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Gold Market Analysis – Weekly Outlook 10-05-2025Wondering where gold is heading next? Don’t worry, we’ve got you covered. Our technical analysis indicates that gold has once again entered bearish territory on the 4-hour chart as of Friday’s close. This marks the second time in two weeks that gold has shifted into a bearish trend, further supporting our current outlook. We have maintained a bearish bias on gold for several weeks, and the latest movement in the moving averages continues to validate this view, at least in the short term. Our team is actively monitoring the market for sell opportunities on lower timeframes, aiming to maximize profitability. Stay tuned for further updates from the InvestmentLive trading desk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Sanmi
EURUSDEUR/USD Interest Rate Differential and Economic Data for May 2025: Directional Bias Interest Rate Differential European Central Bank (ECB): Cut rates by 25 basis points in March 2025, lowering the deposit facility rate to 2.50%. Dovish outlook: Inflation is projected to average 2.3% in 2025, with further easing likely if price pressures subside. Federal Reserve (Fed): Held rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in May 2025, maintaining a cautious stance amid sticky inflation and trade uncertainty. Market expects delayed rate cuts until July 2025 or later. Differential: ~1.75–2.00% rate advantage for the USD, favoring dollar strength over the euro. Key May 2025 Economic Data Region Data/Event Impact on EUR/USD Eurozone Q1 GDP Growth (0.4% YoY) Mildly positive but uneven (Germany: 0.2%, France: 0.1%). US April CPI/Jobs Reports Sticky inflation (core CPI: 2.8%) supports Fed’s hold. Strong labor market (177k jobs added in April). Political EU Elections/Trade Tensions Risks from EU political turmoil (Germany/France) and U.S.-China tariffs weigh on EUR. Directional Bias Bearish EUR/USD: Rate Differential: The Fed’s hawkish hold vs. ECB easing widens the USD yield advantage, pressuring the euro. Growth Divergence: Eurozone growth (0.4% Q1) lags behind U.S. resilience, despite Germany’s exit from recession. Geopolitical Risks: EU political instability and U.S. tariff uncertainty amplify EUR downside. Conclusion: EUR/USD remains bearish in May 2025, driven by widening rate differentials, mixed Eurozone growth, and geopolitical headwinds.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
6
EURUSDEUR/USD Interest Rate Differential and Economic Data for May 2025: Directional Bias Interest Rate Differential European Central Bank (ECB): Cut rates by 25 basis points in March 2025, lowering the deposit facility rate to 2.50%. Dovish outlook: Inflation is projected to average 2.3% in 2025, with further easing likely if price pressures subside. Federal Reserve (Fed): Held rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in May 2025, maintaining a cautious stance amid sticky inflation and trade uncertainty. Market expects delayed rate cuts until July 2025 or later. Differential: ~1.75–2.00% rate advantage for the USD, favoring dollar strength over the euro. Key May 2025 Economic Data Region Data/Event Impact on EUR/USD Eurozone Q1 GDP Growth (0.4% YoY) Mildly positive but uneven (Germany: 0.2%, France: 0.1%). US April CPI/Jobs Reports Sticky inflation (core CPI: 2.8%) supports Fed’s hold. Strong labor market (177k jobs added in April). Political EU Elections/Trade Tensions Risks from EU political turmoil (Germany/France) and U.S.-China tariffs weigh on EUR. Directional Bias Bearish EUR/USD: Rate Differential: The Fed’s hawkish hold vs. ECB easing widens the USD yield advantage, pressuring the euro. Growth Divergence: Eurozone growth (0.4% Q1) lags behind U.S. resilience, despite Germany’s exit from recession. Geopolitical Risks: EU political instability and U.S. tariff uncertainty amplify EUR downside. Conclusion: EUR/USD remains bearish in May 2025, driven by widening rate differentials, mixed Eurozone growth, and geopolitical headwinds.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
3
You want to be a trader but you have a 9-5 Educational purpose only. You want to be a day trader but can't trade market open because you have a job or you are too busy. The daily bar can give you just as much profits as the 5 min charts. In this video ill teach you how to find support and resistance zone on any market. Opening a line chart starting from the weekly and then looking for areas where price has repeatedly reverse gives you a clue of where price may go in the future on a daily chart. Watch till the end to see how this strategy is applied to all markets.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by brodjr8
May 9th Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisEOD accountability report: +440 Sleep: 6 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup: I have been traveling the last few days and didn't have a chance to trade. just finally catching up on things again and getting hte videos out. Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System — 9:44 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! — 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! — 1:10 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal — 2:09 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! — 2:10 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal Next day plan--> Over 5650 = Bullish, Under 5650 = Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by WallSt007
USDCADUSDCAD Interest Rate Differential and Upcoming Economic Data (May 2025) Interest Rate Differential Federal Reserve (Fed): The Fed’s policy rate is currently around 4.25%–4.50%, having held steady in early May 2025 amid inflation concerns and economic uncertainty. Bank of Canada (BoC): The BoC has been on a rate-cutting path, with the benchmark rate at 2.75% as of April 2025, reflecting weaker Canadian economic data and inflation cooling. Further easing is expected through 2025, likely at a faster pace than the Fed. Resulting Differential: The widening interest rate gap of approximately 1.5–1.75 percentage points favors the U.S. dollar, supporting USD strength against the Canadian dollar. Upcoming Economic Data and Events Canada: BoC Monetary Policy Reports and Rate Decisions: Next key updates expected mid-to-late May 2025, with markets pricing in further rate cuts. GDP and Trade Data: Early Q2 releases will indicate how tariffs and global demand are impacting Canada’s export-driven economy. Employment Data: Labor market strength or weakness will influence BoC’s policy stance. United States: Inflation (CPI, PCE) and Employment Reports: These will guide Fed’s future rate decisions and impact USD strength. GDP Growth and Manufacturing Data: Key indicators for economic momentum amid tariff-related uncertainties. The widening interest rate differential between the Fed and BoC, combined with expected further BoC rate cuts and relatively resilient U.S. economic data, supports a bullish bias for USD/CAD in the near term. Key Canadian inflation and GDP data in May will be critical in determining the pace of BoC easing and CAD’s outlook, while U.S. inflation and employment reports will influence Fed policy and USD strength. The Canadian dollar (CAD) is historically and fundamentally closely linked to oil prices due to Canada’s status as one of the world’s largest oil producers and exporters. Here’s how oil prices affect the CAD: 1. Direct Correlation Between Oil Prices and CAD Value Canada earns a significant portion of its U.S. dollar revenue from crude oil exports. When oil prices rise, Canada receives more U.S. dollars per barrel exported, increasing the inflow of foreign currency into the Canadian economy. This increased demand for Canadian dollars to pay for oil-related transactions tends to strengthen the CAD relative to the U.S. dollar. Conversely, when oil prices fall, the CAD typically weakens. Historically, the correlation between oil prices and USD/CAD has been strong and negative (when oil rises, USD/CAD falls, meaning CAD strengthens). 2. Impact on Canada’s Trade Balance and Economy Higher oil prices improve Canada’s trade balance by increasing export revenues, which supports economic growth and boosts investor confidence in the CAD. The energy sector contributes significantly to Canada’s GDP and employment, so oil price movements have broader economic implications that influence currency strength. 3. Changing Dynamics and Recent Weakening of Correlation In recent years, the tight link between oil prices and the CAD has weakened due to several factors: A larger share of oil company revenues goes to foreign shareholders rather than being reinvested domestically, reducing the flow of U.S. dollars back into Canada. Discounts on Canadian oil prices (e.g., Western Canada Select vs. WTI) reduce the effective revenue Canada earns. Other factors like global risk sentiment, U.S.-Canada trade dynamics, and diverging economic fundamentals have become more influential on CAD movements. The 3-month correlation between oil prices and USD/CAD has recently dropped close to zero, indicating oil prices alone no longer dominate CAD valuation. In essence: While oil prices remain an important factor for the Canadian dollar, especially over the long term, the direct correlation has diminished recently. The CAD’s value now reflects a more complex mix of oil market dynamics, foreign investment flows, trade relations, and broader economic conditions. Nonetheless, sharp moves in oil prices still tend to influence the price action especially in periods of strong market sentiment or volatility.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
Amazon - Look At This All Time High Retest!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) will create the bottom soon: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 The trend on Amazon is clearly towards the upside and the recent correction of about -30% did not change that at all. Rather, we are now witnessing an extremely bullish all time high break and retest and therefore, if Amazon actually creates bullish confirmation, this could form a bottom. Levels to watch: $180 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by basictradingtv
9
GBPUSD Bank of England (BoE): On May 7, 2025, the BoE cut its Bank Rate by 0.25 percentage points to 4.25% (from 4.5%), with a narrow 5–4 vote. Two members wanted a larger cut, while two preferred no change. The decision reflects progress on disinflation and a slowing UK economy, though the rate remains in restrictive territory to keep inflation pressures in check. Federal Reserve (Fed): The Fed held its policy rate steady at 4.50% in May 2025, as it weighs sticky inflation against cooling growth. The U.S. labor market remains resilient, but GDP contracted slightly in Q1. The Fed is cautious, with markets not expecting cuts until later in the year. Differential: The U.S. maintains a 25 basis point rate advantage over the UK (Fed 4.50% vs. BoE 4.25%). This modest but widening gap, combined with the Fed’s more hawkish stance, generally supports the USD over GBP. Upcoming UK Economic Data in May 2025 GDP Growth: UK GDP growth has slowed since mid-2024. Four-quarter growth is projected to stay just above 1% before picking up later in the forecast period. Goldman Sachs forecasts UK GDP at 1.2% for 2025, below the BoE’s 1.5% projection, with quarterly growth expected to remain subdued. Inflation: March CPI inflation fell to 2.6% (from 2.8% in February), but is expected to temporarily rise to 3.5% in Q3 2025 due to energy price effects before falling back toward the 2% target. Domestic price and wage pressures are easing, but household inflation expectations have risen recently. Labor Market: The UK labor market continues to loosen, with slowing pay growth expected through the year. This supports the case for further BoE easing if disinflation persists. Other Data: Retail sales, business investment, and export growth remain weak, partly due to global trade developments and a tightening fiscal stance. The next key data releases in May will be GDP, CPI, and labor market figures, all closely watched for signs of further economic softening or inflation surprises. The interest rate differential favors the USD, especially with the BoE starting to cut and the Fed holding steady. Upcoming UK data (GDP, CPI, labor market) will be crucial. If UK growth and inflation slow faster than expected, the BoE may cut more aggressively, adding to GBP downside. Consensus forecast: GBPUSD is expected to remain under pressure in May. In summary: The GBPUSD pair faces a modest downside bias in May 2025, driven by a slight USD rate advantage, a dovish BoE, and subdued UK growth and inflation data. Key economic prints this month-especially on inflation and labor-will determine whether the BoE accelerates cuts, which would further weigh on sterling
Short
by Shavyfxhub