$SPX Urgent! My <3 & My Soul: Slow Bleed Crash to 3k by Q4 26' Do be warned. Very important post here. I put my heart and soul into this. I made a video earlier and then it got deleted by accident, so I made a less happy one right after. I've got news for all the bulls and investors out there that feel they will be able to continue buying every single dip out there. Get ready for the dip that keeps dipping. Big names already cracking heavy. NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:NVDA to name a few. Big tech is getting cleaned out and layoffs are on the rise. Tariffs create huge amounts of uncertainty. I don't feel like this is rocket science. Buffet is all cash. 89% of Hedge Fund managers believe the US market is the most expensive its ever been and Tutes have been selling at the highest rate ever before. I think it's time the US finally gets a shake down. Bullish conditioning has been running rampant, and I've seen Social Media Accounts discourage charting and only paying attention to price action? Price action involves the entire collective, not just one Timeframe. Anyways, here's an overlay from 01' ... the only one I could find that matches. Says short 560 around May 7th and then take profits around 500 again. Let's make this a nice one. Calls till 560 into May then flip to Puts into June. From then short 530 every time you can. $450 is My first target after we break previous lows. I will update as we go. Have a good one yall.
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GBPJPY and USDJPY Bullish bounce?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Review and plan for 12th May 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Quarterly results.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
NQ Analysis - 11th May 2025Here is my analysis of NQ, a pair I do not trade and only very seldomly do analysis for.
I've been wanting to get into indices futures, so I will be doing more analysis on them in the future. I still have to learn about the contract sizes, average moves, etc.
- R2F Trading
Bitcoin Neutral to Bullish: Completion of 5-wave structureIn this video, I break down the wave structure of Bitcoin and go through in detail the wave counts and where there are breakdowns in the wave structures. I also go through the bitcoin peak price for the most recent wave using 2 Fibonacci extension levels.
My outlook is that Bitcoin is going to go much further as this completion is likely to be a sub-wave 1 of cycle wave 5 instead of being the cycle wave 5 itself. I support this notion by referencing to Etherum where there was a false breakdown.
ASX Market Wrap, May 10: XJO, APA, CBA, TLS, PLS, PME, COLASX Market Wrap for May 10, 2025
In focus: XJO, APA, CBA, TLS, PLS, PME and COL
In this week’s market analysis, we break down key price movements and trends across the #ASX, with a close look at the XJO and standout stocks and stocks of interest, including APA Group (#APA), Commonwealth Bank (#CBA), Telstra (#TLS), Pilbara Minerals (#PLS), Pro Medicus (#PME), and Coles (#COL).
We explore current momentum, trend direction, and price action indicators to help you spot opportunities and make more confident trading decisions. Whether you're paper trading or actively investing, this is your must-watch guide for the week ahead.
LYFT stock is a grower and undervalued, future 10x ?LYFT stock is trading a low pe and has a potential smooth 25% annual growth rate to EPS for next years.
PE price /earnings is low at around 11.
More cash than debt on the balance sheet, making them a little cheaper.
easily should be worth 20-25 PE for a fair price. Growth rate should make LYFT even trade a potential premium.
Im in for the value, but if retail gets behind LYFT, could be more exciting even.
Cheers, be safe.
#LYFT #LYFTstock #uber #Ev #AV #tesla #rivian #autonomousvehigles
Euro’s 1.13 Lifeline: Can ECB Rate Cuts Outweigh Hawkish Holds? EUR/USD stabilised near 1.1275 amid mixed signals: the ECB’s rate-cut bets (driven by Eurozone inflation at 2.2%)* vs. the Fed’s "higher-for-longer" stance. Traders await U.S. jobless claims and German industrial data to break the stalemate.
GBPUSD - Pound’s Resilience TestedThe BoE cut rates by 25 bps to 4.25% with a rare split vote (7-2), while the Fed held rates steady at 4.50%, amplifying policy divergence. GBP/USD fluctuated between 1.32121 and 1.34028 closing at 1.33034 as traders weighed UK GDP upgrades against Fed inflation warnings.
SPY weekly thoughts for May 12th - 16th. Trump Pump?What’s up traders — this is my first idea post here on TradingView, and I’m hyped to finally share something with the community. In this breakdown, I’ll be covering a few key areas I’m watching:
🟩 Support zones
📉 Resistance levels
🕯️ Weekly candle behaviour
🌍 Macro outlook and possible catalysts
📌 Important notes
⚠️ My current bias
Let’s jump in:
🟩 Support Zones:
Buyers are still showing up strong in that $505–$507 range(I highly doubt their orders will get filled lol). it had been a reliable bounce zone — we’ve seen repeated wicks rejecting that level and price snapping back VERY quickly.
Above that, $550 has developed into a new area of support, and right now that’s my main level to watch. If that gives out, I expect we’ll head back down to test the $507 zone again. But for now, bulls are doing their job.
📉 Resistance
SPY keeps getting stuck around $573–$575. That zone’s been tested a few times now, but buyers haven’t been able to push it through. Sellers are stepping in there almost every time.
🕯️ Weekly Candle Context
That’s three straight weekly closes below resistance. Bulls get some momentum mid-week, but by Friday, sellers take over. It’s showing signs of a stall — like the market’s running out of gas near the top.
🌍 Macro Outlook – What Could Move Things
There’s been some talk of softer trade discussions and early negotiations with China. If any of that turns into a real deal, it could be the spark SPY needs to finally break above resistance.
But on the flip side — if Trump starts pushing new tariffs (even smaller ones), those moves tend to hold stocks back, especially in tech.
So the big question is:
Can SPY hit new highs if tech keeps cooling off and there’s pressure from new trade policy?
That’s the tug-of-war right now — possible upside from improving global relations, but real downside risk from political decisions.
📌 Things I’m Watching:
A weekly close above $575 would shift me to a bullish bias.
If we lose $550, I’ll be watching closely to see how price behaves near $507.
⚠️ Current Bias
Right now I’m FAIRLY neutral with a slight bullish lean, but very excited for this next weekly candle.
The macro setup looks like it could support a move higher, but I’m staying decently cautious until we get a clear weekly breakout(+575) and close above resistance.
Let me know what you think — and if you’re watching the same levels.
Dow Jones - Fed’s ‘No-Cut’ Gamble BackfiresDespite Disney’s heroics, the Dow closed the week at $41,376 (-0.20%), weighed by Fed Chair Powell’s warning that tariffs could spike inflation and unemployment. Barclays’ “mild recession” forecast added pressure, while utilities (XLU +6.9% YTD) emerged as safe havens.
Nasdaq -Bitcoin’s $104K Frenzy Steals Nasdaq’s ThunderAs Bitcoin surged to $104,350 (up 9.5% weekly), retail traders pivoted to crypto, leaving Nasdaq’s momentum muted despite Lyft’s 21% pop on buyback news .
Going forward, I will be interested to see if Nasdaq is lagging behind Bitcoin and we can see bullish price action up into premium PD arrays.
$6 Trillion Rollercoaster: Trade War Jitters Clash With FedThe index swung wildly as Trump’s 145% China tariffs and hints of an 80% reduction collided with Fed Chair Powell’s cautious stance on rates. Despite a midweek rally, the S&P 500 ( NYSE:ES ) closed the week down 0.46% at $5,684 reflecting investor paralysis ahead of U.S.- China trade talks.
Dollar Plunge To 97.921: Trump’s Tariff Tsunami Erodes DollarDollar Index fell to 97.921, its lowest since April 2025, as Trump’s aggressive tariffs on critical minerals and China trade retaliation spooked investors.
Analysts warn the dollar’s status as a reserve currency is under threat, with foreign holdings of U.S. assets declining sharply.
However in the short-term, dollar might see appreciation up into premium PD arrays, namely the weekly fair value gap outlined.
US10Y - Yield Volatility Amid Fed Policy StanceThe 10-year Treasury yield fluctuated between 4.30% and 4.39% this week, closing at 4.382% on May 9.
The Federal Reserve maintained benchmark rates at 4.50%, dismissing pressure from the Trump administration for cuts. Chair Powell emphasised persistent inflationary risks and labor market stability, reinforcing a cautious "higher-for-longer" stance.
4.400% intermediate term buyside liquidity is a point of interest going forward.
$VARA Network **VERY BULLISH!!!***GUARDIAN PROTOCOL ON TEST!!**VARA Update!
Big news guys!!! Guardian Protocol is on TEST!!! Once Ethereum Bridge is live DEX and other DApps waiting on test will go live!! Price action has been extremely bullish but still in a squeeze :( But it's ok!!! Squeezes precede large price action movements!!!
-Staking rate on NOVA Wallet 37% annual
4.129 Billion Staked (same)
2.881 Billion Circulating Supply this up from 2.866 Billion 3 days ago