Gold Market Weekly Analysis | XAUUSD Price action OutlookGold prices experienced a nearly 1% decline last week, largely influenced by a series of US economic data releases. Mixed signals from consumer and producer inflation reports kept markets cautious, but the lower-than-expected Initial Jobless Claims report strengthened investor confidence in a potential Federal Reserve rate cut at its December 17-18 meeting. Currently, traders are assigning a 93% probability to a 25 basis points (bps) rate reduction.
Next week promises to be eventful, with key US economic releases such as S&P Global Flash PMIs, Retail Sales, Industrial Production, and the core PCE Price Index, alongside the pivotal FOMC policy decision. These will play a critical role in shaping gold's trajectory.
In this video, I dive deep into the XAUUSD chart, breaking down technical and fundamental factors to help us navigate the upcoming trading week.
📢 Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a professional before making trading decisions.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldPriceForecast #FOMC #RateCut #ForexTrading #MarketOutlook
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USD/CAD H1 | Potential bullish bounceUSD/CAD is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.4209 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 1.4171 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 1.4285 which is a level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection level.
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Euro H4 | Overlap resistance at 50% Fiboancci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.0537 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 1.0604 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 1.0401 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBP/AUD Short, CAD/CHF Long, NZD/JPY Short and EUR/JPY ShortGBP/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach forms, 15 min risk entry within it.
CAD/CHF Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break above area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
The chart reflects bullish price action supported by key elementDetailed Analysis of the Chart:
Yellow Trend Line (Bullish Bias):
Price remains in a clear uptrend (yellow lines), moving consistently higher while respecting the ascending support trend line.
This bullish trend is reinforced by multiple Bullish Fair Value Gaps (FVG) that acted as strong support zones for upward momentum.
Volume Observations:
Volume increases during significant upward movements (e.g., 3.47M, 3.755M), indicating institutional support for price at these levels.
However, volume slightly declines near the hammer candle at a recent high, signaling potential exhaustion.
Key Levels:
. 50 Fibonacci Extension: Price is approaching this level, which may act as a short-term resistance.
If price fails to break above this extension, a pullback to test previous Bullish FVG zones is likely.
Red Trend Line (Bearish Scenario):
If price breaks below the yellow uptrend and Monday’s open confirms bearish momentum, the red trend line highlights a potential reversal setup.
A Bearish FVG forming after this breakdown would provide confluence for short entries upon a retest of the red FVG.
Hammer Candle:
The recent hammer at a high could signify a potential reversal signal. This often occurs when buyers fail to push prices higher, allowing sellers to gain control.
Bias Sentiment for Monday’s Open
Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (Primary Bias)
If price respects the yellow trend line and maintains its bullish structure, expect a continuation upward. A break above the .50 Fibonacci Extension would confirm this sentiment.
Entry Idea: Look for long positions near the bullish FVG zones or upon a clean break of recent highs.
Scenario 2: Bearish Reversal (Secondary Bias)
If price opens bearish and breaks below the yellow uptrend, the focus shifts to the red trend line and the Bearish FVG retest.
Entry Idea: Wait for a Bearish FVG to form on a pullback and consider short positions on a confirmed retest for lower liquidity zones.
Summary
Primary Bias: Bullish continuation with price maintaining the yellow uptrend.
Secondary Bias: A break of the yellow trend line signals bearish momentum, with the red trend line and Bearish FVG retest as confluence for short positions.
Key Focus: Monitor price action near the yellow trend line support, .50 Fibonacci Extension, and any bearish signals (FVG) if Monday opens weak.
Come back Monday at 9am for a market and chart update.
BUY EURGBP - Cross reference currency pairs to add confluenceTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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NZDCAD FORECASTTraders! We have started this week with a lot of energy guys, the market itself is looking good. In this pair everything is looking good however we are waiting for the price to complete structure. This will be right time for us to position in the market. Have a good start of the week.
US 30 Resting around Support Line at 43800 with a Bearish Set upUS 30 is resting on support at 43800 with the potential to fall. With no clear indication of strong buyers ahead. The US30 is likely to fall for the first half of the week only to recover and go Bullish towards the end of the week. The rate at which the US30 will fall will be based on how fast it gets to the lower support at 43360 which is the strongest zone for buyers to enter the market again.
For shorts, look for price to break 43777 and retest that zone for a TP to 43360 area.
For buys, look for price to break the trend line and retest the same trend line to rise.
The short is more likely than the buy.
If you are already in a short you can hold it.
Follow me for more tips and tricks or comment below!
Crude Oil (102 points LONG +4R) Secured for DA HOUSE!!!NYMEX:CL1!
'2025 For a gr8ter reward, we must go to the valley to CONQUER!! #500K
Please take the time to watch how I predicted before hand that we would catch LONG on Crude OIl if we could see a specific sequence of events take place in PA therefor compelling us to enter the market LONG.... We did just that and the trade ran all the way to TP. Stats; 102pts LONG +4R Secured!! Well Managed, on to the next HP SU! +Shalom #APBTG #BHM500K
Remember 'Our Profession is to Manage the downside costs of Printing HIGHSIDE returns of $$$ consistently, done correctly; Well abundance awaits us.' -500KTrey
Bitcoin Market Update: Why I’m Still Not Buying the Hype🚀 Bitcoin’s Short-Lived Breakout? Bitcoin is showing upward momentum, but I believe this is a short squeeze and not a sustainable breakout.
📉 Caution Is Advised: I’m sticking to my guns—I don’t trust the current upward action and predict significant downward movement soon.
🛑 Wait Before Buying: No altcoin I’ve reviewed is displaying convincingly bullish signals, reinforcing my cautious stance.
🕵️♂️ Cross-Market Analysis: Charts across the crypto market, including Bitcoin and altcoins, suggest indecision and potential fakeouts.
💡 Key Levels to Watch: Downward action could present excellent buying opportunities—stay vigilant for potential entries.
⚠️ Not Investment Advice: This is my personal analysis—trade responsibly and be prepared for sudden market moves.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
COINBASE:NEONUSD
COINBASE:ARBUSD
COINBASE:SPELLUSD
COINBASE:SHPINGUSD
COINBASE:SUKUUSD
COINBASE:CTXUSD
COINBASE:HONEYUSD
COINBASE:RAREUSD
COINBASE:ALGOUSD
COINBASE:NEARUSD
Weekly Forex Forecast: Buy The S&P & NASDAQ. Wait On The DOW!This forecast is for the week of DEC 16 - 20th.
The SP500 & NAS100 are bullish and buys are the order for the week. The DOW Jones is weeker, sliding down as the USD climbs. Be careful here, as the DOW tends to travel it's own path at times.
FOMC is Wednesday. Stay vigilant and disciplined this week!
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
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May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
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I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
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ARB | ALTCOINS | Can ARB see a new ATH?With BTC trading above 100k, it's only a matter of time before liquidity rotates back into alts.
This usually happens in a very specific order, with ETH being first, and then other alts by higher market caps, and then random parabolic rallies across the smaller market cap coins - such as Arb.
I'm anticipating a new ETH all time high, because there is just no way BTC makes such a significant new ATH and ETH stays behind However, we may need to have some patience for ETH to get to this point. And after that - we can expect everything else to have their share of the limelight.
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BINANCE:ARBUSDT