Why Cost of Living is Still a Concern?Why is the cost of living still a concern, even though inflation has declined to 2.6%?
In many elections over the past two years, voters have ranked inflation as their top concern.
As we can see, the prices of many commodities remain above pre-COVID levels, with gold and meat prices currently much higher than they were at the inflation peak in 2022.
Consciously or unconsciously, both investors and consumers seem to feel that the cost of living will remain elevated for a prolonged period. Moreover, there is always a risk that inflation might creep back up again.
Feeder Cattle Futures & Options
Ticker: GF
Minimum fluctuation:
0.00025 per pound = $12.50
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Markey Analysis 12/3/24Welcome back to our daily market analysis. My name is miles johnson and today we identify some opportunities for EURGBP, EURUSD, and GBPJPY, with a potential cell opportunity for GBPCHF. The current market structure is a bit spotty and fundamental validity is lacking in some areas. However, I believe that you may be able to pull opportunities from the market if you are patient and remain aware.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-3: Gap ReversalToday's Gap Reversal pattern in a Counter-Trend mode suggests the SPY & QQQ will experience an opening price GAP - followed by a reversal of trend - possibly to the upside.
I believe we need to watch how the GAP forms at the open to determine if we are likely to see an upward or downward price trend throughout the rest of the day.
My analysis suggests an upside price move is more likely than a downward price move today for the SPY/QQQ.
Gold and Silver appear ready for a liftoff. Silver appears to be attempting to break above the recent high price levels and Gold should follow along.
I believe any Gold and Silver are poised for a big rally phase - but that rally will come when the US Dollar advance stalls and pulls downard a bit.
Bitcoin is still trending in a Flagging formation - setting up the Phase #2 of a Bullish Excess Phase Peak. We need to watch for a breakdown in price - possibly sending BTCUSD down to $80k-$82k.
I urge traders to stay cautious (Still). This is not the time to be aggressive as I still believe the low liquidity in the markets will present a very real risk of a volatility event (the Anomaly Event I keep suggesting is likely).
Remember, if you can't take the lumps, stop and rethink what you are trying to trade.
Get some.
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Daily watchlist for Tuesday and potential short in play.Morning forecast for the pairs i have on watch moving forward for the day, I currently took a short on the GBPCAD at the early hours of 5am EST in anticipation for a move lower. Key pairs that i am looking at are CADCHF, GBPUSD and NZDUSD. These are all very interesting pairs on the positions on the HTF and LTF structures.
Litecoin (LTC): Possible Smaller Correction Before Bullish Move!Litecoin has done a good movement to upper zones where the price just keeps on going and going. We are seeing a break of 2 major zones here where now we need to secure them, which means we might go for a smaller correction before a bigger movement to upper zones!
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Team
Focus on CADJPY: Pre-London Session AnalysisHi traders,
The focus today is on CADJPY during the pre-London session. I believe we have a bullish setup forming, often referred to as a Late Session Reversal or Late Day Reversal.
Price Analysis
The bullish move in CADJPY began late during the New York session yesterday.
The overall trend has been bearish, with the last leg showing a 3-wave extension below the accumulation zone.
Interestingly, the downtrend's origin was marked by a momentum high, suggesting that price should, at a minimum, retest that level.
So far, we've seen a completed bullish wavestructure with accumulation forming above High 3, indicating strong buyer interest.
The plan is to buy into the next bullish wavestructure once price breaks above the current internal momentum high.
Our initial target is 107.45 (the Momentum High).
Fibonacci Analysis
Using Fibonacci from the Low (0) to High (3), we see indications of further bullish potential.
The High (5) or Internal Momentum High stalled at T1 (23.6% extension) of the 0-3 wave.
This signals a likely continuation with a stronger second wave structure, aiming towards the Major Extension 1 (107.993)
Wishing you a successful trading week!
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
What’s Flowing: AUDUSD Short (CONTD)The AUDUSD is demonstrating a bearish breakdown, aligning with the current downward momentum. The pair has recently breached key support levels, with selling pressure increasing in the highlighted zones.
Key Observations:
1. Price Action: The pair is trading below critical resistance areas, moving toward the lower bounds of the channel.
2. Bearish Momentum: Clear signs of sellers dominating, with the price rejecting upper levels and closing near session lows.
Strategy:
Traders looking to capitalize on this movement can monitor the following:
• Short Entries: Ideal near minor pullbacks into resistance zones around 0.6480–0.6520.
• Targets: Downside levels near 0.6440 and below, depending on momentum strength.
• Stops: Tight stops above the 0.6520 resistance for effective risk management.
Stay cautious of any reversals or macroeconomic events impacting the Australian Dollar. For more refined strategies, reach out for insights tailored to managing AUDUSD flows effectively.
WHAT'S FLOWING: NIKKEI225 (BULLISH)The JP225 (Nikkei 225) is showing strong upside potential as it breaks higher from key consolidation zones, reflecting renewed buying interest and optimism in the Japanese equities market.
Key Observations:
1. Trend Shift:
• The index has successfully reclaimed critical levels around 38,580.85, confirming a bullish reversal.
• Price action is supported by higher lows and a breakout from the value area.
2. Volume Profile Insights:
• Point of Control (POC) at 38,580.85 acts as a springboard for further gains.
• Value Area High (VAH) at 38,770.50 signals the next resistance to monitor.
3. Bullish Targets:
• Initial target at 39,181.18.
• Extensions toward 39,750.00 and beyond align with the prevailing uptrend.
4. Risk Management:
• Stop Loss: Below 38,316.05 for downside protection.
• Take Profit: Incrementally at 39,181.18 and higher levels.
Market Context:
The JP225’s upward momentum aligns with broader equity market gains, potentially driven by favorable economic data and positive global sentiment. Traders should watch for any pullbacks to key support levels, offering re-entry opportunities.
Stay tuned for updates as we track this bullish move.
WHAT'S FLOWING: NIKKEI225 (BULLISH)The JP225 (Nikkei 225) is showing strong upside potential as it breaks higher from key consolidation zones, reflecting renewed buying interest and optimism in the Japanese equities market.
Key Observations:
1. Trend Shift:
• The index has successfully reclaimed critical levels around 38,580.85, confirming a bullish reversal.
• Price action is supported by higher lows and a breakout from the value area.
2. Volume Profile Insights:
• Point of Control (POC) at 38,580.85 acts as a springboard for further gains.
• Value Area High (VAH) at 38,770.50 signals the next resistance to monitor.
3. Bullish Targets:
• Initial target at 39,181.18.
• Extensions toward 39,750.00 and beyond align with the prevailing uptrend.
4. Risk Management:
• Stop Loss: Below 38,316.05 for downside protection.
• Take Profit: Incrementally at 39,181.18 and higher levels.
Market Context:
The JP225’s upward momentum aligns with broader equity market gains, potentially driven by favorable economic data and positive global sentiment. Traders should watch for any pullbacks to key support levels, offering re-entry opportunities.
Stay tuned for updates as we track this bullish move.
Capital will rotate back into Solana and Solana coinsWithout a doubt in my mind Solana was the altcoin that led crypto out of the bear market. In many metrics it has become the best performing chain. Raydium, Jito, Jupiter and others inc Phantom have be key players in this.
Now capital is clearing rotate away from the gains made in Solana to non Solana areas. Perhaps we see further rotation throughout crypto before either rotation to BTC or USD. Should rotation be BTC then I believe Solana could follow closest. Moving into prime position as leading altcoin in rotation this cycle.
Of course should Solana get this position again for next BTC leg up (whenever that is) then the Solana coins like RAY, KMNO, MNDE and others are likely to follow.
What’s Flowing: AUDUSD Short (CONTD.)The AUDUSD is demonstrating a bearish breakdown, aligning with the current downward momentum. The pair has recently breached key support levels, with selling pressure increasing in the highlighted zones.
Key Observations:
1. Price Action: The pair is trading below critical resistance areas, moving toward the lower bounds of the channel.
2. Bearish Momentum: Clear signs of sellers dominating, with the price rejecting upper levels and closing near session lows.
Strategy:
Traders looking to capitalize on this movement can monitor the following:
• Short Entries: Ideal near minor pullbacks into resistance zones around 0.6480–0.6520.
• Targets: Downside levels near 0.6440 and below, depending on momentum strength.
• Stops: Tight stops above the 0.6520 resistance for effective risk management.
Stay cautious of any reversals or macroeconomic events impacting the Australian Dollar. For more refined strategies, reach out for insights tailored to managing AUDUSD flows effectively.
Daily XU & GU Updates Nov 2024Hello Traders! November was a great trading month. Markets were trending which is favorable for us traders. Glad to see gold speculation and areas of interest targeted. December is now here and I will go into my trading cave and drop more educational videos on the channel. Thanks for the support. Safe trading.