25-tick brick in place before the green brick to the upside.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by mxb1961
High Probability Trading Environments Part 2: Liquidity RunsIn this educational video, we'll explore the distinction between High Resistance Liquidity Runs and Low Resistance Liquidity Runs, crucial for identifying High Probability Trading Environments. Our analysis will focus on NAS100USD, providing insights into potential trading opportunities for the week ahead. By understanding these concepts, you'll gain valuable insights into positioning yourself effectively in the market. Be sure to watch to gain a comprehensive understanding of the key confluences that contribute to successful trading strategies. Understanding Trend Analysis, SMT and ICT Concepts Mastering High Probability Trading Environments Part 1 Kind Regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by The_Archi-tect