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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-19 : Gap Breakaway In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will start with an opening price GAP (downward in this case) and could continue to move into a Breakaway pattern. Given the recent news of a US Credit Downgrade, I'm suggesting all traders prepare for what may become a period of sideways price volatility over the next 3-5+ days. I've highlighted a potential breakdown range on the SPY/QQQ on my charts that I believe acts as a solid confirmation level related to any potential reversal/breakdown in trend. Currently, the trend is still BULLISH. If price falls below my breakdown range (the angled rectangle on my charts) - then I believe price will have broken this upward FLAGGING trend channel and will begin to move downward - targeting lower support levels. This is a critical time for the markets. If we fail to move higher at these levels, we have a long way to go (downward) before we attempt to find any support. Gold and Silver appear to be attempting to break the FLAG HIGH of an Inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern. This could prompt a strong rally phase back above $3300/$33 for Gold/Silver over the next few days. Time will tell how things play out. BTCUSD appears to be REJECTING the recent highs within a consolidation range. If this rejection continues, I see BTCUSD moving downward - trying to reach the $95k (or lower) looking for support. Remember, we are still generally BULLISH and moving upward within the FLAGGING channel. If we do get a breakdown in price over the next few days, it will become clearly evident on the charts and we'll have to begin to change our expectations. Right now - HEDGE. Get Some... #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
Mindset Monday - Dealing With Big Losses “You can’t control if you lose — but you can control how much you lose.” In this first episode of Mindset Mondays, we dive into the emotional and practical side of trading losses. I explore how risk management and mindset shape your long-term success, and why learning to accept and limit losses is one of the most powerful skills a trader can develop. Whether you're dealing with a tough loss or want to build mental resilience before the next one hits, this video is for you. 🎥 Watch now and take control of what is in your control.
TVC:DXY
by DeanMuller
GOLD Fundamentals Affecting Gold Prices and Correlation with U.S. Bond Yields Key Factors Driving Gold Prices Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade wars, Russia-Ukraine conflict) and economic uncertainty drive investors to gold as a refuge, pushing prices to record highs Declining confidence in traditional safe havens like the U.S. dollar and Treasuries amplifies gold’s appeal . Central Bank Policies: Aggressive gold purchases by central banks (e.g., China, Russia,india ) to diversify reserves and hedge against sanctions underpin demand, removing significant supply from markets . The Federal Reserve’s cautious rate policy (steady at 4.25–4.50% in 2025) and subdued real interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold Gold thrives when real rates (nominal rates minus inflation) are low or negative. Despite moderating inflation, real yields remain depressed, sustaining gold’s attractiveness . Expectations of stagflation (rising inflation + weak growth) historically favor gold over bonds . U.S. Dollar Weakness: A 9% decline in the USD Index (2025) makes gold cheaper for foreign buyers, boosting demand . Central banks’ shift away from dollar reserves further pressures the currency, indirectly supporting gold . Supply-Demand Dynamics: Stagnant mining output (annual growth: 2–3%) and rising extraction costs constrain supply, while ETF inflows and industrial/jewelry demand add upward pressure . Gold’s Correlation with U.S. Bond Yields Traditionally, gold and bond yields exhibit an inverse relationship: higher yields (from rising rates) increase the opportunity cost of holding gold. However, recent dynamics have disrupted this pattern: 2024–2025 Anomaly: Concurrent rises in gold prices and Treasury yields occurred due to: Geopolitical Risks: Tariffs, trade wars, and conflict-driven inflation fears spurred demand for both gold (as a hedge) and bonds (as yields rose on inflation expectations) . Bear Steepening: Long-term yields outpaced short-term ones, reflecting expectations of prolonged inflation or growth, which gold historically offsets . Example: In March 2025, gold hit $3,500/oz as 10-year yields rose to 4.37% amid tariff escalations . Mechanisms Behind the Shift: Inflation Hedge: Gold’s role as an inflation hedge outweighs yield-driven opportunity costs when investors anticipate sustained price pressures . Loss of Confidence in Traditional Assets: Eroding trust in the U.S. dollar and Treasuries (due to fiscal policies and trade tensions) drives simultaneous demand for gold and higher bond risk premiums . Summary Table Factor Impact on Gold Prices Impact on Bond Yields Correlation Shift (2025) Geopolitical Risks ↑ (Safe-haven demand) ↑ (Inflation expectations) Positive (Both rise) Central Bank Gold Buying ↑ (Demand surge) – – Subdued Real Rates ↑ (Lower opportunity cost) ↓ (If nominal rates lag) Inverse (Gold ↑, Yields ↓) USD Weakness ↑ (Cheaper for non-USD) Mixed (Trade deficit risks) – Inflation Expectations ↑ (Hedge demand) ↑ (Compensation for inflation) Positive (Both rise) Conclusion Gold prices in 2025 are propelled by geopolitical uncertainty, central bank accumulation, and inflation hedging, while their correlation with U.S. bond yields reflects a complex interplay of stagflation fears and shifting investor confidence. The traditional inverse relationship has been disrupted by tariffs and macroeconomic instability, creating periods where both assets rise simultaneously. For investors, gold remains a critical hedge in portfolios exposed to equity volatility or dollar depreciation, even amid elevated bond yields. Key Levels to Watch: Gold: Resistance at $3,700/oz (Goldman Sachs 2025 target) . 10-Year Treasury Yield: Support at 4.25%, resistance at 4.50% . This dynamic underscores gold’s evolving role in a multipolar economic landscape where traditional asset correlations are increasingly volatile. #GOLD#XAUUSD#DOLLAR
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
USDJPYUSD/JPY Interest Rate Differential and Upcoming Economic Data (May–June 2025) Interest Rate Differential Federal Reserve (Fed): Policy rate: 4.25%–4.50% (held steady in May 2025). Outlook: Cautious stance amid mixed economic signals; markets expect no cuts until July 2025 unless inflation reaccelerates. Bank of Japan (BoJ): Policy rate: 0.50% (unchanged in May 2025, highest since 2008). Outlook: Dovish despite trimming growth and inflation forecasts; further hikes unlikely until 2026 due to U.S. tariff risks and weak GDP (-0.7% annualized in Q1). Differential: ~3.75–4.00% in favor of USD, sustaining a strong yield advantage for the dollar. Upcoming Economic Data and Events United States May 29: GDP Growth Rate QoQ (2nd estimate): Expected to confirm 2.4% QoQ growth, rebounding from Q1 contraction. Core PCE Prices QoQ (2nd estimate): Forecast to ease to 2.6% (from 3.5% in Q1), critical for Fed’s inflation assessment. May 30: Core PCE Price Index MoM/YoY: Key Fed inflation gauge; YoY expected at 2.6% (above 2% target). Fed Communications: FOMC Minutes (May 27) and speeches by Powell, Barkin, and Williams to clarify policy trajectory. Japan BoJ Policy Signals: Focus on U.S. tariff negotiations (24% on Japanese exports) and their impact on growth. Revised 2025 GDP growth to 0.5% (from 1.0%) and core inflation to 2.2% (from 2.7%) . Trade Data: Export performance under U.S. tariffs (autos, machinery) to influence JPY sentiment. Directional Bias for USD/JPY Short-Term (May–June): Bullish USD/JPY Fed’s steady rates vs. BoJ’s dovish hold sustains yield advantage. U.S. economic resilience (rebounding GDP, strong labor market) contrasts with Japan’s contraction. U.S. Tariff Escalation: Could dampen global growth, boosting safe-haven JPY. BoJ Surprise Hike: Unlikely but not impossible if inflation overshoots. Fed Dovish Shift: If U.S. data weakens, rate cut bets may pressure USD. Summary Table Factor USD Impact JPY Impact USD/JPY Bias Fed Rate Hold Strengthens USD – Bullish BoJ Dovish Stance – Weakens JPY Bullish U.S. GDP Rebound Supports USD – Bullish Japan’s GDP Contraction – Pressures JPY Bullish Conclusion: USD/JPY retains a bullish bias in the near term, driven by the Fed’s yield advantage and Japan’s economic fragility. However, escalating U.S. tariffs and safe-haven JPY demand could cap gains. Monitor U.S. inflation data (Core PCE) and BoJ rhetoric for shifts in momentum.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
2
GBP/JPY Short and CAD/JPY ShortGBP/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Corrective tap into area of value. • 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles. Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. CAD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Corrective tap into area of value. • 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles. Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Short
by StewySongs
Kaspa Technology Review & Investment InsightsIn this video, I share my review of Kaspa’s technology and offer some thoughts on its potential as an investment opportunity. I walk through a live demonstration of DAGKnight in production, and highlight key aspects of Kaspa’s speed, security, and scalability—three pillars that set it apart from traditional blockchain architectures. If you’d like to dive deeper, here are some great resources to explore: 📄 Whitepaper: eprint.iacr.org 🧠 DAGKnight Production Graph Inspector: kgi.kaspad.net 📊 Kaspa Key Stats Dashboard: kas.fyi
by controllinghand
Bitcoin Analysis: Bullish Bias, But Waiting for a Smart Entry!🚀 BTCUSDT Outlook: Bullish Momentum, But Waiting for Value 📉💰 Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) continues to push higher, showing strong bullish momentum across the daily and 4H timeframes. That said, current price action appears to be overstretched—in my view, it’s trading well into premium territory 📈⚠️. 💡 Although I maintain a bullish outlook, I’m now eyeing a pullback toward a more balanced zone—ideally between the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. This would bring BTC closer to equilibrium and offer a more strategic opportunity to engage with the trend. 🔎 In this video, we break down: - The dominant trend and current structure - How to identify potential market structure shifts - My buy scenario, which depends on a retracement forming a bearish short-term move (e.g. on the 30-min chart), followed by a bullish break of structure 📊✅ 🕒 Timing is everything. Let price unfold—we’re not predicting, we’re preparing. Entries should only be considered when price action confirms the scenario laid out in this video. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and reflects my personal analysis and opinion. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
WAIT PATIENTLY for your SET UPS - Don't chase the MARKET!!!All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
Short
by Simply-Forex
BTCUSD 5/18/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you another tremendous Weekly breakdown of Bitcoins Price Action. He never fails to amaze us with his brilliant concepts & perspectives on the market. Come Tune Into a wonderful video that could give you the shift you need, to become a profitable trader. _SnipeGoat_ _TheeCandleReadingGURU_ #PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheeSnipeGoat
1
NASDAQ Trade Setup: Bullish Bias, But Waiting for Retrace!✅ NASDAQ Breakdown: Waiting for the Retrace 🎯 I'm currently watching the NASDAQ 🧠, and here's what I'm seeing across multiple timeframes: 📈 Daily & 4H Timeframes show a strong bullish rally with significant momentum. However, in my view, price is overextended and currently trading at a premium. 📉 Although my bias remains bullish, I'm anticipating a retracement into equilibrium—specifically around the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci zone 🔁. This would offer a more favorable entry based on value. 📊 In this video, I walk you through: - The overall trend direction - Where and how we can anticipate a break of market structure for a clean entry - Why my buy idea is conditional on the 30-minute chart trending down, then flipping bullish via a structure break 🔄 ⚠️ Patience is key! The trade setup may play out at various price levels—wait for confirmation from price action, as detailed in the video 🎥.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony