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ETH Overextended: Eyeing a Retracement from Key Liquidity ZoneTechnical Analysis: ETH/USDT Daily/4H and 30m Chart 🚨 Ethereum (ETH) has experienced a powerful rally, surging from the $1,900 region to above $2,500 in just a few sessions. This explosive move has pushed price into a previous area of significant resistance, where a large liquidity pool is likely sitting. The current daily candle structure shows signs of hesitation, with smaller bodies and wicks indicating potential exhaustion at these highs. Given the overextended nature of this move 📈 and the fact that ETH is now trading at a premium relative to its recent range, a retracement back toward equilibrium is probable. If price action breaks below the current range low (the most recent swing low on the daily), this could confirm a distribution phase 🏦 and open up a short opportunity. I'm watching for a clear break and close below the range low to trigger a potential short setup. My expectation is for price to revisit the mid-range or even the origin of the recent rally, where demand may step in again. Until then, patience is key—let the market show its hand before entering. Key Points: ETH is overextended and trading into previous highs with heavy liquidity 💧 Signs of exhaustion are emerging at the top of the move A break below the current range low could confirm distribution and offer a short setup 🔻 Targeting a retracement toward equilibrium, possibly the $2,000–$2,200 zone 🚨
Short
by fxtraderanthony
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Long
by Simply-Forex
AUDCHFAUDCHF Interest Rate Differential and Directional Bias (May 2025) Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA): As of March 2025, the RBA cut its cash rate to 4.10% in response to easing inflation and slower growth. Major Australian banks forecast further cuts, with rates possibly falling to 3.1% by early 2026 if disinflation continues and growth remains sluggish. Cuts are expected to occur steadily, possibly every quarter, starting May 2025. Swiss National Bank (SNB): The SNB has cut its key rate to 0.25% as of March 2025, its second cut this year, aiming to support growth amid global uncertainty. Most analysts expect the SNB to hold rates at this low level for the remainder of 2025, with only a minority predicting a further cut to 0%. Differential: The interest rate differential strongly favors the Australian dollar (RBA 4.10% vs. SNB 0.25%), a gap of nearly 4 percentage points. However, with the RBA expected to cut further and the SNB likely on hold, the differential will narrow over the coming quarters, reducing AUD’s relative yield advantage. Directional Bias and Technical Outlook Recent Price Action: The AUD/CHF exchange rate has been volatile recently and Technical analysis shows a bearish bias Fundamental Drivers: Australia: Growth remains sluggish, and the RBA is expected to continue easing, which will pressure the AUD. Switzerland: The SNB’s dovish stance is already priced in, but global risk aversion and safe-haven flows may continue to support the CHF, especially if geopolitical or trade risks intensify. Global Sentiment: Uncertainty around global trade and tariffs could further benefit the defensive Swiss franc, while commodity-linked currencies like the AUD may remain under pressure. Summary Table Central Bank Policy Rate (May 2025) Outlook Impact on AUDCHF RBA 4.10% Further cuts expected Bearish for AUD SNB 0.25% Likely on hold Supportive for CHF Differential ~+3.85% (AUD over CHF) Narrowing in 2025 Reduces AUD advantage Conclusion: Directional Bias Short-term bias: Bearish AUDCHF. Despite a wide rate differential, the narrowing gap (due to RBA cuts) and persistent global risk aversion favor further downside. Medium-term: If the RBA accelerates cuts and global growth remains uncertain, AUDCHF could remain under pressure, with the CHF supported by its safe-haven status. In summary: The interest rate differential still favors the AUD, but this advantage is eroding. Economic headwinds and technical signals point to a bearish outlook for AUDCHF in the near term.
by Shavyfxhub
1
HIMS: More Upside IMO but let's Review All ScenariosBullish Scenario If HIMS continues higher, we may see a shallow pullback first, possibly around 46.75, which lines up with one of my key levels and the uptrend line drawn from late April. A slightly deeper dip into the 10EMA would also be a healthy reset. From there, a move back through last week’s high and a continuation up along the uptrend line would confirm strength and keep this breakout intact. If momentum holds, I’m watching for a move toward 65, which sits just below the all-time high. This area could act as resistance, gearing up to establish a new ATH. If we get a new ATH, I’d could see the momentum gain to the upside from the excitement, then an immediate period of digestion, either sideways or a decline as buyers take profits. Neutral Scenario A sideways range around the current zone would be healthy digestion after the recent run. This could look like price holding between the retest levels (roughly 52–56), bouncing in a tight range as momentum resets. In this case, I’d watch for signs of strength on dips and whether volume dries up during consolidation. Bearish Scenario If HIMS breaks below 46.75, it could open the door for more downside, especially if sellers step in and follow through. That level is still above the EMAs, so the structure wouldn’t shift significantly unless price dips below the 10EMA and 20EMA. If that happens, I’d watch the 38 zone as the next key support, a previous base where price could stabilize or build a new setup. Below that, it could decline further around 33, where the first uptrend line and gap up was established (which also lines up with the 50SMA).
NYSE:HIMSLong
by emanuelaelias
BUY The Major FX Pairs vs USD?? This is the FOREX Currency futures outlook for the week of May 12 - 16th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX Majors markets: USD Index EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPY USD Index finally finished the move to the Daily -FVG, as forecasted last week. Now, will the resistance hold, sending prices lower? I thinking so. Look to buy xxxUSD pairs. Sell USDxxx pairs. Wait for valid setups. CPI Data on Tuesday, so be careful. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6E1!
by RT_Money