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Crypto update for 2025.05.22Bitcoin hits a new all-time high, but others are lagging. What's the deal?
Let's dig in...
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
CRYPTO:BCHUSD
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
CRYPTO:XRPUSD
CRYPTO:LTCUSD
CRYPTO:DOGEUSD
CRYPTO:DOTUSD
CRYPTO:TRXUSD
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Gold Long, S&P Short, USDJPY Short: Flight to SafetyThis is a multi-asset idea in which I explain how different instruments helps us to paint a picture of what is happening at a macro level, specifically to the financial markets.
Over here, I proposed that the equity markets, represented by S&P500, are going to correct heavily and that we will be in a flight-to-safety mode. Not brought up here but will add strength to the hypothesis is the yield on US Treasuries have also gone up.
GOLD Trap Zones & Stop Hunt Targets | ARX Precision AnalysisIn this session, I break down the current GOLD (XAUUSD) structure and reveal the key trap zones where retail traders are getting caught.
I’ll show you how I identify liquidity pockets and target the most likely stop loss areas using the ARX Price & Time strategy.
📌 Topics Covered:
– Bull & bear traps explained
– Where price is likely to seek liquidity next
– How I plan my entries to hunt stops, not follow them
– Real-time chart breakdown using pure price action
🎯 This is not prediction — this is precision.
My First Look at the New 2025 TradingView Stock ScreenerI’ve made plenty of videos in the past covering the old TradingView Stock Screener - the one that used to sit below the chart.
In May 2025, TradingView moved the screener to the sidebar and replaced it with the standalone version previously accessed via the top menu. This video is my first walkthrough of the updated layout, and I’m talking through it as I figure out how it works and what’s changed compared to the older version.
For this example, I’m scanning for stocks that may have been oversold and are showing signs of recovery. I start with the MACD, looking for bullish crossovers where the MACD line moves above the signal line. I then add RSI and sort it from lowest to highest to highlight stocks that might have been more heavily sold off ie potential value plays. I also apply filters for price (between $10 and $100) and average daily volume (over 100,000) to avoid thinly traded penny stocks.
Hope you find it useful. This is my first look at the updated screener, so if I’ve missed anything, feel free to point it out.
zAngus
$VARAUSD **2000% POTENTIAL RETURN **UPDATE!!** **VOTE!!**Short video today guys. I didn't go over levels on the video because I forgot to launch order flow earlier so I'll go ahead and post levels in MINDs like the old days. This asset remains in a tight squeeze.
**VOTE** Please vote Y for the additional validator spot if you are able. Requires external wallet access and VARA to vote.
If you decide to swing trade this squeeze CAREFUL this thing could go either way. Even a bullish squeeze has a 50% chance of expanding down even if just for a while.
US GOVERMENT 10 YEAR BOND YIELD US10Y Among the US Treasury bond yields—2-year (US02Y), 10-year (US10Y), and 30-year (US30Y)—the 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y) generally reflects the strength of the US Dollar Index (DXY) most closely.
Explanation:
The US10Y yield is widely followed by currency traders and investors as a key indicator of market sentiment, interest rate expectations, and economic outlook. It balances short-term monetary policy effects and long-term growth/inflation expectations, making it a comprehensive gauge for the dollar's strength.
The correlation between the US10Y yield and the DXY is strong and positive: when the 10-year yield rises, the dollar typically strengthens, and when it falls, the dollar tends to weaken. This relationship is more consistent than with the 2-year or 30-year yields.
The 2-year yield (US02Y) is more sensitive to Federal Reserve policy changes and short-term rate expectations. While it influences the dollar, its impact is often more volatile and tied to immediate monetary policy shifts rather than broader economic trends.
The 30-year yield (US30Y) reflects long-term inflation and growth expectations but tends to be less reactive to short- and medium-term market dynamics that drive currency movements. It has a weaker and less direct correlation with the DXY compared to the 10-year yield.
Recent market observations (early 2025) show that the US10Y yield movements often lead or move in tandem with the DXY, while divergences can occur but are exceptions rather than the rule.
Summary Table
Bond Yield Correlation with DXY Notes
US 2-Year (US02Y) Moderate Sensitive to Fed policy, more short-term focused
US 10-Year (US10Y) Strong Reflects medium-term economic outlook, best DXY proxy
US 30-Year (US30Y) Weak to Moderate Long-term outlook, less impact on short-term DXY moves
Conclusion
The 10-year US Treasury yield (US10Y) is the best indicator among the three for reflecting the strength of the US Dollar Index (DXY) due to its balanced sensitivity to both monetary policy and broader economic conditions.
#DOLLAR #US #GOLD
Weekly FOREX Forecast: USD, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, JPYThis is the FOREX Currency futures outlook for the week of May 18 - 24th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX Majors markets:
USD Index
EUR
GBP
AUD
NZD
CAD
CHF
JPY
USD Index has been bullish for 4 weeks. Will it continue? Expect a pullback before bullish continuation.
Selling the commodity currencies (AUD, CAD, NZD) may be the best course of action this week. Buying the EUR, GBP and CHF may also be worthwhile.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Mid-Week FOREX Forecast: Will The USD Remain Weak?In this video, we will update Sunday's forecasts mid-week, and look for valid setup for the rest of the week ahead. The following FX markets will be analyzed:
In this video, we will analyze the following FX Majors markets:
USD Index
EUR
GBP
AUD
NZD
CAD
CHF
JPY
The expected short term bearishness in the USD came, but will it continue for the rest of the week? Wait patiently for the market to tip its hand, and trade accordingly. Have a plan in place if the protected low at 99.172 holds or folds.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Rest dayWith the dramatic move in the S&P daily chart based on concerns, I do not look for another dramatic move lower but rather Thursday trading inside of Wednesday's range. What could change this is fundamental information that increases the markets nervousness and continues the break to lower prices.
AUD/USD Sentiment Sours (But There May Better Shorts)Asset managers increased their net-short exposure last week - and as these are 'real money' accounts, they are a group of traders worth listening to. But as always, timing as key, and there may be better setups for bears than AUD/USD over the near term. Today I pick out for AUD crosses to consider.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
JAPAN GOVERMENT 10 YEAR BOND YIELD JP10YJP10Y, Yen Strength, and Bond Price Correlation
Key Relationships
JP10Y (Yield) and Bond Price:
Inverse Correlation: Bond prices and yields move inversely. When Japan’s 10-year government bond yield (JP10Y) rises, bond prices fall, and vice versa.
JP10Y (Yield) and Yen Strength:
Positive Correlation (Typically): Rising JP10Y often strengthens the yen (JPY) by attracting foreign capital into Japanese bonds. Higher yields make yen-denominated assets more attractive, increasing demand for JPY.
Exception: If yields rise due to fiscal instability or inflation fears (e.g., Japan’s 2025 bond yield surge to 1.59%), the yen may weaken despite higher yields, as investors prioritize safety over yield.
Bond Price and Yen Strength:
Indirect Link: Falling bond prices (rising yields) can strengthen the yen if driven by improved economic confidence or hawkish Bank of Japan (BoJ) policies. Conversely, bond price declines due to fiscal risks may weaken JPY.
Factors Influencing Correlation
Factor Impact on JPY Strength Impact on JP10Y (Yield)
BoJ Rate Hikes Strengthens JPY Raises JP10Y (bond prices fall)
Foreign Demand for JGBs Strengthens JPY Raises JP10Y (bond prices fall)
Carry Trade Activity Weakens JPY (if yields low) Lower JP10Y (bond prices rise)
Economic Growth/Fiscal Health Mixed (depends on context) Rises if growth/inflation up
Global Risk Sentiment Strengthens JPY (safe-haven) Lower JP10Y (bond prices rise)
Recent Examples (2024–2025)
March 2025: Japan’s 10-year bond yields surged to 1.59% (highest since 2008), driven by BoJ rate hikes and reduced bond purchases. This initially strengthened the yen, but concerns about higher borrowing costs and economic stress later tempered gains.
February 2025: Declining JGB yields (due to BoJ’s dovish signals) weakened the yen, highlighting the sensitivity of JPY to yield fluctuations.
Summary Table
Relationship Typical Direction Exceptions/Caveats
JP10Y ↑ → JPY ↑ Positive (capital inflows) Negative if driven by fiscal risks
JP10Y ↑ → Bond Prices ↓ Inverse (fundamental) Always holds
Bond Prices ↓ → JPY ↑ Indirect (if yields signal strength) Weakens if yields reflect stress
Conclusion
The correlation between JP10Y, yen strength, and bond prices hinges on the underlying driver of yield movements:
Yield rises from BoJ tightening or economic optimism → JPY strengthens.
Yield rises from fiscal instability → JPY may weaken despite higher yields.
Bond prices and yields remain inversely linked regardless of context. Traders should monitor BoJ policy, global risk sentiment, and Japan’s fiscal health to interpret these dynamics accurately.
XAUUSDH1 Did a Downtrend that started at 3408 until 3170.
After that, the price was consolidated between 3261 and 3170, even if we got a false breakout to the downside.
We broke consolidation in H1 and made the first push for the beginning of a new uptrend.
Daily is also in an uptrend.
The deal between the USA and China ain't that good and can still change, giving more reasons to push the price to the upside.
Gold - This is still clearly not over!Gold - TVC:GOLD - just needs a moment to breathe:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is just incredible how Gold has been rallying lately. Just over the past 1.5 years, Gold is up another +80% and is creating new all time highs every month. Since these strong rallies continue a lot longer than most people think, Gold still has significant upside potential.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)