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RBNZ rate decision coming upKeep your eyes on the rate cut tomorrow by the RBNZ and on the NZD reaction to all of it. We have an interesting technical set up building on FX_IDC:NZDUSD . Let's dig in...
MARKETSCOM:NZDUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Weekly trading plan for SUIIn this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
Weekly trading plan for ADA In this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
A triangle-formed correction can be seen on the chart, so consider the risks at the price extremes
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
Weekly trading plan for XRPIn this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
XRP looks weak against the rest of the market, price under the pivot point level
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
Trump coin forms an ascending triangle patternTrump Coin failed to hold its bullish breakout after unexpected EU tariff news. The setup had a well-defined stop, limiting losses as price reversed. A new ascending triangle may be forming, offering potential for future upside if resistance breaks.
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EURJPY could be about to soarThe price is stuck in a large ascending triangle pattern. But with stocks moving higher, cryptocurrencies gaining momentum, and the trade war easing, could this pattern finally break? Watch the video to see which levels matter.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Bitcoin has successfully reached a new all-time highBut the real question is: Is this the end of the bullish trend, or is there still room for further growth?
To answer that, we need to consider several key factors:
Weekly candles, RSI, price momentum, and most importantly, the overall market structure.
To increase the accuracy of the analysis, I’ve also reviewed Tether dominance, which I’ve covered in detail in the video.
the full analysis is ready — just watch it carefully.
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
S&P 500 and the 200-Day Moving Average – A Simple Trend SignalLooking at the daily chart of the S&P 500 with the 200-day moving average (turquoise line), you could build a very basic—but often effective—trend-following system:
✅ Price above the 200-day MA = Bull trend
❌ Price below the 200-day MA = Bear trend
🔄 Price oscillating around it = Possible trend change
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📊 Current Setup:
We’ve broken sharply below the 200-day MA and have seen only a minor bounce back above it—with little follow-through. This kind of price action typically suggests a weakening bull trend.
⚠️ If we break below the 200-day MA again (currently around 5773), I’d start viewing that as a bearish signal. Right now, I’m watching this level very closely, as the next move could offer a strong clue about the market’s direction.
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EURUSDEUR/USD 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rate Differential, and Carry Trade Advantage (May 27–30, 2025)
1. Current 10-Year Bond Yields
Eurozone 10-Year Government Bond Yield: Approximately 3.11% (as of May 23, 2025).
US 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield: Approximately 4.54% (as of May 21–22, 2025).
2. Interest Rate Differential (IRD)
The yield spread between US and Eurozone 10-year bonds is:4.54%(US)−3.11(EUR)=+1.43%
4.54% (US)−3.11% (EUR)=+1.43%
This differential favors the US dollar, as US bonds offer higher yields compared to Eurozone bonds.
3. Carry Trade Advantage
The +1.43% yield differential makes it attractive for investors to borrow in euros (lower-yielding currency) and invest in US dollar assets (higher-yielding), earning the interest rate spread.
This carry trade tends to support USD strength against EUR, especially if global risk sentiment remains stable and interest rate expectations hold.
However, factors such as geopolitical risks, Fed rate cut expectations, and ECB monetary policy also influence the sustainability of this advantage.
4. Additional Context for May 27–30, 2025
Markets are pricing in two 25-basis-point Fed rate cuts by year-end, which may reduce the US yield advantage gradually.
Eurozone inflation is easing, and ECB officials signal cautious policy, potentially limiting Eurozone yield increases.
Trade tensions and fiscal concerns in both regions add volatility to bond yields and exchange rates.
Summary Table
Metric Eurozone (EUR) United States (USD)
10-Year Bond Yield ~3.11% ~4.54%
Interest Rate Differential - +1.43% (USD over EUR)
Carry Trade Implication Lower yield Higher yield; carry trade favorable for USD
Conclusion
The EUR/USD interest rate differential of about 1.43% in favor of the US dollar supports USD strength through carry trade flows during May 27–30, 2025. While this yield advantage incentivizes borrowing in euros and investing in US assets, market dynamics such as Fed rate cut expectations and ECB policy caution could moderate this effect. Traders should watch bond yields, central bank signals, and geopolitical developments to assess the carry trade’s ongoing viability.
EUR/NZD Short and CAD/JPY ShortEUR/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
CAD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
GOLD As of now gold is trading at $3,321.60 per ounce, down $44.20 or about 1.31% on the day. The session has seen a low of $3,317.40 . This pullback follows recent volatility, with gold having reached a yearly high of supply roof and yearly demand floor .
Gold is experiencing a correction after a strong rally last week, which was driven by safe-haven demand amid US economic uncertainty and a weaker dollar.
the break out of the 1hr ascending trendline and retest is a sell confirmation with target 3287,3304,
The short-term trend is slightly bearish with strong supplyroof at $3,365–$3,371; a move above this could target $3,435 and the all-time high at $3,500.
The price action is being influenced by easing trade tensions (such as the delay of US tariffs on Europe), expectations of Fed rate cuts, and ongoing geopolitical risks.
the sudden rise of dxy yesterday on the descending trendline demand floor helped restore temporary buying power
Summary:
Gold is currently consolidating after a recent surge, with prices slightly lower today.its best to watch further US economic data and Fed signals, as well as geopolitical developments, to determine the next significant move with a clear directional bias.
#gold #chart
GBPUSD Trade IdeaThe GBPUSD pair is showing a strong bullish trend on the 4-hour chart. However, the price currently looks overextended. This suggests the market may be due for a corrective pullback.
I’m watching for a pullback into a discounted zone near the fair value gap.
If the price moves back into this zone, I’ll look for a bullish break of market structure as a signal to enter long.
This plan emphasizes patience and the importance of waiting for a favorable entry rather than chasing an extended move. As always, this is my personal strategy and not financial advice. Proper risk management and discretion are essential.