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Tesla 5.21.25 I don't see the trigger yet.... but Tesla went well over 100 points higher from the low and it completed an ABCD pattern and it is trading up to where there were Sellers from the past even though we could have taken a trade 130 points higher before it got to this level I would be concerned that there could be a reversal I don't quite see it yet but you can look at the video and make a decision this will be a short thing that I'm doing here but the video is probably it's probably over 40 minutes but it's worth looking at because if you can read price action and behaviors of buyers versus sellers up you're way ahead of the game in learning how to trade markets profitably
COMEX:SI1!Short
by ScottBogatin
GOLD The relationship between gold, bond yields, and bond prices is complex and has evolved notably in recent years, especially amid geopolitical tensions and inflation dynamics in 2024–2025. Traditional Relationship Inverse correlation between bond prices and yields: Bond prices and yields move inversely—when yields rise, bond prices fall, and vice versa. Gold and bond yields: Historically, gold has an inverse correlation with nominal government bond yields, especially U.S. Treasuries. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, typically pressuring gold prices downward. Conversely, falling yields reduce this cost, supporting gold. Gold and bond prices: Since bond prices move opposite to yields, gold tends to move in the same direction as bond prices (both rise when yields fall). Recent and Unusual Trends (2024–2025) In 2024 and early 2025, gold prices and U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose simultaneously at times, breaking the typical inverse relationship. This was driven by intensified geopolitical turmoil (e.g., Russia-Ukraine war), escalating trade tensions, and safe-haven demand overriding normal macroeconomic principles. Elevated yields reflected inflation concerns and Fed’s high-interest-rate environment, yet gold surged past $3,000/oz and made a new all time high at 3500 /oz amid fears of recession and geopolitical risks, showing a lock-step positive correlation with yields during specific periods. This decoupling suggests that geopolitical uncertainty and inflation fears can dominate the usual bond-gold dynamics, with investors seeking gold as a hedge even when yields rise. Inflation and Economic Growth Context During periods of stagflation (rising inflation with low or negative growth), gold and bond prices diverge: gold rallies as an inflation hedge, while bonds suffer due to rising yields and inflation risk. In contrast, during economic slowdowns with deflation risks, both gold and bonds tend to perform well as safe havens. The current macroeconomic environment resembles the late 1960s and 1970s, where rising inflation and bond yields coincided with a strong secular gold bull market. Technical and Market Indicators The gold-to-bonds ratio broke out to a 35-year high in March 2024, signaling capital flows shifting from bonds to gold amid inflation concerns. Central banks, especially China, have increased gold purchases significantly, supporting prices independent of bond market moves. Market participants view rising or declining yields as indicators of economic trends, using these signals to adjust portfolios between bonds, gold, and other assets. Conclusion While gold traditionally moves inversely to bond yields and in line with bond prices, recent years have seen periods of simultaneous rises in gold prices and bond yields, driven by geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and safe-haven demand. This has temporarily broken the classic negative correlation between gold and yields. Investors now consider a broader set of factors—including inflation expectations, geopolitical risks, and central bank actions—when assessing gold and bond market dynamics. #gold
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
UK GOVERMENT 10 YEAR BOND YIELD The correlation between the UK 10-year gilt yield (GB10Y) and GBP currency strength is nuanced and influenced by multiple factors, as of May 2025: Key Points on GB10Y and GBP Strength Correlation The UK 10-year gilt yield recently rose to 4.77%, its highest since April 2025, driven by hotter-than-expected inflation data (CPI at 3.5% YoY, above forecasts) and reduced market expectations for Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts this year. Typically, higher gilt yields attract foreign investment, increasing demand for GBP as investors buy sterling to purchase gilts, which tends to support GBP strength. However, in early 2025, despite rising gilt yields (reaching 4.82% in January), the GBP weakened significantly against the USD, falling to a 14-month low. This divergence occurred because high gilt yields also signaled economic difficulties such as fiscal instability, higher borrowing needs, and inflation concerns, which weighed on sterling. Thus, high gilt yields can have a dual effect: Positively, by attracting yield-seeking capital inflows supporting GBP. Negatively, by reflecting underlying economic or fiscal stress that undermines confidence in GBP. Market reaction depends on which effect dominates. For example, if rising yields are driven by strong economic growth and tighter monetary policy, GBP tends to strengthen. If yields rise due to fiscal concerns or inflation fears, GBP may weaken despite higher yields. Analysts note that the recent rise in gilt yields has been partly influenced by global factors (e.g., US Treasury yields) but also UK-specific inflation and fiscal issues. The UK/US 10-year yield spread is also important: a widening spread (UK yields rising faster than US yields) tends to support GBP/USD appreciation, signaling relative UK economic strength. Overall, the correlation between GB10Y and GBP is positive but not perfect and can be overridden by economic fundamentals, fiscal outlook, and geopolitical risks. Summary Table Factor Impact on GBP Strength Explanation Rising GB10Y due to strong economy Supports GBP Attracts foreign capital inflows Rising GB10Y due to fiscal/inflation concerns Weakens GBP Signals economic/fiscal stress UK/US 10Y yield spread widening Supports GBP Indicates relative UK economic outperformance Global risk-off environment Can weaken GBP despite yields Safe-haven flows favor USD or other currencies Conclusion While rising UK 10-year gilt yields generally support GBP strength by attracting investment, this relationship is conditional. If higher yields reflect inflation or fiscal instability, GBP may weaken despite rising yields. Traders and investors closely monitor inflation data, BoE policy signals, and the UK/US yield spread to gauge the net effect on GBP. Here’s a direct comparison of the latest available 10-year government bond yields for JPY (Japan), GBP (UK), AUD (Australia), and USD (United States): Country/Currency 10-Year Bond Yield (%) Notes United States (USD) 4.54 Yields rising amid fiscal concerns, global bond sell-off. United Kingdom (GBP) 4.77 Highest among the group; inflation data above forecasts, BoE cautious. Australia (AUD) 4.53 Yield up after RBA rate cut; mirrors US yield trends. Japan (JPY) 1.52 Yield at highest in over a month, but still much lower than peers. Key Insights GBP (UK) has the best performance on bond yield today, with the 10-year gilt at 4.77%. USD (US) and AUD (Australia) yields are close, at 4.54% and 4.53% respectively. JPY (Japan) lags far behind, with a 10-year yield of 1.52%. Conclusion: On May 21, 2025, the UK’s 10-year bond yield is the highest among GBP, JPY, AUD, and USD, making GBP the top performer in terms of government bond yield today
TVC:GB10YLong
by Shavyfxhub
GBPUSD I Technical and Fundamental Forecast Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
by BKTradingAcademy
BITCOIN - ATH! Dump Coming?Here's a 20 minute TA on Bitcoin as it hits ATH. I'm an "ATH trader" in that I like to sell at ATH and often it works very well since it is the point of highest liquidity and that is where reversals tend to print. And I will look to buy in again later. I still hold some coins / crypto stocks with a higher time frame strategy but in my lower time frame trading portfolio; I have taken profit on everything here and looking to buy dips. So can Bitcoin get back to the point of highest liquidity - $100.7K ? That will be where I will consider to buy, but a lot will depend on other factors such as action in stock indexes. All details in video. I made 2 Bitcoin videos in short succession here so I may not do another one for a while. Enjoy Not advice
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by dRends35
1
SILVERSilver and US Dollar Correlation Inverse Relationship Silver and the US dollar (measured by the DXY index) have a strong inverse correlation. When the US dollar weakens, silver prices typically rise, and when the dollar strengthens, silver prices tend to fall. This relationship is rooted in silver being priced in dollars globally: A stronger dollar makes silver more expensive for buyers using other currencies, reducing demand and putting downward pressure on prices. A weaker dollar makes silver cheaper for foreign investors, boosting demand and driving prices higher. Key Technical Levels: A breakdown below critical DXY levels (like 99.50) is often seen as a trigger for rapid dollar devaluation, which can spark explosive upward moves in silver prices. Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical tensions or economic uncertainty can also drive demand for silver as a safe-haven asset, sometimes amplifying the inverse correlation with the dollar. Other Influences: While the inverse correlation is strong, silver prices are also affected by factors such as interest rates, inflation, industrial demand, and mining supply. At times, these factors can override the dollar’s influence, especially in the short term. Historical and Statistical Context Quarterly and annual data consistently show a negative correlation coefficient between silver and the DXY, though the strength of this correlation can vary depending on broader market conditions. For example, in 2020, as the DXY fell, silver prices rose sharply; the opposite occurred in 2022 when the dollar strengthened. Summary Table Dollar Trend Silver Price Impact Dollar strengthens Silver usually falls Dollar weakens Silver usually rises In summary: Silver prices generally move opposite to the US dollar. This inverse correlation is fundamental to the silver market and is closely watched by traders and investors. However, other macroeconomic and market-specific factors can sometimes temporarily weaken or override this relationship.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
APPLE I Stock Forecast and Price Target Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** APPLE Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by BKTradingAcademy
Educational Video: Nifty Outlook-How Technical analysis is done.We have tried to draw a parallel channel on Nifty hourly chart. The chart indicates that we are just below the mid channel line. The mid channel line will act as a resistance if the price is below the same and will act as a support if the price is above it. Right now it is acting as a resistance. Top of the channel always acts as a resistance and bottom of the channel always acts as a support. Additionally there are historic resistances and supports which indicate the other levels which may act as support or resistance. There are also Mother and Father lines (50 and 200 EMA)(EMA = Exponential Moving Average). To understand in detail how parallel channel works or how supports and resistance are derived or what is Mother, Father and Small Child theory. I would recommend you my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. By reading this book you can understand all these concepts with ease. You can additionally understand what is fundamental and technical analysis and how to do it. You will also get to understand the dos and the don'ts of investment in equity by reading various chapters on Behavioural Finance. Overall it is a value for money book available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. The book is also available on Google play book and other E-book stores. You can also contact us for getting the copy of it. The Happy Candles way is one of the highest rated books in the category and you can go through the reviews of the book on Amazon before purchasing it. Based on Parallel Channel, Supports and Resistances, Mother Father and Small child theory resistances and supports of Nifty remain at. Nifty Resistances Remain at: 24815, 24909, 24977, 25045 and 25116. The channel top resistance for the current parallel channel is around 25372. Nifty Supports Remain at: 24780 (Mother Line Support), 24679 and 24537. The Channel Bottom support is currently around 24396. 24247 is the most important Father line support. Shadow of the candles currently is neutral. Indicating Nifty can still go in any direction. A pennant like structure (Triangle is also formed). This indicates that Breakout or Breakdown of this triangle or pennant can take Nifty a long way on either side. Nifty is currently squeezing in the pennant with limited space. Usually when the space is limited a Breakout can happen in either direction. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NVIDIA Breaks Out - Is a Bigger Rally Coming?NVIDIA Breaks Out - Is a Bigger Rally Coming? NVIDIA has broken out of a bullish triangle pattern, signaling that it might be ready to climb higher. In my view, the bottom was reached at 86.00, as even market pressures from Trump couldn't push it down further. NVIDIA seems to be waiting for more details on the US-China trade deal before making a stronger upward move. If positive developments emerge, it could trigger a bigger bullish wave, lifting the stock even higher. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by KlejdiCuni
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-21 : Inside-BreakawayI've been very clear over the past few weeks that I believe the markets are poised for a rollover/topping pattern and I believe BTCUSD is showing us exactly how/when that rollover top is going to play out (June 1-June 9). In the meantime, I believe the SPY/QQQ are entering a more volatile "early topping" formation while still in an uptrend (Bullish). I urge traders to start watching various sectors for weakness and keeping your eyes open for any signs the market could be moving into a sideways price rotation. I think the rollover top will be aligned with some financial event (trade/tariff/other) that will result in a broad disruption of the US/Global markets. And I believe BTCUSD will lead the move by about 4-7+ days. Gold and Silver are starting to move higher again. That is a sure sign that traders are now more actively seeking to hedge global risks (again). I believe this move higher in metals may continue through this week and into next week (looking for that top in the SPY/QQQ). Follow my detailed BTCUSD video to learn why BTCUSD may continue to try to push a bit higher before topping and moving into a broad price decline. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
9
05/20/25 Trade Journal, and Where is the Stock Market going tomoEOD accountability report: +293.75 Sleep: 4.5 hours , Overall health: Calm and tired. need to catch up on sleep. What was my initial plan? Market structure was bearish so, I started the day shorting, but once market flipped bullish, I switched to BTD mode. Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System — 9:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! — 10:20 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal — 11:18 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! — 12:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! — 1:20 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal — 3:13 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal 2x signal (C+ set up) Next day plan--> Above 5900 = Bullish, if we lose 48min support at 5900--> 5800 next Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
SP:SPX
by WallSt007
USDJPYDXY (US Dollar Index) and Bond Yield Relationship – May 2025 Current Market Situation US Treasury Yields: The 10-year Treasury yield is at 4.54% (May 21, 2025), and the 30-year yield is testing the 5% level amid a global bond sell-off. DXY (US Dollar Index): The DXY and the 10-year yield are moving in sync again after a period of divergence earlier in 2025. Relationship Dynamics Positive Correlation: Historically, the DXY and US bond yields (especially the 10-year yield) tend to move together. When yields rise, the dollar often strengthens, as higher yields attract foreign capital seeking better returns. In recent weeks, this positive correlation has resumed after a brief disconnect in April, when yields surged but the dollar weakened due to shifting investor sentiment and US tariff policy. Periods of Divergence: In early April 2025, there was a notable divergence: yields climbed while the dollar fell, reflecting a rare episode where investors were wary of US assets despite higher returns, possibly due to concerns about US fiscal health and global trade tensions. During that period, both US bonds and the dollar declined together, signaling a potential shift away from US assets and raising questions about the dollar’s structural appeal as a reserve currency. Recent Realignment: After the Federal Reserve’s recent meeting and a major tariff agreement with China, the DXY and yields began rising together again, indicating renewed confidence in US assets and a return to more typical market behavior. Key Factors Influencing the Relationship Fed Policy: Expectations for future rate cuts or hikes directly influence both yields and the dollar. Higher expected rates generally support both. Global Risk Sentiment: In risk-off scenarios, the dollar can strengthen even if yields fall, due to safe-haven demand. Trade and Fiscal Policy: Tariffs and concerns about US debt sustainability can disrupt the usual correlation, as seen in early 2025. Summary Table Factor Impact on DXY Impact on Yields Typical Correlation Rising US Yields Strengthens DXY Yields rise Positive Fed Rate Hike Expectations Strengthens DXY Yields rise Positive US Fiscal Concerns Can weaken DXY Yields may rise Can diverge Global Risk Aversion Strengthens DXY Yields may fall Can diverge Trade Tensions/Tariffs Mixed Mixed May disrupt correlation Conclusion As of May 2025, the DXY and US bond yields have resumed a positive correlation, both rising in response to Fed policy signals and improved risk sentiment following a major tariff agreement. However, earlier in the year, this relationship broke down due to concerns about US fiscal stability and shifting global investment flows. The interplay between DXY and yields remains sensitive to Fed policy, fiscal outlook, and geopolitical developments.
Long
by Shavyfxhub