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SELL CHFJPY - Selling JPY pairs, JPY strength to continueTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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USOUSD (OIL), key support remains in play Thanks for checking our latest update. Today we are looking at oil on its daily chart.
The key questions we are asking today from a technical perspective are: Will we see key support continue to hold, and will the rough looking ending diagonal pattern confirm, setting off a new rally? Or could sellers finally break the discussed key support area, setting off a new leg lower?
Key support: $67 - $66.50.
As always, traders must remain vigilant and stay abreast of the latest updates from OPEC and geopolitical influences, as these factors can significantly impact the market.
Good trading from Eightcap.
What’s Flowing: BTCUSDBitcoin (BTCUSD) is holding steady above the psychological $100,000 level after testing strong support near $97,000. The 4-hour Heikin Ashi chart shows a bullish continuation pattern, with price action remaining within the green trend channel, suggesting sustained upward momentum.
Key resistance levels are at $101,200 and $105,000, while support is anchored at $98,000 and $96,900. The price’s ability to maintain strength above $100,000 indicates solid demand, potentially paving the way for further gains if momentum holds.
Traders should watch for consolidation or a breakout above $101,200 for confirmation of the next bullish leg. Conversely, a pullback below $98,000 could signal a near-term correction.
What’s Flowing: USDTRYThe USDTRY pair maintains its upward momentum on the 4-hour Heikin Ashi chart, as the price steadily climbs toward resistance at 35.00. The chart illustrates consistent bullish candles supported by a rising trendline and minor pullbacks finding support around 34.50.
Key support zones include 34.50 and 34.30, with resistance at 35.05 and 35.20. The trend remains bullish, but caution is warranted as the price approaches overbought territory. Keep an eye on macroeconomic developments and central bank activity, which often influence the pair’s movements significantly.
Traders should watch for any consolidation or breakout signals to refine entries and manage risk effectively.
What’s Flowing: EURHUFThe EURHUF pair displays a notable recovery after a sharp drop, indicating potential buyer interest at lower levels. The price bounced decisively from the support zone near 412.75 and is now consolidating just below the key resistance level of 414.00.
The 15-minute Heikin Ashi chart highlights a strong upward momentum post-recovery, with bullish candles showing minimal wicks. However, the current consolidation suggests indecision, and traders should watch for either a breakout above 414.00 for further upside or a retracement to retest lower support zones.
On the broader market watch, correlated currency pairs and risk sentiment should be monitored to align with the flow direction. As always, risk management is key when trading short-term movements in highly volatile conditions.
What’s Flowing: NZDUSDThe NZDUSD pair continues its downward trajectory, respecting the established bearish trend. Key resistance zones near 0.5860 and 0.5905 are capping any upward movements, while sellers maintain control. Support levels around 0.5770 are acting as a key target area for further downside potential.
The price remains below the moving averages, reinforcing bearish sentiment. Recent attempts to push higher have been met with selling pressure, with price action consolidating near the lower bound of the range. Traders should watch for a potential breakout below 0.5770 to confirm continued bearish momentum.
Market participants should stay cautious of any reversal signals near the support zones, but overall, the flow favors the downside for NZDUSD in the short term.
What's Flowing: GBPNZD The GBPNZD pair is displaying strong bullish momentum, breaking out of consolidation zones with higher highs and higher lows forming. Key support levels are well-defined around the 2.14800 and 2.12600 regions, indicating strong buyer interest at these levels. On the resistance side, the pair is approaching critical zones near 2.18000, which may act as a short-term ceiling if bullish momentum begins to wane.
The moving averages are trending upward, and the price remains above key liquidity areas, signaling continued bullish control. However, if momentum stalls, watch for potential pullbacks toward the mid-range support at 2.16000 for re-entry opportunities.
Overall, GBPNZD appears to be flowing strongly to the upside, aligning with positive market sentiment for GBP against NZD. Traders should monitor upcoming news and events that could impact this flow and watch for signs of exhaustion near the resistance zones.
Why GBP Is the Alpha Wolf: Decoding the Market's Next Big MoveThe COT strategy has revealed potent setups once again. The codes are unlocking the market’s next likely moves. What you’re about to read is no ordinary analysis—this is how the game is truly played.
This week, GBP and CHF stand out. EUR and NZD also look promising. So, why focus on GBP & CHF? The answer is strength. While EUR & NZD took out their April lows, GBP & CHF did not. The strong remain strong. Align yourself with the wolf leading the pack.
Consider GBP. It’s more than just a setup—it's a symphony of signals:
Code #1: COT Indexes
Commercials: 100% Bullish
Small Specs: 100% Bearish
The crowd is fading into weakness. The pros are betting on strength.
Code #2: Small Spec Positioning
The masses are nearly maxed out on shorts. History tells us their extreme is our opportunity. We fade the crowd.
Code #3: Valuation
Using the WillVal tool:
GBP is undervalued relative to Gold, Treasuries, and USD. This is a fundamental misalignment—the market is screaming 'buy.' The code agrees.
Code #4: True Seasonal
Seasonal trends align. GBP’s true path is bullish up to Jan/Feb. Time and trend converge.
The final pieces of the puzzle:
Accumulation: Insider activity shows heavy buying pressure.
Weekly %R: Sitting in the buy zone.
Rate of Change (ROC): Near the bottoming zone. Strength is brewing.
So why GBP over the others? Comparative Strength. GBP & CHF resisted weakness while EUR & NZD faltered. The strong wolf will not be dragged down by the weak. This isn’t a trade—it’s a strategy rooted in probabilities, not guesswork.
Triggers have fired. I’m already long. But remember: this isn’t an invitation to blindly enter. Fundamentals identify the opportunity, technicals time the precision strike. Discipline is the edge.
The question is simple: What will you do with this information?
Will you continue wandering the Matrix, chasing shadows in the market? Or will you learn to see the code that governs it all?
The choice is yours. I can show you how deep this rabbit hole goes. DM me if you’re ready to truly learn how to trade commodity futures like a pro.
There’s no turning back once you see the truth.
US30 at a support line- Most Likely to continue bearishUS 30 is bearish from reaching an all time high. Currently sitting on a support line at 44613 look for price to react at this level giving an opportunity for a buy or a sell. Keep in mind the US30 loves to fake so be sure to pay attention to a retest once price breaks the support line. Our bias is price will continue in the trend downward until it reaches 44360