pending monthly targets bearish scenario:
if any h4,D1 close below 3330-3320 stay bearish side and set targets towards 3280 then 3130 till base of rising wedge pattern on H4 timeframe.
bullish scenario:
if market again rejected at 3330 and remains above then buying up to 3430 where we have again selling sequence to 3280 then 3230 milestone. For understanding watch the video from start to end for the conformation
Community ideas
BRIEFING Week #21 : Watch out for ComoditiesHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
Gold at a Crossroads: Key Resistance Levels in FocusFrom the Trading Desk of InvestmentLive:
Gold has struggled to sustain any meaningful downward momentum, despite our broader bearish bias on the yellow metal. After a sharp decline the week before, last week saw gold stage an even stronger recovery, pushing higher and regaining lost ground.
However, this upward move was met with a significant technical barrier. Gold's rally was halted precisely at a confluence of resistance zones: the upper band of a falling channel on the weekly timeframe, intersecting with the upper band of a rising channel on the daily chart. This rare technical overlap has acted as a strong ceiling, pausing the bullish momentum for now.
The chart below illustrates this confluence clearly:
As seen, price action is currently squeezed between two opposing forces. A breakout above this resistance could spark a bullish continuation, while a rejection may lead to a sharp retracement—potentially all the way down to the lower boundary of the broader falling channel.
How gold reacts at this level will be crucial for shaping the trading outlook for the week ahead. A decisive move in either direction could define the trend for weeks to come.
BITCOIN - Bearish ALT / Crypto Stocks + Be a Supporter!Bitcoin not signalling anything significantly bearish, but there are plenty of related assets looking dicey in this area.
This is very much a contrarian analysis in a time where there are an army of Cycle Gurus and various content providers banging the drum for an "up only" market.
But the question is - are they really reading the chart or are they holding & hoping that the cycle repeats?
I am 100% out of the market for 2 days now and will let this area run.
And in that time altcoin hodlers are getting frustrated as their coins are dumping hard.
This is an early call and there can be lots of twists and turns; things may be looking different next week.
But for now the market is looking DANGEROUS and altcoin / Bitcoin mining etc hodlers will be suffering significant losses!
This will be my last video for a while in this critical area as I have a limit to the amount of content I will make for FREE websites.
But plenty of depth and contrarian TA within the video.
Enjoy👍.
Not advice
Review and plan for 26th May 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Quarterly results.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURJPYEUR/JPY Economic Data, Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–31, 2025)
Key Economic Data Releases (May 25–31, 2025)
Date Time (UTC) Region Event Impact Previous Consensus
May 25 18:40 USD Fed Chair Powell Speech High — —
May 25 23:01 EUR Consumer Confidence (May) Low 58.7 59.1
May 26 05:00 EUR PPI YoY (Apr) Low 0.5% 1.1%
May 26 05:00 JPY Leading Economic Index (Mar) Low 108.2 107.7
May 26 05:00 JPY Coincident Index (Mar) Low 117.3 116.0
May 26 10:00 EUR Balance of Trade (Mar) Low -€0.61B -€0.68B
May 28 06:45 EUR GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q1) Low -0.1% 0.1%
May 28 07:55 EUR Unemployment Rate (May) High 6.3% 6.3%
May 29 05:00 JPY Consumer Confidence (May) High 31.2 31.8
May 29 23:30 JPY Tokyo Core CPI YoY (May) Low 3.4% 3.5%
Key Focus: Eurozone unemployment (May 28) and Japanese consumer confidence (May 29) are high-impact events. Fed Chair Powell’s speech (May 25) may also influence USD-driven crosswinds in EUR/JPY.
10-Year Bond Yields (as of May 22–24, 2025)
Eurozone 10-Year Yield: 3.17% (up from 3.15% previous day, 3.10% YoY) .
Japan 10-Year JGB Yield: 1.57% (up from 1.53% previous day, 1.01% YoY) .
Interest Rate Differential:3.17%(EUR)−1.57% (JPY)=+1.60% the 3.17% (EUR)−1.57% (JPY)=+1.60%
Carry Trade Advantage
The 1.60% yield spread favors the euro, making EUR/JPY attractive for carry trades. Investors borrow JPY at low rates and invest in EUR-denominated assets to profit from the differential.
Key Considerations:
Upcoming Data Impact:
Stronger-than-expected Eurozone data (e.g., GDP, unemployment) could widen the yield spread, boosting EUR/JPY.
Higher Japanese CPI or consumer confidence might tighten BoJ policy, raising JGB yields and narrowing the spread.
Technical Outlook:
EUR/JPY is sensitive to risk sentiment. Geopolitical tensions or USD volatility (from Powell’s speech) could disrupt carry trade flows.
Historical Context:
The Eurozone yield is above its long-term average (2.48%) , while Japan’s remains below its average (2.06%) , reflecting divergent monetary policies.
Summary Table
Metric Eurozone (EURO Japan (JPY)
10-Year Bond Yield 3.17% 1.57%
Interest Rate Differential +1.60% —
Key Economic Events Unemployment, GDP Consumer Confidence, CPI
Conclusion
The EUR/JPY pair is supported by a 1.60% yield differential, favoring carry trades. However, upcoming Eurozone unemployment data (May 28) and Japanese consumer confidence (May 29) could shift bond yields and the exchange rate. Traders should monitor these releases alongside broader risk sentiment to assess carry trade viability.
#EURJPY
05-25-25 Risk Containment & Trading Strategy ExamplesSkilled Traders have learned to manage risk levels using techniques that allow them to preserve capital and move their assets towards future successful traders.
Some beginner traders get stuck trying to swing for the fences.
In this video, I try to share a common Fibonacci price/strategy technique where traders can attempt to limit risks while learning to identify efficient successful trade triggers.
Remember, taking a trade is the easy part. Protecting and growing your capital is much more difficult.
Please use the techniques in this video to learn how to protect and manage your capital.
Get some.
Happy Memorial Day.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AUDUSD - Structure Trading Using Candlestick CluesWHAT I'M LOOKING FOR
Price action has broken out to the upside & is currently holding at a previous level of structure resistance here on the $AUDUSD.
MY PREDICTION
Based on the candlesticks that have been produced at this level I'm predicting a brief period of relief which opens up the opportunity for a bearish counter-trend structure trade. If we do reverse at this level I would predict price to retest the previous (inside) level of structure resistance that should now act as potential support
HOW TO GET INVOLVED
Price has currently put in 2 Doji candles followed by a lower low & a lower close candle. This in itself is a good (and aggressive) reason for entry. The only concern that I have (in my personal trading) is that I am unable to get a quality risk reward.
If you have any questions, comments, or just want to share your views, please do so below!
Akil
USDCAD - Continuation Trading Using Structure, Fibs & VolumeWHAT I'M LOOKING AT
After ending the week with a lower low & a lower close below a recent level of structure support, I'm predicting a potential bearish trend continuation opportunity here on the $USDCAD.
MY PREDICTION
If this prediction is correct I would expect a move down to the $1.35 psychological level (or right around it) as we have a confluence from both our Fibonacci extension & a spike in horizontal volume.
HOW TO GET INVOLVED
To get involved in this move I'll be looking for a a potential retracement/pullback followed by a clear sign of reversal. The 2 price levels that I have on my radar are $1.3750's & $1.3800's
If you have any questions, comments, or just want to share your views, please do so below!
Akil
Market Update - 5/25/2025• Clear leading sectors are batteries, nuclear and alternative energy, material and metal names especially gold
• Breadth is declining, XLU, XLP outperforming, stocks lower, IWM rejected from the 100dma.
• These are all clear signals to me that we are in a bad environment. Last week I was 109% invested, but now down to only 10%, and only risking 0.3% on my trades. I'm fully in defensive mode. I'm only focusing on the best of the best setups in the above mentioned leading industries. I'm expecting weakness ahead
DODGE COIN 4HRKey Drivers of Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Movement in 2025
Based on recent analyses and forecasts, the main factors driving Dogecoin’s price action include:
1. Market Sentiment and FOMO (Fear of Missing Out)
Dogecoin’s price is heavily influenced by retail investor sentiment and social media hype, leading to rapid rallies fueled by FOMO.
2. Historical Price Cycles and Technical Patterns
DOGE has shown cyclical price behavior with sharp rallies followed by consolidation phases, often moving within defined ascending channels.
Technical indicators suggest Dogecoin is entering a major bullish phase similar to previous cycles, potentially leading to prices around $2 by the end of 2025 and even higher by 2028.
3. Increasing Adoption and Ecosystem Development
Growing developer activity and expanding use cases strengthen Dogecoin’s ecosystem, boosting its utility and long-term value.
Although originally a meme coin, Dogecoin is increasingly considered for micropayments and tipping, enhancing its real-world usage.
4. Speculation Around ETFs and Institutional Interest
Speculation about potential approval of Dogecoin ETFs by major financial firms could bring institutional capital, increasing liquidity and driving prices higher.
DOGECOINKey Drivers of Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Movement in 2025
Based on recent analyses and forecasts, the main factors driving Dogecoin’s price action include:
1. Market Sentiment and FOMO (Fear of Missing Out)
Dogecoin’s price is heavily influenced by retail investor sentiment and social media hype, leading to rapid rallies fueled by FOMO.
2. Historical Price Cycles and Technical Patterns
DOGE has shown cyclical price behavior with sharp rallies followed by consolidation phases, often moving within defined ascending channels.
3. Increasing Adoption and Ecosystem Development
Growing developer activity and expanding use cases strengthen Dogecoin’s ecosystem, boosting its utility and long-term value.
Although originally a meme coin, Dogecoin is increasingly considered for micropayments and tipping, enhancing its real-world usage.
4. Speculation Around ETFs and Institutional Interest
Speculation about potential approval of Dogecoin ETFs by major financial firms could bring institutional capital, increasing liquidity and driving prices higher
5. Volatility and Market Corrections
Dogecoin remains highly volatile, with forecasts indicating possible short-term corrections or pullbacks after rallies, especially near resistance zones.
Conclusion
Dogecoin’s price in 2025 is expected to be shaped by a combination of strong retail-driven momentum, technical breakout patterns, growing adoption, and potential institutional inflows via ETFs.
XRPXRP Drivers and Challenges in 2025
Key Drivers
Regulatory Resolution
Ripple’s long-running lawsuit with the U.S. SEC has largely been settled, with the fine reduced from $125 million to $50 million.
The court ruling that XRP is not a security and the ongoing regulatory clarity have removed major uncertainty, boosting investor confidence and enabling broader institutional participation.
The appointment of a crypto-friendly SEC chair further supports a positive regulatory environment.
Institutional and Real-World Adoption
XRP’s use in RippleNet for cross-border payments and as a bridge currency in Ripple Payments (formerly On-Demand Liquidity) drives real-world transaction volume.
However, adoption depends on how many financial institutions choose XRP over alternatives like Ripple’s stablecoin RLUSD or fiat-backed digital currencies.
Growing integration in banking and fintech sectors enhances XRP’s utility and demand.
ETF Speculation and Market Sentiment
Speculation around potential approval of XRP spot ETFs by major firms like BlackRock and Franklin Templeton has triggered buying interest.
Institutional capital inflows via ETFs could significantly increase liquidity and price.
Positive macroeconomic factors, including easing inflation and improved risk sentiment, support bullish momentum.
Whale Activity and Global Demand
Large holders accumulating XRP and increased trading volumes in markets like South Korea indicate strong investor interest.
Whale transfers to exchanges suggest positioning for potential price moves.
Technical Strength and Price Momentum
XRP has broken key resistance levels (e.g., $2.40), with bullish technical indicators supporting further upside.
Challenges
Competition Within Ripple Ecosystem
Some community concerns exist that XRP’s role is diminishing as Ripple promotes its stablecoin RLUSD, potentially reducing XRP’s core utility.
Regulatory and Legal Uncertainties
Although the main lawsuit is settled, final court approval of the settlement faces procedural hurdles.
Any delays or negative regulatory developments could dampen momentum.
Market Volatility and Overbought Conditions
XRP’s RSI and other indicators suggest overbought conditions, increasing the risk of short-term pullbacks.
Significant liquidations of long positions have occurred recently, which could trigger corrections.
Dependence on Institutional Adoption
The success of RippleNet and XRP’s price depends heavily on widespread institutional integration, which is not guaranteed.
Competing payment solutions and digital assets could limit XRP’s market share.
Summary
Drivers Challenges
Regulatory clarity and lawsuit settlement Potential procedural delays in settlement approval
Institutional adoption in cross-border payments Competition from Ripple stablecoins and other digital assets
ETF speculation and inflows Market volatility and overbought technicals
Whale accumulation and global demand Dependence on broad institutional integration
Positive technical momentum Regulatory risks remain in some jurisdictions
Conclusion
XRP’s price and adoption in 2025 are poised for growth driven by regulatory wins, institutional adoption, and ETF speculation. However, challenges such as ecosystem competition, regulatory procedural hurdles, and market volatility could temper gains. The balance of these factors will determine XRP’s trajectory, with optimistic forecasts suggesting potential prices between $2 and $10+ by the end of 2025 depending on how these drivers and challenges unfold.
SOLANAKey Drivers of Solana (SOL) Price Action in 2025
Network Usage and Adoption
Growing adoption in DeFi (Decentralized Finance) and NFT (Non-Fungible Token) sectors is a major price driver. Increased transaction volume and new dApps boost demand for SOL tokens.
Institutional interest and partnerships, such as Visa’s integration of Solana for USD Coin (USDC) payments, enhance credibility and usage.
Technological Progress
Solana’s high transaction speed and low fees remain competitive advantages over Ethereum and other blockchains.
Ongoing improvements in scalability, security, and infrastructure (e.g., Solana-based smartphones, integration with financial systems) support long-term growth.
Upgrades that improve network reliability and reduce outages are crucial, as past network insability has posed risks.
Market Sentiment and Investor Confidence
Positive news, such as new partnerships, product launches, or regulatory clarity, can boost investor confidence and drive price rallies.
Conversely, regulatory pressures, macroeconomic uncertainties, or network security concerns can trigger sell-offs or price stagnation.
Competition and Macro Risks
Competition from Ethereum, Layer 2 solutions, and other fast blockchains poses a challenge to Solana’s market share and price appreciation.
Broader crypto market trends and macroeconomic factors (interest rates, inflation, USD strength) influence overall sentiment and liquidity.
Longer-term bullish forecasts see Solana reaching $270–$280 by September 2025 and possibly exceeding $350–$370 by year-end, driven by ecosystem growth and institutional adoption.
Technical indicators suggest potential consolidation phases with possible breakouts if momentum builds.
Summary Table
Driver Impact on Solana Price
Network adoption (DeFi, NFTs) Increases demand and price
Technological upgrades Enhances scalability and reliability
Institutional interest Boosts liquidity and investor confidence
Market sentiment & news Drives short-term volatility
Competition & macro risks Can limit upside or cause corrections
Technical support/resistance Guides price action and breakout points
Conclusion
Solana’s price action in 2025 is primarily driven by network usage growth, technological improvements, and institutional adoption, balanced against competition and macroeconomic uncertainties. Positive developments in DeFi, NFTs, and partnerships support bullish scenarios, while regulatory and security risks pose downside challenges. Technical analysis suggests key price levels to watch for potential breakouts or corrections throughout the year.
GBPJPY Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPJPY analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.