How much money can you make in Forex?🔸Consistentcy is the key - top professional traders aim to generate
20-30% returns / per month, obviously depends on account size,
risk tolerance, max DD, std lots exposure and multiple other factors.
🔸Depends on your trading style and risk profile, obviously.
Currently algo traders / full-auto systems generate the best returns.
🔸Forex trading bots are automated software programs that generate trading signals. Most of these robots are built with MetaTrader, PineScrips, Python and cAlgo.
🔸High-risk compounding strategy: Assuming you can double your cash multiple times in succession and start with 1,000 dollars, the 10th time, you would be a millionaire. It implies that assuming you contribute $ 1,000 and double, you contribute $ 2,000 and double, then, at that point, you do it from time to time, you will be a millionaire when you double your money the 10th time.
🔸Lower-risk strategy: risking no more than 1-5% per trade, limiting your exposure via trailing SL strategy or adjust SL to BE as soon as the trade
generates decent pnl
🔸If you want to separate yourself from the 90% (probably closer to 95% in my opinion) of traders who lose money consistently, you have to think differently.
🔸Most Forex traders overtrade and overleverage their accounts in an attempt to make 50%-100% profit or more every month.
🔸So to be in the top 5% to 10% of traders, you have to do the opposite. You have to put more focus on how much money you could lose rather than how much you can make.
🔸A higher win rate gives you more risk/reward flexibility, and a high risk/reward ratio means that your win rate can be lower and still stay profitable.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Trend Analysis
Trend Based Fib Extension (PRO HACK) SUPPORT & RESISTANCE is one of the most important key elements in trading.
Without knowing the key Support & Resistance levels, you will never have a true understanding of where the market could go to or reverse from.
One very important factor worth knowing is the markets overall, trend Support & Resistance levels. While there are a lot of different methods in finding these levels, like pivot points, previous day high and low, or monthly or yearly and so on. One of the most promising, tried and tested ways is to use a Fibonacci Tool.
Now YES, there are MANY Fibonacci Tools to choose from and use but if you need to know the fib levels for a trend, use the TREND BASED FIB EXTENSION.
Along with using the TREND BASED FIB EXTENSION, you need to know the correct time frame to actually plot this tool on.
There is no right or wrong time frame nor is there no right or wrong way in plotting this tool, BUT we need to know and understand the overall picture of the market as a whole and if you are thinking about the market as a whole, we need to use the correct time frame to show us that.
So we turn to the 12M TIME FRAME!
The 12M Time Frame is what's going to show us the OVERALL TREND of the asset we are looking at, from the start right to current time.
Now keep in mind that this can work on EVERY SINGLE ASSET.
We use the 12M time frame because we need to plot the trend base fib extension to show us our MAJOR FIBONACCI SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS. These levels are for the OVERALL TREND OF THE GIVEN ASSET. By plotting it this way we actually have an idea as to where the market is going LONG TERM.
So head over to whichever asset you are tracking, choose the 12M time frame and make your chart large enough to fit the screen.
In order to plot this tool, you need to know your highs and lows because this tool is used from your lowest point to the first swing high and down to your next swing low, once those 3 are connected the tool will automatically plot your levels.
One easy way to find your swing highs and lows is to use a ZIGZAG with a length of either 1 or 2. That setting will give you the most accurate points.
In the drawing tool box you can you the TREND BASED FIB EXTENSION tool, once you select it and you know where your 3 points are then you plot it accordingly, you will start from your Lowest, to your Swing High and then down to your Swing Low.
To get accurate plots, use the data window and get the exact low and high prices and enter the accordingly into the fib tool settings (coordinates tab).
Adjust your settings with your style preferences, the fib levels that you want to see on your chart, and once done, lock the tool in place and BOOM, YOU NOW HAVE YOUR MAJOR ALL TIME SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS PLOTTED ON YOUR CHART.
Now you have a full understanding on the market overall trend by knowing where the major support and resistance levels are.
You can go back to your lower time frame in which you trade from and now you will have a much clearer understanding as to where the market might stop or reverse from, according to the bigger picture.
With that in place, you can use other methods of confluence to get entries, set stops, find direction, you can even go down to lower time frames to use a Fibonacci retracement tool or the trend based fib extension to get sniper entries and set targets.
The key takeaway from this is for you to know the overall direction of the market you are trading and to know where potential areas of support and resistances are which leads to the major reversals in the market.
I do hope this publication helps you in some way or another, even if it helped just 1 person out of many, I will be glad.
HAPPY TRADING :)
==if you have any questions then please drop a comment, thanks==
WHY SHOULD YOU UNDERSTAND TIMEFRAMES ? ITS ALL ABOUT PERSPECTIVEGood evening traders
I created a video for the more the beginner traders who are just getting into trading. However for those more seasoned this could give you a little insight on how to obtain more clarity and perspective when trading.
My goal here is to educate you on time frames in understanding the micro and macro of the charts you are looking at. Without the layers of perspective one can get lost in the chaos and not know where to start or what the trend is actually doing.
If you like this video please boost, if you dont like this video or want me to touch base on our trading concepts let me know in the comments below
Have a great weekend everyone
MB Trader
Scalping strategy using the RSI 30-50-70 Moving AverageScalping Strategy Using RSI 30-50-70 Moving Average
The RSI 30-50-70 Moving Average strategy is designed to help traders identify optimal entry and exit points by using three distinct moving averages, each corresponding to different RSI ranges (30%, 50%, and 70%). These ranges capture varying market conditions—oversold, neutral, and overbought—and provide potential scalping signals. The strategy is flexible, allowing users to adjust RSI ranges, time frames, and periods according to their trading style.
Default Indicator Setup:
RSI_30 Range (25%-35%): Represents potential oversold conditions (yellow line). Calculated as the moving average of closing prices when the RSI is between 25% and 35%.
RSI_50 Range (45%-55%): Represents a neutral or trend-following zone (green line). This range serves as a balanced reference to determine market direction.
RSI_70 Range (65%-75%): Represents potential overbought conditions (red line). Calculated as the moving average of closing prices when the RSI is between 65% and 75%.
These moving averages allow traders to spot entry and exit points based on the interaction between price and RSI zones.
Scalping Entry Strategy:
Step 1: Monitor the RSI on the 1-Hour Time Frame
Begin by identifying oversold conditions on the 1-hour chart. Wait for the RSI to drop below 30% (or 25% for more volatile assets).
Draw a vertical line across the candle that meets this condition. This serves as a visual cue for when to switch to the lower time frame.
Step 2: Switch to the 15-Minute Time Frame
On the 15-minute chart, look for the price to dip below the RSI_30 moving average (yellow line). This indicates the asset is potentially oversold, presenting an opportunity for a rebound.
Ensure that the price movement suggests slowing downward momentum.
Step 3: Identify Bullish Divergence
Watch for bullish divergence between the RSI (using a 7-period RSI) and the closing price. A divergence occurs when the price makes lower lows, but the RSI makes higher lows, signaling a possible upward reversal.
The formation of bullish divergence increases the probability of a successful trade.
Step 4: Confirm with the RSI_30 Moving Average
Enter a buy order when a green candle’s opening and closing prices are above the RSI_30 line, signaling that the oversold momentum is weakening.
Confirm that the RSI_30 moving average has flattened or started to level off. This indicates that the downtrend may be losing steam and that a reversal could be imminent.
Important: If the RSI_30 moving average continues to slope downward, it is advisable to wait for it to level off before entering the trade. Patience can help avoid false breakouts.
Key Exit Strategies:
Take Profit: Consider taking profit when the price reaches the RSI_70 line (overbought zone). In highly volatile markets, consider scaling out of your position gradually as the price approaches this zone.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss below the recent swing low or based on the asset’s volatility. A tighter stop might be appropriate for assets with narrow price ranges.
Backtesting and Adjustments:
Asset-Specific Adjustments: Different assets respond uniquely to RSI-based strategies. For volatile assets (e.g., cryptocurrencies), consider widening the RSI ranges (e.g., 20%-40% for RSI_30 or 60%-80% for RSI_70). For more stable assets (e.g., bonds), tighter ranges (e.g., 30%-50%) may work better.
Time Frame Considerations: While this strategy focuses on the 1-hour and 15-minute time frames, some assets may respond better to different periods. Adjust accordingly based on backtesting.
Optional Enhancements:
Divergence Alerts: Add a bullish divergence detection script to automate alerts when RSI and price diverge, improving timing for entries.
Multi-Time Frame Confirmation: To increase trade reliability, consider checking RSI on additional time frames (e.g., 4-hour chart) for more robust signals.
Volume Confirmation: Use volume analysis to confirm trade entries. A price reversal coupled with increasing volume strengthens the likelihood of a successful trade.
7 Ways to Optimize Your Trading Strategy Like a ProYou’ve got a trading strategy—great. But if you think that’s where the work ends, think again. A good strategy is like a sports car: It’s fast, fun, and dangerous… unless you keep it tuned and under control. And given how volatile modern trading is, yesterday’s strategy can quickly become tomorrow’s account-drainer. So, how do you keep your trading strategy sharp and in profit mode? Let’s dive into seven ways to fine-tune your setup like a pro.
1️⃣ Backtest Like Your Profits Depend on It (Spoiler: They Do)
Before you let your strategy loose in the wild, backtest it against historical data. It’s not enough to say, “This looks good.” Run the numbers. Find out how it performs over different time frames, market conditions, and asset classes — stocks , crypto , forex , and more. If you’re not backtesting, you run the risk of trading blind — use the sea of charting tools and instruments around here, slap them on previous price action and see how they do.
💡 Pro Tip : Make sure to backtest with realistic conditions. Don’t cheat with perfect hindsight—markets aren’t that kind.
2️⃣ Optimize for Risk, Not Just Reward
Everyone gets starry-eyed over profits, but the best traders obsess over risk management. Adjust your strategy to keep risk in check. Ask yourself: How much are you willing to lose per trade? What’s your win-loss ratio? A strategy that promises massive returns but ignores risk is more like a ticking time bomb than a way to pull in long-term profits.
💡 Pro Tip : Use a risk-reward ratio of at least 2:1. It’s simple: risk $1 to make $2, and you’ve got a buffer against losses. Want to go big? Use 5:1 or why not even 15:1? Learn all about it in our Asymmetric Risk Reward Idea.
3️⃣ Diversify Your Strategy Across Markets
If you’re only trading one asset or market, you’re asking for trouble (sooner or later). Markets move in cycles, and your strategy might crush it in one but flop in another. Spread your strategy across different markets to smooth out the rough patches.
💡 Pro Tip : Don’t confuse this with over-trading. You’re diversifying, not chasing every pop.
4️⃣ Fine-Tune Your Time Frames
Your strategy might be solid on the 1-hour chart but struggle on the 5-minute or daily. Different time frames bring different opportunities and risks. Test your strategy across multiple time frames to see where it shines and where it stumbles.
💡 Pro Tip : Day traders? Shorten those time frames. Swing traders? Stretch ’em out. Find the sweet spot that aligns with your trading style.
5️⃣ Stay Agile with Market Conditions
No strategy is perfect for every market condition. What works in a trending market could blow up in a range-bound one. Optimize your strategy to adapt to volatility, volume, and trend shifts. Pay attention to news events , central bank meetings, and earnings reports — they can flip the script fast.
💡 Pro Tip : Learn to identify when your strategy isn’t working and take a step back. Not every day is a trading day.
6️⃣ Incorporate Multiple Indicators (But Don’t Go Overboard)
More indicators = more profits, right? Wrong. It’s easy to fall into the trap of loading up your charts with a dozen indicators until you’re drowning in lines and signals. Keep it simple — combine 3 to 5 complementary indicators that confirm your strategy’s signals, and ditch the rest.
💡 Pro Tip : Use one indicator for trend confirmation and another for entry/exit timing.
7️⃣ Keep Tweaking, But Don’t Blow Out of Proportion
Here’s the rub: There’s a fine line between optimization and over-optimization. Adjusting your strategy too much based on past data can lead to overfitting — your strategy works perfectly on historical data but crashes in live markets. Keep tweaking, but always test those tweaks in live conditions to make sure they hold up.
💡 Pro Tip : Keep a trading journal to track your tweaks. If you don’t track it, you won’t know what’s working and what’s not. Get familiar with the attributes of a successful trading plan with one of our top-performing Ideas: What’s in a Trading Plan?
💎 Bonus: Never Stop Learning
The market’s constantly changing and your strategy needs to change with it. Keep studying, keep testing, and keep learning. The moment you think you’ve mastered the market is the moment it humbles you.
Optimizing a trading strategy isn’t a one-and-done deal—it’s an ongoing process. By fine-tuning, testing, and staying flexible, you can keep your strategy sharp, profitable, and ahead of the curve. Optimize smart, trade smart!
How to Adam & Eve PatternEver wondered about Adam and Eve in trading? It's a straightforward and powerful pattern.
Hello dear traders! If you like my graphics, please use Like button 💙💛
Picture Adam as the first market peak or dip, and Eve as the second, forming a U-shape. This pattern highlights a robust price level, suggesting a potential market shift.
How to Utilize It?
In a downtrend, spot Adam and Eve as double bottoms. When Eve follows Adam, indicating a strong support level, consider entering trades. Trade when the price breaks above resistance line, with a stop loss set at the neckline level.
Pay attention to trading volumes. They confirm buying or selling strength, offering a clear signal for a trend reversal.
Finding Your Target:
Identify the pattern's height from the neckline to the peak of Eve. Project this distance downward from the breakout point for a bullish pattern or upward for a bearish one. This gives you a potential target for your trade.
Here is an example of Adam & Eve pattern play on Bitcoin chart:
Master the Adam and Eve pattern to make confident trading decisions. It's an intuitive way to identify market change in trend and make strategic moves. 📈✨
Example of Conditions for Starting Trading
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
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I will publish in advance due to an external schedule tomorrow.
Accordingly, I will take time to provide additional explanations on the ideas published today.
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I will talk about the basis for indicating the direction of progress shown in the chart above.
In order to differentiate from other people's analyses, I am trying to explain the basis for indicating the support and resistance points or sections on the chart.
I think that if you understand why those points and sections were set, you will eventually be able to understand them without having to read the explanation all the way through.
For this, more support and resistance points are needed.
This is because we can select the volatility period by additionally drawing the trend line.
However, since all of these processes are displayed on the chart, there are many complaints that the chart is messy and confusing, so we are trying to reduce them as much as possible.
Therefore, there are cases where the chart is displayed in two versions.
The chart below is a chart that shows many support and resistance points and draws a trend line to select the volatility period.
Therefore, since the support and resistance points may be displayed differently, it is recommended that you refer to the points or sections that I have written.
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The conditions for starting a transaction are simpler than they look.
However, when these conditions are met, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts must be displayed.
Therefore, even if the conditions for starting a transaction are met, if the support and resistance points are not displayed at the corresponding price, you cannot start a transaction.
Please read this carefully and thank you.
-
(It would be good to see this as an example of how to find the conditions that fit you and how to utilize them.)
Conditions for starting a transaction are
1. Buying time conditions
- When the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold range and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA
- When the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0)
- When the OBV indicator rises below the 0 point
- When the DMI indicator rises below the 0 point
2. Selling time conditions
- When the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought range and maintains the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA
- When the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the highest point (100)
- When the OBV indicator falls above the 0 point
- When the DMI indicator falls above the 0 point
When the above conditions are met, check whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn near the price. Confirmation is used to proceed with the transaction.
The current price position is 60672.0-61099.25.
Therefore, you can proceed with the transaction depending on whether there is support in this section.
Since it is currently falling below 60672.0, there is nothing you can do in spot trading other than cutting losses.
In futures trading, you can enter with a sell (SHORT) position.
-
It is rare for all the conditions for starting a transaction mentioned above to be met.
Therefore, it is recommended to basically check whether the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0) or highest point (100), and then proceed with the transaction by checking the movement of the StochRSI indicator.
Also, it is recommended to select a split sell section to make a profit by calculating the fluctuation range while checking the strength of the rise or fall with OBV and DMI.
-
In summary of the above,
Since the StochRSI indicator has not yet risen from the oversold zone and StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is recommended to check whether a reversal is occurring.
Also, you should check whether the BW indicator has fallen to the lowest point (0) and formed a horizontal line.
If the OBV and DMI indicators rise below the 0 point without meeting these conditions, you should proceed with an aggressive purchase (a transaction that requires a quick response similar to scalping or day trading).
If you do not proceed with an aggressive purchase, you should wait.
-
It is not a good idea to enter a current sell (SHORT) position in futures trading.
However, if you proceed with an aggressive transaction (scalping or day trading), you can start trading.
The reason why it is not a good condition for trading is because the price is located in the 1. purchase timing condition section among the conditions for starting a transaction mentioned above.
Therefore, the profit is small or you may even suffer a loss.
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If you are not currently trading, I think the section where you should trade is when it rises around 61K.
Before that, it is highly likely that you will not be able to purchase because it seems like it will fall further.
I think this point, or the section where you actually trade, is the psychological volume profile section.
This psychological volume profile section is the section where psychology applies that you must trade even now.
Since this point is ultimately a low or high point, it is a section where you are likely to incur losses if you purchase.
The 61K section that I mentioned earlier is a section where it is highly likely to be a low point, so it is a section where you are likely to incur losses if you cut your loss or enter a sell (SHORT) position.
-
If it shows resistance near 60672.0, there is a possibility that a sharp decline will occur momentarily and touch 59K and then rise.
This phenomenon can be a fake or a sweep movement, so you need to be careful.
In order to avoid losses from this phenomenon, auxiliary indicators are necessary.
Since auxiliary indicators are lagging, they are unlikely to show large movements in sudden price fluctuations.
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What I am talking about is not a method of chart analysis, but an example of how to set a standard for trading.
Therefore, I hope you do not misunderstand the above as about chart analysis.
Since chart analysis and trading are different, what you see on the chart is also different.
In order to complement this difference, what is needed is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Since charts without support and resistance points are likely to be for chart analysis, there is no need to try to find a trading point on these charts.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Taking a look at Fibonacci in Technical AnalysisIn the world of technical analysis, traders are always searching for tools that provide an edge in the markets. One such tool, which has stood the test of time, is Fibonacci retracement. Derived from a series of numbers discovered by the Italian mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci in the 13th century, the Fibonacci sequence has been applied to various fields, from nature to finance, and plays a significant role in predicting market movements.
This blog will explore how Fibonacci retracement works, why it’s relevant for traders, and how you can incorporate it into your trading strategy for better results.
________________________________________
What is Fibonacci?
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, starting with 0 and 1. So, the sequence looks like this:
0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, and so on.
The magic of Fibonacci for traders lies in the ratios derived from this sequence, which are commonly referred to as the "Golden Ratios." The most important Fibonacci ratios used in technical analysis are:
• 61.8% (also known as the Golden Ratio)
• 38.2%
• 23.6%
These ratios are used to identify potential levels of support and resistance in the price of a financial asset.
Fibonacci Retracement in Trading
Fibonacci retracement is a popular technical analysis tool used to find potential levels where price pullbacks or reversals might occur. The idea is simple: when a market moves sharply in one direction, it’s likely to retrace part of that move before continuing in the same direction.
Key Levels in Fibonacci Retracement:
• 61.8%: Often regarded as the "golden retracement level," this ratio is believed to be the strongest predictor of price reversal points.
• 50%: Although not an official Fibonacci ratio, traders frequently use this level to gauge whether the trend will resume or reverse.
• 38.2% and 23.6%: These levels represent smaller pullbacks and often signal short-term corrections.
By plotting these levels on a price chart, traders can get a better sense of where the price might pause, reverse, or find support/resistance.
How to Use Fibonacci Retracement in Your Trading Strategy
Let’s break down how Fibonacci retracement works in practice.
Step 1: Identifying a Trend
The first step in using Fibonacci retracement is identifying a strong upward or downward trend. This could be a swing high to swing low (in an uptrend) or a swing low to swing high (in a downtrend). The trend is essential because Fibonacci retracement levels are applied to find where pullbacks might occur during this trend.
Step 2: Plotting Fibonacci Levels
Once you’ve identified the trend, plot the Fibonacci retracement levels using the highest and lowest points of the move. Most charting platforms, have built-in Fibonacci tools to help with this.
For example, in an uptrend, select the lowest point (swing low) and drag the tool to the highest point (swing high). The software will automatically calculate and plot the key Fibonacci levels: 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%.
Step 3: Analysing the Price Action
Now that the Fibonacci levels are in place, watch how the price interacts with these levels. If the price retraces to 38.2% or 61.8%, it might find support and continue moving in the direction of the trend. Traders often look for other confirmation signals (such as candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or moving averages) at these levels before making a trade.
Using Fibonacci in Conjunction with Other Indicators
While Fibonacci retracement is a powerful tool on its own, its effectiveness increases when combined with other technical analysis tools. Here are some common pairings:
• Moving Averages: A bounce off a Fibonacci level that coincides with a key moving average (like the 50-day or 200-day MA) is often seen as a strong buy or sell signal.
• Trendlines: If a Fibonacci retracement level aligns with a major trendline, this increases the likelihood of the level acting as strong support or resistance.
• Candlestick Patterns: Reversal patterns like Doji, Hammer, or Engulfing candles at a Fibonacci retracement level can provide additional confirmation for your trade setup.
• RSI/Other Oscillators: Overbought or oversold conditions shown by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) around a Fibonacci level can signal potential price reversals.
On the USD/JPY weekly chart we have an engulfing pattern and a diverging RSI at the 61.8% which adds weight to the idea that the market was likely to hold in this vicinity and recover.
Conclusion: Fibonacci as a Core Tool in Your Trading Arsenal
Fibonacci retracement is a versatile and widely trusted tool that can help traders identify potential price reversal levels. By understanding how to apply Fibonacci ratios and combining them with other technical indicators, you can improve your chances of success in the markets.
Remember, no tool is perfect, and using Fibonacci retracement effectively requires practice and confirmation. Incorporate it into a broader trading strategy, and you’ll be able to make more informed and profitable trading decisions.
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
How I stopped strategy hopping by creating my own strategyIn the fast-paced world of trading, many of us, especially when beginning our journey, we find ourselves caught in a relentless cycle of strategy hopping. We jump from one strategy to another, lured by the promise of quick profits. However, this constant shifting often leads to frustration, a sense of not making any progress, and most importantly, a lack of consistent results.
I experienced this firsthand as I back-tested, forward-tested, and executed various trading systems, on demo and live accounts, each time hoping for better outcomes but always ending up not meeting expectations and feeling more or less stuck in the same position of having to find a profitable trading strategy. Eventually, after having tried many different systems that I found online, I decided to finally try to create my own and this time stick to a single system for a prolonged period of time.
This idea/publication explores my journey on how I created this simple trading strategy and how I used my engineering background to create a semi automated-trading system around it. And just to clarify, this is not financial advice, this should serve as an idea. If you want to try this out, do so at your own risk, after understanding the concept and after testing. I’m still testing this myself, but in theory it’s sound, and so far in my forward-testing is performing very well!
Scalping, Day trading, Swing trading, Fibonacci levels, Support/Resistance levels, round psychological levels, Bollinger bands, EMAs, RSI, MACD, ICT, Smart money concepts, algo-trading, forex, crypto, indices, metals, multi-timeframe analysis, etc, etc.
I’ve traded in these timeframes: D, 8h, 4h, 2h, 1h, 30m, 15m, 5m, 1m, and I’ve explored quite a few different strategies based on the concepts I just dumped above so I don’t bore you with every single case, and so based on that experience I’m taking a few considerations before creating my strategy.
First, I’ll be trading forex, metals, and maybe crypto and indices. Personal choice. But there’s no reason this shouldn’t work in any other market.
Second, I personally need to be more consistent on when it comes to analyzing the charts. So, for now let’s say that I’ll “log-in” every day, Monday-Friday, some amount of time during NY session.
Third, I’ve learned that multi-timeframe analysis is better than analyzing only one specific timeframe, so I’ll include that.
Next, I know there are different approaches, but from my perspective the market is either trending or not trending (aka consolidating; bouncing between two levels, imperfectly). I guess it’d be great to have one strategy for trending markets and one for markets that are in consolidation, but for now I’m specifically picking a trend-following strategy.
I found that following the trend can be very rewarding, especially when you catch it from the start or near it and are able to exit right before it ends (that’s the tricky part, but we’re only talking theory for now). So a totally reasonable idea would be to try to enter the market on pull-backs, while expecting the price to continue in the direction of the main trend. So a Fibonacci retracement tool sounds ideal for this method.
I’d like to somehow incorporate algo-trading up to some extent. I have a software engineering background, so it comes natural for me to try to create or adjust an existing trading bot to execute operations for me. But the issue I always had was creating a trading bot to spot good opportunities. It is just not easy to achieve, for any trading strategy. And that is because of the constantly changing nature of the markets. It requires subjectivity by a human to some extent when it comes to reading, understanding the market and predicting a direction.
💡 So with that said, now, two very important ideas I realized that this system exploits.
1. You don’t need to know exactly up to where price is going to retrace to on the Fibonacci tool. You can bet on more than one level.
2. You don’t need to create a trading bot that “fully” automates trading. It can only handle the part of managing the position(s).
Let me explain.
With the Fibonacci Retracement tool the trader is free to choose however many levels they want to visualize. And that is great, but it’s not easy to predict accurately and consistently up to which level price is going to retrace. We might miss some trades if we bet on a bigger pull-back and price continues on the trend without hitting our entry, or, we might experience some losses if we bet on a smaller pull-back and price decides to retrace more, and then continue on the same trend direction (which is even more painful to see lol). So the idea here is to place more than one order based on a few different fib levels. Managing more than one position can be challenging, but that’s when the next idea comes into play.
“Semi” automating the strategy with the help of a trading bot. As I mentioned previously, at least for me it has been difficult to create a trading bot that can reliably match the trading opportunities that I would find. Sometimes the bot would find good opportunities, but some other times it would find opportunities that wouldn’t make sense to take because of other reasons (price close to some Support/Resistance level, news, different direction on higher timeframes, etc) and if all of those reasons were taken into account that would increase the complexity of the code and most of the time the actual opportunities found by the bot would decrease (including the good ones!). So it’s a trade-off.
On the other hand, managing the position(s) is totally doable for a trading bot. Managing one or more open positions or pending orders is done after confirming a trading opportunity, so a trading bot can do precisely what a human would do based on the same conditions. And creating that kind of bot is not that complicated to achieve.
So with all of that in mind I started writing some rules for the trading strategy.
Timeframe for entries: 15m
Multi-timeframe analysis: D, 4h, 1h, 15m
I’ll be spotting opportunities around NY session open
I’ll need a trading bot to manage the positions for me so I don’t stare at the charts for too long (not because I don’t want to, but because apart from having other things to do it wouldn’t improve the outcome! + that the trading bot is much better at handling its emotions :wink)
I’ll focus on EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD first and maybe later I’ll apply this strategy to other markets.
Let’s focus for a bit on the fib tool and the positions for now. The screenshot below shows the levels that I’m using. And for now I’m just betting on 3 positions. Again, managing more than one position can be tricky, but I’m relying on the fact that a trading-bot can help us in this part which is easy for the bot to handle. And apart from that we only have one position open at a time so it’s not actually that hard as it might sound if we don’t want to use a trading bot.
Of course no system is perfect, so losses are expected. But I’m positioning myself in a way that my wins will cover my losses and give me good profit. In consequence, risk management is very important. With every bet or fibonacci tool I place and open X positions (in this case 3) I want to make sure that in total I’m not risking more than 0.5% of my total account balance. This part depends on the trader, some traders can tolerate bigger draw-downs, and so they can risk more % per position, others risk less, I personally like 0.5% for now.
At the time of writing this I’m testing with the following risks:
Position 1 (2.3R if TP hit): 0.10% of the account balance
Position 2 (3.6R if TP hit): 0.18% of the account balance
Position 3 (4.2R if TP hit): 0.22% of the account balance
With those positions placed these things can happen:
1. Price doesn’t retrace enough to trigger any of the pending orders and continues in the same direction of the trend. In that case, when there’s a new higher high or lower low we just cancel our pending orders and analyze again to spot new opportunities.
2. Price retraces enough to hit all of our SL resulting in a loss of the 3 positions (-0.50%)
3. Only Position 1 gets triggered and we go to TP (2.3R * 0.10% = 0.23% gain)
4. Position 2 gets triggered and we go to TP (-0.10% + 3.6R * 0.18% = 0.55% gain)
5. Position 3 gets triggered and we go to TP (-0.10% - 0.18% + 4.2R * 0.22% = 0.64% gain)
Nothing to do with alternatives 1 & 2 as it’s normal for us to lose or miss an opportunity sometimes. With alternative 3 we have a small gain. And with alternatives 4 & 5 we have a slightly better gain than our total risk of 0.50%. Now all of that might not sound ver impressive and it’s because this follows the fixed position way of managing the positions. Trailing the SL many times can produce much better returns when managed properly. But more on that later.
Possible winning example below using ATR trailing SL.
But let’s stick to the fixed positions for now to understand and get used to the system first and then you can let the bot do the management with the trailing SL method. Now why those specific risk %s for those 3 positions? The reasoning is that in my recent trading I’ve noticed that price tends to retrace enough to trigger either my Position 2 or my Position 3 more often than triggering only my Position 2. So it makes more sense to me to add slightly higher risk on those to increase profit. However, in my experience, in the higher timeframes price retraces even to the 38.2% level to then continue in the same trend direction more often than on the lower timeframes.
But this part as I said depends on the trader, if you decide to incorporate this strategy/system to your trading you are free to choose different risk % per positions.
Additionally, you could even open more positions (again, relying on the trading bot for position management), and of course following a good risk management plan by adjusting the risk for all positions and sticking to a total of less than 2% risk per fib tool placement. But this also depends on the trader.
Sometimes price does like to ‘grab liquidity’ by retracing slightly more than the 100% level, hitting my last SL, and then continue on the trend direction we placed our bet on. However, I think that 3 positions is enough, at least for me, specially in the lower timeframes.
Let’s focus on the trading bot for a bit now. As I said the bot should only manage my positions so I need a way to turn it on when I spot a good opportunity and then let it run until the position hits SL or TP, or it gets closed because of another reason. In this case I developed two systems. One is with fixed SL and TP, and one is with managing the position(s) with a trailing SL. The trailing SL is based on the current ATR value, but this could be expanded even further to another method of trailing SL based on specific levels the user provides (e.g. when in 1.4R move SL to break-even, when in 2R move SL to 1R, etc).
For now I tested with fixed positions and with ATR trailing SL and they both work great and are profitable. The rules can be extended even more, for instance you choose the ATR trailing SL method and still place TP on the -27% or on the -61.8% fib levels so positions fully close on those levels, or you could close partially let’s say 30% when TP1 is hit (0% fib level) and then keep trailing, etc. There are many variations, and those can be handled by the bot based on the initial configuration.
So on how the actual trading bot works. I developed a PineScript strategy that fires alerts that I can use with a service like PineScript to execute the operations but I found that those services most of the time don’t allow managing multiple positions at once and have other complications. So I created my own webhook server that receives the alerts and I also developed an EA that receives that information and executes the operations but this is still in testing phase and is not ready for use unless you have advanced technical knowledge. I’m thinking of ways to make this available however and would love some thoughts/feedback/suggestions!
This strategy can still be applied even without a trading bot. However the trading bot would make the system much better and allow for more time to maybe analyze different markets and take on more trading opportunities, or just focus on other stuff.
So to put all of this together now we’re only missing the part of spotting the opportunities. There are different ways, I personally just look for trends. I rely on simple price action (for uptrend I want to see clear higher highs and higher lows, and for downtrend I want to see clear lower lows and lower highs), a smoothed Heikin-Ashi EMA, and sometimes on the ADX indicator to see how strong the trend is.
In the example below I show my thought process while applying this strategy on a forward-testing phase. This is exactly how I saw the chart when I logged-in for my trading session a few days ago.
In the higher timeframes I checked that there is room for price to keep going up, that means that there shouldn’t be a S/R level or round psychological level near price. Having also analyzed higher timeframes and seen that it makes sense for price to continue this uptrend I decided to place my fib tool. I usually consider wicks too. So I place the first fib limit on the higher low, and the second fib limit on the higher high.
Having placed the fib tool and created the pending orders now we need to wait for price to trigger our positions. But sometimes price is not done and keeps going up, invalidating our higher high (or lower low on a downtrend).
When that happens we just need to stay focused on when price closes to see if a new higher high has been formed. If that happens we simply update our fib tool placement, and update the pending orders (entry, SL, & TP). This is a condition that the trading bot can probably handle. Eventually price will make it clear where the higher high is, and we finally see a retracement.
And now we wait… but still focused in case we need to adjust our fib tool and pending orders if price is not yet retracing.
Price drops with a strong move. Now we just step away, we already have the positions placed with SL and TP. We did our analysis, and so we don’t need to look at the charts and let any negative emotions gain control. At this point with fixed positions we can just close the charts and give an end to this trading session. And if using the trailing SL method we just leave it to the trading bot to manage the positions. In this case I was just testing the fixed positions and it unfolded into a win for the 3rd position. So overall about a 0.64% gain (the best alternative).
So this is it. This covers the base of this strategy and my thought process while creating the rules for this system. It can be adjusted to different timezones as well, different markets depending on the asset type, etc. I’ve been forward-testing this strategy and system for a few weeks so far and it seems very promising. And I couldn’t wait any longer to share this idea in hopes that you can learn at least something from everything I shared. I’d also love to hear if anyone would be interested in using a system like this with the actual trading bot, so I can plan best on how to make it accessible to other users that don’t have technical/engineering knowledge.
In conclusion, I shared my journey from strategy hopping to creating my own trading strategy based on my own needs. By exploring the key ideas of leveraging the Fibonacci retracement tool to bet on multiple positions and embracing a semi-automated approach, I’ve developed a system that aligns with my trading style and allows for necessary flexibility in response to market changes.
If you find yourself caught in the cycle of strategy hopping, or don’t see the results you expected (be reasonable though!) I urge you to reflect on what you truly want from your trading experience. Consider creating your own strategy that aligns with your objectives and trading style! And feel free to take ideas from this article to build your own system. Share your thoughts and experiences in the comments below. I’d love to hear it, any thoughts/feedback or suggestions are appreciated. Looking forward to the discussion.
Thanks, and good luck!
BOS - Break of StructureBOS means Break of Structure . It happens when the price of an asset (like a stock or currency) breaks past a key support or resistance level, indicating a potential change in the market direction.
Key points:
Uptrend BOS: If the price breaks above a recent high, it could mean the start of an upward trend.
Downtrend BOS: If the price breaks below a recent low, it may signal the beginning of a downward trend.
Traders use BOS to spot potential trend changes and decide when to buy or sell.
CHoCH signalsa Change of Character (CHoCH) signals a potential shift in market dynamics, often indicating a reversal from the prevailing trend. This concept is particularly valuable as it helps traders discern when the momentum is shifting, offering a strategic point to consider adjusting their positions.
Reacting to Change Part 1: Consolidation PhasesWelcome to our 2-part series on adapting to change in trading, where we dive into the art of staying flexible in dynamic market environments. In Part 1, we’ll explore how traders can effectively navigate consolidation phases and avoid the pitfalls of rigid analysis.
The Trap of Over-Defining Consolidation: Price Action is Fluid, Not Fixed
One of the biggest challenges in trading is dealing with consolidation phases—those times when the market enters a short-term equilibrium, leading to a high degree of random price action. During these phases, it’s tempting to box price movements into neatly defined patterns like triangles or channels. While this can offer an initial framework, the reality is that consolidation patterns are constantly evolving. Trying to over-define these phases or stick rigidly to a single pattern often leads to frustration and missed opportunities.
In consolidation, price action is fluid, not fixed. What starts as a symmetrical triangle might morph into a flag, or a sideways range may develop into a wedge. These shifts are common because consolidation phases by definition are periods of indecision, where neither buyers nor sellers dominate, causing price to "walk" in a seemingly random manner. When we try to force the market into the confines of a rigid pattern, we risk missing these subtle changes and become despondent when the market doesn’t behave as expected.
Instead, successful traders stay adaptive. Don’t be afraid to re-draw the boundaries of a consolidation phase as new information emerges. You can begin with an initial hypothesis based on a recognisable price pattern, but it’s essential to remain open to the possibility that this pattern might evolve or even fail entirely. Flexibility allows you to adjust your parameters to reflect what the market is telling you rather than clinging to a fixed idea.
By embracing the fluid nature of consolidation phases and adjusting your approach as price action unfolds, you stay aligned with the market, increasing your chances of catching the eventual breakout or breakdown.
Real-World Example: FTSE 100
In this example, the FTSE 100 moves from a small initial consolidation phase into a sideways range with failures at the top and bottom, before eventually breaking out. Those who failed to adapt to the changing consolidation structure may have been caught out with false breakouts and missed the eventual breakout.
FTSE100 Daily Candle Chart: Phase 1
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Phase 2
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Phase 3
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Breakout
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Combine Flexibility with Core Principles
While flexibility is key, it’s essential to combine it with a solid foundation of core principles. Flexibility without a framework can lead to erratic decisions, but by grounding your adaptability in a few guiding rules, you’ll better navigate consolidation phases.
1. Aligning with the Dominant Trend: Consolidation phases have a tendency to resolve in line with the dominant trend. Hence, the first step is to define the dominant trend, which varies depending on your trading timeframe. Whether you're using moving averages or trendlines, having a clear sense of the overarching market direction can guide your expectations for a breakout.
2. Defining a Breakout: A breakout from consolidation is more than just price moving outside a range. Look for an expansion in trading ranges, backed by an increase in volume. The combination of these factors helps confirm that the market is truly breaking out, not just teasing false moves.
3. Watch for Changes in Volatility: Volatility often contracts during consolidation phases. One of the best indicators of an impending breakout is when volatility begins to contract. Pay attention to tightening price ranges and be on alert when those ranges start to widen.
Real-World Example: Nvidia (NVDA)
In this example we see the importance of using core principles to as a framework for flexibility. The 50 day moving average (MA) and 200MA clearly show the dominant trend is bullish. This is important during Phase 3 (below) in which the market appears to break lower. In Phase 4 we see clear volatility compression at the top end of the consolidation range – a clear indicator of an impending breakout.
NVDA Daily Candle Chart: Phase 1
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Phase 2
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Phase 3
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Phase 4
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Breakout
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Avoiding Despondency Through Flexibility
Expecting a breakout or breakdown that never materialises can lead to frustration, especially if you’re locked into a rigid view of the market. By combining flexibility with your core principles, you’ll be better prepared to react when the market shifts—and avoid becoming despondent in the process.
The secret to successfully navigating consolidation phases isn’t about predicting the next move—it’s about reacting to change while being guided by solid principles. Patterns evolve, and so must your approach. By balancing flexibility with core rules around trend direction, breakouts, and volatility, you can capitalise when the market finally resolves its range.
In Part 2 of our series, we’ll explore how adapting to trend changes is just as crucial as navigating consolidations, and why flexibility is a trader’s most valuable asset in any market condition.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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EMOTIONS! Chapter-2In trading, emotions can easily become your biggest enemy, and it's crucial to understand that “you are your own opponent.” The market isn’t against you—it’s neutral, driven by global forces like supply and demand, economic policies, and geopolitical events. It doesn’t care whether you win or lose. The real battle is internal, and your success depends on your ability to manage your emotional responses. Emotions like fear, greed, frustration, and overconfidence are powerful forces that, if left unchecked, can lead to impulsive decisions and costly mistakes. The key to thriving in the forex market is learning how to control those emotions, because if you don’t, they will control you.
I learned this lesson the hard way back in 2016. At the time, I had just started gaining confidence after a string of successful trades. That confidence quickly turned into greed. I started taking bigger risks, convinced that I was riding a winning streak. Then, things turned. The market shifted, and I began losing trades. Instead of stepping back and re-evaluating, I panicked. I felt this urgent need to recover my losses, so I started chasing the market. Every time I saw an opportunity, I jumped on it without thinking, trading out of desperation rather than strategy. I kept telling myself I could make it all back with just one more trade, but the more I tried, the deeper I sank into losses. It felt like the market was conspiring against me, but the truth was, I was sabotaging myself. I was letting my emotions dictate my decisions, and that was the real problem.
Fear took over when I lost, and greed controlled me when I won. I wasn’t sticking to my trading plan, and I wasn’t thinking rationally. Instead of approaching the market with a clear, calm mindset, I was reacting emotionally to every price movement. It was a vicious cycle—each loss made me more desperate to win, and each win made me more overconfident. I was chasing quick fixes, but in reality, I was only digging a deeper hole. That experience was a painful reminder that in forex trading, the market isn’t there to beat you—it’s neutral. *You beat yourself* by letting emotions cloud your judgment and control your actions.
After that tough period in 2016, I knew something had to change. I realized that emotional control was not just a skill—it was a necessity if I wanted to succeed. I had to stop reacting impulsively and start trading with discipline. The first step was getting back to basics: sticking to my trading plan no matter what. I began to follow my risk management rules strictly, using stop-loss orders to protect myself from the emotional urge to "let a trade ride" in the hope of recovery. I also limited the amount of risk I was willing to take on each trade. Instead of chasing profits, I focused on preserving capital and managing risk.
One of the biggest changes I made was learning to step away when my emotions were running high. If I felt myself getting anxious, frustrated, or overexcited, I would close my trading platform and take a break. This gave me the space to regain perspective and come back with a clearer mind. I also started keeping a trading journal, documenting not just my trades but also how I felt during them. This helped me recognize emotional patterns—like when I was more prone to making impulsive decisions—and take steps to prevent them.
Over time, I developed a deeper understanding of how emotions influence trading. I came to realize that *success in forex isn’t about controlling the market—it’s about controlling yourself.* The market will always be unpredictable, but how you respond to that unpredictability determines your outcome. You can’t let fear make you exit a trade too early, nor can you let greed push you into taking unnecessary risks. By learning to control your emotions, you can make decisions based on logic and strategy rather than impulse. I also learned to embrace patience. Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The best traders are those who wait for the right opportunities and don’t feel the need to constantly be in the market.
Looking back, that difficult year taught me a vital lesson: the market isn’t out to get you; it’s indifferent. You are the only one who can stand in your own way. By mastering your emotions, you can avoid self-sabotage and make rational, calculated decisions that will lead to long-term success. Now, when I trade, I do so with the understanding that my biggest challenge isn’t the market—it’s keeping my emotions in check. Trading with a clear, calm mind has made all the difference, and I know that no matter what the market throws at me, my success or failure depends on how well I manage myself.
Happy Trading!
-FxPocket
How to Trade Gap Up and Gap Down Opening? Full Guide
What is gap up and gap down in trading?
In this article, I will teach you how to trade gap up and gap down opening . You will learn a simple and profitable gap trading strategy that works perfectly on Forex, Gold or any other financial market.
First, let's start with a theory .
A gap up after the market opening is the situation when the market opens higher than it was closed without any trading activity in between.
Above you can see the example a gap up after the market opening on EURGBP.
The price level where the market closed is called gap opening level.
The price level where the market opened is galled gap closing level.
A gap down after the market opening is the situation when the market opens lower than it was closed without trading activity in between.
Here is the example of a gap down after the market opening on WTI Crude Oil.
Why such gaps occur?
There are various reasons why opening gaps occur.
One of the most common one is the release of positive or negative news while the market was closed.
The market opening price will reflect the impact of such news, causing a formation of the gap.
What gap opening means?
Gap openings reflect the sudden change in the market sentiment.
Gap up will indicate a very bullish sentiment on the market while
a gap down will imply very bearish mood of the market participants.
However, the markets do not like the gaps.
With a very high probability, the gaps are always filled by the market very soon.
We say that the gap is filled, when the price returns to the gap opening level.
Above, you can see that after some time, EURGBP successfully closed the gap - returned to gap opening level.
Such a pattern is very reliable and consistent among different financial markets. For that reason, it can provide profitable trading opportunities for us.
You can see that a gap down on WTI Crude Oil was quickly filled and the price returned to the gap opening level.
How to trade gap opening?
Gap Up Trading Strategy
Once you spotted a gap up after the market opening, you should wait for a bearish signal before you sell.
You should look for a sign of strength of the sellers.
One of the most accurate signals is a formation of a bearish price action pattern:
Double top,
Triple top,
Inverted Cup and Handle,
Head and Shoulders,
Symmetrical or Descending Triangle,
Rising Wedge...
Bearish breakout of a trend line / neckline of the pattern will be your signal to sell.
Look at a price action on EURGBP before it filled the gap.
At some moment, the price formed a double top pattern and broke its neckline. That is our signal to sell.
Your stop loss should lie above the highs of the pattern.
Take profit - gap opening level.
Safest entry is on a retest of a broken neckline/trend line of the pattern.
Safest entry point on EURGBP is the retest of a broken neckline of a double top pattern. Stop is lying above its highs. TP - gap opening level.
Gap Down Trading Strategy
Once you spotted a gap down after the market opening, you should wait for a bullish signal before you sell.
You should look for a sign of strength of the buyers.
One of the most accurate signals is a formation of a bullish price action pattern:
Double bottom,
Triple bottom,
Cup and Handle,
Inverted Head and Shoulders,
Symmetrical or Ascending Triangle,
Rising Wedge...
Bullish breakout of a trend line / neckline of the pattern will be your signal to buy .
Let's study the price action on WTI Crude Oil before it filled the gap.
You can see that the price formed a cup and handle pattern.
Bullish breakout of its neckline is a strong bullish signal.
Safest entry is on a retest of a broken neckline/trend line of the pattern.
Your stop loss should lie above the lows of the pattern.
Take profit - gap opening level.
Following this strategy, a nice profit was made.
Always remember that probabilities that the gap will be filled are very high. However, it is not clear WHEN exactly it will happen.
For that reason, you should carefully analyze a price action and wait for a signal, before you open the trade.
That will be your best gap opening trading strategy.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
MINDSET! Chapter-1In trading, mindset is arguably one of the most critical factors that can determine whether a trader succeeds or fails over time. While many beginners focus intensely on mastering technical analysis, reading charts, or understanding fundamental market data, experienced traders recognize that none of this knowledge matters without the right mental approach. Forex trading is unique due to its high leverage and volatility, which can lead to large, quick gains but also equally substantial losses. The constant price fluctuations and 24-hour nature of the forex market mean that traders need to be mentally prepared to deal with a dynamic, often unpredictable environment. Therefore, cultivating a strong and resilient mindset is essential for achieving consistent results.
A key aspect of a forex trading mindset is emotional control . Markets are driven by the emotions of participants, and it is easy for novice traders to get caught up in the emotional rollercoaster of trading. Greed , fear , and impatience are the three most dangerous emotions for a trader. Greed can cause a trader to hold on to a winning position for too long, hoping for even bigger profits, only to watch those profits evaporate as the market reverses. Fear can paralyze a trader or cause them to exit trades prematurely, preventing them from realizing potential gains. Impatience, on the other hand, can lead to overtrading, where a trader enters too many positions in an attempt to recover losses or chase profits, often resulting in reckless decisions and further losses. Forex traders with a strong mindset learn to recognize these emotions, manage them, and make decisions based on logic and strategy rather than feelings.
Discipline is another crucial element of a successful trading mindset. Having a solid trading plan or strategy is important, but sticking to that plan with unwavering discipline is what separates professional traders from amateurs. Many traders know the importance of risk management, such as setting stop-loss orders and adhering to a specific risk-to-reward ratio, but when emotions take over, they may abandon their plans in the heat of the moment. For example, after a series of losing trades, a trader might be tempted to increase their position size to "make up" for their losses, often leading to larger risks and bigger losses. Alternatively, after a string of wins, a trader might become overconfident and take on more risk than their strategy allows, which can result in devastating losses when the market turns against them. A disciplined mindset ensures that a trader remains consistent, following their predefined rules no matter the market conditions or emotional state.
Patience is also a cornerstone of the forex trading mindset. Currency markets can be incredibly volatile in the short term, but successful traders understand that profits are generated over time, not by chasing every market move. In forex, it’s common to experience periods of drawdowns or market stagnation, where nothing seems to be happening. During such times, traders who lack patience may become frustrated and enter trades impulsively, often leading to mistakes and unnecessary losses. Those with a patient mindset , however, understand that waiting for high-probability setups is essential for long-term success. They accept that there will be times when it is better to sit on the sidelines than force a trade in unfavorable conditions. Patience also allows traders to wait for the market to confirm their trading ideas, rather than jumping in prematurely based on speculation or hope.
A growth mindset is particularly beneficial in forex trading, as it helps traders continuously improve their skills and adapt to market conditions. A trader with a fixed mindset might view losses as failures and feel discouraged, leading them to give up or stop learning from their mistakes. In contrast, a trader with a growth mindset understands that every trade, whether successful or not, is a learning opportunity. They review their trades, identify what went wrong or right, and adjust their strategy accordingly. This mindset fosters resilience, as traders understand that losses are inevitable in forex trading but can be valuable lessons if approached with the right attitude. Growth-minded traders also seek out continuous education, always looking for ways to refine their techniques, expand their knowledge, and improve their decision-making processes.
Adaptability is another essential trait of a strong forex trading mindset. The foreign exchange market is influenced by a wide range of factors, from global economic indicators to geopolitical events and central bank policies. This means that no single strategy or approach works all the time, and traders must be willing to adjust their tactics as market conditions change. Rigidly sticking to a strategy that worked in a particular market environment can lead to poor performance when those conditions shift. Traders with a flexible mindset remain open to evolving their strategies, using new tools, and experimenting with different approaches while maintaining a disciplined and patient approach.
Developing a successful mindset in forex trading is about much more than just controlling emotions or having a strategy. It involves cultivating discipline, emotional resilience, patience, and a commitment to continuous learning and adaptability. Traders who are able to master their mindset are better equipped to handle the volatility and challenges of the forex market, allowing them to make more rational decisions and, ultimately, achieve long-term profitability. While the technical and analytical aspects of forex trading are important, it is the psychological mastery that often determines who thrives and who struggles in the world of currency trading. By focusing on mindset, traders can improve not only their trading results but also their overall experience in navigating the ups and downs of the forex market.
Within the next few days we will discuss on more of the topics above.
Happy Trading!
-FxPocket
EURNZD - A Top-Down Tutorial (ICT)In this video I go through how I perform a top-down analysis and zone in on exactly where I am in price action in order to source for the next high-probability trade. IF there is none, then we stay out until more clues are provided. We DO NOT want to chase price and get in on consolidative and manipulative price action. We want to be hunters, not sheep.
- R2F
Types of traders 101Overview of types of traders
SCALPER
🔸Scalpers buy and sell securities quickly, usually within seconds, with the aim of achieving profits from minuscule price changes from large trade volumes.
🔸Scalper also refers to someone who buys up in-demand merchandise or event tickets to resell at a higher price.
🔸Scalpers buy and sell securities many times in a day with the objective of making consistent net profits from the aggregate of all these transactions.
🔸Scalpers must be highly disciplined, combative by nature, and astute decision makers in order to succeed.
EATRADER / Algo Trader
🔸Algorithmic trader will use process- and rules-based computational formulas for executing trades.
🔸 Algorithmic trader is performing statistical analysis on stocks, funds, or currencies and then writing algorithms and programs using computer languages like C# or Python or PineScript.
🔸While it provides advantages, such as faster execution time and reduced costs, algorithmic trading can also exacerbate the market's negative tendencies by causing flash crashes and immediate loss of liquidity.
Technical Trader
🔸Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to market in the future.
🔸A technical trader prefers to study price patterns over time periods ranging from a few minutes to a month. This is usually done using a variety of tools, such as indicators, to understand which way price is moving in any given market.
Swing Trader
🔸Swing trading refers to a trading style that attempts to exploit short- to medium-term price movements in a security using favorable risk/reward metrics.
🔸 Swing traders primarily rely on technical analysis to determine suitable entry and exit points, but they may also use fundamental analysis as an added filter
Fundumental Trader
🔸Fundumental trader focuses on company-specific events to determine which stock to buy and when to buy it. Trading on fundamentals is more closely associated with a buy-and-hold strategy rather than short-term trading.
🔸Furthermore, fundumental traders must understand technical analysis to identify trends and price patterns supporting their fundamental analysis.
Money Manager
🔸A money manager is a person or financial firm that manages the securities portfolio of individual or institutional investors.
🔸 Professional money managers do not receive commissions on transactions; rather, they are paid based on a percentage of assets under management.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
SWING TUTORIAL - TECHMIn this tutorial, we try to understand how and why the stock NSE:TECHM started going upward and how we can find the best entry while reading charts.
The stock had started forming a Support at 1000 levels at June 2022 and since been retesting the same level again up to April 2023.
During the same time we can observe how the MACD levels consistently kept moving upwards. This indicated that momentum was gaining and it slowly starting to turn bullish.
Once the MACD finally made a successful crossover after close to 52 weeks in April 2023, this is where our Entry got created.
Eventually slowly making its way right up to the Swing High levels.
This trade is still in play and will probably retest its Swing High levels in the coming weeks.
And if the MACD line and signal are still as split away from each other as they are on the monthly timeframe, this could also breakout from the Swing High levels and going all the way further.
What do you think about this Tutorial? Would you like to more such Tutorials in the future? Give your comments in the Comments Section below:
Shatter the Comparison Trap: Elevate Yourself Through Self-FocusComparing yourself to others can actually be a beneficial emotion. It's a desire to improve yourself, a drive to strive for excellence, and a way to compete with the best in the field. This can inspire traders to develop their skills, explore new ideas and approaches, take calculated risks, and optimize their time and actions effectively.
However, not everyone knows how to manage their emotions properly. At some point, comparing yourself to others can shift from a motivational force to a detrimental state. Instead of fostering self-improvement, it can lead to what we can call “self-beating up,” where traders become overly critical of themselves. This shift can hinder personal growth and create a cascade of problems.
In this post, we will explore strategies for managing the tendency to compare yourself to others in trading, transforming what can be a potential obstacle into a powerful catalyst for personal and professional growth. Let’s dive into how to effectively harness this emotional state and turn it into a positive driving force on your trading journey.
📍 Causes And Consequences
Comparing your self to others in trading is a common emotion that can emerge when a trader witnesses the success of their peers, often resulting in feelings of resentment or disappointment regarding their own performance. This sentiment can be particularly intense when traders measure themselves against friends, acquaintances, or even anonymous traders in online trading communities. As a result, the pressure to match the achievements of others can lead to negative self-reflection and hinder personal growth in the trading journey.
📍 When Do We Start Comparing Our Trading Journey To Someone Else's ?
🔹 Social Media and Forums: The rise of social media and online forums has made it incredibly easy for traders to share their successes. Seeing others post about their impressive gains or profitabe trades can be discouraging, especially when traders feel that their own results are lacking in comparison.
🔹 Comparing Results: Many traders fall into the habit of constantly measuring their performance against that of others. Witnessing peers excel can lead to dissatisfaction with their own progress and foster a distorted view of their own abilities.
🔹 Novice Success: It's often particularly frustrating to observe newcomers achieve quick success, seemingly with minimal effort. This can breed resentment among more experienced traders and leave them questioning their own skills and strategies.
🔹 Lack of Progress: When traders perceive stagnation or a lack of significant success, they may turn to others for comparison. If they feel they're not advancing as expected, they might increasingly look to peers who appear to be making strides.
🔹 Exaggerated Expectations: Many traders set ambitious targets, such as aiming for a specific percentage of profits within a certain timeframe (e.g., 10% per month). Failing to reach these goals—especially in light of others' apparent successes—can lead to feelings of frustration and inadequacy.
📍 Constantly Comparing Yourself To Others Can Hinder Your Trading Journey
🔹 Overestimating Other People's Strategies: Observing the success of others might prompt traders to impulsively alter their strategies in an attempt to replicate those results. This can result in inconsistency in their trading approach and hinder genuine growth, as they may abandon their own tested methods for strategies that might not align with their trading style.
🔹 Negative Emotions: Consistent comparison can generate negative feelings such as resentment and frustration when faced with another's accomplishments. These emotions can cloud judgment and adversely affect decision-making processes, potentially leading to poor trading choices and increased risk-taking behavior.
🔹 Social Isolation: In some cases, the act of comparison may prompt traders to withdraw from social interactions with more successful peers. This distancing can limit opportunities for collaboration, learning, and mentorship within the trading community, which are crucial for personal and professional development.
🔹 Discussing Other People's Successes: Focusing on and discussing the achievements of others—often in a negative or envious light—can distract traders from recognizing and valuing their own progress. This ongoing comparison can breed a cycle of negativity that diminishes motivation, as traders might overlook their own achievements while fixating on the successes of others.
📍 Constantly Comparing Yourself To Others In Trading Can Harm Your Long-term Success
🔹 Impulsive Decisions: Constantly measuring yourself against others can lead to a desire to catch up or replicate another's success. This urgency may cause traders to take unnecessary risks and make impulsive decisions that deviate from their strategies. Such behavior often results in losses and undermines long-term success.
🔹 Decreased Focus: When traders become fixated on comparisons, they tend to lose sight of their individual trading strategies and personal goals. This distraction can detract from their analytical effectiveness and compromise their decision-making processes, leading to bad results.
🔹 Emotional Burnout: Ongoing comparisons can contribute to feelings of inadequacy and perpetual dissatisfaction, leading to emotional exhaustion. As these feelings accumulate, traders may struggle to maintain motivation and enthusiasm for trading, which is essential for sustained performance.
🔹 Breakdown in Discipline: The pressure to achieve results quickly or to match the performance of more successful traders can erode a trader’s discipline. This might result in erratic trading behavior, divergence from well-established strategies, and heightened vulnerability to losses, thereby jeopardizing their trading journey.
🔹 Frustration and Disappointment: Constantly measuring progress against others typically fosters chronic dissatisfaction with own performance. This incessant fixation can lead to ongoing frustration, which in turn can diminish confidence and negatively affect trading outcomes.
📍 How To Stop Constantly Comparing Yourself To Others ?
🔹 Focus on Your Goals: Concentrate on your personal trading objectives and strategies. Instead of comparing yourself to others, turn your attention inward. Remember that not everyone can achieve the same level of success as Warren Buffett, regardless of their abilities. It's not about having lofty ambitions; what matters is the gradual progress toward your goals. Make sure to continually develop yourself, steadily raising your own standards and aspirations.
🔹 Cultivate Reasonable Confidence: Question whether everyone who claims to achieve returns of 50-100% has genuinely earned those results. Avoid falling for misleading advertisements; trust only what can be verified. Remember, knowledgeable traders take pride in their expertise, not their wealth.
🔹 Embrace Development and Learning: Commit to continuously improving your skills and knowledge. The more you learn, the more confident you'll become in your abilities—and the less you'll find yourself fixated on the achievements of others.
🔹 Foster Positive Thinking: Shift your mindset by replacing constant comparison with admiration for the successes of others. Use their accomplishments as inspiration for your own growth and development.
🔹 Build Community and Support: Connect with other traders to share experiences and offer mutual support. Not only can you gain valuable knowledge and learn from the mistakes of others, but you will also appreciate that every achievement requires significant time and effort.
🔹 Practice Meditation and Relaxation: Practice relaxation techniques into your routine to help reduce stress and emotional strain.
📍 Conclusion
Cease the habit of comparing yourself to others, as it often clouds your unique path to success. Instead, redirect your energy toward your personal development by setting clear and meaningful goals that resonate with your aspirations. Cultivate a deep belief in your own potential and capabilities, recognizing that your journey is distinct and valuable. Embrace the idea that with dedication and resilience, success will naturally unfold as a result of your commitment to growth and self-improvement!
Grass Isn't Greener On The Other Side. It Is Greener Where You Water It
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Dow Made a Parabolic Move: Did You See the Signs?
The Dow made an unsustainable Parabolic Arc that is a giant U-shaped pattern on Friday, September 27. Did you see the signs? I missed some of them, which lead to a much closer look at what price action moves lead up to a highly volatile ascent and steep drop that's also known as a "Pump and Dump".
The Parabolic move followed typical behaviors that can be seen through price action without needing any indicators. It happened in phases over 3-days, from September 25 - 27:
1. Day 1: A Peak High formed.
2. Day 1 - 2: Valley Low followed.
3. Day 2 - 3: Consolidation between the Peak High and Valley Low. Price action made stair-step moves that created a S&R Zone. Traders also refer to these moves as making multiple bases. An average number of bases is 3 - 4 during a parabolic move. The long consolidation can confuse many traders, including myself, because of no breakout from the Zone happened, especially to the downside. There was strong anticipation for a drop.
4. Day 3: A Triple Inside Day showed up to represent the tight "coiling" action from the consolidation to eventually spring out in an EXPLOSIVE move. The Triple Inside Day pattern that was part of the consolidation was a big giveaway of what's to come.
5. Day 3: A pullback from the consolidation, but was more like a fakeout to trap traders with the Trendbar Reversal, that often leads to no follow through by the bears to really drop. The second, opposing bar within the pattern is a setup for a reversal to the upside. Many traders get fooled by this pattern and drop out at this point, right before the long rally starts.
6. Day 3: Ascending Channel (also called a "Parabolic Channel") formed that is typical after a pullback to the downside before the greater ascent.
7. Day 3: Steep Vertical Ascent with a bullish bar that is 240 tics tall - an Exhaustion Phase.
8. Day 3: Reversal to the downside (that is comparable to or exceeds in length to the steep ascent) from the formation of an Evening Star. The Parabolic move ended with a steep, vertical descent.
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*Citation of Resources:
- Jet Toyco
- FX Open
- Pips 2 Profit
- Top 1 Markets
DreamAnalysis | Technical Analysis Dow Theory EP03📚 Welcome to the Educational Content Section of Our Channel: Technical Analysis Training
👋 Recap of the Previous Session: In the previous session, we covered the middle two principles of Dow Theory. Make sure to review and study them, and if you have any questions, feel free to reach out to us in the comments.
📖 Today’s Focus: Let’s dive into Principles 5 & 6 of Dow Theory and explore their significance in market analysis.
🎨 What is Technical Analysis? Technical analysis is more of an art than a science. Just like art, there is no definitive right or wrong. Instead, we create rules based on experience to navigate the lawless market. Patterns in life can reflect in the markets, but we must always approach it with an artistic perspective.
📑 Principles of Dow Theory:
1 - The Averages Discount Everything (Not applicable to crypto)
2 - The Market Has Three Trends
3 - Trends Have Three Phases
4 - Trends Continue Until a Reversal is Confirmed
5 - The Averages Must Confirm Each Other
6 - Volume Confirms the Trend
📊 Principle 5: Volume Confirms the Trend
Typically, when the price moves in the direction of the main trend, the trading volume increases. The same applies to bearish trends, where declining prices are supported by increasing sell volume. Low volume suggests weakening momentum. For example, in a bull market, buying volume should rise with the price, and during corrections, volume should remain steady.
📉 However, if volume increases during a correction, it may signal that more investors are turning bearish on the asset. Therefore, volume acts as a crucial indicator of the strength or weakness of a trend.
📉 Principle 6: Trends Continue Until a Reversal is Confirmed
🔄 Dow Theory emphasizes that trends continue until a clear reversal signal is observed. This means that despite short-term fluctuations or corrections, the primary market trend remains intact until there is unmistakable evidence of a change in direction.
🚩 It’s important to distinguish between temporary corrections and true trend reversals. Misinterpreting short-term declines in a bull market or temporary rallies in a bear market can lead to confusion and poor decision-making.
🎯 Conclusion: This concludes our breakdown of the 6 principles of Dow Theory. In the next session, we will review and summarize the entire Dow Theory to solidify your understanding.
📝 Important Note: These principles were developed over 100 years ago, and with today’s diverse markets, there are many different perspectives on their application.
⚠️ Please remember that these lessons represent our personal view of the market and are not financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
CHOCH vs BOS !!WHAT IS BOS ?
BOS - break of strucuture. I will use market structure bullish or bearish to understand if the institutions are buying or selling a financial asset.
To spot a bullish / bearish market structure we should see a higher highs and higher lows and viceversa, to spot the continuation of the bullish market structure we should see bullish price action above the last old high in the structure this is the BOS.
BOS for me is a confirmation that price will go higher after the retracement and we are still in a bullish move
WHAT IS CHOCH?
CHOCH - change of character. Also known as reversal, when the price fails to make a new higher high or lower low, then the price broke the structure and continue in other direction.