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Where is the Stock Market going tomorrow? Trade Journal 05/19/25EOD accountability report: +500 Sleep: 3.5 hours , Overall health: tired What was my initial plan? Short if market went under 5920, long with X7 buy signals, and short at 5968 area, and long if we retrace to 5925s overall market went accordingly to Bullish structure and x7 buy signal. that's the whole reason of the system, to let you know what the market is and all you need to do is follow accordingly instead of fighting it. Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System — 7:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! — 9:36 AM VXAlgo X7 Buy Signal, ticker = NQ1!, price = 21281.25 — 2:00 PM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal — 2:35 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! Next day plan--> Above 5920/5900 = Bullish, if we lose 48min support at 5928 --> 5875 next Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by WallSt007
USOILUSOIL (WTI Crude) Fundamentals – May 2025 1. Supply and Demand Dynamics Global Oil Demand: The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects global oil demand growth will slow from 990,000 barrels per day (bpd) in Q1 to around 650,000 bpd for the rest of 2025, reflecting economic headwinds and record-high efficiency gains. The IEA’s latest report (May 2025) estimates total demand will rise by 741,000 bpd in 2025, reaching 103.9 million bpd, with emerging markets (China, India, Africa, Latin America, Middle East) driving most of the growth. OECD demand is expected to decline, while non-OECD demand remains geographically diversified. Global Oil Supply: Global crude oil and liquids supply is forecast to average 104.4 million bpd in 2025, up 1.8 million bpd (+1.7%) from 2024. Non-OPEC+ countries (U.S., Brazil, Guyana, Canada) are expected to contribute most of the supply growth, potentially resulting in a supply surplus. OPEC+ extended its 3.7 million bpd supply cuts to the end of 2026, but voluntary cuts will be gradually phased out starting April 2025. Supply-Demand Balance: The EIA expects a supply surplus in 2025 as non-OPEC+ supply growth outpaces demand increases, especially with OPEC+ phasing out some cuts. 2. Inventory and Refinery Data U.S. Inventories: U.S. commercial crude oil inventories fell by 2.7 million barrels at the end of April, now about 6% below the five-year seasonal average. Gasoline and distillate inventories remain below average, suggesting tightness in refined product markets. U.S. refineries are operating at 88.6% capacity, with robust input and flat-to-lower gasoline production. 3. Geopolitical and Macro Factors Trade Policy and Geopolitics: Recent easing of U.S.-China trade tensions and progress in U.S.-Iran nuclear talks have improved risk sentiment and supported oil prices. Hopes for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire and de-escalation in the Middle East have reduced risk premiums, but the market remains sensitive to any setback in negotiations. OPEC+ Compliance: OPEC+ compliance with production cuts was high (112%) in March 2025, tightening supply and helping prices rebound from recent lows. 4. Price Trends and Outlook Current Prices: WTI crude is trading around $62.80–$63.50, rebounding from recent lows but still well below early 2025 peaks. Price volatility remains high (Brent’s 30-day realized volatility peaked at 35%), reflecting sensitivity to geopolitical headlines and inventory data. Forecasts: J.P. Morgan maintains a Brent forecast of $66/bbl for 2025, with expectations for prices to remain under pressure due to supply surplus, but potential for mid-$70s if trade optimism and OPEC+ discipline persist. Futures markets price WTI at an average of $75/bbl for 2025, though this is above current spot prices. Summary Table Factor Current Status/Impact (May 2025) Global Demand Growth Slowing, driven by emerging markets Global Supply Rising, led by non-OPEC+ (US, Brazil, Guyana) OPEC+ Policy Extended cuts, gradual phase-out US Inventories Below 5-year average, supporting prices Geopolitical Risk Lower, but market remains headline-sensitive WTI Price Range $62.80–$63.50 (recent), futures avg $75/bbl Volatility High, driven by macro and geopolitical uncertainty Conclusion USOIL fundamentals for May 2025 reflect a market balancing slower demand growth, robust non-OPEC+ supply, and cautious optimism on geopolitics. Ongoing OPEC+ discipline and below-average inventories provide some support, but the risk of a supply surplus and persistent volatility keep prices capped. Watch for trade policy shifts, OPEC+ compliance, and inventory trends as key catalysts for the month.
TVC:USOILShort
by Shavyfxhub
Xrp - Prepare for at least a +50% move!Xrp - CRYPTO:XRPUSD - will head much higher: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Xrp has perfectly been respecting market structure lately and despite the significant volatility, the overall crypto market remains bullish. Especially Xrp is about to perform a bullish break and retest, which - if confirmed by bullish confirmation - could lead to a rally of about +50%. Levels to watch: $3.0 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:XRPUSDLong
by basictradingtv
13
SPY quick summary and watch list break downIn this video, I break down the current SPY setup with a quick summary of where I believe the market stands. Then I go over a few stocks from my watchlist, some of which I’m currently invested in: JD: Took a loss here, not every trade works out, and that’s part of the process. PAM: I could’ve added to the trade, but I chose to wait for a potential pullback to get a better entry. EXEL: Currently overextended, so I’m expecting a deeper pullback before considering any new position. I also opened two new trades: BSX: Broke out of a flag on Friday, ideally, I should’ve entered then, but since price was still in range today, I took the entry. CPRX: Similar setup and timing. I managed to enter at a level still close to Friday’s breakout. As of now, the general market remains strong, and I’ll continue trading with that momentum in mind. Quick note: Apologies, I only had about 20 minutes to record, and I didn’t realize I was running out of time. At the end, I briefly shared my stock selection process, which is based on: Weekly chart proximity to the 10 EMA, Followed by daily price action analysis to determine entries and validate the setup. Thanks for watching, hope you enjoy the video and get some value from it!
NASDAQ:CPRXLong
by GonzooTrading
GBPAUDGBP/AUD Interest Rate Differential and Directional Bias (May–June 2025) Interest Rate Differential Bank of England (BoE): Policy rate: 4.25% (cut from 4.5% in May 2025). Outlook: Further cuts likely, but pace depends on inflation (currently 2.6% YoY) and growth (Q1 GDP: 0.6% QoQ). Markets expect 1–2 more cuts in 2025, potentially lowering rates to 4.0% by year-end. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA): Policy rate: 3.85% (cut by 25 bps on May 20, 2025). Outlook: Two additional cuts expected in 2025 (to 3.35%) due to subdued core inflation (2.9% in Q1) and global trade risks. Differential: +0.40% in favor of GBP, narrowing as RBA cuts outpace BoE easing. Key Economic Data and Drivers United Kingdom GDP Growth: Q1 2025 growth outperformed expectations at 0.6% QoQ, though manufacturing and industrial production lagged. Inflation: March CPI fell to 2.6%, but energy-driven price pressures may push it to 3.5% in Q3 2025. Australia Employment: April jobs data showed 20.9K jobs added (vs. 32.2K expected), with unemployment steady at 4.1%. Trade Risks: U.S.-China tariff ceasefire reduces immediate pressure, but export reliance on China leaves AUD vulnerable. Directional Bias Short-Term (Days–Weeks): Bearish GBPAUD RBA Aggression: Immediate post-cut AUD weakness expected, but faster RBA easing vs. BoE could narrow the rate gap. Growth Divergence: UK’s stronger GDP vs. Australia’s reliance on China may support GBP. Long-Term (6+ Months): Bullish GBPAUD Rate Differential Stability: BoE’s slower cuts vs. RBA’s aggressive easing may widen the gap, favoring GBP. Commodity Risks: AUD remains exposed to China’s economic slowdown and iron ore price volatility. Summary Table Time Frame Bias Key Drivers Technical Levels Short-Term Bearish RBA cuts, technical breakdown 2.0565 (S), 2.0732 (R) Medium-Term Neutral/Bullish UK growth resilience, channel support 2.0490–2.0720 (Channel) Long-Term Bullish Diverging central bank policies, AUD risks 2.1000+ (Target) Critical Factors to Monitor BoE Communications: Signals on future cuts (next meeting: June 19, 2025). RBA Policy: Additional cuts in 2025 (next decision: June 3). UK Inflation (May 29): Core PCE data critical for BoE’s path. Conclusion: GBP/AUD faces near-term bearish pressure from RBA cuts and technical breakdowns, but medium-to-long-term trends favor GBP due to slower BoE easing and UK growth resilience. Watch for shifts in central bank rhetoric and key technical levels for directional confirmation.
by Shavyfxhub
How to Manage Slippage on TradingViewThis tutorial explains what slippage is and how it relates to market and limit orders as well as times when you might expect higher than normal slippage. Disclaimer: There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary. Stop-loss orders are submitted as market orders and may be executed at prices significantly different from the intended stop level, particularly during periods of high volatility or limited liquidity. Stop-limit orders carry the risk of not being executed at all if the market does not reach the limit price. It is important to understand that neither type of order guarantees execution at a specific price. Market conditions can change rapidly due to scheduled or unexpected news events, and even quiet markets may experience sudden disruptions. These factors can affect trade execution in ways that may not be predictable or controllable.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by OptimusFutures
5
CADJPY I Long Opportunity to Middle of the ChannelWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** CADJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
2
Using Advanced Hybrid Leading Indicators for Swing Trading The professional side of the stock market has undergone massive infrastructural changes in the past 5 years. These changes are unknown to most retail traders and that can pose major problems for you success and profitability no matter what trading style you use. A trading style is a type of trading that has specific parameters to which strategies can be applied based on the current market condition. Currently, we have a Bottoming Market Condition that is poised to shift to a Moderately UpTrending Market condition. The 3 sets of data used in stock indicators are Price Time and Quantity. Most retail traders use outdated price and time indicators from the 80's and 90's. Unfortunately these indicators no longer work in the modern, millisecond transaction market which is dominated by Dark Pools and professional traders. Hybrid Leading indicators use all 3 data sets in a complex mathematical formula that provides a leading indicator for you to use. The Chaikin Oscillator is an excellent Hybrid Leading Indicator that has a CENTER LINE oscillation which provides more information about price direction, change of direction, duration of the run up or down and leads price. An indicator that LEADS price means that it signals a day or a minute ahead of the change of direction of price on the candlestick charts. This is invaluable to swing and day traders who need to be able to quickly sell or buy-to-cover to net the highest profits from each trade while reducing risk factors of whipsaw action especially intraday. Intraday traders must use indicators that signal ahead of the price direction change. Unfortunately, most traders are using outdated price and time cross overs which ALWAYS lag as the price must move down or up before the crossover can form on the indicator chart. To improve your profitability start using center line indicators that have all 3 data sets within the mathematical formula.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
7
NAS 100 I Cautiously Bullish Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
BLACKBULL:NAS100Long
by BKTradingAcademy
23
Where is the Stock Market going tomorrow? & Trade Journal 05/16EOD accountability report: +1106 Sleep: 6 hours , Overall health: Good We keep chugging up for no reason, breaking past all resistance points on fume but friday after hours shows that we are starting to lose cruical supports and they were just squeezing the bears. Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System — 5/16/2025 9:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! — 5/16/2025 9:50 AM VXAlgo YM X1 Buy Signal — 5/16/2025 12:03 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! — 5/16/2025 1:40 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal(double sell) C+ set up — 5/16/2025 3:30 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal (Triple sell) B+ set up Next day plan--> Above 5920/5900 = Bullish, if we lose 5920 --> 48min support at 5900, if 5900 is lost then we can go to 5800. Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007