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CETUS Hack Giving Opportunities Within SUICRYPTOCAP:SUI SUI is one of the fastest growing L1 chains. Previously extreme intra SUI dominance within swapping volume by KUCOIN:CETUSUSDT CETUS. This hack is a direct threat to the confidence of not just the application but the chain itself just like Ethereum was exposed during the MakerDAO hack. Volume market wants to know their funds are secure to certain degree and predictable. Volume flow is more than fine with centralisation, esp with low barriers. Should the deposits be mostly secured and exploit fixed then it can bring confidence roaring back not just to CETUS but more importantly, SUI. CETUS dominance within SUI is falling to rising applications. My favourite is Bluefin with its low barriers to account creation like google login. KUCOIN:BLUEUSDT BLUE has rising dominance within SUI volume market.
Long
by SoftQuant
DOLLARThe US Dollar Index (DXY) Yearly Support and Potential Sell-Off to 96 Zone: Role of 10-Year Bond Yields and Interest Rates 1. Technical Outlook: DXY Support Breakdown and 96$ Target and Critical Support Levels. The DXY recently breached the 200-week moving average (200-WMA), a key multi-year support level, signaling a potential trend reversal . A sustained break below 98.00 could trigger a steeper decline toward 96.00-95$ long-term uptrend ascending trendline acting as 6months support floor connecting 2008, 2011 and 2020, . However, analyst projections also highlight the 96–95 zone as a plausible target if Fed rate cuts and macroeconomic headwinds persist . Current Context (May 2025): The DXY is testing 98.4 on weekly charts, with bears eyeing lower supports amid weakening USD sentiment . A drop to ascending trend line on 6months would align with forecasts tied to Fed policy shifts and global currency strength . 2. 10-Year Bond Yield and Interest Rate Dynamics Direct Relationship with the Dollar: The 10-year Treasury yield and USD share a strong correlation: higher yields attract foreign capital, boosting dollar demand, while lower yields weaken the currency . As of May 2025, the 10-year yield hovers near 4.54%, down from peaks but still elevated compared to global peers . Impact of Rate Cuts and Policy Divergence: Fed Rate Expectations: Markets price in five Fed rate cuts by late 2025, which would reduce yield advantages and pressure the dollar . Policy Divergence: The ECB and BoJ are expected to maintain or ease policies, while the Fed delays cuts, temporarily supporting USD. However, prolonged easing could reverse this advantage . 3. Key Drivers of Dollar Weakness Toward 96-95 ascending trendline Bearish Factors: Yield Decline: A drop in the 10-year yield (e.g., due to Fed cuts or recession fears) would erode USD appeal. For every 1% decline in yields, the DXY could fall 3–5% . Risk Sentiment: A "soft landing" scenario or rally in risk assets (stocks, commodities) may reduce safe-haven USD demand . Tariff and Geopolitical Risks: Escalating US-China/EU trade tensions could weaken the USD if global growth fears dominate . Bullish Counterpoints: Hawkish Fed Surprises: Strong US data (e.g., inflation, jobs) may delay rate cuts, keeping yields and the dollar elevated . Safe-Haven Flows: Renewed geopolitical/market turmoil could revive USD demand despite lower yields . 4. Summary: Interplay Between Yields, Rates, and DXY Factor Impact on DXY 10-Year Yield Rises Strengthens USD (investor inflows) 10-Year Yield Falls Weakens USD (capital outflows) Fed Rate Cuts Pressures USD (narrows yield gap) ECB/BoJ Easing Supports USD (policy divergence) Path to 96: A combination of Fed rate cuts, declining 10-year yields, and stronger global currencies (EUR, JPY) could drive the DXY toward 96–95 . Reversal Risks: Hawkish Fed pivots or safe-haven demand amid crises may stall the decline. Conclusion The DXY’s potential drop to the 96–95 zone hinges on sustained declines in the 10-year Treasury yield and Fed rate cuts, compounded by technical breakdowns. While policy divergence and safe-haven flows offer temporary USD support, broader macroeconomic shifts (e.g., tariff risks, global growth) could accelerate the sell-off. Traders should monitor yields, Fed rhetoric, and technical levels on demand floor and supply roof for confirmation of bearish or bullish momentum
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
NZDUSD 3MONTHS CHARTNZD/USD Interest Rate Differential, 10-Year Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–30, 2025) Current 10-Year Bond Yields New Zealand 10-Year Bond Yield: 4.70% (as of May 21, 2025) . US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.54% (as of May 22, 2025) . Interest Rate Differential (IRD) The yield spread between New Zealand and US 10-year bonds is:4.70%(NZD)−4.54%(USD)=+0.16% the 4.70% (NZD)−4.54% (USD)=+0.16% This modest differential slightly favors the New Zealand dollar, creating a limited carry trade opportunity. Carry Trade Advantage Investors can borrow USD at lower US rates and invest in higher-yielding NZD assets, earning the 0.16% yield spread. The strategy is supported by New Zealand’s elevated bond yields despite recent Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rate cuts. However, the narrow spread reduces potential returns compared to higher-yielding currency pairs. Key Events and Risks (May 25–30, 2025) RBNZ Monetary Policy Meeting (May 27–28): Markets expect a 25 basis point rate cut to 3.50% , which could pressure NZD yields lower and narrow the IRD. Further easing signals may weaken NZD, offsetting carry trade gains. US Economic Data and Fed Policy: US inflation data and Fed Chair Powell’s speeches could influence USD strength. Traders currently price in five Fed rate cuts by year-end , which may limit USD upside. China Trade Dynamics: New Zealand’s trade ties with China (its largest partner) make NZD sensitive to US-China trade tensions. Progress in tariff negotiations could support NZD . Summary Table Metric New Zealand (NZD) United States (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.70% 4.54% Interest Rate Differential +0.16% (NZD over USD) — Carry Trade Appeal Modest, but narrowing — Conclusion The 0.16% yield advantage for NZD over USD provides a limited carry trade opportunity. However, the upcoming RBNZ rate cut (May 27–28) and potential Fed easing could narrow the spread further. NZD/USD remains vulnerable to: RBNZ policy: Further rate cuts may reduce NZD’s yield appeal. US-China trade developments: Escalating tensions could pressure NZD due to its reliance on Chinese trade. While the carry trade offers marginal gains, traders should prioritize risk management amid volatility from central bank decisions and geopolitical risks.
by Shavyfxhub
USDJPYUSD/JPY Interest Rate Differential, 10-Year Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 26–30, 2025) Current 10-Year Bond Yields US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.54% (as of May 21–22, 2025) . Japan 10-Year JGB Yield: 1.56% (as of May 23, 2025) . Interest Rate Differential (IRD) The yield spread between US and Japanese 10-year bonds is:4.54%(US)−1.56%(JPY)=+2.98% 4.54% (US)−1.56% (JPY)=+2.98% This significant differential favors the US dollar, making USD/JPY attractive for carry trades. Carry Trade Advantage Investors borrow low-yielding JPY (at ~0.5% BoJ policy rate) to invest in higher-yielding USD assets, earning the ~2.98% yield spread as profit. The strategy is supported by the Fed’s relatively hawkish stance compared to the BoJ’s cautious approach, despite Japan’s rising inflation (core CPI at 3.5% in April 2025) . Bank of Japan Policy Signals: Rising inflation and revised Leading Economic Index (108.1 for March 2025) may pressure the BoJ to tighten policy, narrowing the yield differential. Market expectations for BoJ rate hikes could strengthen JPY, reducing carry trade appeal. USD/JPY has fallen below 143.00 amid JPY strength , but oversold conditions suggest potential short-term corrections. US-China trade tensions and tariffs may introduce volatility, affecting risk sentiment. Summary Table Metric United States (USD) Japan (JPY) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.54% 1.56% Interest Rate Differential +2.98% (USD over JPY) — Carry Trade Appeal Favorable for long USD/JPY — Conclusion The ~2.98% yield differential strongly supports USD/JPY carry trades, but traders should monitor: BoJ policy shifts: Potential rate hikes could narrow the spread and weaken USD/JPY. Fed rhetoric and US data: Hawkish signals may sustain USD strength, while dovish surprises could reduce the yield advantage. Technical levels: A break below 142.00 could signal further JPY strength, eroding carry trade profits. While the carry trade remains attractive, volatility from policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks requires careful risk management during this period.. #GOLD #FOREX #USDJPY#DOLLAR #YEN
by Shavyfxhub
1
GOLD GOLD ,in other to add more buy position we need a break above 3364 double confluence sell zone. the ascending trendline helped keep price in a bullish direction and supported 3323-3326 demand floor to where we are trading at 3341 as at time of reporting and the next impulse should embrace 3364 zone. break and close more buy confirmation. on the sell side a breakout from the demand ascending trendline will kiss 3304-3308 and break below will attract more sell position.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
2
Microsoft - This might be the ultimate breakout!Microsoft - NASDAQ:MSFT - will break the all time high: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) If you wonder why Microsoft has been rallying +15% this month, market structure will give you an answer. In fact, the recent bullish break and retest was totally expected, and if we take into account the recent quite strong bullish behaviour, an all time high breakout will follow soon. Levels to watch: $450 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by basictradingtv
3
Bitcoin - Approaching the all time high!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - will break out again: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) It has been quite some time since we saw such a strong move on Bitcoin. But finally - not totally unexpected to be honest - Bitcoin is following its destiny and about to create another new all time high. Patience is key and strategy, risk and mindset will help you master the volatility. Levels to watch: $100.000 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
20
Xrp - New all time highs will come next!Xrp - CRYPTO:XRPUSD - is preparing for new all time highs: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Xrp has clearly been trading sideways for the past 8 years. Meanwhile, market structure is respected perfectly and it seems to be just a matter of time until Xrp will create new all time highs. With the recent bullish break and retest, this scenario becomes even more likely. Levels to watch: $3.0 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:XRPUSDLong
by basictradingtv
8
Weekly trading plan for Solana In this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance The price is near the Pivot point, we can also see a trend line from which the price has already bounced, so if it is broken, we can expect a deep correction Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you The author's opinion may differ from yours, Consider your risks. Wish you successful trades ! mura
BINANCE:SOLUSD
by trading_mura
EUR/USD VENTAS para hoy dia fesstivo en EstEUR/USD in SELL Today Hello, traders, Today I’m taking sell positions on the EUR/USD pair. Despite the U.S. holiday, which means lower volume, I see a clear opportunity for a continued bearish move. Price is showing weakness, and my technical analysis supports a further drop. Caution: because it’s a holiday, the market may show erratic moves or liquidity traps. Proper risk management is essential. This is my personal entry for today, and I expect more downside pressure throughout the day. Wishing everyone good pips.
Short
by edisonjavierrey